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Sectoral Comovement, Monetary Policy Shocks, and Input–Output Structure

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  • NAO SUDO

Abstract

The comovement of output across the sector producing nondurables (i.e., nondurable goods and services) and the sector producing durables is well established in the monetary business cycle literature. However, standard sticky‐price models that incorporate sectoral heterogeneity in price stickiness (i.e., sticky nondurables prices and flexible durables prices) cannot generate this feature. We argue that an input–output (I–O) structure provides a solution to this problem. Here, we develop a two‐sector model with an I–O structure, which is calibrated to the U.S. economy. In the model, each sector’s output affects those of the others by acting as an intermediate input. This connection between the sectors provides a channel through which sectoral comovement is induced.

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  • Nao Sudo, 2012. "Sectoral Comovement, Monetary Policy Shocks, and Input–Output Structure," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(6), pages 1225-1244, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:44:y:2012:i:6:p:1225-1244
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2012.00529.x
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    2. Federico Di Pace & Matthias Hertweck, 2019. "Labor Market Frictions, Monetary Policy, and Durable Goods," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 274-304, April.
    3. Cantelmo, Alessandro & Melina, Giovanni, 2018. "Monetary policy and the relative price of durable goods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-48.
    4. Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2019. "Monetary Policy with Sectoral Trade‐Offs," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 121(1), pages 55-88, January.
    5. Liutang Gong & Feng Shi & Chan Wang, 2018. "Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Durable Goods," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(2), pages 729-748, November.
    6. M. Alper Çenesiz & Luís Guimarães, 2019. "Sticky Price Models, Durable Goods, and Real Wage Rigidities," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(2-3), pages 721-737, March.
    7. Dey, Jaya & Tsai, Yi-Chan, 2012. "Explaining the durable goods co-movement puzzle with non-separable preferences: a bayesian approach," MPRA Paper 57805, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Drago Bergholt, 2014. "Foreign shocks in an estimated multi-sector model," Working Papers No 4/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    9. Goto, Eiji, 2023. "Industry effects of unconventional monetary policy, within and across countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    10. Leo Michelis & Ugochi T. Emenogu, 2019. "Financial Frictions, Durable Goods and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 075, Toronto Metropolitan University, Department of Economics.
    11. Ichiro Muto & Nao Sudo & Shunichi Yoneyama, "undated". "Productivity Slowdown in Japan's Lost Decades: How Much of It Can Be Attributed to Damaged Balance Sheets?," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 16-E-3, Bank of Japan.
    12. Chen, Been-Lon & Liao, Shian-Yu, 2014. "Capital, credit constraints and the comovement between consumer durables and nondurables," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 127-139.
    13. Been‐Lon Chen & Shian‐Yu Liao, 2018. "Durable Goods, Investment Shocks, and the Comovement Problem," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2-3), pages 377-406, March.
    14. Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2012. "Monetary Policy with Sectoral Linkages and Durable Goods," Discussion Papers 12-19, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    15. Sayed Mehdi Naji Esfahani, 2015. "Co-movement Puzzle and the Overlapping Roles of Consumer Durables and Capital," EcoMod2015 8681, EcoMod.
    16. Liao, Shian-Yu & Chen, Been-Lon, 2023. "News shocks to investment-specific technology in business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    17. Ivan Petrella & Emiliano Santoro, "undated". "Optimal Monetary Policy with Durable Consumption Goods and Factor Demand Linkages," EPRU Working Paper Series 2009-04, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics, revised May 2009.
    18. Dey, Jaya & Tsai, Yi-Chan, 2017. "Explaining the durable goods co-movement puzzle: A Bayesian approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 75-99.
    19. Ugochi Emenogu & Leo Michelis, 2019. "Financial Frictions, Durable Goods and Monetary Policy," Staff Working Papers 19-31, Bank of Canada.
    20. Tomiyuki Kitamura & Tamon Takamura, 2016. "Output Comovement and Inflation Dynamics in a Two-Sector Model with Durable Goods: The Role of Sticky Information and Heterogeneous Factor Markets," Staff Working Papers 16-36, Bank of Canada.
    21. Chen, Jhy-hwa & Yang, Chih-yu & Shieh, Jhy-yuan & Chang, Juin-jen, 2020. "Consumption aspirations in dirty and clean goods and economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 254-266.

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    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook

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