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The Covid pandemic in the market: infected, immune and cured bonds

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  • Zaghini, Andrea

Abstract

By focusing on the cost conditions at issuance, I find that not only the Covid-19 pandemic effects were different across bonds and firms at different stages, but also that the market composition was significantly affected, collapsing on investment-grade bonds, a segment in which the share of bonds eligible to the ECB corporate programmes strikingly increased from 15% to 40%. Contemporaneously, the high-yield segment shrunk to almost disappear at 4%. Another source of risk detected in the pricing mechanism is the weak resilience to pandemic: the premium requested is around 30 bp and started to be priced only after the early containment actions taken by the national authorities. On the contrary, I do not find evidence supporting an increased risk for corporations headquartered in countries with a reduced fiscal space, nor the existence of a premium in favour of green bonds, which should be the backbone of a possible “green recovery”. JEL Classification: G15, G32, E52

Suggested Citation

  • Zaghini, Andrea, 2021. "The Covid pandemic in the market: infected, immune and cured bonds," Working Paper Series 2563, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212563
    Note: 3828417
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    Cited by:

    1. Fatica, Serena & Panzica, Roberto, 2021. "Sustainable investing in times of crisis: evidence from bond holdings and the COVID-19 pandemic," Working Papers 2021-07, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    corporate quantitative easing; Covid pandemic; ECB; green bonds;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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