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Michael T Kiley

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "The Aggregate Demand Effects of Short- and Long-Term Interest Rates," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 69-104, December.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Federal Reserve’s Monetary Policy Toolkit: Past, Present, and Future
      by ? in The Big Picture on 2016-08-29 14:00:00
    2. How effective is quantitative easing in stimulating economic activity and raising inflation?
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-05-10 03:24:10
    3. The Federal Reserve: Looking Back, Looking Forward
      by Guest Author in The Big Picture on 2014-01-04 16:00:00
  2. Kiley, Michael T., 2015. "An evaluation of the inflationary pressure associated with short- and long-term unemployment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 5-9.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Phillips Curve and Inflation
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-05-21 23:08:29
  3. Kiley, Michael T., 2013. "Output gaps," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-18.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Yellen: The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
      by Barry Ritholtz in The Big Picture on 2015-12-07 16:00:34
  4. Aikman, David & Kiley, Michael & Lee, Seung Jung & Palumbo, Michael G. & Warusawitharana, Missaka, 2017. "Mapping heat in the U.S. financial system," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 36-64.

    Mentioned in:

    1. My research on “heat” in the U.S. financial system has appeared in print
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2017-09-27 03:43:54
  5. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparision of forecast, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," CAMA Working Papers 2009-03, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Forecasting with DSGE models
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2009-07-28 19:23:00
  6. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "The Response of Equity Prices to Movements in Long‐Term Interest Rates Associated with Monetary Policy Statements: Before and After the Zero Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(5), pages 1057-1071, August.

    Mentioned in:

    1. How effective is quantitative easing in stimulating economic activity and raising inflation?
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-05-10 03:24:10
    2. The Federal Reserve: Looking Back, Looking Forward
      by Guest Author in The Big Picture on 2014-01-04 16:00:00
  7. Michael T. Kiley, 2012. "The aggregate demand effects of short- and long-term interest rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-54, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Federal Reserve’s Monetary Policy Toolkit: Past, Present, and Future
      by ? in The Big Picture on 2016-08-29 14:00:00
    2. How effective is quantitative easing in stimulating economic activity and raising inflation?
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-05-10 03:24:10
    3. The Federal Reserve: Looking Back, Looking Forward
      by Guest Author in The Big Picture on 2014-01-04 16:00:00
  8. Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "What Can the Data Tell Us About the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-77, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. Will interest rates persistently fall below previous norms?
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-02-15 01:29:28
    2. Persistently low interest rates, redux
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-03-19 20:37:04
  9. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Risks of low for longer
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2019-10-19 20:54:33
    2. Fourth large-scale asset purchases program: A new hope
      by ? in FRED blog on 2020-03-23 13:00:00
  10. Michael Kiley, 2016. "Policy Paradoxes in the New-Keynesian Model," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 21, pages 1-15, July.

    Mentioned in:

    1. How effective are fiscal and monetary policy at low interest rates?
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-04-09 17:32:19
    2. The Phillips Curve and Inflation
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-05-21 23:08:29
  11. Michael T. Kiley & Jae W. Sim, 2015. "Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies: Gains and Pitfalls in a Model of Financial Intermediation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-78, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. Macroeconomic Modeling of Financial Frictions for Macroprudential Policymaking: A Review of Pressing Challenges
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-06-05 23:18:07
  12. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. My analysis of low rates and monetary policy–link to Ben Bernanke comments and FEDS version
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2017-08-19 20:26:04
    2. Risks of low for longer
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2019-10-19 20:54:33
    3. Navigating in Cloudy Skies
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2018-12-10 12:14:25
    4. The Fed's Crystal Ball: Looking Beyond the COVID-19 Recession
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2020-06-15 11:14:52
  13. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "What Macroeconomic Conditions Lead Financial Crises?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. Debt, Asset Prices, and Financial Crises
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2018-06-20 18:36:52

    Mentioned in:

    1. YELLEN: Monetary Policy Shouldn't Change Because People Are Worried About Financial Stability
      by Rob Wile in Business Insider on 2014-07-02 20:00:00
    2. Chair Janet L. Yellen: Monetary Policy and Financial Stability
      by Guest Author in The Big Picture on 2014-07-03 14:00:18
  14. Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 289-344.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Phillips Curve and Inflation
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-05-21 23:08:29
  15. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the “New Normal” in Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-004, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. Risks of low for longer
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2019-10-19 20:54:33
    2. Fourth large-scale asset purchases program: A new hope
      by ? in FRED blog on 2020-03-23 13:00:00
  16. Ben S. Bernanke & Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2019. "Monetary Policy Strategies for a Low-Rate Environment," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 421-426, May.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Risks of low for longer
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2019-10-19 20:54:33
  17. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 317-396.

    Mentioned in:

    1. My analysis of low rates and monetary policy–link to Ben Bernanke comments and FEDS version
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2017-08-19 20:26:04
    2. Risks of low for longer
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2019-10-19 20:54:33
    3. Navigating in Cloudy Skies
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2018-12-10 12:14:25
    4. The Fed's Crystal Ball: Looking Beyond the COVID-19 Recession
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2020-06-15 11:14:52
  18. Michael T. Kiley, 2013. "The response of equity prices to movements in long-term interest rates associated with monetary policy statements: before and after the zero lower bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Mentioned in:

    1. How effective is quantitative easing in stimulating economic activity and raising inflation?
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-05-10 03:24:10
    2. The Federal Reserve: Looking Back, Looking Forward
      by Guest Author in The Big Picture on 2014-01-04 16:00:00

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2010. "A comparison of forecast performance between Federal Reserve staff forecasts, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 720-754.

    Mentioned in:

    1. A comparison of forecast performance between federal reserve staff forecasts, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2010) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Michael T. Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2025. "The Evolution of Inflation Targeting from the 1990s to 2020s: Developments and New Challenges," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-025, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Philippe Burger, 2025. "Twenty-five years of inflation targeting in South Africa: Going from 6% to 3%," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2025-42, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  2. Frederic S. Mishkin & Michael Kiley, 2025. "The Evolution of Inflation Targeting from the 1990s to the 2020s: Developments and Challenges," NBER Working Papers 33585, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Philippe Burger, 2025. "Twenty-five years of inflation targeting in South Africa: Going from 6% to 3%," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2025-42, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  3. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy Strategies to Foster Price Stability and a Strong Labor Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Papell, David H. & Prodan-Boul, Ruxandra, 2024. "Policy rules and forward guidance following the Covid-19 recession," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

  4. Michael T. Kiley, 2023. "The Role of Wages in Trend Inflation: Back to the 1980s?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-022, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Richard Audoly & Martín Almuzara & Davide Melcangi, 2023. "A Measure of Trend Wage Inflation," Staff Reports 1067, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    2. Hie Joo Ahn & Lam Nguyen, 2025. "Who's at Risk? Effects of Inflation on Unemployment Risk," Papers 2505.05757, arXiv.org.

  5. Michael T. Kiley, 2022. "Financial and Macroeconomic Indicators of Recession Risk," FEDS Notes 2022-06-21-1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Obojska, Lidia & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2024. "Recession fears and stock markets: An application of directional wavelet coherence and a machine learning-based economic agent-determined Google fear index," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PA).

  6. Michael T. Kiley, 2021. "Growth at Risk From Climate Change," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. René Augusto Marín-Leyva & América I. Zamora-Torres & Carlos Francisco Ortiz-Paniagua, 2022. "Economía, energía y calidad ambiental en APEC, 1990-2018," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 17(4), pages 1-19, Octubre -.
    2. Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo & Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge M. Uribe, 2024. "Climate Growth at Risk in the Global South," Documentos de trabajo 21166, FLAR.
    3. Belloc, Ignacio, 2024. "Family house prices in the US: Convergence clubs by county (1975-2022)," MPRA Paper 121487, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Marcelle Chauvet & Claudio Morana & Murilo Silva, 2025. "Extreme Weather in Europe: Determinants and Economic Impact," Working Papers 547, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.
    5. Leventis, Flora & Palaios, Panagiotis, 2024. "Fresh evidence from temperature effects on growth and economic policy uncertainty: A panel quantile approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

  7. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Pandemic Recession Dynamics: The Role of Monetary Policy in Shifting a U-Shaped Recession to a V-Shaped Rebound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Acurio Vásconez, Verónica & Damette, Olivier & Shanafelt, David W., 2023. "Macroepidemics and unconventional monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    2. Tatiana Damjanovic & Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2017. "Unconditionally Optimal Ramsey policy," CEMAP Working Papers 2017_01, Durham University Business School.
    3. Jelena Nikolajenko & Rasa Viederytė & Agnė Šneiderienė & Ignas Aničas, 2021. "Components for Measuring the Efficiency of the Intervention Measures to Support Business, Initiated and Implemented by the Government of Lithuania during the First Lockdown," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Galindo Gil, Hamilton, 2021. "What kind of firm is more responsive to the unconventional monetary policy?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 188-200.

  8. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-095, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2021. "The Yield Curve as a Predictor of Economic Activity in Mexico: The Role of the Term Premium," Working Papers 2021-07, Banco de México.

  9. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Monetary Policy Space in a Recession: Some Simple Interest Rate Arithmetic," FEDS Notes 2020-01-08-2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Pandemic Recession Dynamics: The Role of Monetary Policy in Shifting a U-Shaped Recession to a V-Shaped Rebound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  10. Ben S. Bernanke & Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2019. "Monetary Policy Strategies for a Low-Rate Environment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-009, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Yuanyuan Qu & Aza Azlina Md Kassim, 2023. "The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Investment in Real Estate Corporations Based on Sustainable Development: The Mediating Role of House Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-17, October.
    2. Matthieu Lemoine & Harri Turunen & Mohammed Chahad & Antoine Lepetit & Anastasia Zhutova & Pierre Aldama & Pierrick Clerc & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2019. "The FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission in France, Working Paper Series no. 736, Banque de France," Working Papers hal-02400611, HAL.
    3. Debortoli, Davide & Galí, Jordi & Gambetti, Luca, 2018. "On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint," CEPR Discussion Papers 12691, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Fabio Busetti & Stefano Neri & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2020. "Monetary policy strategies in the New Normal: a model-based analysis for the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1308, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Krane, Spencer David & Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2023. "Learning monetary policy strategies at the effective lower bound with sudden surprises," Discussion Papers 22/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    6. Hasan Engin Duran & Pawe³ Gajewski, 2023. "State-level Taylor rule and monetary policy stress," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 18(1), pages 89-120, March.
    7. Jerome H. Powell, 2019. "Opening Remarks : a speech at the \"Conference on Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communications Practices\" sponsored by the Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago, ," Speech 1070, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Richard H. Clarida, 2020. "The Federal Reserve's New Framework: Context and Consequences: a speech at the "The Economy and Monetary Policy" event hosted by the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy at the Broo," Speech 89055, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Smets, Frank & Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2021. "Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment," CEPR Discussion Papers 16050, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Nakata, Taisuke & Schmidt, Sebastian & Budianto, Flora, 2020. "Average inflation targeting and the interest rate lower bound," Working Paper Series 2394, European Central Bank.
    11. Feld, Lars P. & Wieland, Volker, 2020. "The German Federal Constitutional Court ruling and the European Central Bank's strategy," IMFS Working Paper Series 145, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    12. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
    13. Billi , Roberto M. & Walsh, Carl E., 2022. "Seemingly Irresponsible but Welfare Improving Fiscal Policy at the Lower Bound," Working Paper Series 410, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    14. Jonas E. Arias & Martin Bodenstein & Hess T. Chung & Thorsten Drautzburg & Andrea Raffo, 2020. "Alternative Strategies: How Do They Work? How Might They Help?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-068, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Anton Nakov & Roberto M. Billi & Jordi Galí, 2022. "Optimal Monetary Policy with r," Working Papers 1333, Barcelona School of Economics.
    16. Isabel Cairó & Jae W. Sim, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Financial Stability," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-101, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    17. Philippe Andrade & Jordi Gali & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Should the ECB Adjust its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?," Working papers 811, Banque de France.
    18. Lars E.O. Svensson, 2020. "Monetary Policy Strategies for the Federal Reserve," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(1), pages 133-193, February.
    19. Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela & Spitzer, Martin, 2022. "Lower for longer under endogenous technology growth," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2022, Bank of Finland.
    20. Sudiksha Joshi, 2020. "Reforming the State-Based Forward Guidance through Wage Growth Rate Threshold: Evidence from FRB/US Simulations," Papers 2008.08705, arXiv.org.
    21. Papell, David H. & Prodan-Boul, Ruxandra, 2024. "Policy rules and forward guidance following the Covid-19 recession," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    22. Porcellacchia, Davide, 2020. "The tipping point: interest rates and financial stability," Working Paper Series 2447, European Central Bank.
    23. Julien Matheron & Philippe Andrade & Hervé Le Bihan & Jordi Galí, 2017. "The Optimal Inflation Target and the Natural Rate of Interest," Working Papers 1009, Barcelona School of Economics.
    24. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2019. "Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target," NBER Working Papers 26279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. John B. Taylor, 2021. "Simple monetary rules: many strengths and few weaknesses," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 267-283, December.
    26. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022. "Shadow Rates as a Measure of the Monetary Policy Stance: Some International Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series 9839, CESifo.
    27. Stéphane Dupraz & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2022. "Make-up Strategies with Finite Planning Horizons but Forward-Looking Asset Prices," Working papers 862, Banque de France.
    28. Takuji Kawamoto & Jouchi Nakajima & Tomoaki Mikami, 2021. "Supplementary Paper Series for the "Assessment" (3): Inflation-Overshooting Commitment:An Analysis Using a Macroeconomic Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 21-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    29. Garabedian, Garo, 2025. "Star-struck; Monetary Policy and the Neutral Rate," Research Technical Papers 4/RT/25, Central Bank of Ireland.
    30. Andrade, Philippe & Galí, Jordi & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2021. "Should the ECB adjust its strategy in the face of a lower r★?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    31. Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," NBER Working Papers 32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2021. "Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment," CFS Working Paper Series 656, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    33. Martina Cecioni & Adriana Grasso & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2021. "Revisiting monetary policy objectives and strategies: international experience and challenges from the ELB," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    34. Pablo Aguilar & Luca Pensieroso, 2022. "Learning the Hard Way: Expectations and the U.S. Great Depression," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    35. Adjemian, Stéphane & Bokan, Nikola & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Müller, Georg & Zimic, Srečko, 2024. "ECB-(RE)BASE: Heterogeneity in expectation formation and macroeconomic dynamics," Working Paper Series 2965, European Central Bank.
    36. Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2021. "The anchoring of long-term inflation expectations of consumers: insights from a new survey," BIS Working Papers 936, Bank for International Settlements.
    37. D’Amico, Stefania & King, Thomas B., 2023. "What does anticipated monetary policy do?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 123-139.
    38. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019. "Tying down the anchor: monetary policy rules and the lower bound on interest rates," Staff Reports 887, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    39. Aldama Pierre & Gaulier Guillaume & Lemoine Matthieu & Robert Pierre-Antoine & Turunen Harri & Zhutova Anastasia, 2022. "The EA-BDF Model and Government Spending Multipliers in a Monetary Union," Working papers 883, Banque de France.
    40. Edouard Djeutem & Mario He & Abeer Reza & Yang Zhang, 2022. "Household Heterogeneity and the Performance of Monetary Policy Frameworks," Staff Working Papers 22-12, Bank of Canada.
    41. James A. Clouse, 2020. "Price Level Risk and Some Long-Run Implications of Alternative Monetary Policy Strategies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-094, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    42. Richard H. Clarida, 2024. "Perspectives on U.S. Monetary Policy and the Return to Price Stability," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(2), pages 1-16, April.
    43. Jonathan Goldberg & Elizabeth C. Klee & Edward Simpson Prescott & Paul R. Wood, 2020. "Monetary Policy Strategies and Tools: Financial Stability Considerations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-074, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    44. Jerome H. Powell, 2019. "Monetary Policy: Normalization and the Road Ahead : a speech at the 2019 SIEPR Economic Summit, Stanford Institute of Economic Policy Research, Stanford, California, March 8, 2019," Speech 1044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    45. Ben S. Bernanke, 2019. "Comment on "On the Empirical (Ir)relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2019, volume 34, pages 171-181, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    46. Lael Brainard, 2019. "Navigating Cautiously : a speech at the Julis-Rabinowitz Center for Public Policy and Finance and the Bendheim Center for Finance, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton ," Speech 1043, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    47. Mazelis, Falk & Motto, Roberto & Ristiniemi, Annukka, 2023. "Monetary policy strategies for the euro area: optimal rules in the presence of the ELB," Working Paper Series 2797, European Central Bank.
    48. Dupraz, Stéphane & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2024. "Make-up strategies with finite planning horizons but infinitely forward-looking asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    49. Carl E. Walsh, 2019. "Alternatives to Inflation Targeting in Low Interest Rate Environments," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-13, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    50. Vlieghe, Gertjan, 2022. "Demographics and other constraints on future monetary policy," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    51. Kurozumi, Takushi & Van Zandweghe, Willem, 2024. "Output-inflation trade-offs and the optimal inflation rate," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    52. Efraim Benmelech & Nitzan Tzur-Ilan, 2020. "The Determinants of Fiscal and Monetary Policies During the Covid-19 Crisis," NBER Working Papers 27461, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    53. Robert Amano & Stefano Gnocchi & Sylvain Leduc & Joel Wagner, 2020. "Average Is Good Enough: Average-Inflation Targeting and the ELB," Working Paper Series 2020-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    54. Matthieu Lemoine & Harri Turunen & Mohammed Chahad & Antoine Lepetit & Anastasia Zhutova & Pierre Aldama & Pierrick Clerc & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2019. "The FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission in France," Working papers 736, Banque de France.
    55. Olga Kuznetsova & Sergey Merzlyakov & Sergey Pekarski, 2019. "Confidence in future monetary policy as a way to overcome the liquidity trap," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 5(2), pages 117-135, July.
    56. Bodenstein, Martin & Hebden, James & Winkler, Fabian, 2022. "Learning and misperception of makeup strategies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    57. Martin Bodenstein & James Hebden & Fabian Winkler, 2019. "Learning and Misperception: Implications for Price-Level Targeting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-078, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    58. Adrian Penalver & Daniele Siena, 2021. "The Deflationary Bias of the ZLB and the FED s Strategic Response," Working papers 843, Banque de France.
    59. Haavio, Markus & Laine, Olli-Matti, 2021. "Monetary policy rules and the effective lower bound in the Euro area," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2021, Bank of Finland.
    60. Christensen, Jens H.E. & Spiegel, Mark M., 2022. "Monetary reforms and inflation expectations in Japan: Evidence from inflation-indexed bonds," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 410-431.
    61. James Hebden & Fabian Winkler, 2021. "Computation of Policy Counterfactuals in Sequence Space," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-042r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 01 Sep 2024.
    62. Andres Christian Admin De la Huerta Avila, 2024. "The Predictive Power of Central Bank Communication: Evidence from Mexico," Sobre México. Revista de Economía, Sobre México. Temas en economía, vol. 1(9), pages 83-127.
    63. Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Kienzler, Daniel & Röttger, Joost & Scheer, Alexander, 2021. "A comparison of monetary policy rules in an estimated TANK model," Technical Papers 05/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    64. Richard H. Clarida, 2022. "The Federal Reserve's New Framework: Context and Consequences," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-001, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    65. Erceg, Christopher J. & Jakab, Zoltan & Lindé, Jesper, 2021. "Monetary policy strategies for the European Central Bank," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    66. Mota, Paulo R. & Fernandes, Abel L.C., 2022. "Is the ECB already following albeit implicitly an average inflation targeting strategy?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 149-162.

  11. Michael T. Kiley, 2019. "The Global Equilibrium Real Interest Rate: Concepts, Estimates, and Challenges," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-076, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025. "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation, and the Price Level," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2024. "Rate Cycles," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2402, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    3. Matteo Cacciatore & Bruno Feunou & Galip Kemal Ozhan, 2024. "The Neutral Interest Rate: Past, Present and Future," Discussion Papers 2024-03, Bank of Canada.
    4. Brand, Claus & Goy, Gavin & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2021. "Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality," Working Paper Series 2612, European Central Bank.
    5. Carl-Johan Dalgaard & Morten Olsen, 2025. "Has the real rate of return “depreciated”?," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 49-85, March.
    6. Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Samer Shousha, 2021. "Supply of Sovereign Safe Assets and Global Interest Rates," International Finance Discussion Papers 1315, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Why Have Long-term Treasury Yields Fallen Since the 1980s? Expected Short Rates and Term Premiums in (Quasi-) Real Time," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Shousha, Samer, 2023. "Determinants of global neutral interest rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    9. Kevin J. Lansing, 2019. "Endogenous Forecast Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound," Working Paper Series 2017-24, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    10. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Richard Harrison & Rana Sajedi, 2022. "Decomposing the drivers of Global R," Bank of England working papers 990, Bank of England.
    11. Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," NBER Working Papers 32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Guizhou Wang & Kjell Hausken, 2022. "A Generalized Interest Rates Model with Scaling," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 143-150, September.
    13. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Fernandez-Gallardo, Alvaro, 2023. "Preventing financial disasters: Macroprudential policy and financial crises," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    15. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy Strategies to Foster Price Stability and a Strong Labor Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Goto, Eiji, 2023. "International comovement of r∗: A case study of the G7 countries," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    17. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-095, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    18. Marcin Bielecki & Aneta Błażejowska & Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Kamila Kuziemska-Pawlak & Grzegorz Szafrański, 2023. "Estimates and projections of the natural rate of interest for Poland and the euro area," NBP Working Papers 364, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    19. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.

  12. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the “New Normal” in Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-004, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Smets, Frank & Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2021. "Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment," CEPR Discussion Papers 16050, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Böhl, Gregor & Goy, Gavin & Strobel, Felix, 2020. "A structural investigation of quantitative easing," IMFS Working Paper Series 142, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    3. Naoko Hara & Ryuzo Miyao & Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, 2019. "The Effects of Asset Purchases and Normalization of US Monetary Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-16, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    4. Anna Bartocci & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2019. "Non-standard monetary policy measures in the new normal," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1251, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Robert Kurtzman & David Zeke, 2020. "Misallocation Costs of Digging Deeper into the Central Bank Toolkit," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 94-126, October.
    6. Gerke, Rafael & Kienzler, Daniel & Scheer, Alexander, 2022. "On the macroeconomic effects of reinvestments in asset purchase programmes," Discussion Papers 47/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    7. Dimitris Malliaropulos & Petros Migiakis, 2018. "Quantitative easing and sovereign bond yields: a global perspective," Working Papers 253, Bank of Greece.

  13. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Unemployment Risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Clark, Todd & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," CEPR Discussion Papers 17461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Dave Reifschneider & William Wascher & David Wilcox, 2015. "Aggregate Supply in the United States: Recent Developments and Implications for the Conduct of Monetary Policy," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 63(1), pages 71-109, May.
    3. Michael T. Kiley, 2021. "Growth at Risk From Climate Change," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  14. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "What Macroeconomic Conditions Lead Financial Crises?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Christopher J. Waller, 2023. "Climate Change and Financial Stability: A speech at At the IE University – Banco de España – Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Conference Current Challenges in Economics and Finance, Madrid, Spain May," Speech 96152, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Pascal Paul, 2023. "Historical Patterns of Inequality and Productivity around Financial Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(7), pages 1641-1665, October.
    3. Maarten R.C. Van Oordt, 2023. "Calibrating the Magnitude of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer Using Market‐Based Stress Tests," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(2-3), pages 465-501, March.
    4. Michael T. Kiley, 2023. "Recession Signals and Business Cycle Dynamics: Tying the Pieces Together," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-008, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Galstyan, Vahagn & Herzberg, Valerie, 2018. "External Balance Sheet Risks in Ireland," Financial Stability Notes 9/FS/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    6. Silver, Steven D. & Raseta, Marko & Bazarova, Alina, 2023. "Stochastic resonance in the recovery of signal from agent price expectations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    7. Michael T. Kiley, 2022. "Unemployment Risk," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(5), pages 1407-1424, August.
    8. Kirik, Alper & Ulusoy, Veysel, 2022. "Winds of tapering, financial gravity and COVID-19," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    9. Beltran, Daniel O. & Dalal, Vihar M. & Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R. & Paine, Fiona A., 2024. "Optimizing composite early warning indicators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

  15. Christopher J. Erceg & James Hebden & Michael T. Kiley & J. David López-Salido & Robert J. Tetlow, 2018. "Some Implications of Uncertainty and Misperception for Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

