IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/e/c/pyu120.html

Vivian Zhanwei Yue

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Vivian Yue & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe & Seunghoon Na, 2015. "A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation," 2015 Meeting Papers 419, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Mentioned in:

    1. A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2015-09-11 19:44:53
  2. George Alessandria & Sangeeta Pratap & Vivian Yue, 2013. "Export Dynamics in Large Devaluations," Working Papers 062013, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Export Dynamics in Large Devaluations
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2013-06-09 05:48:43
  3. Simon Gilchrist & Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue & Egon Zakrajšek, 2020. "The Fed Takes on Corporate Credit Risk: An Analysis of the Efficacy of the SMCCF," NBER Working Papers 27809, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Understanding How Central Banks Use Their Balance Sheets: A Critical Categorization
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2021-06-07 11:57:45

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Tax revenue

Working papers

  1. Yusuf Soner Başkaya & Bryan Hardy & Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Vivian Yue, 2023. "Sovereign risk and bank lending: evidence from 1999 Turkish earthquake," BIS Working Papers 1093, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Mariani, Lucas Argentieri & Marchesi, Silvia, 2026. "International lending channel, bank heterogeneity and capital inflows (Mis)allocation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    2. di Giovanni, Julian & Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem & Peydró, José-Luis & Baskaya, Yusuf Soner & Ulu, Mehmet Fatih, 2017. "Capital Flows and the International Credit Channel," CEPR Discussion Papers 11827, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Tomás Williams & Lorenzo Pandolfi & Alberto Martin & Fernando Broner, 2020. "Winners and Losers from Sovereign Debt Inflows: Evidence from the Stock Market," Working Papers 1152, Barcelona School of Economics.
    4. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Luigi Bocola, 2017. "Sovereign risk and firm heterogeneity," Staff Report 547, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    5. Juan Pablo Bermúdez-Cespedes & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia & Daniel Parra-Amado, 2025. "Sovereign Risk and Stock Market Response to Natural Disasters in Emerging Economies," Borradores de Economia 1303, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem & di Giovanni, Julian & Ulu, Mehmet Fatih & Baskaya, Yusuf Soner, 2017. "International Spillovers and Local Credit Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 11839, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    7. Nicola Gennaioli & Stefano Rossi & Alberto Martin, 2016. "Banks, Government Bonds, and Default: what do the Data Say?," Working Papers 910, Barcelona School of Economics.
    8. José Carlos Teixeira & Carlos Vieira & Paulo Ferreira, 2021. "The Effects of Government Bonds on Liquidity Risk and Bank Profitability in Cape Verde," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
    9. Rappoport, Veronica & Federico, Stefano & Hassan, Fadi, 2020. "Trade Shocks and Credit Reallocation," CEPR Discussion Papers 14792, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    10. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Luigi Bocola, 2017. "Sovereign Default Risk and Firm Heterogeneity," NBER Working Papers 23314, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Michael Chui & Emese Kuruc & Philip Turner, 2016. "A new dimension to currency mismatches in the emerging markets - non-financial companies," BIS Working Papers 550, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Tomas Williams, 2017. "Capital Inflows, Sovereign Debt and Bank Lending: Micro-Evidence from an Emerging Market," Working Papers 2017-12, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    13. Bottero, Margherita & Lenzu, Simone & Mezzanotti, Filippo, 2020. "Sovereign debt exposure and the bank lending channel: Impact on credit supply and the real economy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    14. Timm Betz & Amy Pond, 2025. "Governments as borrowers and regulators," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 189-218, March.
    15. Betz, Timm & Pond, Amy, 2025. "Governments as Borrowers and Regulators," SocArXiv gr37y_v1, Center for Open Science.
    16. Gonzalez-Aguado, Eugenia, 2022. "Interest Rate Shocks and the Composition of Sovereign Debt," TSE Working Papers 22-1379, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    17. Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni & Ferreira, Caio & Jenkinson, Nigel & Laeven, Luc & Martin, Alberto & Minoiu, Camelia & Popov, Alexander, 2018. "Managing the sovereign-bank nexus," Working Paper Series 2177, European Central Bank.

  2. Yusuf Soner Başkaya & Bryan Hardy & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Vivian Z. Yue, 2023. "Sovereign Risk and Bank Lending: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Disaster," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

    Cited by:

    1. Lucas A. Mariani & Silvia Marchesi, 2023. "International Lending Channel, Bank Heterogeneity and Capital Inflows (Mis)Allocation," ERSA Working Paper Series 887, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    2. Claudio Borio & Marc Farag & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2023. "Tackling the fiscal policy-financial stability nexus," BIS Working Papers 1090, Bank for International Settlements.

  3. Zakrajsek, Egon & Gilchrist, Simon & Wei, Bin & Yue, Vivian, 2021. "Sovereign Risk and Financial Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 16750, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Gopinath, Gita & Meyer, Josefin & Reinhart, Carmen M. & Trebesch, Christoph, 2025. "Sovereign vs. corporate debt and default: More similar than you think," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    2. Florent Kanga GBONGUE & Lambert N’Galadjo BAMBA, 2023. "Le modèle hybride de la structure par terme des primes souveraines de crédit et de liquidité dans la zone UEMOA," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 57, pages 101-145.
    3. Chen, Sihao, 2025. "International production networks and the propagation of financial shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    4. Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia & José Vicente Romero & Mahicol Stiben Ramírez-González, 2023. "The Global Financial Cycle and Country Risk in Emerging Markets During Stress Episodes: A Copula-CoVaR Approach," Borradores de Economia 1231, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew & Hördahl, Peter, 2023. "Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    6. Raluca Maran, 2025. "Do investors reward sovereign catastrophe bond issuance? Evidence from a panel of 26 disaster-prone countries," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 161(2), pages 705-741, May.
    7. Epstein, Brendan & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & González Gómez, Andrés, 2019. "Global financial risk, aggregate fluctuations, and unemployment dynamics," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 351-418.
    8. Yusuf Soner Başkaya & Bryan Hardy & Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Vivian Yue, 2023. "Sovereign risk and bank lending: evidence from 1999 Turkish earthquake," BIS Working Papers 1093, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. István Ábel & Ádám Kóbor, 2022. "Macroeconomic Components of the Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Hungary," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-13, October.
    10. Olivier Damette & Clément Mathonnat & Julien Thavard, 2024. "Climate and sovereign risk: The Latin American experience with strong ENSO events," Post-Print hal-05269033, HAL.
    11. Chen, Zhengyang, 2026. "Demystifying monetary policy surprises: Fed response to financial conditions and wait and see for new economic data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    12. Akıncı, Özge, 2013. "Global financial conditions, country spreads and macroeconomic fluctuations in emerging countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 358-371.
    13. Mohamed M. Sraieb & Shahnawaz Muhammed & Vladimir Dženopoljac & Samet Gunay, 2025. "Determinants of Russia’s probability of default: evidence from domestic and global indicators," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(3), pages 854-882, September.
    14. Dimitris A. Georgoutsos & Petros M. Migiakis, 2025. "Sovereign bonds' risk‐based heterogeneity," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 2108-2129, July.
    15. Jiang, Yong & Klein, Tony & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Dai, Jia-Hang, 2025. "Through the looking glass: Unveiling geopolitical risks and sovereign bond spillovers in the eurozone," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    16. Coulombe, Raphaelle G. & Horvath, Jaroslav, 2026. "Government spending dynamics in small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    17. Capraru, Bogdan & Georgescu, George & Sprincean, Nicu, 2023. "Fiscal Rules, Independent Fiscal Institutions, and Sovereign Risk," Working Papers of Romania Fiscal Council 230201, Romania Fiscal Council.
    18. Yildirim, Zekeriya, 2022. "Global financial risk, the risk-taking channel, and monetary policy in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    19. Manabu Nose, 2025. "Determinants of Domestic Sovereign Bond Yields: Fiscal Policy and the Sovereign–Bank Nexus in Emerging Market and Developing Economies," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series DP2025-022, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
    20. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M. & Valencia, Oscar M., 2025. "Asymmetric sovereign risk: Implications for climate change preparation," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    21. Wu, Shan & Liu, Yilong & Song, Ziyu & Zhou, Yuqin & Guo, Wenjing, 2024. "Network structure, dynamic evolution and block characteristics of sovereign debt risk: The global evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PA).
    22. J. Scott Davis & Eric Van Wincoop, 2021. "A Theory of Gross and Net Capital Flows over the Global Financial Cycle," Globalization Institute Working Papers 410, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 20 Dec 2022.
    23. Janus, Jakub, 2025. "Global financial risk and uncovered interest parity premia in Central and Eastern Europe," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    24. Ambrocio, Gene & Bui, Dien Giau & Hasan, Iftekhar & Lin, Chih-Yung, 2026. "Pyrrhic diversification: Foreign institutional ownership and stock return sensitivity to the global financial cycle," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 2/2026, Bank of Finland.
    25. Yusuf Soner Başkaya & Bryan Hardy & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Vivian Z. Yue, 2023. "Sovereign Risk and Bank Lending: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Disaster," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

  4. Simon Gilchrist & Bin Wei & Vivian Z Yue & Egon Zakrajšek, 2021. "The Fed takes on corporate credit risk: an analysis of the efficacy of the SMCCF," BIS Working Papers 963, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Zheng & Wang, Wenxue & Song, Ciji, 2024. "Quantitative easing and bank risk-taking: Evidence from the federal reserve's large-scale asset purchases," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    2. Aldridge, Patrick & Cimon, David & Vala, Rishi, 2025. "Central Bank Crisis Interventions: A Review of the Recent Literature on Potential Costs," Journal of Financial Crises, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS), vol. 7(4), pages 1-26, April.
    3. Zaghini, Andrea, 2023. "Unconventional green," CFS Working Paper Series 710, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    4. Valentin Haddad & Alan Moreira & Tyler Muir, 2021. "When Selling Becomes Viral: Disruptions in Debt Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis and the Fed’s Response [Funding value adjustments]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5309-5351.
    5. W. Blake Marsh & Padma Sharma, 2021. "Government Loan Guarantees during a Crisis: The Effect of the PPP on Bank Lending and Profitability," Research Working Paper RWP 21-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    6. Mahyar Kargar & Benjamin Lester & David Lindsay & Shuo Liu & Pierre-Olivier Weill & Diego Zúñiga, 2021. "Corporate Bond Liquidity during the COVID-19 Crisis [The day coronavirus nearly broke the financial markets]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5352-5401.
    7. Kamate, Vidya, 2023. "Unconventional monetary policy measures and money markets: Estimating the impact of targeted repo operations on asset prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    8. Simone Letta & Pasquale Mirante, 2023. "Investigating the determinants of corporate bond credit spreads in the euro area," Mercati, infrastrutture, sistemi di pagamento (Markets, Infrastructures, Payment Systems) 36, Bank of Italy, Directorate General for Markets and Payment System.
    9. Acharya, Viral V. & Banerjee, Ryan & Crosignani, Matteo & Eisert, Tim & Spigt, Renée, 2025. "Exorbitant privilege? Quantitative easing and the bond market subsidy of prospective fallen angels," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    10. Iqbal, Najaf & Bouri, Elie & Ozkan, Oktay, 2025. "The advantages of CBOE credit VIXs for corporate bond investors in North America: A sectoral analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    11. Annette Vissing-Jørgensen, 2021. "The Treasury market in spring 2020 and the response of the Federal Reserve," BIS Working Papers 966, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Marsh, W. Blake, 2023. "Supervisory stringency, payout restrictions, and bank equity prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    13. Michael D. Bordo & John V. Duca, 2025. "Money Matters: Broad Divisia Money and the Recovery of the US Nominal GDP From the COVID‐19 Recession," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 1071-1096, April.
    14. Bo Becker & Efraim Benmelech, 2021. "The Resilience of the U.S. Corporate Bond Market During Financial Crises," NBER Working Papers 28868, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Sirio Aramonte, 2025. "The case for supporting liquidity supply in (some corners of) non-bank intermediation," International Finance Discussion Papers 1425, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Huixin Bi & W. Blake Marsh, 2020. "Flight to Liquidity or Safety? Recent Evidence from the Municipal Bond Market," Research Working Paper RWP 20-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    17. Rebucci, Alessandro & Hartley, Jonathan, 2020. "An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 14841, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    18. Pan, Hongjie & Wang, Zhaojie & Ding, Shusheng & Yu, Guangsheng, 2025. "Credit risk assessment of shadow banking: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(PB).
    19. Minoiu, Camelia & Zarutskie, Rebecca & Zlate, Andrei, 2026. "Motivating banks to lend? Credit spillover effects of the Main Street Lending Program," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    20. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Klein, Tony & Jiang, Yong & Liu, Pei-Zhi & Weber, Olaf, 2025. "Dynamic connectedness between crude oil futures and energy industrial bond credit spread: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    21. Koji Takahashi & Sumiko Takaoka, 2025. "Corporate Bond Purchase Program and Corporate Debt Issuance: Evidence from Japanese Corporate Bond Marketing News," IMES Discussion Paper Series 25-E-11, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    22. Bouri, Elie & Alsagr, Naif, 2024. "Hedging investment-grade and high-yield bonds with credit VIX," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    23. Nina Boyarchenko & Anna Kovner & Or Shachar, 2020. "It's What You Say and What You Buy: A Holistic Evaluation of the Corporate Credit Facilities," CESifo Working Paper Series 8679, CESifo.
    24. Xu, Hui & Pennacchi, George G., 2023. "Benchmarking the effects of the Fed's Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility using Yankee bonds," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    25. Breckenfelder, Johannes & Hoerova, Marie, 2023. "Do non-banks need access to the lender of last resort? Evidence from fund runs," Working Paper Series 2805, European Central Bank.
    26. Darmouni, Olivier & Siani, Kerry Y., 2025. "Bond market stimulus: Firm-level evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    27. Xu, Ying & Chen, Xinya, 2025. "How does the social insurance law affect enterprises' business credit?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    28. Patricia C. Mosser, 2020. "Central bank responses to COVID-19," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 191-201, October.
    29. Mahdi Ebsim & Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Julian Kozlowski, 2020. "Credit and Liquidity Policies during Large Crises," Working Papers 2020-035, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 22 Feb 2024.
    30. Chiţu, Livia & Gori, Sofia & Gürkaynak, Refet S., 2026. "External finance premium: market finance versus bank finance," Working Paper Series 3235, European Central Bank.
    31. John J Shim & Karamfil Todorov, 2021. "ETFs, illiquid assets, and fire sales," BIS Working Papers 975, Bank for International Settlements.
    32. Zaghini, Andrea, 2021. "The Covid pandemic in the market: infected, immune and cured bonds," Working Paper Series 2563, European Central Bank.
    33. Breckenfelder, Johannes & Schepens, Glenn, 2025. "From purchases to exit: central bank interventions in corporate debt markets," Working Paper Series 3055, European Central Bank.
    34. Maciej Stefański, 2023. "Quantitative Easing During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Cross-Country Study," KAE Working Papers 2023-088, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    35. Noam Michelson, 2025. "Assessing the Impact of Corporate Bond Purchase Programs: Insights from Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2025.07, Bank of Israel.
    36. Kuong, John Chi-Fong & O’Donovan, James & Zhang, Jinyuan, 2024. "Monetary policy and fragility in corporate bond mutual funds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    37. Bernardini, Marco & De Nicola, Annalisa, 2025. "The market stabilization role of central bank asset purchases: High-frequency evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    38. Bin Wei, 2022. "How Many Rate Hikes Does Quantitative Tightening Equal?," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2022(11), July.
    39. Craig L. Johnson & Tima T. Moldogaziev & Martin J. Luby & Ruth Winecoff, 2021. "The Federal Reserve Municipal Liquidity Facility (MLF): Where the municipal securities market and fed finally meet," Public Budgeting & Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(3), pages 42-73, September.
    40. Heidorn, Thomas & Schlamann, Sara, 2022. "The dynamics of rating based credit benchmark curves," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 231, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    41. Michael D. Bordo & Mickey D. Levy, 2020. "Do Enlarged Fiscal Deficits Cause Inflation: The Historical Record," NBER Working Papers 28195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    42. Dutordoir, Marie & Shemesh, Joshua & Veld, Chris & Wang, Qing, 2024. "Can existing corporate finance theories explain security offerings during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    43. Grahame Johnson, 2023. "A Review of the Bank of Canada’s Market Operations related to COVID-19," Discussion Papers 2023-6, Bank of Canada.
    44. Cohen, Lior & Furman, Itai, 2024. "The impact of the ECB's PEPP project on the COVID-19-Induced crisis in the corporate bond market," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 235.
    45. Goldstein, Michael A. & Namin, Elmira Shekari, 2023. "Corporate bond liquidity and yield spreads: A review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    46. Imdade Chitou & Gilles Dufrénot & Julien Esposito, 2021. "Linking Covid-19 epidemic and emerging market OAS: Evidence using dynamic copulas and Pareto distributions," AMSE Working Papers 2138, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    47. David Cimon & Adrian Walton, 2022. "Central Bank Liquidity Facilities and Market Making," Staff Working Papers 22-9, Bank of Canada.
    48. Eric Jondeau & Benoit Mojon & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2024. "Bank Rollover Risk and Liquidity Supply Regimes," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(3), pages 373-454, July.
    49. Dmitry Khametshin, 2021. "High-yield bond markets during the COVID-19 crisis: the role of monetary policy," Occasional Papers 2110, Banco de España.
    50. Massimiliano Affinito & Raffaele Santioni, 2021. "When the panic broke out: COVID-19 and investment funds' portfolio rebalancing around the world," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1342, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    51. Chen, Zhuo & Li, Pengfei & Liao, Li & Liu, Lu & Wang, Zhengwei, 2024. "Assessing and addressing the coronavirus-induced economic crisis: Evidence from 1.5 billion sales invoices," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    52. Bordo, Michael D. & Duca, John V., 2022. "How new Fed corporate bond programs cushioned the Covid-19 recession," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    53. Ulf Lewrick & Stijn Claessens, 2021. "Open-ended bond funds: systemic risks and policy implications," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    54. Haque, Sharjil & Varghese, Richard, 2023. "Firms’ rollover risk, capital structure and unequal exposure to aggregate shocks," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    55. Abudy, Menachem (Meni) & Shust, Efrat, 2023. "Does market design contribute to market stability? Indications from a corporate bond exchange during the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    56. Mahdi Ebsim & Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Julian Kozlowski, 2025. "When Liquidity Matters: Firm Balance Sheets during Large Crises," Working Papers 2025-019, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 11 Mar 2026.
    57. Acharya, Viral V. & Plantin, Guillaume & Reggiani, Pietro & Yao, Iris, 2024. "Monetary easing, lack of investment and financial instability," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    58. Nozawa, Yoshio & Qiu, Yancheng, 2021. "Corporate bond market reactions to quantitative easing during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    59. Falato, Antonio & Goldstein, Itay & Hortaçsu, Ali, 2021. "Financial fragility in the COVID-19 crisis: The case of investment funds in corporate bond markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 35-52.
    60. Bin Wei, 2022. "Quantifying "Quantitative Tightening" (QT): How Many Rate Hikes Is QT Equivalent To?," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2022-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    61. Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric & Leombroni, Matteo, 2025. "Heterogeneous intermediaries in the transmission of central bank corporate bond purchases," Working Paper Series 3101, European Central Bank.
    62. Domenech Palacios, Mar, 2025. "Firms’ risk and monetary transmission: revisiting the excess bond premium," Working Paper Series 3118, European Central Bank.
    63. Samuel J. Hempel & Dasol Kim & Russ Wermers, 2022. "Financial Intermediary Funding Constraints and Segmented Markets," Working Papers 22-01, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    64. Wang, Haiyang, 2023. "Liquidity of corporate bonds and credit spread," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    65. Dubravko Mihaljek, 2021. "Interactions between fiscal and monetary policies: a brief history of a long relationship," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 45(4), pages 419-432.
    66. Gilchrist, Simon & Wei, Bin & Yue, Vivian Z. & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2024. "The Fed takes on corporate credit risk: An analysis of the efficacy of the SMCCF," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    67. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Robert Czech & Fernando Eguren-Martin, 2023. "Dash for Dollars," Discussion Papers 2314, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    68. Ciner, Cetin & Lucey, Brian & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "Determinants of cryptocurrency returns: A LASSO quantile regression approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    69. Bank for International Settlements, 2022. "Private sector debt and financial stability," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 67.
    70. Jiang, Tao & Fan, Jiabiao, 2025. "How does the policy of additional deduction for research and development expenses affect credit risk pricing capability in enterprises?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    71. Takaharu ISHII, 2022. "International uncertainty shocks and central bank quantitative easing under supply shocks," Turkish Economic Review, EconSciences Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 162-242, September.

  5. Urban J. Jermann & Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue, 2019. "The Two-Pillar Policy for the RMB," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2019-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

    Cited by:

    1. Feng, Ling & Le, Duong Thuy & Yuan, Fan, 2023. "Inclusion of the RMB in SDRs and the impossible trinity in China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    2. Huang, Yi & Panizza, Ugo & Portes, Richard, 2024. "Corporate foreign bond issuance and interfirm loans in China," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    3. Eugenio Cerutti & Haonan Zhou, 2024. "Uncovering CIP Deviations in Emerging Markets: Distinctions, Determinants, and Disconnect," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 196-252, March.
    4. Ma, Chang & Rebucci, Alessandro & Zhou, Sili, 2025. "A nascent international financial channel of China's monetary policy transmission," BOFIT Discussion Papers 10/2025, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    5. Zhang, Chen & Fang, Ying & Niu, Linlin, 2022. "Changing anchor of the renminbi: A Bayesian learning approach to the decade-long transition," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    6. Li, Jie & Smallwood, Aaron D., 2025. "The evolution of the relationship between onshore and offshore RMB markets under asymmetric volatility spillovers," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    7. Jeffrey Frankel, 2023. "Estimation of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics in Evolving Regimes," CID Working Papers 429, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    8. Sun, Yike, 2025. "The effects of the counter-cyclical factor on renminbi co-movements," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    9. Samuel Drapeau & Peng Luo & Xuan Tao & Tan Wang, 2026. "One Currency, Two Forward Prices: The Onshore-Offshore Renminbi Puzzle," Papers 2605.25392, arXiv.org.

  6. Simon Gilchrist & Vivian Z. Yue & Egon Zakrajšek, 2018. "US Monetary Policy and International Bond Markets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-014, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Gilchrist, Simon & Wei, Bin & Yue, Vivian Z. & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2022. "Sovereign risk and financial risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    2. Julián Caballero & Christian Upper, 2023. "What happens to EMEs when US yields go up?," BIS Working Papers 1081, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Bianchi, Francesco & Gómez-Cram, Roberto & Kind, Thilo & Kung, Howard, 2023. "Threats to central bank independence: High-frequency identification with twitter," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 37-54.
    4. Gopinath, Gita & Meyer, Josefin & Reinhart, Carmen M. & Trebesch, Christoph, 2025. "Sovereign vs. corporate debt and default: More similar than you think," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    5. Hoek, Jasper & Kamin, Steve & Yoldas, Emre, 2022. "Are higher U.S. interest rates always bad news for emerging markets?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    6. Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew & Hördahl, Peter, 2023. "Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    7. Garcia-Revelo, José & Levieuge, Grégory & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2025. "Revisiting 15 years of unusual transatlantic monetary policies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    8. Umar, Zaghum & Iqbal, Najaf & Teplova, Tamara & Tan, Duojiao, 2024. "Dynamic impact of the US yield curve on green bonds: Navigating through recent crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Caballero, Julián & Upper, Christian, 2026. "What happens to emerging market economies when US yields go up?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    10. Nihar Shah, 2022. "Doubly heterogeneous monetary spillovers," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 126-150, August.
    11. Arbatli-Saxegaard, Elif & Firat, Melih & Furceri, Davide & Verrier, Jeanne, 2025. "U.S. monetary policy shock spillovers: evidence from firm-level data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    12. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Moreland, Timothy & Schaffer, Matthew, 2021. "The international spillover effects of US monetary policy uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    13. Dimic, Nebojsa & Piljak, Vanja & Swinkels, Laurens & Vulanovic, Milos, 2021. "The structure and degree of dependence in government bond markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    14. Weale, Martin & Wieladek, Tomasz, 2022. "Financial effects of QE and conventional monetary policy compared," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    15. Gefang, Deborah & Hall, Stephen G. & Tavlas, George S. & Wang, Yongli, 2025. "Does one size fit all? The country-specific effects of ECB monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    16. Ma, Chaoqun & Tian, Yonggang & Hsiao, Shisong & Deng, Liurui, 2022. "Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    17. Yaseen Ghulam, 2025. "Examination and predictions of risk tolerance levels and thresholds in sovereigns’ external debt defaults," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 1-52, May.
    18. Capasso, Salvatore & D'Uva, Marcella & Fiorelli, Cristiana & Napolitano, Oreste, 2023. "Cross-border Italian sovereign risk transmission in EMU countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    19. Eterovic, Dalibor & Sweet, Cassandra & Eterovic, Nicolas, 2022. "Asymmetric spillovers in emerging market monetary policy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 650-662.
    20. Nakamura, Fumitaka & Sudo, Nao & Sugisaki, Yu, 2024. "Assessing monetary policy surprises in Japan by high frequency identification," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    21. Ceballos, Luis & Romero, Damian, 2022. "International portfolio bond spillovers," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    22. Dimitris Malliaropulos & Petros Migiakis, 2022. "A global monetary policy factor in sovereign bond yields," Working Papers 301, Bank of Greece.
    23. Wohlfarth, Paul & Chen, Xiaohong, 2024. "Limits to arbitrage and the term structure of CIP violations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    24. Altavilla, Carlo & Gürkaynak, Refet S. & Laeven, Luc & Kind, Thilo, 2025. "Monetary transmission with frequent policy events," Working Paper Series 3157, European Central Bank.
    25. Rodrigo Sekkel & Henry Stern & Xu Zhang, 2025. "Money Talks: How Foreign and Domestic Monetary Policy Communications Move Financial Markets," Staff Working Papers 25-33, Bank of Canada.
    26. ter Ellen, Saskia & Jansen, Edvard & Midthjell, Nina Larsson, 2020. "ECB Spillovers and domestic monetary policy effectiveness in small open economies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    27. Hashmi, Aamir Rafique & Nsafoah, Dennis, 2024. "International spillovers of conventional versus new monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    28. Lawrence Kryzanowski & Jie Zhang & Rui Zhong, 2021. "Currency hedging and quantitative easing: Evidence from global bond markets," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 555-597, June.
    29. Elías Albagli & Mauricio Calani & Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov & Mario Marcel & Mr. Luca A Ricci, 2020. "Comfort in Floating: Taking Stock of Twenty Years of Freely-Floating Exchange Rate in Chile," IMF Working Papers 2020/100, International Monetary Fund.
    30. Avdjiev, Stefan & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Goldberg, Linda S. & Schiaffi, Stefano, 2026. "The risk sensitivity of global liquidity flows: Heterogeneity, evolution and drivers," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    31. Joshua Aizenman & Yin-Wong Cheung & Xingwang Qian, 2025. "International Reserve Management and Firm Investment in Emerging Market Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 503-540, April.
    32. Rubaiyat Ahsan Bhuiyan & Tze Chi Chin & Tanusree Chakravarty Mukherjee, 2026. "The Influence of Macro Policy Uncertainty on Blockchain Adoption, Crypto Economy, and Digital Asset Infrastructure," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 17(1), pages 1653-1693, February.
    33. Md. Rashedur Rahman Sardar & Matthew Schaffer, 2024. "International monetary spillovers to frontier financial markets: Evidence from Bangladesh," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 81-100, April.
    34. Zhenzhong Fan & Xing Chen, 2024. "The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on China’s Economic and Financial Cycle: Application of a Structural Vector Autoregression Model Based on High-Frequency Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-25, June.
    35. Eric T. Swanson, 2024. "The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve’s Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(3), pages 1152-1184, September.
    36. Swanson, Eric T., 2021. "Measuring the effects of federal reserve forward guidance and asset purchases on financial markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 32-53.
    37. Stephanie E. Curcuru & Steven B. Kamin & Canlin Li & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez, 2018. "International Spillovers of Monetary Policy : Conventional Policy vs. Quantitative Easing," International Finance Discussion Papers 1234, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    38. Marcin Pietrzak, 2023. "What can monetary policy tell us about Bitcoin?," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 545-559, December.
    39. Ahmed, Rashad, 2023. "Flights-to-safety and macroeconomic adjustment in emerging markets: The role of U.S. monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    40. Zhang, Zhongxia, 2025. "Does inflation targeting track record matter for asset prices? Evidence from stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    41. Mira Farka, 2022. "The credit channel of monetary policy before and after the zero lower bound: Evidence from the US equity market," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 45(3), pages 633-693, September.
    42. Jasper Hoek & Steven B. Kamin & Emre Yoldas, 2020. "When is Bad News Good News? U.S. Monetary Policy, Macroeconomic News, and Financial Conditions in Emerging Markets," International Finance Discussion Papers 1269, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    43. Cuadra, Gabriel & Menna, Lorenzo, 2019. "Capital flows and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-1.
    44. Arbatli-Saxegaard, Elif C. & Furceri, Davide & Dominguez, Pablo Gonzalez & Ostry, Jonathan D. & Peiris, Shanaka Jayanath, 2024. "Spillovers from US monetary policy: Role of policy drivers and cyclical conditions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    45. Dong, Feng & Mei, Dongzhou & Xiao, Zehua, 2025. "Asset bubbles and financial frictions in small open economies☆," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    46. Hideaki Matsuoka, 2022. "Debt Intolerance: Threshold Level and Composition," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(4), pages 894-932, August.
    47. Eric Fischer, 2020. "Monetary Surprises and Global Financial Flows: A Case Study of Latin America," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 19(2), pages 189-225, August.
    48. David Alaminos & María Belén Salas & Manuel A. Fernández-Gámez, 2024. "High-Frequency Trading in Bond Returns: A Comparison Across Alternative Methods and Fixed-Income Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(4), pages 2263-2354, October.
    49. Kharroubi, Enisse, 2023. "Global lending conditions and international coordination of financial regulation policies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    50. Hou, Ai Jun & Khrashchevskyi, Ian & Suardi, Sandy & Xu, Caihong, 2024. "Spillover effects of monetary policy and information shocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
    51. Solís, Pavel, 2025. "Term premia and credit risk in emerging markets: The role of U.S. monetary policy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    52. Karau, Sören, 2023. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    53. Cohen, Lior, 2023. "The effects of the BoJ's ETF purchases on equities and corporate investment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    54. Liu, Chunzi & Chen, Xiaoli, 2024. "Spillover effects of multidimensional information in Fed statements on China's bond market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 712-741.
    55. Zehri, Chokri & Madjd-Sadjadi, Zagros & Saleh Iben Ammar, Latifa, 2024. "Asymmetric impacts of U.S. monetary policy on emerging markets: Contagion and macroeconomic determinants," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).

  7. Hanwei Huang & Jiandong Ju & Vivian Z. Yue, 2017. "Structural adjustments and international trade: theory and evidence from China," CEP Discussion Papers dp1508, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

    Cited by:

    1. Fan, Haichao & Gou, Qin & Peng, Yuchao & Xie, Wenjing, 2020. "Spillover effects of capital controls on capital flows and financial risk contagion," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    2. Cheng, Dong & Shi, Xunpeng & Yu, Jian, 2021. "The impact of green energy infrastructure on firm productivity: Evidence from the Three Gorges Project in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 385-406.
    3. Tabuchi, Takatoshi & Wang, Congcong & Zhu, Xiwei, 2023. "A Model of Economic Growth in China," MPRA Paper 117634, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Cheng, Dong & Yu, Jian & Zhang, Dayong & Zheng, Wenping, 2020. "Is heterogeneous capital depreciation important for estimating firm-level productivity? Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    5. Tomohiro Ara, 2020. "Country size, technology, and Ricardian comparative advantage," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 497-536, May.

