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Klaus Adam

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Booms and Busts in Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1059, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Riots, sell-offs & cascades
      by chris dillow in Stumbling and Mumbling on 2011-08-09 18:59:23
  2. Klaus Adam & Pei Kuang & Albert Marcet, 2011. "House Price Booms and the Current Account," CEP Discussion Papers dp1064, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Near rational agents and house price booms
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2011-09-12 19:17:00
  3. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto M., 2007. "Discretionary monetary policy and the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 728-752, April.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Yellen: The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
      by Barry Ritholtz in The Big Picture on 2015-12-07 16:00:34
  4. Adam, Klaus & Tzamourani, Panagiota, 2016. "Distributional consequences of asset price inflation in the Euro Area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 172-192.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Real Killer Is COVID-Lockdown-Driven Unemployment
      by Tyler Durden in Zero Hedge on 2020-05-14 17:45:00

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2019. "Optimal Trend Inflation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(2), pages 702-737, February.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Optimal Trend Inflation (AER 2019) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Klaus Adam & Junyi Zhu, 2016. "Price-Level Changes And The Redistribution Of Nominal Wealth Across The Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 871-906, August.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Price Level Changes and the Redistribution of Nominal Wealth Across the Euro Area (JEEA 2016) in ReplicationWiki ()
  3. Klaus Adam & Johannes Beutel & Albert Marcet, 2015. "Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains," Working Papers 757, Barcelona School of Economics.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains? (Barcelona GSE WP 2015) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Klaus Adam & Pei Kuang & Shihan Xie, 2025. "Overconfidence in Private Information Explains Biases in Professional Forecasts," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_617, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2026. "Who’s on Fire? Household Characteristics and the Formation of Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12450, CESifo.

  2. Klaus Adam & Stefan Nagel, 2022. "Expectations Data in Asset Pricing," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2022_337, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. B. James Deaton & Chad Lawley, 2022. "A survey of literature examining farmland prices: A Canadian focus," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(2), pages 95-121, June.
    2. Florian Schuster & Marco Wysietzki & Jonas Zdrzalek, 2023. "How Heterogeneous Beliefs Trigger Financial Crises," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 238, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    3. Ayan Bhattacharya, 2022. "Arbitrage from a Bayesian's Perspective," Papers 2211.03244, arXiv.org.
    4. Ye Li & Chen Wang, 2023. "Valuation Duration of the Stock Market," Papers 2310.07110, arXiv.org.

  3. Klaus Adam & Erwan Gautier & Sergio Santoro & Henning Weber, 2021. "The Case for a Positive Euro Area Inflation Target: Evidence from France, Germany and Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1344, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

    Cited by:

    1. Menz, Jan-Oliver & Wieland, Elisabeth & Mehrhoff, Jens, 2022. "Estimating the impact of quality adjustment on consumer price inflation," Discussion Papers 49/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Strasser, Georg & Wieland, Elisabeth & Macias, Paweł & Błażejowska, Aneta & Szafranek, Karol & Wittekopf, David & Franke, Jörn & Henkel, Lukas & Osbat, Chiara, 2023. "E-commerce and price setting: evidence from Europe," Occasional Paper Series 320, European Central Bank.
    3. Consolo, Agostino & Koester, Gerrit & Nickel, Christiane & Porqueddu, Mario & Smets, Frank, 2021. "The need for an inflation buffer in the ECB’s price stability objective – the role of nominal rigidities and inflation differentials," Occasional Paper Series 279, European Central Bank.
    4. Santoro, Sergio & Weber, Henning, 2023. "Micro price heterogeneity and optimal inflation," Occasional Paper Series 322, European Central Bank.
    5. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    6. Alex Oktay, 2022. "Heterogeneity in the exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices: the Swiss franc appreciation of 2015," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 158(1), pages 1-20, December.
    7. Hahn, Volker & Schürle, Annika, 2025. "How does inflation affect different age groups?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    8. Adam, Klaus & Weber, Henning, 2026. "Monetary policy and supply-side turnover," Discussion Papers 04/2026, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    9. Claudio Borio & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & James Yetman & Egon Zakrajsek, 2023. "The two-regime view of inflation," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 133, May.
    10. Meshcheryakov, A. & Sukhomlinov, A., 2024. "Considerations regarding inflation target levels," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 62(1), pages 246-254.
    11. Fabio Braggion & Felix von Meyerinck & Nic Schaub & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2025. "The Long-Term Effects of Inflation on Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11679, CESifo.

  4. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2024. "The Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_572, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    2. Oliver Pfauti, 2021. "Inflation -- who cares? Monetary Policy in Times of Low Attention," Papers 2105.05297, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    3. Philippe Andrade & Jordi Gali & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Should the ECB Adjust its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?," Working papers 811, Banque de France.
    4. Klaus Adam & Erwan Gautier & Sergio Santoro & Henning Weber, 2021. "The Case for a Positive Euro Area Inflation Target: Evidence from France, Germany and Italy," Working papers 825, Banque de France.
    5. Francisco Amaral & Martin Dohmen & Sebastian Kohl & Moritz Schularick, 2021. "Superstar Returns," Staff Reports 999, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    6. Oliver Pfäuti & Fabian Seyrich, 2022. "A Behavioral Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian Model," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1995, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    7. Andrade, Philippe & Galí, Jordi & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2021. "Should the ECB adjust its strategy in the face of a lower r★?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    8. Camous, Antoine & Van der Ghote, Alejandro, 2022. "Financial cycles under diagnostic beliefs," Working Paper Series 2659, European Central Bank.

  5. Klaus Adam, 2020. "Monetary Policy Challenges From Falling Natural Interest Rates," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_240, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
    2. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.

  6. Adam, Klaus & Büttner, Thiess & Hennrichs, Joachim & Krahnen, Jan Pieter & Rocholl, Jörg, 2020. "Zur Reform der Einlagensicherung: Elemente einer anreizkompatiblen Europäischen Rückversicherung," SAFE White Paper Series 66, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.

    Cited by:

    1. Krahnen, Jan Pieter & Lindblom, Ted & Lucas, Deborah & Olsson, Magnus & Fulghieri, Paolo & Thakor, Anjan, 2025. "Value creation and stability in financial services: How should we regulate banks?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

  7. Klaus Adam & Michael Woodford, 2020. "Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model With Housing," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_154, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Vedanta Dhamija & Ricardo Nunes & Roshni Tara, 2025. "House Price Expectations and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Survey Data," Economics Series Working Papers 1069, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Jørgensen, Peter Lihn, 2023. "The global savings glut and the housing boom," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    4. Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto, 2025. "Inflation expectations and price-setting decisions: insights from the housing market," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1507, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Abdelkader Aguir & Nesrine Dardouri, 2025. "What Can We Learn About the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism? Evidence from a Peripheral Country After a Political Revolution and COVID-19," Economies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-22, September.
    6. Thore Kockerols & Erling Motzfeldt Kravik & Yasin Mimir, 2021. "Leaning against persistent financial cycles with occasional crises," Working Paper 2021/11, Norges Bank.
    7. von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2023. "The importance of credit demand for business cycle dynamics," IWH Discussion Papers 21/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    8. Ciccarelli, Matteo & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Priftis, Romanos & Angelini, Elena & Bańbura, Marta & Bokan, Nikola & Fagan, Gabriel & Gumiel, José Emilio & Kornprobst, Antoine & Lalik, Magdalena & Mo, 2024. "ECB macroeconometric models for forecasting and policy analysis," Occasional Paper Series 344, European Central Bank.
    9. Adam, Klaus & Pfäuti, Oliver & Reinelt, Timo, 2025. "Subjective housing price expectations, falling natural rates, and the optimal inflation target," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    10. Buch, Claudia M. & Eickmeier, Sandra & Prieto, Esteban, 2022. "Banking deregulation, macroeconomic dynamics and monetary policy," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    11. Yasutaka Ogawa & Jiro Yoshida, 2024. "Aging, Housing, and Macroeconomic Inefficiency," IMES Discussion Paper Series 24-E-04, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    12. Karantounias, Anastasios G., 2023. "Doubts about the model and optimal policy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    13. Charles Ka Yui LEUNG, 2022. "Housing and Macroeconomics," ISER Discussion Paper 1197, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    14. Abdelkader Aguir & Nesrine Dardouri, 2025. "What Can We Learn About the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism? Evidence from a Peripheral Country After a Political Revolution and COVID-19," Post-Print hal-05290329, HAL.
    15. Ulrich Roschitsch & Hannes Twieling, 2025. "United in Booms, Divided in Busts: Regional House Price Cycles and Monetary Policy," Staff Working Papers 25-36, Bank of Canada.

  8. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2020. "Estimating the Optimal Inflation Target From Trends in Relative Prices," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_144, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Wifo, 2023. "WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 9/2023," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 96(9), September.
    2. Germain, Antoine, 2025. "Consumer welfare beyond GDP," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2025011, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    3. Santoro, Sergio & Weber, Henning, 2023. "Micro price heterogeneity and optimal inflation," Occasional Paper Series 322, European Central Bank.
    4. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    5. Hiroshi Inokuma & Mitsuru Katagiri & Nao Sudo, 2024. "Innovation Choice, Product Life Cycles, and Optimal Trend Inflation," IMES Discussion Paper Series 24-E-17, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    6. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    7. Volker Hahn & Michal Marencak, 2025. "Inflation Perceptions and Monetary Policy," Working and Discussion Papers WP 4/2025, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    8. Hahn, Volker & Schürle, Annika, 2025. "How does inflation affect different age groups?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    9. Gabriel Felbermayr & Benjamin Bittschi & Josef Baumgartner, 2023. "Kollektivvertragsverhandlungen in Zeiten hoher Inflation," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 96(9), pages 613-632, September.
    10. Ambrocio, Gene & Ferrero, Andrea & Jokivuolle, Esa & Ristolainen, Kim, 2022. "What should the inflation target be? Views from 600 economists," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2022, Bank of Finland.
    11. Stephen G. Hall, 2025. "An optimal inflation rate for South Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1-29, June.
    12. Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Raphael Schoenle, 2020. "Raising the Inflation Target: How Much Extra Room Does It Really Give?," Working Papers 20-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    13. Adam, Klaus & Gautier, Erwan & Santoro, Sergio & Weber, Henning, 2022. "The case for a positive euro area inflation target: Evidence from france, germany and italy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 140-153.

  9. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2019. "Price Trends Over the Product Life Cycle and the Optimal Inflation Target," CESifo Working Paper Series 7889, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Andres Blanco & Mina Kim & Edward S. Knotek & Matthias Paustian & Robert W. Rich & Jane Ryngaert & Raphael Schoenle & Joris Tielens & Michael Weber & Mirko Wiederholt & Tony Zhang, 2019. "Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2019 Conference Summary," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2019(22), pages 1-6, December.

  10. Klaus Adam & Dmitry Matveev & Stefan Nagel, 2019. "Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk Adjustments?," Staff Working Papers 19-11, Bank of Canada.

    Cited by:

    1. Maggiori, Matteo & Ströbel, Johannes & Giglio, Stefano & Utkus, Stephen P., 2019. "Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios," CEPR Discussion Papers 13657, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Bernile, Gennaro & Bonaparte, Yosef & Delikouras, Stefanos, 2025. "Stock market experience and investor overconfidence: Do investors learn to be overconfident?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    3. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    4. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024. "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    5. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    6. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Pei Kuang, 2019. "New Tests of Expectation Formation with Applications to Asset Pricing Models," 2019 Meeting Papers 187, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Pei Kuang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2019. "New Tests of Expectation Formation with Applications to Asset Pricing Models," Discussion Papers 19-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    9. Maenhout, Pascal J. & Vedolin, Andrea & Xing, Hao, 2025. "Robustness and dynamic sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    10. Benjamin Christoffersen & Arvid Hoffmann & Zwetelina Iliewa & Lena Jaroszek, 2025. "Experience Effects on Wall Street vs. Main Street: Field and Lab Evidence of Context Dependence," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_684, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    11. Pascal J. Maenhout & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Xing, 2020. "Generalized Robustness and Dynamic Pessimism," NBER Working Papers 26970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Blot, Christophe & Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2024. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    13. Vedolin, Andrea & Maenhout, Pascal & Xing, Hao, 2020. "Generalized Robustness and Dynamic Pessimism," CEPR Discussion Papers 14592, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    14. Boehl, Gregor, 2022. "Monetary policy and speculative asset markets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    15. Pascal Kieren & Jan Müller-Dethard & Martin Weber, 2023. "Risk-Taking and Asymmetric Learning in Boom and Bust Markets," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(5), pages 1743-1779.
    16. de Oliveira Souza, Thiago, 2019. "Predictability concentrates in bad times. And so does disagreement," Discussion Papers on Economics 8/2019, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    17. Alexander M. Chinco & Samuel M. Hartzmark & Abigail B. Sussman, 2020. "Necessary Evidence For A Risk Factor’s Relevance," NBER Working Papers 27227, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Stefano Gnocchi & Fanny McKellips & Rodrigo Sekkel & Laure Simon & Yinxi Xie & Yang Zhang, 2024. "The Output-Inflation Trade-off in Canada," Discussion Papers 2024-07, Bank of Canada.
    19. Weidong Tian, 2021. "Long Run Law and Entropy," Papers 2111.06238, arXiv.org.
    20. Maximilian Boeck & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2025. "Belief Shocks and Implications of Expectations About Growth‐at‐Risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 341-348, April.
    21. Sias, Richard & Starks, Laura T. & Turtle, H.J., 2023. "The negativity bias and perceived return distributions: Evidence from a pandemic," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(3), pages 627-657.
    22. Dmitri V. Vinogradov & Michael J. Lamla & Yousef Makhlouf, 2024. "Survey-based expectations and uncertainty attitudes," Working Papers 2024_02, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    23. Rahman, Oriana & Semenov, Andrei, 2025. "Subjective probabilities under behavioral heuristics," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    24. Wang, Hailong & Hu, Duni, 2022. "Heterogenous beliefs with sentiments and asset pricing," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    25. Boqiang Lin & Tianxu Lan, 2024. "The time‐varying volatility spillover effects between China's coal and metal market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 699-719, May.

  11. Klaus Adam & Sebastian Merkel, 2019. "Stock Price Cycles and Business Cycles," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2019_105, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Yongheng Hu, 2025. "How Big Data Dilutes Cognitive Resources, Interferes with Rational Decision-making and Affects Wealth Distribution ?," Papers 2508.20435, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2025.
    2. policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
    3. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024. "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    4. Ignacio Escanuela Romana & Clara Escanuela Nieves, 2023. "A spectral approach to stock market performance," Papers 2305.05762, arXiv.org.
    5. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    6. Saki Bigio & Eduardo Zilberman, 2020. "Speculation-driven Business Cycles," Working Papers 161, Peruvian Economic Association.
    7. Anmol Bhandari & Jaroslav Borovicka & Paul Ho, 2019. "Survey Data and Subjective Beliefs in Business Cycle Models," Working Paper 19-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    8. Ifrim, Adrian, 2023. "Sentimental Discount Rate Shocks," EconStor Preprints 268363, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    9. Ioana Manuela Mîndrican, 2023. "Monetary policy measures and strategies in the context of the adoption of the euro currency," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 14(8), pages 84-97, May.
    10. Azqueta-Gavaldon, Andres & Hirschbühl, Dominik & Onorante, Luca & Saiz, Lorena, 2020. "Nowcasting business cycle turning points with stock networks and machine learning," Working Paper Series 2494, European Central Bank.
    11. Adrian, Tobias & Duarte, Fernando & Liang, Nellie & Zabczyk, Pawel, 2020. "Monetary and Macroprudential Policy with Endogenous Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 14435, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Annette Hofmann & Cristina Sattarhoff, 2023. "Underwriting Cycles in Property-Casualty Insurance: The Impact of Catastrophic Events," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-25, April.
    13. Marlon Fritz & Thomas Gries & Lukas Wiechers, 2022. "An Early Indicator for Anomalous Stock Market Performance," Working Papers CIE 153, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    14. Zhang, Tongbin, 2021. "Stock prices and the risk-free rate: An internal rationality approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).

  12. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2018. "Optimal Trend Inflation," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2018_010, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Boissay, Frédéric & Collard, Fabrice & Galí, Jordi & Manea, Cristina, 2022. "Monetary policy and endogenous financial crises," Discussion Papers 21/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Abbritti, Mirko & Consolo, Agostino & Weber, Sebastian, 2021. "Endogenous growth, downward wage rigidity and optimal inflation," Working Paper Series 2635, European Central Bank.
    3. Schoenle, Raphael & L'Huillier, Jean-Paul, 2019. "Raising the Inflation Target: How Much Extra Room Does It Really Give?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14142, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Santoro, Sergio & Weber, Henning, 2023. "Micro price heterogeneity and optimal inflation," Occasional Paper Series 322, European Central Bank.
    5. Ou, Shengliang & Zhang, Donghai & Zhang, Renbin, 2021. "Information frictions, monetary policy, and the paradox of price flexibility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 70-82.
    6. Kurozumi, Takushi & Van Zandweghe, Willem, 2024. "Output-inflation trade-offs and the optimal inflation rate," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    7. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    8. Martina Cecioni & Adriana Grasso & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2021. "Revisiting monetary policy objectives and strategies: international experience and challenges from the ELB," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    9. Galí, Jordi & Andrade, Philippe & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2018. "The Optimal Inflation Target and the Natural Rate of Interest," CEPR Discussion Papers 12723, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Claudio Borio, 2021. "Back to the future: intellectual challenges for monetary policy," BIS Working Papers 981, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Antoine Lepetit, 2017. "The Optimal Inflation Rate with Discount Factor Heterogeneity," Working Papers hal-01527816, HAL.
    12. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    13. Philippe Andrade & Jordi Gali & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Should the ECB Adjust its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?," Working papers 811, Banque de France.
    14. Daisuke MIYAKAWA & Koki OIKAWA & Kozo UEDA, 2018. "Reallocation Effects of Monetary Policy," Discussion papers 18056, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    15. Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Qazi Haque, 2023. "The Long-Run Phillips Curve is ... a Curve," Working Papers 789, DNB.
    16. Cho, Daeha & Kim, Jung Hyun & Kim, Kwang Hwan & Kim, Suk Joon, 2025. "Optimal trend inflation in an open economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    17. Consolo, Agostino & Cette, Gilbert & Bergeaud, Antonin & Labhard, Vincent & Osbat, Chiara & Kosekova, Stanimira & Anyfantaki, Sofia & Basso, Gaetano & Basso, Henrique & Bobeica, Elena & Ciapanna, Eman, 2021. "Digitalisation: channels, impacts and implications for monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 266, European Central Bank.
    18. Klaus Adam & Erwan Gautier & Sergio Santoro & Henning Weber, 2021. "The Case for a Positive Euro Area Inflation Target: Evidence from France, Germany and Italy," Working papers 825, Banque de France.
    19. Mineyama, Tomohide, 2022. "Revisiting the optimal inflation rate with downward nominal wage rigidity: The role of heterogeneity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    20. Santoro, Sergio & Viviano, Eliana, 2022. "Optimal trend inflation, misallocation and the pass-through of labour costs to prices," Working Paper Series 2761, European Central Bank.
    21. Shigenori Shiratsuka, 2018. "Central Banking in a Changing World Summary of the 2018 BOJ-IMES Conference Organized by the Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies of the Bank of Japan," IMES Discussion Paper Series 18-E-11, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    22. Miura, Shogo, 2023. "Optimal inflation rate and fair wage," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 158-167.
    23. Galí, Jordi, 2018. "The State of New Keynesian Economics: A Partial Assessment," CEPR Discussion Papers 13095, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    24. Rodnyansky, Alexander & Van der Ghote, Alejandro & Wales, Daniel, 2022. "Product quality, measured inflation and monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2680, European Central Bank.
    25. Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2023. "Understanding trend inflation through the lens of the goods and services sectors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 751-766, August.
    26. Hahn, Volker & Schürle, Annika, 2025. "How does inflation affect different age groups?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    27. Adam, Klaus & Weber, Henning, 2020. "Estimating the optimal inflation target from trends in relative prices," Working Paper Series 2370, European Central Bank.
    28. Li, Mengheng & Mendieta-Munoz, Ivan, 2025. "Unpacking trend inflation: Evidence from a factor correlated unobserved components model of sticky and flexible prices," EconStor Preprints 320299, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    29. Ambrocio, Gene & Ferrero, Andrea & Jokivuolle, Esa & Ristolainen, Kim, 2022. "What should the inflation target be? Views from 600 economists," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2022, Bank of Finland.
    30. Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Dora Xia & Egon Zakrajšek, 2021. "Monetary policy, relative prices and inflation control: flexibility born out of success," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    31. Afrouzi, Hassan & Priftis, Romanos & Dietrich, Alexander M. & Myrseth, Kristian Ove R. & Schoenle, Raphael S., 2024. "Inflation preferences," Working Paper Series 2957, European Central Bank.
    32. Andrade, Philippe & Galí, Jordi & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2021. "Should the ECB adjust its strategy in the face of a lower r★?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    33. Alfredo García-Hiernaux & María T. González-Pérez & David E. Guerrero, 2020. "Eurozone prices: a tale of convergence and divergence," Working Papers 2010, Banco de España.
    34. Beatriz González & Galo Nuño & Dominik Thaler & Silvia Albrizio, 2021. "Firm Heterogeneity, Capital Misallocation and Optimal Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 9465, CESifo.
    35. Dudley Cooke & Tatiana Damjanovic, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Welfare with Heterogeneous Firms and Endogenous Entry," Department of Economics Working Papers 2021_02, Durham University, Department of Economics.
    36. Drobyshevsky, Sergey M. (Дробышевский, Сергей) & Trunin, Pavel V. (Трунин, Павел) & Sinelnikova-Muryleva, Elena V. (Синельникова-Мурылева, Елена) & Makeeva, Natalja V. (Макеева, Наталья) & Grebenkina,, 2020. "Optimal Inflation in Russia: Theory and Practice [Оптимальная Инфляция В России: Теория И Практика]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 4, pages 8-29, August.
    37. Rostagno, Massimo & Altavilla, Carlo & Carboni, Giacomo & Lemke, Wolfgang & Motto, Roberto & Saint Guilhem, Arthur & Yiangou, Jonathan, 2019. "A tale of two decades: the ECB’s monetary policy at 20," Working Paper Series 2346, European Central Bank.
    38. Bernardino Adão & André C. Silva, 2021. "Government financing, inflation, and the financial sector," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 71(4), pages 1357-1396, June.
    39. Marcella Lucchetta, 2023. "Understanding Monetary Policy: The Real Sector and Welfare," Working Papers 2023:01, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    40. Apaitan, Tosapol & Disyatat, Piti & Manopimoke, Pym, 2020. "Thai inflation dynamics: A view from disaggregated price data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 117-134.
    41. Apel, Mikael & Armelius, Hanna & Claussen, Carl Andreas, 2017. "The level of the inflation target – a review of the issues," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue 2, pages 36-56.