  16. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Morris, Stephen D., 2020. "Is the Taylor principle still valid when rates are low?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Debortoli, Davide & Galí, Jordi & Gambetti, Luca, 2018. "On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint," CEPR Discussion Papers 12691, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2020. "What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices," Working Paper Series 2018-03, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    4. Link, Thomas, 2019. "Optimal timing of calling in large-denomination banknotes under natural rate uncertainty," DICE Discussion Papers 327, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).
    5. Fabio Busetti & Stefano Neri & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2020. "Monetary policy strategies in the New Normal: a model-based analysis for the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1308, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Gauti B Eggertsson & Ragnar E Juelsrud & Lawrence H Summers & Ella Getz, 2024. "Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(4), pages 2201-2275.
    7. Grandi, Pietro & Guille, Marianne, 2023. "Banks, deposit rigidity and negative rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    8. Jerome H. Powell, 2019. "Opening Remarks : a speech at the \"Conference on Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communications Practices\" sponsored by the Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago, ," Speech 1070, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Pierre Jaillet & Benoît Mojon, 2018. "Les politiques d’objectifs des banques centrales en perspective," Revue française d'économie, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 21-61.
    10. Janice C. Eberly & James H. Stock & Jonathan H. Wright, 2020. "The Federal Reserve's Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(1), pages 5-71, February.
    11. Philip Coyle & Taisuke Nakata, 2019. "Optimal Inflation Target with Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Smets, Frank & Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2021. "Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment," CEPR Discussion Papers 16050, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Christian R. Proano & Benjamin Lojak, 2019. "Animal Spirits, Risk Premia and Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound," CAMA Working Papers 2019-73, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    14. Alessio Anzuini, 2020. "The non-linear effects of the Fed's asset purchases," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1280, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    15. Yunjong Eo & Denny Lie, 2020. "Changes in the Inflation Target and the Comovement between Inflation and the Nominal Interest Rate," Discussion Paper Series 2003, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    16. Eric T. Swanson, 2018. "The Federal Reserve Is Not Very Constrained by the Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 555-572.
    17. Jacopo Bonchi & Giacomo Caracciolo, 2021. "Declining natural interest rate in the US: the pension system matters," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1317, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    18. Christian P Pinshi, 2022. "Ciblage des prévisions d'inflation : Un nouveau cadre pour la politique monétaire ?," Working Papers hal-03548273, HAL.
    19. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : A speech at \"Fed Policy: A Shadow Review\" Cato Institute’s 37th Annual Monetary Conferenc," Speech 1104, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. James Hebden & J. David López-Salido, 2018. "From Taylor's Rule to Bernanke's Temporary Price Level Targeting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-051, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Daudignon, Sandra & Tristani, Oreste, 2023. "Monetary policy and the drifting natural rate of interest," Working Paper Series 2788, European Central Bank.
    22. Gerke, Rafael & Kienzler, Daniel & Scheer, Alexander, 2021. "Unconventional monetary policies at the effective lower bound," Technical Papers 03/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    23. Jonas E. Arias & Martin Bodenstein & Hess T. Chung & Thorsten Drautzburg & Andrea Raffo, 2020. "Alternative Strategies: How Do They Work? How Might They Help?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-068, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    24. Lael Brainard, 2018. "Navigating Monetary Policy as Headwinds Shift to Tailwinds : a speech at the Money Marketeers of New York University, New York, New York, March 6, 2018," Speech 993, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    25. Boris Hofmann & Marco J Lombardi & Benoit Mojon & Athanasios Orphanides, 2025. "Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interactions in a Low Interest Rate World," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 21(3), pages 69-110, July.
    26. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    27. Isabel Cairó & Jae W. Sim, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Financial Stability," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-101, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    28. Schelling, Tan & Towbin, Pascal, 2022. "What lies beneath—Negative interest rates and bank lending," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    29. Philippe Andrade & Jordi Gali & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Should the ECB Adjust its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?," Working papers 811, Banque de France.
    30. Fernando M. Duarte, 2016. "How to escape a liquidity trap with interest rate rules," Staff Reports 776, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    31. Louisa Kammerer & Miguel D. Ramirez, 2018. "Did Smaller Firms face Higher Costs of Credit during the Great Recession? A Vector Error Correction Analysis with Structural Breaks," Working Papers 1707, Trinity College, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2018.
    32. Philip Coyle & Taisuke Nakata, 2020. "Optimal Inflation Target with Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps," CARF F-Series CARF-F-485, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    33. Lars E.O. Svensson, 2020. "Monetary Policy Strategies for the Federal Reserve," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(1), pages 133-193, February.
    34. Curran, Michael & Dressler, Scott J., 2020. "Preferences, inflation, and welfare," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    35. Eo, Yunjong & Lie, Denny, 2019. "Average Inflation Targeting and Interest-Rate Smoothing," Working Papers 2019-15, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    36. Martin Seneca, 2020. "Risk Shocks and Monetary Policy in the New Normal," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(6), pages 185-232, December.
    37. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Ragnar E. Juelsrud & Ella Getz Wold, 2017. "Are Negative Nominal Interest Rates Expansionary?," NBER Working Papers 24039, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Porcellacchia, Davide, 2020. "The tipping point: interest rates and financial stability," Working Paper Series 2447, European Central Bank.
    39. Julien Matheron & Philippe Andrade & Hervé Le Bihan & Jordi Galí, 2017. "The Optimal Inflation Target and the Natural Rate of Interest," Working Papers 1009, Barcelona School of Economics.
    40. Shunsuke Haba & Kimihiko Izawa & Yui Kishaba & Yusuke Takahashi & Shunichi Yoneyama, 2025. "Measuring Policy Effects since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE): An Analysis Using the Macroeconomic Model Q-JEM," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 25-E-2, Bank of Japan.
    41. Eo, Yunjong & McClung, Nigel, 2021. "Determinacy and E-stability with interest rate rules at the zero lower bound," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2021, Bank of Finland.
    42. Selva Demiralp & Jens Eisenschmidt & Thomas Vlassopoulos, 2021. "Negative interest rates, excess liquidity and retail deposits: Banks’ reaction to unconventional monetary policy in the euro area," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1910, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    43. Hartmann, Philipp & Smets, Frank, 2018. "The first twenty years of the European Central Bank: monetary policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    44. Franta, Michal, 2021. "The Likelihood Of Effective Lower Bound Events," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(8), pages 2058-2079, December.
    45. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2019. "Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target," NBER Working Papers 26279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    46. Neri, Stefano & Gerali, Andrea, 2019. "Natural rates across the Atlantic," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    47. Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 235-316.
    48. Christian R. Proano & Benjamin Lojak, 2020. "Monetary Policy with a State-Dependent Inflation Target in a Behavioral Two-Country Monetary Union Model," CAMA Working Papers 2020-89, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    49. Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Christian Pfister, 2020. "Unconventional Monetary Policies: A Stock-Taking Exercise," Working Papers hal-04159708, HAL.
    50. Kevin J. Lansing, 2019. "Endogenous Forecast Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound," Working Paper Series 2017-24, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    51. Stefano Neri & Giuseppe Ferrero, 2017. "Monetary policy in a low interest rate environment," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 392, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    52. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe & Radke, Lucas, 2022. "Counter-cyclical fiscal rules and the zero lower bound," Working Paper Series 2715, European Central Bank.
    53. Dmitry Matveev, 2018. "Time-Consistent Management of a Liquidity Trap with Government Debt," 2018 Meeting Papers 310, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    54. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert, 2018. "Monetary policy with transitory vs. permanently low growth," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03404318, HAL.
    55. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve's Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices, a speech at \"The Bank of Finland Conference on Monetary Policy and Future of EMU [Economic and M," Speech 1075, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    56. Lael Brainard, 2018. "Sustaining Full Employment and Inflation around Target : a speech at the Forecasters Club of New York, New York, New York, May 31, 2018," Speech 1005, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    57. Hess T. Chung & Etienne Gagnon & Taisuke Nakata & Matthias Paustian & Bernd Schlusche & James Trevino & Diego Vilán & Wei Zheng, 2019. "Monetary Policy Options at the Effective Lower Bound : Assessing the Federal Reserve's Current Policy Toolkit," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-003, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    58. Ruchir Agarwal & Miles Kimball, 2019. "Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide," IMF Working Papers 2019/084, International Monetary Fund.
    59. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve's Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : a speech the 2019 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, sponsored by the Initiative on Global Markets at the Un," Speech 1038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    60. Stéphane Dupraz & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2022. "Make-up Strategies with Finite Planning Horizons but Forward-Looking Asset Prices," Working papers 862, Banque de France.
    61. Takuji Kawamoto & Jouchi Nakajima & Tomoaki Mikami, 2021. "Supplementary Paper Series for the "Assessment" (3): Inflation-Overshooting Commitment:An Analysis Using a Macroeconomic Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 21-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    62. Joshua Brault & Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean Gardy Victor, 2020. "Is Unconventional Monetary Policy Stabilizing? Evidence From the Great Recession and Recovery Years," Working Papers 20-15, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
    63. Kang, Kyu Ho & Do, Kyeongtak, 2024. "Korea’s neutral interest rate: Estimates, determinants, and monetary policy stance," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    64. Tatiana Kirsanova & Celsa Machado & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2020. "Tight and Loose, and Red and Blue: A 'Dance' of Macro Policies in the US," Working Papers 2020_14, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    65. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : A speech at \"Fed Listens: A Capstone Roundtable\" hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Ne," Speech 1062, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    66. Mojmir Hampl & Tomas Havranek, 2018. "Central Bank Capital as an Instrument of Monetary Policy," Working Papers IES 2018/25, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Oct 2018.
    67. Mitsuru Katagiri, 2022. "Equilibrium Yield Curve, the Phillips Curve, and Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(8), pages 2235-2272, December.
    68. Andrade, Philippe & Galí, Jordi & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2021. "Should the ECB adjust its strategy in the face of a lower r★?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    69. James S. Fackler & W. Douglas McMillin, 2018. "Nominal GDP versus Price Level Targeting: An Empirical Evaluation," Departmental Working Papers 2018-05, Department of Economics, Louisiana State University.
    70. Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," NBER Working Papers 32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    71. David Aikman & Kristina Bluwstein & Sudipto Karmakar, 2021. "A tail of three occasionally-binding constraints: a modelling approach to GDP-at-Risk," Bank of England working papers 931, Bank of England.
    72. Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2021. "Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment," CFS Working Paper Series 656, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    73. Maih, Junior & Mazelis, Falk & Motto, Roberto & Ristiniemi, Annukka, 2021. "Asymmetric monetary policy rules for the euro area and the US," Working Paper Series 2587, European Central Bank.
    74. Nakata, Taisuke & Ogaki, Ryota & Schmidt, Sebastian & Yoo, Paul, 2019. "Attenuating the forward guidance puzzle: Implications for optimal monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 90-106.
    75. Gauti Eggertsson & Sergey Egiev & Alessandro Lin & Josef Platzer & Luca Riva, 2021. "A Toolkit for Solving Models with a Lower Bound on Interest Rates of Stochastic Duration," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 41, pages 121-173, July.
    76. Sarah Goldman & Shouyi Zhang, 2021. "Monetary Policy within a COVID-19 Environment: The Role of Central Banks and the Main Challenges for the Euro-zone," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 2, pages 197-212, July.
    77. Martina Cecioni & Adriana Grasso & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2021. "Revisiting monetary policy objectives and strategies: international experience and challenges from the ELB," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    78. Yakov Ben‐Haim & Jan Willem Van den End, 2022. "Assessing uncertainty in the natural rate of interest: Info‐gap as guide for monetary policy in the euro area," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3228-3245, July.
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    86. Stefano Neri & Giuseppe Ferrero & Marco Gross, 2017. "On secular stagnation and low interest rates: demography matters," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1137, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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    95. Lael Brainard, 2019. "Navigating Cautiously : a speech at the Julis-Rabinowitz Center for Public Policy and Finance and the Bendheim Center for Finance, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton ," Speech 1043, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    105. Tomohide Mineyama & Wataru Hirata & Kenji Nishizaki, 2019. "Inflation and Social Welfare in a New Keynesian Model: The Case of Japan and the U.S," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-10, Bank of Japan.
    106. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Pandemic Recession Dynamics: The Role of Monetary Policy in Shifting a U-Shaped Recession to a V-Shaped Rebound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    107. PINSHI, Christian P., 2022. "Inflation-Forecast Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy?," MPRA Paper 111709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    108. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "Monetary Policy, Price Stability, and Equilibrium Bond Yields: Success and Consequences : a speech at the High-Level Conference on Global Risk, Uncertainty, And Volatility, co-sponsored by the Bank fo," Speech 1102, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    109. Kurt F. Lewis & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2017. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest : A Note on Transitory Shocks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    110. Fernando M. Duarte & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Leonardo Melosi & Taisuke Nakata, 2020. "Strengthening the FOMC’s Framework in View of the Effective Lower Bound and Some Considerations Related to Time-Inconsistent Strategies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    111. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.
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    114. Jacopo Bonchi & Guido Caracciolo, 2022. "Declining US Natural Interest Rate: Quantifying and Qualifying the Role of Pensions," Working Papers 506, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2022.
    115. Rufus Adebayo AJISAFE & Kazeem FASOYE & Musbau Olaniyan FATAI & Folorunsho M. AJIDE, 2022. "Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty in Nigeria: A Markov-Switching Dynamic Approach," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, vol. 55(2(64)), pages 113-128, December.
    116. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "Sustaining Maximum Employment and Price Stability : a speech at the Economic Club of New York, New York, New York, May 30, 2019," Speech 1067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    117. Gerke, Rafael & Kienzler, Daniel & Scheer, Alexander, 2022. "On the macroeconomic effects of reinvestments in asset purchase programmes," Discussion Papers 47/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    118. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.
    119. Stephen Williamson, 2019. "Neo-Fisherism and inflation control," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 52(3), pages 882-913, August.
    120. Stefano Neri & Stefano Siviero, 2019. "The non-standard monetary policy measures of the ECB: motivations, effectiveness and risks," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 486, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    121. Adrian Penalver & Daniele Siena, 2021. "The Deflationary Bias of the ZLB and the FED s Strategic Response," Working papers 843, Banque de France.
    122. Grzelak, Aleksander, 2023. "Return on Assets in Farms and the Context of Economic Rationality in Poland and Selected European Union Countries," Roczniki (Annals), Polish Association of Agricultural Economists and Agribusiness - Stowarzyszenie Ekonomistow Rolnictwa e Agrobiznesu (SERiA), vol. 2023(4).
    123. Haavio, Markus & Laine, Olli-Matti, 2021. "Monetary policy rules and the effective lower bound in the Euro area," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2021, Bank of Finland.
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    135. Corbisiero, Giuseppe, 2018. "Monetary policy regimes and the lower bound on interest rates," Economic Letters 6/EL/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
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  17. David Aikman & Michael T. Kiley & Seung Jung Lee & Michael G. Palumbo & Missaka Warusawitharana, 2015. "Mapping Heat in the U.S. Financial System," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-59, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Mary Chen & Matthew DeHaven & Isabel Kitschelt & Seung Jung Lee & Martin J. Sicilian, 2023. "Identifying Financial Crises Using Machine Learning on Textual Data," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-28, March.
    2. Stanley Fischer, 2017. "An Assessment of Financial Stability in the United States : a speech at the IMF Workshop on Financial Surveillance and Communication: Best Practices from Latin America, the Caribbean, and Advanced Eco," Speech 960, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Gernát, Peter & Košťálová, Zuzana & Lyócsa, Štefan, 2020. "What drives U.S. financial sector volatility? A Bayesian model averaging perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    4. Rozite, Kristiana & Bezemer, Dirk J. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2019. "Towards a financial cycle for the U.S., 1973–2014," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Murat Cakir, 2017. "A conceptual design of "what and how should a proper macro-prudential policy framework be?" A globalistic approach to systemic risk and procuring the data needed," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Uses of central balance sheet data offices' information, volume 45, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Stephen Burgess & Richard Galletly & Iren Levina & Cian O'Neill & Alexandra Varadi, 2018. "Measuring risks to UK financial stability," Bank of England working papers 738, Bank of England.
    7. Alpanda, Sami & Granziera, Eleonora & Zubairy, Sarah, 2019. "State dependence of monetary policy across business, credit and interest rate cycles," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2019, Bank of Finland.
    8. Caporin, Massimiliano & Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Jimenez-Martin, Juan-Angel, 2021. "TrAffic LIght system for systemic Stress: TALIS3," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    9. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "What Macroeconomic Conditions Lead Financial Crises?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Lilit Popoyan & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2019. "Winter is possibly not coming: mitigating financial instability in an agent-based model with interbank market," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403274, HAL.
    11. Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Sarah Quincy, 2024. "Aggregate debt servicing and the limit on private credit," BIS Working Papers 1235, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Dieckelmann, Daniel, 2020. "Cross-border lending and the international transmission of banking crises," Discussion Papers 2020/13, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    13. Bengtsson, Elias & Grothe, Magdalena & Lepers, Etienne, 2017. "Home, safe home: cross-country monitoring framework for vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector," Working Paper Series 2096, European Central Bank.
    14. W. Blake Marsh & David Rodziewicz & Rajdeep Sengupta, 2024. "Examining the Financial Accelerator: Bank Responses to the 2014 Oil Price Shock," Research Working Paper RWP 24-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    15. David Aikman & Andreas Lehnert & J. Nellie Liang & Michele Modugno, 2016. "Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-055, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Scott A. Brave & Jose A. Lopez, 2019. "Calibrating Macroprudential Policy to Forecasts of Financial Stability," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(1), pages 1-59, March.
    17. Rachel Lukasz & Jack Fisher, 2016. "Assessing vulnerabilities to financial shocks in some key global economies," Bank of England working papers 636, Bank of England.
    18. Lieven Baele & Geert Bekaert & Koen Inghelbrecht & Min Wei, 2014. "Flights to Safety," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-46, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Yao, Fang, 2022. "Estimating the Trend of the House Price to Income Ratio in Ireland," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/22, Central Bank of Ireland.
    20. Tatjana Dahlhaus & Alexander Lam, 2018. "Assessing Vulnerabilities in Emerging-Market Economies," Discussion Papers 18-13, Bank of Canada.
    21. Mary Chen & Matthew DeHaven & Isabel Kitschelt & Seung Jung Lee & Martin Sicilian, 2023. "Identifying Financial Crises Using Machine Learning on Textual Data," International Finance Discussion Papers 1374, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    22. Lepers, Etienne & Sánchez Serrano, Antonio, 2020. "Decomposing financial (in)stability in emerging economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    23. Carmen Broto & Mariya Melnychuk, 2022. "Structural risk indicators for the Spanish banking sector," Financial Stability Review, Banco de España, issue Autumn.
    24. Colleen Baker & Christine M. Cumming & Julapa Jagtiani, 2017. "The Impacts Of Financial Regulations: Solvency And Liquidity In The Post-Crisis Period," Working Papers 17-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    25. Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis & Mike G. Tsionas, 2021. "A Bayesian panel stochastic volatility measure of financial stability," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5363-5384, October.
    26. John V. Duca & Lilit Popoyan & Susan M. Wachter, 2019. "Real Estate And The Great Crisis: Lessons For Macroprudential Policy," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 37(1), pages 121-137, January.
    27. Joe McLaughlin & Adam Minson & Nathan Palmer & Eric Parolin, 2018. "The OFR Financial System Vulnerabilities Monitor," Working Papers 18-01, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    28. Nicu Sprincean, 2019. "Early Warning Indicators For Macrofinancial Activity In Romania," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 23, pages 137-162, June.
    29. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-095, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    30. Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    31. Eliana Lauretta & Sajid M. Chaudhry & Daniel Santamaria, 2023. "Unveiling the black swan of the finance‐growth Nexus: Assumptions and preliminary evidence of virtuous and unvirtuous cycles," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3749-3773, October.
    32. Eduardo C. Castro, 2020. "RegGae: a toolkit for macroprudential policy with DSGEs," Working Papers Series 526, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    33. Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Engle, Robert F. & Fahr, Stephan & Kremer, Manfred & Manganelli, Simone & Schwaab, Bernd, 2021. "The risk management approach to macro-prudential policy," Working Paper Series 2565, European Central Bank.
    34. Hessler, Andrew, 2023. "Unobserved components model estimates of credit cycles: Tests and predictions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    35. Li Shang & Biao Zhou & Jiannan Li & Decai Tang & Valentina Boamah & Zhiwei Pan, 2024. "Evaluating financial fragility: a case study of Chinese banking and finance systems," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-9, December.
    36. Khuderchuluun Batsukh & Nicolas Groshenny & Naveed Javed, 2025. "Monetary Policy Transmission and Household Indebtedness in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2025-13, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    37. Duncan, Elizabeth & Horvath, Akos & Iercosan, Diana & Loudis, Bert & Maddrey, Alice & Martinez, Francis & Mooney, Timothy & Ranish, Ben & Wang, Ke & Warusawitharana, Missaka & Wix, Carlo, 2022. "COVID-19 as a stress test: Assessing the bank regulatory framework," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    38. Marcin Pietrzak, 2021. "Can Financial Soundness Indicators Help Predict Financial Sector Distress?," IMF Working Papers 2021/197, International Monetary Fund.
    39. Paolo Giordani & Simon H. Kwan, 2019. "Tracking Financial Fragility," Working Paper Series 2019-6, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    40. Beltran, Daniel O. & Dalal, Vihar M. & Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R. & Paine, Fiona A., 2024. "Optimizing composite early warning indicators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    41. Juan Francisco Martínez & Daniel Oda, 2018. "Characterization of the Chilean Financial Cycle, Early Warning Indicators and Implications for Macro-Prudential Policies," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 823, Central Bank of Chile.
    42. Caporin, Massimiliano & Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Jimenez-Martin, Juan-Angel, 2022. "Measuring systemic risk during the COVID-19 period: A TALIS3 approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    43. Lee, Seung Jung & Posenau, Kelly E. & Stebunovs, Viktors, 2020. "The anatomy of financial vulnerabilities and banking crises," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).

  18. Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "Low Inflation in the United States : A Summary of Recent Research," FEDS Notes 2015-11-23, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    2. Kabundi, Alain & Poon, Aubrey & Wu, Ping, 2023. "A time-varying Phillips curve with global factors: Are global factors important?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Peter Hooper & Frederic S. Mishkin & Amir Sufi, 2019. "Prospects for Inflation in a High Pressure Economy: Is the Phillips Curve Dead or is It Just Hibernating?," NBER Working Papers 25792, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "Monetary Policy in the Grip of a Pincer Movement," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Álvaro Aguirre & Markus Brunnermeier & Diego Saravia (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Transmission Mechanisms and Policy Implications, edition 1, volume 26, chapter 10, pages 311-356, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Thomas R. Michl, 2018. "Hysteresis in a Three-Equation Model," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 44(2), pages 305-322, April.
    6. Wellmann, Susanne, 2023. "The Phillips curve in the euro area: New evidence using country-level data," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 156, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    7. James Hebden & J. David López-Salido, 2018. "From Taylor's Rule to Bernanke's Temporary Price Level Targeting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-051, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Robert J. Tetlow, 2022. "How Large is the Output Cost of Disinflation?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-079, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Jerome H. Powell, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Risk Management at a Time of Low Inflation and Low Unemployment: a speech at \"Revolution or Evolution? Reexamining Economic Paradigms\" 60th Annual Meeting of the Nation," Speech 1013, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Lael Brainard, 2018. "Navigating Monetary Policy as Headwinds Shift to Tailwinds : a speech at the Money Marketeers of New York University, New York, New York, March 6, 2018," Speech 993, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Daniele Siena & Riccardo Zago, 2021. "Job Polarization and the Flattening of the Price Phillips Curve," Working papers 819, Banque de France.
    12. Olivier J. Blanchard, 2016. "The US Phillips Curve: Back to the 60s?," Policy Briefs PB16-1, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    13. Stefan Laseen & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2016. "Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?," IMF Working Papers 2016/126, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Franz Xaver Zobl & Martin Ertl, 2021. "The Condemned Live Longer – New Evidence of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Central and Eastern Europe," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 671-699, September.
    15. Hooper, Peter & Mishkin, Frederic S. & Sufi, Amir, 2020. "Prospects for inflation in a high pressure economy: Is the Phillips curve dead or is it just hibernating?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 26-62.
    16. Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Christian Pfister, 2020. "Unconventional Monetary Policies: A Stock-Taking Exercise," Working Papers hal-04159708, HAL.
    17. Brent Meyer & Xuguang Sheng, 2024. "Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-12b, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    18. Conti, Antonio M., 2021. "Resurrecting the Phillips Curve in Low-Inflation Times," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 172-195.
    19. Martina Jašová & Richhild Moessner & Előd Takáts, 2018. "Domestic and Global Output Gaps as Inflation Drivers: What Does the Phillips Curve Tell?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7337, CESifo.
    20. Ugo Panizza & Charles Wyplosz, 2018. "The Folk Theorem of Decreasing Effectiveness of Monetary Policy: What Do the Data Say?," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(1), pages 71-107, March.
    21. Christopher J. Erceg & James Hebden & Michael T. Kiley & J. David López-Salido & Robert J. Tetlow, 2018. "Some Implications of Uncertainty and Misperception for Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    22. Lael Brainard, 2017. "Why Persistent Employment Disparities Matter for the Economy's Health : a speech at \"Disparities in the Labor Market: What Are We Missing?\" a research conference sponsored by the Board of ," Speech 970, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. Yhlas SOVBETOV, 2019. "Phillips Curve Estimation During Tranquil and Recessionary Periods: Evidence From Panel Analysis," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 69(1), pages 23-41, June.
    24. Michael Kumhof & Xuan Wang, 2018. "Banks, money and the zero lower bound on deposit rates," Bank of England working papers 752, Bank of England.
    25. Andrea Ajello & Isabel Cairó & Vasco Curdia & Thomas A. Lubik & Albert Queraltó, 2020. "Monetary Policy Tradeoffs and the Federal Reserve's Dual Mandate," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-066, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    26. Lael Brainard, 2017. "Navigating the Different Signals from Inflation and Unemployment : a speech at the New York Association for Business Economics, New York, New York, May 30, 2017," Speech 954, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    27. Jerome H. Powell, 2018. "Monetary policy and risk management at a time of low inflation and low unemployment," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 173-183, October.
    28. Jeremy J. Nalewaik, 2016. "Inflation Expectations and the Stabilization of Inflation : Alternative Hypotheses," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-035, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    29. Granville, Brigitte & Zeng, Ning, 2019. "Time variation in inflation persistence: New evidence from modelling US inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 30-39.
    30. Andersson, Fredrik N.G. & Jonung, Lars, 2020. "Lessons from the Swedish Experience with Negative Central Bank Rates," Working Papers 2020:15, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    31. Busato, Francesco & Varlese, Monica & Ulloa Severino, Claudia, 2022. "Public debt heterogeneity at country level: an empirical analysis," MPRA Paper 113812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2018. "La política monetaria cercada por un movimiento de pinzas," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(2), pages 004-044, August.
    33. Juan Carlos Berganza & Pedro del Río & Fructuoso Borrallo, 2016. "Determinants and implications of low global inflation rates," Occasional Papers 1608, Banco de España.
    34. Gent Bajraj & Guillermo Carlomagno & Juan M. Wlasiuk, 2023. "Where is the Inflation? The Diverging Patterns of Prices of Goods and Services," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 969, Central Bank of Chile.
    35. Harashima, Taiji, 2018. "Why Are Inflation and Real Interest Rates So Low? A Mechanism of Low and Floating Real Interest and Inflation Rates," MPRA Paper 84311, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    36. Lei Lv & Zhixin Liu & Yingying Xu, 2019. "Technological progress, globalization and low-inflation: Evidence from the United States," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(4), pages 1-19, April.
    37. Jerome H. Powell, 2018. "Monetary Policy in a Changing Economy: a speech at \"Changing Market Structure and Implications for Monetary Policy,\" a symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jacks," Speech 1010, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  19. Luca Guerrieri & Matteo Iacoviello & Francisco Covas & John C. Driscoll & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Michael Kiley & Albert Queraltoy & Jae Sim, 2015. "Macroeconomic Effects of Banking Sector Losses across Structural Models," BIS Working Papers 507, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Fève & Pablo Garcia Sanchez & Alban Moura & Olivier Pierrard, 2019. "Costly Default And Asymmetric Real Business Cycles," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2019018, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    2. Gulan, Adam & Jokivuolle, Esa & Verona, Fabio, 2022. "Optimal bank capital requirements: What do the macroeconomic models say?," BoF Economics Review 2/2022, Bank of Finland.
    3. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Joe Cho Yiu Ng, 2018. "Macro Aspects of Housing," Globalization Institute Working Papers 340, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    4. Matthieu Darracq Paries, 2018. "Financial frictions and monetary policy conduct," Erudite Ph.D Dissertations, Erudite, number ph18-01 edited by Ferhat Mihoubi, September.
    5. Yoo, Jinhyuk, 2017. "Capital injection to banks versus debt relief to households," IMFS Working Paper Series 111, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    6. Jhuvesh Sobrun & Philip Turner, 2015. "Bond markets and monetary policy dilemmas for the emerging markets," BIS Working Papers 508, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Hirschbühl, Dominik & Krustev, Georgi & Stoevsky, Grigor, 2020. "Financial drivers of the euro area business cycle: a DSGE-based approach," Working Paper Series 2475, European Central Bank.
    8. Ambrocio, Gene & Hasan, Iftekhar & Jokivuolle, Esa & Ristolainen, Kim, 2020. "Are bank capital requirements optimally set? Evidence from researchers' views," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2020, Bank of Finland.
    9. Gete, Pedro, 2018. "Lending standards and macroeconomic dynamics," Working Paper Series 2207, European Central Bank.
    10. David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Anil Kashyap & Caspar Siegert, 2019. "Would Macroprudential Regulation Have Prevented the Last Crisis?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 33(1), pages 107-130, Winter.
    11. Hamed Ghiaie, 2017. "Credit Crunch On Financial Intermediary," THEMA Working Papers 2017-09, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    12. David Aikman & Kristina Bluwstein & Sudipto Karmakar, 2021. "A tail of three occasionally-binding constraints: a modelling approach to GDP-at-Risk," Bank of England working papers 931, Bank of England.
    13. Júlio, Paulo & Maria, José R., 2024. "The magnifying role of the banking sector during depressions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Wieland, Volker & Afanasyeva, Elena & Kuete, Meguy & Yoo, Jinhyuk, 2016. "New methods for macro-financial model comparison and policy analysis," IMFS Working Paper Series 107, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    15. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Jacquinot, Pascal & Papadopoulou, Niki, 2016. "Parsing financial fragmentation in the euro area: a multi-country DSGE perspective," Working Paper Series 1891, European Central Bank.
    16. Meeks, Roland, 2017. "Capital regulation and the macroeconomy: Empirical evidence and macroprudential policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 125-141.
    17. Matthieu Darracq Paries & Pascal Jacquinot & Niki Papadopoulou, 2016. "Parsing Financial Frictions Underlying Bank Lending Fragmentation during the Euro Area Crisis," Working Papers 2016-7, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    18. Patrick Fève & Pablo Garcia Sanchez & Alban Moura & Olivier Pierrard, 2021. "Costly default and skewed business cycle," Post-Print hal-03346173, HAL.
    19. Matthieu Darracq Paries & Peter Karadi & Christoffer Kok & Kalin Nikolov, 2022. "The Impact of Capital Requirements on the Macroeconomy: Lessons from Four Macroeconomic Models of the Euro Area," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(5), pages 1-50, December.

  20. Michael T. Kiley & Jae W. Sim, 2015. "Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies: Gains and Pitfalls in a Model of Financial Intermediation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-78, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Alejandro Torres-García & Carlos A. Ballesteros-Ruiz & Alfredo Villca-Condori, 2020. "Bank procyclicality, business cycles and capital requirements," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(2), pages 152-169, June.
    2. Mendicino, Caterina & Nikolov, Kalin & Suarez, Javier & Supera, Dominik, 2019. "Bank capital in the short and in the long run," Working Paper Series 2286, European Central Bank.
    3. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Jackson, Timothy & Jia, Pengfei, 2021. "Macroprudential policy coordination in a currency union," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. Divino, Jose Angelo & Haraguchi, Carlos, 2022. "Monetary Policy And Reserve Requirements In A Small Open Economy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(4), pages 1073-1106, June.
    5. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Jackson, Timothy P., 2022. "Monetary and macroprudential policy coordination with biased preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    6. Benchimol, Jonathan & Bozou, Caroline, 2024. "Desirable banking competition and stability," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    7. Emmanuel Carré & Jézabel Couppey-Soubeyran & Salim Dehmej, 2015. "La coordination entre politique monétaire et politique macroprudentielle. Que disent les modèles DSGE ?," Post-Print hal-01299318, HAL.
    8. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva, 2019. "Global Banking, Financial Spillovers, and Macroprudential Policy Coordination," BIS Working Papers 764, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Sim, Khai Zhi, 2023. "Monetary and fiscal coordination in preventing bank failures and financial contagion," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    10. Deng, Qiu Shi & Alvarado, Rafael & Cheng, Fang Nan & Cuesta, Lizeth & Wang, Chun Bao & Pinzón, Stefania, 2023. "Long-run mechanism for house price regulation in China: Real estate tax, monetary policy or macro-prudential policy?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 174-186.
    11. François Gourio & Anil K. Kashyap & Jae W. Sim, 2017. "The Tradeoffs in Leaning Against the Wind," Working Paper Series WP-2017-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    12. Jenny Körner, 2018. "Financial Intermediation, the Mortgage Market, and Macroprudential Regulation," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 64(1), pages 50-77.
    13. Cho Daeha & Mok Junghwan & Shim Myungkyu, 2021. "Leaning-Against-the-Wind: Which Policy and When?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 125-150, January.

  21. Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "What Can the Data Tell Us About the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-77, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Breach, Tomas & D’Amico, Stefania & Orphanides, Athanasios, 2020. "The term structure and inflation uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(2), pages 388-414.
    2. Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2016. "A Time Series Model of Interest Rates With the Effective Lower Bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2017. "Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle and Ultra-low Interest Rates," PIER Discussion Papers 55, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    4. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2020. "What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices," Working Paper Series 2018-03, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    5. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025. "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation, and the Price Level," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2016. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants," Working Paper Series 2016-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    7. Brandyn Bok & Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Eric Qian & Andrea Tambalotti, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Liberty Street Economics 20190227, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    8. John B. Taylor & Volker Wieland, 2016. "Finding the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate in a Fog of Policy Deviations," Economics Working Papers 16109, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
    9. Stanley Fischer, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, and the Zero Lower Bound : a speech at the Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, San Francisco, California, January 3, 2016," Speech 886, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2017. "Why so low for so long? A long-term view of real interest rates," BIS Working Papers 685, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2018. "The Rise and Fall of the Natural Interest Rate," Working Paper series 18-29, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    12. Carrillo Julio A. & Elizondo Rocío & Rodríguez-Pérez Cid Alonso & Roldán-Peña Jessica, 2018. "What Determines the Neutral Rate of Interest in an Emerging Economy?," Working Papers 2018-22, Banco de México.
    13. Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Samer Shousha, 2021. "Supply of Sovereign Safe Assets and Global Interest Rates," International Finance Discussion Papers 1315, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Kan Chen & Nathaniel Karp, 2018. "Natural interest rates in the U.S., Canada and Mexico," Working Papers 18/07, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    15. Kevin Rennert & Brian C. Prest & William A. Pizer & Richard G. Newell & David Anthoff & Cora Kingdon & Lisa Rennels & Roger Cooke & Adrian E. Raftery & Hana Sevcikova & Frank Errickson, 2021. "The Social Cost of Carbon: Advances in Long-Term Probabilistic Projections of Population, GDP, Emissions, and Discount Rates," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 52(2 (Fall)), pages 223-305.
    16. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2020. "The Rising Cost of Climate Change: Evidence from the Bond Market," Working Paper Series 2020-25, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    17. Beyer, Robert & Milivojevic, Lazar, 2021. "Dynamics and synchronization of global equilibrium interest rates," IMFS Working Paper Series 146, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    18. Campbell Leith & Eric Leeper, 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon," Working Papers 2016_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    19. Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Shousha, Samer, 2023. "Determinants of global neutral interest rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    20. Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc P. Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 235-316.
    21. Etienne Gagnon & Benjamin K. Johannsen & David López-Salido, 2021. "Understanding the New Normal: The Role of Demographics," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(2), pages 357-390, June.
    22. Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2015. "Measuring the natural rate of interest redux," Working Paper Series 2015-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    23. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    24. Garabedian, Garo, 2025. "Star-struck; Monetary Policy and the Neutral Rate," Research Technical Papers 4/RT/25, Central Bank of Ireland.
    25. Aditya Aladangady & Etienne Gagnon & Benjamin K. Johannsen & William B. Peterman, 2021. "Macroeconomic Implications of Inequality and Income Risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-073, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    26. Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," NBER Working Papers 32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Taeyoung Doh, 2017. "Trend and Uncertainty in the Long-Term Real Interest Rate: Bayesian Exponential Tilting with Survey Data," Research Working Paper RWP 17-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    28. Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2018. "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model-based output gap estimates," IMFS Working Paper Series 121, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    29. Krustev, Georgi, 2018. "The natural rate of interest and the financial cycle," Working Paper Series 2168, European Central Bank.
    30. Zhang, Ren & Martínez-García, Enrique & Wynne, Mark A. & Grossman, Valerie, 2021. "Ties that bind: Estimating the natural rate of interest for small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    31. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    32. Ansgar Belke & Jens Klose, 2017. "Equilibrium Real Interest Rates and Secular Stagnation: An Empirical Analysis for Euro Area Member Countries," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(6), pages 1221-1238, November.
    33. Goto, Eiji, 2023. "International comovement of r∗: A case study of the G7 countries," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    34. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Evangelia A. Georgiou, 2022. "The effects of Federal Reserve's quantitative easing and balance sheet normalization policies on long-term interest rates," Working Papers 299, Bank of Greece.
    35. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-095, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    36. Luis Ceballos & Jens H. E. Christensen & Damian Romero, 2024. "A Post-Pandemic New Normal for Interest Rates in Emerging Bond Markets? Evidence from Chile," Working Paper Series 2024-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    37. Andrea Berardi & Michael Markovich & Alberto Plazzi & Andrea Tamoni, 2019. "Mind the (Convergence) Gap: Bond Predictability Strikes Back!," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-52, Swiss Finance Institute.
    38. Reuven Glick, 2019. "R* and the Global Economy," Working Paper Series 2019-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    39. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Pandemic Recession Dynamics: The Role of Monetary Policy in Shifting a U-Shaped Recession to a V-Shaped Rebound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    40. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "What anchors for the natural rate of interest?," BIS Working Papers 777, Bank for International Settlements.
    41. Lael Brainard, 2015. "Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy : a speech at the \"North America's Place in a Changing World Economy,\" 57th National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C," Speech 869, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    42. NAKAJIMA, Jouchi & SUDO, Nao & HOGEN, Yoshihiko & TAKIZUKA, Yasutaka, 2023. "On the estimation of the natural yield curve," Discussion Paper Series 753, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    43. Lange, Ronald H., 2017. "The expected real yield and inflation components of the nominal yield curve," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1-18.
    44. Jung, Alexander, 2024. "The quantity theory of money, 1870-2020," Working Paper Series 2940, European Central Bank.
    45. Kurt F. Lewis & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2017. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest : A Note on Transitory Shocks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    46. Mikkel Barslund & Lars Ludolph, 2019. "Could the decrease in Belgian government debt-servicing costs offset increased age-related expenditure?," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 43(3), pages 225-246.
    47. Leeper, E.M. & Leith, C., 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary–Fiscal Phenomenon," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2305-2415, Elsevier.
    48. Fu, Bowen, 2023. "Measuring the trend real interest rate in a data-rich environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    49. Alex Aronovich & Andrew C. Meldrum, 2021. "High-Frequency Estimates of the Natural Real Rate and Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-034, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    50. Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 31 May 2024.