  8. Uribe, Martín & Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie & Yue, Vivian & Na, Seunghoon, 2015. "A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation," CEPR Discussion Papers 10697, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Alonso-Ortiz & Esteban Colla & José-María Da-Rocha, 2017. "The productivity cost of sovereign default: evidence from the European debt crisis," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(4), pages 611-633, December.
    2. Ali, Amjad, 2022. "Determining Pakistan's Financial Dependency: The Role of Financial Globalization and Corruption," MPRA Paper 116097, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Neele Balke, 2018. "The Employment Cost of Sovereign Default," 2018 Meeting Papers 1256, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Enrico Mallucci, 2015. "Domestic Debt and Sovereign Defaults," International Finance Discussion Papers 1153, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Javier Bianchi & Cesar Sosa-Padilla, 2018. "Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization and Sovereign Risk," 2018 Meeting Papers 1166, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Singh, Anurag, 2024. "Clustered sovereign defaults," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

  9. Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue, 2015. "Liquidity backstops and dynamic debt runs," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2015-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

    Cited by:

    1. Wei, Bin & Yue, Vivian Z., 2020. "Liquidity backstops and dynamic debt runs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    2. Darko B. Vukovic & Carlos J. Rincon & Moinak Maiti, 2021. "Price distortions and municipal bonds premiums: evidence from Switzerland," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-21, December.
    3. Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue, 2020. "The Federal Reserve's Liquidity Backstops to the Municipal Bond Market during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2020(5), pages 1-10, May.
    4. Bordo, Michael D. & Duca, John V., 2023. "How the new fed municipal bond facility capped municipal-treasury yield spreads in the Covid-19 recession," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

  10. Seunghoon Na & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martin Uribe & Vivian Z. Yue, 2014. "The Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation," NBER Working Papers 20314, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Kobielarz, Michal & Uras, Burak, 2018. "Sovereign default, exit and contagion in a monetary union," Other publications TiSEM d1844a19-c4eb-4443-a4c2-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Augustin, Patrick & Sokolovski, Valeri & Subrahmanyam, Marti G. & Tomio, Davide, 2022. "In sickness and in debt: The COVID-19 impact on sovereign credit risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 1251-1274.
    3. Mitchener, Kris James & Pina, Gonçalo, 2020. "Pegxit pressure," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    4. Galli, Carlo, 2021. "Self-fulfilling debt crises, fiscal policy and investment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    5. Xuan Wang, 2019. "When Do Currency Unions Benefit From Default ?," 2019 Papers pwa938, Job Market Papers.
    6. Manzano Quiroga Jeremías Angel, 2025. "No Pay, No Debt: Domestic Costs of Sovereign Defaults," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4817, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    7. Helena Chuliá & Sabuhi Khalili & Jorge M. Uribe, 2024. "Monitoring time-varying systemic risk in sovereign debt and currency markets with generative AI," IREA Working Papers 202402, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2024.
    8. Patrick Augustin & Mikhail Chernov & Lukas Schmid & Dongho Song, 2020. "The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations," NBER Working Papers 27231, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Lu Yang & Lei Yang & Xue Cui, 2023. "Sovereign default network and currency risk premia," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    10. Sunder-Plassmann, Laura, 2020. "Infation, default and sovereign debt: The role of denomination and ownership," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    11. Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew & Hördahl, Peter, 2023. "Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    12. Kobielarz, M.L., 2023. "Bailout dynamics in a monetary union," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    13. Javier Bianchi & Guido Lorenzoni, 2021. "The Prudential Use of Capital Controls and Foreign Currency Reserves," Working Papers 787, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    14. Yasin Kursat Onder & Enes Sunel, 2021. "Inflation-default trade-off without a nominal anchor: The case of Greece," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 55-78, January.
    15. Javier Bianchi & César Sosa-Padilla, 2020. "Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, and Sovereign Risk," NBER Working Papers 27323, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Markus Kirchner & Malte Rieth, 2020. "Sovereign Default Risk, Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Monetary-Fiscal Stabilization," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 896, Central Bank of Chile.
    17. Gu, Grace Weishi, 2015. "A Tale of Two Countries: Sovereign Default, Exchange Rate, and Trade," MPRA Paper 61900, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Mäder, Nicolas, 2025. "Would an earlier inception of OMT by the ECB have prevented the 2012 Greek default?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    19. Pablo Ottonello & Ignacio Presno & Javier Bianchi, 2017. "Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Risk, and Unemployment," 2017 Meeting Papers 1382, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    20. Tavares, Tiago, 2015. "The Role of International Reserves in Sovereign Debt Restructuring under Fiscal Adjustment," MPRA Paper 66962, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Javier Bianchi & Pablo Ottonello & Ignacio Presno, 2019. "Fiscal Stimulus under Sovereign Risk," Working Papers 762, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    22. Mitchener, Kris & Pina, Gonçalo, 2016. "Pegxit Pressure: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard," CEPR Discussion Papers 11640, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    23. Kobielarz, Michal, 2018. "The economics of monetary unions," Other publications TiSEM b0293536-68ec-4905-bffd-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    24. Michinao Okachi, 2026. "The Self-Fulfilling Default Model: Its Validity, Applicability, and Implications," TUPD Discussion Papers 83, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
    25. Kuvshinov, Dmitry & Zimmermann, Kaspar, 2019. "Sovereigns going bust: Estimating the cost of default," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 1-21.
    26. Charles Serfaty, 2024. "Sovereign Default and International Trade," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(4), pages 1449-1501, December.
    27. Ritschl Albrecht, 2023. "Knut Borchardt – Brecht-Schüler, Skeptiker, Krisenhistoriker," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 24(1), pages 145-150, April.
    28. Prein, Timm, 2019. "Persistent Unemployment, Sovereign Debt Crises, and the Impact of Haircuts," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203654, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, revised 2019.
    29. Robert A. McDowall, 2021. "Sovereign default and capital controls," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 1025-1045, September.
    30. Javier Bianchi, 2022. "The Research Agenda: Javier Bianchi on Financial Crises and Prudential Policies," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 23(1), April.
    31. Mr. Tamon Asonuma, 2016. "Sovereign Defaults, External Debt, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics," IMF Working Papers 2016/037, International Monetary Fund.
    32. Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro & Jean-Paul Renne & Guillaume Roussellet, 2021. "Affine Modeling of Credit Risk, Pricing of Credit Events, and Contagion," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 3674-3693, June.
    33. Takefumi Yamazaki, 2018. "Financial friction sources in emerging economies: Structural estimation of sovereign default models," Discussion papers ron303, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.
    34. Yan Bai & Seon Tae Kim & Gabriel P. Mihalache, 2015. "The Maturity and Payment Schedule of Sovereign Debt," NBER Working Papers 20896, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    35. Masaru Tsuruta, 2024. "Interaction between Sovereign Quanto Credit Default Swap Spreads and Currency Options," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-33, February.
    36. Ricardo Sabbadini, 2018. "Overcoming the Original Sin: gains from local currency external debt," Working Papers Series 484, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    37. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Gabriel Mihalache, 2018. "Inflation Targeting with Sovereign Default Risk," Department of Economics Working Papers 18-14, Stony Brook University, Department of Economics.
    38. Anzoategui, Diego, 2022. "Sovereign spreads and the effects of fiscal austerity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    39. Saito, Yuta, 2025. "Exit expectations and the optimal design of a currency union," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    40. Jorge M. Uribe & Oscar Valencia, 2024. "Taking the Pulse of Fiscal Distress: Inflation, Depreciation, and Crises," IREA Working Papers 202416, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Dec 2024.
    41. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Gabriel Mihalache, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies (NK-Default)," Department of Economics Working Papers 19-02-rev1, Stony Brook University, Department of Economics.
    42. Jesse Schreger & Wenxin Du, 2014. "Sovereign Risk, Currency Risk, and Corporate Balance Sheets," Working Paper 209056, Harvard University OpenScholar.
    43. Maeng, F. S., 2024. "Default, Inflation Expectations, and the Currency Denomination of Sovereign Bonds," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2438, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    44. Arellano, Cristina & Bai, Yan & Mihalache, Gabriel, 2018. "Default risk, sectoral reallocation, and persistent recessions," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 182-199.
    45. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Fernando M. Martin & Juan M. Sanchez, 2020. "Domestic Policies and Sovereign Default," Working Papers 2020-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 06 Sep 2023.
    46. Xuan Wang, 2021. "Bankruptcy Codes and Risk Sharing of Currency Unions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-009/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
    47. Mikhail Chernov & Drew Creal & Peter Hördahl, 2019. "Determinants of Asia-Pacific government bond yields," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Asia-Pacific fixed income markets: evolving structure, participation and pricing, volume 102, pages 29-39, Bank for International Settlements.
    48. Bernardo Guimaraes & Lucas Tumkus, 2020. "On the costs of sovereign default in quantitative models," Discussion Papers 2021, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    49. Martin Wolf, 2018. "Optimal Prudential Policy in Economies with Downward Wage Rigidity," Vienna Economics Papers vie1804, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
    50. Bonaccolto, Giovanni & Borri, Nicola & Consiglio, Andrea, 2023. "Breakup and default risks in the great lockdown," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    51. Della Corte, Pasquale & Jeanneret, Alexandre & Patelli, Ella D.S., 2023. "A credit-based theory of the currency risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(3), pages 473-496.
    52. Espino, Emilio César & Kozlowski, Julian & Martin, Fernando M. & Sánchez, Juan M., 2025. "Policy rules and large crises in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    53. Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo & Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge M. Uribe, 2024. "Term Spread Spillovers to Latin America and Emergence of the ‘Twin Ds’," Documentos de trabajo 21169, FLAR.
    54. Zheng, Huanhuan, 2023. "Sovereign debt responses to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    55. Charles Serfaty, 2022. "Sovereign Debt and International Trade," Working papers 901, Banque de France.
    56. Kriwoluzky, Alexander & Müller, Gernot J. & Wolf, Martin, 2019. "Exit expectations and debt crises in currency unions," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    57. Yuta Saito, 2022. "A Note on Time Inconsistency and Endogenous Exits from a Currency Union," Games, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-8, February.
    58. Yuki MASUJIMA & Yuki SATO, 2024. "Drivers of Post-pandemic Currency Movement: Recurring impacts of sovereign risks and oil prices," Discussion papers 24054, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    59. Mikhail Chernov & Magnus Dahlquist & Lars Lochstoer, 2023. "Pricing Currency Risks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(2), pages 693-730, April.
    60. Lovchikova, Marina & Matschke, Johannes, 2024. "Capital controls and the global financial cycle," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    61. Javier Bianchi & Jorge Mondragon, 2018. "Monetary Independence and Rollover Crises," NBER Working Papers 25340, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    62. Roettger, Joost, 2019. "Discretionary monetary and fiscal policy with endogenous sovereign risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 44-66.
    63. Yasin K rsat nder & Enes Sunel, 2021. "Default of Depreciate," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 21/1023, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    64. Stangebye, Zachary, 2015. "Dynamic Panics: Theory and Application to the Eurozone," MPRA Paper 69967, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  11. Vivian Yue & Jiandong Ju, 2013. "A Unified Model of Structural Adjustments and International Trade: Theory and Evidence from China," 2013 Meeting Papers 859, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Baadi H. Baltagi & Peter H. Egger & Michaela Kesina, 2018. "Contagious Exporting and Foreign Ownership: Evidence from Firms in Shanghai using a Bayesian Spatial Bivariate Probit Model," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 211, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
    2. Ju, Jiandong & Yu, Xinding, 2015. "Productivity, profitability, production and export structures along the value chain in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 33-54.

  12. Jermann, Urban J. & Yue, Vivian Z., 2013. "Interest rate swaps and corporate default," Working Paper Series 1590, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Urban Jermann, 2019. "Negative Swap Spreads and Limited Arbitrage," NBER Working Papers 25422, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Kristina Garskaite-Milvydiene & Raimonda Martinkute-Kauliene, 2021. "Examination of the Relationship between Derivative Financial Instruments and the Economic Development of Lithuania," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, vol. 15(2), April.
    3. Bai, Hang, 2021. "Unemployment and credit risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 127-145.
    4. Mariya Gubareva & Maria Rosa Borges, 2018. "Rethinking economic capital management through the integrated derivative-based treatment of interest rate and credit risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 71-100, July.
    5. Ma, Chang & Valencia, Fabián, 2024. "Welfare gains from market insurance: The case of Mexican oil price risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    6. Raymond Kim, 2021. "Disproportionate costs of uncertainty: Small bank hedging and Dodd‐Frank," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 686-709, May.
    7. Sven Klingler & Suresh Sundaresan, 2018. "An explanation of negative swap spreads: demand for duration from underfunded pension plans," BIS Working Papers 705, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Mariya Gubareva, 2018. "Historical Interest Rate Sensitivity of Emerging Market Sovereign Debt: Evidence of Regime Dependent Behavior," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 19(2), pages 405-442, November.

  13. George Alessandria & Sangeeta Pratap & Vivian Z. Yue, 2013. "Export dynamics in large devaluations," International Finance Discussion Papers 1087, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2018. "Financial Frictions and Export Dynamics in Large Devaluations," 2018 Meeting Papers 949, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Ramanarayanan, Ananth, 2017. "Imported inputs, irreversibility, and international trade dynamics," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 1-18.
    3. Huo, Zhen, 2016. "Financial Frictions, Asset Prices, and the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 11544, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    4. George Alessandria & Horag Choi & Kim Ruhl, 2018. "Trade Adjustment Dynamics and the Welfare Gains from Trade," 2018 Meeting Papers 1324, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Carter Mix, 2020. "Technology, Geography, and Trade over Time: The Dynamic Effects of Changing Trade Policy," International Finance Discussion Papers 1304, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Caglayan Aslan & Ferdi Akpiliç, 2024. "Do the export reactions to exchange rate and exchange rate volatility differ depending on technology intensity? New evidences from the panel SVAR analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 1587-1631, April.
    7. Cooke, Dudley, 2014. "Monetary shocks, exchange rates, and the extensive margin of exports," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 128-145.
    8. Mr. Daniel Leigh & Weicheng Lian & Mr. Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro & Rachel Szymanski & Viktor Tsyrennikov & Hong Yang, 2017. "Exchange Rates and Trade: A Disconnect?," IMF Working Papers 2017/058, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Zhen Huo & José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, 2013. "Realistic neoclassical multiplier," Economic Policy Paper 13-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    10. Jacek Rothert, 2020. "International Business Cycles In Emerging Markets," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(2), pages 753-781, May.
    11. Felipe Schwartzman, 2010. "Time to produce and emerging market crises," Working Paper 10-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    12. Jonathan Kearns & Nikhil Patel, 2016. "Does the financial channel of exchange rates offset the trade channel?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    13. Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & Mandelman, Federico S., 2016. "Remittances, entrepreneurship, and employment dynamics over the business cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 184-199.
    14. di Mauro, Filippo & Pappadà, Francesco, 2014. "Euro area external imbalances and the burden of adjustment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PB), pages 336-356.
    15. Joaquin Blaum, 2018. "Global Firms in Large Devaluations," 2018 Meeting Papers 593, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Steinberg, Joseph B., 2019. "Brexit and the macroeconomic impact of trade policy uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 175-195.
    17. Sandile Hlatshwayo & Mr. Magnus Saxegaard, 2016. "The Consequences of Policy Uncertainty: Disconnects and Dilutions in the South African Real Effective Exchange Rate-Export Relationship," IMF Working Papers 2016/113, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Zhen Huo & Jose-Victor Rios-Rull, 2020. "Demand Induced Fluctuations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 99-117, August.
    19. Ben Zeev, Nadav, 2019. "Global credit supply shocks and exchange rate regimes," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 1-32.
    20. Fernando Leibovici & Michael E. Waugh, 2016. "International Trade and Intertemporal Substitution," Working Papers 2017-4, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    21. Mr. Alexander Culiuc, 2020. "Real Exchange Rate Overshooting in Large Depreciations: Determinants and Consequences," IMF Working Papers 2020/060, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Alessandria, George & Choi, Horag, 2014. "Establishment heterogeneity, exporter dynamics, and the effects of trade liberalization," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 207-223.
    23. Patrick Alexander & Abeer Reza, 2025. "The Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports: A Shock-Dependent Approach," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(2), pages 617-649, June.
    24. Zhen Huo & José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, 2013. "Paradox of thrift recessions," Staff Report 490, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    25. Felipe Benguria & Felipe Saffie & Sergio Urzúa, 2018. "The Transmission of Commodity Price Super-Cycles," NBER Working Papers 24560, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Patrick Alexander & Abeer Reza, 2022. "Exports and the Exchange Rate: A General Equilibrium Perspective," Staff Working Papers 22-18, Bank of Canada.

  14. Samir Jahjah & Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue, 2012. "Exchange rate policy and sovereign bond spreads in developing countries," International Finance Discussion Papers 1049, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Sola, Sergio & Palomba, Geremia, 2016. "Sub-nationals' risk premia in fiscal federations: Fiscal performance and institutional design," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 165-187.
    2. Thornton, John & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2017. "Inflation targeting and the cyclicality of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 296-302.
    3. Dionísio Dias Carneiro & Thomas Wu, 2010. "Sovereign Risk and Out‐of‐Equilibrium Exchange Rate Dynamics," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(4), pages 699-711, November.
    4. Eijffinger, Sylvester C.W. & Karataş, Bilge, 2023. "Three sisters: The interlinkage between sovereign debt, currency, and banking crises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    5. Christian Senga & Danny Cassimon & Dennis Essers, 2018. "Sub-Saharan African Eurobond yields: What really matters beyond global factors?," BeFinD Working Papers 0123, University of Namur, Department of Economics.
    6. Hansen, Daniel, 2020. "The effectiveness of fiscal institutions: International financial flogging or domestic constraint?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    7. Mita Bhattacharya & John Inekwe, 2021. "Convergence in Sovereign Debt Defaults: Quantifying the Roles of Institutions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(3), pages 792-811, June.
    8. Jean-Louis Combes & Alexandru Minea & Pegdéwendé Nestor Sawadogo, 2019. "Does the composition of government expenditures matter for sovereign bond spreads' evolution in developing countries?," CERDI Working papers halshs-02019063, HAL.
    9. Kimakova, Alena, 2008. "The political economy of exchange rate regime determination: Theory and evidence," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 354-371, December.
    10. Mr. Sergio Sola & Mr. Geremia Palomba, 2015. "Sub-National Government’s Risk Premia: Does Fiscal Performance Matter?," IMF Working Papers 2015/117, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2006. "Sovereign default risk with heterogenous borrowers," 2006 Meeting Papers 845, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    12. Lee, Hei Wai & Xie, Yan Alice & Yau, Jot, 2011. "The impact of sovereign risk on bond duration: Evidence from Asian sovereign bond markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 441-451, June.
    13. Mr. Tamon Asonuma, 2016. "Sovereign Defaults, External Debt, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics," IMF Working Papers 2016/037, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Mohsin Waheed & Zulfiqar Hyder, 2023. "What Explains the Volatility in Pakistan’s Sovereign Bond Yields?," SBP Working Paper Series 112, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    15. Ratha, Dilip & De, Supriyo & Kurlat, Sergio, 2018. "Does governing law affect bond spreads?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 60-78.
    16. Wajebo Temesgen Woldamanuel, 2022. "Volatility Spillover Across Sovereign Bond Markets Between African, Emerging and USA Economies," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 36(1), pages 149-163, January.
    17. Jenifer Piesse & Nitawan Israsena & Colin Thirtle, 2007. "Volatility Transmission in Asian Bond Markets: Tests of Portfolio Diversification," Asia Pacific Business Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 585-607, October.
    18. Tunio, Mohsin Waheed, 2023. "What Explains the Volatility in Pakistan’s Sovereign Bond Yields?," MPRA Paper 116030, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Ismailescu, Iuliana & Phillips, Blake, 2015. "Credit default swaps and the market for sovereign debt," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 43-61.
    20. Chuku Chuku & Alexandre Kopoin, 2022. "Working Paper 367 - Debt Distress and Recovery Episodes in Africa: Good Policy or Good Luck?," Working Paper Series 2493, African Development Bank.
    21. Thornton, John & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2016. "Does inflation targeting reduce sovereign risk? Further evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 237-241.
    22. Ge, Futing & Zhang, Weiguo, 2022. "The determinants of cross-border bond risk premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    23. Mr. Bernardin Akitoby & Mr. Thomas Stratmann, 2006. "Fiscal Policy and Financial Markets," IMF Working Papers 2006/016, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Wälti, Sébastien & Weder, Ghislaine, 2009. "Recovering from bond market distress: Good luck and good policy," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 36-50, March.
    25. Nazim Belhocine & Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba, 2013. "The Impact of Debt Sustainability and the Level of Debt on Emerging Markets Spreads," IMF Working Papers 2013/093, International Monetary Fund.
    26. Tebaldi, Edinaldo & Nguyen, Hana & Zuluaga, John, 2018. "Determinants of emerging markets’ financial health: A panel data study of sovereign bond spreads," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 82-93.
    27. Alex Luiz Ferreira, 2007. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Constraints to the Real Side of the Economy," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 43-54.
    28. Inci Gumus, 2011. "Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Market Economies," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(4), pages 649-663, September.