  13. Klaus Adam & Michael Woodford, 2018. "Leaning Against Housing Prices as Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2018_016, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Boehl, Gregor, 2022. "Monetary policy and speculative asset markets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    2. Adam, Klaus & Merkel, Sebastian, 2019. "Stock Price Cycles and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 13866, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Thibaut Duprey & Yaz Terajima & Jing Yang, 2024. "Interaction of Macroprudential and Monetary Policies: Practice Ahead of Theory," Discussion Papers 2024-18, Bank of Canada.
    4. Caines, Colin & Winkler, Fabian, 2021. "Asset price beliefs and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 53-67.
    5. Melchisedek Joslem Ngambou Djatche, 2020. "Monetary Policy, Prudential Policy, and Bank's Risk-Taking: A Literature Review," GREDEG Working Papers 2020-40, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    6. Zoe Venter, 2019. "The Interaction Between ConventionalMonetary Policy and Financial Stability: Chile, Colombia, Japan, Portugal and the UK," Working Papers REM 2019/96, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    7. Petre Caraiani & Adrian Cantemir Călin, 2020. "Housing markets, monetary policy, and the international co‐movement of housing bubbles," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 365-375, May.
    8. Chokri Zehri & Zagros Madjd‐Sadjadi, 2024. "Capital flow management and monetary policy to control credit growth," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 637-676, July.
    9. Colin C. Caines & Fabian Winkler, 2018. "Asset Price Learning and Optimal Monetary Policy," International Finance Discussion Papers 1236, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Grégory Levieuge, 2018. "La politique monétaire doit-elle être utilisée à des fins de stabilité financière ?," Revue française d'économie, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 63-104.

  14. Klaus Adam & Junyi Zhu, 2015. "Price Level Changes and the Redistribution of Nominal Wealth Across the Euro Area," Working Papers 1501, Council on Economic Policies.

    Cited by:

    1. Luigi Paciello & Claudio Michelacci, 2016. "Forward Misguidance," 2016 Meeting Papers 617, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Galo Nuño & Carlos Thomas, 2016. "Optimal monetary policy with heterogeneous agents (Updated September 2019)," Working Papers 1624, Banco de España, revised Sep 2019.
    3. Carlos Garriga & Finn E. Kydland & Roman Šustek, 2016. "Nominal Rigidities in Debt and Product Markets," Working Papers 801, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    4. Pavel Vikharev & Anna Novak & Andrei Shulgin, 2023. "Inequality and monetary policy: THRANK model," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps113, Bank of Russia.
    5. Philip Schnorpfeil & Michael Weber & Andreas Hackethal & Michael Weber, 2023. "Households’ Response to the Wealth Effects of Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series 10648, CESifo.
    6. Christian A. Conrad, 2024. "The Impact of Inflation and a Real Interest Rate Gap on the Capital Market and Economic Development - Evidence from Two Behavioral Experiments," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(12), pages 1-15, December.
    7. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Gómez-Fernández, Nerea, 2024. "The impact of monetary policy shocks on net worth and consumption across races in the United States," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    8. Bertrand Garbinti & Pierre Lamarche & Frédérique Savignac, 2024. "Wealth Heterogeneity and the Marginal Propensity to Consume out of Wealth," Working papers 962, Banque de France.
    9. Fasianos, Apostolos & Evgenidis, Anastasios, 2020. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and Wealth Inequalities in Great Britain," CEPR Discussion Papers 14656, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Carlos Garriga & Finn E. Kydland & Roman Šustek, 2019. "MoNK: Mortgages in a New-Keynesian Model," Working Papers 2019-32, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    11. Rodolfo G. Campos & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Galo Nuno & Peter Paz, 2024. "Navigating by Falling Stars:Monetary Policy with Fiscally Driven Natural Rates," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-007, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    12. Cao, Shutao & Meh, Césaire A. & Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor & Terajima, Yaz, 2021. "The welfare cost of inflation revisited: The role of financial innovation and household heterogeneity," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 366-380.
    13. Vincent Sterk & Silvana Tenreyro, 2016. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy through Redistributions and Durable Purchases," Working Papers 1601, Council on Economic Policies.
    14. Chiara Punzo & Lorenza Rossi, 2023. "A Money‐Financed Fiscal Stimulus: Redistribution and Social Welfare," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(2-3), pages 595-617, March.
    15. Michael Reiter & Philipp Hergovich, 2016. "Housing and the Redistributive Effects of Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 1324, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Adam, Klaus & Tzamourani, Panagiota, 2016. "Distributional consequences of asset price inflation in the Euro Area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 172-192.
    17. Lucas Hafemann & Paul Rudel & Joerg Schmidt, 2017. "Moving Closer or Drifting Apart: Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201721, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    18. Hintermaier, Thomas & Koeniger, Winfried, 2019. "Differences in Euro-Area Household Finances and their Relevance for Monetary-Policy Transmission," IZA Discussion Papers 12743, IZA Network @ LISER.
    19. Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Truger, Achim & Wieland, Volker, 2019. "Den Strukturwandel meistern. Jahresgutachten 2019/20 [Dealing with Structural Change. Annual Report 2019/20]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201920.
    20. Pallotti, Filippo & Paz-Pardo, Gonzalo & Slacalek, Jiri & Tristani, Oreste & Violante, Giovanni L., 2023. "Who bears the costs of inflation? Euro area households and the 2021–2022 shock," Working Paper Series 2877, European Central Bank.
    21. Federle, Jonathan-Julian & Mohr, Cathrin & Schularick, Moritz, 2024. "Inflation surprises and election outcomes," Kiel Working Papers 2278, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    22. Bence Bardóczy, 2024. "HANK Comes of Age: Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Overlapping Generations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-052r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 19 Dec 2025.
    23. Marcin Bielecki & Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Marcin Kolasa, 2021. "Intergenerational redistributive effects of monetary policy," KAE Working Papers 2021-064, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    24. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    25. Jiri Slacalek & Oreste Tristani & Giovanni L. Violante, 2020. "Household Balance Sheet Channels of Monetary Policy: A Back of the Envelope Calculation for the Euro Area," NBER Working Papers 26630, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Claudio Michelacci & Luigi Paciello, 2017. "Ambiguous Policy Announcements," EIEF Working Papers Series 1701, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Dec 2017.
    27. Matteo Leombroni & Ciaran Rogers, 2019. "Heterogeneous Households and the Portfolio Rebalancing Channel of Monetary Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 684, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    28. Marco Bellifemine & Adrien Couturier & Rustam Jamilov, 2022. "The Regional Keynesian Cross," Economics Series Working Papers 995, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    29. Javier Villar Burke, 2016. "Stocks or flows? New thinking about monetary transmission through the lending channel," Working Papers 2016.04, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    30. Mehdi El Herradi & Jakob de Haan & Aurelien Leroy, 2021. "Inflation and the Income Share of the Rich: Evidence for 14 OECD Countries," Working Papers 570, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    31. Natalia Martín Fuentes & Elena Bárcena Martín & Salvador Pérez Moreno, "undated". "Who takes the cake? The heterogeneous effect of ECB accommodative monetary policy across income classes," Working Papers 657, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    32. Bardóczy, Bence & Savoia, Ettore & Vel´asquez-Giraldo, Mateo, 2026. "HANK Comes of Age: Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Overlapping Generations," Working Paper Series 461, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    33. Wolff, Edward N., 2025. "Is there really an inflation tax? Not for the middle class," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 297-319.
    34. Felipe Alves & Christian Bustamante & Xing Guo & Katya Kartashova & Soyoung Lee & Thomas Michael Pugh & Kurt See & Yaz Terajima & Alexander Ueberfeldt, 2022. "Heterogeneity and Monetary Policy: A Thematic Review," Discussion Papers 2022-2, Bank of Canada.
    35. Florin Bilbiie & Xavier Ragot, 2017. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Liquidity with Heterogeneous Households," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03471839, HAL.
    36. Strasser, Georg & Messner, Teresa & Rumler, Fabio & Ampudia, Miguel, 2023. "Inflation heterogeneity at the household level," Occasional Paper Series 325, European Central Bank.
    37. Yang, Xiaoliang & Zhou, Peng, 2022. "Wealth inequality and social mobility: A simulation-based modelling approach," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 307-329.
    38. Tzamourani, Panagiota, 2019. "The interest rate exposure of euro area households," Discussion Papers 01/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    39. Tatiana Ryzhikova & Anastasiya Skuratova, 2023. "Bank of Russia Monetary Policy and Household Consumption Expenditure," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(1), pages 3-31, March.
    40. Ampudia, Miguel & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Slacalek, Jiri & Tristani, Oreste & Vermeulen, Philip & Violante, Giovanni L., 2018. "Monetary policy and household inequality," Working Paper Series 2170, European Central Bank.
    41. Gokan, Yoichi & Turnovsky, Stephen J., 2023. "Taylor rules: Consequences for wealth and income inequality," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    42. Marco Bellifemine & Adrien Couturier & Rustam Jamilov, 2023. "The Regional Keynesian Cross," Discussion Papers 2311, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    43. Mehdi el Herradi & Jakob de Haan & Aurélien Leroy, 2020. "Inflation and the Income Share of the Rich: Evidence for 12 OECD Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 8203, CESifo.
    44. Chiara Punzo & Lorenza Rossi, 2019. "The Redistributive Effects of a Money-Financed Fiscal Stimulus," DEM Working Papers Series 168, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    45. Pallotti, Filippo & Paz-Pardo, Gonzalo & Slacalek, Jiri & Tristani, Oreste & Violante, Giovanni L., 2024. "Who bears the costs of inflation? Euro area households and the 2021–2023 shock," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    46. Ampudia, Miguel & Ehrmann, Michael & Strasser, Georg, 2024. "Shopping behavior and the effect of monetary policy on inflation heterogeneity along the income distribution," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    47. Garbinti Bertrand & Savignac Frédérique, 2018. "The role of real estate in euro area wealth inequality: lessons from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 55, january.
    48. Mikołaj Raczyński, 2022. "Monetary policy and economic inequality: a literature review," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 53(2), pages 231-278.
    49. Hayo, Bernd, 2023. "Does the ECB's monetary policy affect personal finances and economic inequality? A household perspective from Germany," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    50. Berisha, Edmond & Meszaros, John, 2020. "Macroeconomic determinants of wealth inequality dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 153-165.
    51. Serena Merrino, 2021. "Wage inequality under inflationtargeting in South Africa," Working Papers 11018, South African Reserve Bank.
    52. Goodness C. Aye & Laurence Harris & Junior T. Chiweza, 2020. "Monetary policy and wealth inequality in South Africa: Evidence from tax administrative data," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-174, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    53. Pirmin Fessler & Peter Lindner & Martin Schürz, 2016. "In focus: Eurosystem Household Finance and Consumption Survey 2014 – first results for Austria (second wave)," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 34-95.
    54. Valeria Zvereva & Olga Demidova & Dmitry Korshunov & Alexander Myasnikov, 2024. "Impact of Intraregional Income Inequality on the Operation of the Bank of Russia's Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(1), pages 3-31, March.
    55. Luetticke, Ralph, 2020. "Comment on “The Household Channel of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: A Back of the Envelope Calculation”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    56. Kuncl, Martin & Ueberfeldt, Alexander, 2024. "Monetary policy and the persistent aggregate effects of wealth redistribution," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    57. Demary, Markus & Niehues, Judith & Stockhausen, Maximilian & Zdrzalek, Jonas, 2021. "Der Einfluss der EZB-Geldpolitik auf die Vermögensverteilung in Deutschland," Studien, Stiftung Familienunternehmen / Foundation for Family Businesses, number 250019.
    58. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Gómez-Fernández, Nerea, 2018. "Monetary policy and the redistribution of net worth in the US," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 91320, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    59. Ampudia, Miguel & Ehrmann, Michael & Strasser, Georg, 2023. "The effect of monetary policy on inflation heterogeneity along the income distribution," Working Paper Series 2858, European Central Bank.
    60. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin, 2024. "Inflation and wealth inequality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 893-907.
    61. Altmann Kristina & Bernard René & Le Blanc Julia & Gabor-Toth Enikö & Hebbat Malik & Kothmayr Lisa & Schmidt Tobias & Tzamourani Panagiota & Werner Daniel & Zhu Junyi, 2020. "The Panel on Household Finances (PHF) – Microdata on household wealth in Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 21(3), pages 373-400, September.
    62. Rodrigo Lluberas & Juan Odriozola, 2015. "Inflation, currency depreciation and households balance sheet in Uruguay," Documentos de trabajo 2015009, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    63. Matusche, Alexander & Wacks, Johannes, 2023. "Does wealth inequality affect the transmission of monetary policy?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    64. Engel, Janina & Riera, Pau Gayà & Grilli, Joseph & Sola, Pierre, 2022. "Developing reconciled quarterly distributional national wealth – insight into inequality and wealth structures," Working Paper Series 2687, European Central Bank.
    65. Anastasios Evgenidis & Apostolos Fasianos, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Wealth Inequalities in Great Britain: Assessing the role of unconventional policies for a decade of household data," Papers 1912.09702, arXiv.org.
    66. Juan Carlos Berganza & Pedro del Río & Fructuoso Borrallo, 2016. "Determinants and implications of low global inflation rates," Occasional Papers 1608, Banco de España.
    67. Galo Nuño & Carlos Thomas, 2020. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents," CESifo Working Paper Series 8670, CESifo.
    68. National Bank of Poland, 2025. "Monetary policy and welfare redistribution in Poland," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), How can central banks take account of differences across households and firms for monetary policy?, volume 127, pages 257-270, Bank for International Settlements.
    69. Chiara Punzo & Lorenza Rossi, 2021. "Is a Money-financed Fiscal Stimulus Desirable?," Working papers 818, Banque de France.
    70. Binetti, Alberto & Nuzzi, Francesco & Stantcheva, Stefanie, 2024. "People’s understanding of inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    71. Serena Merrino, 2020. "Wage inequality under inflation-targeting in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-86, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

  15. Adam, Klaus & Tzamourani, Panagiota, 2015. "Distributional Consequences of Asset Price Inflation in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 10897, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Dimitrios Argyroulis & Nikolas Vagdoutis, 2025. "Revisiting ECB’s Technocratic Legitimacy: No Longer Fit‐for‐Purpose?," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 13.
    2. Pavel Vikharev & Anna Novak & Andrei Shulgin, 2023. "Inequality and monetary policy: THRANK model," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps113, Bank of Russia.
    3. Metzger, Martina & Young, Brigitte, 2020. "No gender please, we're central bankers: Distributional impacts of quantitative easing," IPE Working Papers 136/2020, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    4. Mäki-Fränti, Petri & Silvo, Aino & Gulan, Adam & Kilponen, Juha, 2022. "Monetary policy and inequality: The Finnish case," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2022, Bank of Finland.
    5. De Luigi, Clara & Schuberth, Helene & Feldkircher, Martin & Poyntner, Philipp, 2019. "Effects of the ECB's Unconventional Monetary Policy on Real and Financial Wealth," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 286, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    6. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Gómez-Fernández, Nerea, 2024. "The impact of monetary policy shocks on net worth and consumption across races in the United States," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    7. Alina K. Bartscher & Moritz Kuhn & Moritz Schularick & Paul Wachtel, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Racial Inequality," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 061, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    8. Jérôme Creel & Mehdi El Herradi, 2019. "Shocking aspects of monetary policy on income inequality in the euro area," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03403233, HAL.
    9. Israel, Karl-Friedrich & Sepp, Tim & Sonnenberg, Nils, 2021. "Japanese monetary policy and household saving," Working Papers 173, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
    10. Tae-Sub Yun & Hee-Sun Bae & Il-Chul Moon & Deokjong Jeong, 2024. "The relationship between housing finance and inequality," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 19(1), pages 151-191, January.
    11. Walk, Marten, 2025. "The Dynamics of Wealth Inequality: Distributional Effects of Asset Prices in Europe," MPRA Paper 126040, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Lenza, Michele & Slacalek, Jiri, 2018. "How does monetary policy affect income and wealth inequality? Evidence from quantitative easing in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2190, European Central Bank.
    13. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2020. "Monetary policy and wealth inequality over the great recession in the UK. An empirical analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    14. Lucas Hafemann & Paul Rudel & Joerg Schmidt, 2017. "Moving Closer or Drifting Apart: Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201721, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    15. Hintermaier, Thomas & Koeniger, Winfried, 2019. "Differences in Euro-Area Household Finances and their Relevance for Monetary-Policy Transmission," IZA Discussion Papers 12743, IZA Network @ LISER.
    16. Arkadiusz Sieron, 2017. "Inflation and Income Inequality," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(6), pages 633-645.
    17. Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Truger, Achim & Wieland, Volker, 2019. "Den Strukturwandel meistern. Jahresgutachten 2019/20 [Dealing with Structural Change. Annual Report 2019/20]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201920.
    18. Makram El-Shagi & Steven Yamarik, 2024. "The Effect of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income Inequality across US states," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2024/4, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    19. Pleninger, Regina & Sturm, Jan-Egbert, 2020. "The effects of economic globalisation and ethnic fractionalisation on redistribution," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    20. Bezemer, Dirk & Samarina, Anna, 2016. "Debt Shift, Financial Development and Income Inequality in Europe," Research Report 16020-GEM, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    21. Matteo Leombroni & Ciaran Rogers, 2019. "Heterogeneous Households and the Portfolio Rebalancing Channel of Monetary Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 684, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    22. Low, Hamish & Sánchez-Marcos, Virginia, 2024. "Labour supply and the cost of house price booms and busts," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    23. Jérôme Creel & Mehdi El Herradi, 2020. "Income inequality and monetary policy in the Euro Area," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03389183, HAL.
    24. Kieren Jackson, 2024. "Monetary policy and wealth inequality," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(S1), pages 3-12, May.
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    44. Till Baldenius & Sebastian Kohl & Moritz Schularick, 2021. "Die neue Wohnungsfrage: Gewinner und Verlierer des deutschen Immobilienbooms," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 019, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    45. Pirmin Fessler & Peter Lindner & Martin Schürz, 2016. "In focus: Eurosystem Household Finance and Consumption Survey 2014 – first results for Austria (second wave)," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 34-95.
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    52. Demary, Markus & Niehues, Judith & Stockhausen, Maximilian & Zdrzalek, Jonas, 2021. "Der Einfluss der EZB-Geldpolitik auf die Vermögensverteilung in Deutschland," Studien, Stiftung Familienunternehmen / Foundation for Family Businesses, number 250019.
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    Cited by:

    1. Maggiori, Matteo & Ströbel, Johannes & Giglio, Stefano & Utkus, Stephen P., 2019. "Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios," CEPR Discussion Papers 13657, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Carbó-Valverde, Santiago & Cuadros-Solas, Pedro J. & Rodríguez-Fernández, Francisco, 2025. "Cryptocurrency ownership and cognitive biases in perceived financial literacy," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    3. Caines, Colin, 2020. "Can learning explain boom-bust cycles in asset prices? An application to the US housing boom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. Zeno Enders & Hendrik Hakenes, 2021. "Market Depth, Leverage, and Speculative Bubbles," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 058, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    5. Yin, Zhichao & Peng, Hongfeng & Xiao, Weiguo & Xiao, Zumian, 2022. "Capital control and monetary policy coordination: Tobin tax revisited," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Beutel, Johannes & Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2021. "Toothless tiger with claws? Financial stability communication, expectations, and risk-taking," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 53-69.

  17. Klaus Adam & Johannes Beutel & Albert Marcet, 2014. "Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 948.14, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).