  22. David Aikman & Michael T. Kiley & Seung Jung Lee & Michael G. Palumbo & Missaka Warusawitharana, 2015. "Mapping Heat in the U.S. Financial System: A Summary," FEDS Notes 2015-08-05, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Tihana Skrinjaric, 2023. "Introducing a composite indicator of cyclical systemic risk in Croatia: possibilities and limitations," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 47(1), pages 1-39.

  23. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Policy Paradoxes in the New Keynesian Model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Bilbiie, Florin, 2016. "Optimal Forward Guidance," CEPR Discussion Papers 11251, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Policy Paradoxes in the New Keynesian Model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "The Effect of ECB Forward Guidance on Policy Expectations," Working Papers 2016-12, CRESE.
    4. Dario Bonciani & Joonseok Oh, 2021. "Revisiting the New Keynesian policy paradoxes under QE," Bank of England working papers 908, Bank of England.
    5. William T. Gavin & Benjamin D. Keen & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2013. "The stimulative effect of forward guidance," Working Papers 2013-38, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    6. Böhl, Gregor & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2021. "The hockey stick Phillips curve and the zero lower bound," IMFS Working Paper Series 153, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    7. Hafedh Bouakez & Michel Guillard & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2014. "Public Investment, Time to Buid, and the Zero Lower Bound," Working Papers 2014-03, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    8. Gopal K. Basak & Mrinal K. Ghosh & Diganta Mukherjee, 2019. "A Stochastic Model with Inflation, Growth and Technology for the Political Business Cycle," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(1), pages 125-140, January.
    9. Yihao Xue & Qiaoyu Liang & Bing Tong, 2022. "The Effects of Energy Supply Shocks and Interest Rate Liberalization in China," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2022/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    10. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin S. Eichenbaum & Mathias Trabandt, 2018. "On DSGE Models," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 113-140, Summer.
    11. Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2017. "The Government Spending Multiplier in a (Mis-)Managed Liquidity Trap," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 17.04, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
    12. Gaballo, Gaetano & Andrade, Philippe & Mengus, Eric & Mojon, Benoit, 2018. "Forward Guidance and Heterogeneous Beliefs," CEPR Discussion Papers 12650, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Bing Tong & Guang Yang, 2020. "A Fixed-Interest-Rate New Keynesian Model of China," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2020/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    14. Yangyang Ji, 2019. "Are Supply-side Reforms Contractionary at the Zero Lower Bound?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 65(1), pages 68-83.
    15. George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2018. "Forward Guidance without Common Knowledge," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(9), pages 2477-2512, September.
    16. Christian Bredemeier & Andreas Schabert & Christoph Kaufmann, 2018. "Interest Rate Spreads and Forward Guidance," 2018 Meeting Papers 491, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Cochrane, John H., 2017. "The new-Keynesian liquidity trap," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 47-63.
    18. Timothy S. Hills & Taisuke Nakata, 2018. "Fiscal Multipliers at the Zero Lower Bound: The Role of Policy Inertia," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 155-172, February.
    19. Rodríguez Arosemena, Nicolás, 2018. "The Dominium Mundi Game and the Case for Artificial Intelligence in Economics and the Law," MPRA Paper 90560, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Gauti Eggertsson & Vaishali Garga, 2018. "Sticky Prices versus Sticky Information: Does It Matter For Policy Paradoxes?," 2018 Meeting Papers 577, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    21. Sushant Acharya, 2014. "Costly information, planning complementarities and the Phillips Curve," Staff Reports 698, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    22. Agustín Arias & Benjamín García & Ignacio Rojas, 2023. "Forward Guidance: Estimating a Behavioral DSGE Model with System Priors," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 994, Central Bank of Chile.
    23. Haberis, Alex & Harrison, Richard & Waldron, Matt, 2019. "Uncertain policy promises," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 459-474.
    24. Cole, Stephen J. & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2023. "The effect of central bank credibility on forward guidance in an estimated New Keynesian model," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(2), pages 532-570, March.
    25. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Alejandro Justiniano & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Forward Guidance and Macroeconomic Outcomes Since the Financial Crisis," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016, Volume 31, pages 283-357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Böhl, Gregor & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2021. "The hockey stick Phillips curve and the effective lower bound," Discussion Papers 55/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    27. Christoffel, Kai & Mazelis, Falk & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Müller, Tobias, 2020. "Disciplining expectations and the forward guidance puzzle," Working Paper Series 2424, European Central Bank.
    28. Filippo Ferroni, 2018. "Delphic and Odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro-area," 2018 Meeting Papers 60, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    29. Diba, Behzad & Loisel, Olivier, 2021. "Pegging the interest rate on bank reserves: A resolution of New Keynesian puzzles and paradoxes," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 230-244.
    30. Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Scheer, Alexander, 2020. "The power of forward guidance in a quantitative TANK model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    31. Ehrmann, Michael & Gaballo, Gaetano & Hoffmann, Peter & Strasser, Georg, 2019. "Can more public information raise uncertainty? The international evidence on forward guidance," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 93-112.
    32. Benjamin D. Keen & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2017. "Forward Guidance And The State Of The Economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(4), pages 1593-1624, October.
    33. de Groot, Oliver & Mazelis, Falk, 2020. "Mitigating the forward guidance puzzle: inattention, credibility, finite planning horizons and learning," Working Paper Series 2426, European Central Bank.
    34. Richhild Moessner & David-Jan Jansen & Jakob de Haan, 2017. "Communication About Future Policy Rates In Theory And Practice: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 678-711, July.
    35. Adam, Felix & Matthes, Jürgen, 2018. "Zur Belastbarkeit von Forderungen nach expansiver Fiskalpolitik an der Nullzinsgrenze: Eine Kritik neukeynesianischer Modelle auf Basis einer Literaturanalyse," IW-Reports 7/2018, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    36. Cole, Stephen J., 2020. "The influence of learning and price-level targeting on central bank forward guidance," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    37. Gibbs, Christopher G. & McClung, Nigel, 2019. "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 19/2019, Bank of Finland.
    38. Tong, Bing, 2021. "The effects of capacity reduction policy under the interest rate peg in China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    39. Bredemeier, Christian & Juessen, Falko & Schabert, Andreas, 2015. "Fiscal Policy, Interest Rate Spreads, and the Zero Lower Bound," IZA Discussion Papers 8993, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    40. Nakata, Taisuke & Ogaki, Ryota & Schmidt, Sebastian & Yoo, Paul, 2019. "Attenuating the forward guidance puzzle: Implications for optimal monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 90-106.
    41. Charles Carlstrom & Timothy Fuerst & Matthias Paustian, 2012. "Inflation and output in New Keynesian models with a transient interest rate peg," Bank of England working papers 459, Bank of England.
    42. Kim, Minseong, 2019. "Symmetry condition and re-assessing Blanchard-Kiyotaki decades later," MPRA Paper 96945, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Nov 2019.
    43. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    44. Bilbiie, Florin, 2017. "The Puzzle, the Power, and the Dark Side: Forward Guidance Redux," CEPR Discussion Papers 12231, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    45. Philippe Andrade & Olivier Coibion & Erwan Gautier & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "No Firm Is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms Expectations," Working papers 780, Banque de France.
    46. Richard Harrison, 2014. "Estimating the Effects of Forward Guidance in Rational Expectations Models," Discussion Papers 1429, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    47. D’Amico, Stefania & King, Thomas B., 2023. "What does anticipated monetary policy do?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 123-139.
    48. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy Strategies to Foster Price Stability and a Strong Labor Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    49. Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy, 2018. "Government Spending Multipliers in Good Times and in Bad: Evidence from US Historical Data," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(2), pages 850-901.
    50. Dario Bonciani & Joonseok Oh, 2020. "Monetary policy inertia and the paradox of flexibility," Bank of England working papers 888, Bank of England.
    51. Hahn, Volker & Marenčák, Michal, 2020. "Price points and price dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 127-144.
    52. Haderer, Michaela, 2022. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area with Expectations about the Timing and Nature of Liftoff from the Lower Bound," Working Papers 2022-05, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    53. Bing Tong, 2020. "Capacity Reduction Policy Under the Interest Rate Peg in China," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2020/2, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    54. Eskelinen, Maria & Gibbs, Christopher G. & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Resolving new keynesian puzzles," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2024, Bank of Finland.
    55. Bonam, Dennis & De Haan, Jakob & Soederhuizen, Beau, 2022. "The Effects Of Fiscal Policy At The Effective Lower Bound," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 149-185, January.
    56. Airaudo, Marco, 2025. "Temptation-driven preferences: A resolution to New Keynesian anomalies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    57. Givens, Gregory, 2019. "Unemployment, Partial Insurance, and the Multiplier Effects of Government Spending," MPRA Paper 96811, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    58. Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Kienzler, Daniel, 2020. "Interest rate pegs and the reversal puzzle: On the role of anticipation," Discussion Papers 50/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    59. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Sergey K. Egiev, 2024. "Liquidity Traps: A Unified Theory of the Great Depression and Great Recession," NBER Working Papers 33195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    60. Marco Airaudo, 2017. "Temptation and Forward Guidance," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2017-4, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    61. Taisuke Nakata, 2013. "Uncertainty at the zero lower bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-09, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    62. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy, Employment Shortfalls, and the Natural Rate Hypothesis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-032, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    63. Alex Haberis & Richard Harrison & Matthew Waldron, 2017. "Uncertain forward guidance," Bank of England working papers 654, Bank of England.
    64. Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2016. "What drives the short-run costs of fiscal consolidation? Evidence from OECD countries," BIS Working Papers 553, Bank for International Settlements.
    65. Alisdair McKay & Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2016. "The Power of Forward Guidance Revisited," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(10), pages 3133-3158, October.
    66. Strobel, Johannes & Lee, Gabriel & Dorofeenko, Victor & Salyer, Kevin, 2019. "Time-Varying Risk Shocks and the Zero Lower Bound," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203491, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    67. Yépez, Carlos A., 2018. "The impact of credit and fiscal policy under a liquidity trap," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 1-11.
    68. Ji, Yangyang, 2022. "Can Discounting Alone Resolve the Forward Guidance Puzzle?," MPRA Paper 115353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    69. Yangyang Ji, 2021. "Are Technology Shocks More Expansionary at the ZLB?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 67(3), pages 296-317.
    70. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Kilponen, Juha & Papadopoulou, Niki & Zimic, Srečko & Aldama, Pierre & Langenus, Geert & Alvarez, Luis Julian & Lemoine, Matthieu & Angelini, Elena, 2021. "Review of macroeconomic modelling in the Eurosystem: current practices and scope for improvement," Occasional Paper Series 267, European Central Bank.
    71. Canzoneri, Matthew & Cao, Dan & Cumby, Robert & Diba, Behzad & Luo, Wenlan, 2018. "The forward fiscal guidance puzzle and a resolution," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 26-46.
    72. Richard Harrison & Matt Waldron, 2021. "Optimal policy with occasionally binding constraints: piecewise linear solution methods," Bank of England working papers 911, Bank of England.
    73. Florin O. Bilbiie, 2022. "Neo-Fisherian Policies and Liquidity Traps," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 378-403, October.
    74. Christian Bredemeier & Falko Juessen & Andreas Schabert, 2017. "Fiscal Multipliers and Monetary Policy: Reconciling Theory and Evidence," Working Paper Series in Economics 95, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
    75. Lepetit, Antoine & Fuentes-Albero, Cristina, 2022. "The limited power of monetary policy in a pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    76. van Holle, Frederiek, 2017. "Essays in empirical finance and monetary policy," Other publications TiSEM 30d11a4b-7bc9-4c81-ad24-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    77. Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Kienzler, Daniel & Tenhofen, Jörn, 2017. "Interest-rate pegs, central bank asset purchases and the reversal puzzle," Discussion Papers 21/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    78. Christopher Gibbs & Nigel McClung, 2023. "Online Appendix to "Code and data files for "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?"," Online Appendices 22-197, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    79. Nicolas Caramp & Dejanir Silva, 2019. "Fiscal Origins of Monetary Paradoxes," 2019 Meeting Papers 1281, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    80. Bilbiie, Florin O., 2020. "The New Keynesian cross," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 90-108.
    81. Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann, 2018. "Measuring Exchange Rate, Price, and Output Dynamics at the Effective Lower Bound," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(6), pages 1243-1266, December.
    82. Doh, Taeyoung & Smith, A. Lee, 2022. "A new approach to integrating expectations into VAR models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 24-43.

  24. David M. Arseneau & Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "The Role of Financial Imbalances in Assessing the State of the Economy," FEDS Notes 2014-04-18, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2017. "Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle and Ultra-low Interest Rates," PIER Discussion Papers 55, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Marko Melolinna & Máté Tóth, 2019. "Output gaps, inflation and financial cycles in the UK," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1039-1070, March.
    3. Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "What Can the Data Tell Us About the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-77, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mikael Juselius & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "Monetary Policy in the Grip of a Pincer Movement," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Álvaro Aguirre & Markus Brunnermeier & Diego Saravia (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Transmission Mechanisms and Policy Implications, edition 1, volume 26, chapter 10, pages 311-356, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Fethi Ogunc & Cagri Sarikaya, 2015. "Enflasyonu Aciklamada Kredilerin Bilgi Degeri," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1512, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    6. Krustev, Georgi, 2018. "The natural rate of interest and the financial cycle," Working Paper Series 2168, European Central Bank.
    7. Claudio Borio, 2017. "Secular stagnation or financial cycle drag?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 87-98, April.
    8. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "What anchors for the natural rate of interest?," BIS Working Papers 777, Bank for International Settlements.

  25. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "An Evaluation of the Inflationary Pressure Associated with Short- and Long-term Unemployment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-28, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Dotsey & Shigeru Fujita & Tom Stark, 2018. "Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(4), pages 43-92, September.
    2. Maria A. Arias & Charles S. Gascon & David E. Rapach, 2014. "Metro Business Cycles," Working Papers 2014-46, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    3. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Anchored or Not: How Much Information Does 21st Century Data Contain on Inflation Dynamics?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(1), pages 239-261, February.
    4. Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "What Can the Data Tell Us About the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-77, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Behera, Harendra & Wahi, Garima & Kapur, Muneesh, 2018. "Phillips curve relationship in an emerging economy: Evidence from India," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 116-126.
    6. Annalisa Cristini & Piero Ferri, 2021. "Nonlinear models of the Phillips curve," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 1129-1155, September.
    7. David N. F. Bell & David G. Blanchflower, 2014. "Labor Market Slack in the United Kingdom," Working Paper Series WP14-2, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    8. Glenn D. Rudebusch & John C. Williams, 2014. "A Wedge in the Dual Mandate: Monetary Policy and Long-Term Unemployment," Working Paper Series 2014-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    9. Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2018. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," Discussion Papers 1815, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    10. Stephanie R. Aaronson & Mary C. Daly & William L. Wascher & David W. Wilcox, 2019. "Okun Revisited: Who Benefits Most from a Strong Economy?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 50(1 (Spring), pages 333-404.
    11. Eser, Fabian & Lane, Philip & Moretti, Laura & Osbat, Chiara & Karadi, Peter, 2020. "The Phillips Curve at the ECB," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224627, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    12. Anil Kumar & Pia M. Orrenius, 2014. "A closer look at the Phillips curve using state-level data," Working Papers 1409, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    13. Krzysztof Bartosik & Jerzy Mycielski, 2016. "Dynamika płac a długotrwałe bezrobocie w polskiej gospodarce," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(5), pages 435-462.
    14. Cecchetti, Stephen & Feroli, Michael & Hooper, Peter & Kashyap, Anil & Schoenholtz, Kermit L., 2017. "Deflating Inflation Expectations: The Implications of Inflation’s Simple Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 11925, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Davide Romaniello, 2022. "Unemployment gap, isteresi e disoccupazione di lunga durata: quale ruolo nella comprensione dell'inflazione? (Unemployment gap, hysteresis and long-term unemployment: which role in explaining inflatio," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, vol. 75(299), pages 267-283.
    16. Harendra Behera & Garima Wahi & Muneesh Kapur, 2017. "Phillips Curve Relationship in India: Evidence from State-Level Analysis," Working Papers id:11973, eSocialSciences.
    17. Lorenzo Di Domenico & Santiago José Gahn & Davide Romaniello, 2024. "Testing the Waters of Positive Hysteresis: The Effects of Autonomous Demand Shocks on Inflation, Accumulation, and Labor in the US Economy," Centro Sraffa Working Papers CSWP64, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione "Piero Sraffa".
    18. Nathan R. Babb & Alan K. Detmeister, 2017. "Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve for the United States : Evidence Using Metropolitan Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-070, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Doo Won Bang & HyuckShin Kwon, 2022. "Policy Impact Analysis of Housing Policies Using Housing Cycles," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(3), pages 21582440221, July.
    20. Albuquerque, Bruno & Baumann, Ursel, 2017. "Will US inflation awake from the dead? The role of slack and non-linearities in the Phillips curve," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 247-271.
    21. R. Jason Faberman & Andreas I. Mueller & Ayşegül Şahin* & Giorgio Topa, 2020. "The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 355-391, December.
    22. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2019. "Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation," NBER Working Papers 25987, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2018. "From NY to LA: A Look at the Wage Phillips Curve Using Cross-Geographical Data," 2018 Meeting Papers 1290, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    24. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2020. "Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 393-428, December.
    25. Patrick C. Higgins, 2021. "The Phillips Curve during the Pandemic: Bringing Regional Data to Bear," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2021(11), September.
    26. Simone Auer, 2018. "Labour market conditions and wage inflation in CEE economies," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 460, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    27. Bradley Speigner, 2014. "Long-term unemployment and convexity in the Phillips curve," Bank of England working papers 519, Bank of England.
    28. Aginta, Harry, 2023. "Revisiting the Phillips curve for Indonesia: What can we learn from regional data?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

  26. Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Re-examination," NBER Working Papers 20611, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Garga, Vaishali & Singh, Sanjay R., 2021. "Output hysteresis and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 871-886.
    2. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Policy Paradoxes in the New Keynesian Model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Jean-Bernard Chatelain & Kirsten Ralf, 2018. "Super-inertial interest rate rules are not solutions of Ramsey optimal monetary policy," PSE Working Papers halshs-01863367, HAL.
    4. Christian R. Proano & Benjamin Lojak, 2019. "Animal Spirits, Risk Premia and Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound," CAMA Working Papers 2019-73, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    5. Beqiraj, Elton & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Di Pietro, Marco, 2019. "Beliefs formation and the puzzle of forward guidance power," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 20-32.
    6. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, pages 289-344, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Martin Bodenstein & Junzhu Zhao, 2017. "On Targeting Frameworks and Optimal Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-098, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Christian Bredemeier & Andreas Schabert & Christoph Kaufmann, 2018. "Interest Rate Spreads and Forward Guidance," 2018 Meeting Papers 491, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Haberis, Alex & Harrison, Richard & Waldron, Matt, 2019. "Uncertain policy promises," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 459-474.
    11. Kiley, Michael T. & Sim, Jae, 2017. "Optimal monetary and macroprudential policies: Gains and pitfalls in a model of financial intermediation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 232-259.
    12. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Tzaawa-Krenzler, Mary, 2023. "Sticky information and the Taylor principle," IMFS Working Paper Series 189, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    13. George-Marios Angeletos, 2017. "Frictional Coordination," NBER Working Papers 24178, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Hommes, Cars & Makarewicz, Tomasz, 2021. "Price level versus inflation targeting under heterogeneous expectations: a laboratory experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 39-82.
    15. Hess T. Chung & Etienne Gagnon & Taisuke Nakata & Matthias Paustian & Bernd Schlusche & James Trevino & Diego Vilán & Wei Zheng, 2019. "Monetary Policy Options at the Effective Lower Bound : Assessing the Federal Reserve's Current Policy Toolkit," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-003, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive 14-034, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    17. Adam, Felix & Matthes, Jürgen, 2018. "Zur Belastbarkeit von Forderungen nach expansiver Fiskalpolitik an der Nullzinsgrenze: Eine Kritik neukeynesianischer Modelle auf Basis einer Literaturanalyse," IW-Reports 7/2018, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    18. Timothy S. Hills & Taisuke Nakata & Sebastian Schmidt, 2016. "The Risk of Returning to the Effective Lower Bound: An Implication for Inflation Dynamics After Lift-Off," FEDS Notes 2016-02-12-2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy Strategies to Foster Price Stability and a Strong Labor Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Alex Haberis & Richard Harrison & Matthew Waldron, 2017. "Uncertain forward guidance," Bank of England working papers 654, Bank of England.
    22. Eric M. Engen & Thomas Laubach & David L. Reifschneider, 2015. "The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve's Unconventional Monetary Policies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-5, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. Lepetit, Antoine & Fuentes-Albero, Cristina, 2022. "The limited power of monetary policy in a pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    24. Jean-Bernard Chatelain & Kirsten Ralf, 2023. "Super-Inertial Interest Rate Rules are not Solutions of Ramsey Optimal Policy," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 133(1), pages 119-146.
    25. George-Marios Angeletos & Zhen Huo, 2018. "Myopia and Anchoring," NBER Working Papers 24545, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Hess Chung & Etienne Gagnon & Taisuke Nakata & Matthias Paustian & Bernd Schlusche & James Trevino & Diego Vilán & Wei Zheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Options at the Effective Lower Bound: Assessing the Federal Reserve’s Current Policy Toolkit," CARF F-Series CARF-F-483, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    27. Lars E. O. Svensson, 2014. "Comment on "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, pages 345-353, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  27. Michael T. Kiley, 2013. "Monetary policy statements, Treasury yields, and private yields: before and after the zero lower bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-16, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Janet L. Yellen, 2011. "Improving the International Monetary and Financial System : a speech at the Banque de France International Symposium, Paris, France, March 4, 2011," Speech 608, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Linda S. Goldberg & Christian Grisse, 2013. "Time Variation in Asset Price Responses to Macro Announcements," NBER Working Papers 19523, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Thornton, John & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2017. "Inflation targeting and the cyclicality of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 296-302.
    4. Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, 2014. "Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Financial Institutions," NBER Working Papers 20230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Park, Keun Woo & Hong, Dahae & Oh, Ji Yeol Jimmy, 2019. "Investor behavior around monetary policy announcements: Evidence from the Korean stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 355-362.
    6. Chen, Hsuan-Chi & Yeh, Chia-Wei, 2021. "Global financial crisis and COVID-19: Industrial reactions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    7. Ben S. Bernanke, 2014. "The Federal Reserve: Looking Back, Looking Forward : a speech at the Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, January 3, 2014," Speech 792, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. George A. Kahn & Lisa Taylor, 2014. "Evolving market perceptions of Federal Reserve policy objectives," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q I, pages 5-64.
    9. Michael T. Kiley, 2013. "Monetary policy statements, Treasury yields, and private yields: before and after the zero lower bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-16, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Caputo, Rodrigo & Pedersen, Michael, 2020. "The changing nature of the real exchange rate: The role of central bank preferences," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 445-464.
    11. Goy, Gavin & Hommes, Cars & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2022. "Forward guidance and the role of central bank credibility under heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 1240-1274.
    12. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.
    13. Österholm, Pär, 2018. "The relation between treasury yields and corporate bond yield spreads in Australia: Evidence from VARs," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 186-192.

  28. Michael T. Kiley, 2013. "The response of equity prices to movements in long-term interest rates associated with monetary policy statements: before and after the zero lower bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Tadle, Raul Cruz, 2022. "FOMC minutes sentiments and their impact on financial markets," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    2. Dario Caldara & Etienne Gagnon & Enrique Martínez García & Christopher J. Neely, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Economic Performance since the Financial Crisis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-065, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Banegas, Ayelen & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel & Siga, Lucas, 2022. "The effects of U.S. monetary policy shocks on mutual fund investing," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    4. Juan A. Montecino & Gerald Epstein, 2015. "Did Quantitative Easing Increase Income Inequality?," Working Papers Series 28, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    5. Mariarosaria Comunale, 2017. "Synchronicity of real and financial cycles and structural characteristics in EU countries," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 15, Bank of Lithuania.
    6. Stephanos Papadamou & Νikolaos A. Kyriazis & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes, 2020. "US non-linear causal effects on global equity indices in Normal times versus unconventional eras," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 381-407, May.
    7. Gomis-Porqueras Pedro & Rafiq Shuddhasattwa & Yao Wenying, 2023. "The impact of forward guidance and large-scale asset purchase programs on commodity markets," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(4), pages 519-551, September.
    8. Maximilian Renz & Olaf Stotz, 2021. "A macroeconomic hedge portfolio and the cross section of stock returns," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 73-94, January.
    9. Edda Claus & Iris Claus & Leo Krippner, 2016. "Monetary policy spillovers across the Pacific when interest rates are at the zero lower bound," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2016/08, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    10. Claus, Edda & Claus, Iris & Krippner, Leo, 2018. "Asset market responses to conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks in the United States," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 270-282.
    11. Michael Connolly & Taeyoung Doh, 2013. "Has the effect of monetary policy announcements on asset prices changed?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 31-65.
    12. Edda Claus & Iris Claus & Leo Krippner, 2014. "Asset markets and monetary policy shocks at the zero lower bound," CAMA Working Papers 2014-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    13. Imran Shah & Francesca Schmidt-Fischer & Issam Malki, 2018. "The portfolio balance channel: an analysis on the impact of quantitative easing on the US stock market," Department of Economics Working Papers 74/18, University of Bath, Department of Economics.
    14. Marques-Ibanez, David & Santilli, Gianluca & Scardozzi, Giulia, 2024. "Bail-in in action," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    15. Donggyu Lee, 2024. "Unconventional Monetary Policies and Inequality," Staff Reports 1108, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    16. Kris Boudt & Christopher J. Neely & Piet Sercu & Marjan Wauters, 2017. "The response of multinationals’ foreign exchange rate exposure to macroeconomic news," Working Papers 2017-20, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    17. Mario González & Raúl Tadle, 2018. "Monetary Policy Effects on the Chilean Stock Market: An Automated Content Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 817, Central Bank of Chile.
    18. John H. Rogers & Chiara Scotti & Jonathan H. Wright, 2014. "Evaluating Asset-Market Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: A Cross-Country Comparison," International Finance Discussion Papers 1101, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Evangelia A. Georgiou, 2022. "The effects of Federal Reserve's quantitative easing and balance sheet normalization policies on long-term interest rates," Working Papers 299, Bank of Greece.
    20. Bhanupong Nidhiprabha, 2016. "Impacts of Quantitative Monetary Easing Policy in the United States and Japan on the Thai Economy," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 54(1), pages 80-102, March.
    21. Ábel, István, 2015. "A monetáris politika globális tendenciái és a stabilitási kockázatok [Financial stability concerns and global exposure of monetary policy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(3), pages 284-304.
    22. Thomas H. McInish & Christopher J. Neely & Jade Planchon, 2017. "Unconventional monetary policy and the behavior of shorts," Working Papers 2017-031, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 30 Sep 2021.
    23. Saroj Bhattarai & Christopher J. Neely, 2016. "An Analysis of the Literature on International Unconventional Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2016-021, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 04 May 2020.
    24. Michael T. Kiley, 2013. "Monetary policy statements, Treasury yields, and private yields: before and after the zero lower bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-16, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    25. Mamaysky, Harry, 2018. "The time horizon of price responses to quantitative easing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 32-49.
    26. Riyad Abubaker, 2016. "Consumption and Money Uncertainty at the Zero Lower Bound," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(1), pages 449-463.
    27. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.
    28. Unalmis, Deren & Unalmis, Ibrahim, 2015. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Surprises on Asset Markets in the United States," MPRA Paper 62585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    29. Bernhard, Severin & Ebner, Till, 2017. "Cross-border spillover effects of unconventional monetary policies on Swiss asset prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 109-127.
    30. Shah, Imran Hussain & Schmidt-Fischer, Francesca & Malki, Issam & Hatfield, Richard, 2019. "A structural break approach to analysing the impact of the QE portfolio balance channel on the US stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 204-220.
    31. Wu, Wenbin, 2016. "Are financial markets less responsive to monetary policy shocks at the zero lower bound?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 258-261.
    32. Alba Carlos & Cuadra Gabriel & Ibarra Raúl, 2023. "Effects of the Extraordinary Measures Implemented by Banco de México during the COVID-19 Pandemic on Financial Conditions," Working Papers 2023-03, Banco de México.
    33. Mariarosaria Comunale, 2020. "New synchronicity indices between real and financial cycles: Is there any link to structural characteristics and recessions in European Union countries?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 617-641, October.
    34. Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.

  29. Michael T. Kiley, 2013. "Exchange rates, monetary policy statements, and uncovered interest parity: before and after the zero lower bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-17, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Anella Munro, 2014. "Exchange rates, expected returns and risk: UIP unbound," CAMA Working Papers 2014-73, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    2. Forti Grazzini, Caterina & Rieth, Malte, 2017. "Interest Rates and Exchange Rates in Normal and Crisis Times," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168281, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Federico J. Diez & Ignacio Presno, 2013. "Domestic and foreign announcements on unconventional monetary policy and exchange rates," Public Policy Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    4. Galina V. Kolev, 2015. "On the nature of shocks driving exchange rates in emerging economies," FIW Working Paper series 146, FIW.