  15. Enrique G. Mendoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2011. "A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 17151, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Dominik Sachs & Sebastian Findeisen, 2016. "Optimal Financial Aid Policies for Students," 2016 Meeting Papers 1421, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Roldán-Peña Jessica, 2012. "Default Risk and Economic Activity: A Small Open Economy Model with Sovereign Debt and Default," Working Papers 2012-16, Banco de México.
    3. Lopez-Martin, Bernabe & Leal, Julio & Martinez Fritscher, Andre, 2019. "Commodity price risk management and fiscal policy in a sovereign default model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 304-323.
    4. Lee, Kwan Yong & Naknoi, Kanda, 2024. "Exchange rates, invoicing currencies and the margins of exports," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    5. Jeon, Kiyoung & Kabukcuoglu, Zeynep, 2018. "Income inequality and sovereign default," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 211-232.
    6. Jorge Alonso-Ortiz & Esteban Colla & José-María Da-Rocha, 2017. "The productivity cost of sovereign default: evidence from the European debt crisis," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(4), pages 611-633, December.
    7. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Kobielarz, Michal & Uras, Burak, 2018. "Sovereign default, exit and contagion in a monetary union," Other publications TiSEM d1844a19-c4eb-4443-a4c2-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    8. Zuzana Mucka & Ludovit Odor, 2017. "Sovereign default risk and debt limits: Case of Slovakia," Working Papers Working Paper No. 1/2017, Council for Budget Responsibility.
    9. Jean Barthélemy & Magali Marx, 2016. "Solving Endogenous Regime Switching Models," Working Papers hal-03393181, HAL.
    10. Grey Gordon & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2019. "On Regional Borrowing, Default, and Migration," Working Paper 19-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    11. Christoph Trebesch, 2019. "Resolving sovereign debt crises: the role of political risk," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 71(2), pages 421-444.
    12. Aguiar, M. & Chatterjee, S. & Cole, H. & Stangebye, Z., 2016. "Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1697-1755, Elsevier.
    13. Thomas McGregor, 2017. "Pricing sovereign debt in resource rich economies," OxCarre Working Papers 194, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    14. Vincenzo Quadrini, 2020. "The Impact of Industrialized Countries’ Monetary Policy on Emerging Economies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(3), pages 550-583, September.
    15. Daniel Levy & Tamir Mayer & Alon Raviv, 2022. "Economists in the 2008 Financial Crisis: Slow to See, Fast to Act," Working Papers 2022-01, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics.
    16. Crosignani, Matteo, 2021. "Bank capital, government bond holdings, and sovereign debt capacity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 693-704.
    17. Durdu, C. Bora & Nunes, Ricardo & Sapriza, Horacio, 2013. "News and sovereign default risk in small open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 1-17.
    18. Gordon, Grey & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2017. "Asymmetric business cycles and sovereign default," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 116-119.
    19. Anusha Chari & Ryan Leary & Toan Phan, 2025. "The Transmission of Quasi-Sovereign Default Risk: Evidence from Puerto Rico," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(2), pages 556-595, June.
    20. Anusha Chari & Ryan Leary & Toan Phan, 2017. "The Costs of (sub)Sovereign Default Risk: Evidence from Puerto Rico," NBER Working Papers 24108, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Findeisen, Sebastian & Sachs, Dominik, 2014. "Efficient Labor and Capital Income Taxation over the Life Cycle," Working Papers 14-17, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
    22. Xuan Wang, 2019. "When Do Currency Unions Benefit From Default ?," 2019 Papers pwa938, Job Market Papers.
    23. Kursat Onder, Yasin, 2016. "Asset backed contracts and sovereign risk," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 237-252.
    24. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Emircan Yurdagul & Horacio Sapriza & Juan Sanchez, 2018. "Sovereign Debt Restructuring: A Dynamic Discrete Choice Approach," 2018 Meeting Papers 1273, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    25. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Uras, Burak & Kobielarz, Michal, 2015. "Sovereign Debt, Bail-Outs and Contagion in a Monetary Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 10459, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    26. Welburn, Jonathan William & Hausken, Kjell, 2015. "A Game-Theoretic Model with Empirics of Economic Crises," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2015/7, University of Stavanger.
    27. Juan Pablo Gama & Rodrigo J. Raad, 2023. "Large public expenditure shocks in a Ramsey taxation model with default," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 665, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    28. Galo Nuño & Carlos Thomas, 2015. "Monetary policy and sovereign debt vulnerability," Working Papers 1517, Banco de España.
    29. Pablo D'Erasmo & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2013. "Distributional Incentives in an Equilibrium Model of Domestic Sovereign Default," NBER Working Papers 19477, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. Habib, Michel & Collard, Fabrice & Rochet, Jean Charles, 2016. "The Reluctant Defaulter: A Tale of High Government Debt," CEPR Discussion Papers 11299, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    31. Grey Gordon & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2018. "On Regional Borrowing, Migration, and Default," 2018 Meeting Papers 305, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    32. Meyer, Josefin & Reinhart, Carmen & Trebesch, Christoph, 2022. "Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo," CEPR Discussion Papers 13514, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    33. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2013. "Sudden Stops, Time Inconsistency, and the Duration of Sovereign Debt," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 217-228, June.
    34. Alfaro, Laura & Kanczuk, Fabio, 2026. "Fiscal rules and sovereign default," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    35. Carré, Sylvain & Cohen, Daniel & Villemot, Sébastien, 2019. "The sources of sovereign risk: a calibration based on Lévy stochastic processes," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 31-43.
    36. Mr. Francisco Roch & Harald Uhlig, 2016. "The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts," IMF Working Papers 2016/136, International Monetary Fund.
    37. Ma, Qingyin & Stachurski, John, 2019. "Optimal timing of decisions: A general theory based on continuation values," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 62-81.
    38. Yan Bai & Patrick J. Kehoe & Pierlauro Lopez & Fabrizio Perri, 2025. "A Neoclassical Model of the World Financial Cycle," Working Papers 25-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    39. Szkup, Michal, 2017. "Preventing Self-fulfilling debt crises," MPRA Paper 82754, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    40. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Minetti, Raoul & Olivero, María Pía, 2018. "Interbank markets and bank bailout policies amid a sovereign debt crisis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 131-153.
    41. Elard, Ilaf, 2020. "Three-player sovereign debt negotiations," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 217-240.
    42. Epstein, Brendan & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & González Gómez, Andrés, 2019. "Global financial risk, aggregate fluctuations, and unemployment dynamics," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 351-418.
    43. Luca Guerrieri & Matteo Iacoviello & Raoul Minetti, 2012. "Banks, Sovereign Debt and the International Transmission of Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 18303, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    44. Antonio Cusato Novelli, 2021. "Sovereign default, political instability and political fragmentation," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 732-755, September.
    45. Victor Olkhov, 2018. "Econophysics Beyond General Equilibrium: the Business Cycle Model," Papers 1804.04721, arXiv.org.
    46. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi, 2020. "Life after default. Private and Official Deals," Working Papers 431, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
    47. Hernan Seoane, 2016. "Time-varying volatility, default and the sovereign risk premium," 2016 Meeting Papers 1132, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    48. Si Guo & Yun Pei, 2023. "The impact of sovereign defaults on lending countries," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 345-374, January.
    49. Philippe Martin & Thomas Philippon, 2014. "Inspecting the Mechanism: Leverage and the Great Recession in the Eurozone," NBER Working Papers 20572, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    50. Michael Tomz & Mark L. J. Wright, 2013. "Empirical Research on Sovereign Debt and Default," CAMA Working Papers 2013-16, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    51. Stefan Niemann & Paul Pichler, 2020. "Optimal fiscal policy and sovereign debt crises," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 234-254, July.
    52. Matsuoka, Hideaki, 2015. "Fiscal limits and sovereign default risk in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 13-30.
    53. Leonardo Martinez & Francisco Roch & Francisco Roldan & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2022. "Sovereign Debt," Working Papers 167, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    54. Enrique Mendoza, 2015. "EconomicDynamics Interviews Enrique Mendoza on Sovereign Debt," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(1), April.
    55. Minjie Deng & Chang Liu, 2021. "Sovereign Risk and Intangible Investment," Discussion Papers dp21-16, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University.
    56. Everett Grant, 2016. "Exposure to international crises: trade vs. financial contagion," Globalization Institute Working Papers 280, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    57. Bańkowski, Krzysztof & Christoffel, Kai & Faria, Thomas, 2021. "Assessing the fiscal-monetary policy mix in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2623, European Central Bank.
    58. Markus Kirchner & Malte Rieth, 2020. "Sovereign Default Risk, Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Monetary-Fiscal Stabilization," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 896, Central Bank of Chile.
    59. Lizarazo, Sandra Valentina, 2013. "Default risk and risk averse international investors," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 317-330.
    60. Gu, Grace Weishi, 2015. "A Tale of Two Countries: Sovereign Default, Exchange Rate, and Trade," MPRA Paper 61900, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    61. Ventura, Jaume & Broner, Fernando & Martín, Alberto & Erce, Aitor, 2013. "Sovereign Debt Markets in Turbulent Times: Creditor Discrimination and Crowding-Out Effects," CEPR Discussion Papers 9761, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    62. Coimbra, Nuno, 2020. "Sovereigns at risk: A dynamic model of sovereign debt and banking leverage," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    63. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Juan M. Sanchez & Horacio Sapriza & Emircan Yurdagul, 2018. "Sovereign Debt Restructurings," Working Papers 2018-13, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    64. Corsetti, G. & Erce, A. & Uy, T., 2018. "Debt Sustainability and the Terms of Official Support," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1864, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    65. Olkhov, Victor, 2018. "Economic Transactions Govern Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 88531, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Aug 2018.
    66. Toan Phan & Felipe Schwartzman, 2023. "Climate Defaults and Financial Adaptation," Working Paper 23-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    67. V. Filipe Martins-da-Rocha & Toan Phan & Yiannis Vailakis, 2019. "Debt Limits and Credit Bubbles in General Equilibrium," Working Paper 19-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    68. Ricardo Sabbadini, 2018. "International Reserves Management in a Model of Partial Sovereign Default," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2018_14, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    69. Luca Fornaro, 2012. "Financial Crises and Exchange Rate Policy," 2012 Meeting Papers 726, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    70. Enrique G. Mendoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2012. "A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 127(2), pages 889-946.
    71. Llosa, Luis-Gonzalo, 2013. "How Do Terms of Trade Affect Productivity? The Role of Monopolistic Output Markets," Working Papers 2013-007, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    72. Silvia Marchesi & Pietro Bomprezzi, 2021. "A firm level approach on the effects of IMF programs," Working Papers 476, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2021.
    73. Cheng, Jin & Dai, Meixing & Dufourt, Frédéric, 2017. "Banking and sovereign debt crises in a monetary union without central bank intervention," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 142-151.
    74. Mäder, Nicolas, 2025. "Would an earlier inception of OMT by the ECB have prevented the 2012 Greek default?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    75. Ana Aguilar & Carlos Cantú & Claudia Ramírez, 2022. "It takes two: Fiscal and monetary policy in Mexico," BIS Working Papers 1012, Bank for International Settlements.
    76. Esquivel, Carlos & Samano, Agustin, 2026. "Expansionary fiscal rules under sovereign risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    77. Tavares, Tiago, 2015. "The Role of International Reserves in Sovereign Debt Restructuring under Fiscal Adjustment," MPRA Paper 66962, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    78. Eiji Okano, 2020. "Understanding the gains from wage flexibility in a currency union: the fiscal policy connection," BCAM Working Papers 2005, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
    79. Javier Andrés & Pablo Burriel & Wenyi Shen, 2020. "Debt sustainability and fiscal space in a heterogeneous Monetary Union: normal times vs the zero lower bound," Working Papers 2001, Banco de España.
    80. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi, 2019. "Sovereign risk after sovereign restructuring. Private and official default," Working Papers 423, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2019.
    81. Alessandria, George & Bai, Yan & Deng, Minjie, 2020. "Migration and sovereign default risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-22.
    82. Pablo D’Erasmo & Hernán Moscoso Boedo & María Pía Olivero & Máximo Sangiácomo, 2020. "Relationship Networks in Banking Around a Sovereign Default and Currency Crisis," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(3), pages 584-642, September.
    83. Magali Marx & Jean Barthelemy, 2013. "State-Dependent Probability Distributions in Non Linear Rational Expectations Models," 2013 Meeting Papers 576, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    84. Seunghoon Na & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe & Vivian Z. Yue, 2015. "A model of the Twin Ds: optimal default and devaluation," FRB Atlanta CQER Working Paper 2015-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    85. Juan Carlos Conesa & Timothy J. Kehoe, 2017. "Gambling for redemption and self-fulfilling debt crises," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(4), pages 707-740, December.
    86. Berrak Bahadir & Inci Gumus, 2021. "Transmission of Household and Business Credit Shocks in Emerging Markets: The Role of Real Estate," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(S2), pages 587-617, September.
    87. Takefumi Yamazaki, 2018. "Accuracy and speed of the solution methods for sovereign default models: The stable performance of the Tauchen method and cubic spline interpolation," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 14(4), pages 641-662, July.
    88. MILEA, Camelia, 2021. "Reflections On The Consequences And Risks Of An Economy’S Indebtedness," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 25(2), pages 50-63, June.
    89. Wolf, Martin, 2020. "Pecuniary externalities in economies with downward wage rigidity," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 219-235.
    90. Kobielarz, Michal, 2018. "The economics of monetary unions," Other publications TiSEM b0293536-68ec-4905-bffd-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    91. Michinao Okachi, 2026. "The Self-Fulfilling Default Model: Its Validity, Applicability, and Implications," TUPD Discussion Papers 83, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
    92. Mateane, Lebogang, 2020. "Risk preferences, global market conditions and foreign debt: Is there any role for the currency composition of FX reserves?," EconStor Preprints 227484, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    93. Leonardo Martinez & Juan Hatchondo & Burhanettin Kuruscu & Bulent Guler, 2014. "Sovereign Bailouts," 2014 Meeting Papers 1278, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    94. Kuvshinov, Dmitry & Zimmermann, Kaspar, 2019. "Sovereigns going bust: Estimating the cost of default," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 1-21.
    95. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Cesar Sosa-Padilla, 2015. "Debt Dilution and Sovereign Default Risk," CAEPR Working Papers 2015-012, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    96. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Emircan Yurdagul & Horacio Sapriza & Juan Sanchez, 2019. "News, sovereign debt maturity, and default risk," 2019 Meeting Papers 918, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    97. Phan, Toàn & Schwartzman, Felipe, 2024. "Climate defaults and financial adaptation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    98. Charles Serfaty, 2024. "Sovereign Default and International Trade," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(4), pages 1449-1501, December.
    99. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Kuester, Keith & Meier, André & Müller, Gernot J., 2014. "Sovereign risk and belief-driven fluctuations in the euro area," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 53-73.
    100. Johri, Alok & Khan, Shahed & Sosa-Padilla, César, 2022. "Interest rate uncertainty and sovereign default risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    101. Daniel Cohen & Sébastien Villemot, 2012. "The sovereign default puzzle: Modelling issues and lessons for Europe," PSE Working Papers halshs-00692038, HAL.
    102. Heitor Almeida & Daniel Carvalho & Taehyun Kim, 2024. "The Working Capital Credit Multiplier," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(6), pages 4247-4302, December.
    103. Mengus, Eric, 2018. "Honoring sovereign debt or bailing out domestic residents? The limits to bailouts," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 14-24.
    104. C. Bora Durdu, 2013. "Emerging Market Business Cycles: Recent Advances," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 183-199, June.
    105. Yasin Mimir & Lorenzo Ricci, 2024. "Financial imbalances and macroeconomic tail risks: A structural regime-switching investigation," Working Papers 64, European Stability Mechanism, revised 15 Nov 2024.
    106. Guangling Liu, 2014. "The Welfare Cost of Sovereign Default and Liquidity Injections," Working Papers 12/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    107. Robert A. McDowall, 2021. "Sovereign default and capital controls," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 1025-1045, September.
    108. Hoffmann, Mathias & Maslov, Egor & Sørensen, Bent E., 2022. "Small firms and domestic bank dependence in Europe's great recession," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    109. Fink, Fabian & Scholl, Almuth, 2016. "A quantitative model of sovereign debt, bailouts and conditionality," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 176-190.
    110. Catão, Luis A.V. & Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria, 2014. "External liabilities and crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 18-32.
    111. Queralto, Albert, 2020. "A model of slow recoveries from financial crises," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1-25.
    112. Sánchez, Juan M. & Sapriza, Horacio & Yurdagul, Emircan, 2018. "Sovereign default and maturity choice," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 72-85.
    113. Fève, Patrick & Sanchez, Pablo Garcia & Moura, Alban & Pierrard, Olivier, 2021. "Costly default and skewed business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    114. Nöh, Lukas, 2019. "Increasing public debt and the role of central bank independence for debt maturities," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 179-198.
    115. Tavares, Tiago, 2019. "Labor market distortions under sovereign debt default crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    116. Filippo Brutti & Philip Sauré, 2016. "Repatriation Of Debt In The Euro Crisis," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(1), pages 145-174, February.
    117. Esquivel, Carlos, 2024. "Underinvestment and capital misallocation under sovereign risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    118. Phuong V. Nguyen, 2020. "The Vietnamese business cycle in an estimated small open economy New Keynesian DSGE model," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 48(5), pages 1035-1063, October.
    119. Enrique Alberola & Carlos Cantú & Paolo Cavallino & Nikola Mirkov, 2022. "Fiscal regimes and the exchange rate," Working Papers 2022-01, Swiss National Bank.
    120. Asonuma, Tamon, 2012. "Serial default and debt renegotiation," MPRA Paper 55139, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    121. Aguiar, Mark & Amador, Manuel, 2014. "Sovereign Debt," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 647-687, Elsevier.
    122. Pagenhardt, Laura & Große Steffen, Christoph & Rieth, Malte, 2021. "Commited to Flexible Fiscal Rules," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242330, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    123. Yasin Kür¸sat Önder & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas & Jose Villegas, 2023. "Debt Moratorium: Theory and Evidence," Borradores de Economia 1253, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    124. Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2021. "Credit Supply Shocks and Household Defaults," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp691, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    125. Grzegorz Wesoƚowski, 2018. "Do long-term interest rates drive GDP and inflation in small open economies? Evidence from Poland," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(57), pages 6174-6192, December.
    126. Okano, Eiji & Inagaki, Kazuyuki & Eguchi, Masataka, 2024. "Revisiting the fiscal theory of sovereign risk from a DSGE viewpoint," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    127. Filippo Brutti & Philip U. Sauré, 2014. "Repatriation of Debt in the Euro Crisis: Evidence for the Secondary Market Theory," Working Papers 2014-03, Swiss National Bank.
    128. Asonuma, Tamon, 2014. "Sovereign defaults, external debt and real exchange rate dynamics," MPRA Paper 55133, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    129. Philipp Engler & Christoph Große Steffen, 2014. "Sovereign Risk, Interbank Freezes, and Aggregate Fluctuations," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1436, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    130. Sámano Daniel, 2022. "Foreign Currency Working Capital Constraints for Imported Inputs and Compositional Effects in Intermediate Goods," Working Papers 2022-20, Banco de México.
    131. Phan, Toan, 2017. "A model of sovereign debt with private information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1-17.
    132. Marcello Estevão & Tiago Severo, 2014. "Shocks, financial dependence and efficiency: Evidence from U.S. and Canadian industries," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 47(2), pages 442-465, May.
    133. Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro & Jean-Paul Renne & Guillaume Roussellet, 2021. "Affine Modeling of Credit Risk, Pricing of Credit Events, and Contagion," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 3674-3693, June.
    134. Albert Queraltó, 2013. "A Model of Slow Recoveries from Financial Crises," International Finance Discussion Papers 1097, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    135. Takefumi Yamazaki, 2018. "Financial friction sources in emerging economies: Structural estimation of sovereign default models," Discussion papers ron303, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.
    136. Dzhambova, Krastina, 2021. "“When it rains, it pours”: Fiscal policy, credit constraints and business cycles in emerging and developed economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    137. Wicht, Adrien, 2025. "Seniority and sovereign default: The role of official multilateral lenders," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    138. Michel Guillard & Hubert Kempf (Ecole Normale de Cachan & université Paris-Saclay), 2016. "Sovereign default and public debt sustainability," EcoMod2016 9696, EcoMod.
    139. Boris Hofmann & Nikhil Patel & Steve Pak Yeung Wu, 2022. "Original sin redux: a model-based evaluation," BIS Working Papers 1004, Bank for International Settlements.
    140. Maideu-Morera, Gerard, 2024. "Optimal Fiscal Rules and Macroprudential Policies with Sovereign Default Risk," TSE Working Papers 24-1534, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    141. Joshua Aizenman & Yin-Wong Cheung & Xingwang Qian, 2025. "International Reserve Management and Firm Investment in Emerging Market Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 503-540, April.
    142. Carlos Eduardo Gonçalves & Bernardo Guimaraes, 2012. "Optimal fiscal adjustment and the commitment-to-forgive issue," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2012_01, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    143. Akıncı, Özge, 2013. "Global financial conditions, country spreads and macroeconomic fluctuations in emerging countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 358-371.
    144. Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem, 2019. "US Monetary Policy and International Risk Spillovers," CEPR Discussion Papers 14053, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    145. Mihalache, Gabriel, 2024. "Comment on “On Wars, Sanctions, and Sovereign Default” by Javier Bianchi and César Sosa-Padilla," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 71-73.
    146. Bassa, Karolina & Cont, Rama, 2025. "Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis," INET Oxford Working Papers 2025-24, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    147. Kaas, Leo & Mellert, Jan & Scholl, Almuth, 2020. "Sovereign and private default risks over the business cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    148. Dooyeon Cho & Dong‐Eun Rhee, 2024. "Determinants of market‐assessed sovereign default risk: Macroeconomic fundamentals or global shocks?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 35-60, April.
    149. Cusato Novelli, Antonio & Barcia, Giancarlo, 2021. "Sovereign Risk, Public Investment and the Fiscal Policy Stance," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    150. Ricardo Sabbadini, 2018. "Overcoming the Original Sin: gains from local currency external debt," Working Papers Series 484, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    151. Passadore, Juan & Xu, Yu, 2022. "Illiquidity in sovereign debt markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    152. Mark Aguiar & Manuel Amador, 2013. "Sovereign Debt: A Review," NBER Working Papers 19388, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    153. James Malley & Apostolis Philippopoulos & Jim Malley, 2022. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Funding U.S. Infrastructure," CESifo Working Paper Series 9530, CESifo.
    154. Radoslaw Paluszynski & Georgios Stefanidis, 2023. "Borrowing into debt crises," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(1), pages 277-308, January.
    155. Canhui Hong, 2018. "Flight-to-quality debt crises," 2018 Meeting Papers 166, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    156. Anzoategui, Diego, 2022. "Sovereign spreads and the effects of fiscal austerity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    157. Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Grey Gordon, 2014. "Municipal Bonds, Default, and Migration in General Equilibrium," 2014 Meeting Papers 868, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    158. Abel Cadenillas & Ricardo Huamán-Aguilar, 2016. "Explicit formula for the optimal government debt ceiling," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 247(2), pages 415-449, December.
    159. de Ferra, Sergio & Mallucci, Enrico, 2025. "Avoiding sovereign default contagion: A normative analysis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    160. Sebastian Edwards & Francis A. Longstaff & Alvaro Garcia Marin, 2015. "The U.S. Debt Restructuring of 1933: Consequences and Lessons," NBER Working Papers 21694, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    161. Gonçalves, Carlos Eduardo & Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2015. "Sovereign default risk and commitment for fiscal adjustment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 68-82.
    162. Joaquin Blaum, 2018. "Global Firms in Large Devaluations," 2018 Meeting Papers 593, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    163. Hale, Galina & Bevilaqua, Julia & Tallman, Eric, 2020. "Corporate Yields and Sovereign Yields," CEPR Discussion Papers 14344, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    164. Falko Juessen & Ludger Linnemann & Andreas Schabert, 2014. "Default Risk Premia on Government Bonds in a Quantitative Macroeconomic Model," Working Paper Series in Economics 73, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
    165. Van Nguyen, Phuong, 2020. "The Vietnamese business cycle in an estimated small open economy New Keynesian DSGE model," Dynare Working Papers 56, CEPREMAP.
    166. Kirsch, Florian & Rühmkorf, Ronald, 2013. "Sovereign Borrowing, Financial Assistance and Debt Repudiation," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 01/2013, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
    167. Aeimit Lakdawala & Raoul Minetti & María Pía Olivero, 2017. "Interbank Markets and Credit Policies amid a Sovereign Debt Crisis," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2017-1, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    168. Sosa-Padilla, César, 2018. "Sovereign defaults and banking crises," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 88-105.
    169. Blommestein, Hans & Eijffinger, Sylvester & Qian, Zongxin, 2016. "Regime-dependent determinants of Euro area sovereign CDS spreads," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 10-21.
    170. Giancarlo Corsetti & Seung Hyun Maeng, 2020. "Debt crises, fast and slow," Discussion Papers 2019, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    171. Park, JungJae, 2017. "Sovereign default and capital accumulation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 119-133.
    172. Christopher Clayton & Matteo Maggiori & Jesse Schreger, 2025. "Putting Economics Back into Geoeconomics," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40, pages 23-87, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    173. Julián Caballero & Andrés Fernández & Jongho Park, 2019. "On Corporate Borrowing, Credit Spreads and Economic Activity in Emerging Economies: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 839, Central Bank of Chile.
    174. Grey Gordon & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2021. "Public Debt, Private Pain: Regional Borrowing, Default, and Migration," Working Paper 21-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    175. Gianluca Benigno & Luca Fornaro & Martin Wolf, 2012. "Reserve accumulation, growth and financial crises," Economics Working Papers 1795, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Mar 2022.
    176. Evers, Michael P., 2015. "Fiscal federalism and monetary unions: A quantitative assessment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 59-75.
    177. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Gabriel Mihalache, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies (NK-Default)," Department of Economics Working Papers 19-02-rev1, Stony Brook University, Department of Economics.
    178. Ricardo Alonzo Fern'andez Salguero, 2025. "The Crisis Simulator for Bolivia (KISr-p): An Empirically Grounded Modeling Framework," Papers 2510.16537, arXiv.org.
    179. Jun Hee Kwak, 2025. "A Causal Linkage: Corporate Debt and Sovereign Spreads," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 68(4), pages 1567-1611, April.
    180. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi, 2018. "Life After Default: Private vs. Official Sovereign Debt Restructurings," Development Working Papers 437, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano.
    181. Huixin Bi & Ms. Wenyi Shen & Ms. Susan S. Yang, 2014. "Fiscal Limits, External Debt, and Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 2014/049, International Monetary Fund.
    182. Mihalache, Gabriel, 2020. "Sovereign default resolution through maturity extension," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    183. Sebastian Findeisen & Dominik Sachs, 2015. "Designing Efficient College and Tax Policies," CESifo Working Paper Series 5435, CESifo.
    184. Ma, Chang & Valencia, Fabián, 2024. "Welfare gains from market insurance: The case of Mexican oil price risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    185. Olkhov, Victor, 2018. "The Business Cycle Model Beyond General Equilibrium," MPRA Paper 87204, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    186. Jonathan William Welburn & Kjell Hausken, 2017. "Game Theoretic Modeling of Economic Systems and the European Debt Crisis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(2), pages 177-226, February.
    187. Jonathan W. Welburn, 2020. "Crises Beyond Belief: Findings on Contagion, the Role of Beliefs, and the Eurozone Debt Crisis from a Borrower–Lender Game," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 263-317, August.
    188. Xuan Wang, 2021. "Bankruptcy Codes and Risk Sharing of Currency Unions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-009/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
    189. Damiano Sandri, 2018. "Dealing with Systemic Sovereign Debt Crises: Fiscal Consolidation, Bail-Ins, or Bail-Outs?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 66(4), pages 665-693, December.
    190. Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2021. ""Sorry, You're Blocked." Economic Effects of Financial Sanctions on the Russian Economy," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp704, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    191. Auray, Stéphane & Eyquem, Aurélien & Ma, Xiaofei, 2018. "Banks, sovereign risk and unconventional monetary policies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 153-171.
    192. Bernardo Guimaraes & Lucas Tumkus, 2020. "On the costs of sovereign default in quantitative models," Discussion Papers 2021, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    193. Francesco Pappada & Yanos Zylberberg, 2019. "Sovereign Default and Imperfect Tax Enforcement," Working papers 722, Banque de France.
    194. Yasin Kürsat Önder & Jose Villegas, 2025. "Price Frictions in Credit Markets: Evidence from Belgium's 2020 Credit Guarantee Scheme," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 25/1118, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    195. Siwińska-Gorzelak Joanna & Brzozowski Michał, 2018. "Sovereign default and the structure of private external debt," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 5(52), pages 1-9, January.
    196. Horn, Fabian, 2015. "Quantifying the costs of sovereign defaults using odious debt cases as a quasi-natural experiment," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113125, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    197. Müller, Gernot & Pfeifer, Johannes & Born, Benjamin, 2015. "Does austerity pay off?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10425, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    198. Saleem Bahaj, 2014. "Systemic Sovereign Risk: Macroeconomic Implications in the Euro Area," Discussion Papers 1406, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    199. Juan M. Sanchez & Horacio Sapriza & Emircan Yurdagul, 2014. "Sovereign Default and the Choice of Maturity," Working Papers 2014-31, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    200. Alonso-Ortiz, Jorge & Colla, Esteban & Da-Rocha, Jose-Maria, 2014. "Bounding the productivity default shock : Evidence from the The European Sovereign Debt Crisis," MPRA Paper 59617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    201. Olkhov, Victor, 2018. "Economic and Financial Transactions Govern Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 93269, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    202. Giancarlo Corsetti, 2023. "Debt crises, fast and slow Giancarlo," RSCAS Working Papers 2023/15, European University Institute.
    203. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Cesar Sosa Padilla, 2013. "Voluntary Sovereign Debt Exchanges," Department of Economics Working Papers 2013-13, McMaster University.
    204. Chen, Yao & Ward, Felix, 2019. "When do fixed exchange rates work? Evidence from the Gold Standard," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 158-172.
    205. Ezra Oberfield, 2013. "Productivity and Misallocation During a Crisis: Evidence from the Chilean Crisis of 1982," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 16(1), pages 100-119, January.
    206. Olkhov, Victor, 2020. "Business Cycles as Collective Risk Fluctuations," MPRA Paper 104598, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    207. Markus Jorra, 2011. "The Heterogeneity of Default Costs: Evidence from Recent Sovereign Debt Crises," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201151, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    208. César Martín Machuca, 2017. "External stress early warning indicators," Working Papers 1733, Banco de España.
    209. Bocola, Luigi & Bornstein, Gideon & Dovis, Alessandro, 2019. "Quantitative sovereign default models and the European debt crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 20-30.
    210. George Alessandria & Minjie Deng & Yan Bai, 2019. "Sovereign Default Risk and Migration," 2019 Meeting Papers 1085, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    211. Ricardo Alonzo Fern'andez Salguero, 2025. "A Keynesian Intertemporal Synthesis (KIS) Model: Towards a unified and empirically grounded framework for fiscal policy," Papers 2508.00224, arXiv.org.
    212. Hatchondo, Juan Carlos & Martinez, Leonardo & Onder, Yasin Kursat, 2017. "Non-defaultable debt and sovereign risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 217-229.
    213. Pancrazi, Roberto & Seoane, Hernán D. & Vukotić, Marija, 2020. "Welfare gains of bailouts in a sovereign default model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    214. Paczos, Wojtek & Shakhnov, Kirill, 2022. "Defaulting on Covid debt," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    215. Paula Andrea Beltr�n-Saavedra, 2015. "Precio del petr�leo y el ajuste de las tasas de inter�s en las econom�as emergentes," Borradores de Economia 13619, Banco de la Republica.
    216. Sina T. Ates & Felipe Saffie, 2016. "Fewer but Better : Sudden Stops, Firm Entry, and Financial Selection," International Finance Discussion Papers 1187, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    217. Espino, Emilio César & Kozlowski, Julian & Martin, Fernando M. & Sánchez, Juan M., 2025. "Policy rules and large crises in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    218. Papadia, Andrea, 2017. "Sovereign defaults during the Great Depression: the role of fiscal fragility," Economic History Working Papers 68943, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
    219. Dominik Thaler, 2018. "Sovereign default, domestic banks and exclusion from international capital markets," Working Papers 1824, Banco de España.
    220. Kikkawa, Ayumu Ken & Sasahara, Akira, 2020. "Gains from trade and the sovereign bond market," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    221. Silvia, Marchesi, 2015. "The cost of default: private vs. official sovereign debt restructurings," Working Papers 320, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 28 Dec 2015.
    222. Chatterjee, Satyajit & Eyigungor, Burcu, 2019. "Endogenous political turnover and fluctuations in sovereign default risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 37-50.
    223. Trebesch, Christoph & Zabel, Michael, 2017. "The output costs of hard and soft sovereign default," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 416-432.
    224. Nikolai Stähler, 2013. "Recent Developments In Quantitative Models Of Sovereign Default," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 605-633, September.
    225. Hürtgen, Patrick & Rühmkorf, Ronald, 2014. "Sovereign default risk and state-dependent twin deficits," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PB), pages 357-382.
    226. Yiannis Vailakis & V. Filipe Martins-da-Rocha, 2016. "Self-enforcing Debt, Reputation, and the Role of Interest Rates," 2016 Meeting Papers 706, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    227. Irina Balteanu & Aitor Erce, 2018. "Linking Bank Crises and Sovereign Defaults: Evidence from Emerging Markets," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 66(4), pages 617-664, December.
    228. Tsyrennikov, Viktor, 2013. "Capital flows under moral hazard," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 92-108.
    229. Claudio Borio & Marc Farag & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2023. "Tackling the fiscal policy-financial stability nexus," BIS Working Papers 1090, Bank for International Settlements.
    230. D’Erasmo, P. & Mendoza, E.G. & Zhang, J., 2016. "What is a Sustainable Public Debt?," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2493-2597, Elsevier.
    231. Stangebye, Zachary R., 2020. "Beliefs and long-maturity sovereign debt," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    232. Juan C. Méndez-Vizcaíno & Nicolás Moreno-Arias, 2021. "A Global Shock with Idiosyncratic Pains: State-Dependent Debt Limits for LATAM during the COVID-19 pandemic," Borradores de Economia 1175, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    233. de Ferra, Sergio & Mallucci, Enrico, 2022. "Sovereign risk matters: Endogenous default risk and the time-varying volatility of interest rate spreads," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    234. Dokko, Jane K. & Keys, Benjamin J. & Relihan, Lindsay, 2019. "Affordability, financial innovation and the start of the housing boom," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101017, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    235. Liu, Yang, 2023. "Government debt and risk premia," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 18-34.
    236. Findeisen, Sebastian & Sachs, Dominik, 2017. "Redistribution and insurance with simple tax instruments," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 58-78.
    237. Tavares, Tiago, 2015. "Labor Market Distortions under Sovereign Default Crises," MPRA Paper 66964, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    238. Shi, Kang & Xu, Juanyi & Yin, Xiaopeng, 2015. "Input substitution, export pricing, and exchange rate policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 26-46.
    239. Michal Szkup, 2022. "Preventing Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Global Games Approach," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 43, pages 22-55, January.
    240. Julian Schumacher & Christoph Trebesch & Henrik Enderlein, 2015. "What Explains Sovereign Debt Litigation?," CESifo Working Paper Series 5319, CESifo.
    241. Illenin Kondo & Fabrizio Perri & Sewon Hur, 2016. "Inflation, Debt, and Default," 2016 Meeting Papers 1610, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    242. Ignacio Presno & Demian Pouzo, 2014. "Optimal Taxation with Endogenous Default under Incomplete Markets," 2014 Meeting Papers 689, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    243. Charles Serfaty, 2022. "Sovereign Debt and International Trade," Working papers 901, Banque de France.
    244. Jeffrey A. Edwards & Alfredo A. Romero & Zagros Madjd-Sadjadi, 2016. "Foreign direct investment, economic growth, and volatility: a useful model for policymakers," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 681-705, September.
    245. Fabrice Collard & Michel Habib & Jean-Charles Rochet, 2015. "Sovereign Debt Sustainability In Advanced Economies," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 381-420, June.
    246. Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Xiaoxi Liu & Ilhyock Shim, 2021. "Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Firm Leverage," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(1), pages 90-121, March.
    247. Mitra, Nirvana, 2020. "Political Constraints and Sovereign Default Premia," MPRA Paper 104172, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    248. Sachs, Dominik & Findeisen, Sebastian, 2014. "Designing Efficient Education and Tax Policies," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100504, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    249. Bauducco, Sofia & Caprioli, Francesco, 2014. "Optimal fiscal policy in a small open economy with limited commitment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 302-315.
    250. Victor Filipe Martins da Rocha & Yiannis Vailakis, 2017. "On the Sovereign Debt Paradox," Post-Print hal-01097118, HAL.
    251. Patella, Valeria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Confidence Swings and Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 195-206.
    252. Jeanneret, Alexandre, 2018. "Sovereign credit spreads under good/bad governance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 230-246.
    253. Maximilian Ludwig, 2013. "Government Debt and Default in a Minimal State," Working Papers 30/2013, Universidade Portucalense, Centro de Investigação em Gestão e Economia (CIGE).
    254. Guido Sandleris & Mark L. J. Wright, 2014. "The Costs of Financial Crises: Resource Misallocation, Productivity, and Welfare in the 2001 Argentine Crisis," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 116(1), pages 87-127, January.
    255. Joy, Mark, 2012. "Sovereign default and macroeconomic tipping points," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/12, Central Bank of Ireland.
    256. Beqiraj, Elton & Patella, Valeria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Fiscal stance and the sovereign risk pass-through," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    257. Grey Gordon & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2018. "Dynamics of Investment, Debt, and Default," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 28, pages 71-95, April.
    258. Daniel Fried, 2017. "Inflation, Default, and the Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt in Emerging Economies: Working Paper 2017-01," Working Papers 52385, Congressional Budget Office.
    259. Große Steffen, Christoph, 2015. "Uncertainty shocks and non-fundamental debt crises: An ambiguity approach," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112936, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    260. Froemel, Maren & Paczos, Wojtek, 2024. "Imperfect financial markets and the cyclicality of social spending," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    261. Barrail, Zulma, 2020. "Business cycle implications of rising household credit market participation in emerging countries," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    262. Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, 2019. "U.S. Monetary Policy and International Risk Spillovers," NBER Working Papers 26297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    263. Li, Delong & Magud, Nicolas E. & Werner, Alejandro, 2023. "The long-run impact of sovereign yields on corporate yields in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    264. Llosa, Luis Gonzalo & Pérez-Forero, Fernando J. & Tuesta, Vicente, 2025. "Uncertainty shocks and financial conditions in Latin-American countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    265. Conesa, Juan Carlos & Kehoe, Timothy J., 2024. "Preemptive austerity with rollover risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    266. Ludwig, Maximilian, 2014. "How well do we understand sovereign debt crisis? Evidence from Latin America," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100531, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    267. Sergio de Ferra, 2017. "External Imbalances, Gross Capital Flows and Sovereign Debt Crises," 2017 Meeting Papers 726, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    268. Beqiraj, Elton & Fedeli, Silvia & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Fiscal retrenchments and the transmission mechanism of the sovereign risk channel for highly indebted countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    269. Bahaj, Saleem, 2020. "Sovereign spreads in the Euro area: Cross border transmission and macroeconomic implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 116-135.
    270. Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2023. "The Price of War: Macroeconomic and Cross-Sectional Effects of Sanctions on Russia," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp756, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    271. Wei Huang & Shu Lin & Jian Yang, 2019. "Institutional quality and sovereign credit default swap spreads," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 686-703, June.
    272. Jesse Schreger, 2015. "The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from Argentina," 2015 Meeting Papers 240, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    273. Sandro C. Andrade & Vidhi Chhaochharia, 2018. "The Costs of Sovereign Default: Evidence from the Stock Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(5), pages 1707-1751.
    274. Jason Z. Ma & Xiang Deng & Kung-Cheng Ho & Sang-Bing Tsai, 2018. "Regime-Switching Determinants for Spreads of Emerging Markets Sovereign Credit Default Swaps," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-17, August.
    275. Andrade, Sandro C. & Ekponon, Adelphe & Jeanneret, Alexandre, 2023. "Sovereign risk premia and global macroeconomic conditions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 172-197.
    276. Ricardo Sabbadini, 2019. "Loss Aversion and Search for Yield in Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt," Working Papers Series 500, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    277. Asonuma, Tamon & Chamon, Marcos & Erce, Aitor & Sasahara, Akira, 2024. "Costs of sovereign debt crises: Restructuring strategies and bank intermediation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    278. Luo, Jie & Wang, Cheng, 2018. "Optimal sovereign lending and default," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 190-213.
    279. Kollintzas, Tryphon & Tsoukalas, Konstantinos, 2015. "Bank and Sovereign Risk Interdependence in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 10485, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    280. Huidrom, Raju & Kose, M. Ayhan & Lim, Jamus J. & Ohnsorge, Franziska L., 2020. "Why do fiscal multipliers depend on fiscal Positions?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 109-125.
    281. Chen, Hsien-Yi & Chen, Sheng-Syan, 2018. "Quality of government institutions and spreads on sovereign credit default swaps," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 82-95.
    282. Dachraoui, Hajer & Smida, Mounir & Sebri, Maamar, 2020. "Role of capital flight as a driver of sovereign bond spreads in Latin American countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 15-33.
    283. Singh, Anurag, 2024. "Clustered sovereign defaults," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    284. Elton Beqiraj & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2014. "Fiscal Consolidation and Sovereign Risk in the Euro-zone Periphery," Working Papers in Public Economics 167, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    285. Florencia S. Airaudo & Hernán D. Seoane, 2021. "The Trend-cycle Connection," Working Papers 97, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    286. Boonman, Tjeerd M., 2013. "Sovereign defaults, business cycles and economic growth in Latin America, 1870-2012," Research Report 13010-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    287. Xiang Fang & Bryan Hardy & Karen Lewis, 2023. "Who holds sovereign debt and why it matters," BIS Working Papers 1099, Bank for International Settlements.
    288. Stangebye, Zachary, 2015. "Dynamic Panics: Theory and Application to the Eurozone," MPRA Paper 69967, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  16. Enrique G. Mendoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2008. "A Solution to the Disconnect between Country Risk and Business Cycle Theories," NBER Working Papers 13861, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Cristina Arellano & Narayana Kocherlakota, 2008. "Internal Debt Crises and Sovereign Defaults," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000001880, UCLA Department of Economics.
    2. Peter Sinclair, 2011. "Deficits, Debts and Defaults - Past, Present and Future," Discussion Papers 11-20, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    3. S. Meral Cakici, 2011. "Default Risk Premium and Aggregate Fluctuations in a Small Open Economy," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1131, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    4. Demian Pouzo & Ignacio Presno, 2012. "Sovereign default risk and uncertainty premia," Working Papers 12-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    5. Romain Ranciere & Ana Fostel & Luis Catao, 2011. "Sudden Stops and Sovereign Defaults," 2011 Meeting Papers 1359, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Enrique G. Mendoza, 2008. "Sudden stops, financial crises and leverage: a Fisherian deflation of Tobin's Q," International Finance Discussion Papers 960, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Catão, Luis A.V. & Fostel, Ana & Kapur, Sandeep, 2009. "Persistent gaps and default traps," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 271-284, July.
    8. Gao, Xiang, 2009. "Macroeconomic Analysis on the Basis of Trade Theory: A Review Essay," MPRA Paper 18380, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Ms. Emine Boz, 2009. "Sovereign Default, Private Sector Creditors and the IFIs," IMF Working Papers 2009/046, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Dailami, Mansoor, 2010. "Sovereign debt distress and corporate spillover impacts," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5380, The World Bank.
    11. Davig, Troy & Leeper, Eric M. & Walker, Todd B., 2010. ""Unfunded liabilities" and uncertain fiscal financing," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(5), pages 600-619, July.
    12. Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martin Uríbe, 2011. "Pegs and Pain," NBER Working Papers 16847, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2009. "Long-duration bonds and sovereign defaults," Working Paper 08-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    14. Cakici, S. Meral, 2024. "Risk premium in a real business cycle framework," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 111-122.
    15. Daude, Christian, 2012. "Sovereign default risk and volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 47-50.
    16. Juan M. Sanchez, 2009. "The role of information in the rise in consumer bankruptcies," Working Paper 09-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    17. Mr. Udaibir S Das & Mr. Michael G. Papaioannou & Christoph Trebesch, 2010. "Sovereign Default Risk and Private Sector Access to Capital in Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2010/010, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Christoph Trebesch, 2009. "The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies: How Much is theprivate Sector Affected?," IMF Working Papers 2009/029, International Monetary Fund.

