Contingent Reserves Management: An Applied Framework
One of the most serious problems that a central bank in an emerging market economy can face, is the sudden reversal of capital inflows. Hoarding international reserves can be used to smooth the impact of such reversals, but these reserves are seldom sufficient and always expensive to hold. In this paper we argue that adding richer hedging instruments to the portfolios held by central banks can significantly improve the efficiency of the anti-sudden stop mechanism. We illustrate this point with a simple quantitative hedging model, where optimally used options and futures on the S&P100's implied volatility index (VIX), increases the expected reserves available during sudden stops by as much as 40 percent.
|Date of creation:||Sep 2004|
|Date of revision:|
|Publication status:||published as Ricardo J. Caballero G. & Stavros Panageas, 2005. "Contingent Reserves Management: an Applied Framework," Journal EconomÃa Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 8(2), pages 45-56, August.|
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in: The Inflation-Targeting Debate, pages 423-446
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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NBER Working Papers
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NBER Working Papers
9778, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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