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International capital flows to emerging markets: National and global determinants

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  • Byrne, Joseph P.
  • Fiess, Norbert

Abstract

Using a novel dataset for emerging markets, we empirically investigate the nature and determinants of aggregate and disaggregate capital inflows. We present formal statistical evidence of commonalities in capital inflows, with the strongest evidence for the level of equity and bank flows. Advanced economy long-run bond yields and commodity prices are identified as determinants of global capital flows. We also consider the national determinants of capital flows, finding that financial openness and institutions matter for country flows. Finally, we identify important commonalities in the volatility of bank inflows.

Suggested Citation

  • Byrne, Joseph P. & Fiess, Norbert, 2016. "International capital flows to emerging markets: National and global determinants," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 82-100.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:61:y:2016:i:c:p:82-100
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.11.005
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    2. repec:bla:eufman:v:25:y:2019:i:1:p:181-206 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Scott Davis, J. & Zlate, Andrei, 2019. "Monetary policy divergence and net capital flows: Accounting for endogenous policy responses," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 15-31.
    4. Avdjiev, Stefan & Hale, Galina, 2019. "U.S. monetary policy and fluctuations of international bank lending," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 251-268.
    5. Maria Sole Pagliari & Swarnali Ahmed Hannan, 2017. "The Volatility of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets: Measures and Determinants," Departmental Working Papers 201710, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    6. Rogelio Mercado Jr., 2018. "Bilateral Capital Flows: Gravity, Push, and Pull," Trinity Economics Papers tep0818, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    7. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Alper, Koray & Pereira da Silva, Luiz, 2018. "External shocks, financial volatility and reserve requirements in an open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 23-43.
    8. Erdal Özmen & Fatma Taşdemir, 2019. "Globalisation And Governance: Thresholds For The Impacts Of The Main Determinants Of Capital Inflows?," ERC Working Papers 1902, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Mar 2019.
    9. Nordine Abidi & Burcu Hacibedel & Mwanza Nkusu, 2016. "Changing Times for Frontier Markets; A Perspective from Portfolio Investment Flows and Financial Integration," IMF Working Papers 16/177, International Monetary Fund.
    10. repec:eee:intfin:v:51:y:2017:i:c:p:142-154 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Xie, En & Reddy, K.S. & Liang, Jie, 2017. "Country-specific determinants of cross-border mergers and acquisitions: A comprehensive review and future research directions," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 127-183.
    12. Poncela, Pilar & Corona, Francisco & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2017. "Estimating non-stationary common factors : Implications for risk sharing," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 24585, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    13. Ashima Goyal & Rajeswari Sengupta & Akhilesh Verma, 2019. "External debt financing and macroeconomic instability in emerging market economies," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2019-013, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital flows; Emerging markets; Global factors; Idiosyncratic flows;

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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