  17. Enrique G. Mandoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2008. "A solution to the default risk-business cycle disconnect," International Finance Discussion Papers 924, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Eduardo Borensztein & Ugo Panizza, 2009. "The Costs of Sovereign Default," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 56(4), pages 683-741, November.
    2. Vivian Norambuena, 2015. "Sovereign Debt Default: Are Countries Trapped by Their Own Default History?," Working Papers wp416, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
    3. Richard E. Ericson & Xuan Liu, 2012. "Welfare effect of interest rate shocks and policy implications," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(22), pages 1899-1917, November.
    4. Meza, Felipe & Urrutia, Carlos, 2011. "Financial liberalization, structural change, and real exchange rate appreciations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 317-328.
    5. Kiarash Firouzi, 2025. "A Tokenized Sovereign Debt Conversion Mechanism for Dynamic Public Debt Reduction," Papers 2508.00019, arXiv.org.
    6. Satyajit Chatterjee & Burcu Eyigungor, 2011. "Maturity, indebtedness, and default risk," Working Papers 11-33, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    7. Christoph Trebesch & Mr. Michael G. Papaioannou & Mr. Udaibir S Das, 2012. "Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010: Literature Survey, Data, and Stylized Facts," IMF Working Papers 2012/203, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Fernando Broner & Alberto Martin & Jaume Ventura, 2010. "Sovereign Risk and Secondary Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(4), pages 1523-1555, September.
    9. Boz, Emine, 2011. "Sovereign default, private sector creditors, and the IFIs," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 70-82, January.
    10. Demirel Ufuk D, 2009. "The Transmission of Foreign Interest Rate Shocks to a Small-Open Economy: The Role of External Debt and Financial Integration," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-37, February.
    11. Ghulam, Yaseen & Derber, Julian, 2018. "Determinants of sovereign defaults," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 43-55.
    12. Enrique G. Mendoza, 2010. "Sudden Stops, Financial Crises, and Leverage," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(5), pages 1941-1966, December.
    13. Alfaro, Laura & Kanczuk, Fabio, 2009. "Optimal reserve management and sovereign debt," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 23-36, February.
    14. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2010. "Macroeconomic stabilization in developing economies: Are optimal policies procyclical?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 409-428, April.
    15. Pablo D'Erasmo & Bora Durdu & Emine Boz, 2013. "Sovereign Default Risk and Bank Balance Sheets," 2013 Meeting Papers 1045, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Pablo D'Erasmo & Bora Durdu & Emine Boz, 2014. "Sovereign Risk and Bank Balance Sheets: The Role of Macroprudential Policies," 2014 Meeting Papers 641, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Bora Durdu & Ricardo Nunes & Horacio Sapriza, 2010. "News and sovereign default risk in small open economies," International Finance Discussion Papers 997, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    18. Yeyati, Eduardo Levy & Panizza, Ugo, 2011. "The elusive costs of sovereign defaults," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 95-105, January.
    19. Angelo Marsiglia Fasolo, 2014. "The Ramsey Steady State under Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy for Small Open Economies," Working Papers Series 357, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    20. Ugo Panizza & Federico Sturzenegger & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2010. "International Government Debt," Business School Working Papers 2010-03, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
    21. Gao, Xiang, 2009. "Macroeconomic Analysis on the Basis of Trade Theory: A Review Essay," MPRA Paper 18380, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Arturo Antón-Sarabia & Fausto Hernández-Trillo, 2010. "VAT Collection and Social Security Contributions under Tax Evasion: Is There a Link?," Working Papers DTE 480, CIDE, División de Economía.
    23. Antón-Sarabia, Arturo & Hernández, Fausto, 2010. "VAT Collection and Social Security Contributions: Is There a Link?," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4548, Inter-American Development Bank.
    24. Tamon Asonuma, 2010. "Serial Default and Debt Renegotiation," 2010 Meeting Papers 169, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    25. Huixin Bi & Eric M. Leeper, 2010. "Sovereign Debt Risk Premia and Fiscal Policy in Sweden," NBER Working Papers 15810, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Ugo Panizza & Federico Sturzenegger & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2009. "The Economics and Law of Sovereign Debt and Default," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 651-698, September.
    27. Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker, 2010. ""Unfunded Liabilities" and Uncertain Fiscal Financing," NBER Working Papers 15782, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Roberto Piazza, 2014. "Growth and Crisis, Unavoidable Connection?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 17(4), pages 677-706, October.
    29. Nicola Gennaioli & Alberto Martin & Stefano Rossi, 2009. "Sovereign default, domestic banks and financial institutions," Economics Working Papers 1170, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Feb 2012.
    30. Felipe Meza & Carlos Urrutia, 2008. "Great Appreciations: Accounting for the Real Exchange Rate in Mexico, 1988-2002," Working Papers 0807, Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM.
    31. Bertrand Gruss & Karel Mertens, 2009. "Regime Switching Interest Rates and Fluctuations in Emerging Markets," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/22, European University Institute.
    32. Li, Jinyue, 2018. "Sudden stops, financial frictions, and the banking sector," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 144-154.
    33. Bora Durdu & Emine Boz, 2011. "Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Role of Labor Market Frictions," 2011 Meeting Papers 1092, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    34. Hatchondo, Juan Carlos & Martinez, Leonardo, 2009. "Long-duration bonds and sovereign defaults," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 117-125, September.
    35. Juan M. Sanchez, 2009. "The role of information in the rise in consumer bankruptcies," Working Paper 09-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    36. Gita Gopinath & Brent Neiman, 2011. "Trade adjustment and productivity in large crises," Working Papers 11-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    37. Mr. Udaibir S Das & Mr. Michael G. Papaioannou & Christoph Trebesch, 2010. "Sovereign Default Risk and Private Sector Access to Capital in Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2010/010, International Monetary Fund.
    38. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2012. "Debt dilution and sovereign default risk," Working Paper 10-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    39. Nan Li, 2011. "Cyclical Wage Movements in Emerging Markets Compared to Developed Economies: the Role of Interest Rates," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(4), pages 686-704, October.
    40. Zhongyuan Geng & Xuan Liu, 2019. "Optimal input trade policy under economic uncertainties in a small open economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(20), pages 2155-2171, April.
    41. Christoph Trebesch, 2009. "The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies: How Much is theprivate Sector Affected?," IMF Working Papers 2009/029, International Monetary Fund.

  18. Francis X. Diebold & Canlin Li & Vivian Z. Yue, 2007. "Global Yield Curve Dynamics and Interactions: A Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Approach," NBER Working Papers 13588, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Moench, Emanuel & Soofi-Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What moves treasury yields?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1016-1043.
    2. Fulvio Pegoraro & Siegel, A. F. & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2014. "Specification Analysis of International Treasury Yield Curve Factors," Working papers 490, Banque de France.
    3. Shi Yafeng & Ai Chunrong & Yanlong Shi & Ying Tingting & Xu Qunfang, 2023. "Large covariance estimation using a factor model with common and group‐specific factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2217-2248, December.
    4. Zeyyad Mandalinci & Haroon Mumtaz, 2019. "Global Economic Divergence and Portfolio Capital Flows to Emerging Markets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(6), pages 1713-1730, September.
    5. Roy Havemann & Henk Janse van Vuuren & Daan Steenkamp & Rossouw van Jaarsveld, 2022. "The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme," Working Papers 11024, South African Reserve Bank.
    6. Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang & Wen Jen Tsay, 2010. "Home Bias in Currency Forecasts," Working Papers 272010, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    7. Chadha, Jagjit S. & Waters, Alex, 2014. "Applying a macro-finance yield curve to UK quantitative Easing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 68-86.
    8. Tommaso Tornese, 2023. "A Euro Area Term Structure Model with Time Varying Exposures," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23199, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    9. Guerello, Chiara & Tronzano, Marco, 2020. "“Global factors, international spillovers, and the term structure of interest rates: New evidence for Asian Countries”," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    10. Liu, Edith X., 2010. "Diversifying Credit Risk with International Corporate Bonds," Working Papers 10-4, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    11. Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi & Takaoka, Sumiko, 2017. "The term structure of credit spreads and business cycle in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 27-36.
    12. Lasse Bork & Hans Dewachter & Romain Houssa, 2009. "Identification of Macroeconomic Factors in Large Panels," CREATES Research Papers 2009-43, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    13. Andreea Oprea, 2022. "The Use of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) in Building Yield Curve Scenarios and Identifying Relative-Value Trading Opportunities on the Romanian Government Bond Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-37, May.
    14. Takamizawa, Hideyuki, 2022. "How arbitrage-free is the Nelson–Siegel model under stochastic volatility?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 205-223.
    15. Mirko Abbritti & Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba & Mr. Antonio Moreno & Mr. Sergio Sola, 2013. "Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates," IMF Working Papers 2013/223, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global trends in interest rates," Staff Reports 866, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    17. Byrne, Joseph P. & Fazio, Giorgio & Fiess, Norbert, 2012. "Interest rate co-movements, global factors and the long end of the term spread," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 183-192.
    18. Leo Krippner, 2012. "A Theoretical Foundation for the Nelson and Siegel Class of Yield Curve Models," CAMA Working Papers 2012-11, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    19. Awaludin, Fadhlee & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Sukuk pricing dynamics - factors influencing yield curve of the Malaysian Sukuk," MPRA Paper 66355, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Gzyl, Henryk & Mayoral, Silvia, 2016. "Determination of zero-coupon and spot rates from treasury data by maximum entropy methods," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 38-50.
    21. Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2010. "Macro-finance models of interest rates and the economy," Working Paper Series 2010-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    22. Ergemen, Yunus Emre & Rodríguez-Caballero, C. Vladimir, 2023. "Estimation of a dynamic multi-level factor model with possible long-range dependence," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 405-430.
    23. Burak Saltoglu & M. Ege Yazgan, 2012. "The Role of Regime Shifts in the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Further Evidence from an Emerging Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(S5), pages 48-63, November.
    24. Yifeng Yan & Ju'e Guo, 2015. "The Sovereign Yield Curve and the Macroeconomy in China," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 415-441, August.
    25. Chen, Rong & Xiao, Han & Yang, Dan, 2021. "Autoregressive models for matrix-valued time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 539-560.
    26. Bai, Jushan & Ando, Tomohiro, 2013. "Multifactor asset pricing with a large number of observable risk factors and unobservable common and group-specific factors," MPRA Paper 52785, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2013.
    27. Adam Traczyk, 2013. "Financial integration and the term structure of interest rates," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(3), pages 1267-1305, December.
    28. Nathan Sussman & Osnat Zohar, 2018. "Has inflation targeting become less credible?," BIS Working Papers 729, Bank for International Settlements.
    29. Piero C. Kauffmann & Hellinton H. Takada & Ana T. Terada & Julio M. Stern, 2022. "Learning Forecast-Efficient Yield Curve Factor Decompositions with Neural Networks," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-15, March.
    30. Mario Figueiredo & Yuri F. Saporito, 2023. "Forecasting the term structure of commodities future prices using machine learning," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 57-90, March.
    31. Hubrich, Kirstin & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Beck, Günter, 2011. "On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting," CEPR Discussion Papers 8357, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    32. Casoli, Chiara & Manera, Matteo & Pedini, Luca & Valenti, Daniele, 2025. "“It’s not the heat, it’s the humidity!” New Climate Indices for Europe with a Multilevel Factor Model," FEEM Working Papers 376264, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    33. Robert Brooks & Pavel Teterin, 2020. "Samuelson hypothesis, arbitrage activity, and futures term premiums," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(9), pages 1420-1441, September.
    34. Siem Jan Koopman & Max I.P. Mallee & Michel van der Wel, 2007. "Analyzing the Term Structure of Interest Rates using the Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model with Time-Varying Parameters," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-095/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    35. Ippei Fujiwara & Koji Takahashi, 2012. "Asian Financial Linkage: Macro‐Finance Dissonance," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 136-159, February.
    36. Jonathan H. Wright, 2011. "Term Premia and Inflation Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(4), pages 1514-1534, June.
    37. Rui Hua & Wenzhe Hu & Xiuju Zhao, 2020. "Research on RMB exchange rate forecast based on the neural network model and the Nelson–Siegel model," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 219-237, September.
    38. Venetis, Ioannis & Ladas, Avgoustinos, 2022. "Co-movement and global factors in sovereign bond yields," MPRA Paper 115801, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    39. Kessler, Stephan & Scherer, Bernd, 2009. "Varying risk premia in international bond markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(8), pages 1361-1375, August.
    40. Robert Brooks & Brandon N. Cline & Pavel Teterin & Yu You, 2022. "The information in global interest rate futures contracts," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1135-1166, June.
    41. Dick, Christian D. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2013. "Macro-expectations, aggregate uncertainty, and expected term premia," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 58-80.
    42. Daniel Vela, 2013. "Forecasting Latin-American yield curves: An artificial neural network approach," Borradores de Economia 761, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    43. Jamie L. Cross & Lennart Hoogerheide & Paul Labonne & Herman K. van Dijk, 2023. "Bayesian Mode Inference for Discrete Distributions in Economics and Finance," Working Papers No 11/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    44. Byrne, Joseph P. & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2019. "Decomposing global yield curve co-movement," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 500-513.
    45. Qin, Weiping & Cho, Sungjun & Hyde, Stuart, 2023. "Time-varying bond market integration and the impact of financial crises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    46. Lin, Mucai & Hong, Zhiwu & Su, Ge, 2024. "Transmission of liquidity and credit risks in the Chinese bond market: Analysis based on joint modeling of multiple yield curves," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 597-615.
    47. Marco Del Negro & Christopher Otrok, 2008. "Dynamic factor models with time-varying parameters: measuring changes in international business cycles," Staff Reports 326, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    48. Carlos Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero, 2016. "Panel Data with Cross-Sectional Dependence Characterized by a Multi-Level Factor Structure," CREATES Research Papers 2016-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    49. De Santis, Roberto A. & Zimic, Srečko, 2019. "Interest rates and foreign spillovers," Working Paper Series 2221, European Central Bank.
    50. Andrew Meldrum & Marek Raczko & Peter Spencer, 2016. "Overseas unspanned factors and domestic bond returns," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 618, Bank of England.
    51. Nyholm, Ken, 2015. "A rotated Dynamic Nelson-Siegel model with macro-financial applications," Working Paper Series 1851, European Central Bank.
    52. Byrne, Joseph P. & Cao, Shuo & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Co-Movement, Spillovers and Excess Returns in Global Bond Markets," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-75, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    53. Cavaca, Igor Bastos & Meurer, Roberto, 2021. "International monetary policy spillovers: Linkages between U.S. and South American yield curves," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 737-754.
    54. Lauren Stagnol, 2019. "Extracting global factors from local yield curves," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(5), pages 341-350, September.
    55. Lauren Stagnol, 2017. "Introducing global term structure in a risk parity framework," EconomiX Working Papers 2017-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    56. Han, Yang & Jiao, Anqi & Ma, Jun, 2021. "The predictive power of Nelson–Siegel factor loadings for the real economy," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 95-127.
    57. Wohlfarth, Paul & Chen, Xiaohong, 2024. "Limits to arbitrage and the term structure of CIP violations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    58. Valente, Giorgio, 2009. "International interest rates and US monetary policy announcements: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 920-940, October.
    59. Perekunah Bright Eregha & Festus O. Egwaikhide, 2018. "Globalization and monetary policy rule in West African Monetary Zone: A generalized method of moment approach," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 49, pages 57-66.
    60. J. Arismendi-Zambrano & R. Azevedo, 2020. "Implicit Entropic Market Risk-Premium from Interest Rate Derivatives," Economics Department Working Paper Series n303-20.pdf, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    61. Fischer, Manfred M. & Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for modeling government bond yields," Working Papers in Regional Science 2021/01, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    62. Renata Tavanielli & Márcio Laurini, 2023. "Yield Curve Models with Regime Changes: An Analysis for the Brazilian Interest Rate Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-28, June.
    63. Inaba, Kei-Ichiro, 2021. "An empirical illustration of the integration of sovereign bond markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    64. Disyatat, Piti & Rungcharoenkitkul, Phurichai, 2017. "Monetary policy and financial spillovers: Losing traction?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 115-136.
    65. Lange, Ronald Henry, 2018. "The term structure of liquidity premia and the macroeconomy in Canada: A dynamic latent-factor approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 164-182.
    66. Ms. Sonali Jain-Chandra & Ms. Filiz D Unsal, 2012. "The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows: Evidence from Asia," IMF Working Papers 2012/265, International Monetary Fund.
    67. Yunus Emre Ergemen & Carlos Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero, 2016. "A Dynamic Multi-Level Factor Model with Long-Range Dependence," CREATES Research Papers 2016-23, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    68. Boril Šopov & Jakub Seidler, 2011. "Yield Curve Dynamics: Regional Common Factor Model," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(2), pages 140-156.
    69. Spencer, Simon & Bredin, Don, 2019. "Agreement matters: OPEC announcement effects on WTI term structure," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 589-609.
    70. Gourieroux, C. & Monfort, A. & Sufana, R., 2010. "International money and stock market contingent claims," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(8), pages 1727-1751, December.
    71. Norman R. Swanson & Lili Cai, 2011. "In- and Out-of-Sample Specification Analysis of Spot Rate Models: Further Evidence for the Period 1982-2008," Departmental Working Papers 201102, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    72. Hie Joo Ahn & Leland E. Farmer, 2024. "Disagreement About the Term Structure of Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-084, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    73. Daniel Carvalho, 2014. "Capital Inflows and euro area long-term interest rates," Working Papers w201410, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    74. Yonas Khanna & André Lucas & Norman Seeger, 2025. "Measuring and Explaining the CDS-Bond Basis Term-Structure Shape and Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 25-037/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    75. Jamie L. Cross & Aubrey Poon & Wenying Yao & Dan Zhu, 2024. "A Constrained Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model for Monetary Policy Analysis," Working Papers No 06/2024, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    76. Takamizawa, Hideyuki & 高見澤, 秀幸, 2015. "Impact of No-arbitrage on Interest Rate Dynamics," Working Paper Series G-1-5, Hitotsubashi University Center for Financial Research.
    77. El-Shagi, Makram & Jiang, Lunan, 2025. "How the PBoC’s new MLF affects the yield curve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    78. Laurini, Márcio Poletti & Hotta, Luiz Koodi, 2010. "Bayesian extensions to Diebold-Li term structure model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 342-350, December.
    79. Sowmya, Subramaniam & Prasanna, Krishna & Bhaduri, Saumitra, 2016. "Linkages in the term structure of interest rates across sovereign bond markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 118-139.
    80. Tomohiro Ando & Jushan Bai, 2015. "Asset Pricing with a General Multifactor Structure," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 556-604.
    81. Chen, Bin & Han, Yuefeng & Yu, Qiyang, 2026. "Estimation and inference for CP tensor factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    82. Matteo Deleidi & Enrico Sergio Levrero, 2021. "Monetary policy and long‐term interest rates: Evidence from the U.S. economy," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(1), pages 121-147, February.
    83. Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Tedeschi, Gabriele, 2017. "From bond yield to macroeconomic instability: A parsimonious affine model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(3), pages 1116-1135.
    84. Lange, Ronald H., 2014. "The small open macroeconomy and the yield curve: A state-space representation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 1-21.
    85. Felix Geiger, 2009. "International Interest-Rate Risk Premia in Affine Term Structure Models," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 316/2009, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
    86. Bai, Jushan & Ando, Tomohiro, 2013. "Panel data models with grouped factor structure under unknown group membership," MPRA Paper 52782, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    87. Mahdi Sojoudi & Carole Bernard & Philippe Dupuy & Gareth W. Peters, 2026. "Green spread of US municipal bonds," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 357(1), pages 679-705, February.
    88. Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2009. "What Does the Yield Curve Tell Us About Exchange Rate Predictability?," Working Papers UWEC-2009-04, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
    89. Baba, Naohiko & Sakurai, Yuji, 2011. "When and how US dollar shortages evolved into the full crisis? Evidence from the cross-currency swap market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1450-1463, June.
    90. Kei-Ichiro Inaba, 2020. "The Integration of Countries' Sovereign Bond Markets: An Empirical Illustration of a Global Financial Cycle," IMES Discussion Paper Series 20-E-01, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    91. Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2023. "General Bayesian time‐varying parameter vector autoregressions for modeling government bond yields," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 69-87, January.
    92. Lorenčič Eva, 2016. "Testing the Performance of Cubic Splines and Nelson-Siegel Model for Estimating the Zero-coupon Yield Curve," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 62(2), pages 42-50, June.
    93. Iryna Kaminska & Andrew Meldrum & James Smith, 2011. "A global model of international yield curves: no-arbitrage term structure approach," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 419, Bank of England.
    94. Rebecca Hellerstein, 2011. "Global bond risk premiums," Staff Reports 499, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    95. Ken Nyholm, 2018. "A Rotated Dynamic Nelson†Siegel Model," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 47(1), pages 113-124, February.
    96. Piti Disyatat & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2016. "Financial globalisation and monetary independence," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Expanding the boundaries of monetary policy in Asia and the Pacific, volume 88, pages 213-225, Bank for International Settlements.
    97. Daniel Vela, 2013. "Forecasting Latin-American yield curves: An artificial neural network approach," Borradores de Economia 10502, Banco de la Republica.
    98. Gregory Bauer & Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2012. "An International Dynamic Term Structure Model with Economic Restrictions and Unspanned Risks," Staff Working Papers 12-5, Bank of Canada.
    99. Lange, Ronald H., 2017. "The expected real yield and inflation components of the nominal yield curve," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1-18.
    100. Chen, Shi & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Wang, Weining, 2020. "The common and speci fic components of inflation expectation across European countries," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-023, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    101. Stolyarov, Dmitriy & Tesar, Linda L., 2021. "Interest rate trends in a global context," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    102. Makram El-Shagi & Lunan Jiang, 2017. "China Monetary Policy Transmission in China: Dual Shocks with Dual Bond Markets," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2017/2, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    103. Bluwstein, Kristina & Buckmann, Marcus & Joseph, Andreas & Kapadia, Sujit & Şimşek, Özgür, 2023. "Credit growth, the yield curve and financial crisis prediction: Evidence from a machine learning approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    104. Aryo Sasongko & Cicilia Anggadewi Harun & Geyana Ledy Fista & Kusfisiami Wima Mustika & Aninditha Kemala Dinianyadharani & Karanissa Larasati & Puput Kurniati & Dila Safitri, 2024. "Modeling And Analysis Of Yield Curve And Exchange Rate Formation In Pro-Market Monetary Operations," Working Papers WP/09/2024, Bank Indonesia.
    105. Asgharian, Hossein & Liu, Lu & Larsson, Marcus, 2018. "Cross-border asset holdings and comovements in sovereign bond markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 189-206.
    106. Luciano Vereda & Hélio Lopes & Jessica Kubrusly & Adrian Pizzinga & Taofik Mohammed Ibrahim, 2014. "Yield Curve Forecasts and the Predictive Power of Macro Variables in a VAR Framework," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, vol. 3, pages 377-393.
    107. Bojan Baskot & Silvije Orsag & Dejan Mikerevic, 2018. "Yield Curve In Bosnia And Herzegovina: Financial And Macroeconomic Framework," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15.
    108. Sekkel, Rodrigo, 2011. "International evidence on bond risk premia," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 174-181, January.
    109. Takeshi Kobayashi, 2021. "Common Factors in the Term Structure of Credit Spreads and Predicting the Macroeconomy in Japan," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-12, April.
    110. Bai, Jushan & Wang, Peng, 2012. "Identification and estimation of dynamic factor models," MPRA Paper 38434, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    111. Bernd Schwaab & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2015. "Global Credit Risk: World, Country and Industry Factors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-029/III/DSF87, Tinbergen Institute.
    112. Chen, Shi & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Wang, Weining, 2015. "Inflation co-movement across countries in multi-maturity term structure: An arbitrage-free approach," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-049, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    113. Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2009. "A Macro-Finance Approach to Exchange Rate Determination," Working Papers UWEC-2009-24-R, University of Washington, Department of Economics, revised May 2010.
    114. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2023. "Global financial uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 432-449, April.
    115. Yun, Jaeho, 2023. "International linkages of term structures: US and Korea Treasury bond yields," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    116. Hwang, Youngjin, 2025. "Information content in yield curve dynamics: Implications for monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    117. Bredin, Don & O'Sullivan, Conall & Spencer, Simon, 2021. "Forecasting WTI crude oil futures returns: Does the term structure help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    118. Chen, S. & Härdle, W.K. & Wang, W., 2016. "Inflation Co-movement across Countries in Multi-maturity Term Structure: An Arbitrage-Free Approach," Working Papers 16/06, Department of Economics, City St George's, University of London.
    119. Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2017. "Optimal Estimation of Multi-Country Gaussian Dynamic Term Structure Models Using Linear Regressions," Staff Working Papers 17-33, Bank of Canada.
    120. Don H. Kim & Marcelo Ochoa, 2021. "International Yield Spillovers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-001, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    121. Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields," Papers 2102.13393, arXiv.org.
    122. Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2024. "A Quantile Nelson-Siegel model," Papers 2401.09874, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
    123. Andrew Meldrum & Marek Raczko & Peter Spencer, 2018. "The information in the joint term structures of bond yields," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 772, Bank of England.
    124. Paul Haimerl & Stephan Smeekes & Ines Wilms, 2025. "Estimation of Latent Group Structures in Time-Varying Panel Data Models," Papers 2503.23165, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
    125. Geert Mesters & Bernd Schwaab & Siem Jan Koopman, 2014. "A Dynamic Yield Curve Model with Stochastic Volatility and Non-Gaussian Interactions: An Empirical Study of Non-standard Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-071/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    126. Lubomira Gertler, 2015. "Interactions of Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures with the Euro Area Yield Curve," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(2), pages 106-126, March.
    127. Sanjay Kumar Rout & Hrushikesh Mallick, 2022. "Sovereign Bond Market Shock Spillover Over Different Maturities: A Journey from Normal to Covid-19 Period," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(4), pages 697-734, December.
    128. Emrah Ahi & Vedat Akgiray & Emrah Sener, 2018. "Robust term structure estimation in developed and emerging markets," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 260(1), pages 23-49, January.
    129. Elyas Elyasiani & Iftekhar Hasan & Elena Kalotychou & Panos K. Pouliasis & Sotiris K. Staikouras, 2020. "Banks’ equity performance and the term structure of interest rates," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(2), pages 43-64, May.
    130. Jing Wang & Xiaoneng Zhu, 2013. "The reaction of international stock markets to Federal Reserve policy," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 27(1), pages 1-30, March.
    131. Coroneo, Laura & Nyholm, Ken & Vidova-Koleva, Rositsa, 2011. "How arbitrage-free is the Nelson-Siegel model?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 393-407, June.
    132. Makram El-Shagi & Lunan Jiang, 2023. "How the PBoC´s new MLF affects the yield curve," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2023/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    133. Stona, Filipe & Caldeira, João F., 2019. "Do U.S. factors impact the Brazilian yield curve? Evidence from a dynamic factor model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 76-89.
    134. Mirko Abbritti & Luis Gil-Alana & Yuliya Lovcha & Antonio Moreno, 2012. "Term Structure Persistence," Faculty Working Papers 26/12, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    135. Lin-Yee Hin & Nikolai Dokuchaev, 2016. "Short Rate Forecasting Based On The Inference From The Cir Model For Multiple Yield Curve Dynamics," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(01), pages 1-33, March.
    136. Philip Barrett & Christopher Johns, 2024. "Parameterizing Debt Maturity," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(6), pages 1321-1365, September.
    137. Kocsis, Zalan & Monostori, Zoltan, 2016. "The role of country-specific fundamentals in sovereign CDS spreads: Eastern European experiences," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 140-168.
    138. Polychronis Manousopoulos & Michalis Michalopoulos, 2015. "Term structure of interest rates estimation using rational Chebyshev functions," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 38(2), pages 119-146, October.
    139. Alexey Akimov & Simon Stevenson & Maxim Zagonov, 2015. "Public Real Estate and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Cross-Country Study," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 503-540, November.
    140. Dahlquist, Magnus & Hasseltoft, Henrik, 2013. "International Bond Risk Premia," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 17-32.
    141. Lange, Ronald H., 2015. "International long-term yields and monetary policy in a small open economy: The case of Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 292-310.
    142. Levrero, Enrico Sergio & Deleidi, Matteo, 2019. "The causal relationship between short- and long-term interest rates: an empirical assessment of the United States," MPRA Paper 93608, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    143. Eller, Markus & Huber, Florian & Schuberth, Helene, 2020. "How important are global factors for understanding the dynamics of international capital flows?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    144. Wali ULLAH & Khadija Malik BARI, 2018. "The Term Structure of Government Bond Yields in an Emerging Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 5-28, September.
    145. Maria Cristina Recchioni & Gabriele Tedeschi, 2016. "From bond yield to macroeconomic instability: The effect of negative interest rates," Working Papers 2016/06, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    146. ZHU Xiaoneng & Shahidur RAHMAN, 2009. "A Regime Switching Macro-finance Model of the Term Structure," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 0901, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
    147. Shin, Minchul & Zhong, Molin, 2017. "Does realized volatility help bond yield density prediction?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 373-389.
    148. Krishna Prasanna & Subramaniam Sowmya, 2017. "Yield curve in India and its interactions with the US bond market," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 353-375, April.
    149. Sina Molavipour & Alireza M. Javid & Cassie Ye & Bjorn Lofdahl & Mikhail Nechaev, 2025. "Robust Yield Curve Estimation for Mortgage Bonds Using Neural Networks," Papers 2510.21347, arXiv.org.

  19. Vivian Z. Yue & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2007. "Solving the Country Risk-Business Cycles Disconnect: Endogenous Output Collapse in a Model of Sovereign Default," 2007 Meeting Papers 46, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cuadra, Gabriel & Sapriza, Horacio, 2008. "Sovereign default, interest rates and political uncertainty in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 78-88, September.

