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International Spillovers and Local Credit Cycles

Author

Listed:
  • Julian di Giovanni
  • Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
  • Mehmet Fatih Ulu
  • Yusuf Soner Baskaya

Abstract

This paper studies the transmission of the Global Financial Cycle (GFC) to domestic credit market conditions in a large emerging market, Turkey, over the years 2003-13. Matching administrative data covering the universe of corporate loan transactions to bank balance sheets, we document four facts: (1) an easing in global financial conditions leads to lower borrowing costs and an increase in local lending; (2) domestic banks that are more exposed to international capital markets transmit the GFC locally; (3) the fall in borrowing costs is driven by a failure in uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), where the UIP risk premium comoves with the GFC over time; (4) data on posted collateral for new loan issuances show that collateral constraints do not relax during the boom phase of the GFC.

Suggested Citation

  • Julian di Giovanni & Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Mehmet Fatih Ulu & Yusuf Soner Baskaya, 2017. "International Spillovers and Local Credit Cycles," NBER Working Papers 23149, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23149
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
    • F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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