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Ufuk Devrim Demirel

Personal Details

First Name:Ufuk
Middle Name:Devrim
Last Name:Demirel
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pde318
https://sites.google.com/view/ddemirel
Terminal Degree:2006 Department of Economics; University of Virginia (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Congressional Budget Office
United States Congress
Government of the United States

Washington, District of Columbia (United States)
http://www.cbo.gov/
RePEc:edi:cbogvus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. John Seliski & Aaron Betz & Yiqun Gloria Chen & U. Devrim Demirel, 2020. "Key Methods That CBO Used to Estimate the Effects of Pandemic-Related Legislation on Output: Working Paper 2020-07," Working Papers 56612, Congressional Budget Office.
  2. U. Devrim Demirel, 2020. "Labor Market Effects of Tax Changes in Times of High and Low Unemployment: Working Paper 2020-05," Working Papers 56522, Congressional Budget Office.
  3. U. Devrim Demirel, 2016. "The Short-Term Effects of Tax Changes—Evidence for State Dependence: Working Paper 2016-03," Working Papers 51824, Congressional Budget Office.

Articles

  1. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2021. "The short-term effects of tax changes: The role of state dependence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 918-934.
  2. Ufuk Devrim Demirel, 2015. "Identification of technology shocks using misspecified VARs," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1321-1349, November.
  3. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2014. "On The Cyclicality Of Credit," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(5), pages 1129-1160, July.
  4. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2013. "Gains from commitment in monetary policy: Implications of the cost channel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 218-226.
  5. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2012. "The value of monetary policy commitment under imperfect fiscal credibility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 813-829.
  6. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2010. "Macroeconomic stabilization in developing economies: Are optimal policies procyclical?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 409-428, April.
  7. Demirel Ufuk D, 2009. "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Financially Fragile Economy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-37, May.
  8. Demirel Ufuk D, 2009. "The Transmission of Foreign Interest Rate Shocks to a Small-Open Economy: The Role of External Debt and Financial Integration," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-37, February.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. U. Devrim Demirel, 2016. "The Short-Term Effects of Tax Changes—Evidence for State Dependence: Working Paper 2016-03," Working Papers 51824, Congressional Budget Office.

    Cited by:

    1. Valerie A. Ramey, 2019. "Ten Years after the Financial Crisis: What Have We Learned from the Renaissance in Fiscal Research?," NBER Working Papers 25531, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. U. Devrim Demirel, 2020. "Labor Market Effects of Tax Changes in Times of High and Low Unemployment: Working Paper 2020-05," Working Papers 56522, Congressional Budget Office.
    3. Dennis Bonam & Paul Konietschke, 2020. "Tax multipliers across the business cycle," DNB Working Papers 699, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.

Articles

  1. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2021. "The short-term effects of tax changes: The role of state dependence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 918-934.

    Cited by:

    1. Bernd Hayo & Sascha Mierzwa, 2021. "State-Dependent Effects of Tax Changes in Germany and the United Kingdom," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202125, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    2. Sascha Mierzwa, 2021. "Spillovers from Tax Shocks to the Euro Area," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202133, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    3. Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar & Herrera, Ana María, 2021. "Tax news in good and bad times," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    4. Bernd Hayo & Sascha Mierzwa, 2021. "Legislative Tax Announcements and GDP: Evidence from the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202134, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).

  2. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2014. "On The Cyclicality Of Credit," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(5), pages 1129-1160, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Airaudo, Marco & Olivero, María Pía, 2014. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Counter-Cyclical Credit Spreads," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2014-1, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    2. Marco Airaudo & María Pía Olivero, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Countercyclical Credit Spreads," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(4), pages 787-829, June.

  3. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2013. "Gains from commitment in monetary policy: Implications of the cost channel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 218-226.

    Cited by:

    1. Lasitha R. C. Pathberiya, 2016. "Optimal Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates in a Cost Channel Economy," Discussion Papers Series 568, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    2. Airaudo, Marco & Olivero, María Pía, 2014. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Counter-Cyclical Credit Spreads," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2014-1, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    3. Givens, Gregory, 2015. "On the Gains from Monetary Policy Commitment under Deep Habits," MPRA Paper 67996, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Jakob Palek, 2015. "The Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy Mix in a Financially Heterogeneous Monetary Union," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201506, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    5. Palek, Jakob, 2015. "The Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy Mix in a Financially Heterogeneous Monetary Union," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113047, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Palek, Jakob & Schwanebeck, Benjamin, 2017. "Financial frictions and optimal stabilization policy in a monetary union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 462-477.
    7. Marco Airaudo & María Pía Olivero, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Countercyclical Credit Spreads," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(4), pages 787-829, June.
    8. Chattopadhyay, Siddhartha & Ghosh, Taniya, 2020. "Taylor Rule implementation of the optimal policy at the zero lower bound: Does the cost channel matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 351-366.
    9. Jochen Michaelis & Jakob Palek, 2014. "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Currency Union: Implications of a Country-specific Cost Channel," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201444, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).