    Cited by:

    1. Adam, Klaus & Matveev, Dmitry & Nagel, Stefan, 2018. "Do survey expectations of stock returns reflect risk-adjustments?," CFS Working Paper Series 600, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
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    7. Caines, Colin, 2020. "Can learning explain boom-bust cycles in asset prices? An application to the US housing boom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    8. Christian Alemán & Christopher Busch & Alexander Ludwig & Raül Santaeulàlia-Llopis, 2023. "Stage-Based Identification of Policy Effects," CESifo Working Paper Series 10722, CESifo.
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    13. Husnu C. Dalgic, 2025. "When Is Liquidity Bad?," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_723, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
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    49. Glaeser, Edward L. & Nathanson, Charles G., 2015. "An Extrapolative Model of House Price Dynamics," Working Paper Series rwp15-012, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    50. Florian Schuster & Marco Wysietzki & Jonas Zdrzalek, 2023. "How Heterogeneous Beliefs Trigger Financial Crises," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 238, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    51. Kuang, Pei & Mitra, Kaushik, 2016. "Long-run growth uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 67-80.
    52. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Johannes Beutel, 2017. "Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(8), pages 2352-2408, August.
    53. Blot, Christophe & Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2024. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    54. Barberis, Nicholas & Greenwood, Robin & Jin, Lawrence & Shleifer, Andrei, 2015. "X-CAPM: An extrapolative capital asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 1-24.
    55. Boehl, Gregor, 2022. "Monetary policy and speculative asset markets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    56. Greg Kaplan & Kurt Mitman & Giovanni L. Violante, 2017. "The Housing Boom and Bust: Model Meets Evidence," NBER Working Papers 23694, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    58. Adam, Klaus & Merkel, Sebastian, 2019. "Stock Price Cycles and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 13866, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    59. Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe & Farmer, Roger, 2022. "Self-Fulfilling Prophecies, Quasi Non-Ergodicity & Wealth Inequality," CEPR Discussion Papers 15573, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    89. Oliver Pfäuti & Fabian Seyrich, 2022. "A Behavioral Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian Model," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1995, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    90. Weber, Martin & Kieren, Pascal & Mueller-Dethard, Jan, 2020. "Why so Negative? Belief Formation and Risk Taking in Boom and Bust Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 14647, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    91. Caines, Colin & Winkler, Fabian, 2021. "Asset price beliefs and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 53-67.
    92. Pascal Kieren & Jan Müller-Dethard & Martin Weber, 2023. "Risk-Taking and Asymmetric Learning in Boom and Bust Markets," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(5), pages 1743-1779.
    93. Vázquez, Jesús & Aguilar, Pablo, 2021. "Adaptive learning with term structure information," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    94. Christine Laudenbach & Annika Weber & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Beliefs About the Stock Market and Investment Choices: Evidence from a Field Experiment," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 128, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    95. Hans-Martin von Gaudecker & Axel Wogrolly & Hans-Martin von Gaudecker, 2019. "The dynamics of households' stock market beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 7602, CESifo.
    96. Tortorice, Daniel L, 2018. "The business cycle implications of fluctuating long run expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 266-291.
    97. Cars Hommes & Robert Calvert Jump & Paul Levine, 2017. "Internal rationalityuyuyuy, heterogeneity and complexity in the New Keynesian model," Working Papers 20171706, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
    98. Bouaddi, Mohammed & Moutanabbir, Khouzeima, 2023. "Rational distorted beliefs investor; which risk matters?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    99. Ulrich Roschitsch & Hannes Twieling, 2025. "United in Booms, Divided in Busts: Regional House Price Cycles and Monetary Policy," Staff Working Papers 25-36, Bank of Canada.
    100. Ricardo Barahona & Stefano Cassella & Kristy A. E. Jansen, 2023. "Do Teams Alleviate or Exacerbate the Extrapolation Bias in the Stock Market?," Working Papers 2335, Banco de España.
    101. Mahmoud Fatouh & Simone Giansante, 2023. "The cyclicality of bank credit losses and capital ratios under expected loss model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 330(1), pages 807-840, November.
    102. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2015. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," Working Papers 720, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    103. Katsuhiro Oshima, 2019. "Subjective Beliefs, Monetary Policy, and Stock Price Volatility," KIER Working Papers 1012, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    104. Anwar, Cep Jandi, 2021. "Heterogeneity Effect of Central Bank Independence on Asset Prices: Evidence from Selected Developing Countries," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(2), pages 65-80.
    105. Beckers, Benjamin & Bernoth, Kerstin, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Asset Mispricing," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145684, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    106. Prat, Georges & Le Bris, David, 2024. "Term structure of equity risk premia in rough terrain: 150 years of the French stock market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    107. Gabriel Njogu Chege & Dr. Stanley Kirika, Ph.D., 2021. "Effect Of Macroeconomic Factors On Trading Volumes Of Manufacturing And Allied Companies Listed In Nairobi Securities Exchange," International Journal of Finance and Accounting, IPRJB, vol. 6(1), pages 32-52.
    108. Oesinghaus, Andreas, 2024. "Analysts’ extrapolative expectations in the cross-section," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    109. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2025. "How Do We Learn About the Long Run?," Staff Reports 1150, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    110. Pei Kuang & Li Tang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2025. "Are survey stock price forecasts anchored by fundamental forecasts? A long-run perspective," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(2), pages 657-685, March.
    111. Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2018. "Leaning against housing prices as robustly optimal monetary policy," CFS Working Paper Series 601, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    112. Ricardo De la O & Sean Myers, 2018. "Subjective Cash Flows and Discount Rates," 2018 Meeting Papers 291, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    113. Schaal, Edouard & Taschereau-Dumouchel, Mathieu, 2023. "Herding through booms and busts," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    114. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Recency bias and the cross-section of international stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    115. Zhang, Renbin & Zhang, Tongbin, 2025. "The AH premium: A tale of “siamese twin” stocks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    116. Adam, Klaus & Beutel, Johannes & Marcet, Albert & Merkel, Sebastian, 2015. "Can a financial transaction tax prevent stock price booms?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(S), pages 90-109.
    117. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Yin, Xiao, 2024. "Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings," IZA Discussion Papers 17120, IZA Network @ LISER.
    118. Makridis, Christos A., 2022. "The social transmission of economic sentiment on consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    119. Cong Chen & Changsheng Hu & Liang Wu, 2023. "Feedback Trading, Investor Sentiment and the Volatility Puzzle: An Infinite Theoretical Framework," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-15, July.
    120. Mahmoud Fatouh & Simone Giansante, 2023. "The cyclicality of bank credit losses and capital ratios under expected loss model," Bank of England working papers 1013, Bank of England.
    121. Colin C. Caines & Fabian Winkler, 2018. "Asset Price Learning and Optimal Monetary Policy," International Finance Discussion Papers 1236, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    122. Jan Libich & Liam Lenten, 2022. "Hero or villain? The financial system in the 21st century," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 3-40, February.
    123. Pei Kuang & Kaushik Mitra, 2022. "Potential Output Pessimism and Austerity in the European Union," Discussion Papers 22-08, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    124. Boehl, Gregor & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2025. "The hockey stick Phillips curve and the effective lower bound," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    125. Gelain, Paolo & Iskrev, Nikolay & J. Lansing, Kevin & Mendicino, Caterina, 2019. "Inflation dynamics and adaptive expectations in an estimated DSGE model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 258-277.
    126. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisle J. Natvik, 2018. "Explaining the Boom–Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse‐Engineering Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(8), pages 1751-1783, December.
    127. John C. Williams, 2014. "Financial stability and monetary policy: happy marriage or untenable union?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    128. YiLi Chien & In-Koo Cho & B. Ravikumar, 2021. "Convergence to Rational Expectations in Learning Models: A Note of Caution," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 103(3), pages 351-366, July.
    129. Wang, Hailong & Hu, Duni, 2022. "Heterogenous beliefs with sentiments and asset pricing," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    130. Gandré, Pauline, 2020. "US stock prices and recency-biased learning in the run-up to the Global Financial Crisis and its aftermath," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    131. Kelikume, Ikechukwu & Evans, Olaniyi & Iyoha, Faith, 2020. "Efficient Market Hypothesis in the Presence of Market Imperfections: Evidence from Selected Stock Markets in Africa," MPRA Paper 118200, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    132. Camous, Antoine & Van der Ghote, Alejandro, 2022. "Financial cycles under diagnostic beliefs," Working Paper Series 2659, European Central Bank.
    133. Gandré, Pauline, 2015. "Asset prices and information disclosure under recency-biased learning," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) 1515, CEPREMAP.
    134. Boqiang Lin & Tianxu Lan, 2024. "The time‐varying volatility spillover effects between China's coal and metal market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 699-719, May.
    135. Zhang, Tongbin, 2021. "Stock prices and the risk-free rate: An internal rationality approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    136. Evans, David & Evans, George W. & McGough, Bruce, 2022. "The RPEs of RBCs and other DSGEs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    137. Jean Paul Rabanal & Aleksei Chernulich & John Horowitz & Olga A. Rud & Manizha Sharifova, 2019. "Market timing under public and private information," Working Papers 151, Peruvian Economic Association.
    138. Alejandro Justiniano & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2013. "The Effects of the saving and banking glut on the U.S. economy," Staff Reports 648, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    139. John C. Williams, 2013. "Bubbles tomorrow and bubbles yesterday, but never bubbles today?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sept23.
    140. Kedar-Levy, Haim, 2020. "Price discovery in the small and in the large: Momentum and reversal, bubbles, and crashes," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    141. Pauline Gandré, 2020. "Learning, house prices and macro-financial linkages," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-10, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.

  18. Woodford, Michael & Adam, Klaus, 2012. "Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a Microfounded New Keynesian Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 8826, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Joshua Bernstein & Rupal Kamdar, 2023. "Rationally Inattentive Monetary Policy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 48, pages 265-296, April.
    2. Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2021. "Robustly optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with housing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    3. Ying Tung Chan & Chi Man Yip, 2023. "On the ambiguity of job search," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 61(4), pages 1006-1033, October.
    4. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2024. "The Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_572, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    5. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Carolina Serpieri, 2025. "Robust optimal monetary policies in behavioral New Keynesian DSGE models," Working Papers in Public Economics 261, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    6. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Dave, Chetan & Malik, Samreen, 2017. "A tale of fat tails," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 293-317.
    8. Deák, Szabolcs & Levine, Paul & Mirza, Afrasiab & Pearlman, Joseph, 2025. "All models are wrong but all can be useful: Robust policy design using prediction pools," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    9. Philip N. Jefferson, 2023. "Elevated Economic Uncertainty: Causes and Consequences: A speech at Global Risk, Uncertainty, and Volatility,” a research conference sponsored by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Swiss National Bank and the Bank for International Settlements, ," Speech 97302, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Olena Kostyshyna & Tolga Özden & Yang Zhang, 2024. "Endogenous Credibility and Wage-Price Spirals," Staff Working Papers 24-14, Bank of Canada.
    11. Martin Ellison & Charles Brendon, 2018. "Time-Consistently Undominated Policies," Economics Series Working Papers 844, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    12. George-Marios Angeletos & Zhen Huo & Karthik A. Sastry, 2020. "Imperfect Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence and Theory," NBER Working Papers 27308, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Michael Woodford, 2013. "Macroeconomic Analysis without the Rational Expectations Hypothesis," NBER Working Papers 19368, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. John C. Driscoll & Steinar Holden, 2014. "Behavioral Economics and Macroeconomic Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-43, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Kyle Jurado, 2016. "Advance Information and Distorted Beliefs in Macroeconomic and Financial Fluctuations," 2016 Meeting Papers 154, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Bennett, Federico & Montamat, Giselle & Roch, Francisco, 2023. "Robust optimal macroprudential policy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    17. Anmol Bhandari & Jaroslav Borovička & Paul Ho, 2016. "Identifying Ambiguity Shocks in Business Cycle Models Using Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 22225, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Anastasios G. Karantounias, 2023. "Doubts about the model and optimal policy," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0423, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    19. Marine Charlotte André & Meixing Dai, 2016. "Learning, robust monetray policy and the merit of precaution," Working Papers of BETA 2016-54, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    20. Frank Hespeler & Marco M. Sorge, 2013. "Does Near-Rationality Matter in First-Order Approximate Solutions? A Perturbation Approach," CSEF Working Papers 339, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    21. Gaetano Gaballo & Ramon Marimon, 2016. "Breaking the Spell with Credit-Easing: Self-Confirming Credit Crises in Competitive Search Economies," NBER Working Papers 22006, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Kwon, Hyosung & Miao, Jianjun, 2017. "Three types of robust Ramsey problems in a linear-quadratic framework," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 211-231.
    23. Eusepi, Stefano & Giannoni, Marc P. & Preston, Bruce, 2018. "Some implications of learning for price stability," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-20.
    24. Boeck, Maximilian & Feldkircher, Martin, 2021. "The Impact of Monetary Policy on Yield Curve Expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 887-901.
    25. Stanislao Gualdi & Marco Tarzia & Francesco Zamponi & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2017. "Monetary policy and dark corners in a stylized agent-based model," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 12(3), pages 507-537, October.
    26. Philip N. Jefferson, 2024. "Economic Uncertainty and the Evolution of Monetary Policymaking: A speech at the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy, Washington, D.C., April 16, 2024," Speech 98082, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    27. Riccardo Masolo & Francesca Monti, 2015. "Ambiguity, monetary policy and trend inflation," Bank of England working papers 565, Bank of England.
    28. Anastasios G. Karantounias, 2020. "Model Uncertainty and Policy Design," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2020(17), pages 1-16, December.
    29. Adam, Klaus & Weber, Henning, 2024. "The optimal inflation target: Bridging the gap between theory and policy," Discussion Papers 44/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    30. Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2018. "Leaning against housing prices as robustly optimal monetary policy," CFS Working Paper Series 601, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    31. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Paciello, Luigi, 2014. "Monetary policy, doubts and asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 85-98.
    32. Martin Ellison & Charles Brendon, 2015. "Time-Consistent Institutional Design," 2015 Meeting Papers 495, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    33. Frank Hespeler & Marco M. Sorge, 2018. "Does Near†Rationality Matter In First†Order Approximate Solutions? A Perturbation Approach," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 97-113, January.
    34. Stephane Dupraz & Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi & Adrian Penalver, 2023. "A Pitfall of Cautiousness in Monetary Policy∗," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(3), pages 269-323, August.

  19. Michael Grill & Klaus Adam, 2012. "Optimal Sovereign Debt Default," 2012 Meeting Papers 882, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Falko Juessen & Andreas Schabert, 2013. "Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Default, and Bailouts," Working Paper Series in Economics 67, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
    2. Joost Rцttger, 2014. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy with Sovereign Default," Working Paper Series in Economics 74, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.

  20. Adam, Klaus, 2012. "Optimal Sovereign Default," CEPR Discussion Papers 9178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Daniel, Betty C. & Nam, Jinwook, 2022. "The Greek debt crisis: Excusable vs. strategic default," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    2. Niemann, S & Pichler, P, 2013. "Collateral, liquidity and debt sustainability," Economics Discussion Papers 8979, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
    3. Chen, Hsien-Yi & Chen, Sheng-Syan, 2018. "Quality of government institutions and spreads on sovereign credit default swaps," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 82-95.
    4. Demian Pouzo & Ignacio Presno, 2020. "Optimal Taxation with Endogenous Default under Incomplete Markets," International Finance Discussion Papers 1297, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Malte Rieth, 2017. "Capital Taxation and Government Debt Policy with Public Discounting," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1697, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    6. Dooyeon Cho & Dong‐Eun Rhee, 2024. "Determinants of market‐assessed sovereign default risk: Macroeconomic fundamentals or global shocks?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 35-60, April.
    7. Jeromin Zettelmeyer & Christoph Trebesch & Mitu Gulati, 2013. "The Greek Debt Restructuring: An Autopsy," CESifo Working Paper Series 4333, CESifo.
    8. Falko Juessen & Andreas Schabert, 2013. "Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Default, and Bailouts," Working Paper Series in Economics 67, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
    9. Jitendra Kumar Chaurasiya & Bhanu Pratap Singh & Sujit Kumar, 2025. "Do institutional settings condition the effect of macroprudential policies on sovereign default risk? Cross-country evidence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1-60, June.
    10. Mateos-Planas, Xavier & McCrary, Sean & Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor & Wicht, Adrien, 2025. "Commitment in the canonical sovereign default model," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    11. Toan Phan & Felipe Schwartzman, 2023. "Climate Defaults and Financial Adaptation," Working Paper 23-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    12. Thomas McGregor, 2019. "Pricing Sovereign Debt in Resource-Rich Economies," IMF Working Papers 2019/240, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Trebesch, Christoph & Zabel, Michael, 2017. "The output costs of hard and soft sovereign default," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 416-432.
    14. Xuan Wang, 2019. "When Do Currency Unions Benefit From Default ?," 2019 Papers pwa938, Job Market Papers.
    15. Joost Rцttger, 2014. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy with Sovereign Default," Working Paper Series in Economics 74, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
    16. Sosa-Padilla, César, 2018. "Sovereign defaults and banking crises," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 88-105.
    17. Xuan Wang, 2021. "Bankruptcy Codes and Risk Sharing of Currency Unions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-009/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
    18. Roettger, Joost, 2019. "Discretionary monetary and fiscal policy with endogenous sovereign risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 44-66.
    19. Rieth, Malte, 2014. "Myopic governments and welfare-enhancing debt limits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 250-265.
    20. Thomas McGregor, 2017. "Pricing sovereign debt in resource rich economies," OxCarre Working Papers 194, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    21. Mr. Michael Kumhof & Mr. Romain Ranciere & Pablo Winant, 2013. "Inequality, Leverage and Crises: The Case of Endogenous Default," IMF Working Papers 2013/249, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Fabrice Collard & Michel Habib & Jean-Charles Rochet, 2015. "Sovereign Debt Sustainability In Advanced Economies," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 381-420, June.
    23. Stefan Niemann & Paul Pichler, 2017. "Optimal fiscal policy and sovereign debt crises," Working Papers 218, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    24. Phan, Toàn & Schwartzman, Felipe, 2024. "Climate defaults and financial adaptation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).

  21. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Internal Rationality, Imperfect Market Knowledge and Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1068, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

    Cited by:

    1. Leonid A. Serkov, 2023. "Effect of sticky Wages on the Behavior of Economic Agents with Heterogeneous Expectations," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 22(2), pages 450-473.
    2. Alessandro Spelta & Guido Ascari & Nicolò Pecora, 2012. "Boom and Burst in Housing Market with Heterogeneous Agents," Quaderni di Dipartimento 177, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    3. Klaus Adam & Pei Kuang & Albert Marcet, 2011. "House Price Booms and the Current Account," NBER Working Papers 17224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Bianchi-Vimercati, Riccardo & Eichenbaum, Martin & Guerreiro, Joao, 2024. "Fiscal stimulus with imperfect expectations: Spending vs. tax policy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    5. Frankovic, Ivan & Kolb, Benedikt, 2024. "The role of emission disclosure for the low-carbon transition," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    6. Lars Peter Hansen, 2012. "Comment," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 26(1), pages 132-143.
    7. Caines, Colin, 2020. "Can learning explain boom-bust cycles in asset prices? An application to the US housing boom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    8. Hiebert, Paul & Jaccard, Ivan & Schüler, Yves, 2018. "Contrasting financial and business cycles: Stylized facts and candidate explanations," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 72-80.
    9. Mauersberger, Felix, 2019. "Thompson Sampling: Endogenously Random Behavior in Games and Markets," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203600, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Luzzetti, Matthew N. & Neumuller, Seth, 2016. "Learning and the dynamics of consumer unsecured debt and bankruptcies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 22-39.
    11. Duffy, John & Shin, Michael, 2024. "Heterogeneous experience and constant-gain learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    12. Müller, Gernot & Wolf, Martin & Hettig, Thomas, 2019. "Exchange Rate Undershooting: Evidence and Theory," CEPR Discussion Papers 13597, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Robert Calvert Jump & Cars Hommes & Paul Levine, 2018. "Learning, Heterogeneity, and Complexity in the New Keynesian Model," Working Papers 20181807, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
    14. Kenneth J. Singleton, 2014. "Investor Flows and the 2008 Boom/Bust in Oil Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(2), pages 300-318, February.
    15. Jacopo Piana & Daniele Bianchi, 2017. "Expected Spot Prices and the Dynamics of Commodity Risk Premia," 2017 Meeting Papers 1149, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Bernile, Gennaro & Bonaparte, Yosef & Delikouras, Stefanos, 2025. "Stock market experience and investor overconfidence: Do investors learn to be overconfident?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    17. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    18. Pooya Molavi, 2019. "Macroeconomics with Learning and Misspecification: A General Theory and Applications," 2019 Meeting Papers 1584, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Grimaud, Alex & Salle, Isabelle & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2023. "Social learning expectations: microfoundations and a Dynare toolbox," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 339, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    20. Klaus Adam & Johannes Beutel & Albert Marcet, 2014. "Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 948.14, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    21. Winkler, Fabian, 2020. "The role of learning for asset prices and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 42-58.
    22. Evans, George W & McGough, Bruce, 2018. "Equilibrium selection, observability and backward-stable solutions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-10.
    23. Adam, Klaus & Marcet, Albert & Nicolini, Juan Pablo, 2012. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," Working Papers 12-06, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
    24. Ellison, Martin & Macaulay, Alistair, 2019. "A Rational Inattention Unemployment Trap," CEPR Discussion Papers 13761, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    25. Elliot Aurissergues, 2017. "Are consistent expectations better than rational expectations ?," Working Papers hal-01558223, HAL.
    26. Basso, Henrique S., 2022. "Asset holdings, information aggregation in secondary markets and credit cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    27. Kenneth J. Singleton, 2021. "Presidential Address: How Much “Rationality” Is There in Bond‐Market Risk Premiums?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(4), pages 1611-1654, August.
    28. Shinichi Hirota & Juergen Huber & Thomas Stock & Shyam Sunder, 2018. "Speculation and Price Indeterminacy in Financial Markets: An Experimental Study," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2134R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Apr 2020.
    29. Ifrim, Adrian, 2023. "Stock Price Wealth Effects and Monetary Policy under Imperfect Knowledge," EconStor Preprints 268307, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    30. Mele, Antonio & Molnár, Krisztina & Santoro, Sergio, 2020. "On the perils of stabilizing prices when agents are learning," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 339-353.
    31. Frederico Di Pace & Kaushik Mitra & Shoujian Zhang, 2016. "Adaptive learning and labour market dynamics," Bank of England working papers 633, Bank of England.
    32. Miura, Shogo, 2023. "Households’ assets, sentiment shocks and business cycles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    33. Pei Kuang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2019. "New Tests of Expectation Formation with Applications to Asset Pricing Models," Discussion Papers 19-05, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    34. Vázquez, Jesús, 2025. "Misaligned expectations and bond term premium measures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    35. Aguilar, Pablo & Vázquez, Jesús, 2025. "Multi-period Euler-equation learning and term structure," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
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    54. Cars Hommes, 2013. "Behaviorally Rational Expectations and Almost Self-Fulfilling Equilibria," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-204/II, Tinbergen Institute.
    55. Adam, Klaus & Pfäuti, Oliver & Reinelt, Timo, 2025. "Subjective housing price expectations, falling natural rates, and the optimal inflation target," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    56. Hommes, Cars & in ’t Veld, Daan, 2017. "Booms, busts and behavioural heterogeneity in stock prices," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 101-124.
    57. Aguilar, Pablo & Vázquez, Jesús, 2021. "An Estimated Dsge Model With Learning Based On Term Structure Information," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(7), pages 1635-1665, October.
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    62. Vázquez, Jesús & Aguilar, Pablo, 2021. "Adaptive learning with term structure information," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    63. Pablo Aguilar & Jesús Vázquez, 2018. "Term structure and real-time learning," Working Papers 1803, Banco de España.
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    66. Lars Peter Hansen, 2011. "Comment on "House Price Booms and the Current Account"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2011, Volume 26, pages 132-143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    67. Pei Kuang, 2013. "Imperfect Knowledge About Asset Prices and Credit Cycles," Discussion Papers 13-02, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    68. Tortorice, Daniel L, 2018. "The business cycle implications of fluctuating long run expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 266-291.
    69. Yoo, Donghoon, 2019. "Ambiguous information, permanent income, and consumption fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 79-96.
    70. Cars Hommes & Robert Calvert Jump & Paul Levine, 2017. "Internal rationalityuyuyuy, heterogeneity and complexity in the New Keynesian model," Working Papers 20171706, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
    71. Borio, Claudio & Drehmann, Mathias & Tsatsaronis, Kostas, 2014. "Stress-testing macro stress testing: Does it live up to expectations?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 3-15.
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    73. Katsuhiro Oshima, 2019. "Subjective Beliefs, Monetary Policy, and Stock Price Volatility," KIER Working Papers 1012, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    74. Shinichi Hirota & Juergen Huber & Thomas Stock & Shyam Sunder, 2015. "Investment Horizons and Price Indeterminacy in Financial Markets," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2001, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    75. Zhang, Renbin & Zhang, Tongbin, 2025. "The AH premium: A tale of “siamese twin” stocks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    76. Adam, Klaus & Beutel, Johannes & Marcet, Albert & Merkel, Sebastian, 2015. "Can a financial transaction tax prevent stock price booms?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(S), pages 90-109.
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  22. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Booms and Busts in Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1059, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

