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The Spirit of Capitalism, Stock Market Bubbles, and Output Fluctuations

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  • Takashi Kamihigashi

    (Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration (RIEB), Kobe University, Japan)

Abstract

This paper presents a representative agent model in which stock market bubbles cause output fluctuations. Assuming that utility depends directly on wealth, we show that stock market bubbles arise if the marginal utility of wealth does not decline to zero as wealth goes to infinity. Bubbles may affect output positively or negative depending on whether the production function exhibits increasing or decreasing returns to scale. In sunspot equilibria, the bursting of a bubble is followed by a sharp decline in output one period later. Various numerical examples are given to illustrate the behavior of stochastic bubbles and the relationship between bubbles and output.

Suggested Citation

  • Takashi Kamihigashi, 2007. "The Spirit of Capitalism, Stock Market Bubbles, and Output Fluctuations," Discussion Paper Series 205, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, revised Oct 2007.
  • Handle: RePEc:kob:dpaper:205
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    File URL: http://www.rieb.kobe-u.ac.jp/academic/ra/dp/English/dp205.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Montrucchio, Luigi & Privileggi, Fabio, 2001. "On Fragility of Bubbles in Equilibrium Asset Pricing Models of Lucas-Type," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 101(1), pages 158-188, November.
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    6. Kamihigashi, Takashi, 2003. "Necessity of transversality conditions for stochastic problems," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 140-149, March.
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    10. Futagami, Koichi & Shibata, Akihisa, 1999. "Welfare effects of bubbles in an endogenous growth model," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(4), pages 381-403, December.
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    14. Tirole, Jean, 1985. "Asset Bubbles and Overlapping Generations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1499-1528, November.
    15. Tomoyuki Nakajima, 2003. "Sunspot Fluctuations in Asset Prices and Business Cycles in Japan Over 1986-1999," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 54(3), pages 253-274.
    16. Hassapis, Christis & Kalyvitis, Sarantis, 2002. "Investigating the links between growth and real stock price changes with empirical evidence from the G-7 economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 543-575.
    17. Chang, Wen-ya & Tsai, Hsueh-fang & Lai, Ching-chong, 2004. "Taxation, growth, and the spirit of capitalism," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 1011-1025, November.
    18. Takashi Kamihigashi, 1998. "Uniqueness of asset prices in an exchange economy with unbounded utility," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 12(1), pages 103-122.
    19. Allen, Franklin & Gale, Douglas, 1999. "Bubbles, Crises, and Policy," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 9-18, Autumn.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard, Lise & Kamihigashi, Takashi, 2017. "International transmission of bubble crashes in a two-country overlapping generations model," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 115-126.
    2. Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard & Takashi Kamihigashi, 2015. "International Transmission of Bubble Crashes in a Two-Country Overlapping Generations," Discussion Paper Series DP2015-43, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    3. Xavier Raurich & Thomas Seegmuller, 2017. "Income Distribution by Age Group and Productive Bubbles," AMSE Working Papers 1740, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, Marseille, France.
    4. Marco Airaudo, 2012. "Complex Stock Price Dynamics and Recurrent Bubbles under the Spirit of Capitalism," DEGIT Conference Papers c017_036, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    5. Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard & Thomas Seegmuller, 2013. "The Stabilizing Virtues of Fiscal vs. Monetary Policy on Endogenous Bubble Fluctuations," Working Papers halshs-00854536, HAL.
    6. Takashi Kamihigashi, 2015. "A Simple No-Bubble Theorem for Deterministic Sequential Economies," Discussion Paper Series DP2015-38, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    7. Xavier Raurich & Thomas Seegmuller, 2015. "On the Interplay Between Speculative Bubbles and Productive Investment," Working Papers halshs-01214689, HAL.
    8. Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard & Thomas Seegmuller, 2018. "Bubble on real estate: The role of altruism and fiscal policy," Working Papers 1820, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
    9. Takashi Kamihigashi, 2011. "Recurrent Bubbles," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 62(1), pages 27-62, March.
    10. Lise Claini-Chamosset-Yvrard & Takashi Kamihigashi, 2015. "International Transmission of Bubble Crashes: Stationary Sunspot Equilibria in a Two-Country Overlapping Generations Model," Discussion Paper Series DP2015-21, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    11. Stefano Bosi & Thomas Seegmuller, 2013. "Rational bubbles and expectation-driven fluctuations," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 9(1), pages 69-83, March.
    12. Takashi Kamihigashi, 2015. "A Simple No-Bubble Theorem," Discussion Paper Series DP2015-03, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    13. Kamihigashi, Takashi, 2018. "A Simple optimality-based no-bubble theorem for deterministic sequential economies with strictly monotone preferences," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 36-41.
    14. Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard, Lise & Seegmuller, Thomas, 2015. "Rational bubbles and macroeconomic fluctuations: The (de-)stabilizing role of monetary policy," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-15.
    15. Lise Clain-Chamosset-Yvrard & Thomas Seegmuller, 2018. "Bubble on real estate: The role of altruism and fiscal policy," Working Papers halshs-01885932, HAL.
    16. Zhou, Ge, 2012. "Rational equity bubbles," MPRA Paper 39398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Nakamoto, Yasuhiro, 2009. "Jealousy and underconsumption in a one-sector model with wealth preference," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(12), pages 2015-2029, December.
    18. Zhou, Ge, 2011. "Rational bubbles and the spirit of capitalism," MPRA Paper 33988, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Takashi Kamihigashi, 2015. "A Simple No-Bubble Theorem for Deterministic Dynamic Economies," Discussion Paper Series DP2015-24, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    20. repec:spr:joecth:v:64:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s00199-016-0969-0 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Spirit of capitalism; Stock market bubbles; Output fluctuations; Wealth in utility; Sunspot equilibria;

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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