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Effects of Japanese macroeconomic statistic announcements on the dollar/yen exchange rate: High-resolution picture

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  • Hashimoto, Yuko
  • Ito, Takatoshi

Abstract

Using high-frequency transaction data of the actual trading platform, we examine market impact of Japanese macroeconomic statistics news within minutes of their announcements on the dollar/yen exchange rate. Macroeconomic statistics surprises that consistently have significant effect on dollar/yen returns include Tankan (business condition survey conducted by Bank of Japan), GDP, industrial production, price indices and balance of payment. The announcement itself, in addition to the magnitude of the surprise, is found to increase the number of deals and price volatility immediately after the announcement. Most effects, when significant, take place within 30Â min of statistics announcements.

Suggested Citation

  • Hashimoto, Yuko & Ito, Takatoshi, 2010. "Effects of Japanese macroeconomic statistic announcements on the dollar/yen exchange rate: High-resolution picture," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 334-354, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:24:y:2010:i:3:p:334-354
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fatum, Rasmus & Hutchison, Michael & Wu, Thomas, 2012. "Asymmetries and state dependence: The impact of macro surprises on intraday exchange rates," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 542-560.
    2. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Fatum, Rasmus & Yamamoto, Yohei, 2017. "The Exchange Rate Effects of Macro News after the Global Financial Crisis," Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper 305, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    3. Hutchison, Michael & Sushko, Vladyslav, 2013. "Impact of macro-economic surprises on carry trade activity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1133-1147.
    4. Evans, Kevin & Speight, Alan, 2010. "International macroeconomic announcements and intraday euro exchange rate volatility," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 552-568, December.
    5. Aki-Hiro Sato & Takaki Hayashi & Janusz Hołyst, 2012. "Comprehensive analysis of market conditions in the foreign exchange market," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 7(2), pages 167-179, October.
    6. Takatoshi Ito & Masahiro Yamada, 2016. "Puzzles in the Forex Tokyo “Fixing”: Order Imbalances and Biased Pricing by Banks," NBER Working Papers 22820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. repec:eco:journ1:2017-02-83 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Baum, Christopher F. & Kurov, Alexander & Wolfe, Marketa Halova, 2015. "What do Chinese macro announcements tell us about the world economy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 100-122.
    9. Takatoshi Ito & Masahiro Yamada, 2015. "Was the Forex Fixing Fixed?," NBER Working Papers 21518, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. repec:eee:inecon:v:109:y:2017:i:c:p:214-234 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Takatoshi Ito & Masahiro Yamada, 2016. "Puzzles in the Tokyo Fixing in the Forex Market: Order Imbalances and Bank Pricing," UTokyo Price Project Working Paper Series 069, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics.
    12. repec:eee:jimfin:v:79:y:2017:i:c:p:232-254 is not listed on IDEAS

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