IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v8y2020i11p1922-d438733.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Garch Model Test Using High-Frequency Data

Author

Listed:
  • Chunliang Deng

    (School of Economics and Statistics, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China
    School of Mathematics, Jiaying University, Meizhou 514015, China)

  • Xingfa Zhang

    (School of Economics and Statistics, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

  • Yuan Li

    (School of Economics and Statistics, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

  • Qiang Xiong

    (School of Economics and Statistics, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

Abstract

This work is devoted to the study of the parameter test for the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. Based on the daily GARCH model, using the parameter estimator obtained by intraday high-frequency data, the adjusted Likelihood Ratio test statistic and Wald test statistic are provided. Asymptotic distributions of the two adjusted test statistics are deducted and a way to select the optimal sampling frequency is also discussed. Simulation studies show that the proposed test statistics have better size and power than traditional ones (without using intraday high-frequency data). An empirical study is given to illustrate the potential applications of the proposed tests. The results show the idea of this article is of certain superiority and it can be extended to other GARCH type models.

Suggested Citation

  • Chunliang Deng & Xingfa Zhang & Yuan Li & Qiang Xiong, 2020. "Garch Model Test Using High-Frequency Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-17, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:8:y:2020:i:11:p:1922-:d:438733
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/11/1922/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/11/1922/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Estimating quadratic variation using realized variance," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 457-477.
    2. Lee, John H. H., 1991. "A Lagrange multiplier test for GARCH models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 265-271, November.
    3. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March.
    4. Francq, Christian & ZakoI¨an, Jean-Michel, 2005. "The L2-structures of standard and switching-regime GARCH models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 115(9), pages 1557-1582, September.
    5. Li, Dong & Zhang, Xingfa & Zhu, Ke & Ling, Shiqing, 2018. "The ZD-GARCH model: A new way to study heteroscedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 1-17.
    6. Bollerslev, Tim & Ole Mikkelsen, Hans, 1996. "Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 151-184, July.
    7. Qiang Xiong & Zhiyong Hu & Yuan Li, 2018. "Statistic inference for a single-index ARCH-M model," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 102-117, January.
    8. Mariani, Maria C. & Bhuiyan, Md Al Masum & Tweneboah, Osei K. & Gonzalez-Huizar, Hector & Florescu, Ionut, 2018. "Volatility models applied to geophysics and high frequency financial market data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 304-321.
    9. Richard T. Baillie & Tim Bollerslev, 1991. "Intra-Day and Inter-Market Volatility in Foreign Exchange Rates," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(3), pages 565-585.
    10. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Valeri Voev, 2014. "Realized Beta Garch: A Multivariate Garch Model With Realized Measures Of Volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 774-799, August.
    11. Carbon, Michel & Francq, Christian, 2010. "Portmanteau goodness-of-fit test for asymmetric power GARCH models," MPRA Paper 27686, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    13. Goodhart, Charles A. E. & O'Hara, Maureen, 1997. "High frequency data in financial markets: Issues and applications," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 73-114, June.
    14. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang & Howard Howan Shek, 2012. "Realized GARCH: a joint model for returns and realized measures of volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 877-906, September.
    15. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 1990. "A Unified Approach to Robust, Regression-Based Specification Tests," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(1), pages 17-43, March.
    16. Glosten, Lawrence R & Jagannathan, Ravi & Runkle, David E, 1993. "On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1779-1801, December.
    17. Engle, Robert F., 1984. "Wald, likelihood ratio, and Lagrange multiplier tests in econometrics," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Z. Griliches† & M. D. Intriligator (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 13, pages 775-826, Elsevier.
    18. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang, 2016. "Exponential GARCH Modeling With Realized Measures of Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 269-287, April.
    19. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim, 1997. "Intraday periodicity and volatility persistence in financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 115-158, June.
    20. Lee, Sangyeol & Song, Junmo, 2008. "Test for parameter change in ARMA models with GARCH innovations," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(13), pages 1990-1998, September.
    21. Scott, Louis O., 1987. "Option Pricing when the Variance Changes Randomly: Theory, Estimation, and an Application," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 419-438, December.
    22. Berkes, Istvan & Horváth, Lajos & Kokoszka, Piotr, 2004. "Testing for parameter constancy in GARCH(p,q) models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(4), pages 263-273, December.
    23. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Estimating quadratic variation using realized variance," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 457-477.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:uts:finphd:39 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. repec:uts:finphd:38 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Fei Su, 2018. "Essays on Price Discovery and Volatility Dynamics in the Foreign Exchange Market," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2018, January-A.
    4. Harry-Paul Vander Elst, 2015. "FloGARCH: Realizing Long Memory and Asymmetries in Returns Valitility," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-12, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    5. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    6. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006. "Volatility and Correlation Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 777-878, Elsevier.
    7. Papantonis Ioannis & Rompolis Leonidas S. & Tzavalis Elias & Agapitos Orestis, 2023. "Augmenting the Realized-GARCH: the role of signed-jumps, attenuation-biases and long-memory effects," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(2), pages 171-198, April.
    8. Beatriz Vaz de Melo Mendes & Victor Bello Accioly, 2017. "Improving (E)GARCH forecasts with robust realized range measures: Evidence from international markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(4), pages 631-658, October.
    9. Huang, Zhuo & Liu, Hao & Wang, Tianyi, 2016. "Modeling long memory volatility using realized measures of volatility: A realized HAR GARCH model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 812-821.
    10. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521779654, May.
    11. Wang, Zijin & Chen, Peimin & Liu, Peng & Wu, Chunchi, 2024. "Volatility forecasts by clustering: Applications for VaR estimation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    12. Ilya Archakov & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2020. "A Multivariate Realized GARCH Model," Papers 2012.02708, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
    13. Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach, 2021. "A Bayesian realized threshold measurement GARCH framework for financial tail risk forecasting," Papers 2106.00288, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
    14. Papantonis, Ioannis & Rompolis, Leonidas & Tzavalis, Elias, 2023. "Improving variance forecasts: The role of Realized Variance features," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1221-1237.
    15. Liu, Chen & Wang, Chao & Tran, Minh-Ngoc & Kohn, Robert, 2025. "A long short-term memory enhanced realized conditional heteroskedasticity model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    16. Bontemps, Christian & Meddahi, Nour, 2005. "Testing normality: a GMM approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 149-186, January.
    17. Kuang, Wei, 2022. "The economic value of high-frequency data in equity-oil hedge," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    18. Grané Chávez, Aurea & Veiga, Helena, 2007. "The effect of realised volatility on stock returns risk estimates," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws076316, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    19. Díaz-Hernández, Adán & Constantinou, Nick, 2019. "A multiple regime extension to the Heston–Nandi GARCH(1,1) model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 162-180.
    20. Takuo Higashide & Katsuyuki Tanaka & Takuji Kinkyo & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2021. "New Dataset for Forecasting Realized Volatility: Is the Tokyo Stock Exchange Co-Location Dataset Helpful for Expansion of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive Model in the Japanese Stock Market?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-18, May.
    21. Liu, Junjie & Zhou, Qingnan & Chen, Zhenlong, 2025. "A RGARCH-CARR-SK model: A new high-frequency volatility forecasting and risk measurement model based on dynamic higher moments and generalized realized measures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    22. Chu, Carlin C.F. & Lam, K.P., 2011. "Modeling intraday volatility: A new consideration," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 388-418, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:8:y:2020:i:11:p:1922-:d:438733. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.