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Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models Do Provide Accurate Forecasts

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Adam Clements & Neda Todorova, 2014. "The impact of information flow and trading activity on gold and oil futures volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 102, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  2. Hillebrand, Eric & Schnabl, Gunther & Ulu, Yasemin, 2009. "Japanese foreign exchange intervention and the yen-to-dollar exchange rate: A simultaneous equations approach using realized volatility," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 490-505, July.
  3. Jieun Lee & Doojin Ryu, 2019. "The impacts of public news announcements on intraday implied volatility dynamics," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 656-685, June.
  4. Oberndorfer, Ulrich, 2008. "EU Emission Allowances and the Stock Market: Evidence from the Electricity Industry," ZEW Discussion Papers 08-059, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  5. Hautsch, Nikolaus & Voigt, Stefan, 2019. "Large-scale portfolio allocation under transaction costs and model uncertainty," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 221-240.
  6. Takaishi, Tetsuya, 2018. "Bias correction in the realized stochastic volatility model for daily volatility on the Tokyo Stock Exchange," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 500(C), pages 139-154.
  7. Sassan Alizadeh & Michael W. Brandt & Francis X. Diebold, 1999. "Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models or Exchange Rate Dynamics are More Interesting Than You Think," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 00-28, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
  8. Clements, Michael P., 2010. "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 536-549, May.
  9. Goswami, Samrat & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Historical volatility of advanced equity markets: The role of local and global crises," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  10. Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
  11. Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Frederiksen, Per, 2008. "Finite sample accuracy and choice of sampling frequency in integrated volatility estimation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 265-286, March.
  12. B. Craven & Sardar Islam, 2008. "A model for stock market returns: non-Gaussian fluctuations and financial factors," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 355-370, May.
  13. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 1999. "The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-059, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
  14. Egelkraut, Thorsten M. & Garcia, Philip, 2006. "Intermediate Volatility Forecasts Using Implied Forward Volatility: The Performance of Selected Agricultural Commodity Options," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1-21, December.
  15. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 74-96.
  16. Bermudez, P. de Zea & Marín, J. Miguel & Rue, Håvard & Veiga, Helena, 2024. "Integrated nested Laplace approximations for threshold stochastic volatility models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 15-35.
  17. Li, Yan & Liang, Chao & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian, 2020. "The role of the IDEMV in predicting European stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
  18. Tim Bollerslev & Viktor Todorov, 2011. "Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(6), pages 2165-2211, December.
  19. Yuta Koike, 2013. "Limit Theorems for the Pre-averaged Hayashi-Yoshida Estimator with Random Sampling," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-276, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
  20. Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-11, May.
  21. Xiangjun Chen & Bo Yan, 2024. "Research on jumps and volatility in China’s carbon market," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 1-43, February.
  22. Janus, Paweł & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2014. "Long memory dynamics for multivariate dependence under heavy tails," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 187-206.
  23. Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-01442618, HAL.
  24. repec:lan:wpaper:3046 is not listed on IDEAS
  25. Aharon, David Y. & Qadan, Mahmoud, 2020. "When do retail investors pay attention to their trading platforms?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
  26. Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2012. "Modelling and forecasting noisy realized volatility," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 217-230, January.
  27. Sylvia Sarantopoulou-Chiourea & George Skiadopoulos, 2015. "A New Predictor of Real Economic Activity: The S&P 500 Option Implied Risk Aversion," Working Papers 741, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  28. N. Antonakakis & J. Darby, 2013. "Forecasting volatility in developing countries' nominal exchange returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(21), pages 1675-1691, November.
  29. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Forecasting realized oil-price volatility: The role of financial stress and asymmetric loss," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
  30. Anisha Ghosh & Oliver Linton, 2019. "Estimation with Mixed Data Frequencies: A Bias-Correction Approach," CeMMAP working papers CWP65/19, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  31. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2019. "Time Varying Spillovers between the Online Search Volume and Stock Returns: Case of CESEE Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-30, October.
  32. Corbet, Shaen & Dunne, John James & Larkin, Charles, 2019. "Quantitative easing announcements and high-frequency stock market volatility: Evidence from the United States," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 321-334.
  33. Woerner Jeannette H. C., 2003. "Variational sums and power variation: a unifying approach to model selection and estimation in semimartingale models," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 47-68, January.
  34. Grace Lee Ching Yap, 2020. "Optimal Filter Approximations for Latent Long Memory Stochastic Volatility," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 547-568, August.
  35. Mueller, Philippe & Stathopoulos, Andreas & Vedolin, Andrea, 2017. "International correlation risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(2), pages 270-299.