    Cited by:

    1. Alessandro Spelta & Guido Ascari & Nicolò Pecora, 2012. "Boom and Burst in Housing Market with Heterogeneous Agents," Quaderni di Dipartimento 177, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    2. Klaus Adam & Pei Kuang & Albert Marcet, 2011. "House Price Booms and the Current Account," NBER Working Papers 17224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Kenza Benhima, 2014. "Booms and Busts with dispersed information," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 17.15, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
    4. Caines, Colin, 2020. "Can learning explain boom-bust cycles in asset prices? An application to the US housing boom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Andreas Fuster & Benjamin Hebert & David Laibson, 2011. "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 17301, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Internal Rationality, Imperfect Market Knowledge and Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1068, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    7. Broer, Tobias & Kero, Afroditi, 2011. "Great Moderation or Great Mistake: Can rising confidence in low macro-risk explain the boom in asset prices?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8700, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Enders, Zeno & Hakenes, Hendrik Hakenes, 2014. "On the Existence and Prevention of Speculative Bubbles," Working Papers 0567, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    9. Sögner, Leopold, 2015. "Learning, convergence and economic constraints," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 27-43.
    10. Hommes, C.H. & Zhu, M., 2012. "Behavioral Learning Equilibria," CeNDEF Working Papers 12-09, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    11. Volha Audzei, 2015. "Information Acquisition and Excessive Risk: Impact of Policy Rate and Market Volatility," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp536, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    12. Sophie van Huellen, 2013. "Price Non-Convergence in Commodities: A Case Study of the Wheat Conundrum," Working Papers 185, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    13. Koulovatianos, Christos & Wieland, Volker, 2011. "Asset pricing under rational learning about rare disasters," IMFS Working Paper Series 46, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    14. Pei Kuang, 2013. "Imperfect Knowledge About Asset Prices and Credit Cycles," Discussion Papers 13-02, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    15. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2015. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," Working Papers 720, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    16. Semmler, Willi & Bernard, Lucas, 2012. "Boom–bust cycles: Leveraging, complex securities, and asset prices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 81(2), pages 442-465.
    17. Scheffknecht, Lukas & Geiger, Felix, 2011. "A behavioral macroeconomic model with endogenous boom-bust cycles and leverage dynamcis," FZID Discussion Papers 37-2011, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).
    18. Florence Jemutai Cheptum, 2019. "Effect Of Credit Collection Practices On Financial Performance Of Manufacturing Firms In Kenya," International Journal of Finance and Accounting, IPRJB, vol. 4(1), pages 31-55.
    19. Blake LeBaron, 2010. "Heterogeneous Gain Learning and Long Swings in Asset Prices," Working Papers 10, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
    20. Bennani, T. & Després, M. & Dujardin, M. & Duprey, T. & Kelber, A., 2014. "Macroprudential framework:key questions applied to the French case," Occasional papers 9, Banque de France.

  23. Klaus Adam & Pei Kuang & Albert Marcet, 2011. "House Price Booms and the Current Account," CEP Discussion Papers dp1064, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

    Cited by:

    1. Bolt, Wilko & Demertzis, Maria & Diks, Cees & Hommes, Cars & Leij, Marco van der, 2019. "Identifying booms and busts in house prices under heterogeneous expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 234-259.
    2. Monika Piazzesi & Martin Schneider, 2016. "Housing and Macroeconomics," NBER Working Papers 22354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Lambertini, Luisa & Mendicino, Caterina & Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2017. "Expectations-driven cycles in the housing market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 297-312.
    4. Dieci, Roberto & Westerhoff, Frank, 2016. "Heterogeneous expectations, boom-bust housing cycles, and supply conditions: A nonlinear economic dynamics approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 21-44.
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    6. Hull, Isaiah, 2015. "What Broke First? Characterizing Sources of Structural Change Prior to the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 301, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    7. Philip R. Lane & Peter McQuade, 2014. "Domestic Credit Growth and International Capital Flows," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 116(1), pages 218-252, January.
    8. Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2021. "Robustly optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with housing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    9. Vedanta Dhamija & Ricardo Nunes & Roshni Tara, 2025. "House Price Expectations and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Survey Data," Economics Series Working Papers 1069, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    10. Aquiles Arrieta Barcasnegras, 2012. "La relación entre los flujos de capital y el precio de la vivienda: el caso colombiano," Revista de Economía del Caribe, Universidad del Norte, vol. 0(0), pages 1-33.
    11. Geerolf, François & Grjebine, Thomas, 2013. "House Prices Drive Current Accounts: Evidence from Property Tax Variations," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) 1315, CEPREMAP.
    12. Jengei Hong & Doojin Ryu, 2023. "Expectations and the housing market: A model of house price dynamics," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(4), pages 1242-1266, October.
    13. Patrick Pintus & Jacek Suda, 2019. "Learning Financial Shocks and the Great Recession," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 31, pages 123-146, January.
    14. Caines, Colin, 2020. "Can learning explain boom-bust cycles in asset prices? An application to the US housing boom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    15. Jørgensen, Peter Lihn, 2023. "The global savings glut and the housing boom," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    16. Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier & Rey, Hélène, 2014. "Chapter 10 External Adjustment, Global Imbalances, Valuation Effects," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt42k8h7mp, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    17. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Canepa, Alessandra, 2020. "Housing market cycles in large urban areas," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 257-267.
    18. Emine Boz & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2010. "Financial Innovation, the Discovery of Risk, and the U.S. Credit Crisis," NBER Working Papers 16020, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Mr. Pau Rabanal & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2015. "Financial Factors: Implications for Output Gaps," IMF Working Papers 2015/153, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Paul R. Bergin, 2011. "Asset price booms and current account deficits," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec.5.
    21. Chen, Qiuyu & Feng, Ling & Li, Zhiyuan & Lin, Ching-Yi, 2021. "Housing prices and trade surpluses in China: An inter-temporal approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    22. Esteban Gómez & Andrés Murcia Pabón & Nancy Zamudio Gómez, 2013. "Foreign Debt Flows and Domestic Credit: A Principal-Agent Approach," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 075, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    23. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Caterina Mendicino, 2012. "House prices, credit growth, and excess volatility: implications for monetary and macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 2012-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    24. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    25. Pascal Towbin & Mr. Sebastian Weber, 2015. "Price Expectations and the U.S. Housing Boom," IMF Working Papers 2015/182, International Monetary Fund.
    26. Jan in’t Veld & Robert Kollmann & Beatrice Pataracchia & Marco Ratto & Werner Roeger, 2014. "International Capital Flows and the Boom-Bust Cycle in Spain," CAMA Working Papers 2014-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    27. Andrea Gazzani, 2020. "News and noise bubbles in the housing market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 46-72, April.
    28. Caterina Mendicino, 2012. "Collateral Requirements: Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Macro-Prudential Policy," Working Papers w201211, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    29. Cengiz Tunc & Mustafa Kilinc, 2023. "Household Debt and Economic Growth: Debt Service Matters," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 71-92, February.
    30. Eleonora Granziera & Sharon Kozicki, 2012. "House Price Dynamics: Fundamentals and Expectations," Staff Working Papers 12-12, Bank of Canada.
    31. Ellison, Martin & Macaulay, Alistair, 2019. "A Rational Inattention Unemployment Trap," CEPR Discussion Papers 13761, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    32. Lambertini, Luisa & Mendicino, Caterina & Teresa Punzi, Maria, 2013. "Leaning against boom–bust cycles in credit and housing prices," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1500-1522.
    33. Tortorice, Daniel L., 2018. "Equity return predictability, time varying volatility and learning about the permanence of shocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 315-343.
    34. Sandra Gomes & Caterina Mendicino, 2012. "Housing Market Dynamics: Any News?," Working Papers Department of Economics 2012/23, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    35. Edward L. Glaeser & Charles G. Nathanson, 2015. "An Extrapolative Model of House Price Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 21037, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    36. Alejandro Jara & Eduardo Olaberría, 2013. "Are all Capital Inflows Associated with Booms in House Prices? An Empirical Evaluation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 696, Central Bank of Chile.
    37. Daniel Tortorice, 2015. "Long Run Expectations, Learning and the U.S. Housing Market," Working Papers 85, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
    38. Evgenidis, Anastasios & Malliaris, Anastasios, 2023. "House Bubbles, global imbalances and monetary policy in the US," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    39. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Mr. Luis Felipe Céspedes & Mr. Alessandro Rebucci, 2015. "Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies," IMF Working Papers 2015/023, International Monetary Fund.
    40. Kuang, Pei, 2014. "A model of housing and credit cycles with imperfect market knowledge," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 419-437.
    41. Irina-Marilena, Ban, 2022. "Introducing house prices to the intertemporal current account model: An application to the European Union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    42. Hwee Kwan Chow & Taojun Xie, 2016. "Are House Prices Driven by Capital Flows? Evidence from Singapore," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(01), pages 1-21, February.
    43. Glaeser, Edward L. & Nathanson, Charles G., 2015. "An Extrapolative Model of House Price Dynamics," Working Paper Series rwp15-012, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    44. Kuang, Pei & Mitra, Kaushik, 2016. "Long-run growth uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 67-80.
    45. Tubadji, Annie & Nijkamp, Peter, 2017. "Green Online vs Green Offline preferences on local public goods trade-offs and house prices," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 72-86.
    46. Shahrier, Nur Ain & Anwer, Zaheer & Hassan, M. Kabir, 2023. "Do different streams of capital flows affect asset prices differently?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    47. Margaret M. Jacobson, 2022. "Beliefs, Aggregate Risk, and the U.S. Housing Boom," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-061r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 31 Jan 2025.
    48. Greg Howard & Jack Liebersohn, 2023. "Regional Divergence and House Prices," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 312-350, July.
    49. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2025. "Ballots, Budgets and Bricks: Brexit and the Polarisation of Individual Economic Behaviours," MPRA Paper 125104, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    50. Bielskis, Karolis & Lastauskas, Povilas, 2024. "The role of housing market and credit on household consumption dynamics: Evidence from the OECD countries," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    51. Jack Favilukis & David Kohn & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2012. "International Capital Flows and House Prices: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 17751, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    52. Tambalotti, Andrea & Primiceri, Giorgio & Justiniano, Alejandro, 2015. "Credit Supply and the Housing Boom," CEPR Discussion Papers 10358, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    53. Alejandro Justiniano & Giorgio Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2013. "The Effects of the Saving and Banking Glut on the U.S. Economy," NBER Working Papers 19635, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    54. Dieci, Roberto & Westerhoff, Frank, 2015. "Heterogeneous expectations, boom-bust housing cycles, and supply conditions: A nonlinear dynamics approach," BERG Working Paper Series 99, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    55. Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak, 2013. "Real Estate Valuation, Current Account and Credit Growth Patterns, Before and After the 2008-9 Crisis," NBER Working Papers 19190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    60. Lars Peter Hansen, 2017. "Comment on "Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Economic Expectations: Progress and Promise"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017, volume 32, pages 479-489, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    67. Carmen Silva & Camilo Vio, 2015. "Housing prices and macroeconomic factors: evidence from Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 18(1), pages 4-24, April.
    68. Aizenman, Joshua, 2019. "A modern reincarnation of Mundell-Fleming's trilemma," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 444-454.
    69. Glaeser, Edward L. & Nathanson, Charles G., 2017. "An extrapolative model of house price dynamics," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 147-170.
    70. Franjo, Luis, 2018. "International interest rates, the current account and housing markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 268-280.
    71. Hui An & Lijie Yu & Rakesh Gupta, 2016. "Capital Inflows and House Prices: Aggregate and Regional Evidence from China," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(4), pages 451-475, December.
    72. Rey, Hélène & Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, 2013. "External Adjustment, Global Imbalances and Valuation Effects," CEPR Discussion Papers 9566, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    73. Yang Zhou, 2022. "The Effects of Capital Controls on Housing Prices," Discussion Paper Series DP2022-29, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    74. Filipa Sá & Tomasz Wieladek, 2015. "Capital Inflows and the U.S. Housing Boom," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(S1), pages 221-256, March.
    75. Alexander N. Bogin & Stephen D. Bruestle & William M. Doerner, 2017. "How Low Can House Prices Go? Estimating a Conservative Lower Bound," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 97-116, January.
    76. Tillmann, Peter, 2012. "Capital inflows and asset prices: Evidence from emerging Asia," IMFS Working Paper Series 58, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    77. Caines, Colin & Winkler, Fabian, 2021. "Asset price beliefs and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 53-67.
    78. Javier Andrés & José E.Boscá & Javier Ferri, 2015. "Household Debt and Fiscal Multipliers," Working Papers 2015-01, FEDEA.
    79. Carlos Garriga & Aaron Hedlund, 2019. "Crises in the Housing Market: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Lessons," Working Papers 2019-33, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    80. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu & Yao, Yao, 2023. "Great or grim? Disagreement about Brexit, economic expectations and household spending," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119200, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    81. Obregon, Carlos, 2018. "Globalization misguided views," MPRA Paper 85813, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    82. Lars Peter Hansen, 2011. "Comment on "House Price Booms and the Current Account"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2011, Volume 26, pages 132-143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    83. Pei Kuang, 2013. "Imperfect Knowledge About Asset Prices and Credit Cycles," Discussion Papers 13-02, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    84. Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.
    85. Andrea Ferrero, 2012. "House price booms, current account deficits, and low interest rates," Staff Reports 541, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    86. Ulrich Roschitsch & Hannes Twieling, 2025. "United in Booms, Divided in Busts: Regional House Price Cycles and Monetary Policy," Staff Working Papers 25-36, Bank of Canada.
    87. Mayer, Eric & Maas, Daniel & Rüth, Sebastian, 2016. "Current Account Dynamics and the Housing Cycle in Spain," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145824, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    88. Maas, Daniel & Mayer, Eric & Rüth, Sebastian, 2015. "Current account dynamics and the housing boom and bust cycle in Spain," W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers 94, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics.
    89. Mr. Steven T Phillips & Mr. Luis Catão & Mr. Luca A Ricci & Mr. Rudolfs Bems & Ms. Mitali Das & Mr. Julian Di Giovanni & Ms. Filiz D Unsal & Marola Castillo & Jungjin Lee & Jair Rodriguez & Mr. Mauric, 2013. "The External Balance Assessment (EBA) Methodology," IMF Working Papers 2013/272, International Monetary Fund.
    90. Kuang, Pei & Yao, Yao, 2017. "Are rational explosive solutions learnable?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 62-66.
    91. Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak, 2013. "Real Estate Valuation, Current Account, and Credit Growth Patterns Before and After the 2008–2009 Crisis," ADBI Working Papers 429, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    92. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisele J. Natvik, 2015. "Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach," Working Paper Series 2015-2, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    93. Pei Kuang & Li Tang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2025. "Are survey stock price forecasts anchored by fundamental forecasts? A long-run perspective," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(2), pages 657-685, March.
    94. Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier & Rey, Helene, 2014. "External Adjustment, Global Imbalances, Valuation Effects," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt2k77x6tn, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    95. Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2018. "Leaning against housing prices as robustly optimal monetary policy," CFS Working Paper Series 601, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    96. Zheng, Min & Wang, Hefei & Wang, Chengzhang & Wang, Shouyang, 2017. "Speculative behavior in a housing market: Boom and bust," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 50-64.
    97. Callum Jones & Mr. Pau Rabanal, 2021. "Credit Cycles, Fiscal Policy, and Global Imbalances," IMF Working Papers 2021/043, International Monetary Fund.
    98. Zhang, Renbin & Zhang, Tongbin, 2025. "The AH premium: A tale of “siamese twin” stocks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    99. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2014. "Mehr Vertrauen in Marktprozesse. Jahresgutachten 2014/15 [More confidence in market processes. Annual Report 2014/15]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201415.
    100. Abebe Hailemariam & Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Russell Smyth & Kingsley Tetteh Baako, 2021. "Income inequality and housing prices in the very long‐run," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(1), pages 295-321, July.
    101. Eduardo Olaberría, 2014. "Capital Inflows and Booms in Asset Prices: Evidence from a Panel of Countries," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Miguel Fuentes D. & Claudio E. Raddatz & Carmen M. Reinhart (ed.),Capital Mobility and Monetary Policy, edition 1, volume 18, chapter 8, pages 255-290, Central Bank of Chile.
    102. Hoffmann, Mathias & Krause, Michael U. & Laubach, Thomas, 2012. "Trend growth expectations and U.S. house prices before and after the crisis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 394-409.
    103. Zhang, Tongbin, 2014. "Stock Price, Real Riskless Interest Rate and Learning," MPRA Paper 57090, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    104. Colin C. Caines & Fabian Winkler, 2018. "Asset Price Learning and Optimal Monetary Policy," International Finance Discussion Papers 1236, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    105. Pei Kuang & Kaushik Mitra, 2022. "Potential Output Pessimism and Austerity in the European Union," Discussion Papers 22-08, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    106. Giorgio Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti & Alejandro Justiniano, 2013. "Household Debt and Foreign Capital Flows," 2013 Meeting Papers 964, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    107. José Daniel Aromí, 2021. "Large Current Account Deficits and Neglected Vulnerabilities," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(4), pages 597-623, December.
    108. Itzhak Ben-David & Pascal Towbin & Sebastian Weber, 2019. "Inferring Expectations from Observables: Evidence from the Housing Market," NBER Working Papers 25702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    109. Zhang, Tongbin, 2021. "Stock prices and the risk-free rate: An internal rationality approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    110. Luis Franjo, 2015. "International Interest Rates and Housing Markets," Working Papers 201501, Center for Fiscal Policy, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne, revised Feb 2015.
    111. Pedro Gete, 2015. "Housing demands, savings gluts and current account dynamics," Globalization Institute Working Papers 221, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    112. Rots, Eyno, 2017. "Imperfect information and the house price in a general-equilibrium model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 215-231.
    113. Pauline Gandré, 2020. "Learning, house prices and macro-financial linkages," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-10, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    114. Miao, Jianjun & Wang, Pengfei & Zhou, Jing, 2015. "Asset bubbles, collateral, and policy analysis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(S), pages 57-70.

  24. Klaus Adam, 2010. "Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Stabilisation Policies," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 765, OECD Publishing.

    Cited by:

    1. Douglas Sutherland & Peter Hoeller & Balázs Égert & Oliver Röhn, 2010. "Counter-cyclical Economic Policy," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 760, OECD Publishing.