  30. Michael T. Kiley, 2012. "The aggregate demand effects of short- and long-term interest rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-54, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Rasmus Fatum & Naoko Hara & Yohei Yamamoto, 2019. "Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Influence of Macroeconomic News on Yields," Globalization Institute Working Papers 354, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    2. Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "What Can the Data Tell Us About the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-77, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. David L. Reifschneider, 2016. "Gauging the Ability of the FOMC to Respond to Future Recessions," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-068, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Jonathan Benchimol & Sergey Ivashchenko, 2020. "Switching Volatility in a Nonlinear Open Economy," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2020/8, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    5. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "The Response of Equity Prices to Movements in Long‐Term Interest Rates Associated with Monetary Policy Statements: Before and After the Zero Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(5), pages 1057-1071, August.
    6. Hibiki Ichiue & Yoichi Ueno, 2018. "A Survey-based Shadow Rate and Unconventional Monetary Policy Effects," IMES Discussion Paper Series 18-E-05, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    7. Williams, John C., 2013. "A defense of moderation in monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 137-150.
    8. Nathan Sussman & Osnat Zohar, 2016. "Has Inflation Targeting Become Less Credible? Oil Prices, Global Aggregate Demand and Inflation Expectations during the Global Financial Crisis," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2016.13, Bank of Israel.
    9. Ben S. Bernanke, 2012. "Monetary Policy since the Onset of the Crisis : a speech at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 31, 2012," Speech 645, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Hess T. Chung & Etienne Gagnon & Taisuke Nakata & Matthias Paustian & Bernd Schlusche & James Trevino & Diego Vilán & Wei Zheng, 2019. "Monetary Policy Options at the Effective Lower Bound : Assessing the Federal Reserve's Current Policy Toolkit," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-003, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Putnam, Bluford H., 2013. "Essential concepts necessary to consider when evaluating the efficacy of quantitative easing," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-7.
    12. Hsu, Feng-Jui & Chen, Sheng-Hung, 2021. "US quantitative easing and firm’s default risk: The role of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR)," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 650-664.
    13. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Kolasa, Marcin & Laséen, Stefan & Lindé, Jesper, 2025. "Unconventional Monetary Policies in Small Open Economies," Working Paper Series 450, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    15. Grzegorz Wesołowski, 2016. "Do long term interest rates drive GDP and inflation in small open economies? Evidence from Poland," NBP Working Papers 242, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    16. Masazumi Hattori & Andreas Schrimpf & Vladyslav Sushko, 2016. "The Response of Tail Risk Perceptions to Unconventional Monetary Policy," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(2), pages 111-136, April.
    17. Kenneth N. Kuttner, 2018. "Outside the Box: Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Great Recession and Beyond," Department of Economics Working Papers 2018-04, Department of Economics, Williams College.
    18. Ireland, Peter N., 2015. "Monetary policy, bond risk premia, and the economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 124-140.
    19. Kapur, Muneesh, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies and Transmission Dynamics in India," MPRA Paper 88566, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Charles L. Evans & Jonas D. M. Fisher & François Gourio & Spencer D. Krane, 2015. "Risk Management for Monetary Policy Near the Zero Lower Bound," Working Paper Series WP-2015-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    21. Kolasa, Marcin & Wesołowski, Grzegorz, 2020. "International spillovers of quantitative easing," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    22. Guangye Cao & Taeyoung Doh & Daniel Molling, 2015. "Should monetary policy monitor risk premiums in financial markets?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q I, pages 7-30.
    23. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Pandemic Recession Dynamics: The Role of Monetary Policy in Shifting a U-Shaped Recession to a V-Shaped Rebound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    24. Takeshi Kimura & Jouchi Nakajima, 2013. "Identifying Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks: A Latent Threshold Approach," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 13-E-7, Bank of Japan.
    25. Michael T. Kiley, 2013. "Monetary policy statements, Treasury yields, and private yields: before and after the zero lower bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-16, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    26. Etienne Vaccaro-Grange, 2019. "Quantitative Easing and the Term Premium as a Monetary Policy Instrument," AMSE Working Papers 1932, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    27. Moessner, Richhild, 2015. "Reactions of US government bond yields to explicit FOMC forward guidance," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 217-233.
    28. Bank for International Settlements, 2019. "Unconventional monetary policy tools: a cross-country analysis," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 63.
    29. Michael T. Kiley, 2013. "Exchange rates, monetary policy statements, and uncovered interest parity: before and after the zero lower bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-17, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    30. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.
    31. Serdavaa, Batkhurel, 2025. "Cross-country panel analysis justifying tighter control over short-term interest rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    32. Rubio, Margarita, 2016. "Short and long-term interest rates and the effectiveness of monetary and macroprudential policies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA), pages 103-115.
    33. Hess Chung & Etienne Gagnon & Taisuke Nakata & Matthias Paustian & Bernd Schlusche & James Trevino & Diego Vilán & Wei Zheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Options at the Effective Lower Bound: Assessing the Federal Reserve’s Current Policy Toolkit," CARF F-Series CARF-F-483, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    34. Ben S. Bernanke, 2012. "Opening remarks: monetary policy since the onset of the crisis," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-22.

  31. Michael T. Kiley & Jae W. Sim, 2011. "Financial capital and the macroeconomy: policy considerations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-28, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. James A. Clouse, 2013. "Monetary policy and financial stability risks: an example," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-41, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Kiley, Michael T. & Sim, Jae W., 2014. "Bank capital and the macroeconomy: Policy considerations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 175-198.

  32. Michael T. Kiley & Jae W. Sim, 2011. "Financial capital and the macroeconomy: a quantitative framework," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-27, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Iacoviello, 2010. "Financial Business Cycles," 2010 Meeting Papers 1053, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Seung Jung Lee & Viktors Stebunovs, 2012. "Bank capital ratios and the structure of nonfinancial industries," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-53, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Bank for International Settlements, 2012. "Operationalising the selection and application of macroprudential instruments," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 48.
    4. Seung Jung Lee & Viktors Stebunovs, 2016. "Bank Capital Pressures, Loan Substitutability, and Nonfinancial Employment," International Finance Discussion Papers 1161, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Tobias Adrian, 2012. "Discussion of “An Integrated Framework for Multiple Financial Regulations”," Staff Reports 583, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    6. Kiley, Michael T. & Sim, Jae W., 2014. "Bank capital and the macroeconomy: Policy considerations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 175-198.

  33. Jean Boivin & Michael T. Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2010. "How has the monetary transmission mechanism evolved over time?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-26, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Isoré, Marlène, 2016. "International propagation of financial shocks in a search and matching environment," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 28/2016, Bank of Finland.
    2. Joanna Stawska & Katarzyna Miszczyńska, 2017. "The Impact of the European Central Bank’s Interest Rates on Investments in the Euro Area," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 5, pages 51-72.
    3. Michael Kiley, 2010. "Output gaps," 2010 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Madhusudan Mohanty & Kumar Rishabh, 2016. "Financial intermediation and monetary policy transmission in EMEs: What has changed post-2008 crisis?," BIS Working Papers 546, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Dario Caldara & Etienne Gagnon & Enrique Martínez García & Christopher J. Neely, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Economic Performance since the Financial Crisis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-065, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Sandström, Maria, 2018. "The impact of monetary policy on household borrowing - a high-frequency IV identification," Working Paper Series 351, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    7. Tomas Konecny & Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova, 2013. "Evaluating the Links Between the Financial and Real Sectors in a Small Open Economy: The Case of the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2013/10, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    8. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Policy Paradoxes in the New Keynesian Model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Philip Turner, 2016. "Macroprudential policies, the long-term interest rate and the exchange rate," BIS Working Papers 588, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Ahnert, Toni & Anand, Kartik & König, Philipp Johann, 2022. "Real interest rates, bank borrowing, and fragility," Discussion Papers 48/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    11. Li, Boyao, 2024. "A balance sheet analysis of monetary policy effects on banks," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    12. Banegas, Ayelen & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel & Siga, Lucas, 2022. "The effects of U.S. monetary policy shocks on mutual fund investing," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    13. Manuel Coutinho Pereira, 2012. "Revisiting the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy in the US, measured on the basis of structural VARs," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    14. De Simone, Francisco Nadal, 2024. "The transmission of U.S. monetary policy to small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    15. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Anchored or Not: How Much Information Does 21st Century Data Contain on Inflation Dynamics?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(1), pages 239-261, February.
    16. Fabrice Dabiré, 2022. "Forward guidance and the exchange rate: A theoretical sign restricted VAR analysis," Cahiers de recherche 22-03, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke.
    17. Tomas Konecny & Oxana Babecka-Kucharcukova, 2016. "Credit Spreads and the Links between the Financial and Real Sectors in a Small Open Economy: The Case of the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(4), pages 302-321, August.
    18. Eickmeier, Sandra & Lemke, Wolfgang & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2011. "Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,04, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    19. Maral Kichian, 2012. "Financial Conditions and the Money-Output Relationship in Canada," Staff Working Papers 12-33, Bank of Canada.
    20. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, July.
    21. Khaysy Srithilat & Thipphavanh Samatmanivong & Vaiyoth Lienpaserth & Phiengsanith Chanthavixay & Visanu Boundavong & Vonsy Douangty, 2022. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on Economic Growth in Lao PDR," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 67-74.
    22. Johannes PS Sheefeni, 2017. "Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Namibia: A Bayesian VAR Approach," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(5), pages 169-184.
    23. Julius Stakenas & Rasa Stasiukynaite, 2016. "Monetary policy transmission: the case of Lithuania," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 24, Bank of Lithuania.
    24. Igan, Deniz & Kabundi, Alain & De Simone, Francisco Nadal & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2017. "Monetary policy and balance sheets," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 169-184.
    25. Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Qazi Haque, 2021. "Revisiting the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy shocks," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2021-02 Classification-E3, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    26. Pacicco, Fausto & Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2022. "The Euro Area credit crunch conundrum: Was it demand or supply driven?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    27. Patrick A. Imam, 2015. "Shock from Graying: Is the Demographic Shift Weakening Monetary Policy Effectiveness," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 138-154, March.
    28. Gürkaynak, Refet & Lee, Sang Seok & Karasoy Can, Gokce, 2019. "Stock Market's Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission: The Cash Flow Effect," CEPR Discussion Papers 14017, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    29. Smith, A. Lee, 2016. "When does the cost channel pose a challenge to inflation targeting central banks?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 471-494.
    30. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose & Marco E. Terrones, 2011. "Financial Cycles: What? How? When?," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 7(1), pages 303-344.
    31. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    32. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2013. "What does a Monetary Policy Shock Do? An International Analysis with Multiple Filters," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 759-784, October.
    33. Mark Gertler & Peter Karadi, 2014. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs and Economic Activity," NBER Working Papers 20224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    34. David L. Reifschneider, 2016. "Gauging the Ability of the FOMC to Respond to Future Recessions," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-068, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    35. Priit Jeenas & Ricardo Lagos, 2024. "Q-Monetary Transmission," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 132(3), pages 971-1012.
    36. Laine, Olli-Matti, 2022. "Evidence about the transmission of monetary policy," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number e53, December.
    37. Jamilov, Rustam, 2012. "Channels of Monetary Transmission in the CIS," MPRA Paper 39568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, pages 289-344, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    39. James McNeil, 2020. "Estimation of Impulse response functions with term structure local projections," Working Papers daleconwp2020-05, Dalhousie University, Department of Economics.
    40. Sangyup Choi & Tim Willems & Seung Yong Yoo, 2023. "Revisiting the Monetary Transmission Mechanism through an Industry-Level Differential Approach," Working papers 2023rwp-215, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    41. Abbassi, Puriya & Linzert, Tobias, 2012. "The effectiveness of monetary policy in steering money market rates during the financial crisis," Discussion Papers 14/2012, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    42. Mai, Nhat Chi, 2016. "Monetary policies and the macroeconomic performance of Vietnam," OSF Preprints akzy4, Center for Open Science.
    43. Chen, Zhengyang & Valcarcel, Victor J., 2025. "Modeling inflation expectations in forward-looking interest rate and money growth rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    44. Andrew Bailey & Jonathan Bridges & Richard Harrison & Josh Jones & Aakash Mankodi, 2020. "The central bank balance sheet as a policy tool: past, present and future," Bank of England working papers 899, Bank of England.
    45. Carlos Arteta & M. Ayhan Kose & Marc Stocker & Temel Taskin, 2016. "Negative Interest Rate Policies: Sources and Implications," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1609, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    46. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : A speech at \"Fed Policy: A Shadow Review\" Cato Institute’s 37th Annual Monetary Conferenc," Speech 1104, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    47. Kerry Liu, 2017. "China's Interest Rate Pass-through to Commercial Banks Before and After Interest Rate Liberalisation," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 279-287, June.
    48. Canova, Fabio & Ferroni, Filippo, 2020. "A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models," CEPR Discussion Papers 15446, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    49. Bucher, Monika & Hauck, Achim & Neyer, Ulrike, 2014. "Frictions in the interbank market and uncertain liquidity needs: Implications for monetary policy implementation," DICE Discussion Papers 134 [rev.], Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).
    50. Nicolas Crouzet, 2021. "Credit Disintermediation and Monetary Policy," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(1), pages 23-89, March.
    51. Itamar Drechsler & Alexi Savov & Philipp Schnabl, 2021. "Banking on Deposits: Maturity Transformation without Interest Rate Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(3), pages 1091-1143, June.
    52. Fabian Lindner, 2014. "The Interaction of Mortgage Credit and Housing Prices in the US," IMK Working Paper 133-2014, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    53. Luigi Paciello, 2011. "Does Inflation Adjust Faster to Aggregate Technology Shocks than to Monetary Policy Shocks?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(8), pages 1663-1684, December.
    54. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Michalis-Panayiotis Papafilis, 2022. "The credit channel of monetary transmission in the US: Is it a bank lending channel, a balance sheet channel, or both, or neither?," Working Papers 300, Bank of Greece.
    55. Magdalena Redo, 2015. "The importance of prudential regulations in the process of transmitting monetary policy to economy," Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 4(2), pages 145-158.
    56. Ongena, Steven & Peydró, José-Luis & Jiménez, Gabriel & Saurina, Jesús, 2010. "Credit Supply: Identifying Balance-Sheet Channels with Loan Applications and Granted Loans," CEPR Discussion Papers 7655, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    57. Agnes Benassy-Quere & Matthieu Bussière & Pauline Wibaux, 2018. "Trade and Currency Weapons," CESifo Working Paper Series 7112, CESifo.
    58. Wong, Arlene, 2014. "Population Aging and the Aggregate Effects of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 57096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    59. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," Bank of England working papers 657, Bank of England.
    60. Kabundi, Alain & De Simone, Francisco Nadal, 2022. "Euro area banking and monetary policy shocks in the QE era," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    61. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "The Response of Equity Prices to Movements in Long‐Term Interest Rates Associated with Monetary Policy Statements: Before and After the Zero Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(5), pages 1057-1071, August.
    62. Boris Hofmann & Gert Peersman, 2017. "Monetary policy transmission and trade-offs in the United States: Old and new," BIS Working Papers 649, Bank for International Settlements.
    63. Çatık, A. Nazif & Martin, Christopher, 2012. "Macroeconomic transitions and the transmission mechanism: Evidence from Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1440-1449.
    64. Chevallier, Julien, 2011. "Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 557-567, January.
    65. Mariam El Hamiani Khatat, 2016. "Monetary Policy in the Presence of Islamic Banking," IMF Working Papers 2016/072, International Monetary Fund.
    66. Harsha Paranavithana & Rod Tyers & Leandro Magnusson & Florian Schiffmann, 2022. "Monetary policy regimes: A global assessment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(6), pages 1737-1772, June.
    67. Sun, Rongrong, 2014. "Review over Empirical Evidence on Real Effects of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 58513, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    68. Dan OLTEANU, 2011. "A Survey On The Drivers And Mechanisms Of Financial Crises," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, vol. 33(2(bis)(42), pages 73-100, December.
    69. Chen, Zhengyang & Valcarcel, Victor J., 2021. "Monetary transmission in money markets: The not-so-elusive missing piece of the puzzle," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 131, pages 1-16.
    70. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2016. "Modest Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks during the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2016n30, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    71. Anna Pestova, 2020. "“Credit view” on monetary policy in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 57, pages 72-88.
    72. Hess T. Chung & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2010. "Documentation of the Estimated, Dynamic, Optimization-based (EDO) model of the U.S. economy: 2010 version," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    250. Yuan Chang, 2016. "Financial Soundness Indicator, Financial Cycle, Credit Cycle and Business Cycle£­Evidence from Taiwan," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(4), pages 166-182, April.
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  34. Hess T. Chung & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2010. "Documentation of the Estimated, Dynamic, Optimization-based (EDO) model of the U.S. economy: 2010 version," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Kiley, 2010. "Output gaps," 2010 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Hess Chung & Jean-Philippe Laforte & David Reifschneider & John C. Williams, 2012. "Have We Underestimated the Likelihood and Severity of Zero Lower Bound Events?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 47-82, February.
    3. Binder, Michael & Lieberknecht, Philipp & Quintana, Jorge & Wieland, Volker, 2017. "Model uncertainty in macroeconomics: On the implications of financial frictions," IMFS Working Paper Series 114, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    4. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, July.
    5. Tony Hall & Jan Jacobs & Adrian Pagan, 2013. "Macro-Econometric System Modelling @75," CAMA Working Papers 2013-67, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    6. Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2010. "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan's Economy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 10-E-13, Bank of Japan.
    7. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Taisuke Nakata & Sebastian Schmidt, 2016. "The Risk-Adjusted Monetary Policy Rule," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-061, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Kenji Nishizaki & Toshitaka Sekine & Yuichi Ueno & Yuko Kawai, 2013. "Chronic deflation in Japan," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 70, pages 9-19, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Stephen Burgess & Emilio Fernandez-Corugedo & Charlotta Groth & Richard Harrison & Francesca Monti & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Matt Waldron, 2013. "The Bank of England's forecasting platform: COMPASS, MAPS, EASE and the suite of models," Bank of England working papers 471, Bank of England.
    11. Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Masashi Saito, 2011. "Assessing the Effects of Fiscal Policy in Japan with Estimated and Calibrated DSGE Models," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 11-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    12. Alban Moura, 2018. "Investment Shocks, Sticky Prices, and the Endogenous Relative Price of Investment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 27, pages 48-63, January.
    13. Makoto Nakajima, 2013. "Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents," 2013 Meeting Papers 356, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," CAMA Working Papers 2017-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    15. Kiley, Michael T. & Sim, Jae, 2017. "Optimal monetary and macroprudential policies: Gains and pitfalls in a model of financial intermediation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 232-259.
    16. Shaun de Jager & Michael Johnston & Rudi Steinbach, 2015. "A Revised Quarterly Projection Model for South Africa," Working Papers 6839, South African Reserve Bank.
    17. William Gavin & Benjamin Keen, 2013. "U.S. Monetary Policy: A View from Macro Theory," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 33-49, February.
    18. Mr. Jan Vlcek & Mr. Scott Roger, 2012. "Macrofinancial Modeling At Central Banks: Recent Developments and Future Directions," IMF Working Papers 2012/021, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Harrison, Ricahrd, 2014. "Estimating the effects of forward guidance in rational expectations models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86327, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. Richard Harrison, 2014. "Estimating the Effects of Forward Guidance in Rational Expectations Models," Discussion Papers 1429, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    21. Bee-Lon Chen & Shian-Yu Liao, 2017. "Durable Goods, Investment Shocks and the Comovement Problem," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 17-A007, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    22. Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    23. Hills, Timothy S. & Nakata, Taisuke & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2019. "Effective lower bound risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    24. Michael Dotsey, 2013. "DSGE models and their use in monetary policy," Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue Q2, pages 10-16.
    25. Francesco Sergi, 2020. "The Standard Narrative about DSGE Models in Central Banks’ Technical Reports," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 163-193, March.
    26. Dario Caldara & Richard Harrison & Anna Lipinska, 2012. "Practical tools for policy analysis in DSGE models with missing channels," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-72, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  35. Michael T. Kiley, 2010. "Output gaps," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-27, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Hess Chung & Jean-Philippe Laforte & David Reifschneider & John C. Williams, 2012. "Have We Underestimated the Likelihood and Severity of Zero Lower Bound Events?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 47-82, February.
    2. Luca Sala & Ulf Soderstrom & Antonella Trigari, 2010. "The Output Gap, the Labor Wedge, and the Dynamic Behavior of Hours," Working Papers 365, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    3. F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes, 2010. "The Employment Effects of Fiscal Policy: How Costly Are ARRA Jobs?," Working Papers 201026, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    4. Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "What Can the Data Tell Us About the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-77, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2010. "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan's Economy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 10-E-13, Bank of Japan.
    6. Zuzana Mucka & Michal Horvath, 2015. "Fiscal Policy Matters A New DSGE Model for Slovakia," Discussion Papers Discussion Paper No. 1/20, Council for Budget Responsibility.
    7. James Morley, 2014. "Measuring economic slack in Asia and the Pacific," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation, inflation and monetary policy in Asia and the Pacific, volume 77, pages 35-50, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Lawrence J. Christiano & Mathias Trabandt & Karl Walentin, 2010. "DSGE models for monetary policy analysis," FRB Atlanta CQER Working Paper 2010-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    9. Hess T. Chung & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2010. "Documentation of the Estimated, Dynamic, Optimization-based (EDO) model of the U.S. economy: 2010 version," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Borio, Claudio, 2014. "The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 182-198.
    11. Kiley, Michael T. & Sim, Jae, 2017. "Optimal monetary and macroprudential policies: Gains and pitfalls in a model of financial intermediation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 232-259.
    12. Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2015. "The multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition with I(1) and I(2) series," MPRA Paper 66319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2010. "The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us," Working Papers 2010-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    14. David Lancaster & Peter Tulip, 2015. "Okun's Law and Potential Output," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2015-14, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    15. Mardi Dungey & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Jing Tian, 2017. "Forecasting output gaps in the G-7 countries: the role of correlated innovations and structural breaks," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(45), pages 4554-4566, September.
    16. John G. Fernald, 2014. "Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 2014-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    17. Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Common Factors, Trends, and Cycles in Large Datasets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-111, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    18. Roberto M. Billi, 2011. "Output gaps and monetary policy at low interest rates," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 96(Q I).
    19. Boivin, Jean & Kiley, Michael T. & Mishkin, Frederic S., 2010. "How Has the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Evolved Over Time?," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 8, pages 369-422, Elsevier.
    20. Pitorac Ruxandra, 2015. "The Specifics Of Okun’S Law In The Romanian Economy Between 2007 And 2013," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 50-53, February.
    21. Garratt, Anthony & Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder, 2016. "Information rigidities and the news-adjusted output gap," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-17.
    22. Jane K. Dokko & Brian M. Doyle & Skander J. van den Heuvel & Michael T. Kiley & Jinill Kim & Shane M. Sherlund & Jae W. Sim, 2009. "Monetary policy and the housing bubble," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. Sandeep Mazumder, 2014. "The Impact of Educational Attainment and Gender on the Inflation-Unemployment Tradeoff," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(2), pages 651-662.
    24. Michael Dotsey, 2013. "DSGE models and their use in monetary policy," Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue Q2, pages 10-16.

  36. Michael Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle Edge, 2009. "Investment Shocks and the Business Cycle: The View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE model," 2009 Meeting Papers 148, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Kiley, 2010. "Output gaps," 2010 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  37. Michael T. Kiley, 2009. "Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips Curve, and monetary policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Debabrata Patra & Partha Ray, 2010. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in India: An Empirical Exploration," IMF Working Papers 2010/084, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Michael F. Bryan & Simon M. Potter & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2008. "Rethinking the measurement of household inflation expectations: preliminary findings," Staff Reports 359, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. Travis J. Berge, 2017. "Understanding Survey Based Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-046, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  38. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparision of forecast, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," CAMA Working Papers 2009-03, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle M. Edge, 2008. "The Sources of Fluctuations in Residential Investment: A View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE Model of the U.S. Economic," 2008 Meeting Papers 990, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  39. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparison of forecast performance between Federal Reserve staff forecasts, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-10, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Michal Rubaszek & Pawel Skrzypczynski, 2007. "Can a simple DSGE model outperform Professional Forecasters?," Working Papers 5, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
    2. Michael Kiley, 2010. "Output gaps," 2010 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Hess Chung & Jean-Philippe Laforte & David Reifschneider & John C. Williams, 2012. "Have We Underestimated the Likelihood and Severity of Zero Lower Bound Events?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 47-82, February.
    4. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Forecasting and policy making," IMFS Working Paper Series 62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    5. Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1063-1119, December.
    6. Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 510-514, October.
    7. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model," Open Access publications 10197/7588, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    8. Pablo Burriel & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2009. "MEDEA: A DSGE Model for the Spanish Economy," PIER Working Paper Archive 09-017, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    9. Alali, Walid Y., 2009. "Solution Strategies of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models," MPRA Paper 116480, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Cristea, R. G., 2020. "Can Alternative Data Improve the Accuracy of Dynamic Factor Model Nowcasts?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20108, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    11. Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek, 2014. "How frequently should we re-estimate DSGE models?," NBP Working Papers 194, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    12. Malin Adolfson & Michael K. Andersson & Jesper Lindé & Mattias Villani & Anders Vredin, 2007. "Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 111-144, December.
    13. Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023. "Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey," Staff Working Papers 23-18, Bank of Canada.
    14. Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Alternative Tests for Correct Specification of Conditional Predictive Densities," Working Papers 758, Barcelona School of Economics.
    15. Henzel, Steffen R. & Mayr, Johannes, 2013. "The mechanics of VAR forecast pooling—A DSGE model based Monte Carlo study," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-24.
    16. Mr. Maxym Kryshko, 2011. "Data-Rich DSGE and Dynamic Factor Models," IMF Working Papers 2011/216, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Cars Hommes & Mario He & Sebastian Poledna & Melissa Siqueira & Yang Zhang, 2022. "CANVAS: A Canadian Behavioral Agent-Based Model," Staff Working Papers 22-51, Bank of Canada.
    18. Michel Juillard & Ondrej Kamenik & Michael Kumhof & Douglas Laxton, 2006. "Measures of Potential Output from an Estimated DSGE Model of the United States," Working Papers 2006/11, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    19. Luci Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon M. Potter, 2014. "Central bank macroeconomic forecasting during the global financial crisis: the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York experiences," Staff Reports 680, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    20. Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Di Pace, Federico & Hertweck, Matthias S., 2012. "Labour Market Frictions, Monetary Policy and Durable Goods," Dynare Working Papers 20, CEPREMAP.
    22. Mai, Nhat Chi, 2016. "Monetary policies and the macroeconomic performance of Vietnam," OSF Preprints akzy4, Center for Open Science.
    23. Faust, Jon & Wright, Jonathan H., 2009. "Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts Using a Large Realtime Dataset," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 468-479.
    24. Hasumi, Ryo & Iiboshi, Hirokuni & Matsumae, Tatsuyoshi & Nakamura, Daisuke, 2019. "Does a financial accelerator improve forecasts during financial crises? Evidence from Japan with prediction-pooling methods," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 45-68.
    25. Giacomini, Raffaella, 2014. "Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature," CEPR Discussion Papers 10201, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    26. Maxym Kryshko & Frank Schorfheide & Keith Sill, 2008. "DSGE model-based forecasting of non-modelled variables," Working Papers 08-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    27. Negro, Marco Del & Schorfheide, Frank, 2013. "DSGE Model-Based Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 57-140, Elsevier.
    28. Oleg Kryzhanovsky & Alexander Zykov, 2021. "DEMUR, a regional semi-structural model of the Ural Macroregion," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps83, Bank of Russia.
    29. Giacomini, Raffaella & Ragusa, Giuseppe, 2011. "Incorporating theoretical restrictions into forecasting by projection methods," CEPR Discussion Papers 8604, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    30. Edward P. Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2012. "Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    31. David Kohns & Tibor Szendrei, 2021. "Decoupling Shrinkage and Selection for the Bayesian Quantile Regression," Papers 2107.08498, arXiv.org.
    32. Tumala, Mohammed M & Olubusoye, Olusanya E & Yaaba, Baba N & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Akanbi, Olawale B, 2017. "Investigating Predictors of Inflation in Nigeria: BMA and WALS Techniques," MPRA Paper 88773, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Feb 2018.
    33. Xiaoming Cai & Wouter J. Den Haan & Jonathan Pinder, 2016. "Predictable Recoveries," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 83(330), pages 307-337, April.
    34. Hess T. Chung & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2010. "Documentation of the Estimated, Dynamic, Optimization-based (EDO) model of the U.S. economy: 2010 version," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    35. Jonathan Benchimol & André Fourçans, 2017. "Money and monetary policy in the Eurozone: an empirical analysis during crises," Post-Print hal-01525492, HAL.
    36. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kotzé, Kevin, 2015. "Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 215-228.
    37. Rubaszek, Michal & Skrzypczynski, Pawel, 2008. "On the forecasting performance of a small-scale DSGE model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 498-512.
    38. Boneva, Lena & Fawcett, Nicholas & Masolo, Riccardo M. & Waldron, Matt, 2019. "Forecasting the UK economy: Alternative forecasting methodologies and the role of off-model information," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 100-120.
    39. Douglas Laxton, 2008. "Getting to Know the Global Economy Model and Its Philosophy," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 55(2), pages 213-242, June.
    40. Patrick Minford & Yongdeng Xu & Peng Zhou, 2015. "How Good are Out of Sample Forecasting Tests on DSGE Models?," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 1(3), pages 333-351, November.
    41. Hasumi, Ryo & Iiboshi, Hirokuni & Matsumae, Tatsuyoshi & Nakamura, Daisuke, 2018. "Does a financial accelerator improve forecasts during financial crises?: Evidence from Japan with Prediction Pool Methods," MPRA Paper 85523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    42. Rusnák, Marek, 2016. "Nowcasting Czech GDP in real time," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 26-39.
    43. João Valle e Azevedo & João Tovar Jalles, 2011. "Rational vs. Professional Forecasts," Working Papers w201114, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    44. Michael McLeay & Silvana Tenreyro, 2018. "Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve," Discussion Papers 1815, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    45. Michael Wickens, 2014. "How Useful are DSGE Macroeconomic Models for Forecasting?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 171-193, February.
    46. Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Marc Giannoni & Abhi Gupta & Pearl Li & Erica Moszkowski, 2018. "DSGE forecasts of the lost recovery," Staff Reports 844, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    47. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Kevin Kotze, 2013. "Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Data with a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Working Papers 201313, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    48. Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, 2009. "The Econometrics of DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 7157, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    49. Jon Huntley & Eric Miller, 2009. "An Evaluation of CBO Forecasts: Working Paper 2009-02," Working Papers 41195, Congressional Budget Office.
    50. Cameron Fen & Samir Undavia, 2022. "Improving Macroeconomic Model Validity and Forecasting Performance with Pooled Country Data using Structural, Reduced Form, and Neural Network Model," Papers 2203.06540, arXiv.org.
    51. Morris, Stephen D., 2016. "VARMA representation of DSGE models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 30-33.
    52. Benchimol, Jonathan & Fourçans, André, 2012. "The role of money and monetary policy in crisis periods: the Euro area case," ESSEC Working Papers WP1201, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School, revised 27 Feb 2012.
    53. Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips curve, and monetary policy - comments," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    54. Lorenzo Burlon & Simone Emiliozzi & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2015. "Medium-term forecasting of euro-area macroeconomic variables with DSGE and BVARX models," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 257, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    55. Casares, Miguel & Vázquez, Jesús, 2016. "Data Revisions In The Estimation Of Dsge Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(7), pages 1683-1716, October.
    56. Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024. "Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1153-1172, August.
    57. Martinez-Martin Jaime & Morris Richard & Onorante Luca & Piersanti Fabio Massimo, 2024. "Merging Structural and Reduced-Form Models for Forecasting," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(1), pages 399-437, January.
    58. Marchionatti, Roberto & Sella, Lisa, 2015. "Is Neo-Walrasian Macroeconomics a Dead End?," CESMEP Working Papers 201502, University of Turin.
    59. Garciga, Christian & Knotek II, Edward S., 2019. "Forecasting GDP growth with NIPA aggregates: In search of core GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1814-1828.
    60. Polito, Vito & Wickens, Mike, 2012. "A model-based indicator of the fiscal stance," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 526-551.
    61. Edge, Rochelle M. & Kiley, Michael T. & Laforte, Jean-Philippe, 2008. "Natural rate measures in an estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 2512-2535, August.
    62. Kolasa, Marcin & Rubaszek, Michał, 2014. "Forecasting with DSGE models with financial frictions," Dynare Working Papers 40, CEPREMAP.
    63. Boriss Siliverstovs, 2019. "Assessing Nowcast Accuracy of US GDP Growth in Real Time: The Role of Booms and Busts," Working Papers 2019/01, Latvijas Banka.
    64. Paul Hubert, 2009. "Informational Advantage and Influence of Communicating Central Banks," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2009-04, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    65. Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015. "A Bayesian Local Likelihood Method for Modelling Parameter Time Variation in DSGE Models," Working Papers 770, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    66. Gupta, Abhishek, 2010. "A Forecasting Metric for Evaluating DSGE Models for Policy Analysis," MPRA Paper 26718, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    67. Boivin, Jean & Kiley, Michael T. & Mishkin, Frederic S., 2010. "How Has the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Evolved Over Time?," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 8, pages 369-422, Elsevier.
    68. Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek & Paweł Skrzypczyński, 2012. "Putting the New Keynesian DSGE Model to the Real‐Time Forecasting Test," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(7), pages 1301-1324, October.
    69. Roberto Duncan & Enrique Martínez‐García, 2023. "Forecasting inflation in open economies: What can a NOEM model do?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 481-513, April.
    70. Michael Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle Edge, 2009. "Investment Shocks and the Business Cycle: The View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE model," 2009 Meeting Papers 148, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    71. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2010. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy," CFS Working Paper Series 2010/08, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    72. Patrick Schmidt & Matthias Katzfuss & Tilmann Gneiting, 2021. "Interpretation of point forecasts with unknown directive," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 728-743, September.
    73. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Lee Ohanian, 2010. "The Spanish Crisis from a Global Perspective," Working Papers 2010-03, FEDEA.
    74. Nicholas Fawcett & Lena Koerber & Riccardo Masolo & Matthew Waldron, 2015. "Evaluating UK point and density forecasts from an estimated DSGE model: the role of off-model information over the financial crisis," Bank of England working papers 538, Bank of England.
    75. Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2010. "Forecasting with DSGE models," Working Paper Series 1185, European Central Bank.
    76. Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Forecasting in macroeconomics," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 17, pages 381-408, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    77. Raffaella Giacomini, 2014. "Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature," CeMMAP working papers 41/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    78. Lillian R. Gaeto & Sandeep Mazumder, 2019. "Measuring the Accuracy of Federal Reserve Forecasts," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 85(3), pages 960-984, January.
    79. Giacomini, Raffaella & Ragusa, Giuseppe, 2014. "Theory-coherent forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 145-155.
    80. Aadil Nakhoda, 2015. "The Influence of Industry Financial Composition on the Exports from Pakistan," Working Papers id:7656, eSocialSciences.
    81. Faust, Jon & Wright, Jonathan H., 2013. "Forecasting Inflation," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2-56, Elsevier.
    82. Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon, 2013. "Forecasting Output," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 141-194, Elsevier.
    83. Ulrich Gunter, 2019. "Estimating and forecasting with a two-country DSGE model of the Euro area and the USA: the merits of diverging interest-rate rules," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1283-1323, April.
    84. Bratu Mihaela, 2013. "An Evaluation Of Usa Unemployment Rate Forecasts In Terms Of Accuracy And Bias. Empirical Methods To Improve The Forecasts Accuracy," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 170-180, February.
    85. Shahzad Ahmad & Adnan Haider, 2019. "An evaluation of the forecast performance of DSGE and VAR Models: The case of a developing country," Business Review, School of Economics and Social Sciences, IBA Karachi, vol. 14(1), pages 28-52, January-J.
    86. Jesper Lindé, 2018. "DSGE models: still useful in policy analysis?," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 34(1-2), pages 269-286.
    87. Clemente Polo & Raimundo Viejo, 2015. "On The Accuracy Of Cge Forecasts In Expansion And Recession: Spain 1990--1997," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 525-542, December.
    88. Sun Xiaojin & Tsang Kwok Ping, 2019. "What cycles? Data detrending in DSGE models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(3), pages 1-23, June.
    89. Jean-Philippe Cayen & Marc-André Gosselin & Sharon Kozicki, 2009. "Estimating DSGE-Model-Consistent Trends for Use in Forecasting," Staff Working Papers 09-35, Bank of Canada.
    90. Rochelle M. Edge & Refet S. Gürkaynak, 2011. "How useful are estimated DSGE model forecasts?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    91. Rossi, Barbara & Gürkaynak, Refet & Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin, 2013. "Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-of-Sample than VAR Models?," CEPR Discussion Papers 9576, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    92. Martínez-Martin, Jaime & Morris, Richard & Onorante, Luca & Piersanti, Fabio M., 2019. "Merging structural and reduced-form models for forecasting: opening the DSGE-VAR box," Working Paper Series 2335, European Central Bank.
    93. Sami Alpanda & Kevin Kotzé & Geoffrey Woglom, 2011. "Forecasting Performance Of An Estimated Dsge Model For The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 79(1), pages 50-67, March.
    94. Paul Hubert, 2015. "Do Central Bank forecasts influence private agents? Forecasting Performance vs. Signals," Post-Print hal-03399242, HAL.
    95. Volker Wieland, 2012. "Model comparison and robustness: a proposal for policy analysis after the financial crisis," Chapters, in: Robert M. Solow & Jean-Philippe Touffut (ed.), What’s Right with Macroeconomics?, chapter 2, pages 33-67, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    96. Naohisa Hirakata & Kazutoshi Kan & Akihiro Kanafuji & Yosuke Kido & Yui Kishaba & Tomonori Murakoshi & Takeshi Shinohara, 2019. "The Quarterly Japanese Economic Model (Q-JEM): 2019 version," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-7, Bank of Japan.
    97. Gürkaynak, Refet & Edge, Rochelle, 2010. "How Useful Are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts for Central Bankers?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8158, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    98. Aysun, Uluc & Wright, Cardel, 2024. "A two-step dynamic factor modelling approach for forecasting inflation in small open economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