  36. Trino-Manuel Niguez & Javier Perote, 2004. "Forecasting the density of asset returns," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 479, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
  37. repec:uts:finphd:39 is not listed on IDEAS
  38. Li, Hongquan & Hong, Yongmiao, 2011. "Financial volatility forecasting with range-based autoregressive volatility model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 69-76, June.
  39. Raggi, Davide & Bordignon, Silvano, 2012. "Long memory and nonlinearities in realized volatility: A Markov switching approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3730-3742.
  40. Byun, Suk Joon & Kim, Jun Sik, 2013. "The information content of risk-neutral skewness for volatility forecasting," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 142-161.
  41. Boldanov, Rustam & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2016. "Time-varying correlation between oil and stock market volatilities: Evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 209-220.
  42. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2000. "Exchange Rate Returns Standardized by Realized Volatility are (Nearly) Gaussian," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 4(3-4), pages 159-179, September.
  43. Jui-Cheng Hung & Tien-Wei Lou & Yi-Hsien Wang & Jun-De Lee, 2013. "Evaluating and improving GARCH-based volatility forecasts with range-based estimators," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(28), pages 4041-4049, October.
  44. Tsiaras, Leonidas, 2009. "The Forecast Performance of Competing Implied Volatility Measures: The Case of Individual Stocks," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2009-02, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
  45. Xekalaki, Evdokia & Degiannakis, Stavros, 2005. "Evaluating volatility forecasts in option pricing in the context of a simulated options market," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 611-629, April.
  46. Bollerslev, Tim & Kretschmer, Uta & Pigorsch, Christian & Tauchen, George, 2009. "A discrete-time model for daily S & P500 returns and realized variations: Jumps and leverage effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 151-166, June.
  47. Mihaela Craioveanu & Eric Hillebrand, 2012. "Why It Is Ok To Use The Har-Rv(1,5,21) Model," Working Papers 1201, University of Central Missouri, Department of Economics & Finance, revised Aug 2012.
  48. Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel & Podolskij, Mark, 2010. "Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 74-98, November.
  49. Vukovic, Darko B. & Lapshina, Kseniya A. & Maiti, Moinak, 2021. "Wavelet coherence analysis of returns, volatility and interdependence of the US and the EU money markets: Pre & post crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  50. Gilder, Dudley & Shackleton, Mark B. & Taylor, Stephen J., 2014. "Cojumps in stock prices: Empirical evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 443-459.
  51. Steven Cook, 2006. "The robustness of modified unit root tests in the presence of GARCH," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(4), pages 359-363.
  52. Kousik Guhathakurta & Sharad Nath Bhattacharya & Mousumi Bhattacharya, 2012. "Exploring Presence of Long Memory in Emerging and Developed Stock Markets," Working papers 107, Indian Institute of Management Kozhikode.
  53. Mohamed Boutahar & Gilles Dufrénot & Anne Péguin-Feissolle, 2008. "A Simple Fractionally Integrated Model with a Time-varying Long Memory Parameter d t," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 31(3), pages 225-241, April.
  54. Yuta Kurose, 2021. "Stochastic volatility model with range-based correction and leverage," Papers 2110.00039, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
  55. Sévi, Benoît, 2015. "Explaining the convenience yield in the WTI crude oil market using realized volatility and jumps," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 243-251.
  56. Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-17, September.
  57. Hooper, Vincent J. & Ng, Kevin & Reeves, Jonathan J., 2008. "Quarterly beta forecasting: An evaluation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 480-489.
  58. Long H. Vo, 2017. "Estimating Financial Volatility with High-Frequency Returns," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 2(2), pages 84-114, October.
  59. Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-02505861, HAL.
  60. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Econometric Analysis of Realised Covariation: High Frequency Covariance, Regression and Correlation in Financial Economics," Economics Papers 2002-W13, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, revised 18 Mar 2002.
  61. Athanasia Gavala & Nikolay Gospodinov & Deming Jiang, 2006. "Forecasting volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 381-400.
  62. Michel Beine & Bertrand Candelon, 2011. "Liberalisation and stock market co-movement between emerging economies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 299-312.
  63. John P. Owens & Douglas G. Steigerwald, 2006. "Noise reduced realized volatility: a kalman filter approach," Advances in Econometrics, in: Econometric Analysis of Financial and Economic Time Series, pages 211-227, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  64. Takahashi, Makoto & Watanabe, Toshiaki & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2016. "Volatility and quantile forecasts by realized stochastic volatility models with generalized hyperbolic distribution," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 437-457.
  65. Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2020. "Realized Measures to Explain Volatility Changes over Time," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
  66. Almut Veraart & Luitgard Veraart, 2012. "Stochastic volatility and stochastic leverage," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 205-233, May.
  67. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006. "Volatility and Correlation Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 777-878, Elsevier.
