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International Reserves, External Debt Maturity, and the Reinforcement Effect for Financial Stability

Author

Listed:
  • Xingwang Qian

    (SUNY Buffalo State)

  • Andreas Steiner

    (ifo Institute)

Abstract

This paper studies how the maturity structure of external debt is affected by international reserves and how they reinforce financial stability through a more crisis-resilient maturity structure. We show in an illustrative theoretical model that reserves lengthen the maturity of external debt via a flattening of the yield curve. Using data of 66 emerging and developing countries and applying different econometric approaches, we find robust evidence that reserves increase the share of long-term (LT) relative to short-term (ST) external debt. Results hold for private and public external debt individually. Taking reserves and their effect on the debt maturity structure together, they reinforce financial stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Xingwang Qian & Andreas Steiner, "undated". "International Reserves, External Debt Maturity, and the Reinforcement Effect for Financial Stability," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2016_012, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    • Handle: RePEc:cth:wpaper:gru_2016_012
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. William Gabriel Brafu-Insaidoo, 2019. "International reserves, external debt maturity and exchange rate volatility in Ghana," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 181-202, August.
    3. Coulibaly, Issiaka & Gnimassoun, Blaise & Mighri, Hamza & Saadaoui, Jamel, 2024. "International reserves, currency depreciation and public debt: New evidence of buffer effects in Africa," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. repec:cam:camjip:2319 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak, 2019. "Hoarding for Stormy Days - Test of International Reserves Providing Financial Buffer Services," NBER Working Papers 25909, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Maeng, Fred Seunghyun, 2023. "The Theory of Reserve Accumulation, Revisited," CEPR Discussion Papers 18644, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Qian, Xingwang & Steiner, Adreas, 2017. "The Reinforcement Effect of International Reserves for Financial Stability," Research Report 2017-018-GEM, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    8. Wang, Hao & Xu, Ning & Yin, Haiyan & Ji, Hao, 2022. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on financial stability in China after crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    9. Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak, 2020. "Hoarding for stormy days—Test of international reserves adjustment providing financial buffer stock services," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 656-675, August.
    10. Chokri Zehri, 2020. "The Domestic Impacts And Spillovers Of Capital Controls," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 65(227), pages 31-66, October –.
    11. Chokri Zehri, 2020. "Capital controls to manage foreign exchange reserves and foreign debts," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 38(1), pages 271-294.
    12. Tachy, Marcelo Martins & Vasconcelos, Gláucia Fernandes & dos Santos Mendes, Layla, 2026. "A global assessment of banks’ capacity to support the energy transition: Evidence from developed and emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    13. Mirza, Nawazish & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Inflation prediction in emerging economies: Machine learning and FX reserves integration for enhanced forecasting," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    14. Joshua Aizenman & Yin-Wong Cheung & Xingwang Qian, 2025. "International Reserve Management and Firm Investment in Emerging Market Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 503-540, April.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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