  25. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto, 2010. "Distortionary fiscal policy and monetary policy goals," CEPR Discussion Papers 7741, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Stefano Gnocchi, 2013. "Monetary Commitment and Fiscal Discretion: The Optimal Policy Mix," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 187-216, April.
    2. Tatiana Kirsanova & Campbell Leith & Ding Liu, 2024. "Central Bank Independence, Government Debt and the Re-Normalization of Interest Rates," Working Papers 2024_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    3. Flores Unzaga, Ismael Martin & Zhu, Junyi, 2014. "Bracket Creep Revisited: Progressivity and a Solution by Adjusting the Rich Tax in Germany," MPRA Paper 57664, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Niemann, Stefan & Pichler, Paul & Sorger, Gerhard, 2013. "Public debt, discretionary policy, and inflation persistence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 1097-1109.
    5. Elgin, Ceyhun & Yalaman, Abdullah & Yasar, Sezer & Basbug, Gokce, 2021. "Economic policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of central bank independence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    6. Ali Hussein Samadi & Afshin Montakhab & Hussein Marzban & Sakine Owjimehr, 2017. "Quantum Barro--Gordon Game in Monetary Economics," Papers 1708.05689, arXiv.org.
    7. Adam, Klaus, 2011. "Government debt and optimal monetary and fiscal policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 57-74, January.
    8. Dimakou, Ourania, 2015. "Bureaucratic corruption and the dynamic interaction between monetary and fiscal policy," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 57-78.
    9. Cycon, Lisa & Koetter, Michael, 2015. "Monetary Policy under the Microscope: Intra-bank Transmission of Asset Purchase Programs of the ECB," IWH Discussion Papers 9/2015, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    10. Kick, Thomas & Koetter, Michael & Storz, Manuela, 2016. "Cross-border transmission of emergency liquidity," Discussion Papers 34/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    11. Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2018. "Financial Frictions, the Phillips Curve and Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 89429, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Klaus Adam, 2010. "Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Stabilisation Policies," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 765, OECD Publishing.
    13. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto M., 2008. "Monetary conservatism and fiscal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(8), pages 1376-1388, November.
    14. Niemann, Stefan, 2011. "Dynamic monetary–fiscal interactions and the role of monetary conservatism," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(3), pages 234-247.
    15. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Alaa M. Soliman, 2014. "Aspects of Macroeconomic Policy Combinations and Their Effects on Financial Markets," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 19(1), pages 95-118, March.
    16. Samadi, Ali Hussein & Montakhab, Afshin & Marzban, Hussein & Owjimehr, Sakine, 2018. "Quantum Barro–Gordon game in monetary economics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 489(C), pages 94-101.
    17. Stefano Gnocchi & Luisa Lambertini, 2016. "Monetary Commitment and the Level of Public Debt," Staff Working Papers 16-3, Bank of Canada.
    18. Dimakou, Ourania, 2013. "Monetary and fiscal institutional designs," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 1141-1166.
    19. Miller, David S., 2016. "Commitment versus discretion in a political economy model of fiscal and monetary policy interaction," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 17-29.
    20. Niemann, Stefan & Pichler, Paul, 2011. "Optimal fiscal and monetary policies in the face of rare disasters," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 75-92, January.
    21. Nakata, Taisuke & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2019. "Conservatism and liquidity traps," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 37-47.

  26. Adam, Klaus, 2010. "Government Debt and Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 8064, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Poutineau, Jean-Christophe & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2017. "Global banking and the conduct of macroprudential policy in a monetary union," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 306-331.
    2. Giorgio Motta & Raffaele Rossi, 2018. "Optimal Fiscal Policy with Consumption Taxation," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 239, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    3. Adam, Klaus, 2012. "Optimal Sovereign Default," CEPR Discussion Papers 9178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Jean-Marc Fournier, 2019. "A Buffer-Stock Model for the Government: Balancing Stability and Sustainability," IMF Working Papers 2019/159, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Malte Rieth, 2017. "Capital Taxation and Government Debt Policy with Public Discounting," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1697, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    6. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe & Radke, Lucas, 2022. "Counter-cyclical fiscal rules and the zero lower bound," Working Paper Series 2715, European Central Bank.
    7. Michael Grill & Klaus Adam, 2012. "Optimal Sovereign Debt Default," 2012 Meeting Papers 882, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Marco Di Pietro & Enrico Saltari & Willi Semmler, 2018. "Public debt stabilization: the relevance of policymakers’ time horizons," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 177(3), pages 287-299, December.
    9. Zhuo Jin, 2015. "Optimal Debt Ratio and Consumption Strategies in Financial Crisis," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 1029-1050, September.
    10. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe, 2020. "Debt rule design in theory and practice: the SGP’s debt benchmark revisited," Working Paper Series 2379, European Central Bank.
    11. Enrico Saltari & Willi Semmler & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo, 2022. "A Nash Equilibrium for Differential Games with Moving-Horizon Strategies," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(3), pages 1041-1054, October.
    12. Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Saltari, Enrico & Semmler, Willi, 2019. "The effects of political short-termism on transitions induced by pollution regulations," EconStor Preprints 200143, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    13. Taisuke Nakata, 2017. "Optimal Government Spending at the Zero Lower Bound: A Non-Ricardian Analysis," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 23, pages 150-169, January.
    14. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe, 2022. "Debt policies in the aftermath of COVID-19 — The SGP’s debt benchmark revisited," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    15. Burgert, Matthias & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2013. "Dealing with a liquidity trap when government debt matters: optimal time-consistent monetary and fiscal policy," Working Paper Series 1622, European Central Bank.
    16. Intan Syahrini & Yusri Hazmi & Raja Masbar & Aliasuddin & Said Munzir, 2021. "Optimal Control Dynamic Relationships and Fiscal Policies in Indonesia’s Economy," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 34-51.
    17. Corsetti, G. & Dedola, L. & Jarocinsk, M. & Mackowiak, B., 2016. "Macroeconomic Stabilization, Monetary-fiscal Interactions, and Europe’s monetary Union," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1675, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    18. Chen, Wen & Zhu, Yufeng & He, Zehui & Yang, Yang, 2022. "The effect of local government debt on green innovation: Evidence from Chinese listed companies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    19. Mackowiak, Bartosz & Corsetti, Giancarlo & Dedola, Luca & Schmidt, Sebastian & Jarocinski, Marek, 2017. "Macroeconomic Stabilization, Monetary-Fiscal Interactions, and Europe’s Monetary Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 12371, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Ahmad Danu Prasetyo & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2013. "Improving the Government Debt Market Quality by Determining the Optimal Structure of Government Debt Portfolio," Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Discussion Paper Series 2012-038, Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Program.
    21. Swapan-Kumar Pradhan & Előd Takáts & Judit Temesvary, 2024. "How Does Fiscal Policy affect the Transmission of Monetary Policy into Cross-border Bank Lending? Cross-country Evidence," International Finance Discussion Papers 1400, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    22. D. Masciandaro, 2019. "What Bird Is That? Central Banking And Monetary Policy In The Last Forty Years," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19127, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    23. Horvath Michal, 2011. "Alternative Perspectives on Optimal Public Debt Adjustment," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, November.
    24. Thomas Brand, 2017. "Vitesse et composition des ajustements budgétaires en équilibre général : une analyse appliquée à la zone euro," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 68(HS1), pages 159-182.
    25. Francesco Caprioli & Pietro Rizza & Pietro Tommasino, 2012. "Optimal fiscal policy when agents fear government default," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 859, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    26. Giorgio Motta & Raffaele Rossi, 2013. "Ramsey monetary and fiscal policy: the role of consumption taxation," Working Papers 44449031, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    27. Rieth, Malte, 2014. "Myopic governments and welfare-enhancing debt limits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 250-265.
    28. Virtue U. Ekhosuehi, 2021. "Optimal control of external debt for a developing economy," OPSEARCH, Springer;Operational Research Society of India, vol. 58(4), pages 889-905, December.
    29. Yin, Liang & Hu, Shiyang & Yan, Huijun, 2025. "Local government implicit debt and corporate bankruptcy: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    30. Gabriela Dobrotă & Alina Daniela Voda, 2024. "Stochastic Debt Sustainability Analysis in Romania in the Context of the War in Ukraine," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-23, July.
    31. Wei-han Liu, 2023. "Attaining stochastic optimal control over debt ratios in U.S. markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 967-993, October.
    32. Miller, David S., 2016. "Commitment versus discretion in a political economy model of fiscal and monetary policy interaction," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 17-29.
    33. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto M., 2014. "Distortionary fiscal policy and monetary policy goals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 1-6.
    34. Tang, Dapeng & Yang, Yiming & Zheng, Hao & Gebrehans, Mebrahtu Tesfagebreal, 2024. "Does reform policy of municipal bonds raise firm risk? A quasi-natural experiment from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    35. Niemann, Stefan & Pichler, Paul, 2011. "Optimal fiscal and monetary policies in the face of rare disasters," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 75-92, January.
    36. David S. Miller, 2019. "Optimal Structure of Fiscal and Monetary Authorities," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(2-3), pages 289-312, March.
    37. Shobande Olatunji Abdul & Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa, 2019. "New Keynesian Liquidity Trap and Conventional Fiscal Stance: An Estimated DSGE Model," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 33(1), pages 152-169, January.
    38. Dong, Xiaojun & Yu, Xiaowen & Shi, Tao & Qiao, Dan, 2024. "Nexus between carbon emissions and local debt risk: Evidence from China's prefecture-level cities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    39. Luis Felipe Céspedes & Jordi Galí, 2013. "Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Performance: An Overview," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Luis Felipe Céspedes & Jordi Galí (ed.),Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Performance, edition 1, volume 17, chapter 1, pages 01-25, Central Bank of Chile.

  27. Marcet, Albert & Adam, Klaus, 2009. "Internal Rationality and Asset Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 7498, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Hommes, C.H. & Zhu, M., 2012. "Behavioral Learning Equilibria," CeNDEF Working Papers 12-09, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    2. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Booms and Busts in Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1059, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

  28. Albert Marcet & Klaus Adam & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2008. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 732.08, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).

    Cited by:

    1. Adam, Klaus & Matveev, Dmitry & Nagel, Stefan, 2018. "Do survey expectations of stock returns reflect risk-adjustments?," CFS Working Paper Series 600, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    2. Ashby, M. & Linton, O. B., 2022. "Do Consumption-based Asset Pricing Models Explain Own-history Predictability in Stock Market Returns?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2259, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    3. George A. Waters, 2011. "Endogenous Rational Bubbles," Working Paper Series 20111003, Illinois State University, Department of Economics.
    4. Marquardt, Philipp & Noussair, Charles N & Weber, Martin, 2019. "Rational expectations in an experimental asset market with shocks to market trends," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 116-140.
    5. Thanh Trung Huynh & Minh Hieu Nguyen & Thanh Tam Nguyen & Phi Le Nguyen & Matthias Weidlich & Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen & Karl Aberer, 2022. "Efficient Integration of Multi-Order Dynamics and Internal Dynamics in Stock Movement Prediction," Papers 2211.07400, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
    6. Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2021. "Robustly optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with housing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    7. Veldkamp, Laura & Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Orlik, Anna, 2016. "What Are Uncertainty Shocks?," CEPR Discussion Papers 11501, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
    9. Caines, Colin, 2020. "Can learning explain boom-bust cycles in asset prices? An application to the US housing boom," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    10. Chevillon, Guillaume & Mavroeidis, Sophocles, 2017. "Learning can generate long memory," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 1-9.
    11. Yan, Ruzhen & Yue, Ding & Chen, Xudong & Wu, Xu, 2020. "Non-linear characterization and trend identification of liquidity in China's new OTC stock market based on multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    12. Li, Kai & Liu, Jun, 2023. "Extrapolative asset pricing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    13. Ruzhen Yan & Ding Yue & Xu Wu & Wei Gao, 2023. "Multiscale Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis and Trend Identification of Liquidity in the China's Stock Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(2), pages 487-511, February.
    14. Evans, George W. & Hommes, Cars & McGough, Bruce & Salle, Isabelle, 2022. "Are long-horizon expectations (de-)stabilizing? Theory and experiments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 44-63.
    15. Michele Berardi, 2016. "Endogenous time-varying risk aversion and asset returns," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 581-601, July.
    16. Duffy, John & Shin, Michael, 2024. "Heterogeneous experience and constant-gain learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    17. Vivien Lewis & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2009. "Model misspecification, learning and the exchange rate disconnect puzzle," Working Paper Research 168, National Bank of Belgium.
    18. Michele Berardi, 2018. "Information aggregation and learning in a dynamic asset pricing model," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 241, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    19. Fabio Milani, 2008. "Learning about the Interdependence between the Macroeconomy and the Stock Market," Working Papers 070819, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    20. Bernile, Gennaro & Bonaparte, Yosef & Delikouras, Stefanos, 2025. "Stock market experience and investor overconfidence: Do investors learn to be overconfident?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    21. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020. "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2020_235, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    22. Lv, Wendai & Qi, Jipeng & Feng, Jing, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and environmental governance company volatility: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    23. Winkler, Fabian, 2020. "The role of learning for asset prices and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 42-58.
    24. Hanshuang Tong & Jun Li & Ning Wu & Ming Gong & Dongmei Zhang & Qi Zhang, 2024. "Ploutos: Towards interpretable stock movement prediction with financial large language model," Papers 2403.00782, arXiv.org.
    25. Xiaohong Chen & Lars P. Hansen & Peter G. Hansen, 2020. "Robust Identification of Investor Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 27257, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Shurojit Chatterji & Atsushi Kajii, 2025. "Rich by accident: the second welfare theorem with a redundant asset under imperfect foresight," Discussion Paper Series 303, School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University.
    27. Tortorice, Daniel L., 2018. "Equity return predictability, time varying volatility and learning about the permanence of shocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 315-343.
    28. von Gaudecker, Hans-Martin & Wogrolly, Axel, 2022. "Heterogeneity in households’ stock market beliefs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 232-247.
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    23. Leeper, E.M. & Leith, C., 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary–Fiscal Phenomenon," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2305-2415, Elsevier.
    24. Adam, Klaus, 2011. "Government debt and optimal monetary and fiscal policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 57-74, January.
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    26. Dumitriu, Ramona & Stefanescu, Razvan, 2013. "Provocările politicii monetare [Monetary policy challenges]," MPRA Paper 50261, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Sep 2013.
    27. Jan Libich & Petr Stehlík, 2012. "Monetary Policy Facing Fiscal Indiscipline under Generalized Timing of Actions," Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE), Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 168(3), pages 393-431, September.
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    30. Boris Chafwehé & Rigas Oikonomou & Romanos Priftis & Lukas Vogel, 2021. "(Optimal) Monetary Policy with and without Debt," Staff Working Papers 21-5, Bank of Canada.
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    32. Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2018. "Financial Frictions, the Phillips Curve and Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 89429, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    33. Hubert Kempf & Leopold Von Thadden, 2008. "On policy interactions among nations : when do cooperation and commitment matter ?," Post-Print halshs-00344773, HAL.
    34. Stefan Niemann & Paul Pichler & Gerhard Sorger, 2013. "Central Bank Independence And The Monetary Instrument Problem," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 54(3), pages 1031-1055, August.
    35. Jung, Alexander & Mongelli, Francesco, 2013. "Monetary policy decision-making when information search is costly," MPRA Paper 80517, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 May 2016.
    36. Albonico, Alice & Rossi, Lorenza, 2017. "Inflation bias and markup shocks in a LAMP model with strategic interaction of monetary and fiscal policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 39-55.
    37. Andrew HUGHES HALLETT & Jan LIBICH & Petr STEHLÍK, 2014. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interaction with Various Degrees of Commitment," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 64(1), pages 2-29, February.
    38. Bluwstein, Kristina, 2017. "Asymmetric Macro-Financial Spillovers," Working Paper Series 337, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    39. Lemoine, Matthieu & Lindé, Jesper, 2023. "Fiscal stimulus in liquidity traps: Conventional or unconventional policies?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    40. Antoine Camous & Dmitry Matveev, 2022. "The Central Bank Strikes Back! Credibility of Monetary Policy under Fiscal Influence," Staff Working Papers 22-11, Bank of Canada.
    41. Klaus Adam, 2010. "Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Stabilisation Policies," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 765, OECD Publishing.
    42. Eric M. Leeper & Campbell Leith, 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon," NBER Working Papers 21867, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    43. Henrique S. Basso & James Costain, 2013. "Fiscal delegation in a monetary union with decentralized public spending," Working Papers 1311, Banco de España.
    44. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto, 2010. "Distortionary fiscal policy and monetary policy goals," CEPR Discussion Papers 7741, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    45. D. Masciandaro, 2019. "What Bird Is That? Central Banking And Monetary Policy In The Last Forty Years," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19127, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    46. Alexander Mihailov & Katrin Ullrich, 2008. "Independence and Accountability of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Committees," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2008-72, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    47. Sebastian Schmidt, 2017. "Fiscal Activism and the Zero Nominal Interest Rate Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(4), pages 695-732, June.
    48. Martin, Fernando M., 2015. "Debt, inflation and central bank independence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 129-150.
    49. Niemann, S & Pichler, P & Sorger, G, 2009. "Inflation dynamics under optimal discretionary fiscal and monetary policies," Economics Discussion Papers 2898, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
    50. Miller, David S., 2016. "Commitment versus discretion in a political economy model of fiscal and monetary policy interaction," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 17-29.
    51. Dat Thanh Nguyen & Viet Anh Hoang, 2020. "Monetary Consequences of Fiscal Stress in a Game Theoretic Framework," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 125-164.
    52. Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi & Zandri Dickason-Koekemoer, 2023. "Fiscal and Monetary Policies Interactions in Nigeria and South Africa: Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 21-31, September.
    53. Canale, Rosaria Rita & Foresti, Pasquale & Marani, Ugo & Napolitano, Oreste, 2007. "On Keynesian effects of (apparent) non-Keynesian fiscal policies," MPRA Paper 3742, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2007.
    54. Niemann, Stefan & Pichler, Paul, 2011. "Optimal fiscal and monetary policies in the face of rare disasters," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 75-92, January.
    55. David S. Miller, 2019. "Optimal Structure of Fiscal and Monetary Authorities," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(2-3), pages 289-312, March.
    56. Panagiotis Chronis & Aspassia Strantzalou, 2008. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interaction: What is the Role of the Transaction Cost of the Tax System in Stabilisation Policies?," Working Papers 71, Bank of Greece.
    57. Nakata, Taisuke & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2019. "Conservatism and liquidity traps," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 37-47.

  31. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2006. "Learning and Stock Market Volatility," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 15, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Klaus Adam & Pei Kuang & Albert Marcet, 2011. "House Price Booms and the Current Account," NBER Working Papers 17224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Internal Rationality, Imperfect Market Knowledge and Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1068, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    3. Marcet, Albert & Adam, Klaus, 2009. "Internal Rationality and Asset Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 7498, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Orlando Gomes, 2009. "Stability under learning: the neo-classical growth problem," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(4), pages 3186-3193.
    5. Detken, Carsten & Adalid, Ramón, 2007. "Liquidity shocks and asset price boom/bust cycles," Working Paper Series 732, European Central Bank.
    6. Chakraborty, Avik & Evans, George W., 2008. "Can perpetual learning explain the forward-premium puzzle?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 477-490, April.
    7. Giannitsarou, Chryssi & Carceles-Poveda, Eva, 2007. "Asset Pricing with Adaptive Learning," CEPR Discussion Papers 6223, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Booms and Busts in Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1059, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    9. Cogley, Timothy & Sargent, Thomas J., 2008. "The market price of risk and the equity premium: A legacy of the Great Depression?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 454-476, April.
    10. Georges, Christophre, 2008. "Staggered updating in an artificial financial market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 2809-2825, September.
    11. George W. Evans, 2011. "Comment on "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2011, Volume 26, pages 61-71, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Francesco Caprioli & Pietro Rizza & Pietro Tommasino, 2012. "Optimal fiscal policy when agents fear government default," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 859, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