  20. Vivian Z. Yue, 2005. "Sovereign Default and Debt Renegotiation," 2005 Meeting Papers 138, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cuadra Gabriel & Sapriza Horacio, 2006. "Sovereign Default, Terms of Trade and Interest Rates in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 2006-01, Banco de México.
    2. Lopez-Martin, Bernabe & Leal, Julio & Martinez Fritscher, Andre, 2019. "Commodity price risk management and fiscal policy in a sovereign default model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 304-323.
    3. Diego Perez & Pablo Ottonello, 2016. "The Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt," 2016 Meeting Papers 596, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Mauricio Drelichman & Hans-Joachim Voth, 2014. "Risk sharing with the monarch: contingent debt and excusable defaults in the age of Philip II, 1556–1598," ECON - Working Papers 145, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
    5. Xavier Mateos-Planas & Giulio Seccia, 2013. "Consumer Default with Complete Markets: Default-based Pricing and Finite Punishment," Working Papers 711, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    6. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi & Pietro Bomprezzi, 2024. "Is to Forgive to Forget? Sovereign Risk in the Aftermath of Private or Official Debt Restructurings," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 292-334, March.
    7. Schröder, Christoph, 2014. "Haircut size, haircut type and the probability of serial sovereign debt restructurings," ZEW Discussion Papers 14-126, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    8. Rohan Pitchford & Mark L. J. Wright, 2010. "Holdouts in Sovereign Debt Restructuring: A Theory of Negotiation in a Weak Contractual Environment," NBER Working Papers 16632, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Dias, Daniel A. & Richmond, Christine & Wright, Mark L.J., 2014. "The stock of external sovereign debt: Can we take the data at ‘face value’?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 1-17.
    10. Takino, Kazuhiro & Ishinagi, Yoshikazu, 2023. "Are banks risk-averse or risk-neutral investors?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    11. Prokop, Jacek, 2012. "Bargaining over debt rescheduling," MPRA Paper 44315, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Aguiar, M. & Chatterjee, S. & Cole, H. & Stangebye, Z., 2016. "Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1697-1755, Elsevier.
    13. Florent Kanga GBONGUE & Lambert N’Galadjo BAMBA, 2023. "Le modèle hybride de la structure par terme des primes souveraines de crédit et de liquidité dans la zone UEMOA," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 57, pages 101-145.
    14. Aloisio Araujo & Marcia Leon & Rafael Santos, 2017. "Bargained haircuts and debt policy implications," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(4), pages 635-656, December.
    15. Durdu, C. Bora & Nunes, Ricardo & Sapriza, Horacio, 2013. "News and sovereign default risk in small open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 1-17.
    16. Kursat Onder, Yasin, 2016. "Asset backed contracts and sovereign risk," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 237-252.
    17. Pancrazi, Roberto & Seoane, Hernan D & Vukotic, Marija, 2015. "Sovereign Risk, Private Credit, and Stabilization Policies," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1069, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    18. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Emircan Yurdagul & Horacio Sapriza & Juan Sanchez, 2018. "Sovereign Debt Restructuring: A Dynamic Discrete Choice Approach," 2018 Meeting Papers 1273, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Francisco Roch, 2015. "Fiscal rules and the Sovereign Default Premium," CAEPR Working Papers 2015-010, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    20. Welburn, Jonathan William & Hausken, Kjell, 2015. "A Game-Theoretic Model with Empirics of Economic Crises," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2015/7, University of Stavanger.
    21. Galo Nuño & Carlos Thomas, 2015. "Monetary policy and sovereign debt vulnerability," Working Papers 1517, Banco de España.
    22. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2013. "Sudden stops, time inconsistency, and the duration of sovereign debt," Working Paper 13-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    23. Habib, Michel & Collard, Fabrice & Rochet, Jean Charles, 2016. "The Reluctant Defaulter: A Tale of High Government Debt," CEPR Discussion Papers 11299, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    24. Mr. Tamon Asonuma, 2016. "Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings," IMF Working Papers 2016/066, International Monetary Fund.
    25. Sergio Rebelo & Neng Wang & Jinqiang Yang, 2022. "Rare Disasters, Financial Development, and Sovereign Debt," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(5), pages 2719-2764, October.
    26. Enderlein, Henrik & Trebesch, Christoph & von Daniels, Laura, 2012. "Sovereign debt disputes: A database on government coerciveness during debt crises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 250-266.
    27. Carré, Sylvain & Cohen, Daniel & Villemot, Sébastien, 2019. "The sources of sovereign risk: a calibration based on Lévy stochastic processes," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 31-43.
    28. Xavier Mateos-Planas & Jose-Victor Rios-Rull & Cristina Arellano, 2013. "Partial Default," 2013 Meeting Papers 765, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    29. Rebelo, Sérgio & Wang, Neng & Yang, Jinqiang, 2018. "Rare Disasters, Financial Development, and Sovereign Debt," CEPR Discussion Papers 13202, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    30. Yan Bai & Patrick J. Kehoe & Pierlauro Lopez & Fabrizio Perri, 2025. "A Neoclassical Model of the World Financial Cycle," Working Papers 25-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    31. Alok Johri & Shahed K. Khan & Cesar Sosa-Padilla, 2018. "Interest Rate Uncertainty and Sovereign Default Risk," Department of Economics Working Papers 2018-17, McMaster University.
    32. Michinao Okachi, 2019. "Sovereign Default Triggered by Inability to Repay Debt," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-10, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    33. Kenneth Rogoff, 2022. "Emerging Market Sovereign Debt in the Aftermath of the Pandemic," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(4), pages 147-166, Fall.
    34. Rud, Juan Pablo, 2017. "Bankruptcy Choice with Endogenous Financial Constraints," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8368, Inter-American Development Bank.
    35. Christopher M. Gunn & Alok Johri, 2013. "Fear of Sovereign Default, Banks, and Expectations-Driven Business Cycles," Carleton Economic Papers 13-03, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    36. Sandleris, Guido, 2016. "The costs of sovereign default: theory and empirical evidence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123224, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    37. Kuvshinov, Dmitry & Zimmermann, Kaspar, 2016. "Sovereigns going bust: estimating the cost of default," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 01/2016, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
    38. Kim, Jiseob & Lim, Taejun, 2021. "Cost-effective mortgage modification program to reduce mortgage defaults," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 220-241.
    39. Yan Bai & Jing Zhang, 2009. "Duration of Sovereign Debt Renegotiation," Working Papers 593, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan.
    40. Eggert Wolfgang & Stephan Maximilian & von Ungern-Sternberg Handirk, 2016. "Eine Analyse polit-ökonomischer Probleme bei Staatsumschuldungen," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 65(2), pages 157-176, August.
    41. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi, 2020. "Life after default. Private and Official Deals," Working Papers 431, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
    42. Hernan Seoane, 2016. "Time-varying volatility, default and the sovereign risk premium," 2016 Meeting Papers 1132, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    43. Michael Tomz & Mark L. J. Wright, 2013. "Empirical Research on Sovereign Debt and Default," CAMA Working Papers 2013-16, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    44. Natalia Kovrijnykh & Igor Livshits, 2013. "Screening as a Unified Theory of Delinquency, Renegotiation, and Bankruptcy," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 340, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    45. Carlos Arteta & Galina Hale, 2006. "Sovereign Debt Crises and Credit to the Private Sector," Working Paper Series 2006-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    46. Demian Pouzo & Ignacio Presno, 2012. "Sovereign default risk and uncertainty premia," Working Papers 12-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    47. Brutti, Filippo, 2008. "Legal enforcement, public supply of liquidity and sovereign risk," MPRA Paper 13949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    48. Sottile, Pedro, 2013. "On the political determinants of sovereign risk: Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model for Argentina," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 160-185.
    49. C. A. Goodhart & M. U. Peiris & D. P. Tsomocos, 2013. "Global Imbalances and Taxing Capital Flows," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 9(2), pages 13-44, June.
    50. Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2007. "Optimal external debt and default," CEPR Discussion Papers 6035, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    51. Kartik B. Athreya, 2005. "Equilibrium models of personal bankruptcy : a survey," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 91(Spr), pages 73-98.
    52. Leonardo Martinez & Juan Hatchondo, 2017. "Sovereign Cocos and the Reprofiling of Debt Payments," 2017 Meeting Papers 1435, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    53. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Juan M. Sanchez & Horacio Sapriza & Emircan Yurdagul, 2018. "Sovereign Debt Restructurings," Working Papers 2018-13, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    54. Harashima, Taiji, 2021. "The Root Cause of Sovereign Default," MPRA Paper 110010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    55. Csóka, Péter, 2018. "Az adósságelengedés modellezése kooperatív játékelmélettel [Modelling debt relief using cooperative game theory]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 768-779.
    56. Fernando A. Broner & Guido Lorenzoni & Sergio L. Schmukler, 2013. "Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 11, pages 67-100, January.
    57. Mattia Osvaldo Picarelli, 2016. "Debt Overhang and Sovereign Debt Restructuring," Working Papers 9/16, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
    58. Enrique G. Mendoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2012. "A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 127(2), pages 889-946.
    59. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai, 2013. "Linkages across sovereign debt markets," Staff Report 491, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    60. Mark Aguiar & Manuel Amador & Stelios Fourakis, 2020. "On the Welfare Losses from External Sovereign Borrowing," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(1), pages 163-194, March.
    61. Mäder, Nicolas, 2025. "Would an earlier inception of OMT by the ECB have prevented the 2012 Greek default?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    62. Tavares, Tiago, 2015. "The Role of International Reserves in Sovereign Debt Restructuring under Fiscal Adjustment," MPRA Paper 66962, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    63. Javier Andrés & Pablo Burriel & Wenyi Shen, 2020. "Debt sustainability and fiscal space in a heterogeneous Monetary Union: normal times vs the zero lower bound," Working Papers 2001, Banco de España.
    64. Christoph Trebesch & Mr. Michael G. Papaioannou & Mr. Udaibir S Das, 2012. "Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010: Literature Survey, Data, and Stylized Facts," IMF Working Papers 2012/203, International Monetary Fund.
    65. Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese, 2013. "Sovereign credit spreads," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4217-4225.
    66. Alessandria, George & Bai, Yan & Deng, Minjie, 2020. "Migration and sovereign default risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-22.
    67. Graciela Laura Kaminsky & Pablo Vega-Garcia, 2016. "Systemic and Idiosyncratic Sovereign Debt Crises," Working Papers 2016-27, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    68. Cuadra Gabriel & Sapriza Horacio, 2007. "Fiscal Policy and Default Risk in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 2007-03, Banco de México.
    69. Lucas, André & Schwaab, Bernd & Zhang, Xin, 2013. "Conditional euro area sovereign default risk," Working Paper Series 269, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    70. Fernando Broner & Alberto Martin & Jaume Ventura, 2010. "Sovereign Risk and Secondary Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(4), pages 1523-1555, September.
    71. Boz, Emine, 2011. "Sovereign default, private sector creditors, and the IFIs," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 70-82, January.
    72. Kobielarz, Michal, 2018. "The economics of monetary unions," Other publications TiSEM b0293536-68ec-4905-bffd-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    73. Michinao Okachi, 2026. "The Self-Fulfilling Default Model: Its Validity, Applicability, and Implications," TUPD Discussion Papers 83, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
    74. Eijffinger, Sylvester C.W. & Kobielarz, Michał L. & Uras, Burak R., 2018. "Sovereign default, exit and contagion in a monetary union," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-19.
    75. Sebastian Edwards, 2015. "Sovereign Default, Debt Restructuring, and Recovery Rates: Was the Argentinean “Haircut” Excessive?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 839-867, November.
    76. Asonuma, Tamon & Niepelt, Dirk & Ranciere, Romain, 2023. "Sovereign bond prices, haircuts and maturity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    77. Bechlioulis, Alexandros P. & Brissimis, Sophocles N., 2019. "Consumer debt non-payment and the borrowing constraint: Implications for consumer behavior," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 161-172.
    78. Galina Hale, 2007. "Sound Policies for Emerging Markets' Financial Stability," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(1), pages 101-114, March.
    79. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Emircan Yurdagul & Horacio Sapriza & Juan Sanchez, 2019. "News, sovereign debt maturity, and default risk," 2019 Meeting Papers 918, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    80. Phan, Toàn & Schwartzman, Felipe, 2024. "Climate defaults and financial adaptation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    81. Daniel, Betty C. & Nam, Jinwook, 2022. "The Greek debt crisis: Excusable vs. strategic default," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    82. Daniel Cohen & Sébastien Villemot, 2012. "The sovereign default puzzle: Modelling issues and lessons for Europe," PSE Working Papers halshs-00692038, HAL.
    83. Prein, Timm, 2019. "Persistent Unemployment, Sovereign Debt Crises, and the Impact of Haircuts," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203654, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, revised 2019.
    84. Hur, Sewon & Kondo, Illenin O., 2016. "A theory of rollover risk, sudden stops, and foreign reserves," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 44-63.
    85. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Mr. Leonardo Martinez & Yasin Kursat Onder, 2014. "Non-Defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk," IMF Working Papers 2014/198, International Monetary Fund.
    86. Sun, David & Chow, Da-Ching, 2014. "Forgive, or Award, Your Debtor? - A Barrier Option Approach," MPRA Paper 44826, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Jan 2014.
    87. Guangling Liu, 2014. "The Welfare Cost of Sovereign Default and Liquidity Injections," Working Papers 12/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    88. Sosa-Padilla, Cesar, 2012. "Sovereign Defaults and Banking Crises," MPRA Paper 41074, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    89. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2009. "Heterogeneous Borrowers In Quantitative Models Of Sovereign Default," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1129-1151, November.
    90. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2006. "Sovereign default risk with heterogenous borrowers," 2006 Meeting Papers 845, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    91. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2009. "On the cyclicality of the interest rate in emerging economy models: solution methods matter," Working Paper 09-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    92. Fink, Fabian & Scholl, Almuth, 2016. "A quantitative model of sovereign debt, bailouts and conditionality," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 176-190.
    93. Cruces, Juan J. & Trebesch, Christoph, 2013. "Sovereign defaults: The price of haircuts," Munich Reprints in Economics 20036, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    94. Joo, Hyungseok & Lee, Yoon-Jin & Yoon, Young-Ro, 2023. "Effects of information quality on signaling through sovereign debt issuance," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 279-304.
    95. Haotian Xiang, 2024. "Time Inconsistency and Financial Covenants," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(1), pages 355-371, January.
    96. Sánchez, Juan M. & Sapriza, Horacio & Yurdagul, Emircan, 2018. "Sovereign default and maturity choice," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 72-85.
    97. Mark Aguiar, 2011. "Comment on "On Graduation from Default, Inflation and Banking Crises: Elusive or Illusion?"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2010, volume 25, pages 37-46, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    98. Araujo, Aloisio & Leon, Marcia & Santos, Rafael, 2013. "Welfare analysis of currency regimes with defaultable debts," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(1), pages 143-153.
    99. Anubha Goel & Aparna Mehra, 2019. "Analyzing Contagion Effect in Markets During Financial Crisis Using Stochastic Autoregressive Canonical Vine Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(3), pages 921-950, March.
    100. Malik, Samreen, 2014. "Ex-ante implications of sovereign default," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 386-397.
    101. Filippo Brutti & Philip Sauré, 2016. "Repatriation Of Debt In The Euro Crisis," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(1), pages 145-174, February.
    102. Asonuma, Tamon, 2012. "Serial default and debt renegotiation," MPRA Paper 55139, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    103. Samir Jahjah & Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue, 2012. "Exchange rate policy and sovereign bond spreads in developing countries," International Finance Discussion Papers 1049, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    104. Aguiar, Mark & Amador, Manuel, 2014. "Sovereign Debt," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 647-687, Elsevier.
    105. Tamon Asonuma & Hyungseok Joo, 2021. "Public Capital and Fiscal Constraint in Sovereign Debt Crises," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0621, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    106. Yasin Kür¸sat Önder & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas & Jose Villegas, 2023. "Debt Moratorium: Theory and Evidence," Borradores de Economia 1253, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    107. Mark Aguiar & Manuel Amador, 2018. "Self-Fulfilling Debt Dilution: Maturity and Multiplicity in Debt Models," Staff Report 565, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    108. Filippo Brutti & Philip U. Sauré, 2014. "Repatriation of Debt in the Euro Crisis: Evidence for the Secondary Market Theory," Working Papers 2014-03, Swiss National Bank.
    109. Asonuma, Tamon, 2014. "Sovereign defaults, external debt and real exchange rate dynamics," MPRA Paper 55133, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    110. Philipp Engler & Christoph Große Steffen, 2014. "Sovereign Risk, Interbank Freezes, and Aggregate Fluctuations," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1436, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    111. Belinda Tracey, 2019. "The real effects of zombie lending in Europe," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 783, Bank of England.
    112. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Juan M. Sanchez & Horacio Sapriza & Emircan Yurdagul, 2022. "Improving Sovereign Debt Restructurings," Working Paper 22-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    113. Phan, Toan, 2017. "A model of sovereign debt with private information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1-17.
    114. Takefumi Yamazaki, 2018. "Financial friction sources in emerging economies: Structural estimation of sovereign default models," Discussion papers ron303, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.
    115. Xin Zhang & Bernd Schwaab & Andre Lucas, 2011. "Conditional Probabilities and Contagion Measures for Euro Area Sovereign Default Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-176/2/DSF29, Tinbergen Institute, revised 28 Jun 2012.
    116. Yan Bai & Seon Tae Kim & Gabriel P. Mihalache, 2015. "The Maturity and Payment Schedule of Sovereign Debt," NBER Working Papers 20896, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    117. Xavier Mateos-Planas & David Benjamin, 2012. "Formal vs. Informal Default in Consumer Credit," 2012 Meeting Papers 144, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    118. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Yasin K rsat nder & Francisco Roch, 2024. "Sovereign CoCos and debt forgiveness," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 24/1096, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    119. Harold L. Cole & Daniel Neuhann & Guillermo Ordonez, 2017. "A Walrasian Theory of Sovereign Debt Auctions with Asymmetric Information," PIER Working Paper Archive 17-015, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 01 May 2017.
    120. Ran Bi, 2008. "“Beneficial” Delays in Debt Restructuring Negotiations," IMF Working Papers 2008/038, International Monetary Fund.
    121. Grey Gordon & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2019. "A Quantitative Theory of Hard and Soft Sovereign Defaults," 2019 Meeting Papers 412, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    122. Michael Tomz & Mark L. J. Wright, 2007. "Do Countries Default in “Bad Times”?," Working Paper Series 2007-17, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    123. Kaas, Leo & Mellert, Jan & Scholl, Almuth, 2020. "Sovereign and private default risks over the business cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    124. Graciela L. Kaminsky & Pablo Vega-Garcia, 2014. "Systemic and Idiosyncratic Sovereign Debt Crises," NBER Working Papers 20042, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    125. Marina Azzimonti & Vincenzo Quadrini, 2019. "International spillovers and `ex-ante' efficient bailouts," 2019 Meeting Papers 318, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    126. Passadore, Juan & Xu, Yu, 2022. "Illiquidity in sovereign debt markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    127. Pablo D'Erasmo & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2018. "History Remembered: Optimal Sovereign Default on Domestic and External Debt," NBER Working Papers 25073, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    128. Sergi Lanau, 2011. "The contractual approach to sovereign debt restructuring," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 409, Bank of England.
    129. Schwaab, Bernd & Lucas, André & Zhang, Xin, 2013. "Conditional and joint credit risk," Working Paper Series 1621, European Central Bank.
    130. Mark Aguiar & Manuel Amador, 2013. "Sovereign Debt: A Review," NBER Working Papers 19388, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    131. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2007. "Quantitative models of sovereign default and the threat of financial exclusion," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 93(Sum), pages 251-286.
    132. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Gabriel Mihalache, 2018. "Inflation Targeting with Sovereign Default Risk," Department of Economics Working Papers 18-14, Stony Brook University, Department of Economics.
    133. Anzoategui, Diego, 2022. "Sovereign spreads and the effects of fiscal austerity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    134. Tamon Asonuma & Hyungseok Joo, 2023. "Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings: Public Capital and Fiscal Constraint Tightness," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0323, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    135. Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Grey Gordon, 2014. "Municipal Bonds, Default, and Migration in General Equilibrium," 2014 Meeting Papers 868, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    136. Agatha Nkem Amadi & Isaac Azubuike Ogbuji & Hope Agbonrofo, 2020. "The Maturity and Repayment Structure of Sovereign Debt: Implications for Development Agenda in Nigeria," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 6(1), pages 115-120, March.
    137. Gonçalves, Carlos Eduardo & Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2015. "Sovereign default risk and commitment for fiscal adjustment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 68-82.
    138. Jeanneret, Alexandre & Souissi, Slim, 2016. "Sovereign defaults by currency denomination," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 197-222.
    139. David Benjamin & Mark L J Wright, 2019. "Deconstructing delays in sovereign debt restructuring," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 71(2), pages 382-404.
    140. Marina Azzimonti & Vincenzo Quadrini, 2019. "International Spillovers and Bailouts," Department of Economics Working Papers 19-06, Stony Brook University, Department of Economics.
    141. Popov, Sergey V. & Wiczer, David G., 2009. "Equilibrium sovereign default with endogenous exchange rate depreciation," MPRA Paper 18854, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    142. Ignacio Presno & Demian Pouzo, 2012. "Sovereign Default Risk and Uncertainty Premia," 2012 Meeting Papers 608, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    143. Kirsch, Florian & Rühmkorf, Ronald, 2013. "Sovereign Borrowing, Financial Assistance and Debt Repudiation," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 01/2013, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
    144. Youngsoo Jang & Soyoung Lee, 2021. "A Generalized Endogenous Grid Method for Default Risk Models," Staff Working Papers 21-11, Bank of Canada.
    145. Flavia Corneli & Emanuele Tarantino, 2015. "Sovereign debt and reserves with liquidity and productivity crises," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1012, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    146. Park, JungJae, 2017. "Sovereign default and capital accumulation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 119-133.
    147. Lukas Schmid & Andres Schneider & Mikhail Chernov, 2016. "A macrofinance view of US Sovereign CDS premiums," 2016 Meeting Papers 432, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    148. Cuadra Gabriel & Sapriza Horacio, 2006. "Sovereign Default, Interest Rates and Political Uncertainty in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 2006-02, Banco de México.
    149. Sebastian Edwards, 2015. "Sovereign Default, Debt Restructuring, and Recovery Rates: Was the Argentinean “Haircut” Excessive?," NBER Working Papers 20964, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    150. Raquel Fernández & Alberto Martin, 2015. "The Long and the Short of It: Sovereign Debt Crises and Debt Maturity," Working Papers 818, Barcelona School of Economics.
    151. Mehrotra, Neil R. & Sergeyev, Dmitriy, 2021. "Debt sustainability in a low interest rate world," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(S), pages 1-18.
    152. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi, 2018. "Life After Default: Private vs. Official Sovereign Debt Restructurings," Development Working Papers 437, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano.
    153. Huixin Bi & Ms. Wenyi Shen & Ms. Susan S. Yang, 2014. "Fiscal Limits, External Debt, and Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 2014/049, International Monetary Fund.
    154. Trebesch, Christoph & Zabel, Michael, 2016. "The Output Costs of Hard and Soft Sovereign Default," CEPR Discussion Papers 11582, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    155. Mihalache, Gabriel, 2020. "Sovereign default resolution through maturity extension," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    156. Neele Balke, 2018. "The Employment Cost of Sovereign Default," 2018 Meeting Papers 1256, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    157. Ma, Chang & Valencia, Fabián, 2024. "Welfare gains from market insurance: The case of Mexican oil price risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    158. Gros, Daniel, 2012. "A simple model of multiple equilibria and sovereign default," CEPS Papers 7174, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    159. Ms. Junko Koeda, 2006. "A Debt Overhang Model for Low-Income Countries: Implications for Debt Relief," IMF Working Papers 2006/224, International Monetary Fund.
    160. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Fernando M. Martin & Juan M. Sanchez, 2020. "Domestic Policies and Sovereign Default," Working Papers 2020-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 06 Sep 2023.
    161. Jonathan William Welburn & Kjell Hausken, 2017. "Game Theoretic Modeling of Economic Systems and the European Debt Crisis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(2), pages 177-226, February.
    162. Jonathan W. Welburn, 2020. "Crises Beyond Belief: Findings on Contagion, the Role of Beliefs, and the Eurozone Debt Crisis from a Borrower–Lender Game," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 263-317, August.
    163. Luis Catão & Ana Fostel & Romain Ranciere, 2017. "Fiscal Discoveries and Yield Decouplings," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 65(4), pages 704-744, November.
    164. Daniel A. Dias & Christine Richmond & Grant Westfahl, 2024. "Duration of Capital Market Exclusion: An Empirical Investigation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-093, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    165. Bernardo Guimaraes & Lucas Tumkus, 2020. "On the costs of sovereign default in quantitative models," Discussion Papers 2021, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    166. Juliana Salomao, 2015. "Sovereign Debt Renegotiation and Credit Default Swaps," 2015 Meeting Papers 826, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    167. Ugo Panizza & Federico Sturzenegger & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2009. "The Economics and Law of Sovereign Debt and Default," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 651-698, September.
    168. Alonso-Ortiz, Jorge & Colla, Esteban & Da-Rocha, Jose-Maria, 2014. "Bounding the productivity default shock : Evidence from the The European Sovereign Debt Crisis," MPRA Paper 59617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    169. Mr. Michael Kumhof & Mr. Romain Ranciere & Pablo Winant, 2013. "Inequality, Leverage and Crises: The Case of Endogenous Default," IMF Working Papers 2013/249, International Monetary Fund.
    170. Kim, Yun Jung & Zhang, Jing, 2012. "Decentralized borrowing and centralized default," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 121-133.
    171. Giancarlo Corsetti, 2023. "Debt crises, fast and slow Giancarlo," RSCAS Working Papers 2023/15, European University Institute.
    172. Balazs Szentes & Natalia Kovrijnykh, 2005. "A Theory of Debt Overhang and Buyback," 2005 Meeting Papers 447, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    173. Daniel Gros, 2013. "Foreign debt versus domestic debt in the euro area," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 29(3), pages 502-517, AUTUMN.
    174. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Cesar Sosa Padilla, 2013. "Voluntary Sovereign Debt Exchanges," Department of Economics Working Papers 2013-13, McMaster University.
    175. Bulent Guler & Yasin K rsat nder & Temel Taskin, 2024. "Sovereign Debt Disclosure," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 24/1094, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    176. Tamon Asonuma & Marcos Chamon & Aitor Erce & Akira Sasahara, 2019. "Costs of sovereign defaults: Restructuring strategies, bank distress and the capital inflow-credit channel," Working Papers 37, European Stability Mechanism.
    177. Michael Kumhof & Romain Rancière & Pablo Winant, 2015. "Inequality, Leverage, and Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 1217-1245, March.
    178. Bai, Yan & Zhang, Jing, 2012. "Financial integration and international risk sharing," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 17-32.
    179. Pancrazi, Roberto & Seoane, Hernán D. & Vukotić, Marija, 2020. "Welfare gains of bailouts in a sovereign default model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    180. Daude, Christian, 2012. "Sovereign default risk and volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 47-50.
    181. Goodhart, C.A.E. & Peiris, M.U. & Tsomocos, D.P., 2018. "Debt, recovery rates and the Greek dilemma," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 265-278.
    182. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Sandra Lizarazo, 2017. "Sovereign Risk Contagion," Staff Report 559, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    183. Auclert, Adrien & Rognlie, Matthew, 2016. "Unique equilibrium in the Eaton–Gersovitz model of sovereign debt," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 134-146.
    184. Alessandro Dovis, 2013. "Efficient Sovereign Default," 2013 Meeting Papers 293, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    185. Kiyoung Jeon & Zeynep Yom, 2016. "Income Inequality and Sovereign Default," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series 29, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics.
    186. Zilibotti, Fabrizio & Storesletten, Kjetil & Müller, Andreas, 2015. "Sovereign Debt and Structural Reforms," CEPR Discussion Papers 10588, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    187. Salomao, Juliana, 2017. "Sovereign debt renegotiation and credit default swaps," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 50-63.
    188. Kikkawa, Ayumu Ken & Sasahara, Akira, 2020. "Gains from trade and the sovereign bond market," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    189. Chatterjee, Satyajit & Eyigungor, Burcu, 2019. "Endogenous political turnover and fluctuations in sovereign default risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 37-50.
    190. Nikolai Stähler, 2013. "Recent Developments In Quantitative Models Of Sovereign Default," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 605-633, September.
    191. Tsyrennikov, Viktor, 2013. "Capital flows under moral hazard," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 92-108.
    192. Bi, Huixin & Shen, Wenyi & Yang, Shu-Chun S., 2016. "Fiscal limits in developing countries: A DSGE Approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 119-130.
    193. Zheng, Huanhuan, 2023. "Sovereign debt responses to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    194. Sergeyev, Dmitriy & Mehrotra, Neil, 2020. "Debt Sustainability in a Low Interest Rate World," CEPR Discussion Papers 15282, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    195. Thomas J. Sargent & John Stachurski, 2024. "Dynamic Programming: Finite States," Papers 2401.10473, arXiv.org.
    196. de Ferra, Sergio & Mallucci, Enrico, 2022. "Sovereign risk matters: Endogenous default risk and the time-varying volatility of interest rate spreads," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    197. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2006. "Computing business cycles in emerging economy models," Working Paper 06-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    198. Hatchondo, Juan Carlos & Martinez, Leonardo, 2009. "Long-duration bonds and sovereign defaults," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 117-125, September.
    199. Tavares, Tiago, 2015. "Labor Market Distortions under Sovereign Default Crises," MPRA Paper 66964, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    200. Kim, Jiseob, 2019. "How foreclosure delays impact mortgage defaults and mortgage modifications," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 18-37.
    201. Chang Liu & Biqian Zhang & Xuefei Wang & Min Guo, 2022. "Account-level analytic hierarchical mixing modeling for credit risk of Chinese Government financing vehicle portfolios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2771-2798, June.
    202. Satyajit Chatterjee & Burcu Eyigungor, 2015. "A seniority arrangement for sovereign debt," Working Papers 15-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    203. Betty C. Daniel & Christos Shiamptanis, 2010. "Sovereign Default Risk in a Monetary Union," Working Papers 2010-3, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    204. Fridrik Mar Baldursson & Richard Portes & Eirikur Elis Thorlaksson, 2023. "Capital controls as a bargaining device: The case of Iceland," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1303-1328, September.
    205. Arellano, Cristina, 2008. "Default risk and income fluctuations in emerging economies," MPRA Paper 7867, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    206. Fabrice Collard & Michel Habib & Jean-Charles Rochet, 2015. "Sovereign Debt Sustainability In Advanced Economies," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 381-420, June.
    207. Gabriel Desgranges & Ms. Celine Rochon, 2014. "Optimal Maturity Structure of Sovereign Debt in Situation of Near Default," IMF Working Papers 2014/168, International Monetary Fund.
    208. Drelichman, Mauricio & Voth, Hans-Joachim, 2011. "Serial defaults, serial profits: Returns to sovereign lending in Habsburg Spain, 1566-1600," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 1-19, January.
    209. Presbitero, Andrea & Mihalyi, David, 2021. "Borrowing Costs after Sovereign Debt Relief," CEPR Discussion Papers 15832, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    210. Brutti, Filippo, 2011. "Sovereign defaults and liquidity crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 65-72, May.
    211. Jeanneret, Alexandre, 2018. "Sovereign credit spreads under good/bad governance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 230-246.
    212. Juan Passadore, 2015. "Illiquidity in Sovereign Debt Markets," 2015 Meeting Papers 191, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    213. Grey Gordon & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2013. "Dynamics of investment, debt, and default," Working Papers 13-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    214. Mark Wright & Christine Richmond & Daniel Dias, 2012. "On The Stock of External Sovereign Debt," 2012 Meeting Papers 490, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    215. Pablo D'Erasmo & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2016. "Distributional Incentives in an Equilibrium Model of Domestic Sovereign Default," Working Papers 16-23, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    216. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2012. "Debt dilution and sovereign default risk," Working Paper 10-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    217. Roettger, Joost, 2019. "Discretionary monetary and fiscal policy with endogenous sovereign risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 44-66.
    218. Enrique G. Mandoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2008. "A solution to the default risk-business cycle disconnect," International Finance Discussion Papers 924, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    219. M. Udara Peiris & Anna Sokolova & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2025. "Capital flow freezes," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(3), pages 853-887, May.
    220. Pascal François & Georges Hübner & Jean-Roch Sibille, 2011. "A Structural Balance Sheet Model of Sovereign Credit Risk," Cahiers de recherche 1141, CIRPEE.
    221. Enrique G. Mendoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2008. "A Solution to the Disconnect between Country Risk and Business Cycle Theories," NBER Working Papers 13861, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    222. Ludwig, Maximilian, 2014. "How well do we understand sovereign debt crisis? Evidence from Latin America," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100531, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    223. Andre Faria, 2006. "Growth-Indexed Bonds in Emerging Markets: a Quantitative Approach," 2006 Meeting Papers 847, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    224. Diego J. Perez, 2015. "Sovereign Debt, Domestic Banks and the Provision of Public Liquidity," Discussion Papers 15-016, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    225. Jessica Roldan-Pena, 2011. "Default risk and economic activity: A small open economy model with sovereign debt and default," 2011 Meeting Papers 735, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    226. Demian Pouzo & Ignacio Presno, 2016. "Sovereign Default Risk and Uncertainty Premia," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(3), pages 230-266, July.
    227. Flavia Corneli, 2024. "Sovereign debt maturity structure and its costs," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(1), pages 262-297, February.
    228. Andrade, Sandro C. & Ekponon, Adelphe & Jeanneret, Alexandre, 2023. "Sovereign risk premia and global macroeconomic conditions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 172-197.
    229. Javier García-Cicco & Markus Kirchner & Santiago Justel, 2015. "Domestic Financial Frictions and the Transmission of Foreign Shocks in Chile," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Claudio Raddatz & Diego Saravia & Jaume Ventura (ed.),Global Liquidity, Spillovers to Emerging Markets and Policy Responses, edition 1, volume 20, chapter 6, pages 159-222, Central Bank of Chile.
    230. Luo, Jie & Wang, Cheng, 2018. "Optimal sovereign lending and default," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 190-213.
    231. Singh, Anurag, 2024. "Clustered sovereign defaults," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    232. Ibrahima Diarra & Michel Guillard & Hubert Kempf, 2025. "Sovereign Defaults and Debt Sustainability: A Joint Analysis," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(5), pages 1365-1412, November.
    233. Diego Anzoategui, 2019. "Sovereign Debt and the Effects of Fiscal Austerity," 2019 Meeting Papers 441, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    234. Sunder-Plassmann, Laura, 2018. "Writing off sovereign debt: Default and recovery rates over the cycle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 221-241.
    235. Gregory Thwaites, 2006. "Optimal emerging market fiscal policy when trend output growth is unobserved," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 308, Bank of England.

