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Monetary policy transmission and trade‐offs in the United States: Old and new

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  • Boris Hofmann
  • Gert Peersman

Abstract

This study shows that monetary policy transmission in the United States has evolved considerably over the postwar period. Since the mid‐1980s, the effects of monetary policy on credit and housing markets have become much stronger relative to the impact on gross domestic product, while the effects on inflation have become weaker. We show that these changes in the relative effects of monetary policy can be explained by several important changes in the monetary transmission mechanism and in the composition of credit aggregates. Most notably, the increasing impact of monetary policy on credit was predominantly driven by an extraordinarily higher responsiveness of mortgage credit and a larger share of mortgages in total credit. These findings imply important changes over time in short‐term monetary policy trade‐offs between inflation and output stability on the one hand and between financial and macroeconomic stability on the other.

Suggested Citation

  • Boris Hofmann & Gert Peersman, 2024. "Monetary policy transmission and trade‐offs in the United States: Old and new," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 253-278, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:intfin:v:27:y:2024:i:3:p:253-278
    DOI: 10.1111/infi.12452
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Jef Boeckx & Maarten Dossche & Alessandro Galesi & Boris Hofmann & Gert Peersman, 2019. "Do SVARs with sign restrictions not identify unconventional monetary policy shocks?," Working Papers 1926, Banco de España.
    3. Gianluca Benigno & Boris Hofmann & Galo Nuño Barrau & Damiano Sandri, 2024. "Quo vadis, r*? The natural rate of interest after the pandemic," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    4. Soyoung Kim & Aaron Mehrotra, 2016. "Maintaining price and financial stability by monetary and macroprudential policy - evidence from Asia and the Pacific," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Expanding the boundaries of monetary policy in Asia and the Pacific, volume 88, pages 17-28, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. repec:nbb:ecrart:y:2017:m:september:i:iii:p:35-56 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Josef Bajzik & Jan Janku & Simona Malovana & Klara Moravcova & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2023. "Monetary Policy Has a Long-Lasting Impact on Credit: Evidence from 91 VAR Studies," Working Papers 2023/19, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    7. Coussin, Maximilien, 2025. "The multifaceted effect of monetary policy on U.S. credit aggregates," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Boris Hofmann & Gert Peersman, 2024. "Monetary policy transmission and trade‐offs in the United States: Old and new," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 253-278, December.
    9. Boris Hofmann & Gert Peersman, 2017. "Is there a debt service channel of monetary transmission?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    10. Franz, Thorsten, 2019. "Monetary policy, housing, and collateral constraints," Discussion Papers 02/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    11. Gertler, Pavel & Hofmann, Boris, 2018. "Monetary facts revisited," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 154-170.
    12. Soyoung Kim & Aaron Mehrotra, 2015. "Managing price and financial stability objectives - what can we learn from the Asia-Pacific region?," BIS Working Papers 533, Bank for International Settlements.
    13. James Yetman, 2017. "Discussion of Monetary Policy and Financial Stability," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Jonathan Hambur & John Simon (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in a World of Low Interest Rates, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    14. Giacomo Rella, 2021. "The Fed, housing and household debt over time," Department of Economics University of Siena 850, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    15. Filardo, Andrew J. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2020. "The cross-border credit channel and lending standards surveys," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    16. J. Boeckx & M. de Sola Perea & M. Deroose & G. de Walque & Th. Lejeune & Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyse, 2018. "What will happen when interest rates go up?," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 35-56, september.
    17. Stéphane Lhuissier & Urszula Szczerbowicz, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Corporate Debt Structure," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 497-515, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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