  40. Jane K. Dokko & Brian M. Doyle & Skander J. van den Heuvel & Michael T. Kiley & Jinill Kim & Shane M. Sherlund & Jae W. Sim, 2009. "Monetary policy and the housing bubble," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Mahua Barari & Nityananda Sarkar & Srikanta Kundu & Kushal Banik Chowdhury, 2014. "Forecasting House Prices in the United States with Multiple Structural Breaks," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 6(1), pages 1-23, April.
    2. Erlend Nier & Ouarda Merrouche, 2017. "Capital Inflows, Monetary Policy, and Financial Imbalances," Post-Print hal-01638073, HAL.
    3. Martha Starr, 2012. "Contributions of Economists to the Housing-Price Bubble," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 143-172.
    4. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2010. "Modeling Inflation After the Crisis," Working Papers 2010-1, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    5. Adrian, Tobias & Liang, Nellie, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Financial Conditions, and Financial Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 11394, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Bernanke, B.S., 2011. "International capital flows and the returns to safe assets in the United States 2003-2007," Financial Stability Review, Banque de France, issue 15, pages 13-26, February.
    7. Svensson, Lars E.O., 2010. "Inflation Targeting," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 22, pages 1237-1302, Elsevier.
    8. Christopher L. Foote & Kristopher Gerardi & Paul S. Willen, 2012. "Why did so many people make so many ex post bad decisions?: the causes of the foreclosure crisis," Public Policy Discussion Paper 12-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    9. Boris Hofmann & Gert Peersman, 2017. "Monetary policy transmission and trade-offs in the United States: Old and new," BIS Working Papers 649, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2010. "Modeling inflation after the crisis," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 173-220.
    11. Yash P. Mehra & Bansi Sawhney, 2010. "Inflation measure, Taylor rules, and the Greenspan-Bernanke years," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 96(2Q), pages 123-151.
    12. Michael W. McCracken & Joseph McGillicuddy & Michael T. Owyang, 2019. "Binary Conditional Forecasts," Working Papers 2019-029, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised Apr 2021.
    13. David Aikman & Andreas Lehnert & J. Nellie Liang & Michele Modugno, 2016. "Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-055, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Jörg Bibow, 2010. "Alternative Strategien der Budgetkonsolidierung in Österreich nach der Rezession," IMK Studies 03-2010, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    15. Edward Nelson, 2011. "Friedman's monetary economics in practice," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-26, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Michael W. McCracken & Joseph McGillicuddy, 2017. "An Empirical Investigation of Direct and Iterated Multistep Conditional Forecasts," Working Papers 2017-40, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    17. Emiliano Brancaccio & Giuseppe Fontana, 2013. "'Solvency rule' versus 'Taylor rule': an alternative interpretation of the relation between monetary policy and the economic crisis," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 37(1), pages 17-33.
    18. Kenneth Kuttner & Ilhyock Shim, 2012. "Taming the Real Estate Beast: The Effects of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies on Housing Prices and Credit," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Alexandra Heath & Frank Packer & Callan Windsor (ed.),Property Markets and Financial Stability, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    19. Groshenny, Nicolas, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Inflation And Unemployment: In Defense Of The Federal Reserve," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(6), pages 1311-1329, September.
    20. Merrouche, Ouarda & Nier, Erlend, 2014. "The Global Financial Crisis?What Drove The Build-Up?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10015, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    21. Sohei Kaihatsu & Takushi Kurozumi, 2010. "Sources of Business Fluctuations: Financial or Technology Shocks?," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 10-E-12, Bank of Japan.
    22. Ouarda Merrouche & Erlend Nier, 2010. "What Caused the Global Financial Crisis: Evidenceon the Drivers of Financial Imbalances 1999: 2007," IMF Working Papers 2010/265, International Monetary Fund.
    23. Bäckman, Claes & Lutz, Chandler, 2025. "Mortgage innovation and house price booms," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    24. Jean-Paul Pollin, 2010. "Commentaire : Articuler les explications pour comprendre la bulle immobilière," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 438(1), pages 173-179.
    25. Jelena Vukomanovic & Sandra L. Doumas & W. R. Osterkamp & Barron J. Orr, 2013. "Housing Density and Ecosystem Function: Comparing the Impacts of Rural, Exurban, and Suburban Densities on Fire Hazard, Water Availability, and House and Road Distance Effects," Land, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-22, November.
    26. Alan Greenspan, 2010. "The Crisis," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 41(1 (Spring), pages 201-261.
    27. Bertaut, Carol & DeMarco, Laurie Pounder & Kamin, Steven & Tryon, Ralph, 2012. "ABS inflows to the United States and the global financial crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 219-234.
    28. Kyungsoo Kim & Byoung-Ki Kim & Hail Park, 2011. "Monetary policy framework and financial procyclicality: international evidence," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Macroprudential regulation and policy, volume 60, pages 51-57, Bank for International Settlements.
    29. Zhang, Jiarui & Xu, Xiaonian, 2020. "The effects of the monetary policy on the U.S. housing boom from 2001 to 2006," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(4), pages 301-322.
    30. Taipalus, Katja, 2012. "Detecting asset price bubbles with time-series methods," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number sm2012_047, December.
    31. Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner, 2013. "Macroprudential Policy – A Literature Review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(5), pages 846-878, December.
    32. Matthew J. Eichner & Donald L. Kohn & Michael G. Palumbo, 2013. "Financial Statistics for the United States and the Crisis: What Did They Get Right, What Did They Miss, and How Could They Change?," NBER Chapters, in: Measuring Wealth and Financial Intermediation and Their Links to the Real Economy, pages 39-66, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. Kenneth N Kuttner, 2012. "Discussant remarks on Filipa Sá, Pascal Towbin and Tomasz Wieladek’s paper "Capital inflows,financial innovation and housing booms"," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Property markets and financial stability, volume 64, pages 76-82, Bank for International Settlements.
    34. Kyungsoo Kim, Byoung-Ki Kim, Hail Park, 2012. "Interest Rate-oriented Monetary Policy Framework and Financial Procyclicality," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 28, pages 161-188.
    35. Lars E. O. Svensson, 2011. "Monetary policy after the crisis," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov, pages 35-49.
    36. Mohammed Dore & Roelof Makken & Erik Eastman, 2013. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism, Non-residential Fixed Investment and Housing," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 41(3), pages 215-224, September.
    37. Carol Bertaut & Laurie Pounder DeMarco & Steven B. Kamin & Ralph W. Tryon, 2011. "ABS Inflows to the United States and the Global Financial Crisis," NBER Working Papers 17350, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Carol C. Bertaut & Steven B. Kamin & Laurie Pounder DeMarco & Ralph W. Tryon, 2011. "ABS inflows to the United States and the global financial crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 1028, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    39. Peter Stalder, 2015. "Starker Franken und tiefe Zinsen: Wohin steuert der schweizerische Immobilienmarkt?," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 9(4), pages 45-66, December.

  41. Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Estimating the common trend rate of inflation for consumer prices and consumer prices excluding food and energy prices," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-38, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Tatom, John, 2011. "Inflation and asset prices," MPRA Paper 34606, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Michael T. Kiley, 2023. "The Role of Wages in Trend Inflation: Back to the 1980s?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-022, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Sohei Kaihatsu & Jouchi Nakajima, 2015. "Has Trend Inflation Shifted?: An Empirical Analysis with a Regime-Switching Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 15-E-3, Bank of Japan.
    4. . . & Willem Buiter, 2008. "Central banks and financial crises," FMG Discussion Papers dp619, Financial Markets Group.
    5. Yash P. Mehra & Bansi Sawhney, 2010. "Inflation measure, Taylor rules, and the Greenspan-Bernanke years," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 96(2Q), pages 123-151.
    6. Maha Kalai & Thouraya Boujelbene Dammak, 2017. "Core Inflation Measure and Its Effect on Economic Growth and Employment in Tunisia," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 20(66), pages 153-179, December.
    7. Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Macro Modelling with Many Models," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 337, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    8. Stefano Eusepi & Bart Hobijn & Andrea Tambalotti, 2011. "CONDI: A Cost-of-Nominal-Distortions Index," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 53-91, July.
    9. Theodore M. Crone & N. Neil K. Khettry & Loretta J. Mester & Jason A. Novak, 2008. "Core measures of inflation as predictors of total inflation," Working Papers 08-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    10. Tucker McElroy & Thomas Trimbur, 2015. "Signal Extraction for Non-Stationary Multivariate Time Series with Illustrations for Trend Inflation," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 209-227, March.
    11. Jean-Charles Rochet, 2008. "Commentary : rethinking capital regulation," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 473-483.
    12. Scott Davis, 2012. "The Effect of Commodity Price Shocks on Underlying Inflation: The Role of Central Bank Credibility," Working Papers 272012, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    13. Stanley Fischer, 2008. "General discussion : the role of liquidity in financial crises," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 423-430.
    14. James B. Bullard, 2011. "Measuring inflation: the core is rotten," Speech 180, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    15. Michael D. Bradley & Dennis W. Jansen & Tara M. Sinclair, 2013. "How Well Does "Core" Inflation Capture Permanent Price Changes?," Working Papers 2013-4, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    16. Peter R. Fisher, 2008. "Commentary : the role of liquidity in financial crises," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 413-422.
    17. Fidora, Michael & Carvalho, Daniel, 2015. "Capital inflows and euro area long-term interest rates," Working Paper Series 1798, European Central Bank.
    18. Pincheira, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2016. "The Evasive Predictive Ability of Core Inflation," MPRA Paper 68704, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Stephen G Cecchetti & Richhild Moessner, 2008. "Commodity prices and inflation dynamics," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    20. Jane K. Dokko & Brian M. Doyle & Skander J. van den Heuvel & Michael T. Kiley & Jinill Kim & Shane M. Sherlund & Jae W. Sim, 2009. "Monetary policy and the housing bubble," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P Vahey, 2010. "Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent (ed.),Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    22. Elmar Mertens, 2011. "Measuring the level and uncertainty of trend inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. Todd E. Clark & Troy Davig, 2008. "An empirical assessment of the relationships among inflation and short- and long-term expectations," Research Working Paper RWP 08-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    24. Franklin Allen & Elena Carletti, 2008. "The role of liquidity in financial crises," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 379-412.
    25. Kaihatsu, Sohei & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2018. "Has trend inflation shifted?: An empirical analysis with an equally-spaced regime-switching model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 69-83.
    26. Yash P. Mehra & Devin Reilly, 2009. "Short-term headline-core inflation dynamics," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 95(Sum), pages 289-313.

  42. Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Monetary policy actions and long-run inflation expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-03, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Pierre L Siklos, 2010. "Relative Price Shocks, Inflation Expectations, and the Role of Monetary Policy," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent (ed.),Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    2. Zhang, Chengsi & Clovis, Joel, 2010. "China inflation dynamics: Persistence and policy regimes," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 373-388, May.
    3. Kees E. Bouwman & Elvira Sojli & Wing Wah Tham, 2012. "Aggregate Stock Market Illiquidity and Bond Risk Premia," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-140/IV/DSF46, Tinbergen Institute.
    4. Kabundi, Alain & Schaling, Eric & Some, Modeste, 2015. "Monetary policy and heterogeneous inflation expectations in South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 109-117.
    5. Hooper, Peter & Mishkin, Frederic S. & Sufi, Amir, 2020. "Prospects for inflation in a high pressure economy: Is the Phillips curve dead or is it just hibernating?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 26-62.
    6. Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips curve, and monetary policy - comments," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    7. Todd E. Clark & Taeyoung Doh, 2011. "A Bayesian evaluation of alternative models of trend inflation," Working Papers (Old Series) 1134, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    8. Del Negro, Marco & Eusepi, Stefano, 2011. "Fitting observed inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 2105-2131.
    9. Engin Kara & Ahmed Jamal Pirzada, 2015. "Risk, Intermediate Input Prices and Missing Deflation During the Great Recession," CESifo Working Paper Series 5429, CESifo.
    10. Michael T. Kiley, 2009. "Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips Curve, and monetary policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Clark, Todd E. & Doh, Taeyoung, 2014. "Evaluating alternative models of trend inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 426-448.
    12. Todd E. Clark & Troy Davig, 2008. "An empirical assessment of the relationships among inflation and short- and long-term expectations," Research Working Paper RWP 08-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    13. Eric Schaling & Marco Hoeberichts, 2010. "Why Speed Doesn’t Kill: Learning to Believe in Disinflation," De Economist, Springer, vol. 158(1), pages 23-42, April.

  43. Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle M. Edge, 2008. "The Sources of Fluctuations in Residential Investment: A View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE Model of the U.S. Economic," 2008 Meeting Papers 990, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Kiley, 2010. "Output gaps," 2010 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2013. "Forecasting the US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using Large Number of Predictors," Working Papers 201348, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Svensson, Lars E.O., 2010. "Inflation Targeting," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 22, pages 1237-1302, Elsevier.
    4. Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips curve, and monetary policy - comments," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    5. Marco Ratto & Werner Roeger & Jan in 't Veld, 2010. "Using a DSGE model to look at the recent boom-bust cycle in the US," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 397, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    6. Michael Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle Edge, 2009. "Investment Shocks and the Business Cycle: The View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE model," 2009 Meeting Papers 148, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Naik, Prasad A., 2015. "Marketing Dynamics: A Primer on Estimation and Control," Foundations and Trends(R) in Marketing, now publishers, vol. 9(3), pages 175-266, December.
    8. Jane K. Dokko & Brian M. Doyle & Skander J. van den Heuvel & Michael T. Kiley & Jinill Kim & Shane M. Sherlund & Jae W. Sim, 2009. "Monetary policy and the housing bubble," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  44. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2007. "Documentation of the Research and Statistics Division’s estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy: 2006 version," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-53, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Kiley, 2010. "Output gaps," 2010 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2010. "Fortune or Virtue: Time-Variant Volatilities Versus Parameter Drifting in U.S. Data," NBER Working Papers 15928, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Binder, Michael & Lieberknecht, Philipp & Quintana, Jorge & Wieland, Volker, 2017. "Model uncertainty in macroeconomics: On the implications of financial frictions," IMFS Working Paper Series 114, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    4. Galí, Jordi, 2010. "The Return of the Wage Phillips Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 7700, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Henzel, Steffen R. & Mayr, Johannes, 2013. "The mechanics of VAR forecast pooling—A DSGE model based Monte Carlo study," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-24.
    6. Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2010. "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan's Economy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 10-E-13, Bank of Japan.
    7. Jordi Galí, 2008. "Introduction to Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynesian Framework," Introductory Chapters, in: Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynesian Framework, Princeton University Press.
    8. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparision of forecast, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," CAMA Working Papers 2009-03, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    9. Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle M. Edge, 2008. "The Sources of Fluctuations in Residential Investment: A View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE Model of the U.S. Economic," 2008 Meeting Papers 990, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Kenji Nishizaki & Toshitaka Sekine & Yuichi Ueno & Yuko Kawai, 2013. "Chronic deflation in Japan," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 70, pages 9-19, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Stephen Burgess & Emilio Fernandez-Corugedo & Charlotta Groth & Richard Harrison & Francesca Monti & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Matt Waldron, 2013. "The Bank of England's forecasting platform: COMPASS, MAPS, EASE and the suite of models," Bank of England working papers 471, Bank of England.
    13. Ida, Daisuke & Okano, Mitsuhiro, 2023. "Optimal monetary policy delegation in a small-open new Keynesian model with robust control," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    14. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, 2008. "Horizons of Understanding: A Review of Ray Fair's Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(3), pages 685-703, September.
    15. Jordi Galí & Frank Smets & Rafael Wouters, 2012. "Unemployment in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 26(1), pages 329-360.
    16. Benjamin Keen, 2009. "Output, Inflation, and Interest Rates in an Estimated Optimizing Model of Monetary Policy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 327-343, April.
    17. Wieland, Volker & Taylor, John B., 2010. "Surprising comparative properties of monetary models: Results from a new model database," Working Paper Series 1261, European Central Bank.
    18. Beyer, Andreas & Gaspar, Vítor & Gerberding, Christina & Issing, Otmar, 2008. "Opting out of the great inflation: German monetary policy after the break down of Bretton Woods," CFS Working Paper Series 2009/01, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    19. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparison of forecast performance between Federal Reserve staff forecasts, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-10, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Mr. Jan Vlcek & Mr. Scott Roger, 2012. "Macrofinancial Modeling At Central Banks: Recent Developments and Future Directions," IMF Working Papers 2012/021, International Monetary Fund.
    21. Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips curve, and monetary policy - comments," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    22. Jordi Galí, 2015. "Introduction," Introductory Chapters, in: Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynesian Framework and Its Applications Second edition, volume 1, Princeton University Press.
    23. Boivin, Jean & Kiley, Michael T. & Mishkin, Frederic S., 2010. "How Has the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Evolved Over Time?," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 8, pages 369-422, Elsevier.
    24. Michael Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle Edge, 2009. "Investment Shocks and the Business Cycle: The View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE model," 2009 Meeting Papers 148, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    25. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2010. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy," CFS Working Paper Series 2010/08, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    26. Eilev S. Jansen, 2010. "Wealth effects on consumption in financial crises: the case of Norway," Discussion Papers 616, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    27. William T. Gavin, 2010. "Editor's introduction," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 92(May), pages 225-228.
    28. Michael T. Kiley, 2009. "Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips Curve, and monetary policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    29. Volker Wieland, 2012. "Model comparison and robustness: a proposal for policy analysis after the financial crisis," Chapters, in: Robert M. Solow & Jean-Philippe Touffut (ed.), What’s Right with Macroeconomics?, chapter 2, pages 33-67, Edward Elgar Publishing.

  45. Michael T. Kiley, 2007. "Habit persistence, non-separability between consumption and leisure, or rule-of thumb consumers: which accounts for the predictability of consumption growth?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-48, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Tesfaselassie, Mewael F., 2011. "Trend growth and the dynamic effects of government spending," Kiel Working Papers 1678, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Gerdie Everaert & Lorenzo Pozzi, 2010. "The Stickiness of Aggregate Consumption Growth in OECD Countries: A Panel Data Analysis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-049/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 14 Oct 2011.
    3. Daria Pignalosa, 2021. "The Euler Equation Approach: Critical Implications of Recent Developments in the Theory of Intertemporal Choice," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 15(1), pages 1-43, June.
    4. Jonathan Lecznar & Thomas A. Lubik, 2017. "Real Rates and Consumption Smoothing in a Low Interest Rate Environment: The Case of Japan," Working Paper 17-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    5. Kilponen, Juha & Vilmunen, Jouko & Vähämaa, Oskari, 2022. "Revisiting intertemporal elasticity of substitution in a sticky price model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    6. J. Andrés & J. E. Boscá & J. Ferri, 2015. "Household Debt and Fiscal Multipliers," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 82, pages 1048-1081, December.
    7. Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle M. Edge, 2008. "The Sources of Fluctuations in Residential Investment: A View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE Model of the U.S. Economic," 2008 Meeting Papers 990, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Sena Durguner, 2018. "Variations in farm consumption and their relationship to income: an empirical investigation of Illinois farm households," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(9), pages 990-1005, February.
    9. Tesfaselassie, Mewael F., 2011. "Trend growth and learning about monetary policy rules," Kiel Working Papers 1744, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. Dovchinsuren, Khaliun, 2023. "How does excessive volatility of consumption vary across countries?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    11. Hess T. Chung & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2010. "Documentation of the Estimated, Dynamic, Optimization-based (EDO) model of the U.S. economy: 2010 version," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Tobias Cwik, 2012. "Fiscal consolidation using the example of Germany," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-80, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Tomas Havranek & Anna Sokolova, 2016. "Do Consumers Really Follow a Rule of Thumb? Three Thousand Estimates from 130 Studies Say “Probably Not”," Working Papers IES 2016/15, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jul 2016.
    14. Kaixing Huang & Qianqian Hong, 2024. "The impact of global warming on obesity," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(3), pages 1-32, September.
    15. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2008. "The bond premium in a DSGE model with long-run real and nominal risks," Working Paper Series 2008-31, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    16. Edge, Rochelle M. & Kiley, Michael T. & Laforte, Jean-Philippe, 2008. "Natural rate measures in an estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 2512-2535, August.
    17. Tino Berger & Lorenzo Pozzi, 2023. "Cyclical consumption," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-064/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    18. Francisco Alvarez-Cuadrado & Jose Maria Casado & Jose Maria Labeaga, 2016. "Envy and Habits: Panel Data Estimates of Interdependent Preferences," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(4), pages 443-469, August.
    19. Kilponen Juha, 2012. "Consumption, Leisure and Borrowing Constraints," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, May.
    20. Bhatt, Vipul & Kishor, Kundan & Marfatia, Hardik, 2017. "Estimating excess sensitivity and habit persistence in consumption using Greenbook forecast as an instrument," MPRA Paper 79748, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Gerdie Everaert & Lorenzo Pozzi & Ruben Schoonackers, 2016. "On The Stability Of The Excess Sensitivity Of Aggregate Consumption Growth In The Us," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 16/917, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    22. Yanfei Pan & Marian Rizov, 2022. "Consumer Behaviour in Sourcing Meals during COVID-19: Implications for Business and Marketing," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-20, October.
    23. Bamikole, Oluwafemi, 2013. "The Habit Persistence Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence from Jamaica," MPRA Paper 57077, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Mandelman, Federico S., 2013. "Monetary and exchange rate policy under remittance fluctuations," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 128-147.
    25. Yvonne Adema & Lorenzo Pozzi, 2012. "Business Cycle Fluctuations and Private Savings in OECD Countries: A Panel Data Analysis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-144/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    26. Hessler, Andrew, 2023. "Unobserved components model estimates of credit cycles: Tests and predictions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    27. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2007. "Documentation of the Research and Statistics Division’s estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy: 2006 version," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-53, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    28. Orlando Gomes, 2021. "Hand-to-mouth consumers, rule-of-thumb savers, and optimal control," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 16(2), pages 229-263, April.
    29. J r my Boccanfuso, 2022. "Consumption Response Heterogeneity and Dynamics with an Inattention Region," Working Papers wp1172, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    30. Jianjia He & Shengmin Liu & Tingting Li & Thi Hoai Thuong Mai, 2021. "The Positive Effects of Unneeded Consumption Behaviour on Consumers during the COVID-19 Pandemic," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(12), pages 1-17, June.
    31. Kilponen, Juha & Vilmunen, Jouko & Vähämaa, Oskari, 2013. "Estimating intertemporal elasticity of substitution in a sticky price model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2013, Bank of Finland.
    32. Buffie, Edward F., 2013. "The Taylor principle fights back, Part I," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2771-2795.
    33. Leroux, Anke D. & Martin, Vance L. & Zheng, Hao, 2018. "Addressing water shortages by force of habit," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 42-61.
    34. Stracca Livio, 2017. "The Euler equation around the world," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-9, June.
    35. Vipul Bhatt & N. Kundan Kishor & Hardik Marfatia, 2020. "Estimating Excess Sensitivity and Habit Persistence in Consumption Using Greenbook Forecasts," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(2), pages 257-284, April.
    36. Hasui Kohei, 2021. "Trend Growth and Robust Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 449-472, June.
    37. Julian Thimme, 2017. "Intertemporal Substitution In Consumption: A Literature Review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 226-257, February.

