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The value of monetary policy commitment under imperfect fiscal credibility

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  • Demirel, Ufuk Devrim

Abstract

A central finding of the previous monetary policy research is that commitment to a policy rule results in substantial welfare gains. In this paper, I reevaluate the value of monetary policy commitment in an environment where monetary and fiscal policies are conducted by separate branches of the government. I find that welfare gains from monetary policy commitment can be small if the fiscal authority can exercise a certain degree of commitment on his own. I also find that a moderate improvement in fiscal credibility can substantially reduce the welfare gains from full commitment in monetary policy under monetary leadership. Under fiscal leadership, the degree of fiscal credibility does not affect the welfare gains from monetary commitment.

Suggested Citation

  • Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2012. "The value of monetary policy commitment under imperfect fiscal credibility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 813-829.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:36:y:2012:i:6:p:813-829
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2012.02.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ali Hussein Samadi & Afshin Montakhab & Hussein Marzban & Sakine Owjimehr, 2017. "Quantum Barro--Gordon Game in Monetary Economics," Papers 1708.05689, arXiv.org.
    2. repec:eee:phsmap:v:489:y:2018:i:c:p:94-101 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2013. "Gains from commitment in monetary policy: Implications of the cost channel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 218-226.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quasi-commitment; Optimal fiscal and monetary policy;

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy

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