  68. Chuong Luong & Nikolai Dokuchaev, 2016. "Modeling Dependency Of Volatility On Sampling Frequency Via Delay Equations," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(02), pages 1-21, June.
  69. Hartwell, Christopher A., 2014. "The impact of institutional volatility on financial volatility in transition economies : a GARCH family approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 6/2014, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  70. Donelli, Nicola & Peluso, Stefano & Mira, Antonietta, 2021. "A Bayesian semiparametric vector Multiplicative Error Model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
  71. Jozef Baruník & Evžen KoÄ enda, 2019. "Total, Asymmetric and Frequency Connectedness between Oil and Forex Markets," The Energy Journal, , vol. 40(2_suppl), pages 157-174, December.
  72. Filip Žikeš & Jozef Baruník, 2016. "Semi-parametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 185-226.
  73. Palandri, Alessandro, 2009. "Sequential conditional correlations: Inference and evaluation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 153(2), pages 122-132, December.
  74. Sankar, Ganesh & Ramachandran, Shankar & Lukose P J, Jijo, 2020. "Dynamics of variance risk premium: Evidence from India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 321-334.
  75. David E. Rapach & Jack K. Strauss, 2008. "Structural breaks and GARCH models of exchange rate volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 65-90.
  76. Li, Xiaodan & Gong, Xue & Xing, Lu, 2024. "The impact of presidential economic approval rating on stock volatility: An industrial perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  77. Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Renatas Kizys, 2014. "The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from European Data," The Energy Journal, , vol. 35(1), pages 35-56, January.
  78. Dimitrios D. Thomakos & Michail S. Koubouros, 2011. "The Role of Realised Volatility in the Athens Stock Exchange," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 15(1-2), pages 87-124, March - J.
  79. Klaassen, Franc, 2004. "Why is it so difficult to find an effect of exchange rate risk on trade?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 817-839, September.
  80. Juan Carlos Ruilova & Pedro Alberto Morettin, 2020. "Parsimonious Heterogeneous ARCH Models for High Frequency Modeling," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-19, February.
  81. Markus Bibinger & Mathias Vetter, 2015. "Estimating the quadratic covariation of an asynchronously observed semimartingale with jumps," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 67(4), pages 707-743, August.
  82. Raffaele Mattera & Philipp Otto, 2023. "Network log-ARCH models for forecasting stock market volatility," Papers 2303.11064, arXiv.org.
  83. Rossi, Alessandro & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2006. "Volatility estimation via hidden Markov models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 203-230, March.
  84. Romuald Kenmoe & Simona Sanfelici, 2014. "An application of nonparametric volatility estimators to option pricing," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 37(2), pages 393-412, October.
  85. repec:kap:iaecre:v:14:y:2008:i:1:p:112-124 is not listed on IDEAS
  86. Lux, Thomas & Morales-Arias, Leonardo, 2010. "Forecasting volatility under fractality, regime-switching, long memory and student-t innovations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2676-2692, November.
  87. Mensi, Walid & Ko, Hee-Un & Sensoy, Ahmet & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Higher-order moment connectedness between stock and commodity markets and portfolio management," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  88. Galagedera, Don U.A. & Kitamura, Yoshihiro, 2012. "Effect of exchange rate return on volatility spill-over across trading regions," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 254-265.
  89. Duan, Yinying & Chen, Wang & Zeng, Qing & Liu, Zhicao, 2018. "Leverage effect, economic policy uncertainty and realized volatility with regime switching," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 493(C), pages 148-154.
  90. Jozef Barunik & Lukas Vacha, 2015. "Realized wavelet-based estimation of integrated variance and jumps in the presence of noise," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(8), pages 1347-1364, August.
  91. Rossi, Eduardo & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2013. "Long memory and tail dependence in trading volume and volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 94-112.
  92. Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the density of oil futures," Working Papers 2014-601, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  93. Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Niño, La Niña, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-23, July.
  94. Gregory Bauer & Keith Vorkink, 2007. "Multivariate Realized Stock Market Volatility," Staff Working Papers 07-20, Bank of Canada.
  95. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2002. "Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement," NBER Technical Working Papers 0279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  96. Alessandro Beber & Daniela Fabbri & Marco Pagano & Saverio Simonelli, 2021. "Short-Selling Bans and Bank Stability," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(1), pages 158-187.
  97. Wolff, Christian & Lehnert, Thorsten, 2001. "Modelling Scale-Consistent VaR with the Truncated Lévy Flight," CEPR Discussion Papers 2711, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  98. Yuta Kurose & Yasuhiro Omori, "undated". "Multiple-lock Dynamic Equicorrelations with Realized Measures, Leverage and Endogeneity," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1075, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  99. Zheng, Tingguo & Xiao, Han & Chen, Rong, 2015. "Generalized ARMA models with martingale difference errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(2), pages 492-506.