  46. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2007. "Natural rate measures in an estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-08, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Kiley, 2010. "Output gaps," 2010 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Luca Guerrieri & Dale Henderson & Jinill Kim, 2014. "Modeling Investment‐Sector Efficiency Shocks: When Does Disaggregation Matter?," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 55(3), pages 891-917, August.
    3. Görtz, Christoph & Tsoukalas, John D., 2012. "News and Financial Intermediation in Aggregate and Sectoral Fluctuations," Dynare Working Papers 12, CEPREMAP.
    4. Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex, 2008. "Monetary Policy Evaluation in Real Time: Forward-Looking Taylor Rules Without Forward-Looking Data," MPRA Paper 11352, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Hess Chung & Jean-Philippe Laforte & David Reifschneider & John C. Williams, 2012. "Have We Underestimated the Likelihood and Severity of Zero Lower Bound Events?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 47-82, February.
    6. Sala, Luca & Söderström, Ulf & Trigari, Antonella, 2008. "Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty in an Estimated Model with Labour Market Frictions," CEPR Discussion Papers 6826, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Forecasting and policy making," IMFS Working Paper Series 62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    8. Sra Chuenchoksan & Don Nakornthab & Surach Tanboon, 2008. "Uncertainty in the Estimation of Potential Output and Implications for the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2008-04, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    9. Petre Caraiani, 2009. "An Estimation of Output Gap in Romanian Economy Using the DSGE Approach," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2009(4), pages 366-379.
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  47. Michael T. Kiley, 2006. "A quantitative comparison of sticky-price and sticky-information models of price setting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-45, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Oleg Korenok, 2005. "Empirical Comparison of Sticky Price and Sticky Information Models," Working Papers 0501, VCU School of Business, Department of Economics.
    2. Arslan, Mesut Murat, 2007. "Dynamics of Sticky Information and Sticky Price Models in a New Keynesian DSGE Framework," MPRA Paper 5269, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Policy Paradoxes in the New Keynesian Model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Julien Matheron & Céline Poilly, 2006. "How Well Does a Small Structural Model with Sticky Prices and Wages Fit Postwar U.S. Data?," Working papers 148, Banque de France.
    5. Stylianos Asimakopoulos & Marco Lorusso & Luca Pieroni, 2021. "Can public spending boost private consumption?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(3), pages 1275-1313, November.
    6. Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2005. "Pricing models: a Bayesian DSGE approach to the U.S. economy," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Benjamin D. Keen & Evan F. Koenig, 2018. "How Robust Are Popular Models of Nominal Frictions?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1299-1342, September.
    8. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparision of forecast, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," CAMA Working Papers 2009-03, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    9. Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Monetary policy actions and long-run inflation expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-03, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Oleg Korenok & Stanislav Radchenko & Norman R. Swanson, 2010. "International evidence on the efficacy of new‐Keynesian models of inflation persistence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 31-54, January.
    11. Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle M. Edge, 2008. "The Sources of Fluctuations in Residential Investment: A View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE Model of the U.S. Economic," 2008 Meeting Papers 990, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    12. Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, pages 289-344, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. John M. Roberts, 2001. "How well does the New Keynesian sticky-price model fit the data?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-13, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: In Search of Improvements and Adaptation to the Open Economy," Economics wp31_tjorvi, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    15. Donald L. Kohn, 2008. "Lessons for central bankers from a Phillips curve framework," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    16. N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2010. "Imperfect Information and Aggregate Supply," NBER Working Papers 15773, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. McNeil, James, 2023. "Monetary policy and the term structure of inflation expectations with information frictions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    18. Russell, Bill, 2011. "Non-stationary inflation and panel estimates of United States short and long-run Phillips curves," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 406-419, September.
    19. Yingying Xu & Zhixin Liu & Zichao Jia & Chi-Wei Su, 2017. "Is time-variant information stickiness state-dependent?," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(3), pages 169-187, December.
    20. Carrillo, Julio A., 2012. "How well does sticky information explain the dynamics of inflation, output, and real wages?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 830-850.
    21. Ricardo Reis, 2009. "A Sticky-Information General-Equilibrium Model for Policy Analysis," NBER Working Papers 14732, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Hess T. Chung & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2010. "Documentation of the Estimated, Dynamic, Optimization-based (EDO) model of the U.S. economy: 2010 version," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013. "Measuring The Slowly Evolving Trend In Us Inflation With Professional Forecasts," Working Paper 1316, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    24. Lena Dräger, 2011. "Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201103, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    25. Russell, Bill & Banerjee, Anindya & Malki, Issam & Ponomareva, Natalia, 2011. "A Multiple Break Panel Approach to Estimating United States Phillips Curves," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-27, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    26. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts," NBER Working Papers 16537, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination," NBER Working Papers 22297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Boskabadi, Elahe, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and forecast bias in the survey of professional forecasters," MPRA Paper 115081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    29. Lanne, Markku & Luoma, Arto & Luoto, Jani, 2008. "A Naïve Sticky Information Model of Households’ Inflation Expectations," MPRA Paper 8663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    30. Benjamin Keen, 2009. "Output, Inflation, and Interest Rates in an Estimated Optimizing Model of Monetary Policy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 327-343, April.
    31. Emmanuel De Veirman, 2007. "Which nonlinearity in the Phillips curve? The absence of accelerating deflation in Japan," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2007/14, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    32. Casarin, Roberto & Costantini, Mauro & Paradiso, Antonio, 2021. "On the role of dependence in sticky price and sticky information Phillips curve: Modelling and forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    33. Frederic S. Mishkin, 2007. "Will monetary policy become more of a science?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-44, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Orlando Gomes, 2012. "Transitional Dynamics in Sticky-Information General Equilibrium Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 39(4), pages 387-407, April.
    35. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Tzaawa-Krenzler, Mary, 2023. "Sticky information and the Taylor principle," IMFS Working Paper Series 189, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    36. Mavroeidis, Sophocles & Plagborg-Moller, Mikkel & Stock, James H., 2014. "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Scholarly Articles 22795845, Harvard University Department of Economics.
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    65. Alexis Maka & Fernando De Holanda Barbosa, 2014. "Phillips Curves: An Encompassing Test," Anais do XLI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 41st Brazilian Economics Meeting] 061, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
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    67. Waldyr D Areosa, 2016. "What drives inflation expectations in Brazil? Public versus private information," BIS Working Papers 544, Bank for International Settlements.
    68. Michael Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle Edge, 2009. "Investment Shocks and the Business Cycle: The View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE model," 2009 Meeting Papers 148, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    69. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2008. "What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?," NBER Working Papers 14586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    71. James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013. "Reverse Kalman filtering U.S. inflation with sticky professional forecasts," Working Papers 13-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    72. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2007. "Documentation of the Research and Statistics Division’s estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy: 2006 version," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-53, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    73. Dave Reifschneider & William Wascher & David Wilcox, 2015. "Aggregate Supply in the United States: Recent Developments and Implications for the Conduct of Monetary Policy," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 63(1), pages 71-109, May.
    74. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Strategic Interaction among Heterogeneous Price-Setters in an Estimated DSGE Model," Working Papers 93, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
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    78. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2010. "Linear rational-expectations models with lagged expectations: A synthetic method," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 984-1002, May.
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  48. Hannes Suppanz & Michael Wise & Michael Kiley, 2004. "Product Market Competition and Economic Performance in the United States," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 398, OECD Publishing.

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    1. Kyoji Fukao & Cristiano Perugini, 2021. "The Long‐Run Dynamics of the Labor Share in Japan," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 67(2), pages 445-480, June.
    2. Grossmann, Volker & Steger, Thomas M., 2008. "Anti-competitive conduct, in-house R&D, and growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 987-1008, August.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Finland: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2005/036, International Monetary Fund.

  49. Michael Kiley, 2004. "Is Moderate-To-High Inflation Inherently Unstable?," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 193, Econometric Society.

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    1. Georgios Karras, 2015. "Low Inflation vs. Stable Inflation: Evidence from the UK, 1688–2009," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 62(5), pages 505-517, November.
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    3. Guido Ascari & Tiziano Ropele, 2009. "Trend Inflation, Taylor Principle, and Indeterminacy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(8), pages 1557-1584, December.
    4. Gabriel Karagiannides & Christos Liambas, 2019. "Determinacy and Taylor’s Rule with Different Degrees of Trade Openness in a Semi-New Keynesian Model," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(6), pages 43-53, November.
    5. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Johannes F. Wieland, 2010. "The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models," NBER Working Papers 16093, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Fernandez-Corugedo Emilio, 2007. "The Impact of Trend Inflation in an Open Economy Model," Working Papers 2007-15, Banco de México.
    7. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2008. "Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation," NBER Working Papers 14621, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Anchored or Not: How Much Information Does 21st Century Data Contain on Inflation Dynamics?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(1), pages 239-261, February.
    9. Giovanni Nicolo, 2020. "Monetary Policy, Self-Fulfilling Expectations and the U.S. Business Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-035, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Riccardo M Masolo & Francesca Monti, 2021. "Ambiguity, Monetary Policy and Trend Inflation," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(2), pages 839-871.
    11. Karagiannides, Gabriel, 2018. "Exploring the Determinacy Dynamics in an Open Economy," MPRA Paper 89268, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Rotemberg, Julio J., 2005. "Customer anger at price increases, changes in the frequency of price adjustment and monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 829-852, May.
    13. Takushi Kurozumi, 2016. "Endogenous Price Stickiness, Trend Inflation, and Macroeconomic Stability," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(6), pages 1267-1291, September.
    14. Weber, Henning, 2011. "Optimal inflation and firms' productivity dynamics," Kiel Working Papers 1685, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    15. Yasuo Hirose & Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stability Revisited," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 255-274, July.
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    18. Zhao, Junzhu, 2023. "Wealth in utility, the Taylor principle and determinacy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
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    24. Guido Ascari & Argia M. Sbordone, 2013. "The Macroeconomics of Trend Inflation," DEM Working Papers Series 053, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
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    27. Guido Ascari & Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenza Rossi, 2010. "Calvo vs. Rotemberg in a Trend Inflation World: An Empirical Investigation," Quaderni di Dipartimento 108, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
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    32. Fabio Milani, 2005. "Expectations, Learning and Macroeconomic Persistence," Working Papers 050608, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    33. Kazeem Bello Ajide & Olorunfemi Yasiru Alimi, 2023. "Inflation, inflation volatility and terrorism in Africa," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 493-509, January.
    34. William A. Barnett & Giovanni Bella & Taniya Ghosh & Paolo Mattana & Beatrice Venturi, 2021. "Chaos in the UK New Keynesian Macroeconomy," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202119, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2021.
    35. Georgios Karras, 2017. "Can a Higher Inflation Target Reduce Inflation Volatility?," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(4), pages 777-791, November.
    36. Taisuke Nakata, 2013. "Welfare costs of shifting trend inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-12, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    37. Weber, Henning, 2012. "The optimal inflation rate and firm-level productivity growth," Kiel Working Papers 1773, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    38. Kurozumi, Takushi, 2014. "Trend inflation, sticky prices, and expectational stability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 175-187.
    39. Yasuo Hirose & Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2015. "Monetary policy, trend inflation, and the Great Moderation: an alternative interpretation: comment based on system estimation," Research Working Paper RWP 15-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    40. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Brazil: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/349, International Monetary Fund.
    41. Gbaguidi, David Sedo, 2011. "Regime Switching in a New Keynesian Phillips Curve with Non-zero Steady-state Inflation Rate," MPRA Paper 35481, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    42. Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," NBER Working Papers 32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    43. Jonas E. Arias & Guido Ascari & Nicola Branzoli & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2014. "Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation - Comment," International Finance Discussion Papers 1127, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    44. Pontiggia, D., 2012. "Optimal long-run inflation and the New Keynesian model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1077-1094.
    45. Frederic S. Mishkin, 2008. "Does Stabilizing Inflation Contribute To Stabilizing Economic Activity?," NBER Working Papers 13970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    46. Ascari, Guido & Florio, Anna & Gobbi, Alessandro, 2018. "High trend inflation and passive monetary detours," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2018, Bank of Finland.
    47. Bakhshi, Hasan & Khan, Hashmat & Burriel-Llombart, Pablo & Rudolf, Barbara, 2007. "The New Keynesian Phillips curve under trend inflation and strategic complementarity," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 37-59, March.
    48. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy Strategies to Foster Price Stability and a Strong Labor Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    49. Masolo, Riccardo M. & Monti, Francesca, 2015. "Monetary policy with ambiguity averse agents," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86319, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    50. Joshua Brault & Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean Gardy Victor, 2021. "US Postwar Macroeconomic Fluctuations Without Indeterminacy," Carleton Economic Papers 21-01, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised 25 May 2021.
    51. Pang, Ke & Shiamptanis, Christos, 2024. "Is the Bank of Canada concerned about inflation or the state of the economy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    52. Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2012. "Firm-specific labor, trend inflation, and equilibrium stability," Research Working Paper RWP 12-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    53. Yao, Fang, 2011. "Monetary policy, trend inflation and inflation Persistence," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-008, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    54. M. Alper Cenesiz, 2007. "A New Cost Channel of Monetary Policy," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 68, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    55. Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2016. "Kinked Demand Curves, the Natural Rate Hypothesis, and Macroeconomic Stability," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 20, pages 240-257, April.
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    57. Benati, Luca, 2009. "Long run evidence on money growth and inflation," Working Paper Series 1027, European Central Bank.
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    59. Fernando Morra, 2014. "Moderando Inflaciones Moderadas," IIE, Working Papers 106, IIE, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
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    64. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Strategic Interaction among Heterogeneous Price-Setters in an Estimated DSGE Model," Working Papers 93, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
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    78. Laura Inés D’Amato & María Lorena Garegnani, 2013. "¿Cuán persistente es la inflación en Argentina?: regímenes inflacionarios y dinámica de precios en los últimos 50 años," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Laura Inés D'Amato & Enrique López Enciso & María Teresa Ramírez Giraldo (ed.), Dinámica inflacionaria, persistencia y formación de precios y salarios, edition 1, chapter 4, pages 91-115, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.

  50. Michael T. Kiley, 2003. "How should unemployment benefits respond to the business cycle?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-01, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Andersen, Torben M. & Svarer, Michael, 2009. "Business cycle dependent unemployment insurance," Kiel Working Papers 1498, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Saez, Emmanuel & Landais, Camille & Michaillat, Pascal, 2010. "Optimal Unemployment Insurance over the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 8132, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Kurt Mitman & Stanislav Rabinovich, 2011. "Pro-cyclical Unemployment Benefits? Optimal Policy in an Equilibrium Business Cycle Model," PIER Working Paper Archive 11-023, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    4. Jeremy Schwartz, 2019. "The Job Search Intensity Supply Curve: How Labor Market Conditions Affect Job Search Effort," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(2), pages 269-300, April.
    5. Filges, Trine & Kennes, John & Larsen, Birthe & Tranæs, Torben, 2006. "Social Preferences and Labor Market Policy," Working Papers 13-2006, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
    6. Camille Landais & Pascal Michaillat & Emmanuel Saez, 2010. "A Macroeconomic Theory of Optimal Unemployment Insurance," NBER Working Papers 16526, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Ek Spector, Susanne, 2012. "Unemployment Benefits or Taxes: How Should Policy Makers Redistribute Income over the Business Cycle?," IZA Discussion Papers 6308, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    8. Pollak, Andreas, 2013. "Employment Insurance and the Business Cycle," MPRA Paper 49358, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Jeremy Schwartz, 2013. "Unemployment Insurance and the Business Cycle: What Adjustments are Needed?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 79(3), pages 680-702, January.
    10. Jeremy Schwartz, 2012. "Unemployment Insurance and the Business Cycle: What Adjustments are Needed?," EcoMod2012 3674, EcoMod.
    11. Stähler, Nikolai & Moyen, Stephane & Winkler, Fabian, 2016. "Optimal Unemployment Insurance and International Risk Sharing," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145612, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    12. van Ours, Jan C. & Tatsiramos, Konstantinos, 2012. "Labor Market Effects of Unemployment Insurance Design," CEPR Discussion Papers 9196, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Moyen, Stéphane & Stähler, Nikolai, 2014. "Unemployment Insurance And The Business Cycle: Should Benefit Entitlement Duration React To The Cycle?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 497-525, April.
    14. Kory Kroft & Matthew J. Notowidigdo, 2011. "Should Unemployment Insurance Vary With the Unemployment Rate? Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 17173, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Moyen, Stéphane & Stähler, Nikolai, 2009. "Unemployment insurance and the business cycle: prolong benefit entitlements in bad times?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,30, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. Walter Nicholson & Karen Needels & Heinrich Hock, 2014. "Unemployment Compensation During the Great Recession: Theory and Evidence," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 67(1), pages 187-218, March.
    17. Walter Nicholson & Karen Needels, "undated". "The EUC08 Program in Theoretical and Historical Perspective," Mathematica Policy Research Reports 9046cb11c3aa44c8a036a6e38, Mathematica Policy Research.
    18. Schwartz Jeremy, 2020. "Job competition, human capital, and the lock-in effect: can unemployment insurance efficiently allocate human capital," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-23, January.
    19. Johannes F. Schmieder & Till M. von Wachter & Stefan Bender, 2012. "The Effects of Extended Unemployment Insurance over the Business Cycle: Evidence from Regression Discontinuity Estimates Over Twenty Years," NBER Working Papers 17813, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Sánchez, Juan M., 2008. "Optimal state-contingent unemployment insurance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 98(3), pages 348-357, March.
    21. Mark Strøm Kristoffersen, 2012. "Business Cycle Dependent Unemployment Benefits with Wealth Heterogeneity and Precautionary Savings," Economics Working Papers 2012-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    22. Tito Boeri & Jan van Ours, 2013. "The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets: Second Edition," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10142.

  51. Michael T. Kiley, 2001. "An analytical approach to the welfare cost of business cycles and the benefit from activist monetary policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-41, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Daehaeng Kim & Chul-In Lee, 2007. "Government Size and Intersectoral Income Fluctuation: An International Panel Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2007/093, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Anthony Diercks, 2016. "The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, and Optimal Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 207, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Mariano M. Croce, 2006. "Welfare Costs, Long Run Consumption Risk, and a Production Economy," 2006 Meeting Papers 582, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Anthony M. Diercks, 2015. "The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, & Optimal Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-87, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Preston J. Miller & Gary H. Stern, 2004. "Avoiding significant monetary policy mistakes," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, vol. 28(Dec), pages 2-9.
    6. Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2007. "Endogenous volatility, endogenous growth, and large welfare gains from stabilization policies," Working Papers 2006-032, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

  52. Michael T. Kiley, 2000. "Stock prices and fundamentals in a production economy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2000-05, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, July.
    2. Jakob B. Madsen & E. Philip Davis, 2004. "Equity Prices, Productivity Growth, and the 'New Economy'," EPRU Working Paper Series 04-05, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    3. Matteo Iacoviello, 2002. "House prices, borrowing constraints and monetary policy in the business cycle," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 542, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 06 Dec 2004.
    4. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," CAMA Working Papers 2017-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    5. Carl D. Lantz & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2001. "Consumption, savings, and the meaning of the wealth effect in general equilibrium," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Sum, pages 53-71.
    6. Jason G. Cummins, 2004. "A new approach to the valuation of intangible capital," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-17, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Pierre Lafourcade, 2003. "Asset prices and rents in a GE model with imperfect competition," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-60, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Simon Gilchrist & Masashi Saito, 2008. "Expectations, Asset Prices, and Monetary Policy: The Role of Learning," NBER Chapters, in: Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, pages 45-102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  53. Michael T. Kiley, 1999. "Computers and growth with costs of adjustment: will the future look like the past?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1999-36, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Ştefan Armeanu & Georgeta Vintilă & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2017. "Empirical Study towards the Drivers of Sustainable Economic Growth in EU-28 Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Karl Aiginger & Michael Landesmann, 2002. "Competitive Economic Performance: The European View," WIFO Working Papers 179, WIFO.
    3. Michael R. Pakko, 2001. "What happens when the technology growth trend changes?: transition dynamics, capital growth and the \"new economy\"," Working Papers 2001-020, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    4. Mićić Ljubiša, 2017. "Digital Transformation and Its Influence on GDP," Economics, Sciendo, vol. 5(2), pages 135-147, December.
    5. Vijselaar, Focco & Backé, Peter, 2002. "New technologies and productivity growth in the euro area," Working Paper Series 122, European Central Bank.
    6. Dale W. Jorgenson, 2001. "Information Technology and the U.S. Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(1), pages 1-32, March.
    7. James Bessen, 2002. "Technology Adoption Costs and Productivity Growth: The Transition to Information Technology," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 5(2), pages 443-469, April.
    8. Nicholas Oulton, 2002. "ICT and Productivity Growth in the United Kingdom," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 18(3), pages 363-379.
    9. Kevin J. Stiroh, 2001. "Information technology and the U.S. productivity revival: what do the industry data say?," Staff Reports 115, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    10. Charlotta Groth, 2005. "Estimating UK capital adjustment costs," Bank of England working papers 258, Bank of England.
    11. Maneejuk, Paravee & Yamaka, Woraphon, 2020. "An analysis of the impacts of telecommunications technology and innovation on economic growth," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(10).
    12. Kevin J. Stiroh, 2001. "Is IT Driving the U.S. Productivity Revival?," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 2, pages 31-36, Spring.
    13. Georg H. Strasser, 2010. "The Efficiency of the Global Markets for Final Goods and Productive Capabilities," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 766, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 31 Jan 2012.
    14. Michael R. Pakko, 2005. "Changing technology trends, transition dynamics and growth accounting," Working Papers 2000-014, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    15. Feichtinger, G. & Hartl, R.F. & Kort, P.M. & Veliov, V.M., 2006. "Anticipation effects of technological progress on capital accumulation : A vintage capital approach," Other publications TiSEM 9a8debb0-5030-46fa-b89e-b, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    16. Danny Leung, 2004. "The Effect of Adjustment Costs and Organizational Change on Productivity in Canada: Evidence from Aggregate Data," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 9, pages 52-61, Fall.
    17. Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2001. "Productivity Growth in the 1990s: Technology, Utilization, or Adjustment?," NBER Working Papers 8359, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Dale W. Jorgenson & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2000. "Raising the Speed Limit: US Economic Growth in the Information Age," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 261, OECD Publishing.
    19. Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel, 2000. "The Resurgence of Growth in the Late 1990s: Is Information Technology the Story?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 3-22, Fall.
    20. Argandoña, Antonio, 2001. "Nueva economía y el crecimiento económico, La," IESE Research Papers D/437, IESE Business School.
    21. Pascal Petit, 2002. "The Roots of the New Economy: An Institutional Perspective," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 4, pages 39-54, Spring.
    22. John Simon & Sharon Wright, 2005. "L’utilisation des technologies de l’information et sa contribution à la croissance en Australie," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 81(1), pages 165-202.
    23. John Simon & Sharon Wardrop, 2002. "Australian Use of Information Technology and its Contribution to Growth," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2002-02, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    24. Antonopoulos, Christos & Sakellaris, Plutarchos, 2009. "The contribution of Information and Communication Technology investments to Greek economic growth: An analytical growth accounting framework," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 171-191, August.
    25. Morrison Paul, Catherine J., 2002. "Supply and demand-driven spillovers and productivity growth," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 285-304, August.
    26. Cigan, Heidi, 2002. "The internet's contribution to progress and growth in Germany: The economic impact of the internet and the price structure of access," HWWA Reports 216, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
    27. Maryam Farhadi & Rahmah Ismail & Masood Fooladi, 2012. "Information and Communication Technology Use and Economic Growth," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(11), pages 1-7, November.
    28. Scherrer, Christoph, 2001. "New economy: Explosive growth driven by a productivity revolution?," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Regulation of Work FS II 01-204, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    29. Werner Roeger, 2001. "The contribution of information and communication technologies to growth in Europe and the US: A macroeconomic analysis," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 147, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    30. Sedika, Wesam M. & Emamb, Waleed, 2019. "The impact of ICT capital and use on economic growth," 2nd Europe – Middle East – North African Regional ITS Conference, Aswan 2019: Leveraging Technologies For Growth 201738, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
    31. Hannes Leo, 2001. "ICT Investment and Growth of Output and Productivity," WIFO Working Papers 162, WIFO.
    32. Alessandra Colecchia & Paul Schreyer, 2002. "ICT Investment and Economic Growth in the 1990s: Is the United States a Unique Case? A Comparative Study of Nine OECD Countries," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 5(2), pages 408-442, April.
    33. Michael T. Kiley, 2000. "Stock prices and fundamentals in a production economy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2000-05, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  54. Michael T. Kiley, 1999. "Partial adjustment and staggered price setting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1999-01, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Michel Juillard & Herve Le Bihan & Stephen Millard, 2013. "Non-uniform wage-staggering: European evidence and monetary policy implications," Bank of England working papers 477, Bank of England.
    2. Devereux, Michael B & Yetman, James, 2003. "Predetermined Prices and the Persistent Effects of Money on Output," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(5), pages 729-741, October.
    3. Fernando Alvarez & Hervé Le Bihan & Francesco Lippi, 2013. "Small and Large Price Changes and the Propagation of Monetary Shocks," EIEF Working Papers Series 1318, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Aug 2013.
    4. Michael Woodford, 2008. "Information-Constrained State-Dependent Pricing," NBER Working Papers 14620, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Ali Dib, 2003. "An estimated Canadian DSGE model with nominal and real rigidities," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 36(4), pages 949-972, November.
    6. Michael T. Kiley, 1996. "The lead of output over inflation in sticky price models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 96-33, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Huw David Dixon, 2009. "A unified framework for understanding and comparing dynamic wage and price-setting models," Working papers 257, Banque de France.
    8. Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2005. "Pricing models: a Bayesian DSGE approach to the U.S. economy," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Gaurav Saroliya, 2007. "The New Keynesian Business Cycle Achievements and Challenges," Discussion Papers 07/20, Department of Economics, University of York.
    10. Yao, Fang, 2016. "A Note On Increasing Hazard Functions And The Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 446-459, January.
    11. Dixon, Huw David & Kara, Engin, 2007. "Persistence and Nominal Inertia in a Generalized Taylor Economy: How Longer Contracts Dominate Shorter Contracts," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2007/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    12. Dotsey, Michael & King, Robert G., 2005. "Implications of state-dependent pricing for dynamic macroeconomic models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 213-242, January.
    13. Carvalho, Carlos & Schwartzman, Felipe, 2015. "Selection and monetary non-neutrality in time-dependent pricing models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 141-156.
    14. Richard Mash, 2004. "Optimising microfoundations for observed inflation persistence," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 60, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    15. Paustian, Matthias & Stoltenberg, Christian, 2008. "Optimal interest rate stabilization in a basic sticky-price model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(10), pages 3166-3191, October.
    16. Eric Jondeau & Hervé Le Bihan, 2001. "Testing for a Forward-Looking Phillips Curve. Additional Evidence from European and US data," Macroeconomics 0111005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Carlos Carvalho, 2005. "Heterogeneity in Price Setting and the Real Effects of Monetary Shocks," Macroeconomics 0509017, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Oct 2005.
    18. Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2002. "A Reappraisal of the Inflation-Unemployment Tradeoff," Working Papers 479, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    19. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Weber, Henning, 2011. "Optimal inflation and firms' productivity dynamics," Kiel Working Papers 1685, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    21. Sharon Kozicki & Peter A. Tinsley, 2001. "Dynamic specifications in optimizing trend-deviation macro models," Research Working Paper RWP 01-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    22. Richard Mash, 2003. "New Keynesian Microfoundations Revisited: A Calvo-Taylor-Rule-of-Thumb Model and Optimal Monetary Policy Delegation," Economics Series Working Papers 174, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    23. Musy, Olivier, 2006. "Inflation persistence and the real costs of disinflation in staggered prices and partial adjustment models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 50-55, April.
    24. Jean-Pierre Danthine & André Kurmann, 2003. "Fair Wages in a New Keynesian Model of the Business Cycle," Cahiers de recherche 0320, CIRPEE.
    25. Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: In Search of Improvements and Adaptation to the Open Economy," Economics wp31_tjorvi, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    26. Mohamed Safouane Ben Aïssa & Olivier Musy, 2011. "The Dynamic Properties Of Alternative Assumptions On Price Adjustment In New Keynesian Models," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(4), pages 353-384, October.
    27. Richard Mash, 2002. "New Keynesian Microfundations Revisited: A Generalised Calvo-Taylor Model and the Desirability of Inflation vs. Price Level Targeting," Economics Series Working Papers 109, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    28. Döpke, J. & Funke, M. & Holly, S. & Weber, S., 2008. "The Cross-Section of Output and Inflation in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model with Sticky Prices," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0853, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    29. John Leahy, 2016. "Comment on "Are State and Time Dependent Models Really Different?"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016, Volume 31, pages 458-464, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. James Costain & Antón Nákov, 2008. "Price adjustments in a general model of state-dependent pricing," Working Papers 0824, Banco de España.
    31. Chahnez Boudaya, 2006. "Stage-specific technology shocks and employment: Could we reconcile with the RBC models?," Post-Print halshs-00115791, HAL.
    32. Dr. Burhan Othman Hussein, 2018. "The Time Change of the Consumer Price Index Response to the Changes That Occur in the Supply of Money in the Iraqi Economy," The Journal of Social Sciences Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, pages 7-10:4.
    33. Stephen Murchison & Andrew Rennison & Zhenhua Zhu, 2004. "A Structural Small Open-Economy Model for Canada," Staff Working Papers 04-4, Bank of Canada.
    34. Batini, Nicoletta & Harrison, Richard & Millard, Stephen P., 2003. "Monetary policy rules for an open economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(11), pages 2059-2094.
    35. Michael T. Kiley, 2007. "A Quantitative Comparison of Sticky‐Price and Sticky‐Information Models of Price Setting," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(s1), pages 101-125, February.
    36. Andrew T. Levin & Alexei Onatski & John Williams & Noah M. Williams, 2006. "Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Models," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, Volume 20, pages 229-312, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    37. Costain, James & Nakov, Anton, 2014. "Precautionary price stickiness," CEPR Discussion Papers 9912, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    38. von Hagen, Jurgen & Paustian, Matthias, 2008. "The Role of Contracting Schemes for Assessing the Welfare Costs of Nominal Rigidities," CEPR Discussion Papers 6726, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    39. Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2006. "Phillips Curves and Unemployment Dynamics: A Critique and a Holistic Perspective," IZA Discussion Papers 2265, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    40. Paustian, Matthias & von Hagen, Jürgen, 2012. "How relevant are nominal contracting schemes for monetary policy?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 723-740.
    41. Jean‐Philippe Laforte, 2007. "Pricing Models: A Bayesian DSGE Approach for the U.S. Economy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(s1), pages 127-154, February.
    42. Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem, 2014. "Welfare Reversals in a Monetary Union," Post-Print halshs-00957984, HAL.
    43. Dixon, Huw & Kara, Engin, 2011. "Contract length heterogeneity and the persistence of monetary shocks in a dynamic generalized Taylor economy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 280-292, February.
    44. Ascari, Guido, 2003. "Staggered prices and trend inflation: Some nuisances," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 27/2003, Bank of Finland.
    45. Michael T. Kiley, 1997. "Staggered price setting and real rigidities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-46, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    46. Richard Mash, 2006. "Optimising Microfoundations for Inflation Persistence," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 457, Society for Computational Economics.
    47. Yao, Fang, 2010. "Can the New Keynesian Phillips Curve explain inflation gap persistence?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-030, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    48. Carlos Viana de Carvalho, 2004. "The Effects of Heterogeneity in Price Setting on Price and Inflation Inertia," Macroeconomics 0412013, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Oct 2005.
    49. Zuzana Janko, 2008. "Nominal Wage Contracts, Labor Adjustment Costs and the Business Cycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 11(2), pages 434-448, April.
    50. Boris Hofmann & Matthias Paustian, 2005. "The Persistence and Rigidity of wages and prices," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 71, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    51. Seidel, Gerald, 2005. "Endogenous Inflation - The Role of Expectations and Strategic Interaction," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 05-14, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
    52. Hasan Bakhshi & Pablo Burriel-Llombart & Hashmat Khan & Barbara Rudolf, 2003. "Endogenous price stickiness, trend inflation, and the New Keynesian Phillips curve," Bank of England working papers 191, Bank of England.
    53. Ben Aissa, Mohamed Safouane & Musy, Olivier & Pereau, Jean-Christophe, 2007. "Modelling inflation persistence with periodicity changes in fixed and predetermined prices models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 823-838, September.
    54. Aguilera-Bravo, Asier & Casares, Miguel, 2019. "On staggered prices and optimal inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    55. Duarte, Margarida & Wolman, Alexander L., 2002. "Regional inflation in a currency union: fiscal policy vs. fundamentals," Working Paper Series 180, European Central Bank.
    56. Matthias Paustian, 2005. "The role of contracting schemes for the welfare costs of nominal rigidities," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 196, Society for Computational Economics.
    57. Cheng-qi Hou & Pin Wang, 2014. "An Estimation of Sectoral Price Stickiness using Aggregate Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 53-70, June.
    58. Kara, Engin, 2010. "Optimal monetary policy in the generalized Taylor economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 2023-2037, October.
    59. Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2016. "Kinked Demand Curves, the Natural Rate Hypothesis, and Macroeconomic Stability," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 20, pages 240-257, April.
    60. Huw Dixon, 2007. "The distribution of contract durations across firms: a unified framework for understanding and comparing dynamic wage and price setting models," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 148, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    61. Yao, Fang, 2010. "Aggregate hazard function in price-setting: A bayesian analysis using macro data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-020, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    62. Alexander L. Wolman, 1999. "Sticky prices, marginal cost, and the behavior of inflation," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 29-48.
    63. Ekaterina V. Peneva, 2009. "Factor intensity and price rigidity: evidence and theory," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-07, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    64. Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 1999. "Knowing the Cycle," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp1999n12, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    65. Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2005. "Another look at sticky prices and output persistence," Working Papers 2005-051, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    66. Keen, Benjamin D., 2004. "In search of the liquidity effect in a modern monetary model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 1467-1494, October.
    67. Jangyoul Kim & Gieyoung Lim, 2007. "Staggered Nominal Contracts: Taylor Vs. Calvo," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 23, pages 65-87.
    68. Michael Dotsey, 2002. "Pitfalls in interpreting tests of backward-looking pricing in New Keynesian models," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Win, pages 37-50.
    69. Erwan Gautier, 2008. "Les ajustements micro conomiques des prix : une synth se des mod les Théoriques et r sultats empiriques," Working papers 211, Banque de France.
    70. Paustian, Matthias, 2004. "Can Wage and Price Stickiness Account for Sizeable Costs of Business Cycle Fluctuations?," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 18/2004, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
    71. Miguel Casares, 2007. "Monopolistic Competition, Sticky Prices, and the Minimal Mark-Up in Steady State," Documentos de Trabajo - Lan Gaiak Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra 0702, Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra.
    72. Jondeau, Eric & Le Bihan, Herve, 2005. "Testing for the New Keynesian Phillips Curve. Additional international evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 521-550, May.
    73. Seidel, Gerald, 2005. "Endogenous inflation : the role of expectations and strategic interaction," Papers 05-14, Sonderforschungsbreich 504.
    74. Xu, Xin, 2013. "The business cycle and health behaviors," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 126-136.
    75. Susanto Basu, 1998. "Technology and business cycles; how well do standard models explain the facts?," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, vol. 42(Jun), pages 207-269.