  32. Adam, Klaus, 2005. "Experimental Evidence on the Persistence of Output and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 4885, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2012. "Uncertainty and Disagreement in Forecasting Inflation : Evidence from the Laboratory (Revised version of CentER DP 2011-053)," Discussion Paper 2012-072, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    2. Petersen, Luba & Rholes, Ryan, 2022. "Macroeconomic expectations, central bank communication, and background uncertainty: A COVID-19 laboratory experiment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    3. Mikhail Anufriev & John Duffy & Valentyn Panchenko, 2019. "Planar Beauty Contests," Working Paper Series 2019/10, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    4. William Branch & George W. Evans, 2007. "Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 10(2), pages 207-237, April.
    5. Mikhail Anufriev & Cars Hommes, 2012. "Evolutionary Selection of Individual Expectations and Aggregate Outcomes in Asset Pricing Experiments," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(4), pages 35-64, November.
    6. Cornand, Camille & Hubert, Paul, 2020. "On the external validity of experimental inflation forecasts: A comparison with five categories of field expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    7. Hommes, Cars & Massaro, Domenico & Weber, Matthias, 2019. "Monetary policy under behavioral expectations: Theory and experiment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 193-212.
    8. Funaki, Yukihiko & Kawamura, Kohei & Ueda, Kozo & Uto, Nobuyuki, 2025. "Price stickiness and strategic uncertainty: An experimental study," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    9. Audzei, Volha, 2023. "Learning and cross-country correlations in a multi-country DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    10. Audzei, Volha & Slobodyan, Sergey, 2022. "Sparse restricted perceptions equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    11. Luba Petersen, 2014. "Forecast Error Information and Heterogeneous Expectations in Learning-to-Forecast Experiments," Discussion Papers dp14-05, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University.
    12. Kobielarz, Michal, 2018. "The economics of monetary unions," Other publications TiSEM b0293536-68ec-4905-bffd-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    13. Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Luba Petersen, 2013. "Expectations and Monetary Policy: Experimental Evidence," Discussion Papers dp13-09, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University.
    14. Giamattei, Marcus, 2015. "Cold Turkey vs. Gradualism - Evidence on Disinflation Strategies from a Laboratory Experiment," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Volkswirtschaftliche Reihe V-67-15, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    15. Jasmina Arifovic & George Evans & Olena Kostyshyna, 2013. "Are Sunspots Learnable? An Experimental Investigation in a Simple General-Equilibrium Model," Staff Working Papers 13-14, Bank of Canada.
    16. Alistair Macaulay & James Moberly, 2022. "Heterogeneity in imperfect inflation expectations:theory and evidence from a novel survey," Economics Series Working Papers 970, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    17. Fatemeh Mokhtarzadeh & Luba Petersen, 2021. "Coordinating expectations through central bank projections," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 24(3), pages 883-918, September.
    18. Roos, Michael W. M. & Luhan, Wolfgang J., 2008. "As if or What? – Expectations and Optimization in a Simple Macroeconomic Environment," Ruhr Economic Papers 55, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    19. Abhishek Das & Arpita Ghose & Gautam Gupta, 2018. "Expectation Formation in a New Keynesian Economy: Evidence from a Laboratory Experiment," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 9(1), pages 17-39, March.
    20. Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike M. Malmendier & Juan Ospina & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2019. "Exposure to Daily Price Changes and Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 7798, CESifo.
    21. Tiziana Assenza & William A. Brock & Cars H. Hommes, 2017. "Animal Spirits, Heterogeneous Expectations, And The Amplification And Duration Of Crises," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(1), pages 542-564, January.
    22. Heemeijer, P. & Hommes, C.H. & Sonnemans, J. & Tuinstra, J., 2006. "Price Stability and Volatility in Markets with Positive and Negative Expectations Feedback: An Experimental Investigation," CeNDEF Working Papers 06-05, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    23. Evans, George W. & Hommes, Cars & McGough, Bruce & Salle, Isabelle, 2022. "Are long-horizon expectations (de-)stabilizing? Theory and experiments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 44-63.
    24. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2020. "On the external validity of experimental inflation forecasts," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-02894262, HAL.
    25. Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Petersen, Luba, 2021. "Central bank communication that works: Lessons from lab experiments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 760-780.
    26. Damjan Pfajfar & Emiliano Santoro, 2007. "Heterogeneity, Asymmetries and Learning in InfIation Expectation Formation: An Empirical Assessment," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 123, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    27. Hommes, C.H. & Zhu, M., 2016. "Behavioral Learning Equilibria, Persistence Amplification & Monetary Policy," CeNDEF Working Papers 16-03, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    28. Michael W. M. Roos & Wolfgang J. Luhan, 2013. "Information, Learning and Expectations in an Experimental Model Economy," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 80(319), pages 513-531, July.
    29. Vivien Lewis & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2009. "Model misspecification, learning and the exchange rate disconnect puzzle," Working Paper Research 168, National Bank of Belgium.
    30. Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2011. "Uncertainty and Disagreement in Forecasting Inflation : Evidence from the Laboratory (Replaced by CentER DP 2012-072)," Other publications TiSEM e2c64836-9ab5-4cc2-9f16-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    31. Ahrens, Steffen & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Tettamanzi, Michele, 2023. "The Stabilizing Effects of Publishing Strategic Central Bank Projections," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(3), pages 826-868, April.
    32. Cornand, Camille & Hubert, Paul, 2022. "Information frictions across various types of inflation expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    33. Helena Chytilová & Zdeněk Chytil, 2014. "Ekonomické vzdělání a peněžní iluze, experimentální přístup [Economic Education and Money Illusion: An Experimental Approach]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(4), pages 500-520.
    34. Mary A. Burke & Michael Manz, 2014. "Economic Literacy and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Laboratory Experiment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(7), pages 1421-1456, October.
    35. Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2025. "Dynamic Sparse Adaptive Learning," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp797, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    36. Fabio Milani, 2005. "Adaptive Learning and Inflation Persistence," Working Papers 050607, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    37. Pfajfar, Damjan & Žakelj, Blaž, 2014. "Experimental evidence on inflation expectation formation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 147-168.
    38. Eran Guse, 2007. "Learning in a Misspecified Multivariate Self-Referential Linear Stochastic Model," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 71, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    39. Anufriev, M. & Assenza, T. & Hommes, C.H. & Massaro, D., 2008. "Interest Rate Rules with Heterogeneous Expectations," CeNDEF Working Papers 08-08, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    40. Agliari, A. & Massaro, D. & Pecora, N. & Spelta, A., 2014. "Inflation Targeting, Recursive Inattentiveness and Heterogeneous Beliefs," CeNDEF Working Papers 14-12, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    41. Hommes, Cars & Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Individual expectations and aggregate behavior in learning to forecast experiments," Kiel Working Papers 1466, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    42. Hommes, C.H., 2007. "Bounded Rationality and Learning in Complex Markets," CeNDEF Working Papers 07-01, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    43. Pfajfar, Damjan & Žakelj, Blaž, 2016. "Uncertainty in forecasting inflation and monetary policy design: Evidence from the laboratory," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 849-864.
    44. Cars Hommes & Kostas Mavromatis & Tolga Özden & Mei Zhu, 2023. "Behavioral learning equilibria in New Keynesian models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(4), pages 1401-1445, November.
    45. Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2011. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy Design : Evidence from the Laboratory (Replaces CentER DP 2009-007)," Other publications TiSEM 24250de3-0ad7-48dc-9c2a-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    46. Hommes, C.H. & Zhu, M., 2012. "Behavioral Learning Equilibria," CeNDEF Working Papers 12-09, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    47. Te Bao & John Duffy & Cars Hommes, 2012. "Learning, Forecasting and Optimizing: An Experimental Study," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-015/1, Tinbergen Institute.
    48. Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2012. "Uncertainty and Disagreement in Forecasting Inflation : Evidence from the Laboratory (Revised version of EBC DP 2011-014)," Other publications TiSEM 2b92a09f-918e-4614-978d-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    49. Evans, George W. & McGough, Bruce, 2020. "Equilibrium stability in a nonlinear cobweb model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    50. Antonio Doria, Francisco, 2011. "J.B. Rosser Jr. , Handbook of Research on Complexity, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK--Northampton, MA, USA (2009) 436 + viii pp., index, ISBN 978 1 84542 089 5 (cased)," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 78(1-2), pages 196-204, April.
    51. Zhu, Jiahua & Bao, Te & Chia, Wai Mun, 2021. "Evolutionary selection of forecasting and quantity decision rules in experimental asset markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 363-404.
    52. Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Pei, Jiaoying, 2021. "Expectation formation in finance and macroeconomics: A review of new experimental evidence," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    53. Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2024. "Dynamic Sparse Restricted Perceptions Equilibria," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp792, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    54. Ina Hajdini, 2022. "Mis-specified Forecasts and Myopia in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," Working Papers 22-03R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 06 Mar 2023.
    55. Hommes, Cars, 2018. "Behavioral & experimental macroeconomics and policy analysis: a complex systems approach," Working Paper Series 2201, European Central Bank.
    56. Graf Lambsdorff, Johann & Schubert, Manuel & Giamattei, Marcus, 2011. "On the role of heuristics: Experimental evidence on inflation dynamics," Passauer Diskussionspapiere, Volkswirtschaftliche Reihe V-63-11, University of Passau, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    57. Kronick, Jeremy & Petersen, Luba, 2025. "Is monetary and fiscal policy conflict that dire?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    58. Guido Ascari & Sophocles Mavroeidis & Nigel McClung, 2023. "Coherence without Rationality at the ZLB," Working Papers 784, DNB.
    59. Honkapohja, Seppo & Evans, George W., 2011. "Learning as a Rational Foundation for Macroeconomics and Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 8340, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    60. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2021. "Information frictions in inflation expectations among five types of economic agents," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) halshs-03351632, HAL.
    61. Kauko, Karlo & Palmroos, Peter, 2014. "The Delphi method in forecasting financial markets— An experimental study," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 313-327.
    62. Marcus Giamattei, 2022. "Can Cold Turkey Reduce Inflation Inertia? Evidence on Disinflation and Level‐k Thinking from a Laboratory Experiment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(8), pages 2477-2517, December.
    63. Cars Hommes & Florian Wagener, 2008. "Complex Evolutionary Systems in Behavioral Finance," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-054/1, Tinbergen Institute.
    64. Anufriev, M. & Hommes, C.H. & Philipse, R., 2010. "Evolutionary Selection of Expectations in Positive and Negative Feedback Markets," CeNDEF Working Papers 10-05, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    65. Assenza, T. & Bao, T. & Massaro, D. & Hommes, C.H., 2014. "Experiments on Expectations in Macroeconomics and Finance," CeNDEF Working Papers 14-05, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    66. Marco Airaudo & Ina Hajdini, 2021. "Consistent Expectations Equilibria In Markov Regime Switching Models And Inflation Dynamics," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(4), pages 1401-1430, November.
    67. Arifovic, Jasmina & Petersen, Luba, 2017. "Stabilizing expectations at the zero lower bound: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 21-43.
    68. Kuang, Pei & Mitra, Kaushik, 2016. "Long-run growth uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 67-80.
    69. Fabio Milani, 2009. "Adaptive Learning and Macroeconomic Inertia in the Euro Area," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 579-599, June.
    70. Tedeschi, Gabriele & Iori, Giulia & Gallegati, Mauro, 2012. "Herding effects in order driven markets: The rise and fall of gurus," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 82-96.
    71. Nakagawa, Ryuichi, 2015. "Learnability of an equilibrium with private information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 58-74.
    72. Ahrens, Steffen & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Tettamanzi, Michele, 2018. "The stabilizing role of forward guidance: A macro experiment," BERG Working Paper Series 137, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    73. Davis, Douglas & Korenok, Oleg, 2011. "Nominal shocks in monopolistically competitive markets: An experiment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(6), pages 578-589.
    74. Camille Cornand & Frank Heinemann, 2015. "Macro-expérimentation autour des fonctions des banques centrales," Post-Print halshs-01232455, HAL.
    75. Cars Hommes, 2013. "Behaviorally Rational Expectations and Almost Self-Fulfilling Equilibria," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-204/II, Tinbergen Institute.
    76. Jiang, Janet Hua & Puzzello, Daniela & Zhang, Cathy, 2023. "Inflation, Output, and Welfare in the Laboratory," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    77. Adriana Cornea & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro, 2013. "Behavioral Heterogeneity in U.S. Inflation Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-015/II, Tinbergen Institute.
    78. Heemeijer Peter & Hommes Cars & Sonnemans Joep & Tuinstra Jan, 2012. "An Experimental Study on Expectations and Learning in Overlapping Generations Models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(4), pages 1-49, October.
    79. Troy Tassier, 2013. "Handbook of Research on Complexity, by J. Barkley Rosser, Jr. and Edward Elgar," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 39(1), pages 132-133.
    80. Hommes, Cars & in ’t Veld, Daan, 2017. "Booms, busts and behavioural heterogeneity in stock prices," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 101-124.
    81. Assenza, T. & Heemeijer, P. & Hommes, C.H. & Massaro, D., 2021. "Managing self-organization of expectations through monetary policy: A macro experiment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 170-186.
    82. Irina A. Beloglazova & Aleksey A. Korikov & Konstantin P. Yurchenko, 2025. "Inflation expectations and perceptions: Experimental evaluations and opportunities for central banks’ communication policy," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 26(1), pages 50-68, April.
    83. Maertens Odria, Luís Ricardo & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2013. "Inflation expectations formation in the presence of policy shifts and structural breaks: An experimental analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 59-67.
    84. Robert Amano & Jim Engle-Warnick & Malik Shukayev, 2011. "Price-Level Targeting and Inflation Expectations: Experimental Evidence," Staff Working Papers 11-18, Bank of Canada.
    85. Goy, Gavin & Hommes, Cars & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2022. "Forward guidance and the role of central bank credibility under heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 1240-1274.
    86. Hommes, C.H. & Massaro, D. & Salle, I., 2015. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Design at the Zero Lower Bound - Evidence from the Lab," CeNDEF Working Papers 15-11, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    87. Riedl, Arno & van Winden, Frans, 2007. "An experimental investigation of wage taxation and unemployment in closed and open economies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 871-900, May.
    88. Mikhail Anufriev & Cars Hommes & Tomasz Makarewicz, 2015. "Simple Forecasting Heuristics that Make us Smart: Evidence from Different Market Experiments," Working Paper Series 29, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    89. Xiao, Wei & Xu, Junyi, 2014. "Expectations and optimal monetary policy: A stability problem revisited," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 296-299.
    90. Kurz, Mordecai & Piccillo, Giulia & Wu, Howei, 2013. "Modeling diverse expectations in an aggregated New Keynesian Model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1403-1433.
    91. Evans, David & Li, Jungang & McGough, Bruce, 2023. "Local rationality," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 216-236.
    92. Massaro, Domenico, 2013. "Heterogeneous expectations in monetary DSGE models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 680-692.
    93. Wei Zhao & Yi Lu & Genfu Feng, 2019. "How Many Agents are Rational in China’s Economy? Evidence from a Heterogeneous Agent-Based New Keynesian Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 575-611, August.
    94. Camille Cornand & Frank Heinemann, 2014. "Experiments on Monetary Policy and Central Banking," Research in Experimental Economics, in: Experiments in Macroeconomics, volume 17, pages 167-227, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    95. Massaro, D., 2012. "Regime shifts: early warnings," CeNDEF Working Papers 12-02, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    96. Anufriev, Mikhail & Duffy, John & Panchenko, Valentyn, 2022. "Learning in two-dimensional beauty contest games: Theory and experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    97. Pei Kuang, 2014. "Learning Dynamics with Data (Quasi-) Differencing," Discussion Papers 15-06, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    98. Gerunov, Anton, 2014. "Критичен Преглед На Основните Подходи За Моделиране На Икономическите Очаквания [A Critical Review of Major Approaches for Modeling Economic Expectations]," MPRA Paper 68797, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    99. Boone, Brecht & Quaghebeur, Ewoud, 2018. "Beyond rational expectations: The effects of heuristic switching in an Overlapping Generations model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 349-364.
    100. Jung, Alexander & Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2025. "Central bank communication with non-experts: insights from a randomized field experiment," Working Paper Series 3103, European Central Bank.
    101. Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Sonnemans, Joep & Tuinstra, Jan, 2012. "Individual expectations, limited rationality and aggregate outcomes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1101-1120.
    102. Orland, Andreas & Roos, Michael W.M., 2019. "Price-setting with quadratic adjustment costs: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 88-116.
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    1. Lemoine, Matthieu & Lindé, Jesper, 2016. "Fiscal Consolidation Under Imperfect Credibility," Working Paper Series 322, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    2. Tatiana Kirsanova & Campbell Leith & Ding Liu, 2024. "Central Bank Independence, Government Debt and the Re-Normalization of Interest Rates," Working Papers 2024_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
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    5. Matthew B. Canzoneri, 2007. "Coordination Of Monetary And Fiscal Policy In A Monetary Union: Policy Issues And Analytical Models," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 75(s1), pages 21-43, September.
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    7. Alfred Duncan & Charles Nolan, 2014. "Disputes, Debt and Equity," Working Papers 2014_20, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
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    9. Christopher J. Erceg & Jesper Lindé, 2010. "Asymmetric Shocks in a Currency Union with Monetary and Fiscal Handcuffs," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2010, pages 95-135, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    46. Alexander Mihailov & Katrin Ullrich, 2008. "Independence and Accountability of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Committees," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2008-72, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    47. Sebastian Schmidt, 2017. "Fiscal Activism and the Zero Nominal Interest Rate Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(4), pages 695-732, June.
    48. Martin, Fernando M., 2015. "Debt, inflation and central bank independence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 129-150.
    49. Vines, David & Kirsanova, Tatiana & Stehn, Sven Jari, 2006. "Five-Equation Macroeconomics: A Simple View of the Interactions Between Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 5464, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    50. Niemann, S & Pichler, P & Sorger, G, 2009. "Inflation dynamics under optimal discretionary fiscal and monetary policies," Economics Discussion Papers 2898, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
    51. Miller, David S., 2016. "Commitment versus discretion in a political economy model of fiscal and monetary policy interaction," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 17-29.
    52. Dat Thanh Nguyen & Viet Anh Hoang, 2020. "Monetary Consequences of Fiscal Stress in a Game Theoretic Framework," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 125-164.
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    Cited by:

    1. Galo Nuño & Philipp Renner & Simon Scheidegger, 2024. "Monetary Policy with Persistent Supply Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 11463, CESifo.
    2. Fujiwara, Ippei & Nakajima, Tomoyuki & Sudo, Nao & Teranishi, Yuki, 2013. "Global liquidity trap," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(8), pages 936-949.
    3. Fiorella De Fiore & Oreste Tristani, 2012. "Credit risk and the zero lower bound on interest rates," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 15, pages 12-14.
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    Cited by:

    1. Galo Nuño & Philipp Renner & Simon Scheidegger, 2024. "Monetary Policy with Persistent Supply Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 11463, CESifo.
    2. Fujiwara, Ippei & Nakajima, Tomoyuki & Sudo, Nao & Teranishi, Yuki, 2013. "Global liquidity trap," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(8), pages 936-949.
    3. Fiorella De Fiore & Oreste Tristani, 2012. "Credit risk and the zero lower bound on interest rates," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 15, pages 12-14.
    4. Romanos Priftis & Rigas Oikonomou & Hafedh Bouakez, 2017. "Optimal Debt Management in a Liquidity Trap," 2017 Meeting Papers 1316, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2019. "Price Trends Over the Product Life Cycle and the Optimal Inflation Target," CESifo Working Paper Series 7889, CESifo.
    6. Azariadis, Costas & Bullard, James & Singh, Aarti & Suda, Jacek, 2019. "Incomplete credit markets and monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 83-101.
    7. Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2011. "The implications of inflation in an estimated new Keynesian model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 947-962, June.
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    8. Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2025. "Dynamic Sparse Adaptive Learning," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp797, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
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    38. Pablo Aguilar & Jesús Vázquez, 2015. "The role of term structure in an estimated DSGE model with learning," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2015007, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
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    41. Hubert Paul, 2017. "Qualitative and quantitative central bank communication and inflation expectations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-41, January.

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    Cited by:

    1. Bennett T. McCallum, 2006. "E-Stability vis-a-vis Determinacy Results for a Broad Class of Linear Rational Expectations Models," NBER Working Papers 12441, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Stefano Eusepi, 2005. "Central bank transparency under model uncertainty," Staff Reports 199, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. Guse, E., 2005. "Learning in a Misspecified Multivariate Self-referential Linear Stochastic Model," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0548, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    4. Martin Ellison & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "Saddlepath Learning," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0710, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.

  40. Adam, Klaus, 2003. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Imperfect Common Knowledge," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/12, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

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    1. Gersbach, Hans & Liu, Yulin & Tischhauser, Martin, 2021. "Versatile forward guidance: escaping or switching?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    2. Kristoffer Nimark, 2009. "Non-nested Information Sets and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2009 Meeting Papers 896, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Luigi Paciello & Mirko Wiederholt, 2011. "Exogenous Information, Endogenous Information and Optimal Monetary Policy," EIEF Working Papers Series 1104, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Jan 2011.
    4. Pasten, Ernesto & Schoenle, Raphael, 2016. "Rational inattention, multi-product firms and the neutrality of money," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1-16.
    5. Nimark, Kristoffer, 2008. "Dynamic pricing and imperfect common knowledge," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 365-382, March.
    6. Camille Cornand & Frank Heinemann, 2018. "Monetary Policy obeying the Taylor Principle Turns Prices into Strategic Substitutes," Working Papers halshs-01759692, HAL.
    7. Baeriswyl, Romain & Cornand, Camille, 2007. "Can Opacity of a Credible Central Bank Explain Excessive Inflation?," Discussion Papers in Economics 1376, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    8. Jenny Tang, 2013. "Uncertainty and the signaling channel of monetary policy," Working Papers 15-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    9. Maritta Paloviita, 2008. "Comparing alternative Phillips curve specifications: European results with survey-based expectations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(17), pages 2259-2270.
    10. Beqiraj Elton & Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Di Pietro Marco, 2017. "Beliefs formation and the puzzle of forward guidance power," wp.comunite 00131, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
    11. Leonardo Melosi & Hiroshi Morita & Anna Rogantini Picco & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements," CESifo Working Paper Series 11312, CESifo.
    12. Chengcheng Jia, 2019. "Forward Guidance under Imperfect Information: Instrument Based or State Contingent?," Working Papers 19-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    13. Beqiraj Elton & Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Serpieri Carolina, 2017. "Bounded-rationality and heterogeneous agents: Long or short forecasters?," wp.comunite 00132, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
    14. Paloviita, Maritta, 2007. "Estimating a small DSGE model under rational and measured expectations: some comparisons," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2007, Bank of Finland.
    15. Yulei Luo, 2008. "Consumption Dynamics under Information Processing Constraints," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 11(2), pages 366-385, April.
    16. Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Matějka, Filip & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2018. "Dynamic rational inattention: Analytical results," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 650-692.
    17. Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Imperfect Information, Shock Heterogeneity, and Inflation Dynamics," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-15, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    18. Otmar Issing, 2005. "Kommunikation, Transparenz, Rechenschaft – Geldpolitik im 21. Jahrhundert," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 6(4), pages 521-540, November.
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    22. Ou, Shengliang & Zhang, Donghai & Zhang, Renbin, 2021. "Information frictions, monetary policy, and the paradox of price flexibility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 70-82.
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    24. Paloviita, Maritta, 2005. "Comparing alternative Phillips curve specifications: European results with survey-based expectations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 22/2005, Bank of Finland.
    25. Kenza Benhima, 2013. "Booms and Busts with dispersed information," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 13.11, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
    26. Chan, Jenny, 2024. "Monetary policy and sentiment-driven fluctuations," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
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    29. Casares, Miguel & Vázquez, Jesús, 2016. "Data Revisions In The Estimation Of Dsge Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(7), pages 1683-1716, October.
    30. Wei Li & Yulei Luo & Jun Nie, 2015. "Elastic attention, risk sharing, and international comovements," Research Working Paper RWP 15-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    31. Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2009. "Optimal sticky prices under rational inattention," Working Paper Series 1009, European Central Bank.
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    33. Leonid Serkov & Sergey Krasnykh, 2022. "Analysis of the external shocks impact on the behavior of agents with limited expectations: The case of Russian economy," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 67, pages 97-120.
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    35. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas, 2008. "Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 1-22, June.
    36. Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2007. "Incomplete information and self-fulfilling prophecies," Working Papers 2007-033, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    37. Hyun Song Shin & Jeffery D. Amato, 2003. "Public and Private Information in Monetary Policy Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 38, Society for Computational Economics.
    38. Péter Kondor, 2009. "The more we know, the less we agree: Higher-order expectations and public announcements," 2009 Meeting Papers 1018, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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    125. Antoine Camous & Dmitry Matveev, 2025. "Monetary Stabilization of a Multi-Sector Economy: Adding Words to Action?," Working papers 1013, Banque de France.
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    129. Luca Colombo & Gianluca Femminis & Alessandro Pavan, 2012. "Information Acquisition and Welfare," Discussion Papers 1554, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
    130. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Carolina Serpieri, 2018. "Robust Optimal Policies in a Behavioural New Keynesian Model," JRC Research Reports JRC111603, Joint Research Centre.
    131. Leonid Serkov & Sergey Krasnykh, 2023. "Peculiarity of Behavior of Economic Agents under Cognitive Constraints in a Semi-Open New Keynesian Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-22, December.
    132. Jean-Paul L'Huillier & William R. Zame, 2015. "The Flattening of the Phillips Curve and the Learning Problem of the Central Bank," EIEF Working Papers Series 1503, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Oct 2014.
    133. Hahn, Volker, 2014. "Transparency In Monetary Policy, Signaling, And Heterogeneous Information," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(2), pages 369-394, March.