  100. Helena, BELTRAN & Alain, DURRE & Pierre, GIOT, 2004. "Volatility regimes and the provisions of liquidity in order book markets," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2005015, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
  101. Liu, Wenwen & Gui, Yiming & Qiao, Gaoxiu, 2022. "Dynamics lead-lag relationship of jumps among Chinese stock index and futures market during the Covid-19 epidemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  102. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Differences of opinion and stock market volatility: evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(2), pages 339-351, April.
  103. Busch, Thomas & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2011. "The role of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility and jumps in foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 48-57, January.
  104. Joel Hasbrouck, 2021. "Price Discovery in High Resolution," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(3), pages 395-430.
  105. Massimiliano Caporin & Angelo Ranaldo & Gabriel G. Velo, 2015. "Precious metals under the microscope: a high-frequency analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 743-759, May.
  106. Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2017. "Forecasting realized volatility: HAR against Principal Components Combining, neural networks and GARCH," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 824-839.
  107. Christoffersen, Peter & Feunou, Bruno & Jeon, Yoontae, 2015. "Option valuation with observable volatility and jump dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 101-120.
  108. Koike, Yuta, 2014. "Limit theorems for the pre-averaged Hayashi–Yoshida estimator with random sampling," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 124(8), pages 2699-2753.
  109. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  110. Tauchen, George & Zhou, Hao, 2011. "Realized jumps on financial markets and predicting credit spreads," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 102-118, January.
  111. Lazar, Emese & Xue, Xiaohan, 2020. "Forecasting risk measures using intraday data in a generalized autoregressive score framework," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1057-1072.
  112. Samit Paul & Madhusudan Karmakar, 2017. "Relative Efficiency of Component GARCH-EVT Approach in Managing Intraday Market Risk," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 21(4), pages 247-283, December.
  113. Yu-Hua Zeng & Shou-Lei Wang & Yu-Fei Yang, 2014. "Calibration of the Volatility in Option Pricing Using the Total Variation Regularization," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-9, March.
  114. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
  115. Gupta, Rangan & Nielsen, Joshua & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
  116. Zhang, Lixia & Luo, Qin & Guo, Xiaozhu & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Medium-term and long-term volatility forecasts for EUA futures with country-specific economic policy uncertainty indices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  117. Huang, Wen & Huang, Zhuo & Matei, Marius & Wang, Tianyi, 2012. "Price Volatility Forecast for Agricultural Commodity Futures： The Role of High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 83-103, December.
  118. Alain P. Chaboud & Sergey V. Chernenko & Edward Howorka & Raj S. Krishnasami Iyer & David Liu & Jonathan H. Wright, 2004. "The high-frequency effects of U.S. macroeconomic data releases on prices and trading activity in the global interdealer foreign exchange market," International Finance Discussion Papers 823, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  119. Mensi, Walid & Sensoy, Ahmet & Aslan, Aylin & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "High-frequency asymmetric volatility connectedness between Bitcoin and major precious metals markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  120. Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2007. "Forecasting realized volatility models:the benefits of bagging and nonlinear specifications," Textos para discussão 547, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
  121. Liao, Yin, 2013. "The benefit of modeling jumps in realized volatility for risk prediction: Evidence from Chinese mainland stocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 25-48.
  122. Xue Gong & Weiguo Zhang & Yuan Zhao & Xin Ye, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility with a large set of predictors: A new forecast combination method," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1622-1647, November.
  123. Sinha, Bhaskar, 2007. "Modeling Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Markets: Evidence from India," MPRA Paper 102455, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.
  124. Jun Lu & Shao Yi, 2022. "Reducing Overestimating and Underestimating Volatility via the Augmented Blending-ARCH Model," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(2), pages 48-59, May.
  125. Jun Zhao & Emmanuel Lépinette & Peibiao Zhao, 2019. "A new approach of coherent risk-measure pricing," Working Papers hal-02135232, HAL.
  126. John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy, 2002. "Nonlinear Features of Realized FX Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(4), pages 668-681, November.
  127. Almeida e Santos Nogueira, R.J. & Basturk, N. & Kaymak, U. & Costa Sousa, J.M., 2013. "Estimation of flexible fuzzy GARCH models for conditional density estimation," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2013-013-LIS, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
  128. Bertrand Maillet & Jean-Philippe Médecin & Thierry Michel, 2009. "High Watermarks of Market Risks," Post-Print halshs-00425585, HAL.
  129. Dufour, Jean-Marie & García, René & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2008. "Measuring causality between volatility and returns with high-frequency data," UC3M Working papers. Economics we084422, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
  130. Eleftheria Kafousaki & Stavros Degiannakis, 2023. "Forecasting VIX: the illusion of forecast evaluation criteria," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 231-240.
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