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Monetary facts revisited

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  • Gertler, Pavel
  • Hofmann, Boris

Abstract

This paper uses data from 46 economies over the post-war period to revisit two key monetary facts: (i) the link between money growth and inflation and (ii) the link between credit growth and financial crises. The analysis reveals that the former has weakened over time, while the latter has become stronger. This suggests that there is an inverse relationship between the two monetary facts. The money-inflation link is weak and the credit-crisis nexus is strong when inflation is low and financial systems are liberalised, while the reverse holds true in environments of high inflation and less liberalised financial systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Gertler, Pavel & Hofmann, Boris, 2018. "Monetary facts revisited," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 154-170.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:86:y:2018:i:c:p:154-170
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2018.04.006
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Money growth; Inflation; Credit growth; Financial crises;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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