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Citations for "Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies : Do they fit out of sample?"

by Meese, Richard A. & Rogoff, Kenneth

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Cited by (explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.):
  1. Hans-Werner Sinn & Frank Westermann, 2001. "Why Has the Euro Been Falling?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  2. Naser I Abumustafa, 2006. "New evidence of the validity of purchasing power parity from Jordan," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(6), pages 379-383, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Rituparna Kar & Nityananda Sarkar, 2006. "Mean and volatility dynamics of Indian rupee/US dollar exchange rate series: an empirical investigation," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 41-69, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Udo Broll & Kit Wong, 2006. "Multinationals, Hedging, and Capital Structure under Exchange Rate Uncertainty," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 103-114, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Michael Pippenger & Gregory Goering, 1998. "Exchange Rate Forecasting: Results from a Threshold Autoregressive Model," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 157-170, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Cheng, Fuzhi & Orden, David, 2005. "Exchange rate misalignment and its effects on agricultural producer support estimates," MTID discussion papers 81, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). [Downloadable!]
  7. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2000. "The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?," NBER Working Papers 7777, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. P. de Grauwe & I. Vansteenkiste, 2003. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals a Non-Linear Relationship?," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 78, Netherlands Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Hans-Werner Sinn & Frank Westermann, 2001. "Why Has the Euro Been Falling? An Investigation into the Determinants of the Exchange Rate," NBER Working Papers 8352, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Elias Papaioannou & Richard Portes & Gregorios Siourounis, 2006. "Optimal Currency Shares in International Reserves: The Impact of the Euro and the Prospects for the Dollar," NBER Working Papers 12333, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Paul Cashin & Luis Felipe Céspedes & Ratna Sahay, 2003. "Commodity Currencies and the Real Exchange Rate," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 236, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Alexius, Annika, 2002. "Can Endogenous Monetary Policy Explain the Deviations from UIP," Working Paper Series 2002:17, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  13. William Barnett & Chang Ho Kwag, 2005. "Exchange Rate Determination from Monetary Fundamentals: an Aggregation Theoretic Approach," International Trade 0505004, EconWPA, revised 24 Oct 2005. [Downloadable!]
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  14. Taline Koranchelian, 2005. "The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in a Commodity Exporting Country: Algeria's Experience," IMF Working Papers 05/135, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  15. David H. Papell, 1986. "Activist Monetary Policy, Imperfect Capital Mobility, and the Overshooting Hypothesis," NBER Working Papers 1244, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Fernando Rubio, 2004. "Technical Analysis On Foreign Exchange: 1975 - 2004," Finance 0405033, EconWPA, revised 01 Jul 2004. [Downloadable!]
  17. Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2006. "Impact of globalization on monetary policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 265-305. [Downloadable!]
  18. Piotr Wdowinski, 2005. "Financial Markets and Economic Growth in Poland: Simulations with an Econometric Model," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  19. Chung-Hua Shen & Shyh-Wei Chen & Mei-Rong Lin, 2008. "Common wave behavior for mergers and acquisitions in OECD countries? a unique analysis using new Markov switching panel model approach," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 7(8), pages 1-12. [Downloadable!]
  20. Kenneth S. Rogoff & Vania Stavrakeva, 2008. "The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 14071, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  21. Jae-Kwang Hwang, 2003. "Dynamic forecasting of sticky-price monetary exchange rate model," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 31(1), pages 103-114, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  22. Jose Eduardo de A. Ferreira, 2006. "Effects of Fundamentals on the Exchange Rate: A Panel Analysis for a Sample of Industrialised and Emerging Economies," Studies in Economics 0603, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
  23. Manzan, S. & Westerhoff, F., 2002. "Heterogeneous Expectations, Exchange Rate Dynamics and Predictability," CeNDEF Working Papers 02-14, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance. [Downloadable!]
