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Taming the Tide of Capital Flows: A Policy Guide

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  • Ghosh, Atish R.

    () (International Monetary Fund)

  • Ostry, Jonathan D.

    () (The International Monetary Fund)

  • Qureshi, Mahvash S.

    () (International Monetary Fund)

Abstract

While always episodic in nature, capital flows to emerging market economies have been especially volatile since the global financial crisis. After peaking at $680 billion in 2007, flows to emerging markets turned negative at the onset of crisis in 2008, then rebounded only to recede again during the U.S. sovereign debt downgrade in 2011. Since then, flows have continued to swing wildly, leaving emerging market policy makers wondering whether they can put in place policies during the inflow phase that will soften the blow when flows subsequently recede. This book offers the first comprehensive treatment of policy measures intended to help emerging markets contend with large and volatile capital flows. The authors, all IMF experts, explain that, in the spirit of liberalization and deregulation in the 1980s and 1990s, many emerging market governments eliminated capital inflow controls along with outflow controls. By 2012, however, capital inflow controls were again acknowledged as legitimate policy tools. Focusing on the macroeconomic and financial-stability risks associated with capital flows, the authors combine theoretical and empirical analysis to consider the interaction between monetary, exchange rate, macroprudential, and capital control policies to mitigate these risks. They examine the effectiveness of various policy tools, discuss the practical considerations and multilateral implications of their use, and provide concrete policy advice for dealing with capital inflows.

Suggested Citation

  • Ghosh, Atish R. & Ostry, Jonathan D. & Qureshi, Mahvash S., 2018. "Taming the Tide of Capital Flows: A Policy Guide," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262037165, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:mtp:titles:0262037165
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    Cited by:

    1. Jeffrey Frankel, 2019. "Systematic Managed Floating," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 255-295, April.
    2. Jon Frost & Hiro Ito & René van Stralen, 2020. "The effectiveness of macroprudential policies and capital controls against volatile capital inflows," DNB Working Papers 686, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    3. Lucía Arango-Lozano & Lukas Menkhoff & Daniela Rodríguez-Novoa & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2020. "The Effectiveness of FX Interventions: A Meta-Analysis," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1895, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    4. Luca Fornaro, 2019. "Monetary Union and Financial Integration," Working Papers 1138, Barcelona Graduate School of Economics.
    5. Miguel Acosta-Henao & Laura Alfaro & Andrés Fernández, 2020. "Sticky Capital Controls," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 877, Central Bank of Chile.
    6. Juan Sebastian Cubillos-Rocha & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia & María José Roa-García & Juliana Gamboa-Arbeláez & Sara Restrepo-Tamayo & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2018. "Effects of Interest Rate Caps on Financial Inclusion," Borradores de Economia 1060, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    7. Diego A. Cerdeiro & Andras Komaromi, 2019. "Financial Openness and Capital Inflows to Emerging Markets: In Search of Robust Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2019/194, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Alex Carrasco & David Florian Hoyle & Rafael Nivin, 2019. "SFX Interventions, Financial Intermediation, and External Shocks in Emerging Economies," Working Papers 160, Peruvian Economic Association.
    9. Carlos Viñuela & Juan Sapena & Gonzalo Wandosell, 2020. "The Future of Money and the Central Bank Digital Currency Dilemma," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(22), pages 1-22, November.
    10. Ashima Goyal & Rajeswari Sengupta & Akhilesh Verma, 2019. "External debt financing and macroeconomic instability in emerging market economies," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2019-013, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    11. Mahraddika, Wishnu, 2020. "Real exchange rate misalignments in developing countries: The role of exchange rate flexibility and capital account openness," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1-24.

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    Keywords

    economics; finance; developing economies; politics; macroeconomics; emerging market economies; capital controls; cyclical; policy tools;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General

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