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Indexed Sovereign Debt: An Applied Framework

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  • Guido Sandleris
  • Horacio Sapriza
  • Filippo Taddei

Abstract

A number of countries have issued sovereign debt instruments indexed to real variables in recent years. This type of contracts could improve risk sharing between debtor countries and international creditors and diminish the probability of occurrence of debt crises. This paper characterizes the optimal features of real indexed sovereign debt contracts in a dynamic stochastic equilibrium framework with incomplete markets. We show that the optimal indexed debt contract should not be studied abstracting from the total portfolio of assets and liabilities of the issuing country. We also show that the optimal contract is similar to an insurance contract, and that a country can replicate it using existing instruments, in particular, a combination of international reserves and GDP-indexed bonds. Calibrating our model to Argentina's economy we find that the welfare gains from introducing indexed debt and allowing asset accumulation could be equivalent to an increase of between 0.1% and 0.5% in certainty equivalent aggregate consumption.

Suggested Citation

  • Guido Sandleris & Horacio Sapriza & Filippo Taddei, 2009. "Indexed Sovereign Debt: An Applied Framework," Business School Working Papers 2009-01, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
  • Handle: RePEc:udt:wpbsdt:2009-01
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    2. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Cesar Sosa-Padilla & Leonardo Martinez, 2010. "Debt dilution, overborrowing, and sovereign default risk," 2010 Meeting Papers 481, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Dias, Daniel A. & Richmond, Christine & Wright, Mark L.J., 2014. "The stock of external sovereign debt: Can we take the data at ‘face value’?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 1-17.
    4. Guido Sandleris & Mark L.J. Wright, 2013. "GDP-Indexed Bonds: A Tool to Reduce Macroeconomic Risk?," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    5. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Francisco Roch, 2012. "Fiscal rules and the sovereign default premium," Working Paper 12-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    6. Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan & Johannes Holler, 2013. "Introduction and Key Findings," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    7. Alessandro Missale, 2013. "The Future of Sovereign Borrowing in Europe," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
      • Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan & Johannes Holler & Ulrich Bindseil & Nicolas Sauter & Hans J. Blommestein & Maria Cannata & Juha Kilponen & Alessandro Missale & Ewald Nowotny & Guido Sandleris & Mark L., 2013. "The Future of Sovereign Borrowing in Europe," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 2013/5 edited by Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan & Johannes Holler, March.
    8. Ewald Nowotny, 2013. "Opening Address SUERF/OeNB/BWG Conference on ‘The Future of Sovereign Borrowing in Europe’," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    9. López-Martín Bernabé & Leal-Ordoñez Julio C. & Martínez André, 2017. "Commodity Price Risk Management and Fiscal Policy in a Sovereign Default Model," Working Papers 2017-04, Banco de México.
    10. Hans J. Blommestein, 2013. "Forces Shaping the OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook with Emphasis on the Challenges for European Sovereign Issuers," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    11. Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez, 2012. "On the benefits of GDP-indexed government debt: lessons from a model of sovereign defaults," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 2Q, pages 139-157.
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    16. Johannes Holler, 2013. "Funding Strategies of Sovereign Debt Management: A Risk Focus," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 51-74.
    17. Barr, David & Bush, Oliver & Pienkowski, Alex, 2014. "GDP-linked bonds and sovereign default," Bank of England working papers 484, Bank of England.
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    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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