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Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Supply of Business Loans

Author

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  • Santiago Barraza

    (Universidad de San Andres)

  • Andrea Civelli

    (University of Arkansas)

Abstract

Using a Vector Autoregressive framework of analysis, we show that banks contract their supply of business credit in response to an exogenous increase in economic policy uncertainty. This contraction takes two main, distinct forms. On the one hand, banks restrict their supply of spot funds, which we document using flows of loans and term loan originations. On the other, banks also curtail their provision of liquidity insurance, reducing the amount of new credit lines and embedding in them a pricing structure that reduces the probability of borrowers ever drawing down on the lines.

Suggested Citation

  • Santiago Barraza & Andrea Civelli, 2019. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Supply of Business Loans," Working Papers 134, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Oct 2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:sad:wpaper:134
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    Keywords

    economic policy uncertainty; bank lending; business; credit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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