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Durable Goods, Investment Shocks and the Comovement Problem

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Abstract

Recent research based on sticky-price models suggests that capital investment shocks are an important driver of business cycle fluctuations. Despite their quantitative importance in explaining business cycles, a comovement problem emerges because the shocks generate an intertemporal substitution effect away from consumption toward investment. This paper resolves the comovement problem by extending the standard neoclassical sticky-price model to a two-sector model with consumer durable services. When durable goods are used as investment in capital and consumer durables, positive capital investment shocks also generate an intratemporal substitution effect away from consumer durable services toward nondurable consumption that dominates the intertemporal effect. As a result, consumption increases, and the comovement problem is resolved.

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  • Bee-Lon Chen & Shian-Yu Liao, 2017. "Durable Goods, Investment Shocks and the Comovement Problem," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 17-A007, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    • Handle: RePEc:sin:wpaper:17-a007
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    1. Charles Ka Yui Leung & Joe Cho Yiu Ng, 2018. "Macro Aspects of Housing," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_016, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    2. Luca Guerrieri & Dale Henderson & Jinill Kim, 2020. "Interpreting shocks to the relative price of investment with a two‐sector model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 82-98, January.
    3. Liutang Gong & Feng Shi & Chan Wang, 2018. "Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Durable Goods," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(2), pages 729-748, November.
    4. Liao, Shian-Yu & Chen, Been-Lon, 2023. "News shocks to investment-specific technology in business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    5. Ma, Xiaohan & Samaniego, Roberto, 2022. "Business cycle dynamics when neutral and investment-specific technology shocks are imperfectly observable," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    6. Benjamin Caswell, 2021. "Investment Shocks," Working Papers 335109180, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.

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    Keywords

    Investment shocks; Durables; Sticky prices; Comovement;
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