  21. Martin Uribe & Vivian Z. Yue, 2003. "Country Spreads and Emerging Countries: Who Drives Whom?," Working Paper Series 2004-32, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. Cuadra Gabriel & Sapriza Horacio, 2006. "Sovereign Default, Terms of Trade and Interest Rates in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 2006-01, Banco de México.
    2. Chatterjee Pratiti, 2019. "Asymmetric impact of uncertainty in recessions: are emerging countries more vulnerable?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(2), pages 1-27, April.
    3. Yusuf Soner Başkaya & Timur Hülagü & Hande Küçük, 2013. "Oil Price Uncertainty in a Small Open Economy," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 61(1), pages 168-198, April.
    4. Roldán-Peña Jessica, 2012. "Default Risk and Economic Activity: A Small Open Economy Model with Sovereign Debt and Default," Working Papers 2012-16, Banco de México.
    5. Paula Andrea Beltrán-Saavedra, 2015. "Precio del petróleo y el ajuste de las tasas de interés en las economías emergentes," Borradores de Economia 901, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo Bornacki Mattos, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks on an emerging market economy," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 803-824, April.
    7. Byrne, Joseph P. & Fiess, Norbert & MacDonald, Ronald, 2011. "The global dimension to fiscal sustainability," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 137-150, June.
    8. Ricardo M. Reyes-Heroles & Gabriel Tenorio, 2017. "Interest Rate Volatility and Sudden Stops : An Empirical Investigation," International Finance Discussion Papers 1209, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Dieppe, Alistair & Mourinho Félix, Ricardo & Marchiori, Luca & Grech, Owen & Albani, Maria & Lalouette, Laure & Kulikov, Dmitry & Papadopoulou, Niki & Sideris, Dimitris & Irac, Delphine & Gordo Mora, , 2015. "Public debt, population ageing and medium-term growth," Occasional Paper Series 165, European Central Bank.
    10. Arthur Mendes & Steven Pennings, 2025. "One Rule Fits All? Heterogeneous Fiscal Rules for Commodity Exporters When Price Shocks Can Be Persistent: Theory and Evidence," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
    11. Thomas McGregor, 2019. "Pricing Sovereign Debt in Resource-Rich Economies," IMF Working Papers 2019/240, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Kuralbayeva, Karlygash, 2011. "Inflation persistence and exchange rate regime: Implications for dynamic adjustment to shocks in a small open economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 193-205, June.
    13. Boileau, Martin & Normandin, Michel, 2008. "Dynamics of the current account and interest differentials," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 35-52, January.
    14. Bertrand Gruss & Silvia Sgherri, 2009. "The Volatility Costs of Procyclical Lending Standards: An Assessment Using a DSGE Model," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/07, European University Institute.
    15. Santiago Camara, 2023. "International Spillovers of ECB Interest Rates: Monetary Policy & Information Effects," Papers 2306.04562, arXiv.org.
    16. Karatas, B., 2014. "Financial crisis and monetary policy," Other publications TiSEM 41e463f0-e122-4379-8db5-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    17. Jorge Lorca, 2021. "Capital Flows and Emerging Markets Fluctuations," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 898, Central Bank of Chile.
    18. Ms. Izabela Karpowicz & Mr. Fabian Lipinsky & Jongho Park, 2016. "A Closer Look at Sectoral Financial Linkages in Brazil I: Corporations’ Financial Statements," IMF Working Papers 2016/045, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Chen, Sheng-Syan & Chen, Hsien-Yi & Yang, Shu-Ling & Chang, Chong-Chuo, 2016. "Output spillovers from changes in sovereign credit ratings," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 48-63.
    20. Barreto, Leonardo & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & Nuguer, Victoria, 2023. "Domestic barriers to entry and external vulnerability in emerging economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    21. Javier Bianchi & Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2012. "International Reserves and Rollover Risk," NBER Working Papers 18628, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Azad, Nahiyan Faisal & Serletis, Apostolos, 2022. "Spillovers of U.S. monetary policy uncertainty on inflation targeting emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PA).
    23. Mauro Sayar Ferreira & André Cordeiro Valério, 2020. "Global shocks and emerging economies: disentangling the commodity roller coaster," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 623, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    24. Richard E. Ericson & Xuan Liu, 2012. "Welfare effect of interest rate shocks and policy implications," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(22), pages 1899-1917, November.
    25. Viktoria Hnatkovska & Amartya Lahiri & Carlos A. Vegh, 2008. "Interest Rates and the Exchange Rate: A Non-Monotonic Tale," NBER Working Papers 13925, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Letendre, Marc-André & Obaid, Sabreena, 2020. "Emerging economy business cycles: Interest rate shocks vs trend shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 526-545.
    27. Pancrazi, Roberto & Prosperi, Lorenzo, 2020. "Transparency, political conflict, and debt," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    28. Maya Eden, 2017. "Misallocation and the Distribution of Global Volatility," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(2), pages 592-622, February.
    29. Varela, Liliana, 2017. "Sector heterogeneity and credit market imperfections in emerging markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102061, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    30. Uribe, Martín & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2009. "Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 7264, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    31. Dovchinsuren, Khaliun, 2023. "How does excessive volatility of consumption vary across countries?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    32. Miss Zhanwei Z. Yue & Mr. Samir Jahjah, 2004. "Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Bond Spreads in Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 2004/210, International Monetary Fund.
    33. Christopher M. Gunn & Alok Johri, 2015. "Financial News, Banks and Business Cycles," Department of Economics Working Papers 2015-12, McMaster University.
    34. Ali M. Kutan & Mehmet E. Yaya, 2016. "Armed conflict and financial and economic risk: evidence from Colombia," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(2), pages 159-187, August.
    35. Gorea, Denis & Radev, Deyan, 2014. "The euro area sovereign debt crisis: Can contagion spread from the periphery to the core?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 78-100.
    36. Kang, Hyunju, 2013. "Behind the scenes of abandoning a fixed exchange rate regime," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3145-3156.
    37. Brei, Michael & Buzaushina, Almira, 2015. "International financial shocks in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 51-74.
    38. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Luigi Bocola, 2017. "Sovereign risk and firm heterogeneity," Staff Report 547, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    39. Thomas McGregor, 2017. "Pricing sovereign debt in resource rich economies," OxCarre Working Papers 194, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    40. Sebastian Edwards, 2012. "The Federal Reserve, Emerging Markets, and Capital Controls: A High Frequency Empirical Investigation," NBER Working Papers 18557, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    41. Jursa, Lukáš & Janků, Jan, 2025. "From the core to the European periphery: Spillover effects of financial cycles," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    42. Felipe Benguria & Felipe Saffie & Hidehiko Matsumoto, 2019. "Productivity and Trade Dynamics in Sudden Stops," 2019 Meeting Papers 1378, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    43. Germaschewski, Yin & Horvath, Jaroslav & Rubini, Loris, 2024. "How important are trend shocks? The role of the debt elasticity of interest rate," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    44. Andrés Fernández & Daniel Guzmán & Ruy E. Lama & Carlos A. Vegh, 2021. "Procyclical fiscal policy and asset market incompleteness," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 925, Central Bank of Chile.
    45. Kan Chen & Mario Crucini, 2016. "Trends & Cycles in Small Open Economies:Making the Case for a General Equilibrium Approach," Working Papers 16/12, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    46. Kitano, Shigeto, 2011. "Capital controls and welfare," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 700-710.
    47. Andrea Fracasso, 2006. "The role of foreign and domestic factors in the evolution of the Brazilian EMBI spread and debt dynamics," IHEID Working Papers 22-2007, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, revised Jul 2007.
    48. Chia-Hao Lee & Shuh-Chyi Doong & Pei-I Chou, 2011. "Dynamic correlation between stock prices and exchange rates," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(11), pages 789-800.
    49. Michael B. Devereux & Changhua Yu, 2018. "Monetary Policy Responses to External Spillovers in Emerging Market Economies," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Enrique G. Mendoza & Ernesto Pastén & Diego Saravia (ed.),Monetary Policy and Global Spillovers: Mechanisms, Effects and Policy Measures, edition 1, volume 25, chapter 6, pages 183-223, Central Bank of Chile.
    50. Durdu, C. Bora & Nunes, Ricardo & Sapriza, Horacio, 2013. "News and sovereign default risk in small open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 1-17.
    51. Takeuchi, Fumihide, 2011. "The role of production fragmentation in international business cycle synchronization in East Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 441-459.
    52. Katarzyna Kubiszewska, 2013. "Economic Crisis In Croatia," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 4(2), pages 57-72, June.
    53. Dybczak, Kamil & Melecky, Martin, 2014. "EU fiscal stance vulnerability: Are the old members the gold members?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 87-101.
    54. Marcela Meirelles Aurelio, 2006. "Targeting inflation and the fiscal balance : what is the optimal policy mix?," Research Working Paper RWP 06-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    55. Guido Sandleris & Filippo Taddei, 2007. "Indexed Sovereign Debt: a Survey and a Framework of Analysis," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 66, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    56. Anusha Chari & Ryan Leary & Toan Phan, 2025. "The Transmission of Quasi-Sovereign Default Risk: Evidence from Puerto Rico," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(2), pages 556-595, June.
    57. Matschke, Johannes & Lovchikova, Marina, 2022. "Capital Controls and the Global Financial Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264039, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    58. Bernd Hayo & Ali M. Kutan & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2012. "Federal Reserve Communications and Emerging Equity Markets," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 78(3), pages 1041-1056, January.
    59. Manuel Marfán L. . & Juan Pablo Medina G. & Claudio Soto G., 2008. "Overoptimism, Boom-Bust Cycles and Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies," Journal Econom a Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 11(3), pages 81-104, December.
    60. Ivo Krznar & Davor Kunovac, 2010. "Impact of External Shocks on Domestic Inflation and GDP," Working Papers 26, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    61. Philippopoulos, Apostolis & Varthalitis, Petros & Vassilatos, Vanghelis, 2017. "Fiscal consolidation and its cross-country effects," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 55-106.
    62. Chen, Sihao, 2025. "International production networks and the propagation of financial shocks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    63. Marco E. Terrones & Enrique G. Mendoza & Ceyhun Bora Durdu, 2008. "Precautionary Demand for Foreign Assets in Sudden Stop Economies: An Assessment of the New Mercantilism," 2008 Meeting Papers 56, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    64. Ceyhun Bora Durdu, 2007. "Quantitative Implications of Indexed Bonds in Small Open Economies," 2007 Meeting Papers 482, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    65. Wataru Miyamoto & Thuy Lan Nguyen, 2016. "Business Cycles in Small, Open Economies: Evidence from Panel Data Between 1900 and 2013," Staff Working Papers 16-48, Bank of Canada.
    66. Pancrazi, Roberto & Seoane, Hernan D & Vukotic, Marija, 2015. "Sovereign Risk, Private Credit, and Stabilization Policies," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1069, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    67. Stefański, Maciej, 2022. "Macroeconomic effects and transmission channels of quantitative easing," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    68. Serdar Kabaca, 2011. "Labor Share Fluctuations in Emerging Markets: The Role of the Cost of Borrowing," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1122, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    69. Liu, Zheng & Spiegel, Mark M. & Zhang, Jingyi, 2023. "Capital flows and income inequality," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    70. Foley-Fisher, Nathan & Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2009. "US real interest rates and default risk in emerging economies," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 28683, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    71. Arvai, Kai & Coimbra, Nuno, 2025. "Privilege Lost? The Rise and Fall of a Dominant Global Currency," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy 325376, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    72. Drechsel, Thomas & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2017. "Commodity booms and busts in emerging economies," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86152, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    73. Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Luvsannyam, Davaajargal & Enkh-Amgalan, Elbegjargal, 2023. "Effects of global liquidity and commodity market shocks in a commodity-exporting developing economy," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    74. Rodriguez, Diego & Gonzalez, Andres & Fernandez, Andres, 2015. "Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster: Common Factors in Business Cycles of Emerging Economies," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 7382, Inter-American Development Bank.
    75. Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew & Hördahl, Peter, 2023. "Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    76. Marc-Andre Letendre & Sabreena Obaid, 2019. "Emerging Economy Business Cycles: Interest Rate Shocks vs Trend Shocks," Department of Economics Working Papers 2019-07, McMaster University.
    77. Peter Claeys, 2017. "Uncertainty spillover and policy reactions," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 35(82), pages 64-77, April.
    78. Ippei Fujiwara & Yuki Teranishi, 2008. "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics under Staggered Loan Contracts," IMES Discussion Paper Series 08-E-11, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    79. Santiago Camara, 2021. "Spillovers of US Interest Rates: Monetary Policy & Information Effects," Papers 2111.08631, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    80. Yakhin, Yossi, 2024. "Foreign Exchange Interventions in the New-Keynesian Model: Policy, Transmission, and Welfare," MPRA Paper 122948, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    81. Peter Sinclair, 2011. "Deficits, Debts and Defaults - Past, Present and Future," Discussion Papers 11-20, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    82. di Giovanni, Julian & Shambaugh, Jay C., 2008. "The impact of foreign interest rates on the economy: The role of the exchange rate regime," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 341-361, March.
    83. Özatay, Fatih & Özmen, Erdal & Sahinbeyoglu, Gülbin, 2009. "Emerging market sovereign spreads, global financial conditions and U.S. macroeconomic news," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 526-531, March.
    84. Tiryaki, S. Tolga, 2014. "Sectoral asymmetries in a small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 465-475.
    85. Poghosyan, Karen & Boldea, Otilia, 2013. "Structural versus matching estimation: Transmission mechanisms in Armenia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 136-148.
    86. Alok Johri & Shahed K. Khan & Cesar Sosa-Padilla, 2018. "Interest Rate Uncertainty and Sovereign Default Risk," Department of Economics Working Papers 2018-17, McMaster University.
    87. Juan David Prada Sarmiento, 2008. "Financial Intermediation and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Borradores de Economia 5010, Banco de la Republica.
    88. Epstein, Brendan & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan, 2017. "Banking and Financial Participation Reforms, Labor Markets, and Financial Shocks," MPRA Paper 88697, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    89. Cosmin Ilut & Peter Benczur, 2010. "Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending," 2010 Meeting Papers 91, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    90. Calderón, César & Fuentes, J. Rodrigo, 2014. "Have business cycles changed over the last two decades? An empirical investigation," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 98-123.
    91. Özge Akinci, 2021. "Financial Frictions and Macro‐Economic Fluctuations in Emerging Economies," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(6), pages 1267-1312, September.
    92. S. Tolga Tiryaki, 2010. "Interest Rates and Real Business Cycles in Emerging Markets (Yukselen Piyasalarda Faiz Oranlari ve Reel Is Cevrimleri)," Working Papers 1008, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    93. Issler, Joao Victor & Notini, Hilton & Rodrigues, Claudia & Soares, Ana Flávia, 2013. "Constructing coincident indices of economic activity for the Latin American economy," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
    94. Epstein, Brendan & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & González Gómez, Andrés, 2019. "Global financial risk, aggregate fluctuations, and unemployment dynamics," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 351-418.
    95. Vines, David & Kuralbayeva, Karlygash, 2006. "Terms of Trade Shocks in an Intertemporal Model: Should We Worry about the Dutch Disease or Excessive Borrowing?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5857, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    96. Akıncı, Özge & Chahrour, Ryan, 2018. "Good news is bad news: Leverage cycles and sudden stops," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 362-375.
    97. Christopher M. Gunn & Alok Johri, 2013. "Fear of Sovereign Default, Banks, and Expectations-Driven Business Cycles," Carleton Economic Papers 13-03, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    98. Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    99. Paula Margaretic & Sebastián Becerra, 2017. "Dispersed Information and Sovereign Risk Premia," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 808, Central Bank of Chile.
    100. Alex Ilek & Irit Rozenshtrom, 2017. "The Term Premium in a Small Open Economy: A Micro-Founded Approach," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2017.06, Bank of Israel.
    101. Eggert Wolfgang & Stephan Maximilian & von Ungern-Sternberg Handirk, 2016. "Eine Analyse polit-ökonomischer Probleme bei Staatsumschuldungen," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 65(2), pages 157-176, August.
    102. Ms. Wenyi Shen & Ms. Susan S. Yang, 2012. "The Effects of Government Spending Under Limited Capital Mobility," IMF Working Papers 2012/129, International Monetary Fund.
    103. Hernan Seoane, 2016. "Time-varying volatility, default and the sovereign risk premium," 2016 Meeting Papers 1132, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    104. Hidehiko Matsumoto, 2019. "Foreign Reserve Accumulation, Foreign Direct Investment, and Economic Growth," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-04, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    105. Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, 2010. "Macroeconomics and Volatility: Data, Models, and Estimation," CEPR Discussion Papers 8169, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    106. Kim, Suk-Joong & Salem, Leith & Wu, Eliza, 2015. "The role of macroeconomic news in sovereign CDS markets: Domestic and spillover news effects from the U.S., the Eurozone and China," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 208-224.
    107. Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie & Uribe, Martín, 2021. "Reviving the Salter-Swan small open economy model," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    108. Javier Bianchi & César Sosa-Padilla, 2020. "Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, and Sovereign Risk," NBER Working Papers 27323, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    109. Phylaktis, Kate & Yamani, Ehab, 2025. "Foreign currency forecasting in emerging markets: What can stock and bond markets tell us?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    110. S. Meral Cakici, 2011. "Default Risk Premium and Aggregate Fluctuations in a Small Open Economy," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1131, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    111. Obstfeld, Maurice, 2004. "Globalization, Macroeconomic Performance, and the Exchange Rates of Emerging Economies: Keynote Speech," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 22(S1), pages 29-55, December.
    112. Andrés Fernandez, 2010. "“Tropical” Real Business Cycles? A Bayesian Exploration," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 28(61), pages 60-105, August.
    113. Christopher Balding, 2011. "CDS Pricing and Elections in Emerging Markets," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 10(2), pages 121-173, August.
    114. George Alessandria & Sangeeta Pratap & Vivian Z. Yue, 2013. "Export dynamics in large devaluations," International Finance Discussion Papers 1087, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    115. Demian Pouzo & Ignacio Presno, 2012. "Sovereign default risk and uncertainty premia," Working Papers 12-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    116. Ms. Garima Vasishtha & Mr. Taimur Baig & Mr. Manmohan S. Kumar & Ms. Edda Zoli, 2006. "Fiscal and Monetary Nexus in Emerging Market Economies: How Does Debt Matter?," IMF Working Papers 2006/184, International Monetary Fund.
    117. Jacek Rothert, 2012. "Productivity or Demand? Identifying Sources of Fluctuations in Small Open Economies," 2012 Meeting Papers 187, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    118. Mr. Ivan Tchakarov & Mr. Selim A Elekdag, 2006. "The Role of Interest Rates in Business Cycle Fluctuations in Emerging Market Countries: The Case of Thailand," IMF Working Papers 2006/110, International Monetary Fund.
    119. Mr. Andrew Berg & Mr. Rafael A Portillo & Mr. Edward F Buffie & Ms. Catherine A Pattillo & Luis-Felipe Zanna, 2012. "Public Investment, Growth, and Debt Sustainability: Putting together the Pieces," IMF Working Papers 2012/144, International Monetary Fund.
    120. Eijffinger, Sylvester C.W. & Karataş, Bilge, 2023. "Three sisters: The interlinkage between sovereign debt, currency, and banking crises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    121. Gianluca Benigno & Andrew Foerster & Christopher Otrok & Alessandro Rebucci, 2020. "Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crises: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Approach," NBER Working Papers 26935, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    122. Kólver Hernández, 2017. "The Transmission of US Monetary Policy Normalization to Emerging Markets," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Ángel Estrada García & Alberto Ortiz Bolaños (ed.), International Spillovers of Monetary Policy, edition 1, chapter 2, pages 15-30, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    123. Silvio Contessi & Pierangelo DePace & Johanna L. Francis, 2008. "The cyclical properties of disaggregated capital flows," Working Papers 2008-041, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    124. Nadav Ben-Zeev & Evi Pappa & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2016. "Emerging Economies Business Cycles: The Role Of The Terms Of Trade Revisited," Working Papers 1610, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
    125. Markus Kirchner & Malte Rieth, 2020. "Sovereign Default Risk, Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Monetary-Fiscal Stabilization," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 896, Central Bank of Chile.
    126. Sosa-Padilla, César & Sturzenegger, Federico, 2023. "Does it matter how central banks accumulate reserves? Evidence from sovereign spreads," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    127. Mathias Hoffmann & Egor Maslov & Bent E. Sørensen, 2021. "Small firms and domestic bank dependence in Europe’s Great Recession," ECON - Working Papers 397, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
    128. Byrne, Joseph P. & Fiess, Norbert, 2011. "International Capital Flows to Emerging and Developing Countries: National and Global Determinants," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-03, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    129. Kan Chen & Mario Crucini, 2016. "Trends and Cycles in Small Open Economies: Making The Case For A General Equilibrium Approach," NBER Working Papers 22460, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    130. Martin Kuncl & Dmitry Matveev, 2025. "Neutral rate of interest in a small open economy: The case of Canada," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 58(3), pages 990-1016, August.
    131. Andrey Polbin, 2014. "Econometric estimation of a structural macroeconomic model for the Russian economy," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 3-29.
    132. Uribe, Martín & Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, 2015. "How Important Are Terms Of Trade Shocks?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10655, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    133. Leonardo Martinez & Juan Hatchondo, 2017. "Sovereign Cocos and the Reprofiling of Debt Payments," 2017 Meeting Papers 1435, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    134. Mr. Sanjeev Gupta & Mr. Amine Mati & Mr. Emanuele Baldacci, 2008. "Is it (Still) Mostly Fiscal? Determinants of Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2008/259, International Monetary Fund.
    135. Meneses, Oscar & Menna, Lorenzo & Tobal, Martin, 2025. "Argentina: The honor student—By merit and by mistake. A natural experiment on “information effects”," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    136. Frankel, Jeffrey, 2010. "Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 25, pages 1439-1520, Elsevier.
    137. Michaud, Amanda & Rothert, Jacek, 2018. "Redistributive fiscal policies and business cycles in emerging economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 123-133.
    138. Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Kirill Shakhnov & Laure Simon, 2025. "Short-Run and Long-Run News: Evidence from Giant Commodity Discoveries," Staff Working Papers 25-24, Bank of Canada.
    139. Pierre De Leo & Vito Cormun, 2017. "Revisiting the Exchange Rate Response to Monetary Policy Innovations: The Role of Spillovers of U.S. News Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 576, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    140. Bora Durdu & Alex Martin & Ilknur Zer, 2019. "The Role of U.S. Monetary Policy in Global Banking Crises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-039, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    141. Salifou Issoufou & Mr. Edward F Buffie & Mouhamadou Bamba Diop & Kalidou Thiaw, 2014. "Efficient Energy Investment and Fiscal Adjustment in Senegal," IMF Working Papers 2014/044, International Monetary Fund.
    142. Byrne, Joseph P. & Fiess, Norbert, 2016. "International capital flows to emerging markets: National and global determinants," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 82-100.
    143. Hamed Ahmad Almahadin, 2022. "Spillover Effects of US Monetary Policy on Banking Development: Evidence from the Asian Region," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 23(1), pages 7-19, February.
    144. Romain Ranciere & Ana Fostel & Luis Catao, 2011. "Sudden Stops and Sovereign Defaults," 2011 Meeting Papers 1359, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    145. Roberto Duncan, 2015. "Simple models to understand and teach business cycle macroeconomics for emerging market and developing economies," Globalization Institute Working Papers 252, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    146. Fernando A. Broner & Guido Lorenzoni & Sergio L. Schmukler, 2013. "Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 11, pages 67-100, January.
    147. Enrique G. Mendoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2012. "A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 127(2), pages 889-946.
    148. Jorge Fornero & Markus Kirchner, 2014. "Learning About Commodity Cycles and Saving- Investment Dynamics in a Commodity-Exporting Economy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 727, Central Bank of Chile.
    149. Ashima Goyal & Akhilesh K. Verma & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2022. "External shocks, cross-border flows and macroeconomic risks in emerging market economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2111-2148, May.
    150. Veronica Guerrieri & Péter Kondor, 2009. "Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility," NBER Working Papers 14898, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    151. Ana Aguilar & Carlos Cantú & Claudia Ramírez, 2022. "It takes two: Fiscal and monetary policy in Mexico," BIS Working Papers 1012, Bank for International Settlements.
    152. Mitchener, Kris & Trebesch, Christoph, 2021. "Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century: Looking Backward, Looking Forward," CEPR Discussion Papers 15935, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    153. Andres Fernandez & Felipe Meza, 2015. "Informal Employment and Business Cycles in Emerging Economies: The Case of Mexico," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 18(2), pages 381-405, April.
    154. Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2008. "Optimal external debt and default," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 3604, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    155. Ning Zhang, 2019. "Asset home bias in debtor and creditor countries," 2019 Meeting Papers 850, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    156. Kodama, Masahiro, 2006. "Business Cycles of Non-mono-cultural Developing Economies: The Case of ASEAN Countries," IDE Discussion Papers 52, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    157. Riccardo Degasperi & Seokki Simon Hong & Giovanni Ricco, 2024. "The global transmission of U.S. monetary policy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1466, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    158. Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodíguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 728, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    159. Pestova, Anna & Mamonov, Mikhail, 2019. "Should we care? The economic effects of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    160. Sensoy, Ahmet & Ozturk, Kevser & Hacihasanoglu, Erk & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2017. "Not all emerging markets are the same: A classification approach with correlation based networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 163-186.
    161. Satyajit Chatterjee & Burcu Eyigungor, 2011. "Maturity, indebtedness, and default risk," Working Papers 11-33, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    162. Leonardo Martinez & Juan Carlos Hatchondo, 2008. "A model of credit risk without commitment," 2008 Meeting Papers 940, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    163. Dimitris Papageorgiou & Evangelia Vourvachaki, 2015. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Structural Reforms in Product and Labour Markets: Trade-Offs and Complementarities," Working Papers 197, Bank of Greece.
    164. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Francisco Roch, 2012. "Fiscal rules and the sovereign default premium," Working Paper 12-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    165. Javier Andrés & Pablo Burriel & Wenyi Shen, 2020. "Debt sustainability and fiscal space in a heterogeneous Monetary Union: normal times vs the zero lower bound," Working Papers 2001, Banco de España.
    166. Epstein, Brendan & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & Gonzalez Gomez, Andres, 2018. "Global Financial Risk, Domestic Financial Access, and Unemployment Dynamics," MPRA Paper 88692, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    167. Horacio Sapriza & Filippo Taddei & Guido Sandleris, 2008. "Indexed Sovereign Debt: An Applied Framework," 2008 Meeting Papers 1064, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    168. Wei, Shang-Jin & Shi, Kang & Ju, Jiandong, 2012. "On the connection between intra-temporal and intertemporal trade," CEPR Discussion Papers 8838, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    169. Paul Luk & Tianxiao Zheng, 2020. "Foreign Direct Investment and Debt Financing in Emerging Economies," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(4), pages 863-905, June.
    170. Brendan Epstein & Alan Finkelstein Shapiro, 2021. "Increasing Domestic Financial Participation: Implications for Business Cycles and Labor Markets," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 128-145, January.
    171. Hausmann-Guil, Guillermo, 2026. "Approximating around the stochastic steady state matters: rethinking uncertainty shocks in small open economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    172. Born, Benjamin & Müller, Gernot & Pfeifer, Johannes & Wellmann, Susanne, 2020. "Different no more: Country spreads in advanced and emerging economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 14392, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    173. Beltrán, Felipe, 2025. "Global monetary policy surprises and their transmission to emerging market economies: An external VAR analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    174. Javier García-Cicco, 2019. "Alternative Monetary-Policy Instruments and Limited Credibility in Small and Open Economies: An Exploration," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4145, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    175. Pascal Towbin, 2012. "Financial Integration and External Sustainability," Working papers 388, Banque de France.
    176. Sangeeta Pratap & Carlos Urrutia, 2012. "Financial Frictions and Total Factor Productivity: Accounting for the Real Effects of Financial Crises," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 15(3), pages 336-358, July.
    177. Hilary Patroba & Leroi Raputsoane, 2016. "South Africa's real business cycles: The cycle is the trend," Working Papers 12/2016, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    178. Peter Benczur & Cosmin Ilut, 2011. "Evidence for Dynamic Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending," Working Papers 11-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    179. Poghosyan, K., 2012. "Structural and reduced-form modeling and forecasting with application to Armenia," Other publications TiSEM ad1a24c3-15e6-4f04-b338-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    180. Duncan, Roberto, 2014. "Institutional quality, the cyclicality of monetary policy and macroeconomic volatility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 113-155.
    181. Audzeyeva, Alena & Schenk-Hoppé, Klaus Reiner, 2010. "The role of country, regional and global market risks in the dynamics of Latin American yield spreads," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 404-422, October.
    182. Carolina Achury & Christos Koulovatianos & John D. Tsoukalas, 2011. "External Sovereign Debt in a Monetary Union: Bailouts and the Role of Corruption," CESifo Working Paper Series 3532, CESifo.
    183. Tuğan, Mustafa & Özçelik, Seda E., 2026. "Do aggregate dynamics in developing economies differ after a rise in home and foreign productivity?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    184. Berrak Bahadir & Inci Gumus, 2021. "Transmission of Household and Business Credit Shocks in Emerging Markets: The Role of Real Estate," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(S2), pages 587-617, September.
    185. Artor Nuhiu & Florin Aliu & Arbër Hoti, 2024. "Assessing the Determinants of Bank Interest Rate Spread: Evidence From Western Balkan Countries," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(4), pages 21582440241, December.
    186. Sangyup Choi, 2018. "The Impact of US Financial Uncertainty Shocks on Emerging Market Economies: An International Credit Channel," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 89-118, February.
    187. Takefumi Yamazaki, 2018. "Accuracy and speed of the solution methods for sovereign default models: The stable performance of the Tauchen method and cubic spline interpolation," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 14(4), pages 641-662, July.
    188. Roberto Chang, 2010. "Elections, Capital Flows, and Politico-economic Equilibria," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(4), pages 1759-1777, September.
    189. Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martin Uribe, 2013. "Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity and the Case for Temporary Inflation in the Eurozone," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 27(3), pages 193-212, Summer.
    190. Ghate, Chetan & Gopalakrishnan, Pawan & Tarafdar, Suchismita, 2014. "Fiscal Policy in an Emerging Market Business Cycle Model," MPRA Paper 60449, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    191. Demirel Ufuk D, 2009. "The Transmission of Foreign Interest Rate Shocks to a Small-Open Economy: The Role of External Debt and Financial Integration," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-37, February.
    192. Markus Brueckner & Wojtek Paczos & Evi Pappa, 2020. "On the Relationship between Domestic Saving and the Current Account: Evidence and Theory for Developing Countries," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(5), pages 1071-1106, August.
    193. Mustafa Kilinc & Cengiz Tunc, 2014. "Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks in Turkey: A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 1423, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    194. Sandra Lizarazo & Jose Maria Da-Rocha, 2009. "Money, Credit and Default," Working Papers 0908, Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM.
    195. Dybczak, Kamil & Melecky, Martin, 2011. "Macroeconomic Shocks and the Fiscal Stance within the EU: A Panel Regression Analysis," MPRA Paper 33684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    196. Felipe Beltrán, 2023. "Global monetary policy surprises and their transmission to emerging market economies: an external VAR analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 975, Central Bank of Chile.
    197. María Elisa Farías, 2008. "Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries: The Role of Credits and Fiscal Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 488, Central Bank of Chile.
    198. Enrique Mendoza & Javier Bianchi, 2015. "Optimal Time-Consistent Macroprudential Policy," 2015 Meeting Papers 289, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    199. Byrne, Joseph P. & Nagayasu, Jun, 2008. "Common and Idiosyncratic Factors of the Exchange Risk Premium in Emerging European Markets," SIRE Discussion Papers 2008-49, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    200. Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Paltalidis, Nikos, 2025. "Credit and financial cycle synchronization impact on sovereign credit risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    201. George Economides & Dimitris Papageorgiou & Apostolis Philippopoulos, 2020. "Macroeconomic Policy Lessons for Greece from the Debt Crisis," CESifo Working Paper Series 8188, CESifo.
    202. Salomao, Juliana & Varela, Liliana, 2022. "Exchange rate exposure and firm dynamics," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108168, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    203. Agur, Itai & Chan, Melissa & Goswami, Mangal & Sharma, Sunil, 2019. "On international integration of emerging sovereign bond markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 347-363.
    204. Natalia Kovrijnykh & Balázs Szentes, 2007. "Equilibrium Default Cycles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 115(3), pages 403-446.
    205. Vincent Bodart & François Courtoy & Erica Perego, 2021. "World interest rates and macroeconomic adjustments in developing commodity producing countries," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2021002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    206. Simon Gilchrist & Vivian Z. Yue & Egon Zakrajšek, 2018. "US Monetary Policy and International Bond Markets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-014, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    207. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Cesar Sosa-Padilla, 2015. "Debt Dilution and Sovereign Default Risk," CAEPR Working Papers 2015-012, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    208. Maximiliano Dvorkin & Emircan Yurdagul & Horacio Sapriza & Juan Sanchez, 2019. "News, sovereign debt maturity, and default risk," 2019 Meeting Papers 918, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    209. Tomoya Suzuki, 2018. "Corruption, interest rates and business cycles: comparison of emerging economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 303-316, November.
    210. Almuth Scholl, 2015. "The Dynamics of Sovereign Default Risk and Political Turnover," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2015-05, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
    211. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "Functional Shocks to Inflation Expectations and Real Interest Rates and Their Macroeconomic Effects," CESifo Working Paper Series 10656, CESifo.
    212. Sungyup Chung, 2017. "Age and Gender Group Differences in Employment Responses to Monetary Policy Shock in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Korea," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(2), pages 207-224, May.
    213. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Oyekola, Olayinka, 2015. "Energy Business Cycles," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/19, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    214. Jiandong Ju & Kang Shi & Shang-Jin Wei, 2011. "On the Connections between Intertemporal and Intra-temporal Trades," NBER Working Papers 17549, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    215. Garbers, Chris & Liu, Guangling, 2018. "Macroprudential policy and foreign interest rate shocks: A comparison of loan-to-value and capital requirements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 683-698.
    216. C. Bora Durdu, 2006. "Quantitative Implications of Indexed Bonds in Small Open Economies: Working Paper 2006-12," Working Papers 18245, Congressional Budget Office.
    217. C. Bora Durdu, 2013. "Emerging Market Business Cycles: Recent Advances," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 183-199, June.
    218. García-Cicco, Javier, 2022. "Alternative monetary-policy instruments and limited credibility: An exploration," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(1).
    219. Enrique G. Mendoza, 2008. "Sudden Stops, Financial Crises and Leverage: A Fisherian Deflation of Tobin's Q," NBER Working Papers 14444, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    220. Banerji, Sanjay & Ventouri, Alexia & Wang, Zilong, 2014. "The sovereign spread in Asian emerging economies: The significance of external versus internal factors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 566-576.
    221. Emine Boz & Christian Daude & C. Bora Durdu, 2011. "Emerging Market Business Cycles Revisited: Learning about the Trend," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1110, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    222. Jacek Rothert, 2020. "International Business Cycles In Emerging Markets," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(2), pages 753-781, May.
    223. Andrei Polbin & Sergey Drobyshevsky, 2014. "Developing a Dynamic Stochastic Model of General Equilibrium for the Russian Economy," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 166P, pages 156-156.
    224. Born, Benjamin & Pfeifer, Johannes, 2014. "Risk Matters: A Comment," Dynare Working Papers 39, CEPREMAP.
    225. Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martín Uribe, 2017. "Is Optimal Capital Control Policy Countercyclical in Open Economy Models with Collateral Constraints?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 65(3), pages 498-527, August.
    226. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2009. "Heterogeneous Borrowers In Quantitative Models Of Sovereign Default," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1129-1151, November.
    227. Enrique G. Mendoza, 2010. "Sudden Stops, Financial Crises, and Leverage," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(5), pages 1941-1966, December.
    228. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2009. "On the cyclicality of the interest rate in emerging economy models: solution methods matter," Working Paper 09-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    229. Proaño, Christian R. & Quero Virla, Leonardo & Strohsal, Till, 2025. "How strong is the link between the global financial cycle and national macro-financial dynamics? A wavelet analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    230. Dieckmann, Stephan & Gallmeyer, Michael, 2013. "Rare event risk and emerging market debt with heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 163-187.
    231. Kamalyan, Hayk & Davtyan, Vahagn, 2022. "Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Business Cycle Fluctuations," MPRA Paper 113443, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    232. Fink, Fabian & Scholl, Almuth, 2016. "A quantitative model of sovereign debt, bailouts and conditionality," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 176-190.
    233. Kizito Uyi Ehigiamusoe & Mohamad Shaharudin Samsurijan, 2021. "What matters for finance‐growth nexus? A critical survey of macroeconomic stability, institutions, financial and economic development," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5302-5320, October.
    234. Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R. & Liu, Xuan & Rothman, Philip, 2009. "Equity Returns and Business Cycles in Small Open Economies," MPRA Paper 15915, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    235. Jaroslav Horvath & Guanyi Yang, 2024. "Global Financial Risk, Equity Returns and Economic Activity in Emerging Countries," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 86(3), pages 672-689, June.
    236. Asli Leblebicioglu & Kolver Hernandez, 2012. "The Transmission of US Shocks to Emerging Markets," 2012 Meeting Papers 316, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    237. Carlos Andrés BALLESTEROS RUIZ & Javier Andr�s ROJAS AGUILERA, 2015. "International shocks and the Colombian economy: A Global VAR Approach," Archivos de Economía 13012, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
    238. Keisuke Otsu, 2008. "A Neoclassical Analysis of The Korean Crisis," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 11(2), pages 449-471, April.
    239. Valente, Giorgio, 2009. "International interest rates and US monetary policy announcements: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 920-940, October.
    240. Sina T. Ates & Felipe E. Saffie, 2021. "Fewer but Better: Sudden Stops, Firm Entry, and Financial Selection," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 304-356, July.
    241. Liu, Jia & Baek, Ingul & Noh, Sanha, 2025. "Commodity terms of trade news and country spreads in emerging economies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    242. Demirel, Ufuk Devrim, 2010. "Macroeconomic stabilization in developing economies: Are optimal policies procyclical?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 409-428, April.
    243. Saroj Bhattarai & Arpita Chatterjee & Woong Yong Park, 2017. "Global Spillover Effects of US Uncertainty," Globalization Institute Working Papers 331, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    244. Jalles, João Tovar, 2020. "Social expenditure cyclicality: New time-varying evidence in developing economies," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
    245. Queralto, Albert, 2020. "A model of slow recoveries from financial crises," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1-25.
    246. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Luigi Bocola, 2017. "Sovereign Default Risk and Firm Heterogeneity," NBER Working Papers 23314, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    247. Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & González Gómez, Andrés, 2017. "Credit market imperfections, labor markets, and leverage dynamics in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 44-63.
    248. Karol Szomolányi & Martin Lukáčik & Adriana Lukáčiková, 2017. "Business Cycles in European Post-Communist Countries," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, vol. 11(2), June.
    249. Ricardo M. Reyes-Heroles & Sharon Traiberman & Eva Van Leemput, 2020. "Emerging Markets and the New Geography of Trade: The Effects of Rising Trade Barriers," International Finance Discussion Papers 1278, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    250. Grzegorz Wesołowski & Oleg Gurshev, 2025. "US macroeconomic shocks and international business cycle," Working Papers 2025-06, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    251. Tavares, Tiago, 2019. "Labor market distortions under sovereign debt default crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    252. Gadatsch, Niklas, 2015. "Real effects of sovereign bond market spillovers in the euro area," Working Papers 01/2015, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    253. Felipe Schwartzman, 2010. "Time to produce and emerging market crises," Working Paper 10-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    254. Phuong V. Nguyen, 2020. "The Vietnamese business cycle in an estimated small open economy New Keynesian DSGE model," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 48(5), pages 1035-1063, October.
    255. Enrique Alberola & Carlos Cantú & Paolo Cavallino & Nikola Mirkov, 2022. "Fiscal regimes and the exchange rate," Working Papers 2022-01, Swiss National Bank.
    256. Mehl, Arnaud, 2006. "The yield curve as a predictor and emerging economies," Working Paper Series 691, European Central Bank.
    257. Yin Germaschewski & Jaroslav Horvath & Jiansheng Zhong, 2022. "Oral interventions in the foreign exchange market: evidence from Australia," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2713-2737, June.
    258. Shi, Luqing & Yin, Zhujia & Zhang, Yun & Song, Linjia & Yang, Xin, 2025. "Regional financial risk and firms' access to trade credit: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    259. Aguiar, Mark & Amador, Manuel, 2014. "Sovereign Debt," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 647-687, Elsevier.
    260. Francis, Johanna L. & Aykut, Dilek & Tereanu, Eugen, 2014. "The cost of private debt over the credit cycle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 146-181.
    261. Maciej Stefański, 2021. "Macroeconomic Effects of Quantitative Easing Using Mid-sized Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," KAE Working Papers 2021-068, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    262. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Business Cycles in Emerging Markets: The Role of Durable Goods and Financial Frictions," IMF Working Papers 2011/133, International Monetary Fund.
    263. Mauro Sayar Ferreira & Berto Carvalho da Silva Jr, 2025. "Fiscal multiplier in Brazil: the role played by controls," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 684, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    264. McKnight, Stephen & Mihailov, Alexander & Pompa Rangel, Antonio, 2020. "What do Latin American inflation targeters care about? A comparative Bayesian estimation of central bank preferences," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    265. Bira Zhahadai, 2023. "Are business cycles in emerging market economies alike?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 537-561, October.
    266. Alisdair McKay & Christian K. Wolf, 2023. "What Can Time-Series Regressions Tell Us About Policy Counterfactuals?," Staff Report 642, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    267. Murali, Srinivasan & Naresh, Abhishek & Shin, Jong Kook & Subramanian, Chetan, 2026. "Asymmetric wage and employment dynamics in segmented labour markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    268. Apostolou, Apostolos & Beirne, John, 2019. "Volatility spillovers of unconventional monetary policy to emerging market economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 118-129.
    269. Rui Esteves & João Tovar Jalles, 2016. "Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(7), pages 1515-1545, October.
    270. Grzegorz Wesoƚowski, 2018. "Do long-term interest rates drive GDP and inflation in small open economies? Evidence from Poland," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(57), pages 6174-6192, December.
    271. Hong, Seungki, 2023. "MPCs in an emerging economy: Evidence from Peru," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    272. Cayon, Edgardo & Thorp, Susan & Wu, Eliza, 2018. "Immunity and infection: Emerging and developed market sovereign spreads over the Global Financial Crisis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 162-174.
    273. Philipp Engler & Christoph Große Steffen, 2014. "Sovereign Risk, Interbank Freezes, and Aggregate Fluctuations," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1436, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    274. Adam Gulan & Andres Fernandez, 2012. "Interest Rates and Business Cycles in Emerging Economies.The Role of Financial Frictions," 2012 Meeting Papers 849, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    275. Ordoñez-Callamand, Daniel & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose Eduardo & Melo-Velandia, Luis Fernando, 2017. "Sovereign default risk in OECD countries: Do global factors matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 629-639.
    276. Hewei Shen, 2016. "Financial Crises and the Role of Debt Maturity for Emerging Economies," CAEPR Working Papers 2017-012, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    277. Karen Davtyan & Omar Elkaraksy, 2024. "Uncovering the Financial Effects of the Exchange Rate Regime Transition in Egypt," Working Papers wpdea2407, Department of Applied Economics at Universitat Autonoma of Barcelona.
    278. Alfredo Villca & Alejandro Torres-García, 2023. "Commodity price shocks and the business cycles in emerging economies: the role of banking system balance sheets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2039-2063, November.
    279. McGregor, Thomas, 2017. "Commodity price shocks, growth and structural transformation in low-income countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 285-303.
    280. Luigi Bocola, 2014. "The Pass-Through of Sovereign Risk," 2014 Meeting Papers 1286, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    281. Neumeyer, Pablo A. & Perri, Fabrizio, 2005. "Business cycles in emerging economies: the role of interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 345-380, March.
    282. Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba & Mr. Emanuele Baldacci & Mr. Tigran Poghosyan, 2011. "Spatial Spillovers in Emerging Market Spreads," IMF Working Papers 2011/221, International Monetary Fund.
    283. Albert Queraltó, 2013. "A Model of Slow Recoveries from Financial Crises," International Finance Discussion Papers 1097, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    284. Arteta, Carlos & Hale, Galina, 2008. "Sovereign debt crises and credit to the private sector," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 53-69, January.
    285. Roberto Chang & Andrés Fernández, 2010. "On the Sources of Aggregate Fluctuations in Emerging Economies," NBER Working Papers 15938, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    286. Otsu Keisuke, 2010. "A Neoclassical Analysis of the Asian Crisis: Business Cycle Accounting for a Small Open Economy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-39, July.
    287. Juan Guerra-Salas, 2016. "Fiscal Policy, Sectoral Allocation, and the Skill Premium: Explaining the Decline in Latin America’s Income Inequality," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 779, Central Bank of Chile.
    288. Takefumi Yamazaki, 2018. "Financial friction sources in emerging economies: Structural estimation of sovereign default models," Discussion papers ron303, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.
