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Complex Stock Price Dynamics and Recurrent Bubbles under the Spirit of Capitalism

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  • Marco Airaudo

Abstract

We embed Max Weber (1958)'s spirit of capitalism (SOC) into an otherwise standard Lucas' tree asset pricing model, by assuming that economic agents care about their social status and that the latter is related to financial wealth. We show that, absent uncertainty, for a wide range of values for the coefficient of relative risk aversion, the SOC combined with a sufficient growth rate of dividends can induce both cyclical and chaotic fluctuations in the price-dividend ratio. Once fundamental uncertainty is introduced - in the form of a stationary shock to dividends growth - the model is capable of generating recurrent boom-bust cycles which are completely endogenous and resemble the stock price bubble episodes observed in the real world. Interestingly, these volatile dynamics are obtained without necessarily assuming the existence of sizable (sunspot-driven) expectational errors. We show that, for both the deterministic and the stochastic case, endogeneous fluctuations can be effectively smoothed by a small tax on capital gains, while taxing dividends seems to be a rather bad idea.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Airaudo, 2012. "Complex Stock Price Dynamics and Recurrent Bubbles under the Spirit of Capitalism," DEGIT Conference Papers c017_036, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    • Handle: RePEc:deg:conpap:c017_036
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    File URL: http://degit.sam.sdu.dk/papers/degit_17/C017_036.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2016. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(1), pages 33-82, February.
    2. Smith, William T, 2001. "How Does the Spirit of Capitalism Affect Stock Market Prices?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(4), pages 1215-1232.
    3. Takashi Kamihigashi, 2008. "The spirit of capitalism, stock market bubbles and output fluctuations," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 4(1), pages 3-28, March.
    4. Medio, Alfredo & Raines, Brian, 2007. "Backward dynamics in economics. The inverse limit approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1633-1671, May.
    5. KevinJ. Lansing, 2010. "Rational and Near-Rational Bubbles Without Drift," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(549), pages 1149-1174, December.
    6. Bakshi, Gurdip S & Chen, Zhiwu, 1996. "The Spirit of Capitalism and Stock-Market Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(1), pages 133-157, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard, Lise, 2021. "Expectation-Driven Asset Price Fluctuations Under The Spirit Of Capitalism Hypothesis: The Role Of Heterogeneity," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(2), pages 509-535, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset Pricing; Bubbles; Endogenous Cycles; Chaotic Dynamics; Status; Wealth Preferences; Spirit of Capitalism; Dividends Taxation; Capital Gains Taxation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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