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Transmisión de choques de política monetaria de EstadosUnidos sobre América Latina: Un enfoque GVAR

Author

Listed:
  • Flores, Jairo

Abstract

Este trabajo estudia la transmisión de choques de política monetaria de EVA sobre América Latina, especificando su interrelación con el resto del mundo a través de sus vínculos comerciales. Para ello, se utiliza el enfoque GVAR que permite estudiar la interdependencia a nivel de países y variables, utilizando datos mensuales desde 2003 hasta 2014. Dado que en gran parte de la muestra la tasa de política de la Fed se encuentra cercana del límite inferior de cero, se emplea una medida alternativa denominada "tasa Fed sombra". Se encuentra que un choque de política monetaria contractiva en EVA produce una disminución significativa y persistente de la actividad económica y de los precios en los países de la región.

Suggested Citation

  • Flores, Jairo, 2016. "Transmisión de choques de política monetaria de EstadosUnidos sobre América Latina: Un enfoque GVAR," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 32, pages 35-54.
    • Handle: RePEc:rbp:esteco:ree-32-02
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    File URL: https://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Revista-Estudios-Economicos/32/ree-32-flores.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Rodríguez, Gabriel & Castillo B., Paul & Guevara Ruiz, Brenda & Yamuca Salvatierra, Leonela, 2025. "Time-varying transmission of external shocks in Peru: Reassessing the role of monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. José Luis Nolazco & Patricia Lengua-Lafosse & Nikita Céspedes Reynaga, 2020. "Contribución de los choques externos en el crecimiento económico del Perú: un modelo semi-estructural," Capítulos de libros, in: Nikita Céspedes Reynaga & Norman V. Loayza & Nelson R. Ramírez Rondán (ed.), Crecimiento económico en el Perú: causas y consecuencias, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 3, pages 74-117, Universidad de San Martín de Porres.
    3. Rodríguez, Gabriel & Vassallo, Renato & Castillo B., Paul, 2023. "Effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Pacific Alliance countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    4. Gabriel Rodríguez & Renato Vassallo, 2022. "Time Evolution of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Pacific Alliance Countries: Empirical Application using TVP-VAR-SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-508, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    5. Paulo Chávez & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023. "Time changing effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru: empirical application using regime-switching VAR models with stochastic volatility," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 159(2), pages 505-544, May.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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