    289. D'Agostino, Antonello & Ehrmann, Michael, 2012. "The pricing of G7 sovereign bond spreads – the times, they are a-changin," MPRA Paper 40604, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    290. Daniil Lomonosov, 2023. "Shocks of Business Activity and Specific Shocks to Oil Market in DSGE Model of Russian Economy and Their Influence Under Different Monetary Policy Regimes," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 44-79, December.
    291. Camara, Santiago, 2025. "Spillovers of US interest rates: Monetary policy & information effects," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    292. Mr. Michael Kumhof, 2009. "International Currency Portfolios," IMF Working Papers 2009/048, International Monetary Fund.
    293. Alicia García-Herrero & Álvaro Ortiz, 2005. "The role of global risk aversion in explaining Latin American sovereign spreads," Working Papers 0505, Banco de España.
    294. Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan & Mandelman, Federico S., 2016. "Remittances, entrepreneurship, and employment dynamics over the business cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 184-199.
    295. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Yasin K rsat nder & Francisco Roch, 2024. "Sovereign CoCos and debt forgiveness," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 24/1096, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    296. Mr. Aleš Bulíř & Alma Romero-Barrutieta & Jose Daniel Rodríguez-Delgado, 2011. "The Dynamic Implications of Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2011/157, International Monetary Fund.
    297. Joshua Aizenman & Yin-Wong Cheung & Xingwang Qian, 2025. "International Reserve Management and Firm Investment in Emerging Market Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 503-540, April.
    298. Ghate, Chetan & Pandey, Radhika & Patnaik, Ila, 2013. "Has India emerged? Business cycle stylized facts from a transitioning economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 157-172.
    299. Apostolou, Apostolos & Beirne, John, 2017. "Volatility spillovers of Federal Reserve and ECB balance sheet expansions to emerging market economies," Working Paper Series 2044, European Central Bank.
    300. Piti Disyatat & Chayawadee Chai-anant, 2007. "Challenges to Managing Risk and Volatility in the Emerging Market Context," Working Papers 2007-01, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    301. Akıncı, Özge, 2013. "Global financial conditions, country spreads and macroeconomic fluctuations in emerging countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 358-371.
    302. Laura Jaramillo & Miss Anke Weber, 2012. "Bond Yields in Emerging Economies: It Matters What State You Are In," IMF Working Papers 2012/198, International Monetary Fund.
    303. Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Huang, Shiangtsz & Lin, Tzu-Yu, 2022. "How do oil prices affect emerging market sovereign bond spreads?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    304. Audzeyeva, Alena & Fuertes, Ana-Maria, 2018. "On the predictability of emerging market sovereign credit spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 140-157.
    305. Sumru Altug & Serdar Kabaca, 2014. "Search Frictions, Financial Frictions and Labour Market Fluctuations in Emerging Markets," Staff Working Papers 14-35, Bank of Canada.
    306. Santiago Camara & Maximo Sangiacomo, 2022. "Borrowing Constraints in Emerging Markets," Papers 2211.10864, arXiv.org.
    307. Casal, Lucía & Guntin, Rafael, 2025. "The business cycle volatility puzzle: Emerging vs developed economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    308. Vicondoa, Alejandro, 2019. "Monetary news in the United States and business cycles in emerging economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 79-90.
    309. Mr. Julio Escolano & Ms. Christina Kolerus & Mr. Constant A Lonkeng Ngouana, 2014. "Global Monetary Tightening: Emerging Markets Debt Dynamics and Fiscal Crises," IMF Working Papers 2014/215, International Monetary Fund.
    310. Dudley Cooke & Tatiana Damjanovic, 2026. "Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Bank Capital in Open Economies," Working Papers w202601, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    311. Uluc Aysun, 2010. "Testing for Balance Sheet Effects in Emerging Markets: A Non‐Crisis Setting," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(2), pages 223-256, August.
    312. Michael Curran & Adnan Velic, 2020. "Interest rate volatility and macroeconomic dynamics: Heterogeneity matters," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 957-975, September.
    313. Mark Aguiar & Manuel Amador, 2013. "Sovereign Debt: A Review," NBER Working Papers 19388, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    314. Frömel, Maren, 2013. "Imperfect Financial Markets, External Debt, and the Cyclicality of Social Transfers," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79820, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    315. Wataru Miyamoto & Thuy Lan Nguyen, 2017. "Business Cycles In Small Open Economies: Evidence From Panel Data Between 1900 And 2013," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 58(3), pages 1007-1044, August.
    316. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2007. "Quantitative models of sovereign default and the threat of financial exclusion," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 93(Sum), pages 251-286.
    317. Vincenzo Quadrini & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2024. "Macro-Financial Implications of the Surging Global Demand (and Supply) of International Reserves," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-038, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    318. Ionut Cotoc & Alok Johri & Cesar Sosa-Padilla, 2018. "Debt, Defaults and Dogma: politics and the dynamics of sovereign debt markets," 2018 Meeting Papers 1125, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    319. Nan Li, 2007. "Cyclical Wage Movements in Emerging Markets Compared to Developed Economies: A Contractual Approach," Discussion Papers 06-026, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    320. Taiyo Yoshimi, 2014. "Lending Rate Spread Shock and Monetary Policy Arrangements: A Small Open Economy Model for ASEAN Countries," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 28(1), pages 19-39, March.
    321. Andrian, Leandro Gaston, 2010. "Essays on energy economics: Microeconomic and macroeconomic dimensions," ISU General Staff Papers 201001010800002725, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    322. Davis, J. Scott & Devereux, Michael B. & Yu, Changhua, 2023. "Sudden stops and optimal foreign exchange intervention," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    323. George Economides & Apostolis Philippopoulos & Petros Varthalitis, 2016. "Monetary Union, Even Higher Integration, or Back to National Currencies?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 62(2), pages 232-255.
    324. Luis A. V. Catao & Ana Fostel & Sandeep Kapur, 2008. "Persistent Gaps and Default Traps," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0803, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    325. Alan Finkelstein Shapiro & Brendan Epstein, 2018. "Banking and Financial Access Reforms, Labor Markets, and Financial Shocks," 2018 Meeting Papers 2, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    326. Bajraj, Gent & Lorca, Jorge & Wlasiuk, Juan M., 2023. "On foreign drivers of emerging markets fluctuations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    327. Romanos Priftis & Srec̆ko Zimic, 2021. "Sources of Borrowing and Fiscal Multipliers [Emerging market business cycles: the cycle is the trend]," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(633), pages 498-519.
    328. Suescun, Rodrigo, 2020. "A tool for fiscal policy planning in a medium-term fiscal framework: The FMM-MTFF model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 431-446.
    329. Gent Bajraj & Jorge Lorca & Juan M. Wlasiuk, 2022. "On Foreign Drivers of EMEs Fluctuations," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 951, Central Bank of Chile.
    330. Javier Garcia-Cicco & Roberto Pancrazi & Martin Uribe, 2010. "Real Business Cycles in Emerging Countries?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(5), pages 2510-2531, December.
    331. Edda Zoli, 2005. "How does fiscal policy affect monetary policy in emerging market countries?," BIS Working Papers 174, Bank for International Settlements.
    332. Yossi Yakhin, 2022. "Breaking the UIP: A Model‐Equivalence Result," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(6), pages 1889-1904, September.
    333. Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Grey Gordon, 2014. "Municipal Bonds, Default, and Migration in General Equilibrium," 2014 Meeting Papers 868, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    334. Enrique G. Mendoza, 2006. "Endogenous Sudden Stops in a Business Cycle Model with Collateral Constraints:A Fisherian Deflation of Tobin's Q," NBER Working Papers 12564, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    335. Sebastian Rondeau, 2012. "Sources of Fluctuations in Emerging Markets: Structural Estimation with Mixed Frequency Data," 2012 Meeting Papers 1156, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    336. Juan Camilo Anzoátegui Zapata & Juan Camilo Galvis, 2019. "Efectos de la comunicación del banco central sobre los títulos públicos: evidencia empírica para Colombia," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 38(77), pages 337-364.
    337. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Cesar Sosa-Padilla & Leonardo Martinez, 2010. "Debt dilution, overborrowing, and sovereign default risk," 2010 Meeting Papers 481, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    338. Gabriel Cuadra & Juan M. Sanchez & Horacio Sapriza, 2009. "Fiscal policy and default risk in emerging markets," Working Paper 09-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    339. Abuelfadl, Moustafa & Yamani, Ehab, 2021. "Currency news and international bond markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    340. Edgar Silgado‐Gómez, 2024. "Sovereign Uncertainty," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(4), pages 1985-2018, November.
    341. Yuanchen Cai & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2025. "Lopsided Interest Rates in International Borrowing Markets," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 1088, Boston College Department of Economics.
    342. Vivian Z. Yue & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2009. "A Solution to the Default Risk-Business Cycle Disconnect," 2009 Meeting Papers 76, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    343. Ignacio Presno & Demian Pouzo, 2012. "Sovereign Default Risk and Uncertainty Premia," 2012 Meeting Papers 608, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    344. Van Nguyen, Phuong, 2020. "The Vietnamese business cycle in an estimated small open economy New Keynesian DSGE model," Dynare Working Papers 56, CEPREMAP.
    345. Gulsah Kulali, 2026. "Foreign direct investment inflows to emerging market economies: the dynamic between global risk and country-specific risks," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1-40, May.
    346. Souza, Rodrigo da Silva & Fry-McKibbin, Renée, 2021. "Global liquidity and commodity market interactions: Macroeconomic effects on a commodity exporting emerging market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 781-800.
    347. Maren Froemel, 2014. "Imperfect Financial Markets and the Cyclicality of Social Spending," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2014-11, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
    348. Sosa-Padilla, César, 2018. "Sovereign defaults and banking crises," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 88-105.
    349. C. Bora Durdu & Alex Martin & Ilknur Zer, 2020. "The Role of US Monetary Policy in Banking Crises Across the World," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(1), pages 66-107, March.
    350. Miescu, Mirela S., 2023. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies: A global to local approach for identification," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    351. Ms. Emine Boz, 2009. "Sovereign Default, Private Sector Creditors and the IFIs," IMF Working Papers 2009/046, International Monetary Fund.
    352. Jorge M. Uribe & Oscar Valencia, 2024. "Taking the Pulse of Fiscal Distress: Inflation, Depreciation, and Crises," IREA Working Papers 202416, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Dec 2024.
    353. Mr. Alessandro Cantelmo & Mr. Giovanni Melina & Mr. Chris Papageorgiou, 2019. "Macroeconomic Outcomes in Disaster-Prone Countries," IMF Working Papers 2019/217, International Monetary Fund.
    354. Mario Crucini, 2012. "Comparing General and Partial Equilibrium Approaches to the Study of Real Business Cycles," 2012 Meeting Papers 1057, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    355. Vašíček, Bořek & Calice, Giovanni & Miao, RongHui & Štěrba, Filip, 2014. "Short-term determinants of the idiosyncratic sovereign risk premium: a regime-dependent analysis for european credit default swaps," Working Paper Series 1717, European Central Bank.
    356. Julián Caballero & Andrés Fernández & Jongho Park, 2019. "On Corporate Borrowing, Credit Spreads and Economic Activity in Emerging Economies: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 839, Central Bank of Chile.
    357. Emine Boz & C. Bora Durdu & Nan Li, 2015. "Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Role of Labor Market Frictions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(1), pages 31-72, February.
    358. Ricardo Sabbadini, 2018. "Loss Aversion and Search for Yield in Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2018_16, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    359. Naraidoo, Ruthira & Paez-Farrell, Juan, 2023. "Commodity price shocks, labour market dynamics and monetary policy in small open economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    360. Magali Dauvin, 2016. "Sovereign spreads in emerging economies: do natural resources matter?," EconomiX Working Papers 2016-11, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    361. Paul Carrillo-Maldonado & Javier Díaz-Cassou & Miguel Flores, 2023. "What are the main variables that influence the dynamics of Ecuador’s sovereign risk?," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 2158009-215, December.
    362. Fujiwara, Ippei & Teranishi, Yuki, 2011. "Real exchange rate dynamics revisited: A case with financial market imperfections," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1562-1589.
    363. Santiago Camara & Sebastian Ramirez Venegas, 2022. "The Transmission of US Monetary Policy Shocks: The Role of Investment & Financial Heterogeneity," Papers 2209.11150, arXiv.org.
    364. Cuadra Gabriel & Sapriza Horacio, 2006. "Sovereign Default, Interest Rates and Political Uncertainty in Emerging Markets," Working Papers 2006-02, Banco de México.
    365. Hidehiko Matsumoto, 2018. "Reserve Accumulation, Foreign Direct Investment, and Economic Growth," 2018 Meeting Papers 237, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    366. Hall, Alastair R. & Inoue, Atsushi & Nason, James M. & Rossi, Barbara, 2012. "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 499-518.
    367. Sim, Seung-Gyu & Lee, Saiah, 2020. "The cyclical behavior of household and corporate credit in emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    368. Lizarazo, Sandra, 2010. "Default Risk and Risk Averse International Investors," MPRA Paper 20794, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    369. Huixin Bi & Ms. Wenyi Shen & Ms. Susan S. Yang, 2014. "Fiscal Limits, External Debt, and Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 2014/049, International Monetary Fund.
    370. Okubo, Masakatsu, 2023. "Model uncertainty, economic development, and welfare costs of business cycles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    371. Jesse Schreger & Wenxin Du, 2014. "Sovereign Risk, Currency Risk, and Corporate Balance Sheets," Working Paper 209056, Harvard University OpenScholar.
    372. Denis Gorea & Deyan Radev, 2012. "The Determinants of Joint Sovereign Default Risk in the Euro Area," Working Papers 1208, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
    373. Tae Bong Kim & Hangyu Lee, 2016. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Dynamics of Labor Markets in Korea," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 32, pages 101-136.
    374. Daniel Cohen & Richard Portes, 2004. "Dealing with Destabilizing 'Market Discipline'," NBER Working Papers 10533, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    375. Wongi Kim & Kyunghun Kim, 2022. "Effect of news and noise shocks of US monetary policy on economic fluctuations in emerging market economies," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(4), pages 1862-1893, November.
    376. Oliver de Groot & Bora Durdu & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2020. "Approximately Right?: Global v. Local Methods for Open-Economy Models with Incomplete Markets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-006, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    377. Jianjun Miao & Pengfei Wang & Jing Zhou, 2022. "Asset Bubbles and Foreign Interest Rate Shocks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 315-348, April.
    378. Hangyu Lee, 2014. "International Interest Rate Shocks and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 30, pages 217-246.
    379. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Fernando M. Martin & Juan M. Sanchez, 2020. "Domestic Policies and Sovereign Default," Working Papers 2020-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 06 Sep 2023.
    380. Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2021. ""Sorry, You're Blocked." Economic Effects of Financial Sanctions on the Russian Economy," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp704, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    381. Coulombe, Raphaelle G. & Horvath, Jaroslav, 2026. "Government spending dynamics in small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    382. Marco Flaccadoro & Stefania Villa, 2025. "Global risk aversion and the term premium gap in emerging market economies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1493, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    383. Sumru Altug & Serdar Kabaca & Meltem Poyraz, 2011. "Search Frictions, Financial Frictions and Labor Market Fluctuations in Emerging Economies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1136, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    384. Ina Simonovska & Espen Henriksen & Joel David, 2016. "The Risky Capital of Emerging Markets," 2016 Meeting Papers 125, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    385. Seoane, Hernán D., 2016. "Parameter drifts, misspecification and the real exchange rate in emerging countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 204-215.
    386. Ms. Ana L Fostel & Sandeep Kapur & Mr. Luis Catão, 2007. "Persistent Gaps, Volatility Types, and Default Traps," IMF Working Papers 2007/148, International Monetary Fund.
    387. Hevia, Constantino, 2014. "Emerging market fluctuations: What makes the difference?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 33-49.
    388. Nagayasu, Jun, 2010. "The Common Component in the Forward Premium: Evidence from the Asia-Pacific Region," MPRA Paper 24549, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    389. Yu-Ting Chiang & Piotr Żoch, 2022. "Financial Intermediation and Aggregate Demand: A Sufficient Statistics Approach," Working Papers 2022-038, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 26 Jul 2023.
    390. Allegret, Jean-Pierre & Sand-Zantman, Alain, 2009. "Does a Monetary Union protect against external shocks?: An assessment of Latin American integration," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 102-118.
    391. Devereux, Michael B. & Young, Eric R. & Yu, Changhua, 2019. "Capital controls and monetary policy in sudden-stop economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 52-74.
    392. Raddatz, Claudio, 2009. "The wrath of God : macroeconomic costs of natural disasters," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5039, The World Bank.
    393. Uribe, Martín & Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, 2012. "The Case For Temporary Inflation in the Eurozone," CEPR Discussion Papers 9133, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    394. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2009. "Long-duration bonds and sovereign defaults," Working Paper 08-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    395. Cakici, S. Meral, 2024. "Risk premium in a real business cycle framework," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 111-122.
    396. Kim, Youngju & Lim, Hyunjoon & Yun, Youngjin, 2024. "International transmission of the U.S. dollar liquidity shock: The channel of FX borrowing and lending," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    397. Tack Yun, 2012. "Recent Issues in Emerging-Economies Macroeconomics," CAEPR Working Papers 2013-001, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    398. Dan Cao & Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Donghoon Yoo, 2022. "When Is the Trend the Cycle?," ISER Discussion Paper 1177, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    399. Mr. Thorvardur Tjoervi Olafsson, 2018. "Cross-Border Credit Intermediation and Domestic Liquidity Provision in a Small Open Economy," IMF Working Papers 2018/202, International Monetary Fund.
    400. Mauricio Calani & Benjamín García & Tomás Gómez & Mario González & Sebastián Guarda & Manuel Paillacar, 2022. "A Macro Financial Model for the Chilean Economy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 953, Central Bank of Chile.
    401. Villca, Alfredo, 2022. "Commodity prices, bank balance sheets and macroprudential policies in small open economies," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(1).
    402. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Alain Sand-Zantman, 2009. "Modeling the Impact of Real and Financial Shocks on Mercosur: The Role of the Exchange Rate Regime," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 359-384, July.
    403. Ahmed, Rashad, 2023. "Flights-to-safety and macroeconomic adjustment in emerging markets: The role of U.S. monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    404. Germaschewski, Yin & Horvath, Jaroslav & Rubini, Loris, 2021. "Property rights, expropriations, and business cycles in China," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    405. Álvarez-Parra, Fernando & Brandao-Marques, Luis & Toledo, Manuel, 2013. "Durable goods, financial frictions, and business cycles in emerging economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(6), pages 720-736.
    406. Balazs Szentes & Natalia Kovrijnykh, 2005. "A Theory of Debt Overhang and Buyback," 2005 Meeting Papers 447, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    407. Ben Zeev, Nadav, 2019. "Global credit supply shocks and exchange rate regimes," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 1-32.
    408. Aydan Dogan, 2019. "Investment Specific Technology Shocks and Emerging Market Business Cycle Dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 34, pages 202-220, October.
    409. Marina Azzimonti & Nirvana Mitra, 2024. "The Politics of Debt in the Era of Rising Rates," Working Paper 24-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    410. Edwards, Sebastian, 2010. "The international transmission of interest rate shocks: The Federal Reserve and emerging markets in Latin America and Asia," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 685-703, June.
    411. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Cesar Sosa Padilla, 2013. "Voluntary Sovereign Debt Exchanges," Department of Economics Working Papers 2013-13, McMaster University.
    412. Boz, Emine & Daude, Christian & Bora Durdu, C., 2011. "Emerging market business cycles: Learning about the trend," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(6), pages 616-631.
    413. Bernardo Guimaraes, 2011. "Sovereign default: which shocks matter?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(4), pages 553-576, October.
    414. Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie & Uribe, Martín, 2022. "The effects of permanent monetary shocks on exchange rates and uncovered interest rate differentials," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    415. Asli Leblebicioglu & Ariel Weinberger, 2017. "Credit and the Labor Share: Evidence from U.S. States," Globalization Institute Working Papers 326, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    416. Yildirim, Zekeriya, 2022. "Global financial risk, the risk-taking channel, and monetary policy in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    417. Timmermann, Allan & Aiolfi, Marco & Catão, Luís, 2010. "Common Factors in Latin America?s Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 7671, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    418. Kilinc, Mustafa & Tunc, Cengiz, 2026. "Debt service channel for external debt and growth in developing countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    419. Horvath, Jaroslav & Zhong, Jiansheng, 2019. "Unemployment dynamics in emerging countries: Monetary policy and external shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 31-49.
    420. Wen Zhang, 2024. "The evolving international effects of China's government spending," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(5), pages 1851-1869, May.
    421. Belomestny, Denis & Krymova, Ekaterina & Polbin, Andrey, 2021. "Bayesian TVP-VARX models with time invariant long-run multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    422. Michael Patrick Curran & Adnan Velic, 2017. "Interest Rate Volatility And Macroeconomic Dynamics: A Cross-Country Analysis," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series 35, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics.
    423. Olli Palm'en, 2020. "Sovereign Default Risk and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Euro Area," Papers 2006.03592, arXiv.org.
    424. João Tovar Jalles, 2019. "On the Cyclicality of Social Expenditure: New Time-Varying evidence from Developing Economies," Working Papers REM 2019/82, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    425. Polat, Tandogan, 2016. "Essays on banking sector’s dynamics, expectations, preferences and impact," Other publications TiSEM d064f029-f91e-47bc-b6d3-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    426. Lathaporn Ratanavararak, 2018. "The Impact of Imperfect Financial Integration and Trade on Macroeconomic Volatility and Welfare in Emerging Markets," PIER Discussion Papers 79, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    427. Hernán D. Seoane, 2017. "Markups And The Real Effects Of Volatility Shocks," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 58(3), pages 807-828, August.
    428. Andrey Polbin & Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev, 2024. "Developing and impulse response matching estimation of the DSGE model for the Russian economy," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 73, pages 5-34.
    429. Shin, Wonmun, 2025. "Housing and consumption volatility: the role of rental price rigidity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    430. José Pablo Barquero & Pedro Isaac Chávez López, 2017. "The Effect of International Monetary Policy Expansions on Costa Rica," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Ángel Estrada García & Alberto Ortiz Bolaños (ed.), International Spillovers of Monetary Policy, edition 1, chapter 4, pages 73-108, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    431. Sungyup Chung, 2016. "Assessing the regional business cycle asymmetry in a multi-level structure framework: a study of the top 20 US MSAs," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 229-252, January.
    432. Ivan Tchakarov & Selim Elekdag, 2006. "The role of interest rates in business cycle fluctuations in emerging countries: the case of Thailand," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 13(1), pages 53-73, June.
    433. Airaudo, Marco, 2014. "Currency substitution, risk premia and the Taylor principle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 202-217.
    434. Nicolas Melissas, 2009. "On Bid Disclosure in OCS Wildcat Auctions," Working Papers 0905, Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM.
    435. Horvath, Jaroslav & Rothman, Philip, 2021. "Mortgage spreads, asset prices, and business cycles in emerging countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    436. Choi, Jinho & Hur, Joonyoung, 2015. "An examination of macroeconomic fluctuations in Korea exploiting a Markov-switching DSGE approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 183-199.
    437. João Tovar Jalles, 2019. "Explaining Africa’s Public Consumption Procyclicality: Revisiting Old Evidence," Working Papers REM 2019/0100, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    438. Cuadra, Gabriel & Menna, Lorenzo, 2019. "Capital flows and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-1.
    439. Barrot Araya,Luis Diego & Calderon,Cesar & Serven,Luis, 2016. "Openness, specialization, and the external vulnerability of developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7711, The World Bank.
    440. Reyes-Heroles, Ricardo & Tenorio, Gabriel, 2019. "Regime-switching in emerging market business cycles: Interest rate volatility and sudden stops," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 81-100.
    441. Kiyoung Jeon & Zeynep Yom, 2016. "Income Inequality and Sovereign Default," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series 29, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics.
    442. Vivian Z. Yue, 2005. "Sovereign Default and Debt Renegotiation," 2005 Meeting Papers 138, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    443. Ramos Francia Manuel & Cuadra Gabriel & Capistrán Carlos, 2011. "Policy Response to External Shocks: Lessons from the Crisis," Working Papers 2011-14, Banco de México.
    444. Masahiro Kodama, 2013. "External Shocks and High Volatility in Consumption in Low-Income Countries," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 51(3), pages 278-302, September.
    445. Hüseyin Taştan & Bekir Aşık, 2014. "A Bayesian Estimation of Real Business-Cycle Models for the Turkish Economy," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 27-50, May.
    446. Ozge Akinci & Albert Queraltó, 2014. "Banks, Capital Flows and Financial Crises," International Finance Discussion Papers 1121, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    447. Xian, Lu & He, Kaijian & Lai, Kin Keung, 2016. "Gold price analysis based on ensemble empirical model decomposition and independent component analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 454(C), pages 11-23.
    448. Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan, 2018. "Labor force participation, interest rate shocks, and unemployment dynamics in emerging economies," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 346-374.
    449. Reyes-Heroles, Ricardo & Tenorio, Gabriel, 2020. "Macroprudential policy in the presence of external risks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    450. Anton Korinek & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2013. "From Sudden Stops to Fisherian Deflation: Quantitative Theory and Policy Implications," NBER Working Papers 19362, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    451. Jorge Alberto Fornero & Roque Esteban Montero & Andrés J. Yany, 2017. "Reassessing the Effects of Foreign Monetary Policy on Output: New Evidence from Structural and Agnostic Identification Procedures," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Ángel Estrada García & Alberto Ortiz Bolaños (ed.), International Spillovers of Monetary Policy, edition 1, chapter 3, pages 31-72, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    452. Bertrand Gruss & Karel Mertens, 2009. "Regime Switching Interest Rates and Fluctuations in Emerging Markets," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/22, European University Institute.
    453. Cakici, S. Meral, 2011. "Financial integration and business cycles in a small open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1280-1302.
    454. Yelkesen, OÄŸuzhan, 2022. "The Dynamic Link between Bond Spreads and Fiscal Indicators: An Empirical Investigation of Turkey," Asian Journal of Applied Economics, Kasetsart University, Center for Applied Economics Research, vol. 29(2).
    455. Anand, Arsh & Vanpée, Rosanne & Lončarski, Igor, 2023. "Sustainability and sovereign credit risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    456. Zheng, Huanhuan, 2023. "Sovereign debt responses to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    457. Li, Jinyue, 2018. "Sudden stops, financial frictions, and the banking sector," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 144-154.
    458. Bulut Levent, 2011. "External Debts and Current Account Adjustments," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-53, December.
    459. Guler, Halil & Talasli, Anil, 2012. "Determinants Of Sovereign Bond Spreads A Comparative Analysis During The Global Financial Crisis," MPRA Paper 51009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    460. LaGarda, Guillermo & Manzano, Osmel & Prat, Jordi, 2015. "The Legacy of the Crisis: Policy Options in a Favorable Environment," MPRA Paper 72151, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    461. Anil Ari, 2016. "Sovereign Risk and Bank Risk-Taking," 2016 Papers par455, Job Market Papers.
    462. Emine Boz & Bora Durdu & Nan Li, 2009. "Labor market search in emerging economies," International Finance Discussion Papers 989, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    463. de Ferra, Sergio & Mallucci, Enrico, 2022. "Sovereign risk matters: Endogenous default risk and the time-varying volatility of interest rate spreads," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    464. Pierre‐Richard Agénor, 2006. "Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Fluctuations under Pegged Exchange Rates," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 73(292), pages 579-604, November.
    465. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Horacio Sapriza, 2006. "Computing business cycles in emerging economy models," Working Paper 06-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    466. Byrne, Joseph P & Nagayasu, Jun, 2011. "Common factors of the exchange risk premium in emerging European markets," MPRA Paper 31393, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    467. Dong, Feng & Mei, Dongzhou & Xiao, Zehua, 2025. "Asset bubbles and financial frictions in small open economies☆," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    468. Stefan Avdjiev & Valentina Bruno & Catherine Koch & Hyun Song Shin, 2019. "The Dollar Exchange Rate as a Global Risk Factor: Evidence from Investment," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 151-173, March.
    469. Bahadir, Berrak & Lastrapes, William D., 2015. "Emerging market economies and the world interest rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-28.
    470. Bonilla, Eugenio Diaz, 2008. "Global Macroeconomic Developments and Poverty," IFPRI Discussion Papers 42324, CGIAR, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    471. Jean-Pierre Allégret & Alain Sand-Zantman, 2008. "Does a Monetary Union protect again foreign shocks? An assessment of Latin American integration using a Bayesian VAR," Working Papers 0809, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Etienne (GATE Lyon St-Etienne), Université de Lyon.
    472. Fernández Martín, Andrés & Herreño, Juan David, 2013. "Equilibrium Unemployment During Financial Crises," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4238, Inter-American Development Bank.
    473. Tavares, Tiago, 2015. "Labor Market Distortions under Sovereign Default Crises," MPRA Paper 66964, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    474. Guillermo Hausmann-Guil, 2025. "Online Appendix to "Solving DSGE models with incomplete markets by perturbation"," Online Appendices 24-34, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    475. Notz, Stefan & Rosenkranz, Peter, 2021. "Business cycles in emerging markets: The role of liability dollarization and valuation effects," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 424-450.
    476. Qian, Xingwang & Steiner, Andreas, 2017. "International reserves and the maturity of external debt," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 399-418.
    477. Richard H. Clarida & Ildikó Magyari, 2016. "International Financial Adjustment in a Canonical Open Economy Growth Model," NBER Working Papers 22758, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    478. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo B. de Mattos & João E. de Lima, 2021. "Commodity prices and the Brazilian real exchange rate," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 3152-3172, April.
    479. Shambaugh, Jay C. & Zhou, Hang, 2024. "Interest rates across the world: Global, regional, and idiosyncratic factors," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    480. Elekdag, Selim & Tchakarov, Ivan, 2007. "Balance sheets, exchange rate policy, and welfare," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 3986-4015, December.
    481. Mamondi Victor Daniel & Oviedo Jorge & De la Rosa Adolfo, 2023. "El-Déficit-Fiscal-Deteriora-el-Tipo-de-Cambio-Real.-Evidencias-por-medio-de-un-modelo-de-EGDE-para-Argentina," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4666, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    482. Arellano, Cristina, 2008. "Default risk and income fluctuations in emerging economies," MPRA Paper 7867, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    483. Giulio Cifarelli & Giovanna Paladino, 2007. "The buffer stock model redux? An analysis of the dynamics of foreign reserve accumulation," Working Papers - Economics wp2007_02.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    484. Carlos Vegh & Amartya Lahiri & Viktoria Hnatkovska, 2011. "The Exchange Rate Response Puzzle," 2011 Meeting Papers 425, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    485. Coşkun, Sevgi, 2022. "Informal employment and business cycles in emerging market economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    486. Thomas McGregor, 2015. "Commodity price shocks, growth and structural transformation inlow-income countries," OxCarre Working Papers 163, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    487. Carlos Alba & Julio A. Carrillo & Raúl Ibarra, 2024. "Information Effects of US Monetary Policy Announcements on Emerging Economies: Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2024-14, Banco de México.
    488. Carlos Garcia, 2012. "Why Does Monetary Policy Respond to the Real Exchange Rate in Small Open Economies? A Bayesian Perspective," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv287, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
    489. Ben Zeev, Nadav & Pappa, Evi & Vicondoa, Alejandro, 2017. "Emerging economies business cycles: The role of commodity terms of trade news," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 368-376.
    490. Constance de Soyres & Anna Rogantini Picco & Miss Randa Sab, 2019. "Debt Build-up in Frontier Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) since 2012: Global or Country-specific Factors and Way Forward?," IMF Working Papers 2019/037, International Monetary Fund.
    491. Mertens, Karel, 2007. "The Role of Expectations in Sudden Stops," Working Papers 07-10, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics.
    492. Byambasuren, Tsenguunjav & Erdenebold, Uranzaya & Otgonbayar, Baasansuren, 2013. "Policy Challenge of Resource-Rich Developing Countries: Case of Mongolia," MPRA Paper 61559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    493. Vo Phuong Mai Le & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2019. "Monetary policy in a Model with Commodity and Financial Markets," Working Papers 201928, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    494. Vivek Sharma & Edgar Silgado-Gómez, 2019. "Sovereign Spread Volatility and Banking Sector," CEIS Research Paper 454, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Mar 2019.
    495. Sungyup Chung, 2016. "Assessing the regional business cycle asymmetry in a multi-level structure framework: a study of the top 20 US MSAs," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 229-252, January.
    496. Epstein, Brendan & Finkelstein Shapiro, Alan, 2019. "Financial development, unemployment volatility, and sectoral dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 82-102.
    497. Paulina Etxeberria-Garaigorta & Amaia Iza, 2015. "The Role of Productivity and Financial Frictions in the Business Cycles of a Small Open Economy: Hong Kong 1984–2011," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 400-414, May.
    498. Menna Bizuneh & Menelik Geremew, 2021. "Assessing the Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Emerging Market Economies’ (EMEs) Sovereign Bond Risk Premium and Fiscal Solvency," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 47(4), pages 519-545, October.
    499. Chang, E.J. & Guerra, S.M. & Lima, E.J.A. & Tabak, B.M., 2008. "The stability-concentration relationship in the Brazilian banking system," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 388-397, October.
    500. Sebastian Edwards, 2012. "The Federal Reserve, the Emerging Markets, and Capital Controls: A High‐Frequency Empirical Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(s2), pages 151-184, December.
    501. Yannick Kalantzis, 2014. "Financial fragility in small open economies: firm balance sheets and the sectoral structure," Working papers 505, Banque de France.
    502. Dennis Bonam & Emmanuel De Veirman & Gavin Goy, 2020. "Should developed economies manage international capital flows?," Working Papers 702, DNB.
    503. Grey Gordon & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2013. "Dynamics of investment, debt, and default," Working Papers 13-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    504. Sangyup Choi & Myungkyu Shim, 2018. "Labor Market Dynamics in Developing Economies: the Role of Subsistence Consumption," Working papers 2018rwp-127, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    505. Gonzalez-Aguado, Eugenia, 2022. "Interest Rate Shocks and the Composition of Sovereign Debt," TSE Working Papers 22-1379, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    506. Giulio Cifarelli & Giovanna Paladino, 2008. "Reserve overstocking in a highly integrated world. New evidence from Asia and Latin America," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 315-336.
    507. Denis Belomestny & Ekaterina Krymova & Andrey Polbin, 2020. "Estimating TVP-VAR models with time invariant long-run multipliers," Papers 2008.00718, arXiv.org.
    508. Santiago Camara, 2021. "US Spillovers of US Monetary Policy: Information effects & Financial Flows," Papers 2108.01026, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    509. Renée Fry-McKibbin & Rodrigo da Silva Souza, 2018. "Chinese Resource Demand or Commodity Price Shocks: Macroeconomic Effects for an Emerging Market Economy," CAMA Working Papers 2018-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    510. Oscar Valencia & Alfredo Villca & Carolina Ulloa-Suárez & Gustavo Sánchez, 2025. "Bridging the Wage Gap: The Fiscal and Economic Gains of Reducing Government Employment Inefficiencies," Working Papers of BETA 2025-49, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    511. Mr. Ermal Hitaj & Yasin Kursat Onder, 2013. "Fiscal Discipline in WAEMU: Rules, Institutions, and Markets," IMF Working Papers 2013/216, International Monetary Fund.
    512. Augustin, Patrick & Sokolovski, Valeri & Subrahmanyam, Marti G. & Tomio, Davide, 2022. "How sovereign is sovereign credit risk? Global prices, local quantities," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 92-111.
    513. Goczek, Łukasz & Witkowski, Bartosz, 2023. "Spillover effects of the unconventional monetary policy of the European Central Bank," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 82-104.
    514. Rachel Male, 2010. "Developing Country Business Cycles: Revisiting the Stylised Facts," Working Papers 664, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    515. Jorge Selaive C. & Valentín Délano T., 2006. "Sovereign Spreads: a Factorial Approach," Journal Econom a Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 9(1), pages 49-67, April.
    516. Dongwon Lee, 2022. "Commodity terms of trade volatility and industry growth," Working Papers 202216, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    517. Uribe, Martin & Yue, Vivian Z., 2006. "Country spreads and emerging countries: Who drives whom?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 6-36, June.
    518. Marthinus C. Breitenbach & Carolyn Chisadza & Matthew Clance, 2021. "The Economic Complexity Index (ECI) and Output Volatility: High vs Low Income Countries," Working Papers 202125, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    519. Nazim Belhocine & Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba, 2013. "The Impact of Debt Sustainability and the Level of Debt on Emerging Markets Spreads," IMF Working Papers 2013/093, International Monetary Fund.
    520. Margaretic, Paula & Pouget, Sébastien, 2018. "Sovereign bond spreads and extra-financial performance: An empirical analysis of emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 340-355.
    521. Vasiliki Dimakopoulou, 2021. "Stationarity-Inducing Techniques in Small Open Economy Models with Collateral Constraints," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 725-738, September.
    522. Nan Li, 2008. "Cyclical Wage Movements in Emerging Markets Compared to Developed Economies: the Role of Interest Rates," 2008 Meeting Papers 438, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    523. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Alain Sand-Zantman, 2007. "Transmission des chocs et mécanismes d'ajustement dans le Mercosur," Post-Print halshs-00159553, HAL.
    524. Yabin Wang, 2017. "How Do Emerging Markets Respond to Macroeconomic Shocks? - Dynamic Panel Evidence on the Effects of Disasters," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(4), pages 731-760, September.
    525. Sunel, Enes, 2012. "Transitional Dynamics of Disinflation in a Small Open Economy with Heterogeneous Agents," MPRA Paper 39690, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    526. Maria Socorro Gochoco‐Bautista & Dennis S. Mapa, 2010. "Linkages between Trade and Financial Integration and Output Growth in East Asia," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 24(1), pages 1-22, March.
    527. Oliver de Groot & C. Bora Durdu & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2019. "Global v. Local Methods in the Analysis of Open-Economy Models with Incomplete Markets," Working Papers 201916, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    528. Tenreyro, Silvana & Drechsel, Thomas & McLeay, Michael, 2019. "Monetary policy for commodity booms and busts," CEPR Discussion Papers 14030, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    529. Froemel, Maren & Paczos, Wojtek, 2024. "Imperfect financial markets and the cyclicality of social spending," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    530. Meng Yan & Kai Shi, 2024. "Revisiting the Impact of US Uncertainty Shocks: New Evidence from China’s Investment Dynamics," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 457-495, July.
    531. Leonardo Martinez & Juan Hatchondo & Javier Bianchi, 2012. "Sovereign defaults and optimal reserves management," 2012 Meeting Papers 1125, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    532. Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Emanuela Lotti, 2011. "The Costs and Benefits of Informality," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0211, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    533. Jin, Jiayu & Han, Liyan & Wu, Lei & Zeng, Hongchao, 2020. "The hedging effectiveness of global sectors in emerging and developed stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 92-117.
    534. Barrail, Zulma, 2020. "Business cycle implications of rising household credit market participation in emerging countries," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    535. Caputo, Rodrigo & Pedersen, Michael, 2020. "The changing nature of the real exchange rate: The role of central bank preferences," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 445-464.
    536. John Pollner, 2012. "Financial and Fiscal Instruments for Catastrophe Risk Management : Addressing Losses from Flood Hazards in Central Europe," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 9381, April.
    537. Zhongyuan Geng & Xuan Liu, 2019. "Optimal input trade policy under economic uncertainties in a small open economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(20), pages 2155-2171, April.
    538. Jens Hilscher & Yves Nosbusch, 2010. "Determinants of Sovereign Risk: Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Pricing of Sovereign Debt," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 14(2), pages 235-262.
    539. Flaccadoro, Marco & Nispi Landi, Valerio, 2025. "Foreign monetary policy and domestic inflation in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    540. Li, Delong & Magud, Nicolas E. & Werner, Alejandro, 2023. "The long-run impact of sovereign yields on corporate yields in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    541. Masahiro Inoguchi, 2021. "The impact of foreign capital flows on long‐term interest rates in emerging and advanced economies," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 268-295, May.
    542. Llosa, Luis Gonzalo & Pérez-Forero, Fernando J. & Tuesta, Vicente, 2025. "Uncertainty shocks and financial conditions in Latin-American countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    543. Alex Luiz Ferreira, 2007. "On the Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Constraints to the Real Side of the Economy," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 43-54.
    544. Sanha Noh & Ingul Baek, 2022. "What are the Driving Forces of the Economic Downturn in Korea during COVID-19? (Covid-19 Special Issue)," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 38, pages 285-322.
    545. Xingwang Qian & Andreas Steiner, 2016. "International Reserves, External Debt Maturity, and the Reinforcement Effect for Financial Stability," ifo Working Paper Series 211, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    546. Mikhail Andreev & M. Udara Peiris & Alexander Shirobokov & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2024. "Commodity cycles and financial instability in emerging economies," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 167-197, June.
    547. Enrique G. Mendoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2008. "A Solution to the Disconnect between Country Risk and Business Cycle Theories," NBER Working Papers 13861, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    548. Ricardo Correa & Horacio Sapriza, 2014. "Sovereign Debt Crises," International Finance Discussion Papers 1104, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    549. Markus Kirchner & Malte Rieth, 2010. "Sovereign Risk and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in an Emerging Market Economy," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-100/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    550. Monacelli, Tommaso & Sala, Luca & Siena, Daniele, 2023. "Real interest rates and productivity in small open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    551. Bahaj, Saleem, 2020. "Sovereign spreads in the Euro area: Cross border transmission and macroeconomic implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 116-135.
    552. Diego J. Perez, 2015. "Sovereign Debt, Domestic Banks and the Provision of Public Liquidity," Discussion Papers 15-016, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    553. Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2023. "The Price of War: Macroeconomic and Cross-Sectional Effects of Sanctions on Russia," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp756, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    554. Youngju Kim & Hyunjoon Lim, 2018. "Which External Shock Matters in Small Open Economies? US Economic Policy Uncertainty vs. Global Risk Aversion," Working Papers 2018-29, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    555. Jorge Selaive C., 2006. "Premio Soberano: Efecto de Movimientos en las Tasas de Interés Internacionales," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 9(2), pages 73-80, August.
    556. Lee, Jangyoun & Suh, Hyunduk, 2025. "Long-run effects of super low fertility on housing markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    557. Fernando de Menezes Linardi, 2016. "Assessing the Fit of a Small Open-Economy DSGE Model for the Brazilian Economy," Working Papers Series 424, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    558. Marco Airaudo, 2012. "Endogenous Dollarization, Sovereign Risk Premia and the Taylor Principle," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2012-11, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    559. Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio, 2008. "Global macroeconomic developments and poverty," IFPRI discussion papers 766, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    560. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Céspedes, Luis Felipe, 2013. "The impact of uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 316-325.
    561. Horvath, Jaroslav, 2018. "Business cycles, informal economy, and interest rates in emerging countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 96-116.
    562. Carrillo, Julio A. & Elizondo, Rocio & Hernández-Román, Luis G., 2020. "Inquiry on the transmission of U.S. aggregate shocks to Mexico: A SVAR approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    563. Carlos Esteban Posada & Liz Londo~no-Sierra, 2026. "The Real Interest Rate as a Control Variable in the Open Economy," Papers 2605.03966, arXiv.org.
    564. Ning Zhang, 2018. "Asset home bias in debtor and creditor countries," Working Papers 2019_11, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    565. Kumhof, Michael, 2010. "On the theory of sterilized foreign exchange intervention," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1403-1420, August.
    566. Horvath, Jaroslav & Yang, Guanyi, 2022. "Unemployment dynamics and informality in small open economies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    567. Hwang, Seolwoong & Kim, Soyoung, 2022. "Real business cycles in emerging countries: Are Asian business cycles different from Latin American business cycles?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    568. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Yasin Kürsat Önder & Francisco Roch, 2022. "Sovereign Cocos," Working Papers 139, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
      • Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Mr. Leonardo Martinez & Kursat Onder & Mr. Francisco Roch, 2022. "Sovereign Cocos," IMF Working Papers 2022/078, International Monetary Fund.
    569. Rasaki, Mutiu Gbade & Malikane, Christopher, 2015. "Macroeconomic shocks and fluctuations in African economies," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 675-696.
    570. Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Oyekola, Olayinka, 2015. "Oil Prices and the Dynamics of Output and Real Exchange Rate," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/18, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    571. Singh, Anurag, 2024. "Clustered sovereign defaults," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    572. Mustafa Kilinç & Zübeyir Kilinç & M. Ibrahim Turhan, 2012. "Resilience of the Turkish Economy During the Global Financial Crisis of 2008," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(S5), pages 19-34, November.
    573. Vicondoa, Alejandro, 2016. "Monetary News, U.S. Interest Rate and Business Cycles in Emerging Economies," Economics Working Papers ECO2016/10, European University Institute.
    574. Jiao, Yang, 2024. "Financial crises, bailouts and monetary policy in open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    575. Vashchelyuk, N.V. (Ващелюк, Н.В.) & Polbin, Andrey (Полбин, Андрей) & Trunin, Pavel (Трунин, Павел), 2016. "The Econometric Estimation of the Macroeconomic Effects of the Shock of Monetary Policy for the Russian Economy [Эконометрическая Оценка Макроэкономических Эффектов Шока Денежно-Кредитной Политики Для Российской Экономики]," Working Papers 2133, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    576. Yasin Mimir & Enes Sunel, 2015. "External shocks, banks and optimal monetary policy in an open economy," BIS Working Papers 528, Bank for International Settlements.
    577. Myung-Soo Yie & Byoung Hark Yoo, 2016. "The Role Of Foreign Debt And Financial Frictions In A Small Open Economy Dsge Model," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 61(05), pages 1-23, December.
    578. Chihi, Foued & Normandin, Michel, 2013. "External and budget deficits in some developing countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 77-98.
    579. Hoffmann, Mathias, 2005. "Fixed versus flexible exchange rates: Evidence from developing countries," CFR Working Papers 05-03, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    580. Tim D. Maurer & Thomas Nitschka, 2020. "Stock market evidence on the international transmission channels of US monetary policy surprises," Working Papers 2020-10, Swiss National Bank.
    581. Julien Acalin & Leonardo Martinez & Francisco Roch, 2025. "Fiscal Rules, Robust Correction Mechanisms, and Sovereign Spreads," Department of Economics Working Papers 2025_11, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.