  41. Adam, Klaus, 2003. "Learning to Forecast and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/01, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

    Cited by:

    1. Granato, J. & Guse, E. & Sunny Wong, M.C., 2006. "Learning from the Expectations of Others," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0605, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    2. Slobodyan, Sergey & Wouters, Raf, 2012. "Learning in an estimated medium-scale DSGE model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 26-46.
    3. William Branch & George W. Evans, 2007. "Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 10(2), pages 207-237, April.
    4. Audzei, Volha, 2023. "Learning and cross-country correlations in a multi-country DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    5. Audzei, Volha & Slobodyan, Sergey, 2022. "Sparse restricted perceptions equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    6. Fabio Milani, 2008. "Learning about the Interdependence between the Macroeconomy and the Stock Market," Working Papers 070819, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    7. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Internal Rationality, Imperfect Market Knowledge and Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1068, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    8. Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2025. "Dynamic Sparse Adaptive Learning," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp797, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    9. Paul Hubert, 2014. "Disentangling qualitative and quantitative central bank influence," Working Papers hal-01098464, HAL.
    10. Lengnick, Matthias & Wohltmann, Hans-Werner, 2016. "Optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with animal spirits and financial markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 148-165.
    11. Eran Guse, 2007. "Learning in a Misspecified Multivariate Self-Referential Linear Stochastic Model," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 71, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    12. Rodrigo Caputo & Juan Pablo Medina & Claudio Soto., 2010. "The Financial Accelerator Under Learning and The Role of Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 590, Central Bank of Chile.
    13. Georges, Christophre & Wallace, John C., 2009. "Learning Dynamics And Nonlinear Misspecification In An Artificial Financial Market," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(5), pages 625-655, November.
    14. Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 2015. "Expectations as a source of macroeconomic persistence: an exploration of firms' and households' expectation formation," Working Papers 15-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    15. Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2024. "Dynamic Sparse Restricted Perceptions Equilibria," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp792, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    16. Vázquez, Jesús, 2025. "Misaligned expectations and bond term premium measures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Marcet, Albert & Adam, Klaus, 2009. "Internal Rationality and Asset Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 7498, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Fuhrer, Jeff, 2017. "Expectations as a source of macroeconomic persistence: Evidence from survey expectations in a dynamic macro model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 22-35.
    19. Fabio Milani, 2010. "Political Business Cycles In The New Keynesian Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 48(4), pages 896-915, October.
    20. Shea, Paul, 2015. "Red herrings and revelations: does learning about a new variable worsen forecasts?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 395-406.
    21. Fabio Milani, 2009. "Adaptive Learning and Macroeconomic Inertia in the Euro Area," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 579-599, June.
    22. Lengnick, Matthias & Krug, Sebastian & Wohltmann, Hans-Werner, 2013. "Money creation and financial instability: An agent-based credit network approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 7, pages 1-44.
    23. Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 2012. "Real expectations: replacing rational expectations with survey expectations in dynamic macro models," Working Papers 12-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    24. Branch, William A. & Gasteiger, Emanuel, 2019. "Endogenously (non-)Ricardian beliefs," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 03/2019, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
    25. Fabio Milani, 2009. "Expectations, Learning, and the Changing Relationship between Oil Prices and the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 080923, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    26. Camille Cornand & Frank Heinemann, 2015. "Macro-expérimentation autour des fonctions des banques centrales," Post-Print halshs-01232455, HAL.
    27. Tiziana Assenza & Peter Heemeijer & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro, 2013. "Individual Expectations and Aggregate Macro Behavior," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-016/II, Tinbergen Institute.
    28. Matthias Lengnick & Hans-Werner Wohltmann, 2013. "Agent-based financial markets and New Keynesian macroeconomics: a synthesis," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 8(1), pages 1-32, April.
    29. Aguilar, Pablo & Vázquez, Jesús, 2021. "An Estimated Dsge Model With Learning Based On Term Structure Information," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(7), pages 1635-1665, October.
    30. Tsuruga, Takayuki, 2007. "The hump-shaped behavior of inflation and a dynamic externality," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(5), pages 1107-1125, July.
    31. Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 2018. "Intrinsic expectations persistence: evidence from professional and household survey expectations," Working Papers 18-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    32. Vázquez, Jesús & Aguilar, Pablo, 2021. "Adaptive learning with term structure information," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    33. Pablo Aguilar & Jesús Vázquez, 2018. "Term structure and real-time learning," Working Papers 1803, Banco de España.
    34. Milani, Fabio, 2007. "Expectations, learning and macroeconomic persistence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 2065-2082, October.
    35. Milani, Fabio, 2014. "Learning and time-varying macroeconomic volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 94-114.
    36. Fabio Milani, 2009. "The Effect of Global Output on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations: A Structural Estimation," Working Papers 080920, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    37. Milani, Fabio, 2010. "Expectation Shocks and Learning as Drivers of the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 7743, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    38. Pablo Aguilar & Jesús Vázquez, 2015. "The role of term structure in an estimated DSGE model with learning," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2015007, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    39. Guse, Eran A., 2010. "Heterogeneous expectations, adaptive learning, and evolutionary dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 74(1-2), pages 42-57, May.
    40. Krisztina Molnar & Sergio Santoro, 2008. "Optimal Monetary Policy When Agents Are Learning," 2008 Meeting Papers 679, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    41. Hubert Paul, 2017. "Qualitative and quantitative central bank communication and inflation expectations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-41, January.

  42. Adam, Klaus, 2003. "Learning and Equilibrium Selection in a Monetary Overlapping Generations Model with Sticky Prices," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/03, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

    Cited by:

    1. Jordi Gal?, 2014. "Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(3), pages 721-752, March.
    2. Bennett T. McCallum, 2006. "E-Stability vis-a-vis Determinacy Results for a Broad Class of Linear Rational Expectations Models," NBER Working Papers 12441, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Ellison, Martin & Pearlman, Joseph, 2011. "Saddlepath learning," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(4), pages 1500-1519, July.
    4. Adam, Klaus, 2005. "Experimental evidence on the persistence of output and inflation," Working Paper Series 492, European Central Bank.
    5. Norbert Christopeit & Michael Massmann, 2015. "Estimating Structural Parameters in Regression Models with Adaptive Learning," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-106/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    6. Adam, Klaus & Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2003. "Are stationary hyperinflation paths learnable?," CFS Working Paper Series 2004/15, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    7. Hommes, C.H. & Zhu, M., 2016. "Behavioral Learning Equilibria, Persistence Amplification & Monetary Policy," CeNDEF Working Papers 16-03, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    8. Mathieu Pedemonte & Hiroshi Toma & Esteban Verdugo, 2023. "Aggregate Implications of Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations: The Role of Individual Experience," Working Papers 23-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    9. Albert Marcet & Klaus Adam & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2008. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 732.08, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    10. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Internal Rationality, Imperfect Market Knowledge and Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1068, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    11. Antonio Mele & Krisztina Molnár & Sergio Santoro, 2015. "On the Perils of Stabilizing Prices when Agents are Learning," CESifo Working Paper Series 5173, CESifo.
    12. Franklin Allen & Gadi Barlevy & Douglas Gale, 2017. "On Interest Rate Policy and Asset Bubbles," Working Paper Series WP-2017-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    13. Franklin Allen & Douglas Gale & Gadi Barlevy, 2019. "Asset Price Booms and Macroeconomic Policy: a Risk-Shifting Approach," 2019 Meeting Papers 587, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. Hommes, C.H. & Massaro, D. & Salle, I., 2015. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Design at the Zero Lower Bound - Evidence from the Lab," CeNDEF Working Papers 15-11, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    15. Pei Kuang, 2014. "Learning Dynamics with Data (Quasi-) Differencing," Discussion Papers 15-06, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    16. Alexander Mayer & Davide Raggi, 2025. "Estimation and inference in models with multiple behavioural equilibria," Papers 2512.04541, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
    17. Alexeeva, Tatyana A. & Kuznetsov, Nikolay V. & Mokaev, Timur N. & Zelinka, Ivan, 2025. "Chaotic dynamics in an overlapping generations model: Forecasting and regularization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    18. Boone, Brecht & Quaghebeur, Ewoud, 2018. "Beyond rational expectations: The effects of heuristic switching in an Overlapping Generations model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 349-364.
    19. Franklin Allen & Gadi Barlevy & Douglas Gale, 2023. "A Comment on Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles," Working Paper Series WP 2023-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    20. Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno, 2008. "Expectational Stability in Multivariate Models," Faculty Working Papers 06/08, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    21. Adam, Klaus & Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2006. "Are hyperinflation paths learnable?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2725-2748, December.

  43. Adam, Klaus, 2003. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Imperfect Common Knowledge," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/12, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

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    1. Gersbach, Hans & Liu, Yulin & Tischhauser, Martin, 2021. "Versatile forward guidance: escaping or switching?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    2. Kristoffer Nimark, 2009. "Non-nested Information Sets and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2009 Meeting Papers 896, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Luigi Paciello & Mirko Wiederholt, 2011. "Exogenous Information, Endogenous Information and Optimal Monetary Policy," EIEF Working Papers Series 1104, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Jan 2011.
    4. Pasten, Ernesto & Schoenle, Raphael, 2016. "Rational inattention, multi-product firms and the neutrality of money," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1-16.
    5. Nimark, Kristoffer, 2008. "Dynamic pricing and imperfect common knowledge," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 365-382, March.
    6. Camille Cornand & Frank Heinemann, 2018. "Monetary Policy obeying the Taylor Principle Turns Prices into Strategic Substitutes," Working Papers halshs-01759692, HAL.
    7. Baeriswyl, Romain & Cornand, Camille, 2007. "Can Opacity of a Credible Central Bank Explain Excessive Inflation?," Discussion Papers in Economics 1376, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    8. Jenny Tang, 2013. "Uncertainty and the signaling channel of monetary policy," Working Papers 15-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    9. Maritta Paloviita, 2008. "Comparing alternative Phillips curve specifications: European results with survey-based expectations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(17), pages 2259-2270.
    10. Beqiraj Elton & Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Di Pietro Marco, 2017. "Beliefs formation and the puzzle of forward guidance power," wp.comunite 00131, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
    11. Leonardo Melosi & Hiroshi Morita & Anna Rogantini Picco & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements," CESifo Working Paper Series 11312, CESifo.
    12. Chengcheng Jia, 2019. "Forward Guidance under Imperfect Information: Instrument Based or State Contingent?," Working Papers 19-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    13. Beqiraj Elton & Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Serpieri Carolina, 2017. "Bounded-rationality and heterogeneous agents: Long or short forecasters?," wp.comunite 00132, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
    14. Paloviita, Maritta, 2007. "Estimating a small DSGE model under rational and measured expectations: some comparisons," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2007, Bank of Finland.
    15. Yulei Luo, 2008. "Consumption Dynamics under Information Processing Constraints," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 11(2), pages 366-385, April.
    16. Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Matějka, Filip & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2018. "Dynamic rational inattention: Analytical results," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 650-692.
    17. Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Imperfect Information, Shock Heterogeneity, and Inflation Dynamics," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-15, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    18. Otmar Issing, 2005. "Kommunikation, Transparenz, Rechenschaft – Geldpolitik im 21. Jahrhundert," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 6(4), pages 521-540, November.
    19. George-Marios Angeletos & Jennifer La'O, 2010. "Noisy Business Cycles," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24, pages 319-378, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Oliver Pfauti, 2021. "Inflation -- who cares? Monetary Policy in Times of Low Attention," Papers 2105.05297, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    21. Wataru Tamura, 2016. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Transparency under Informational Frictions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(6), pages 1293-1314, September.
    22. Ou, Shengliang & Zhang, Donghai & Zhang, Renbin, 2021. "Information frictions, monetary policy, and the paradox of price flexibility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 70-82.
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    25. Kenza Benhima, 2013. "Booms and Busts with dispersed information," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 13.11, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
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    29. Casares, Miguel & Vázquez, Jesús, 2016. "Data Revisions In The Estimation Of Dsge Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(7), pages 1683-1716, October.
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    95. Cars Hommes & Mario He & Sebastian Poledna & Melissa Siqueira & Yang Zhang, 2022. "CANVAS: A Canadian Behavioral Agent-Based Model," Staff Working Papers 22-51, Bank of Canada.
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    116. Gaetano Gaballo, 2013. "Rational Inattention to News: The Perils of Forward Guidance," Working papers 416, Banque de France.
    117. Fabia Gumbau-Brisa, 2005. "Heterogeneous beliefs and inflation dynamics: a general equilibrium approach," Working Papers 05-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    118. Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & George Perendia & Bo Yang, 2012. "Endogenous Persistence in an estimated DSGE Model Under Imperfect Information," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 122(565), pages 1287-1312, December.
    119. Aruoba, S. Borağan & Drechsel, Thomas, 2024. "The long and variable lags of monetary policy: Evidence from disaggregated price indices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    120. Ryo Kato & Tatsushi Okuda, 2017. "Market Concentration and Sectoral Inflation under Imperfect Common Knowledge," IMES Discussion Paper Series 17-E-11, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    121. Ui, Takashi & Yoshizawa, Yasunori, 2015. "Characterizing social value of information," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 158(PB), pages 507-535.
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    123. Romain Baeriswyl & Camille Cornand, 2007. "Monetary policy and its informative value," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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  44. Adam, Klaus, 2003. "On the Relation between Robust and Bayesian Decision Making," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/02, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

    Cited by:

    1. Keith Kuester & Volker Wieland, 2010. "Insurance Policies for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 8(4), pages 872-912, June.
    2. Andrea Lanteri & Albert Marcet & Esther Hauk, 2016. "Optimal Policy with General Signal Extraction," Working Papers 932, Barcelona School of Economics.
    3. Barrieu, Pauline & Desgagne, Bernard Sinclair, 2009. "Economic policy when models disagree," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 37607, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Woodford, Michael & Adam, Klaus, 2012. "Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a Microfounded New Keynesian Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 8826, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Luo, Yulei & Nie, Jun & Young, Eric R., 2014. "Model uncertainty and intertemporal tax smoothing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 289-314.
    6. Q. Farooq Akram & Yakov Ben-Haim & Øyvind Eitrheim, 2006. "Managing uncertainty through robust-satisficing monetary policy," Working Paper 2006/10, Norges Bank.
    7. Filippo Altissimo & Stefano Siviero & Daniele Terlizzese, 2006. "On Robust Monetary Policy," Chapters, in: Lawrence R. Klein (ed.), Long-run Growth and Short-run Stabilization, chapter 6, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    8. Bigio, Saki, 2010. "Learning under fear of floating," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1923-1950, October.
    9. Pauline Barrieu & Sinclair Desgagn�, 2009. "Economic policy when models disagree," GRI Working Papers 4, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    10. Renaud, J. & Thibault, J. & Lanouette, R. & Kiss, L.N. & Zaras, K. & Fonteix, C., 2007. "Comparison of two multicriteria decision aid methods: Net Flow and Rough Set Methods in a high yield pulping process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 177(3), pages 1418-1432, March.
    11. Robert Tetlow & Peter von zur Muehlen, 2004. "Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robus Responses to Model Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 7(4), pages 869-899, October.
    12. Peter Tillmann, 2009. "Optimal Monetary Policy with an Uncertain Cost Channel," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(5), pages 885-906, August.
    13. Rama Cont, 2006. "Model uncertainty and its impact on the pricing of derivative instruments," Post-Print halshs-00002695, HAL.

  45. Adam, Klaus, 2003. "On the Relation between Robust and Bayesian Decision Making," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/02, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

    Cited by:

    1. Keith Kuester & Volker Wieland, 2010. "Insurance Policies for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 8(4), pages 872-912, June.
    2. Andrea Lanteri & Albert Marcet & Esther Hauk, 2016. "Optimal Policy with General Signal Extraction," Working Papers 932, Barcelona School of Economics.
    3. Barrieu, Pauline & Desgagne, Bernard Sinclair, 2009. "Economic policy when models disagree," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 37607, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Woodford, Michael & Adam, Klaus, 2012. "Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a Microfounded New Keynesian Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 8826, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Luo, Yulei & Nie, Jun & Young, Eric R., 2014. "Model uncertainty and intertemporal tax smoothing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 289-314.
    6. Q. Farooq Akram & Yakov Ben-Haim & Øyvind Eitrheim, 2006. "Managing uncertainty through robust-satisficing monetary policy," Working Paper 2006/10, Norges Bank.
    7. Filippo Altissimo & Stefano Siviero & Daniele Terlizzese, 2006. "On Robust Monetary Policy," Chapters, in: Lawrence R. Klein (ed.), Long-run Growth and Short-run Stabilization, chapter 6, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    8. Bigio, Saki, 2010. "Learning under fear of floating," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1923-1950, October.
    9. Pauline Barrieu & Sinclair Desgagn�, 2009. "Economic policy when models disagree," GRI Working Papers 4, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    10. Renaud, J. & Thibault, J. & Lanouette, R. & Kiss, L.N. & Zaras, K. & Fonteix, C., 2007. "Comparison of two multicriteria decision aid methods: Net Flow and Rough Set Methods in a high yield pulping process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 177(3), pages 1418-1432, March.
    11. Robert Tetlow & Peter von zur Muehlen, 2004. "Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robus Responses to Model Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 7(4), pages 869-899, October.
    12. Peter Tillmann, 2009. "Optimal Monetary Policy with an Uncertain Cost Channel," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(5), pages 885-906, August.
    13. Rama Cont, 2006. "Model uncertainty and its impact on the pricing of derivative instruments," Post-Print halshs-00002695, HAL.

  46. Klaus Adam & Mario Padula, 2002. "Inflation Dynamics and Subjective Expectations in the United States," CSEF Working Papers 78, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, revised 02 Jun 2009.

