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Has the effect of monetary policy announcements on asset prices changed?

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  • Michael Connolly
  • Taeyoung Doh

Abstract

The Federal Reserve increasingly has relied on forward guidance about the future path of the federal funds rate to implement monetary policy since the federal funds target rate reached its effective lower bound. The enhanced use of forward policy guidance has drawn attention to any change in its influence on the real economy. Changes in policy guidance affect the private sector?s expectations about the future path of the federal funds rate and, in turn, affect bond yields, stock prices and asset values. Changes in asset values influence real activity through their effects on spending by consumers and businesses. Doh and Connolly find a weakened response by stock prices and bond yields to the increased use of policy guidance since the recent financial crisis. Longer-term bond yields became less responsive because a prolonged period of the low interest rate reduced the variability of medium-term expectations; stock prices became less responsive because investors revised down their economic outlook in response to some announcements of a more accommodative monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Connolly & Taeyoung Doh, 2013. "Has the effect of monetary policy announcements on asset prices changed?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 31-65.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedker:00009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Thealexa Becker & Andrew Lee Smith, 2015. "Has forward guidance been effective?," Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-3, September.
    2. Smales, L.A. & Lucey, B.M., 2019. "The influence of investor sentiment on the monetary policy announcement liquidity response in precious metal markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 19-38.
    3. Bernhard, Severin & Ebner, Till, 2017. "Cross-border spillover effects of unconventional monetary policies on Swiss asset prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 109-127.
    4. Teik-Khim Ooi & Wee-Yeap Lau, 2021. "Impact of Market Expectations on the U.S. Interest Rate Lift-Off in ASEAN-5 Financial System," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(2), pages 243-271, June.
    5. Travis J. Berge & Guangye Cao, 2014. "Global effects of U.S. monetary policy: is unconventional policy different?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q I, pages 5-31.
    6. Franco Fiordelisi & Ornella Ricci, 2016. "“Whatever it takes”: An Empirical Assessment of the Value of Policy Actions in Banking," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 20(6), pages 2321-2347.
    7. Smales, L.A. & Apergis, N., 2017. "Does more complex language in FOMC decisions impact financial markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 171-189.
    8. Nada Mora, 2014. "The weakened transmission of monetary policy to consumer loan rates," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q I, pages 1-26.

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