Articles

  1. Baṣkaya, Yusuf Soner & Hardy, Bryan & Kalemli-Özcan, Ṣebnem & Yue, Vivian, 2024. "Sovereign risk and bank lending: Evidence from 1999 Turkish Earthquake," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Gilchrist, Simon & Wei, Bin & Yue, Vivian Z. & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2024. "The Fed takes on corporate credit risk: An analysis of the efficacy of the SMCCF," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Urban J. Jermann & Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue, 2022. "The Two‐Pillar Policy for the RMB," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(6), pages 3093-3140, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Gilchrist, Simon & Wei, Bin & Yue, Vivian Z. & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2022. "Sovereign risk and financial risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Simon Gilchrist & Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue & Egon Zakrajšek, 2021. "The Term Structure of the Excess Bond Premium: Measures and Implications," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2021(12), September.

    Cited by:

    1. Rogers, John & Sun, Bo & Wu, Wenbin, 2025. "Drivers of the global financial cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    2. Andreas D. Christopoulos & Joshua G. Barratt, 2024. "Liquidity risk and CMBX microstructure," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(2), pages 148-185, April.
    3. Kevin Benson & Ing-Haw Cheng & John Hull & Charles Martineau & Yoshio Nozawa & Vasily Strela & Yuntao Wu & Jun Yuan, 2024. "Understanding the Excess Bond Premium," Papers 2412.04063, arXiv.org.

  6. Wei, Bin & Yue, Vivian Z., 2020. "Liquidity backstops and dynamic debt runs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue, 2020. "The Federal Reserve's Liquidity Backstops to the Municipal Bond Market during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Policy Hub, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 2020(5), pages 1-10, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Ayaydın Hacıömeroğlu, Hande & Danışoğlu, Seza & Güner, Z. Nuray & Şahin, Baki Cem, 2026. "Here's the Greenium eclipsed by market-wide illiquidity in the municipal bond market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).

  8. Simon Gilchrist & Vivian Yue & Egon Zakrajšek, 2019. "U.S. Monetary Policy and International Bond Markets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(S1), pages 127-161, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Jermann, Urban J. & Yue, Vivian Z., 2018. "Interest rate swaps and corporate default," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 104-120.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Seunghoon Na & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martín Uribe & Vivian Yue, 2018. "The Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(7), pages 1773-1819, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek & Vivian Z. Yue, 2016. "The response of sovereign bond yields to U.S. monetary policy," Journal Econom a Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 102-106, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Bartkiewicz Piotr, 2018. "The Impact of Quantitative Easing on Emerging Markets – Literature Review," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 14(4), pages 67-76, December.
    2. Jongrim Ha, 2021. "Financial market spillovers of U.S. monetary policy shocks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 1221-1274, November.
    3. Nihar Shah, 2022. "Doubly heterogeneous monetary spillovers," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 126-150, August.
    4. Vania Stavrakeva & Jenny Tang, 2018. "The dollar during the global recession: US monetary policy and the exorbitant duty," Working Papers 18-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    5. Ricardo J. Caballero & Gunes Kamber, 2019. "On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks," NBER Working Papers 26031, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Jongrim Ha, 2020. "Nonlinear transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks to international financial markets," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 350-369, December.
    7. Kim, Kyoung-Gon, 2022. "Financial Crisis and the Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy Surprises," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 63(2), pages 104-125, December.
    8. Stavrakeva, Vania & Tang, Jenny, 2019. "The Dollar During the Great Recession: US Monetary Policy Signaling and The Flight To Safety," CEPR Discussion Papers 14034, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    9. Domenico Lombardi, Pierre Siklos, Samantha St. Amand, 2018. "Asset Price Spillovers From Unconventional Monetary Policy: A Global Empirical Perspective," LCERPA Working Papers 0109, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised 30 Jan 2018.

  12. Samir Jahjah & Bin Wei & Vivian Zhanwei Yue, 2013. "Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Bond Spreads in Developing Countries," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(7), pages 1275-1300, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Enrique G. Mendoza & Vivian Z. Yue, 2012. "A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 127(2), pages 889-946.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Yue, Vivian Z., 2010. "Sovereign default and debt renegotiation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 176-187, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Diebold, Francis X. & Li, Canlin & Yue, Vivian Z., 2008. "Global yield curve dynamics and interactions: A dynamic Nelson-Siegel approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 351-363, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. Uribe, Martin & Yue, Vivian Z., 2006. "Country spreads and emerging countries: Who drives whom?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 6-36, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Martin Uribe & Vivian Z. Yue, 2004. "Country spreads and emerging countries: who drives whom?," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun.

    Cited by:

    1. Fernando Broner & Guido Lorenzoni & Sergio Schmuckler, 2006. "Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?," 2006 Meeting Papers 841, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Flores, Jairo, 2015. "Transmisión de Choques de Política Monetaria de Estados Unidos sobre América Latina: Un Enfoque GVAR," Working Papers 2015-018, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    3. Raddatz, Claudio, 2005. "Are external shocks responsible for the instability of output in low income countries?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3680, The World Bank.
    4. D'Agostino, Antonello & Ehrmann, Michael, 2012. "The pricing of G7 sovereign bond spreads – the times, they are a-changin," MPRA Paper 40604, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Buffie, Edward F., 2009. "Public sector layoffs, severance pay, and inflation in the small open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 987-1005, October.
    6. Loayza, Norman V. & Raddatz, Claudio, 2006. "The structural determinants of external vulnerability," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4089, The World Bank.
    7. Oviedo, P. Marcelo, 2005. "World Interest Rate, Business Cycles, and Financial Intermediation in Small Open Economies," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12360, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    8. C. Bora Durdu, 2006. "Are Indexed Bonds a Remedy for Sudden Stops?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 11, Society for Computational Economics.

Chapters

  1. Simon Gilchrist & Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue & Egon Zakrajšek, 2021. "Sovereign Risk and Financial Risk," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2021, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Simon Gilchrist & Vivian Z. Yue & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016. "The Response of Sovereign Bond Yields to U.S. Monetary Policy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Elías Albagli & Diego Saravia & Michael Woodford (ed.),Monetary Policy through Asset Markets: Lessons from Unconventional Measures and Implications for an Integrated World, edition 1, volume 24, chapter 8, pages 257-283, Central Bank of Chile.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.