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New Keynesian Dynamics in a Low Interest Rate Environment

  • Lena Mareen Koerber

    (German Institute for Economic Research)

  • R. Anton Braun

    (University of Tokyo)

Recent research has found that the dynamics of the New Keynesian model are very different when the nominal interest rate is zero. Positive technology shocks and negative shocks to the labor tax rate lower economic activity and the size of the government purchase multiplier can be as large as four. We consider the empirical relevance of these dynamics using Japanese data. We find that the New Keynesian model exhibits orthodox dynamics and the size of the government purchase multiplier is less than one in Japan.

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Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2010 Meeting Papers with number 531.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed010:531
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  1. Adam, Klaus & Billi, Roberto M, 2003. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Commitment with a Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 4111, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Anton Nakov, 2008. "Optimal and Simple Monetary Policy Rules with Zero Floor on the Nominal Interest Rate," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 73-127, June.
  3. Douglas H. Joines & R.Anton Braun & Daisuke Ikeda, 2008. "The saving rate in Japan: Why it has fallen and why it will remain low," CARF F-Series CARF-F-117, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
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  8. Jung, Taehun & Teranishi, Yuki & Watanabe, Tsutomu, 2005. "Optimal Monetary Policy at the Zero-Interest-Rate Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(5), pages 813-35, October.
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  12. Selahattin Imrohoroglu & Ayse Imrohoroglu & Kaiji Chen, 2006. "The Japanese Saving Rate," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(5), pages 1850-1858, December.
  13. Lawrence Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo, 2011. "When Is the Government Spending Multiplier Large?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 119(1), pages 78 - 121.
  14. Julio J. Rotemberg, 1994. "Prices, Output and Hours: An Empirical Analysis Based on a Sticky Price Model," NBER Working Papers 4948, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  15. Muto, Ichiro, 2007. "Estimating a New Keynesian Phillips Curve with a Corrected Measure of Real Marginal Cost: Evidence in Japan," MPRA Paper 4662, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  16. Tomohiro Sugo & Kozo Ueda, 2007. "Estimating a DSGE Model for Japan: Evaluating and Modifying a CEE/SW/LOWW Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 07-E-2, Bank of Japan.
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  19. Hibiki Ichiue & Yoichi Ueno, 2007. "Equilibrium Interest Rate and the Yield Curve in a Low Interest Rate Environment," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 07-E-18, Bank of Japan.
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