  4. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2012. "The value of monetary policy commitment under imperfect fiscal credibility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 813-829.

    Cited by:

    1. Ali Hussein Samadi & Afshin Montakhab & Hussein Marzban & Sakine Owjimehr, 2017. "Quantum Barro--Gordon Game in Monetary Economics," Papers 1708.05689, arXiv.org.
    2. Samadi, Ali Hussein & Montakhab, Afshin & Marzban, Hussein & Owjimehr, Sakine, 2018. "Quantum Barro–Gordon game in monetary economics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 489(C), pages 94-101.
    3. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2013. "Gains from commitment in monetary policy: Implications of the cost channel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 218-226.

  5. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2010. "Macroeconomic stabilization in developing economies: Are optimal policies procyclical?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 409-428, April.

    Cited by:

    1. William, Barnett & Guo, Chen, 2015. "Bifurcation of macroeconometric models and robustness of dynamical inferences," MPRA Paper 63772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Sean J. Gossel & Nicholas Biekpe, 2013. "The Cyclical Relationships Between South Africa's Net Capital Inflows and Fiscal and Monetary Policies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(2), pages 64-83, March.
    3. Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2016. "An Analytical And Numerical Search For Bifurcations In Open Economy New Keynesian Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(2), pages 482-503, March.
    4. Carrasco, Carlos A., 2013. "El Nuevo Consenso Macroeconómico y la mediocridad del crecimiento económico en México [New Consensus Macroeconomics and the mediocrity of economic growth in Mexico]," MPRA Paper 53391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Karlygash Kuralbayeva, 2011. "Optimal fiscal policy and different degrees of access to international capital markets," OxCarre Working Papers 060, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    6. Pierre-Richard Agénor & K. Alper & L. Pereira da Silva, 2015. "External Shocks, Financial Volatility and Reserve Requirements in an Open Economy," Working Papers Series 396, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    7. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Timothy Jackson & Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva, 2020. "Foreign exchange intervention and financial stability," BIS Working Papers 889, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Duncan, Roberto, 2014. "Institutional quality, the cyclicality of monetary policy and macroeconomic volatility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 113-155.
    9. Cheikh Tidiane Ndiaye & Mamadou Abdoulaye Konte, 2012. "Politiques macroéconomiques et stabilisation des chocs dans la zone UEMOA," Working Papers halshs-00830595, HAL.
    10. Mamadou Abdoulaye KONTE & Cheikh Tidiane NDIAYE, 2012. "Politiques macroéconomiques et stabilisation des chocs dans la zone UEMOA," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 1340, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    11. Yui Suzuki, 2015. "Sovereign risk and procyclical fiscal policy in emerging market economies," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 247-280, March.

  6. Demirel Ufuk D, 2009. "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Financially Fragile Economy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-37, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Paul Kitney, 2016. "Financial factors and monetary policy: Determinacy and learnability of equilibrium," CAMA Working Papers 2016-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    2. Marcin Kolasa & Giovanni Lombardo, 2011. "Financial frictions and optimal monetary policy in an open economy," NBP Working Papers 91, Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department.
    3. Tweneboah Senzu, Emmanuel, 2019. "Theoretical perspective of dynamic credit risk analysis and lending model; effective to enterprises of fragile economy," MPRA Paper 91789, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Martina Cecioni & Giuseppe Ferrero & Alessandro Secchi, 2011. "Unconventional Monetary Policy in Theory and in Practice," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 102, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. William John Tayler & Roy Zilberman, 2019. "Macroprudential Interventions in Liquidity Traps," Working Papers 257107351, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    6. Fang‐Shuo Chang & Shiu‐Sheng Chen & Po‐Yuan Wang, 2020. "Politics and the UK's monetary policy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 67(5), pages 486-522, November.
    7. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2010. "Macroeconomic stabilization in developing economies: Are optimal policies procyclical?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 409-428, April.
    8. Tobias König, 2020. "The Financial Accelerator, Wages, and Optimal Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1860, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    9. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2013. "Gains from commitment in monetary policy: Implications of the cost channel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 218-226.
    10. Tayler, William J. & Zilberman, Roy, 2021. "Optimal Loan Loss Provisions and Welfare," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

  7. Demirel Ufuk D, 2009. "The Transmission of Foreign Interest Rate Shocks to a Small-Open Economy: The Role of External Debt and Financial Integration," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-37, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Mykhaylova Olena & Staveley-O’Carroll James, 2014. "International transmission of productivity shocks with nonzero net foreign debt," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 1-46, January.
    2. James Staveley-O'Carroll & Olena M. Staveley-O'Carroll, 2016. "Exchange Rate Targeting in the Presence of Foreign Debt Obligations," Working Papers 1604, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    3. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2010. "Macroeconomic stabilization in developing economies: Are optimal policies procyclical?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 409-428, April.

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NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 3 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (3) 2017-03-12 2020-08-31 2020-11-02
  2. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (1) 2020-08-31
  3. NEP-PBE: Public Economics (1) 2020-08-31

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