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  24. Barbara Rossi, 2005. "Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust to Parameter Instability," International Finance 0503006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  25. Michael B. Devereux & Philip R. Lane, 2002. "Understanding Bilateral Exchange Rate Volatility," Trinity Economics Papers 200211, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  26. Paul De Grauwe & Marianna Grimaldi, 2003. "Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market in a Model with Noise Traders," Working Papers 162003, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
  27. Don Brash & Andrew Rose, 2001. "Discussion of 'A Monetary Union in Asia? Some European Lessons' and 'Three Perspectives on an Australasian Monetary Union'," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: David Gruen & John Simon (ed.), Future Directions for Monetary Policies in East Asia Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  28. Rebecca Hellerstein & Sofia Berto Villas-Boas, 2006. "Arm's-length transactions as a source of incomplete cross-border transmission: the case of autos," Staff Reports 251, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
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  29. Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & YuQing Shen & Robert F. Whitelaw, 2003. "Do Asset Prices Reflect Fundamentals? Freshly Squeezed Evidence from the OJ Market," NBER Working Papers 9515, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  30. Roger Bjørnstad and Eilev S. Jansen, 2007. "The NOK/euro exhange rate after inflation targeting: The interest rate rules," Discussion Papers 501, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
  31. Frank Westerhoff & Sebastiano Manzan, 2004. "Does liquidity in the FX market depend on volatility?," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 6(10), pages 1-8. [Downloadable!]
  32. Richard Meese & Kenneth Rogoff, 1989. "Was it Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation, 1973-1984," NBER Working Papers 1732, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  33. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1988. "The Desirability of a Dollar Appreciation, Given a Contractionary U.S. Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 1110, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  34. Alain P. Chaboud & Sergey Chernenko & Edward Howorka & Raj S. Krishnasami Iyer & David Liu & Jonathan H. Wright, 2004. "The high-frequency effects of U.S. macroeconomic data releases on prices and trading activity in the global interdealer foreign exchange market," International Finance Discussion Papers 823, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  35. Hanno Lustig & Nikolai Roussanov & Adrien Verdelhan, 2008. "Common Risk Factors in Currency Markets," NBER Working Papers 14082, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  36. Rebecca L Driver & Peter F Westaway, . "Concepts of equilibrium exchange rates," Bank of England working papers 248, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  37. Kenneth D. West, 2004. "Monetary Policy and the Volatility of Real Exchange Rates in New Zealand," NBER Working Papers 10280, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  38. Bacchetta, Philippe & Mertens, Elmar & van Wincoop, Eric, 2006. "Predictability in Financial Markets: What Do Survey Expectations Tell Us?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5770, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  39. Carlo Altavilla & Paul De Grauwe, 2005. "Non-Linearities in the Relation between the Exchange Rate and its Fundamentals," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  40. Mete Feridun, 2006. "An Investigation Of The German Dominance Hypothesis In The Context Of Eastern Enlargement Of The Eu," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2006(2), pages 172-182. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  41. Jaewoo Lee & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti & Luca Antonio Ricci, 2008. "Real Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A Cross-Country Perspective," IMF Working Papers 08/13, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  42. Christopher J. Neely & Paul A. Weller, 2007. "Central bank intervention with limited arbitrage," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(2), pages 249-260. [Downloadable!]
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  43. Ron Alquist & Menzie D. Chinn, 2008. "Conventional and unconventional approaches to exchange rate modelling and assessment," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(1), pages 2-13. [Downloadable!]
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  44. Todd E. Clark, 2000. "Can out-of-sample forecast comparisons help prevent overfitting?," Research Working Paper RWP 00-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
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  45. Juan Ángel Jiménez Martín & Rafael Flores de Frutos, 2004. "The Fit of Dynamic Equilibrium Models of Exchange Rate," Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico 0411, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. [Downloadable!]
  46. Jacob A. Frenkel & Morris Goldstein, 1989. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Misalignment: Evaluating Some Proposals for Reform," NBER Working Papers 2894, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  47. Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn & Ian W. Marsh, 2000. "How Do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?," NBER Working Papers 7524, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  48. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Hélène Rey, 2005. "International financial adjustment," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
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  49. Seok Gil Park, 2007. "Solving Endogeneity in Assessing the Efficacy of Foreign Exchange Market Interventions," Caepr Working Papers 2007-004, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington. [Downloadable!]
  50. Yue Ma & Guy Meredith & Matthew S. Yiu, 2002. "A Currency Board Model of Hong Kong," Working Papers 012002, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
  51. Goldberg, Michael D. & Frydman, Roman, 1991. "Theories Consistent Expectationa and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Working Papers 91-62, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
  52. Klaassen, F., 1999. "Long swings in exchange rates : are they really in the data," Discussion Paper 8, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  53. Charles Engel & Kenneth D. West, 2003. "Exchange rates and fundamentals," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar. [Downloadable!]
