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Indexed Sovereign Debt: An Applied Framework

  • Guido Sandleris
  • Horacio Sapriza
  • Filippo Taddei

In recent years, some countries have issued sovereign bonds indexed to real variables such as GDP. Moreover, there has been discussions about this issue during the European crisis. This paper analyzes the effects of introducing this type of contracts in a standard DSGE model with sovereign default risk. We solved the model numerically calibrating it to the Argentine economy and show that the introduction of GDP-indexed sovereign debt contracts reduces the probability of default and makes the government willing to hold non-contingent assets and issue real-indexed bonds at the same time. The magnitude of the welfare effect that this type of instruments could generate is equivalent to an increase of approximately half a percentage point per year in certainty equivalent aggregate consumption.

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File URL: http://www.carloalberto.org/assets/working-papers/no.104.pdf
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Paper provided by Collegio Carlo Alberto in its series Carlo Alberto Notebooks with number 104.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision: 2011
Handle: RePEc:cca:wpaper:104
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