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The high-frequency effects of U.S. macroeconomic data releases on prices and trading activity in the global interdealer foreign exchange market

Author

Listed:
  • Alain P. Chaboud
  • Sergey V. Chernenko
  • Edward Howorka
  • Raj S. Krishnasami Iyer
  • David Liu
  • Jonathan H. Wright

Abstract

We introduce a new high-frequency foreign exchange dataset from EBS (Electronic Broking Service) that includes trading volume in the global interdealer spot market, data not previously available to researchers. The data also gives live transactable quotes, rather than the indicative quotes that have been used in most previous high frequency foreign exchange analysis. We describe intraday volume and volatility patterns in euro-dollar and dollar-yen trading. We study the effects of scheduled U.S. macroeconomic data releases, first confirming the finding of recent literature that the conditional mean of the exchange rate responds very quickly to the unexpected component of data releases. We next study the effects of data releases on trading volumes. News releases cause volume to rise, and to remain elevated for a longer period. However, in contrast to the result for the level of the exchange rate, even if the data release is entirely in line with expectations, we find that there is still typically a large pickup in trading volume.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain P. Chaboud & Sergey V. Chernenko & Edward Howorka & Raj S. Krishnasami Iyer & David Liu & Jonathan H. Wright, 2004. "The high-frequency effects of U.S. macroeconomic data releases on prices and trading activity in the global interdealer foreign exchange market," International Finance Discussion Papers 823, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgif:823
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kentaro Iwatsubo & Yoshihiro Kitamura, 2009. "Intraday evidence of the informational efficiency of the yen/dollar exchange rate," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(14), pages 1103-1115.
    2. Dominguez, Kathryn M.E. & Panthaki, Freyan, 2006. "What defines `news' in foreign exchange markets?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 168-198, February.
    3. Ito, Takatoshi & Hashimoto, Yuko, 2006. "Intraday seasonality in activities of the foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the electronic broking system," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 637-664, December.
    4. Chaboud, Alain P. & Chiquoine, Benjamin & Hjalmarsson, Erik & Loretan, Mico, 2010. "Frequency of observation and the estimation of integrated volatility in deep and liquid financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 212-240, March.
    5. Janusz Brzeszczynski & Michael Melvin, 2006. "Explaining trading volume in the euro," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(1), pages 25-34.
    6. Fischer, Andreas M. & Ranaldo, Angelo, 2011. "Does FOMC news increase global FX trading?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2965-2973, November.
    7. Fang Cai & Edward Howorka & Jon Wongswan, 2006. "Transmission of volatility and trading activity in the global interdealer foreign exchange market: evidence from electronic broking services (EBS) data," International Finance Discussion Papers 863, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Savaser, Tanseli, 2011. "Exchange rate response to macronews: Through the lens of microstructure," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 107-126, February.
    9. Hashimoto, Yuko & Ito, Takatoshi, 2010. "Effects of Japanese macroeconomic statistic announcements on the dollar/yen exchange rate: High-resolution picture," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 334-354, September.
    10. Mardi Dungey & Charles Goodhart & Demosthenes Tambakis, 2008. "The US treasury market in August 1998: untangling the effects of Hong Kong and Russia with high-frequency data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(1), pages 40-52.
    11. Fatum, Rasmus & Scholnick, Barry, 2008. "Monetary policy news and exchange rate responses: Do only surprises matter?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1076-1086, June.
    12. repec:eee:inecon:v:109:y:2017:i:c:p:214-234 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Balázs Égert, 2010. "The Impact of Monetary and Commodity Fundamentals, Macro News and Central Bank Communication on the Exchange Rate: Evidence from South Africa," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 21(5), pages 655-677, November.
    14. repec:eee:jbfina:v:85:y:2017:i:c:p:69-82 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Kathryn M. E. Dominguez & Freyan Panthaki, 2007. "The influence of actual and unrequited interventions," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(2), pages 171-200.
    16. Berger, David W. & Chaboud, Alain P. & Chernenko, Sergey V. & Howorka, Edward & Wright, Jonathan H., 2008. "Order flow and exchange rate dynamics in electronic brokerage system data," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 93-109, May.
    17. Berger, David & Chaboud, Alain & Hjalmarsson, Erik, 2009. "What drives volatility persistence in the foreign exchange market?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 192-213, November.
    18. repec:eee:jimfin:v:80:y:2018:i:c:p:75-95 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Takatoshi Ito & Yuko Hashimoto, 2008. "Price Impacts of Deals and Predictability of the Exchange Rate Movements," NBER Chapters,in: International Financial Issues in the Pacific Rim: Global Imbalances, Financial Liberalization, and Exchange Rate Policy (NBER-EASE Volume 17), pages 177-217 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. repec:sbe:breart:v:36:y:2016:i:2:a:46421 is not listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

    Foreign exchange ; Foreign exchange rates ; International trade;

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