  55. Michael T. Kiley, 1998. "Monetary policy under neoclassical and New-Keynesian Phillips Curves, with an application to price level and inflation targeting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1998-27, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Bullard, James & Mitra, Kaushik, 2002. "Learning about monetary policy rules," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(6), pages 1105-1129, September.
    2. Jan Zápal, 2005. "Evropská měnová unie z post-keynesovské perspektivy [European monetary union from post keynesian perspective]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2005(5), pages 687-701.
    3. Huh, Chan G. & Lansing, Kevin J., 2000. "Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 51-86.
    4. Andrew Levin & Christopher J. Erceg & Dale W. Henderson, 1999. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Staggered Wage and Price Contracts," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1151, Society for Computational Economics.
    5. Haider Ali & Eatzaz Ahmad, 2014. "Choice of Monetary Policy Instrument under Targeting Regimes in a Simple Stochastic Macro Model," PIDE-Working Papers 2014:102, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    6. Michael Woodford, 1999. "Commentary : how should monetary policy be conducted in an era of price stability?," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 277-316.
    7. Lars E. O. Svensson, 2001. "Price Stability as a Target for Monetary Policy: Defining and Maintaining Price Stability," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Deutsche Bundesbank (ed.), The Monetary Transmission Process, chapter 2, pages 60-111, Palgrave Macmillan.
    8. Erceg, C.J. & Henderson, D.W. & Levin, A.T., 1998. "Tradeoffs Between Inflation and Output-Gap Variances in an Optimizing-Agent Model," Papers 650, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
    9. Jiri Bohm & Jan Filacek & Ivana Kubicova & Romana Zamazalova, 2011. "Price-Level Targeting - A Real Alternative to Inflation Targeting?," Research and Policy Notes 2011/01, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    10. Michael Woodford, 1999. "Optimal Monetary Policy Inertia," NBER Working Papers 7261, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Jesús Antonio Bejarano Rojas, 2005. "Estimación estructural y análisis de la curva de Phillips neokeynesiana para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 23(48), pages 64-117.
    12. Viñals, José, 2001. "Monetary Policy Issues in a Low Inflation Environment," CEPR Discussion Papers 2945, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Nessén, Marianne & Vestin, David, 2000. "Average Inflation Targeting," Working Paper Series 119, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    14. Matthews, Kent & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Webb, Bruce, 2006. "Monetary regimes: is there a trade-off between consumption and employment variability?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2006/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    15. Batini, Nicoletta & Yates, Anthony, 2003. "Hybrid Inflation and Price-Level Targeting," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(3), pages 283-300, June.
    16. Junhan Kim, 2011. "Inflation Targeting as Constrained Discretion," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(7), pages 1505-1522, October.
    17. Vestin, David, 2006. "Price-level versus inflation targeting," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(7), pages 1361-1376, October.
    18. Francesco Busato & Alessandro Girardi & Amedeo Argentiero, 2008. "Technology and non-technology shocks in a two-sector economy," ISAE Working Papers 96, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY).
    19. Yuen Chi-Wa, 2002. "Openness And The Output-Inflation Tradeoff: Floating Vs. Fixed Exchange Rates," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 1-26.
    20. Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Webb, Bruce, 2005. "Would price-level targeting destabilise the economy?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2005/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    21. Nelson, Edward, 2001. "What Does the UK's Monetary Policy and Inflation Experience Tell Us About the Transmission Mechanism?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3047, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    22. Robert Dittmar & William T. Gavin, 1999. "What do New-Keynesian Phillips Curves imply for price level targeting?," Working Papers 1999-021, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    23. Smets, Frank, 2003. "Maintaining price stability: how long is the medium term?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(6), pages 1293-1309, September.
    24. Giannoni, Marc P., 2002. "Does Model Uncertainty Justify Caution? Robust Optimal Monetary Policy In A Forward-Looking Model," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(1), pages 111-144, February.
    25. Malik, Hamza, 2005. "Price Level vs. Nominal Income Targeting: Aggregate Demand Shocks and the Cost Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission," MPRA Paper 456, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2006.
    26. Robert Dittmar & William T. Gavin & Finn E. Kydland, 1999. "Price-level uncertainty and inflation targeting," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 81(Jul), pages 23-34.

  56. Michael T. Kiley, 1997. "Efficiency wages, nominal rigidities, and the cyclical behavior of real wages and marginal cost," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-24, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Ronny Mazzocchi, 2013. "Scope and Flaws of the New Neoclassical Synthesis," DEM Discussion Papers 2013/13, Department of Economics and Management.
    2. David, DE LA CROIX & Gregory, DE WALQUE & Rafael, WOUTERS, 2006. "Dynamics and monetary policy in a fair wage model of the business cycle," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2006061, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
    3. Jean-Pierre Danthine & André Kurmann, 2003. "Fair Wages in a New Keynesian Model of the Business Cycle," Cahiers de recherche 0320, CIRPEE.
    4. George J. Bratsiotis & Christopher Martin, 2003. "Monetary Policy Rules, Real Rigidity and Endogenous Persistence," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 02-31, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
    5. Canegallo, Claudia, 1999. "Funzionamento del mercato del lavoro in presenza di informazione asimmetrica. Una rassegna della letteratura," POLIS Working Papers 8, Institute of Public Policy and Public Choice - POLIS.
    6. Andrea Vaona, 2013. "The Most Beautiful Variations on Fair Wages and the Phillips Curve," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(6), pages 1069-1084, September.
    7. James Costain & Marcel Jansen, 2006. "Employment fluctuations with downward wage rigidity: the role of moral hazard," Working Papers 0632, Banco de España.
    8. Wu Joseph S. K. & Ho Chi Pui, 2017. "The Shapiro-Stiglitz Model with Non-constant Marginal Utility," Open Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 36-48, August.
    9. Vaona, Andrea, 2011. "Four variations on fair wages and the Phillips curve," Kiel Working Papers 1713, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. Yakita, Akira, 2014. "Involuntary unemployment and sustainability of bond-financed fiscal deficit," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 79-93.
    11. George J. Bratsiotis & Christopher Martin, 2005. "Output Stabilization And Real Rigidity," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 73(6), pages 728-736, December.

  57. Michael T. Kiley, 1997. "Staggered price setting and real rigidities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-46, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Robert Feenstra & Paul Bergin, 2004. "staggered price setting and endogenous persistence," Working Papers 220, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    2. Gerke, Rafael & Rubart, Jens, 2009. "The Role of Money Demand in a Business Cycle Model with Staggered Wage Contracts," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 77421, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    3. Bakhshi, Hasan, 2002. "Inflation and relative price variability," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 27-33, June.
    4. Ali Dib, 2003. "An estimated Canadian DSGE model with nominal and real rigidities," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 36(4), pages 949-972, November.
    5. Ali Dib & Louis Phaneuf, 2001. "An Econometric U.S. Business Cycle Model with Nominal and Real Rigidities," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 137, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
    6. Huang, Kevin X. D. & Liu, Zheng, 2001. "Production chains and general equilibrium aggregate dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 437-462, October.
    7. Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1999. "Inflation Dynamics: A Structural Economic Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 2246, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Rochelle M. Edge, 2000. "The equivalence of wage and price staggering in monetary business cycle models," International Finance Discussion Papers 672, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Merkl, Christian & Snower, Dennis J., 2007. "Monetary Persistence, Imperfect Competition, and Staggering Complementarities," IZA Discussion Papers 3033, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    10. Huw Dixon, 1999. "New Keynesian economics, nominal rigidities and involuntary unemployment," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 221-238.
    11. Smith, Peter N., 2000. "Output price determination and the business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 49-69, January.
    12. Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2002. "A Reappraisal of the Inflation-Unemployment Tradeoff," Working Papers 479, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    13. Kirill Sosunov, 2001. "Monetary neutrality in one specific class of DGE model with staggered prices," Macroeconomics 0112003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Christopher J. Erceg, 1997. "Nominal wage rigidities and the propagation of monetary disturbances," International Finance Discussion Papers 590, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Fabrice COLLARD & Guy ERTZ, 2000. "Stochastic Nominal Wage Contracts in a Cash-in-Advance model," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 2000032, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    16. Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu, 1998. "Staggered Contracts and Business Cycle Persistence," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 105, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
    17. Bratsiotis, George J., 2007. "Monetary policy responses and strategic price setting," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 95(3), pages 327-333, June.
    18. Merkl, Christian & Snower, Dennis J., 2005. "Monetary persistence, imperfect competition, and staggering complementarities," Kiel Working Papers 1257, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    19. Jess Benhabib & Roger Farmer, 1998. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Levine's Working Paper Archive 2055, David K. Levine.
    20. Huang, Kevin X. D. & Liu, Zheng, 2002. "Staggered price-setting, staggered wage-setting, and business cycle persistence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 405-433, March.
    21. Givens Gregory E, 2008. "Unemployment, Imperfect Risk Sharing, and the Monetary Business Cycle," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-43, March.
    22. Rochelle M. Edge, 2000. "The effect of monetary policy on residential and structures investment under differential project planning and completion times," International Finance Discussion Papers 671, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. Gali, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1999. "Inflation dynamics: A structural econometric analysis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 195-222, October.
    24. John B. Taylor, 1998. "Staggered Price and Wage Setting in Macroeconomics," NBER Working Papers 6754, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. Jordi Gali, 2002. "New Perspectives on Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 8767, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Marianna Riggi, 2007. "New Keynesian models with labor market rigidities: a critical survey," Working Papers in Public Economics 102, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    27. Farmer, R.E.A., 1999. "Two New Keynesian Theories of Sticky Prices," Economics Working Papers eco99/33, European University Institute.
    28. Taylor, John B., 2000. "Low inflation, pass-through, and the pricing power of firms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 1389-1408, June.
    29. Marianna Riggi & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2008. "Nominal v. Real Wage Rigidities in New Keynesian Models with Hiring Costs," Working Papers in Public Economics 107, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    30. Olivier Jeanne, 1997. "Generating Real Persistent Effects of Monetary Shocks: How Much Nominal Rigidity Do We Really Need?," NBER Working Papers 6258, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Alvarez-Lois, Pedro P., 2006. "Endogenous capacity utilization and macroeconomic persistence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(8), pages 2213-2237, November.
    32. Bergin, Paul R. & Feenstra, Robert C., 2000. "Staggered price setting, translog preferences, and endogenous persistence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 657-680, June.
    33. Tommy Sveen & Lutz Weinke, 2006. "Firm-specific capital, nominal rigidities, and the Taylor principle," Working Paper 2006/06, Norges Bank.
    34. Marianna Riggi, 2010. "Nominal And Real Wage Rigidities In New Keynesian Models: A Critical Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(3), pages 539-572, July.
    35. Katharine S. Neiss & Evi Pappa, 2005. "Persistence without too much price stickiness: the role of variable factor utilization," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 8(1), pages 231-255, January.
    36. Wilson, Matthew S., 2020. "A real business cycle model with money as a sunspot variable," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).

  58. Michael T. Kiley, 1997. "The supply of skilled labor and skill-based technological progress," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-45, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Inoue, Atsushi & Jin, Lu & Rossi, Barbara, 2017. "Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 55-67.
    2. Nahuis, Richard & Smulders, Sjak, 2002. "The Skill Premium, Technological Change and Appropriability," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 137-156, June.
    3. Accinelli, Elvio & Sanchez Carrera, Edgar J., 2011. "Strategic complementarities between innovative firms and skilled workers: The poverty trap and the policymaker's intervention," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 30-40, February.
    4. Borghans, Lex & ter Weel, Bas, 2007. "The diffusion of computers and the distribution of wages," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 715-748, April.
    5. Sahoo, Amarendra & ten Raa, Thijs, 2012. "Wage–productivity differentials and Indian economic efficiency," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 341-348.
    6. Loebbing, Jonas, 2018. "An Elementary Theory of Endogenous Technical Change and Wage Inequality," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181603, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Maria Rosaria Carillo, 2000. "The Effect of Professionalisation and the Demand for Social Status on the Adoption of New Technologies," Rivista italiana degli economisti, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 3, pages 473-502.
    8. Ujjaini Mukhopadhyay, 2021. "Differential Education Subsidy Policy and Wage Inequality Between Skilled, Semi-skilled and Unskilled Labour: A General Equilibrium Approach," Review of Development and Change, , vol. 26(1), pages 40-62, June.
    9. Piva, Mariacristina & Santarelli, Enrico & Vivarelli, Marco, 2003. "The Skill Bias Effect of Technological and Organisational Change: Evidence and Policy Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 934, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    10. Juergen Antony, 2007. "Depletion of Non-Renewable Resources and Endogenous Technical Change," Discussion Paper Series 291, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
    11. Nakabayashi, Masaki, 2011. "Schooling, employer learning, and internal labor market effect: Wage dynamics and human capital investment in the Japanese steel industry, 1930-1960s," MPRA Paper 30749, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 May 2011.
    12. Zsofia Barany, 2016. "The Minimum Wage and Inequality: The Effects of Education and Technology," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03594158, HAL.
    13. Meckl, Jürgen & Zink, Stefan, 2001. "Solow and heterogeneous labor: A neoclassical explanation of wage inequality," Discussion Papers, Series I 312, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
    14. Cozzi, Guido & Galli, Silvia, 2011. "Upstream innovation protection: common law evolution and the dynamics of wage inequality," MPRA Paper 31902, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Andre Varella Mollick, 2008. "The Rise of the Skill Premium in Mexican Maquiladoras," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(9), pages 1382-1404.
    16. Florian Brugger & Christian Gehrke, 2017. "The Neoclassical Approach to Induced Technical Change: From Hicks to Acemoglu," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(4), pages 730-776, November.
    17. Timo Boppart & Franziska J. Weiss, 2013. "Non-homothetic preferences and industry directed technical change," ECON - Working Papers 123, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
    18. Carlos Medina & Christian Posso, 2010. "Technical Change and Polarization of the Labor Market: Evidence for Brazil, Colombia and Mexico," Borradores de Economia 614, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    19. Juergen Antony, 2003. "Directed Sector and Skill-Specific Technological Change: The Development of Wages for the High and Low Skilled," Discussion Paper Series 236, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
    20. Jorge Calero, 2003. "Exploring the Long Term Effects of Educational Policies on the Income Redistribution Processes," LIS Working papers 361, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
    21. Violante, Giovanni & Hornstein, Andreas, 2005. "The Effects of Technical Change on Labour Market Inequalities," CEPR Discussion Papers 5025, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    22. Janssen, Simon & Mohrenweiser, Jens, 2015. "The long-lasting effect of technological change on the careers of young workers: Evidence from changes of mandatory training regulations," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112851, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    23. Raúl Fuentes Z. & Javier Scavia D. & Juan Berríos P., 2014. "About the long-term distributional impact of embodied technological progress (without spillover effects) in developing countries," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 17(3), pages 28-54, December.
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    25. Benabou, Roland, 2004. "Inequality, Technology, and the Social Contract," Papers 08-15-2005b, Princeton University, Research Program in Political Economy.
    26. Jonas Loebbing, 2020. "Redistributive Income Taxation with Directed Technical Change," CESifo Working Paper Series 8743, CESifo.
    27. Danzer, Alexander M. & Feuerbaum, Carsten & Gaessler, Fabian, 2024. "Labor supply and automation innovation: Evidence from an allocation policy," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
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    32. Madsen, Jakob & Minniti, Antonio & Venturini, Francesco, 2024. "Declining research productivity and income inequality: A centenary perspective," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    33. Zohal Hessami, 2016. "How Do Voters React to Complex Choices in a Direct Democracy? Evidence from Switzerland," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(2), pages 263-293, May.
    34. Cozzi, Guido & Impullitti, Giammario, 2006. "Technological policy and wage inequality," MPRA Paper 10140, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    35. Timo Boppart & Franziska J. Weiss, 2012. "Structural Change, Market Size and Sector Specific Endogenous Growth," DEGIT Conference Papers c017_062, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    36. Gerard van der Meijden & Sjak Smulders, 2014. "Carbon Lock-In: The Role of Expectations," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-100/VIII, Tinbergen Institute, revised 14 Jul 2016.
    37. Guido Cozzi & Silvia Galli, 2014. "Sequential R&D and blocking patents in the dynamics of growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 183-219, June.
    38. Leonardo Becchetti & Luigi Paganetto & David Andres Londono Bedoya, 2003. "ICT Investment, Productivity and Efficiency: Evidence at Firm Level Using a Stochastic Frontier Approach," CEIS Research Paper 29, Tor Vergata University, CEIS.
    39. Andreas Irmen, 2009. "Population Aging and the Direction of Technical Change," CESifo Working Paper Series 2888, CESifo.
    40. Liu, Xiaohui & Hodgkinson, Ian R. & Chuang, Fu-Mei, 2014. "Foreign competition, domestic knowledge base and innovation activities: Evidence from Chinese high-tech industries," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 414-422.
    41. Bas Jacobs, 2003. "The lost race between schooling and technology," CPB Discussion Paper 25, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    42. Daron Acemoglu, 2015. "Localised and Biased Technologies: Atkinson and Stiglitz's New View, Induced Innovations, and Directed Technological Change," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0(583), pages 443-463, March.
    43. Pengfei Zhang, 2018. "Endogenous sector-biased technical change and perpetual and transient structural change," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 123(3), pages 195-223, April.
    44. Gino Gancia & Fabrizio Zilibotti & Daron Acemoglu, 2012. "Offshoring and Directed Technical Change," 2012 Meeting Papers 688, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    45. Loebbing, Jonas, 2020. "Redistributive Income Taxation with Directed Technical Change," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224606, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    46. Li, defu & Bental, Benjamin, 2023. "Why is technical change purely labor-augmenting and skill biased in the 20th century?," MPRA Paper 119047, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    47. Funk, Peter & Vogel, Thorsten, 2004. "Endogenous skill bias," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(11), pages 2155-2193, October.
    48. Matthias Weiss, 2005. "On the Evolution of Wage Inequality in Acemoglu’s Model of Directed Technical Change," MEA discussion paper series 05099, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    49. Paul Auerbach & Peter Skott, "undated". "Skill Asymmetries, Increasing Wage Inequality and Unemployment," Economics Working Papers 2000-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    50. Sandén, Klas, 2007. "Risk, Occupational Choice, and Inequality," Working Papers in Economics 263, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    51. Li, Shang-ao & Pan, Shan & Chi, Shawn, 2016. "North–South FDI and directed technical change," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 425-435.
    52. Rossana Patron & Marcel Vaillant, 2012. "Can Education Policy Address The Wage Gap? A Note On Public Skill Formation In Developing Countries," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 369-378, April.
    53. Nicholas Lawson, 2014. "Liquidity Constraints, Fiscal Externalities and Optimal Tuition Subsidies Optimal College Tuition Subsidies," AMSE Working Papers 1404, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, revised 18 Mar 2014.
    54. Leonardi, Marco, 2010. "The Effect of Product Demand on Inequality: Evidence from the US and the UK," IZA Discussion Papers 5011, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    55. Ronald Benabou, 2002. "Human capital, technical change and the welfare state," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 465, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    56. Rahman, Ahmed S., 2013. "The Road Not Taken: What Is The “Appropriate” Path To Development When Growth Is Unbalanced?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(4), pages 747-778, June.
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    73. Christian Groth, 2004. "Innovation and growth: What have we learnt from the robustness debate?," Discussion Papers 04-29, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, revised Nov 2004.
    74. Priya Brata Dutta, 2014. "Skilled-unskilled wage inequality, product variety and unemployment: A static general equilibrium analysis," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 31-55, February.
    75. Daron Acemoglu, 2000. "Technical Change, Inequality, and the Labor Market," NBER Working Papers 7800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    76. Fang, Chen-ray & Huang, Li-hsuan & Wang, Ming-cheng, 2008. "Technology spillover and wage inequality," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 137-147, January.
    77. Gupta, Manash Ranjan & Dutta, Priya Brata, 2010. "Skilled-unskilled wage inequality: A general equilibrium analysis," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(4), pages 247-263, December.
    78. Zwick Thomas, 2001. "Supply of Human Capital in Times of Skill Biased Technological Change / Die Reaktion des Humankapitalangebots auf qualifikationsverzerrten technischen Fortschritt," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 221(3), pages 322-335, June.
    79. Leonardi, Marco, 2003. "Product Demand Shifts and Wage Inequality," IZA Discussion Papers 908, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

  59. Michael T. Kiley, "undated". "Endogenous Price Stickiness and Business Cycle Persistence," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1996-23, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 04 Dec 2019.

    Cited by:

    1. Hutchison, M M & Walsh, C E, 1998. "The Output-Inflation Tradeoff and Central Bank Reform: Evidence from New Zealand," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 108(448), pages 703-725, May.
    2. Fernandez-Corugedo Emilio, 2007. "The Impact of Trend Inflation in an Open Economy Model," Working Papers 2007-15, Banco de México.
    3. Giovanni Lombardo, "undated". "Sticky Prices, Markup and the Business Cycle: Some Evidence," Discussion Papers 01/06, Department of Economics, University of York.
    4. Michael T. Kiley, 1996. "The lead of output over inflation in sticky price models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 96-33, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Yulei Luo & Jun Nie & Eric R. Young, 2015. "Slow Information Diffusion And The Inertial Behavior Of Durable Consumption," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 13(5), pages 805-840, October.
    6. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Anchored or Not: How Much Information Does 21st Century Data Contain on Inflation Dynamics?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(1), pages 239-261, February.
    7. Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu, 2004. "Multiple stages of processing and the quantity anomaly in international business cycle models," Research Working Paper RWP 04-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    8. Chi-Young Choi & Young Se Kim & Róisín O'Sullivan, 2011. "Inflation Targeting and Relative Price Variability: What Difference Does Inflation Targeting Make?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 77(4), pages 934-957, April.
    9. Caleiro, António, 2008. "How Can Voters Classify an Incumbent under Output Persistence," Economics Discussion Papers 2008-16, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    10. Konstantin Styrin & Oleg Zamulin, 2003. "Estimating Price Rigidities in the Russian Real Estate Markets," Working Papers w0026, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
    11. Takushi Kurozumi, 2016. "Endogenous Price Stickiness, Trend Inflation, and Macroeconomic Stability," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(6), pages 1267-1291, September.
    12. Carlos Santos & Maria Alberta Oliveira, 2010. "Assessing French inflation persistence with impulse saturation break tests and automatic general-to-specific modelling," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(12), pages 1577-1589.
    13. Ahrens, Steffen & Snower, Dennis J., 2012. "Envy, guilt, and the Phillips curve," Kiel Working Papers 1754, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    14. George J. Bratsiotis & Christopher Martin, 2003. "Monetary Policy Rules, Real Rigidity and Endogenous Persistence," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 02-31, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
    15. Becker, Sascha, 2011. "What drives the relationship between inflation and price dispersion? Market power vs. price rigidity," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-019, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    16. Chris Tsoukis & George Kapetanios & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "The Elusive Persistence: Wage and Price Rigidities, the Phillips Curve, and Inflation Dynamics," Working Papers 619, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    17. Devereux, Michael B. & Yetman, James, 2002. "Menu costs and the long-run output-inflation trade-off," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 95-100, June.
    18. Levin, Andrew & Yun, Tack, 2007. "Reconsidering the natural rate hypothesis in a New Keynesian framework," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(5), pages 1344-1365, July.
    19. Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Louis Phaneuf, 2000. "On the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 112, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal, revised Sep 2001.
    20. Martin Boileau & Marc-Andre Letendre, 2011. "Inventories, sticky prices, and the persistence of output and inflation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(10), pages 1161-1174.
    21. Ichiro Fukunaga, 2007. "Imperfect Common Knowledge, Staggered Price Setting, and the Effects of Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(7), pages 1711-1739, October.
    22. Martin Boileau & Marc-André Letendre, 2004. "Inventories, Sticky Prices and the Propogation of Nominal Shocks," Department of Economics Working Papers 2004-03, McMaster University.
    23. Emmanuel De Veirman, 2007. "Which nonlinearity in the Phillips curve? The absence of accelerating deflation in Japan," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2007/14, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    24. Imran Hussain Shaha & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2017. "Seeking price and macroeconomic stabilisation in the euro area: The role of house prices and stock prices," Working Papers del Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales 1707, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales.
    25. Caleiro, António, 2009. "How upside down are political business cycles when there is output persistence," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 22-26, March.
    26. Tsutomu Watanabe & David Weinstein & Jessie Handbury, 2014. "How Much Do Official Price Indexes Tell Us About Inflation?," 2014 Meeting Papers 73, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Michael T. Kiley, 2003. "Why Is Inflation Low When Productivity Growth Is High?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(3), pages 392-406, July.
    28. Kurozumi, Takushi, 2014. "Trend inflation, sticky prices, and expectational stability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 175-187.
    29. Senay, Ozge & Sutherland, Alan, 2010. "Endogenous Price Flexibility and Optimal Monetary Policy," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-16, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    30. Latorre, Concepción & Gómez-Plana, Antonio G., 2010. "Multinationals in the Motor vehicles industry: A general equilibrium analysis for a Transition Economy," Conference papers 332025, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    31. Huang, Kevin X.D. & Liu, Zheng, 2007. "Business cycles with staggered prices and international trade in intermediate inputs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1271-1289, May.
    32. McAdam, Peter & Willman, Alpo, 2007. "State-dependency and firm-level optimization: a contribution to Calvo price staggering," Working Paper Series 806, European Central Bank.
    33. Bruchez, Pierre-Alain, 2007. "A Hybrid Sticky-Price and Sticky-Information Model," MPRA Paper 3540, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    34. Belbute, José & Caleiro, António, 2009. "Measuring the Persistence on Consumption in Portugal," MPRA Paper 15116, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    35. Watson, Anna, 2016. "Trade openness and inflation: The role of real and nominal price rigidities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 137-169.
    36. Chi‐Young Choi, 2010. "Reconsidering the Relationship between Inflation and Relative Price Variability," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(5), pages 769-798, August.
    37. Christopher Tsoukis & George Kapetanios & Joseph Pearlman, 2011. "Elusive Persistence: Wage And Price Rigidities, The New Keynesian Phillips Curve And Inflation Dynamics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 737-768, September.
    38. Hasan Bakhshi & Pablo Burriel-Llombart & Hashmat Khan & Barbara Rudolf, 2003. "Endogenous price stickiness, trend inflation, and the New Keynesian Phillips curve," Bank of England working papers 191, Bank of England.
    39. Bakhshi, Hasan & Khan, Hashmat & Burriel-Llombart, Pablo & Rudolf, Barbara, 2007. "The New Keynesian Phillips curve under trend inflation and strategic complementarity," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 37-59, March.
    40. César Carrera & Nelson Ramírez-Rondán, 2014. "Inflation, Information Rigidity, and the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," Working Papers 1, Peruvian Economic Association.
    41. Belbute, José & Caleiro, António, 2010. "Cross Country Evidence on Consumption Persistence," MPRA Paper 22008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    42. Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2012. "Firm-specific labor, trend inflation, and equilibrium stability," Research Working Paper RWP 12-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    43. Anna Watson, 2010. "The Impact of Trade Integration and Competition on Real and Nominal Price Rigidities: Insights from a New-Keynesian DSGE Model," DEGIT Conference Papers c015_061, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    44. Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2016. "Kinked Demand Curves, the Natural Rate Hypothesis, and Macroeconomic Stability," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 20, pages 240-257, April.
    45. Sen Tinni & Conlon John R, 2010. "Price Dynamics and Asymmetric Business Cycles under Mixed State and Time Dependent Pricing Rules," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, April.
    46. Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2008. "Endogenous information, menu costs and inflation persistence," NBER Working Papers 14184, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    47. Hashmat Khan, 2004. "Price stickiness, trend inflation, and output dynamics: a cross-country analysis," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 37(4), pages 999-1020, November.
    48. Greg Tkacz, 2000. "Fractional Cointegration and the Demand for M1," Staff Working Papers 00-12, Bank of Canada.
    49. W. Wascher & Palle S. Andersen, 1999. "Sacrifice ratios and the conduct of monetary policy in conditions of low inflation," BIS Working Papers 82, Bank for International Settlements.
    50. Susanto Basu & Alan M. Taylor, 1999. "Business Cycles in International Historical Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 45-68, Spring.
    51. Sohei Kaihatsu & Mitsuru Katagiri & Noriyuki Shiraki, 2017. "Phillips Curve and Price-Change Distribution under Declining Trend Inflation," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 17-E-5, Bank of Japan.
    52. Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2013. "Price Rigidity: Microeconomic Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 5(1), pages 133-163, May.
    53. Imran H. Shah & Simón Sosvilla‐Rivero, 2021. "Incorporating asset price stability in the European Central Bank's inflation targeting framework," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2022-2043, April.
    54. Choi, Chi-Young & O'Sullivan, Róisín, 2013. "Heterogeneous response of disaggregate inflation to monetary policy regime change: The role of price stickiness," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 1814-1832.
    55. Bonomo, Marco Antônio Cesar & Carvalho, Carlos Viana de, 2003. "Endogenous time-dependent rules and the costs of disinflation with imperfect credibility," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 505, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    56. Takeshi Kimura & Takushi Kurozumi & Naoko Hara, 2008. "Endogenous Nominal Rigidities and Monetary Policy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 08-E-4, Bank of Japan.
    57. Rachel Male, 2010. "Business Cycle Persistence in Developing Countries: How Successful is a DSGE Model with a Vertical Production Chain and Sticky Prices?," Working Papers 672, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    58. Timo Henckel & Gordon D. Menzies & Daniel J. Zizzo, 2010. "Threshold Pricing in a Noisy World," CAMA Working Papers 2010-01, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    59. Edward S. Knotek Ii, 2010. "A Tale of Two Rigidities: Sticky Prices in a Sticky‐Information Environment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(8), pages 1543-1564, December.
    60. Alvarez-Lois, Pedro P., 2006. "Endogenous capacity utilization and macroeconomic persistence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(8), pages 2213-2237, November.
    61. Emmanuel De Veirman, 2009. "What Makes the Output–Inflation Trade‐Off Change? The Absence of Accelerating Deflation in Japan," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(6), pages 1117-1140, September.
    62. Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu, 2001. "Input-Output Structure and Nominal Staggering: The Persistence Problem Revisited," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 145, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
    63. Tambakis Demosthenes N., 2009. "Optimal Monetary Policy with a Convex Phillips Curve," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, June.
    64. Takashi Senda & Julie K Smith, 2008. "Inflation History And The Sacrifice Ratio: Episode‐Specific Evidence," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 26(3), pages 409-419, July.
    65. Burstein, Ariel T., 2006. "Inflation and output dynamics with state-dependent pricing decisions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(7), pages 1235-1257, October.
    66. John C. Driscoll & Ruth A. Judson, 2013. "Sticky deposit rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-80, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    67. Peter Mcadam & Alpo Willman, 2010. "Arrow–Calvo Price Staggering," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 78(6), pages 556-581, December.
    68. Ahrens, Steffen & Hartmann, Matthias, 2014. "State-dependence vs. timedependence: An empirical multi-country investigation of price sluggishness," Kiel Working Papers 1907, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    69. Kosuke Aoki & Gianluca Benigno & Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, 2016. "Monetary and Financial Policies in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 2016-4, Princeton University. Economics Department..

