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International capital flows to emerging and developing countries: national and global determinants

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  • Joseph P. Byrne
  • Norbert Fiess

Abstract

This paper examines international capital flows to emerging and developing countries. We assess whether commonalities exist, the permanence of shocks to commonalities and their determinants. Also, we consider individual country coherence with global capital flows and we measure the extent of co-movements in the volatility of capital flows. Our results suggest there are commonalities in capital inflows, although aggregate or disaggregate capital flows respond differently to shocks. We find that the US long run real interest rate is an important determinant of global capital flows, and real commodity prices are relevant but to a lesser extent. We also find a role for human capital in explaining why some countries can successfully ride the wave of financial globalisation.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph P. Byrne & Norbert Fiess, 2011. "International capital flows to emerging and developing countries: national and global determinants," Working Papers 2011_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    • Handle: RePEc:gla:glaewp:2011_01
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    4. Henri Audigé, 2014. "Net flows to emerging markets’ funds and the U.S. monetary policy after the subprime crisis," EconomiX Working Papers 2014-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
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    7. Alan M. M. Leal & Stefan D'Amato & Igor V. M. Viveiros, 2021. "Short and long-run relations between capital netflows and the differential of american and brazilian interest rates," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 629, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    8. Arias, Fernando & Parra-Amado, Daniel & Garrido, Daira, 2013. "¿Responden los diferentes tipos de flujos de capitales a los mismos fundamentos y en el mismo grado? : evidencia reciente para países emergentes," Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 2, pages 53-81, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    9. Hernández Vega Marco A., 2018. "Does Monetary Policy in Advanced Economies Have Differentiated Effects on Portfolio Flows to Emerging Economies?," Working Papers 2018-27, Banco de México.
    10. Hernandez-Vega, Marco, 2019. "Estimating Capital Flows To Emerging Market Economies With Heterogeneous Panels," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(5), pages 2068-2088, July.
    11. Lorena Keller, 2018. "Prudential Capital Controls and Risk Misallocation: Bank Lending Channel," 2018 Meeting Papers 129, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    12. Gabriel Garber & Atif Mian & Jacopo Ponticelli & Amir Sufi, 2018. "Household Debt and Recession in Brazil," NBER Working Papers 25170, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Fernando Arias & David Delgado & Daniel Parra & Hernán Rincón-Castro, 2016. "Gross Capital Flows and their long-term Determinants for Developing Economies: A Panel Co-integration Approach," Borradores de Economia 932, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    14. Tomislav Globan, 2015. "Financial integration, push factors and volatility of capital flows: evidence from EU new member states," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 42(3), pages 643-672, August.
    15. Dolly Sunny & Anupama Unnikrishnan, 2015. "Pattern of capital inflows in BRICS: Aspects to ponder for policy implementation," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(6), pages 219-234, Special I.
    16. Monica Singhania & Neha Saini, 2018. "Determinants of FPI in Developed and Developing Countries," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(1), pages 187-213, February.
    17. Rafael Cezar & Maéva Silvestrini, 2018. "Impact of the ECB Quantitative Easing on the French International Investment Position," Working papers 701, Banque de France.
    18. Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi & Forget Mingiri Kapingura, 2022. "Drivers of capital inflow: Does global uncertainty matter?," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 2124596-212, December.
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    20. Ahmed, Shaghil & Zlate, Andrei, 2014. "Capital flows to emerging market economies: A brave new world?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PB), pages 221-248.
    21. Fredy Gamboa‐Estrada, 2020. "The Determinants Of Private Capital Flows In Emerging Economies: The Role Of The Fed'S Unconventional Monetary Policy," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 38(4), pages 694-710, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital Flows; Emerging Markets; Developing Countries; Global Factors;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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