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Borrowing Costs after Sovereign Debt Relief

Author

Listed:
  • Valentin Lang
  • David Mihalyi
  • Andrea F. Presbitero

Abstract

Can debt moratoria help countries weather negative shocks? We exploit the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) to study the bond market effects of deferring official debt repayments. Using daily data on sovereign bond spreads and synthetic control methods, we show that countries eligible for official debt relief experience a larger decline in borrowing costs compared to similar, ineligible countries. This decline is stronger for countries that receive a larger relief, suggesting that the effect works through liquidity provision. By contrast, the results do not support the concern that official debt relief could generate stigma on financial markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Valentin Lang & David Mihalyi & Andrea F. Presbitero, 2023. "Borrowing Costs after Sovereign Debt Relief," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 331-358, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejpol:v:15:y:2023:i:2:p:331-58
    DOI: 10.1257/pol.20210166
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi & Pietro Bomprezzi, 2021. "Is to Forgive to Forget? Sovereign Risk in the Aftermath of a Default," Development Working Papers 475, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano.
    2. Diwan, Ishac & Devie, Jules, 2025. "What’s the value of a World Bank Policy-Based Guarantee?," FDL Policy Notes 2506, CEPREMAP.
    3. José Ramón Martínez Resano & Sonsoles Gallego, 2021. "G20 debt-relief initiatives for low-income countries during the pandemic," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 3/2021.
    4. Silvia Marchesi & Tania Masi & Pietro Bomprezzi, 2024. "Is to Forgive to Forget? Sovereign Risk in the Aftermath of Private or Official Debt Restructurings," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 292-334, March.
    5. Kersting, Erasmus & Kilby, Christopher, 2024. "How do stock markets in emerging economies respond to World Bank loan approvals?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. M. Ayhan Kose & Peter Nagle & Franziska Ohnsorge & Naotaka Sugawara, 2021. "What has been the impact of COVID-19 on debt? Turning a wave into a tsunami," CAMA Working Papers 2021-99, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    7. Mr. Julien Acalin & Mr. Leonardo Martinez & Mr. Francisco Roch, 2025. "Fiscal Rules, Robust Correction Mechanisms, and Sovereign Spreads," IMF Working Papers 2025/195, International Monetary Fund.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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