  60. Michael T. Kiley, "undated". "The Lead of Output over Inflation in Sticky Price Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1996-33, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 10 Dec 2019.

    Cited by:

    1. Cover James Peery & Pecorino Paul, 2003. "Optimal Monetary Policy and the Correlation between Prices and Output," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-21, February.
    2. Mohamed Safouane Ben Aïssa & Olivier Musy, 2011. "The Dynamic Properties Of Alternative Assumptions On Price Adjustment In New Keynesian Models," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(4), pages 353-384, October.
    3. Kiley, Michael T., 1997. "Efficiency wages, nominal rigidities and the cyclical behavior of real wages and marginal cost," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 215-221, October.
    4. Svensson, Lars E O, 1998. "Open-Economy Inflation Targeting," CEPR Discussion Papers 1989, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Nelson, E., 1998. "Sluggish inflation and optimizing models of the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 303-322, July.

Articles

  1. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Growth at risk from climate change," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(3), pages 1134-1151, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Michael T. Kiley, 2022. "Unemployment Risk," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(5), pages 1407-1424, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Kiley, Michael T., 2021. "What macroeconomic conditions lead financial crises?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "The Global Equilibrium Real Interest Rate: Concepts, Estimates, and Challenges," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 12(1), pages 305-326, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "What Can the Data Tell Us about the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(3), pages 181-209, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Ben S. Bernanke & Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2019. "Monetary Policy Strategies for a Low-Rate Environment," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 421-426, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Luca Guerrieri & Matteo Iacoviello & Francisco Covas & John C. Driscoll & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Michael Kiley & Albert Queralto & Jae Sim, 2019. "Macroeconomic Effects of Banking-Sector Losses across Structural Models," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(3), pages 137-204, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Aikman, David & Kiley, Michael & Lee, Seung Jung & Palumbo, Michael G. & Warusawitharana, Missaka, 2017. "Mapping heat in the U.S. financial system," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 36-64.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 317-396.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Kiley, Michael T. & Sim, Jae, 2017. "Optimal monetary and macroprudential policies: Gains and pitfalls in a model of financial intermediation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 232-259.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Michael Kiley, 2016. "Policy Paradoxes in the New-Keynesian Model," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 21, pages 1-15, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Kiley, Michael T., 2016. "Monetary policy statements, treasury yields, and private yields: Before and after the zero lower bound," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 285-290.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Kiley, Michael T., 2015. "An evaluation of the inflationary pressure associated with short- and long-term unemployment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 5-9.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 289-344.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "The Aggregate Demand Effects of Short- and Long-Term Interest Rates," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 69-104, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Kiley, Michael T. & Sim, Jae W., 2014. "Bank capital and the macroeconomy: Policy considerations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 175-198.

    Cited by:

    1. Holden, Tom D. & Levine, Paul & Swarbrick, Jonathan M., 2017. "Credit crunches from occasionally binding bank borrowing constraints," EconStor Preprints 168441, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    2. Dia, Enzo & VanHoose, David, 2017. "Banking in macroeconomic theory and policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 149-160.
    3. Matthieu Darracq Paries, 2018. "Financial frictions and monetary policy conduct," Erudite Ph.D Dissertations, Erudite, number ph18-01 edited by Ferhat Mihoubi, September.
    4. Dürmeier, Stefan, 2022. "A model of quantitative easing at the zero lower bound," BERG Working Paper Series 183, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    5. Güntner, Jochen H.F., 2015. "The federal funds market, excess reserves, and unconventional monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 225-250.
    6. Jae Sim & Raphael Schoenle & Egon Zakrajsek & Simon Gilchrist, 2014. "Inflation Dynamics During the Financial Crisis," 2014 Meeting Papers 206, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Yoo, Jinhyuk, 2017. "Capital injection to banks versus debt relief to households," IMFS Working Paper Series 111, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    8. Kiley, Michael T. & Sim, Jae, 2017. "Optimal monetary and macroprudential policies: Gains and pitfalls in a model of financial intermediation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 232-259.
    9. Beck, Thorsten & Colciago, Andrea & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2014. "The role of financial intermediaries in monetary policy transmission," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-11.
    10. Rachita Gulati & Nirmal Singh, 2019. "Analysing bank stability in India: Evidence from 2007/08-2016/17," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 9(6), pages 1-7.
    11. Kilponen, Juha & Orjasniemi, Seppo & Ripatti, Antti & Verona, Fabio, 2016. "The Aino 2.0 model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2016, Bank of Finland.
    12. Marco Brianti, 2021. "Financial Shocks, Uncertainty Shocks, and Monetary Policy Trade-Offs," Working Papers 2021-5, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
    13. Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2023. "Drivers of large recessions and monetary policy responses," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1425, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Jacquinot, Pascal & Papadopoulou, Niki, 2016. "Parsing financial fragmentation in the euro area: a multi-country DSGE perspective," Working Paper Series 1891, European Central Bank.
    15. Yang, Ming-Yuan & Li, Sai-Ping & Wu, Yue & Tang, Jingtai & Ren, Fei, 2019. "Do government rescue policies reduce the market volatility after crash? Evidence from the Shanghai stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 117-124.
    16. Matthieu Darracq Paries & Pascal Jacquinot & Niki Papadopoulou, 2016. "Parsing Financial Frictions Underlying Bank Lending Fragmentation during the Euro Area Crisis," Working Papers 2016-7, Central Bank of Cyprus.

  18. Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "The Response of Equity Prices to Movements in Long‐Term Interest Rates Associated with Monetary Policy Statements: Before and After the Zero Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(5), pages 1057-1071, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  19. Kiley, Michael T., 2013. "Output gaps," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-18.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  20. Jane Dokko & Brian M. Doyle & Michael T. Kiley & Jinill Kim & Shane Sherlund & Jae Sim & Skander Van Den Heuvel, 2011. "Monetary policy and the global housing bubble [Assessing dynamic efficiency: theory and evidence]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 26(66), pages 237-287.

    Cited by:

    1. Hull, Isaiah, 2015. "What Broke First? Characterizing Sources of Structural Change Prior to the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 301, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    2. Rybacki, Jakub, 2019. "ECB policy consistency – loss of independence and the real estate bubble?," MPRA Paper 95906, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Matteo Luciani, 2015. "Monetary Policy and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 199-218, March.
    4. David L. Reifschneider, 2016. "Gauging the Ability of the FOMC to Respond to Future Recessions," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-068, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Thomas Goda & Chris Stewart & Alejandro Torres Garc�a, 2016. "Absolute Income Inequality and Rising House Prices," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 15247, Universidad EAFIT.
    6. Fabian Lindner, 2014. "The Interaction of Mortgage Credit and Housing Prices in the US," IMK Working Paper 133-2014, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    7. Graeme O'Meara, 2015. "Housing Bubbles and Monetary Policy: A Reassessment," Open Access publications 10197/6435, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    8. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "What Macroeconomic Conditions Lead Financial Crises?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Bubbles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2018-37, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    10. Heike Joebges & Sebastian Dullien & Alejandro Márquez-Velázquez, 2015. "What causes housing bubbles?," IMK Studies 43-2015, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    11. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2020. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2020-12, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    12. Roy, Saktinil & Kemme, David M., 2020. "The run-up to the global financial crisis: A longer historical view of financial liberalization, capital inflows, and asset bubbles," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    13. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisle J. Natvik, 2015. "Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach," Working Paper 2015/11, Norges Bank.
    14. Zhu, Bing & Betzinger, Michael & Sebastian, Steffen, 2017. "Housing market stability, mortgage market structure, and monetary policy: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-21.
    15. Edward Nelson, 2011. "Friedman's monetary economics in practice," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-26, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Orhan SANLI & Osman PEKER, 2023. "Effect of Inflation, Exchange Rate, Interest Rates and Income on House Sales: a Case of Turkiye," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 37-60, January.
    17. Greg Howard & Jack Liebersohn, 2023. "Regional Divergence and House Prices," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 312-350, July.
    18. Hao Meng & Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Symmetric thermal optimal path and time-dependent lead-lag relationship: novel statistical tests and application to UK and US real-estate and monetary policies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 959-977, June.
    19. Lars E. O. Svensson, 2018. "Monetary policy and macroprudential policy: Different and separate?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 802-827, August.
    20. Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," NBER Working Papers 32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Itzhak Ben-David & Pascal Towbin & Sebastian Weber, 2019. "Inferring Expectations from Observables: Evidence from the Housing Market," NBER Working Papers 25702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Alessandro Turrini & Peter Pontuch, 2019. "Assessing House Prices: Insights from "Houselev", a Dataset of Price Level Estimates," European Economy - Discussion Papers 101, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    23. Marie-Louise Djigbenou, 2014. "Determinants of Global Liquidity Dynamics:a FAVAR approach," Working Papers hal-00956314, HAL.
    24. He Gao & Walter Timo de Vries & Minrui Zheng & Jianping Ye, 2023. "State Capacity to Influence Actor Relations within the Chinese Real Estate Market: An Analytical Framework," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, August.
    25. Stefan Eichler & Tom Lähner, 2014. "Regional House Price Dynamics And Voting Behavior In The Fomc," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 625-645, April.
    26. Jerome H. Powell, 2019. "Business Debt and Our Dynamic Financial System : a speech At \"Mapping the Financial Frontier: What Does the Next Decade Hold?” 24th Annual Financial Markets Conference, sponsored by the Federal ," Speech 1066, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    27. Rosen Azad Chowdhury & Dilshad Jahan & Tapas Mishra & Mamata Parhi, 2024. "Monetary policy shock and impact asymmetry in bank lending channel: Evidence from the UK housing sector," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 511-530, January.
    28. Chang, Yuk Ying & Anderson, Hamish & Shi, Song, 2018. "China and international housing price growth," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 294-312.
    29. Bäckman, Claes & Lutz, Chandler, 2020. "The impact of interest-only loans on affordability," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    30. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2015. "Bank competition and credit booms," BIS Working Papers 488, Bank for International Settlements.
    31. Andreas Fuster & Basit Zafar, 2021. "The Sensitivity of Housing Demand to Financing Conditions: Evidence from a Survey," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 231-265, February.
    32. Emanuel Kohlscheen & Aaron Mehrotra & Dubravko Mihaljek, 2020. "Residential Investment and Economic Activity: Evidence from the Past Five Decades," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(6), pages 287-329, December.
    33. Jonathan Goldberg & Elizabeth C. Klee & Edward Simpson Prescott & Paul R. Wood, 2020. "Monetary Policy Strategies and Tools: Financial Stability Considerations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-074, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Scott, C. Patrick, 2016. "Asymmetric preferences and monetary policy deviations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 325-334.
    35. Janet L. Yellen, 2016. "Macroeconomic Research After the Crisis : a speech at \"The Elusive 'Great' Recovery: Causes and Implications for Future Business Cycle Dynamics\" 60th annual economic conference sponsored b," Speech 915, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    36. Wayne Passmore & Alexander H. von Hafften, 2018. "Financing Affordable and Sustainable Homeownership with Fixed-COFI Mortgages," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-009, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    37. Shi, Song & Jou, Jyh-Bang & Tripe, David, 2014. "Can interest rates really control house prices? Effectiveness and implications for macroprudential policy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 15-28.
    38. Chung Yim Yiu, 2023. "A Natural Quasi-Experiment of the Monetary Policy Shocks on the Housing Markets of New Zealand during COVID-19," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-16, January.
    39. Wolski Rafał & Załęczna Magdalena, 2017. "Changing activity in the construction sector in selected states 2003-2012," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 13(4), pages 14-26, December.
    40. Pascal Towbin & Sebastian Weber, 2016. "Price expectations and the US housing boom," Working Papers 2016-06, Swiss National Bank.
    41. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Schwarzmüller, Tim & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Finanz- und Wirtschaftspolitik bei einer anhaltenden monetären Expansion," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    42. Pellegris, Alban & Court, Victor, 2025. "The rise and fall of neoliberalism: Evidences from an ecological and regulationist analysis of France (1960–2020)," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    43. McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2017. "Credit conditions in a boom and bust property market: Insights for macro-prudential policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 171-182.
    44. Alter, Adrian & Mahoney, Elizabeth M., 2021. "Local house-price vulnerability: Evidence from the U.S. and Canada," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    45. Neil Bhutta & Daniel R. Ringo, 2017. "The Effect of Interest Rates on Home Buying : Evidence from a Discontinuity in Mortgage Insurance Premiums," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-086, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    46. Passmore, Stuart Wayne & von Hafften, Alexander H., 2020. "Financing affordable and sustainable homeownership with Fixed-COFI mortgages," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    47. Mahua Barari & Srikanta Kundu, 2019. "The Role of the Federal Reserve in the U.S. Housing Crisis: A VAR Analysis with Endogenous Structural Breaks," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, July.
    48. Heike Joebges & Sebastian Dullien & Alejandro Márquez-Velázquez, 2015. "What causes housing bubbles? A theoretical and empirical inquiry," Competence Centre on Money, Trade, Finance and Development 1501, Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft, Berlin.
    49. Hulya Dagdeviren & Jiayi Balasuriya & Christopher Nicholas, 2022. "Spatial dynamics of post-crisis deleveraging [Financial geography II: financial geographies of housing and real estate]," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(6), pages 1225-1246.
    50. Dominika Ehrenbergerova & Josef Bajzik, 2020. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on House Prices - How Strong is the Transmission?," Working Papers 2020/14, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    51. Giovanni B. Pittaluga & Elena Seghezza & Pierluigi Morelli, 2024. "The myth of federal reserve de facto independence," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 1675-1702, November.

  21. Jane Dokko & Brian M. Doyle & Michael T. Kiley & Jinill Kim & Shane Sherlund & Jae Sim & Skander Van Den Heuvel, 2011. "Monetary policy and the global housing bubble [Assessing dynamic efficiency: theory and evidence]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 26(66), pages 237-287.

    Cited by:

    1. Hull, Isaiah, 2015. "What Broke First? Characterizing Sources of Structural Change Prior to the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 301, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    2. Rybacki, Jakub, 2019. "ECB policy consistency – loss of independence and the real estate bubble?," MPRA Paper 95906, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Matteo Luciani, 2015. "Monetary Policy and the Housing Market: A Structural Factor Analysis," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 199-218, March.
    4. David L. Reifschneider, 2016. "Gauging the Ability of the FOMC to Respond to Future Recessions," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-068, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Thomas Goda & Chris Stewart & Alejandro Torres Garc�a, 2016. "Absolute Income Inequality and Rising House Prices," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 15247, Universidad EAFIT.
    6. Fabian Lindner, 2014. "The Interaction of Mortgage Credit and Housing Prices in the US," IMK Working Paper 133-2014, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    7. Graeme O'Meara, 2015. "Housing Bubbles and Monetary Policy: A Reassessment," Open Access publications 10197/6435, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    8. Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "What Macroeconomic Conditions Lead Financial Crises?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Asset Price Bubbles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2018-37, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    10. Heike Joebges & Sebastian Dullien & Alejandro Márquez-Velázquez, 2015. "What causes housing bubbles?," IMK Studies 43-2015, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    11. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2020. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2020-12, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    12. Roy, Saktinil & Kemme, David M., 2020. "The run-up to the global financial crisis: A longer historical view of financial liberalization, capital inflows, and asset bubbles," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    13. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisle J. Natvik, 2015. "Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach," Working Paper 2015/11, Norges Bank.
    14. Zhu, Bing & Betzinger, Michael & Sebastian, Steffen, 2017. "Housing market stability, mortgage market structure, and monetary policy: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-21.
    15. Edward Nelson, 2011. "Friedman's monetary economics in practice," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-26, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Orhan SANLI & Osman PEKER, 2023. "Effect of Inflation, Exchange Rate, Interest Rates and Income on House Sales: a Case of Turkiye," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 37-60, January.
    17. Greg Howard & Jack Liebersohn, 2023. "Regional Divergence and House Prices," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 312-350, July.
    18. Hao Meng & Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Symmetric thermal optimal path and time-dependent lead-lag relationship: novel statistical tests and application to UK and US real-estate and monetary policies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 959-977, June.
    19. Lars E. O. Svensson, 2018. "Monetary policy and macroprudential policy: Different and separate?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 802-827, August.
    20. Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," NBER Working Papers 32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Itzhak Ben-David & Pascal Towbin & Sebastian Weber, 2019. "Inferring Expectations from Observables: Evidence from the Housing Market," NBER Working Papers 25702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Alessandro Turrini & Peter Pontuch, 2019. "Assessing House Prices: Insights from "Houselev", a Dataset of Price Level Estimates," European Economy - Discussion Papers 101, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    23. Marie-Louise Djigbenou, 2014. "Determinants of Global Liquidity Dynamics:a FAVAR approach," Working Papers hal-00956314, HAL.
    24. He Gao & Walter Timo de Vries & Minrui Zheng & Jianping Ye, 2023. "State Capacity to Influence Actor Relations within the Chinese Real Estate Market: An Analytical Framework," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, August.
    25. Stefan Eichler & Tom Lähner, 2014. "Regional House Price Dynamics And Voting Behavior In The Fomc," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 625-645, April.
    26. Jerome H. Powell, 2019. "Business Debt and Our Dynamic Financial System : a speech At \"Mapping the Financial Frontier: What Does the Next Decade Hold?” 24th Annual Financial Markets Conference, sponsored by the Federal ," Speech 1066, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    27. Rosen Azad Chowdhury & Dilshad Jahan & Tapas Mishra & Mamata Parhi, 2024. "Monetary policy shock and impact asymmetry in bank lending channel: Evidence from the UK housing sector," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 511-530, January.
    28. Chang, Yuk Ying & Anderson, Hamish & Shi, Song, 2018. "China and international housing price growth," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 294-312.
    29. Bäckman, Claes & Lutz, Chandler, 2020. "The impact of interest-only loans on affordability," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    30. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2015. "Bank competition and credit booms," BIS Working Papers 488, Bank for International Settlements.
    31. Andreas Fuster & Basit Zafar, 2021. "The Sensitivity of Housing Demand to Financing Conditions: Evidence from a Survey," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 231-265, February.
    32. Emanuel Kohlscheen & Aaron Mehrotra & Dubravko Mihaljek, 2020. "Residential Investment and Economic Activity: Evidence from the Past Five Decades," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(6), pages 287-329, December.
    33. Jonathan Goldberg & Elizabeth C. Klee & Edward Simpson Prescott & Paul R. Wood, 2020. "Monetary Policy Strategies and Tools: Financial Stability Considerations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-074, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Scott, C. Patrick, 2016. "Asymmetric preferences and monetary policy deviations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 325-334.
    35. Janet L. Yellen, 2016. "Macroeconomic Research After the Crisis : a speech at \"The Elusive 'Great' Recovery: Causes and Implications for Future Business Cycle Dynamics\" 60th annual economic conference sponsored b," Speech 915, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    36. Wayne Passmore & Alexander H. von Hafften, 2018. "Financing Affordable and Sustainable Homeownership with Fixed-COFI Mortgages," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-009, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    37. Shi, Song & Jou, Jyh-Bang & Tripe, David, 2014. "Can interest rates really control house prices? Effectiveness and implications for macroprudential policy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 15-28.
    38. Chung Yim Yiu, 2023. "A Natural Quasi-Experiment of the Monetary Policy Shocks on the Housing Markets of New Zealand during COVID-19," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-16, January.
    39. Wolski Rafał & Załęczna Magdalena, 2017. "Changing activity in the construction sector in selected states 2003-2012," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 13(4), pages 14-26, December.
    40. Pascal Towbin & Sebastian Weber, 2016. "Price expectations and the US housing boom," Working Papers 2016-06, Swiss National Bank.
    41. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Schwarzmüller, Tim & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2014. "Finanz- und Wirtschaftspolitik bei einer anhaltenden monetären Expansion," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 5, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    42. Pellegris, Alban & Court, Victor, 2025. "The rise and fall of neoliberalism: Evidences from an ecological and regulationist analysis of France (1960–2020)," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    43. McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2017. "Credit conditions in a boom and bust property market: Insights for macro-prudential policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 171-182.
    44. Alter, Adrian & Mahoney, Elizabeth M., 2021. "Local house-price vulnerability: Evidence from the U.S. and Canada," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    45. Neil Bhutta & Daniel R. Ringo, 2017. "The Effect of Interest Rates on Home Buying : Evidence from a Discontinuity in Mortgage Insurance Premiums," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-086, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    46. Passmore, Stuart Wayne & von Hafften, Alexander H., 2020. "Financing affordable and sustainable homeownership with Fixed-COFI mortgages," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    47. Mahua Barari & Srikanta Kundu, 2019. "The Role of the Federal Reserve in the U.S. Housing Crisis: A VAR Analysis with Endogenous Structural Breaks," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, July.
    48. Heike Joebges & Sebastian Dullien & Alejandro Márquez-Velázquez, 2015. "What causes housing bubbles? A theoretical and empirical inquiry," Competence Centre on Money, Trade, Finance and Development 1501, Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft, Berlin.
    49. Hulya Dagdeviren & Jiayi Balasuriya & Christopher Nicholas, 2022. "Spatial dynamics of post-crisis deleveraging [Financial geography II: financial geographies of housing and real estate]," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(6), pages 1225-1246.
    50. Dominika Ehrenbergerova & Josef Bajzik, 2020. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on House Prices - How Strong is the Transmission?," Working Papers 2020/14, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    51. Giovanni B. Pittaluga & Elena Seghezza & Pierluigi Morelli, 2024. "The myth of federal reserve de facto independence," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 1675-1702, November.

  22. Michael T. Kiley, 2010. "Habit Persistence, Nonseparability between Consumption and Leisure, or Rule-of-Thumb Consumers: Which Accounts for the Predictability of Consumption Growth?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 679-683, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  23. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2010. "A comparison of forecast performance between Federal Reserve staff forecasts, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 720-754.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  24. Edge, Rochelle M. & Kiley, Michael T. & Laforte, Jean-Philippe, 2008. "Natural rate measures in an estimated DSGE model of the U.S. economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 2512-2535, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  25. Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips curve, and monetary policy - comments," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Anchored or Not: How Much Information Does 21st Century Data Contain on Inflation Dynamics?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(1), pages 239-261, February.

  26. Michael T. Kiley, 2007. "Is Moderate-to-High Inflation Inherently Unstable?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(2), pages 173-201, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  27. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2005. "An estimated DSGE model of the US economy with an application to natural rate measures," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Kiley, 2010. "Output gaps," 2010 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparision of forecast, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," CAMA Working Papers 2009-03, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle M. Edge, 2008. "The Sources of Fluctuations in Residential Investment: A View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE Model of the U.S. Economic," 2008 Meeting Papers 990, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: In Search of Improvements and Adaptation to the Open Economy," Economics wp31_tjorvi, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    5. Christopher A. Sims, 2005. "Improving monetary policy models," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Matteo Iacoviello & Stefano Neri, 2008. "Housing market spillovers : evidence from an estimated DSGE model," Working Paper Research 145, National Bank of Belgium.
    7. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparison of forecast performance between Federal Reserve staff forecasts, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-10, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Inflation expectations, uncertainty, the Phillips curve, and monetary policy - comments," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    9. Adrian R. Pagan & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2008. "Econometric Analysis of Structural Systems with Permanent and Transitory Shocks," Discussion Papers 2008-04, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    10. Michael Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte & Rochelle Edge, 2009. "Investment Shocks and the Business Cycle: The View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE model," 2009 Meeting Papers 148, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Andrle, Michal, 2008. "The Role of Trends and Detrending in DSGE Models," MPRA Paper 13289, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Jean-Stephane Mesonnier, 2011. "The forecasting power of real interest rate gaps: an assessment for the Euro area," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 153-172.
    13. Matthew Canzoneri, 2007. "Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union: Policy Issues & Analytical Models," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 165, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.

  28. Michael T. Kiley, 2005. "A quantitative comparison of sticky-price and sticky-information models of price setting," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  29. Michael T. Kiley, 2004. "Stock Prices and Fundamentals: A Macroeconomic Perspective," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 77(4), pages 909-936, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehra, Rajnish, 2010. "Indian Equity Markets: Measures of Fundamental Value," India Policy Forum, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 6(1), pages 1-38.
    2. David Aikman & Jonathan Bridges & Stephen Burgess & Richard Galletly & Iren Levina & Cian O'Neill & Alexandra Varadi, 2018. "Measuring risks to UK financial stability," Bank of England working papers 738, Bank of England.
    3. Madsen, Jakob B., 2010. "Growth and capital deepening since 1870: Is it all technological progress?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 641-656, June.
    4. Bahaa Sobhi AbdeLatif Awwad & Ammar Zakaria Abdallh Salem, 2019. "The Role of Financial Analysis in Assessing the Prices of Shares of Jordanian Industrial Joint Stock Companies Listed on the Amman Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(6), pages 120-120, June.

  30. Kiley Michael T., 2003. "An Analytical Approach to the Welfare Cost of Business Cycles and the Benefit from Activist Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-26, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  31. Kiley Michael T., 2003. "How Should Unemployment Benefits Respond to the Business Cycle?," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-22, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  32. Michael T. Kiley, 2003. "Why Is Inflation Low When Productivity Growth Is High?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(3), pages 392-406, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann, 2013. "Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201302, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    2. Tesfaselassie, Mewael F., 2011. "Trend growth and learning about monetary policy rules," Kiel Working Papers 1744, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Meijers, Huub, 2006. "Diffusion of the Internet and low inflation in the information economy," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 1-23, March.
    4. Nathaniel Throckmorton & Benjamin Keen & Alexander Richter & William Gavin, 2013. "Global Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound," 2013 Meeting Papers 839, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Susanto Basu & John Fernald & Miles Kimball, 2004. "Are Technology Improvements Contractionary?," NBER Working Papers 10592, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Gavin, William T. & Keen, Benjamin D. & Richter, Alexander W. & Throckmorton, Nathaniel A., 2015. "The zero lower bound, the dual mandate, and unconventional dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 14-38.
    7. William T. Gavin & Benjamin D. Keen & Michael R. Pakko, 2009. "Taylor-type rules and permanent shifts in productivity growth," Working Papers 2009-049, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

  33. Kiley, Michael T, 2002. "Partial Adjustment and Staggered Price Setting," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 34(2), pages 283-298, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  34. Michael Kiley, 2002. "The lead of output over inflation in sticky price models," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 5(5), pages 1-7.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  35. Kiley, Michael T., 2001. "Computers and growth with frictions: aggregate and disaggregate evidence," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 171-215, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2007. "Explaining a Productive Decade," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 38(1), pages 81-152.
    2. Jesús Rodríguez López & Diego Martínez López & José Luis Torres Chacón, 2007. "The Productivity Paradox and the New Economy: The Spanish Case," Working Papers 07.01, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
    3. José Luis Torres Chacon, 2015. "Introduction to Dynamic Macroeconomic General Equilibrium Models," Vernon Press Titles in Economics, Vernon Art and Science Inc, edition 2, number 54.
    4. Aleksandar Vasilev, 2020. "An RBC model with investment-specific technological change: lessons for Bulgaria (1999–2018)," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 511-524, May.
    5. James Bessen, 2002. "Technology Adoption Costs and Productivity Growth: The Transition to Information Technology," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 5(2), pages 443-469, April.
    6. Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel, 2002. "Information technology and productivity: where are we now and where are we going?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 87(Q3), pages 15-44.
    7. Hyunbae Chun & Sung-Bae Mun, 2005. "The Structure of Adjustment Costs in Information Technology Investment," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 5(4), pages 1-9.
    8. Duggal, Vijaya G. & Saltzman, Cynthia & Klein, Lawrence R., 2007. "Infrastructure and productivity: An extension to private infrastructure and it productivity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 485-502, October.
    9. Najeh AISSAOUI, 2017. "ICT and growth gap between nations: Evidence from MENA region," E3 Journal of Business Management and Economics., E3 Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 026-037.
    10. Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel, 2005. "Les technologies de l’information et la productivité : situation actuelle et perspectives d’avenir," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 81(1), pages 339-400.
    11. Argandoña, Antonio, 2001. "Nueva economía y el crecimiento económico, La," IESE Research Papers D/437, IESE Business School.
    12. Bakhshi, Hasan & Larsen, Jens, 2005. "ICT-specific technological progress in the United Kingdom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 648-669, December.
    13. Székely-Doby, András, 2006. "Vernon és a számítógép. Az információs technológiai forradalom és a termékciklus-hipotézis összefüggései [Vernon and the computer. Connections between the information technology revolution and the ," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 812-826.
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    15. Martínez, Diego & Rodríguez, Jesús & Torres, José L., 2010. "ICT-specific technological change and productivity growth in the US: 1980-2004," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 121-129, May.
    16. Francesco Venturini & Ana Rincon-Aznar & Dr Michela Vecchi, 2013. "ICT as a general purpose technology: spillovers, absorptive capacity and productivity performance," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 416, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
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    18. Liao, Hailin & Wang, Bin & Li, Baibing & Weyman-Jones, Tom, 2016. "ICT as a general-purpose technology: The productivity of ICT in the United States revisited," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 10-25.
    19. Mirajul Haq & Syed Kafait Hussain Naqvi & Muhammad Luqman, 2016. "Is the Value Addition in Services and Manufacturing Complementary? Empirical Evidence from SAARC," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 21(2), pages 31-52, July-Dec.
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    21. Venturini, Francesco, 2015. "The modern drivers of productivity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 357-369.

  36. Kiley, Michael T, 2000. "Endogenous Price Stickiness and Business Cycle Persistence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(1), pages 28-53, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  37. Kiley, Michael T, 1999. "The Supply of Skilled Labour and Skill-Biased Technological Progress," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 109(458), pages 708-724, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  38. Kiley, Michael T., 1998. "Predicting Tax Rate Changes: Insights from the Permanent Income Hypothesis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 153-167, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Dole, C. A., 2000. "Optimal Taxation and the Stationarity of State Tax Rates," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 515-531, July.

  39. Kiley, Michael T., 1997. "Efficiency wages, nominal rigidities and the cyclical behavior of real wages and marginal cost," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 215-221, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.

Software components

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Chapters

  1. Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, pages 289-344, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Boivin, Jean & Kiley, Michael T. & Mishkin, Frederic S., 2010. "How Has the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Evolved Over Time?," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 8, pages 369-422, Elsevier.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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