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Trade Shocks and Credit Reallocation

Author

Listed:
  • Stefano Federico
  • Fadi Hassan
  • Veronica Rappoport

Abstract

This paper identifies a credit-supply contraction that arises endogenously after trade liberalization. Banks with loan portfolios concentrated in sectors exposed to competition from China face an increase in non-performing loans after China’s entry into the World Trade Organization. As a result, they reduce the supply of credit to firms, irrespective of the firm’s sector of operation. This cut in credit translates into lower employment, investment, and output. Through this mechanism, the financial channel amplifies the shock to firms already hit by import competition from China and passes it on to firms in sectors expected to expand upon trade liberalization.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefano Federico & Fadi Hassan & Veronica Rappoport, 2023. "Trade Shocks and Credit Reallocation," NBER Working Papers 31111, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:31111
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F60 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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