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Taxing Fossil Fuels under Speculative Storage

Author

Listed:
  • Semih Tumen
  • Deren Unalmis
  • Ibrahim Unalmis
  • D. Filiz Unsal

Abstract

This paper investigates the mechanisms through which environmental taxes on fossil fuel usage can affect the main macroeconomic variables in the short-run. We concentrate on a particular mechanism : speculative storage. The existence of forward-looking speculators in the model improves the effectiveness of tax policies in reducing fossil fuel usage. Improved policy effectiveness, however, is costly : it drives inflation and interest rates up, while impeding output. Based on this tradeoff, we seek an answer to the question how monetary policy should interact with environmental tax policies in our DSGE model of fossil fuel storage.

Suggested Citation

  • Semih Tumen & Deren Unalmis & Ibrahim Unalmis & D. Filiz Unsal, 2015. "Taxing Fossil Fuels under Speculative Storage," Working Papers 1502, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcb:wpaper:1502
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    File URL: https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/EN/TCMB+EN/Main+Menu/Publications/Research/Working+Paperss/2015/15-02
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Yanfang & Shi, Xunpeng & Qian, Xiangyan & Chen, Sai & Nie, Rui, 2021. "Macroeconomic effect of energy transition to carbon neutrality: Evidence from China's coal capacity cut policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    2. Huang, Bihong & Punzi, Maria Teresa & Wu, Yu, 2021. "Do banks price environmental transition risks? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    3. Al Aali-Bujari & Francisco Venegas-Mart nez & Roberto J. Santill n-Salgado, 2018. "On the Stock Market-Electricity Sector Nexus in Latin America: A Dynamic Panel Data Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(6), pages 148-154.
    4. Vincent Bodart & François Courtoy & Erica Perego, 2021. "World Interest Rates and Macroeconomic Adjustments in Developing Commodity Producing Countries," Working Papers 2021-01, CEPII research center.
    5. Rashid Khan, Haroon Ur & Islam, Talat & Yousaf, Sheikh Usman & Zaman, Khalid & Shoukry, Alaa Mohamd & Sharkawy, Mohamed A. & Gani, Showkat & Aamir, Alamzeb & Hishan, Sanil S., 2019. "The impact of financial development indicators on natural resource markets: Evidence from two-step GMM estimator," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 240-255.
    6. Chen, Zi-yue & Nie, Pu-yan, 2016. "Effects of carbon tax on social welfare: A case study of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1607-1615.
    7. Gouel, Christophe & Ma, Qingyin & Stachurski, John, 2024. "Interest rate dynamics and commodity prices," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    8. Argentiero, Amedeo & Bollino, Carlo Andrea & Micheli, Silvia & Zopounidis, Constantin, 2018. "Renewable energy sources policies in a Bayesian DSGE model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 60-68.
    9. Clemens, Marius & Röger, Werner, 2024. "What is the difference between fossil fuel embargo and price shocks?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    10. Bihong Huang & Maria Teresa Punzi & Yu Wu, 2019. "Do Banks Price Environmental Risk? Evidence from a Quasi Natural Experiment in the People’s Republic of China," ADBI Working Papers 974, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    11. de Lima e Silva, Yuri Cesar & Silva, Marcelo E.A., 2024. "Optimal environmental policy and business cycles: An analysis using an E2-DSGE model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PC).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth

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