Nonlinear Adventures at the Zero Lower Bound
Motivated by the recent experience of the U.S. and the Eurozone, we describe the quantitative properties of a New Keynesian model with a zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates, explicitly accounting for the nonlinearities that the bound brings. Besides showing how such a model can be efficiently computed, we find that the behavior of the economy is substantially affected by the presence of the ZLB. In particular, we document 1) the unconditional and conditional probabilities of hitting the ZLB; 2) the unconditional and conditional probabilty distributions of the duration of a spell at the ZLB; 3) the responses of output to government expenditure shocks at the ZLB, 4) the distribution of shocks that send the economy to the ZLB; and 5) the distribution of shocks that keep the economy at the ZLB.
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- Kenneth Judd & Lilia Maliar & Serguei Maliar, 2011.
"Numerically stable and accurate stochastic simulation approaches for solving dynamic economic models,"
Working Papers. Serie AD
2011-15, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
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"Computing Dynamic Heterogeneous-Agent Economies: Tracking the Distribution,"
PIER Working Paper Archive
11-018, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
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- Kenneth L. Judd, 1998. "Numerical Methods in Economics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262100711, June.
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