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    1. Luis J. Álvarez & Mónica Correa-López, 2020. "Inflation expectations in euro area Phillips curves," Occasional Papers 2018, Banco de España.
    2. Batabyal, Sourav & Islam, Faridul & Khaznaji, Maher, 2018. "On the sources of the Great Moderation: Role of monetary policy and intermediate inputs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-9.
    3. Paul Hubert & Becky Maule, 2016. "Policy and Macro Signals as Inputs to Inflation Expectation Formation," Working Papers hal-03459462, HAL.
    4. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2017. "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation and the Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 23304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2024. "Functional shocks to inflation expectations and real interest rates and their macroeconomic effects," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 160(4), pages 1543-1575, November.
    6. Stephen J. Cole & Fabio Milani, 2016. "The Misspecification of Expectations in New Keynesian Models: A DSGE-VAR Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 6099, CESifo.
    7. Maritta Paloviita and Matti Viren, 2012. "Analyzing the relationships between survey forecasts for different variables and countries," Discussion Papers 76, Aboa Centre for Economics.
    8. Berge, Travis J., 2018. "Understanding survey-based inflation expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 788-801.
    9. Harun Mirza & Lidia Storjohann, 2014. "Making Weak Instrument Sets Stronger: Factor‐Based Estimation of Inflation Dynamics and a Monetary Policy Rule," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(4), pages 643-664, June.
    10. Stockhammar, Pär & Österholm, Pär, 2016. "Do Inflation Expectations Granger Cause Inflation?," Working Papers 145, National Institute of Economic Research.
    11. Kortelainen, Mika & Paloviita, Maritta & Viren, Matti, 2016. "How useful are measured expectations in estimation and simulation of a conventional small New Keynesian macro model?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 540-550.
    12. Omer Bayar, 2022. "Reducing large datasets to improve the identification of estimated policy rules," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 113-140, July.
    13. Özer Karagedikli & Dr John McDermott, 2016. "Inflation expectations and low inflation in New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2016/09, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    14. Marcelle Chauvet & Insu Kim, 2021. "Incomplete Price Adjustment and Inflation Persistence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(6), pages 1337-1371, September.
    15. Hasenzagl, Thomas & Pellegrino, Filippo & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "A Model of the Fed’s View on Inflation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1145, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
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    17. Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 2011. "Inflation expectations and the evolution of U. S. inflation," Public Policy Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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    19. Kim, Insu & Kim, Young Se, 2019. "Inattentive agents and inflation forecast error dynamics: A Bayesian DSGE approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
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    21. Altug, Sumru & Çakmaklı, Cem, 2016. "Forecasting inflation using survey expectations and target inflation: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 138-153.
    22. Byeongdeuk Jang & Young Se Kim, 2017. "Driving Forces of Inflation Expectations," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 33, pages 207-237.
    23. Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Imperfect information in macroeconomics," Post-Print hal-03458122, HAL.
    24. Oinonen, Sami & Vilmi, Lauri, 2021. "Analysing euro area inflation outlook with the Phillips curve," BoF Economics Review 5/2021, Bank of Finland.
    25. Paul Hubert, 2014. "Disentangling qualitative and quantitative central bank influence," Working Papers hal-01098464, HAL.
    26. Fabio Milani, 2005. "Adaptive Learning and Inflation Persistence," Working Papers 050607, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    27. L. Baele & G. Bekaert & S. Cho & K. Inghelbrecht & A. Moreno, 2013. "Macroeconomic Regimes," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 13/870, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    28. Schmidt, Torsten, 2018. "Inflation Expectation Uncertainty, Inflation and the Outputgap," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181575, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    29. Jarko Fidrmuc & Katarína Danišková, 2020. "Meta-Analysis of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Developed and Emerging Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(1), pages 10-31, January.
    30. Cars Hommes & Kostas Mavromatis & Tolga Özden & Mei Zhu, 2023. "Behavioral learning equilibria in New Keynesian models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(4), pages 1401-1445, November.
    31. Del Negro, Marco & Eusepi, Stefano, 2011. "Fitting observed inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 2105-2131.
    32. Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers 24/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    33. Tomohide Mineyama, 2023. "Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity and Inflation Dynamics during and after the Great Recession," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(5), pages 1213-1244, August.
    34. Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 2015. "Expectations as a source of macroeconomic persistence: an exploration of firms' and households' expectation formation," Working Papers 15-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    35. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Sergeyev, Dmitriy, 2021. "Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers 14853, IZA Network @ LISER.
    36. Kortelainen, Mika & Paloviita, Maritta & Viren, Matti, 2011. "Observed inflation forecasts and the new Keynesian macro model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 112(1), pages 88-90, July.
    37. Ya-Wen Lai, 2017. "Output gaps and the New Keynesian Phillips curve: An application of the Empirical Mode Decomposition," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 952-961.
    38. Stefano Eusepi & Richard Crump & Emanuel Moench & Philippe Andrade, 2014. "Noisy Information and Fundamental Disagreement," 2014 Meeting Papers 797, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    39. Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 488, Society for Computational Economics.
    40. Gimeno, Ricardo & Ibáñez, Alfredo, 2018. "The eurozone (expected) inflation: An option's eyes view," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 70-92.
    41. Ormeño, Arturo, 2012. "Using Survey Data on Inflation Expectations in the Estimation of Learning and Rational Expectations Models," Working Papers 2012-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    42. Vicente da Gama Machado & Marcelo Savino Portugal, 2014. "Phillips curve in Brazil: an unobserved components approach," Working Papers Series 354, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    43. Philippe Andrade & Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2013. "Fundamental disagreement," Staff Reports 655, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    44. Fuhrer, Jeff, 2017. "Expectations as a source of macroeconomic persistence: Evidence from survey expectations in a dynamic macro model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 22-35.
    45. Marcus Giamattei, 2022. "Can Cold Turkey Reduce Inflation Inertia? Evidence on Disinflation and Level‐k Thinking from a Laboratory Experiment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(8), pages 2477-2517, December.
    46. Katarína Danišková & Jarko Fidrmuc, 2011. "Inflation Convergence and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in the Czech Republic," Czech Economic Review, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 099-115, August.
    47. Jonathan J Adams & Philip Barrett, 2022. "Shocks to Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 001007, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
    48. Rychalovska, Yuliya & Slobodyan, Sergey & Wouters, Raf, 2025. "Survey expectations, learning and inflation dynamics," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    49. Oliver Pfäuti, 2025. "Inflation—Who Cares? Monetary Policy in Times of Low Attention," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(5), pages 1211-1239, August.
    50. Caprioli, Francesco, 2015. "Optimal fiscal policy under learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 101-124.
    51. Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Inflation Forecasts and Forecaster Herding: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers 21/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    52. Víctor López-Pérez, 2017. "Do professional forecasters behave as if they believed in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve for the euro area?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 147-174, February.
    53. Muhammad Saqib, 2025. "Analyzing Inflation Dynamics in Pakistan: The New Keynesian Phillips Curve Perspective," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(3), pages 13667-13688, September.
    54. Andres Sanchez-Jabba & Erick Villabon-Hinestroza, 2024. "The measure matters: differences in the passthrough of inflation expectations in Colombia," BIS Working Papers 1205, Bank for International Settlements.
    55. Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 2012. "Real expectations: replacing rational expectations with survey expectations in dynamic macro models," Working Papers 12-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    56. Jmaes McNeil, 2020. "Monetary policy and the term structure of Inflation expectations with information frictions," Working Papers daleconwp2020-07, Dalhousie University, Department of Economics.
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    58. Adriana Cornea & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro, 2013. "Behavioral Heterogeneity in U.S. Inflation Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-015/II, Tinbergen Institute.
    59. Young Se Kim & Byeongdeuk Jang, 2015. "Dispersion of Inflation Expectations: Stylized Facts, Puzzles, and Macroeconomic Implications," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 31, pages 89-119.
    60. Clements, Michael P., 2024. "Do professional forecasters believe in the Phillips curve?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1238-1254.
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    62. Ignazio Angeloni & Luc Aucremanne & Michael Ehrmann & Andrew Levin & Frank Smets & Jordi Galí, 2015. "New Evidence on Inflation Persistence and Price Stickiness in the Euro Area: Implications for Macro Modelling," Working Papers 242, Barcelona School of Economics.
    63. Jeffrey C. Fuhrer, 2018. "Intrinsic expectations persistence: evidence from professional and household survey expectations," Working Papers 18-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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    66. Wilbert van der Klaauw & Wandi Bruine de Bruin & Giorgio Topa & Basit Zafar & Olivier Armantier, 2012. "Inflation Expectations and Behavior: Do Survey Respondents Act on their Beliefs?," 2012 Meeting Papers 121, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    67. Mitchell, Karlyn & Pearce, Douglas, 2015. "Direct Evidence on Sticky Information from the Revision Behavior of Professional Forecasters," MPRA Paper 66172, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    68. Sophocles Mavroeidis & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock, "undated". "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Paper 84656, Harvard University OpenScholar.
    69. Gerunov, Anton, 2014. "Критичен Преглед На Основните Подходи За Моделиране На Икономическите Очаквания [A Critical Review of Major Approaches for Modeling Economic Expectations]," MPRA Paper 68797, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    70. Andres Sanchez-Jabba & Erick Villabon-Hinestroz & Bernardo Romero-Torres, 2023. "Inflation Expectations Measurement and its Effect on Inflation Dynamics in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1257, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    71. Dong Jin Lee & Jai Hyung Yoon, 2012. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curves in Multiple Quantiles and the Asymmetry of Monetary Policy," Working papers 2012-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    72. Wellmann, Susanne, 2023. "The Phillips curve in the euro area: New evidence using country-level data," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 156, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    73. Franz Xaver Zobl & Martin Ertl, 2021. "The Condemned Live Longer – New Evidence of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Central and Eastern Europe," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 671-699, September.
    74. Maritta Paloviita and Matti Viren, 2012. "Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?," Discussion Papers 77, Aboa Centre for Economics.
    75. Lee, Dong Jin & Yoon, Jai Hyung, 2016. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve in multiple quantiles and the asymmetry of monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 102-114.
    76. Carlos Madeira & Basit Zafar, 2012. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations and learning," Staff Reports 536, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    77. Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli, 2014. "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1413, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    78. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2023. "The Phillips curve at 65: Time for time and frequency," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    79. Yingying XU & Zhixin LIU & Jaime ORTIZ, 2018. "Actual and Expected Inflation in the U.S.: A Time-Frequency View," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 42-62, December.
    80. Jørgensen, Peter Lihn & Lansing, Kevin J., 2025. "Anchored inflation expectations and the slope of the Phillips curve," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    81. Paul Hubert & Harun Mirza, 2014. "Inflation expectation dynamics:the role of past, present and forward looking information," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2014-07, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    82. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    83. Abbas, Syed K. & Bhattacharya, Prasad Sankar & Sgro, Pasquale, 2016. "The new Keynesian Phillips curve: An update on recent empirical advances," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 378-403.
    84. Carola Binder & Rupal Kamdar, 2022. "Expected and Realized Inflation in Historical Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 131-156, Summer.
    85. Hubert Paul, 2017. "Qualitative and quantitative central bank communication and inflation expectations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-41, January.

  47. Klaus Adam, 2001. "Learning and Equilibrium Selection in a Monetary Overlapping Generations Model with Sticky," CSEF Working Papers 69, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.

    Cited by:

    1. Adam, Klaus & Marcet, Albert & Nicolini, Juan Pablo, 2012. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," Working Papers 12-06, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.

  48. Adam, K., 2000. "Adaptive Learning and the Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Economics Working Papers eco2000/25, European University Institute.

    Cited by:

    1. Adam, Klaus, 2003. "Learning and Equilibrium Selection in a Monetary Overlapping Generations Model with Sticky Prices," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/03, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    2. Klaus Adam, 2004. "Should macroeconomists consider restricted perception equilibria? Evidence from the experimental laboratory," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 338, Society for Computational Economics.

  49. Adam, K., 1999. "Learning While Searching for the Beat Alternative," Economics Working Papers eco99/4, European University Institute.

    Cited by:

    1. Akiko Maruyama, 2013. "Learning about one's own type: a search model with two-sided uncertainty," GRIPS Discussion Papers 12-24, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
    2. Bart J. Bronnenberg & Jun B. Kim & Carl F. Mela, 2016. "Zooming In on Choice: How Do Consumers Search for Cameras Online?," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(5), pages 693-712, September.
    3. Hector Chade & Jan Eeckhout & Lones Smith, 2017. "Sorting through Search and Matching Models in Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 55(2), pages 493-544, June.
    4. Daria Dzyabura & John R. Hauser, 2019. "Recommending Products When Consumers Learn Their Preference Weights," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 38(3), pages 417-441, May.
    5. Marcoul, Philippe & Weninger, Quinn, 2008. "Search and active learning with correlated information: Empirical evidence from mid-Atlantic clam fishermen," ISU General Staff Papers 200806010700001485, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Akiko Maruyama, 2016. "One-sided learning about one's own type in a two-sided search model," GRIPS Discussion Papers 15-26, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
    7. Ke, T. Tony & Villas-Boas, J. Miguel, 2019. "Optimal learning before choice," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 383-437.
    8. Marcel Preuss, 2023. "Search, learning, and tracking," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 54(1), pages 54-82, March.
    9. Greminger, Rafael, 2019. "Optimal Search and Awareness Expansion," Other publications TiSEM ac47e6ff-42a4-4d70-addd-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    10. Rafael P. Greminger, 2022. "Optimal Search and Discovery," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(5), pages 3904-3924, May.
    11. Sanjiv Erat & Stylianos Kavadias, 2008. "Sequential Testing of Product Designs: Implications for Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(5), pages 956-968, May.
    12. Akiko Maruyama, 2018. "One-sided learning about one fs own type in a two-sided search model: The case of n types of agents," GRIPS Discussion Papers 18-15, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
    13. Klaus Adam, 2001. "Competitive Prices in Markets with Search and Information Frictions," CSEF Working Papers 55, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    14. Deishin Lee & Eric Van den Steen, 2010. "Managing Know-How," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(2), pages 270-285, February.
    15. Charles Hodgson & Gregory Lewis, 2020. "You Can Lead a Horse to Water: Spatial Learning and Path Dependence in Consumer Search," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2246, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    16. Gerald Häubl & Benedict G. C. Dellaert & Bas Donkers, 2010. "Tunnel Vision: Local Behavioral Influences on Consumer Decisions in Product Search," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 29(3), pages 438-455, 05-06.
    17. Martino Banchio & Suraj Malladi, 2025. "Rediscovery," Papers 2504.19761, arXiv.org.
    18. Charles Hodgson & Gregory Lewis, 2025. "You Can Lead a Horse to Water: Spatial Learning and Path Dependence in Consumer Search," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(4), pages 1299-1332, July.
    19. Fan, Ying & Fu, Yuqi & Yang, Zan & Chen, Ming, 2023. "Search Frictions in Rental Markets: Evidence from Urban China," Working Paper Series 23/11, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
    20. Andrew Y. Chen, 2021. "The Limits of p‐Hacking: Some Thought Experiments," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(5), pages 2447-2480, October.
    21. Ashish Agarwal & Tridas Mukhopadhyay, 2016. "The Impact of Competing Ads on Click Performance in Sponsored Search," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 27(3), pages 538-557.
    22. Yizhaq Minchuk & Aner Sela, 2018. "Asymmetric sequential search under incomplete information," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(2), pages 315-325, June.
    23. Fan, Ying & Fu, Yuqi & Yang, Zan & Chen, Ming, 2024. "Search frictions in rental markets: Evidence from urban China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    24. Rafael P. Greminger, 2019. "Optimal Search and Discovery," Papers 1911.07773, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    25. Greminger, Rafael, 2019. "Optimal Search and Awareness Expansion," Discussion Paper 2019-034, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.

Articles

  1. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2023. "Estimating the Optimal Inflation Target from Trends in Relative Prices," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 1-42, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Adam, Klaus & Gautier, Erwan & Santoro, Sergio & Weber, Henning, 2022. "The case for a positive euro area inflation target: Evidence from france, germany and italy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 140-153.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2021. "Robustly optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model with housing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Adam, Klaus & Matveev, Dmitry & Nagel, Stefan, 2021. "Do survey expectations of stock returns reflect risk adjustments?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 723-740.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2019. "Optimal Trend Inflation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(2), pages 702-737, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Klaus Adam & Michael Grill, 2017. "Optimal Sovereign Default," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 128-164, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Johannes Beutel, 2017. "Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(8), pages 2352-2408, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Klaus Adam & Junyi Zhu, 2016. "Price-Level Changes And The Redistribution Of Nominal Wealth Across The Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 871-906, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Adam, Klaus & Tzamourani, Panagiota, 2016. "Distributional consequences of asset price inflation in the Euro Area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 172-192.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2016. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(1), pages 33-82, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Adam, Klaus & Beutel, Johannes & Marcet, Albert & Merkel, Sebastian, 2015. "Can a financial transaction tax prevent stock price booms?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(S), pages 90-109.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto M., 2014. "Distortionary fiscal policy and monetary policy goals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 1-6.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Adam, Klaus & Woodford, Michael, 2012. "Robustly optimal monetary policy in a microfounded New Keynesian model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(5), pages 468-487.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Klaus Adam & Pei Kuang & Albert Marcet, 2012. "House Price Booms and the Current Account," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 26(1), pages 77-122.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Adam, Klaus & Marcet, Albert, 2011. "Internal rationality, imperfect market knowledge and asset prices," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1224-1252, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. Adam, Klaus, 2011. "Government debt and optimal monetary and fiscal policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 57-74, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Klaus Adam & Mario Padula, 2011. "Inflation Dynamics And Subjective Expectations In The United States," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 49(1), pages 13-25, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  18. Adam, Klaus, 2009. "Monetary policy and aggregate volatility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(S), pages 1-18.

    Cited by:

    1. Stefan Collignon, 2024. "The Tale of Two Economies: Inflationary Dynamics in the Euro Area and the US in the Context of Uncertainty," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-27, June.
    2. Paul Hubert & Becky Maule, 2016. "Policy and Macro Signals as Inputs to Inflation Expectation Formation," Working Papers hal-03459462, HAL.
    3. Pasten, Ernesto & Schoenle, Raphael, 2016. "Rational inattention, multi-product firms and the neutrality of money," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1-16.
    4. Gaetano Gaballo, 2012. "Good Luck or Good Policy? An Expectational Theory of Macro-Volatility Switches," Working papers 402, Banque de France.
    5. Fang Zhang, 2017. "Rational Inattention in Uncertain Business Cycles," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(1), pages 215-253, February.
    6. Alistair Macaulay, 2021. "The Attention Trap: Rational Inattention, Inequality, and Fiscal Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 931, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    7. McNown, Robert & Seip, Knut Lehre, 2011. "Periods and structural breaks in US economic history 1959-2007," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 169-182, March.
    8. Mankiw, N. Gregory & Reis, Ricardo, 2010. "Imperfect Information and Aggregate Supply," Scholarly Articles 33907956, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    9. Zhang, Fang, 2014. "Monetary policy for rationally inattentive economies with staggered price setting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 184-208.
    10. Lena Dräger, 2011. "Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201103, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    11. Paul Hubert, 2013. "ECB projections as a tool for understanding policy decisions," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2013-04, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    12. Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-029, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.

  19. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto M., 2008. "Monetary conservatism and fiscal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(8), pages 1376-1388, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  20. Adam, Klaus, 2007. "Optimal monetary policy with imperfect common knowledge," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 267-301, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  21. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto M., 2007. "Discretionary monetary policy and the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 728-752, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  22. Klaus Adam, 2007. "Experimental Evidence on the Persistence of Output and Inflation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 117(520), pages 603-636, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  23. Adam, Klaus & Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2006. "Are hyperinflation paths learnable?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2725-2748, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Granato, J. & Guse, E. & Sunny Wong, M.C., 2006. "Learning from the Expectations of Others," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0605, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    2. Óscar J. Arce, 2006. "Speculative hyperinflations: when can we rule them out?," Working Papers 0607, Banco de España.
    3. Bennett T. McCallum, 2006. "E-Stability vis-a-vis Determinacy Results for a Broad Class of Linear Rational Expectations Models," NBER Working Papers 12441, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Ellison, Martin & Pearlman, Joseph, 2011. "Saddlepath learning," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(4), pages 1500-1519, July.
    5. Wojciech Charemza & Yuriy Kharin & Vladislav Maevskiy, 2012. "Bilinear forecast risk assessment for non-systematic inflation: Theory and evidence," Discussion Papers in Economics 12/22, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
    6. Jun-Hyun Ko & Hiroshi Morita, 2015. "How does hyperinflation shock the economy?: Panel VAR Approach," Working Papers e090, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    7. Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2007. "Expectations, learning and monetary policy: an overview of recent research," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 32/2007, Bank of Finland.
    8. Pei Kuang, 2013. "A Note on Learning in a Credit Economy," Discussion Papers 14-08, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    9. El-Shagi, Makram, 2011. "Inflation expectations: Does the market beat econometric forecasts?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 298-319.
    10. Caprioli, Francesco, 2015. "Optimal fiscal policy under learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 101-124.
    11. El-Shagi, Makram, 2009. "Inflation Expectations: Does the Market Beat Professional Forecasts?," IWH Discussion Papers 16/2009, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    12. Nakagawa, Ryuichi, 2015. "Learnability of an equilibrium with private information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 58-74.
    13. Thomas J. Sargent & Noah Williams & Tao Zha, 2006. "The conquest of South American inflation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2006-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    14. Arce, Oscar J., 2009. "Speculative hyperinflations and currency substitution," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(10), pages 1808-1823, October.
    15. Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations, and Technology Shocks," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0807, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
    16. Hartwell, Christopher A., 2019. "Short waves in Hungary, 1923 and 1946: Persistence, chaos, and (lack of) control," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 532-550.
    17. Baranowski, Ryan, 2015. "Adaptive learning and monetary exchange," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-18.
    18. Lansing, Kevin J. & Ma, Jun, 2017. "Explaining exchange rate anomalies in a model with Taylor-rule fundamentals and consistent expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 62-87.
    19. Sokic, Alexandre, 2010. "The monetary analysis of hyperinflation and the appropriate specification of the demand for money," MPRA Paper 21503, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Francesco Caprioli & Pietro Rizza & Pietro Tommasino, 2012. "Optimal fiscal policy when agents fear government default," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 859, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    21. Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno, 2008. "Expectational Stability in Multivariate Models," Faculty Working Papers 06/08, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    22. Guse, Eran A., 2010. "Heterogeneous expectations, adaptive learning, and evolutionary dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 74(1-2), pages 42-57, May.
    23. Guse, Eran A., 2008. "Learning in a misspecified multivariate self-referential linear stochastic model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1517-1542, May.

  24. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto M., 2006. "Optimal Monetary Policy under Commitment with a Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(7), pages 1877-1905, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  25. Adam, Klaus, 2005. "Learning To Forecast And Cyclical Behavior Of Output And Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  26. Adam, Klaus, 2004. "On the relation between robust and Bayesian decision making," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(10), pages 2105-2117, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  27. Klaus Adam, 2003. "Learning and Equilibrium Selection in a Monetary Overlapping Generations Model with Sticky Prices," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 70(4), pages 887-907.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  28. Adam, Klaus, 2001. "Learning While Searching for the Best Alternative," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 101(1), pages 252-280, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.

Chapters

  1. Klaus Adam & Pei Kuang & Albert Marcet, 2011. "House Price Booms and the Current Account," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2011, Volume 26, pages 77-122, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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