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  54. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2009. "On the Unstable Relationship between Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Fundamentals," Working Papers 272009, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
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  55. Abdul Abiad & Prakash Kannan & Jungjin Lee, 2009. "Evaluating Historical CGER Assessments:How Well Have They Predicted Subsequent Exchange Rate Movements?," IMF Working Papers 09/32, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  56. Charles Engel, 1994. "Can the Markov Switching Model Forecast Exchange Rates?," NBER Working Papers 4210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  57. HeeJoon Kang, 1992. "Forward exchange rates as unbiased predictors of future spot rates a review and re-interpretation," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 3(2), pages 215-232, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  58. John Williamson, 2001. "The Case for a Basket, Band and Crawl (BBC) Regime for East Asia," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: David Gruen & John Simon (ed.), Future Directions for Monetary Policies in East Asia Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  59. Michael D. Goldberg & Roman Frydman, 2001. "Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the DM/$ Exchange Rate: Temporal Instability and the Monetary Model," Working Papers 50, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
  60. Gottfries, Nils, 2003. "Booms and Busts in EMU," Working Paper Series 2003:29, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  61. Vivien Lewis & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2009. "Model misspecification, learning and the exchange rate disconnect puzzle," Research series 200907-01, National Bank of Belgium. [Downloadable!]
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  62. Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2000. "Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0319, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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  63. Alexei Deviatov & Igor Dodonov, 2006. "Exchange-rate volatility, exchange-rate disconnect, and the failure of volatility conservation," Working Papers w0079, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR). [Downloadable!]
  64. Lutz Kilian & Atsushi Inoue, 2002. "In-Sample or out-of-sample tests of predictability: which one should we use?," Working Paper Series 195, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  65. Jérôme Henry & Jens Weidmann, 1995. "Asymmetry in the EMS revisited: Evidence from the Causality Analysis of Daily Eurorates," Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, ADRES, issue 40, pages 08, Octobre-D. [Downloadable!]
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  66. Emmanuel Davradakis, 2005. "Macroeconomic fundamentals and exchange rates: a non-parametric cointegration analysis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(7), pages 439-446, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  67. Michael M. Knetter, 1992. "International Comparisons of Pricing-to-Market Behavior," NBER Working Papers 4098, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  68. Warren E. Weber, 1986. "Do sterilized interventions affect exchange rates?," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Sum, pages 14-23. [Downloadable!]
  69. Christian Zimmermann, 1994. "International Business Cycles and Exchange Rates," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 33, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal, revised Jul 1997. [Downloadable!]
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  70. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Liew Khim Sen, 2003. "The Predictability of ASEAN-5 Exchange Rates," International Finance 0307004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  71. Sergio Da Silva, 2004. "International Finance, Levy Distributions, and the Econophysics of Exchange Rates," International Finance 0405018, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  72. Ansgar Belke & Leo Kaas, 2004. "Exchange Rate Movements and Employment Growth: An OCA Assessment of the CEE Economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 247-280, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  73. Jaime R. Marquez, 1985. "Currency substitution and the new divisia monetary aggregates : the U. S. case," International Finance Discussion Papers 257, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  74. Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2009. "Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models," Discussion Papers 09-06, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham. [Downloadable!]
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  75. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop & Toni Beutler, 2009. "Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'Econométrie et d'Economie politique (DEEP) 09.08, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP. [Downloadable!]
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  76. Pablo Pincheira, 2006. "Shrinkage Based Tests of the Martingale Difference Hypothesis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 376, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  77. Fullerton, Th. & Lopez, J.J., 2005. "Error Correction Exchange Rate Modeling for Mexico: 1980 – 2001," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 2(3), pages 17-30. [Downloadable!]
  78. Robert P. Flood & Andrew K. Rose & Donald J. Mathieson, 1990. "Is the EMS the perfect fix? An empirical exploration of exchange rate target zones," International Finance Discussion Papers 388, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  79. Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn, 1997. "Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models," NBER Working Papers 5943, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  80. Dimitris Christopoulos & Miguel A. León-Ledesma, 2009. "On causal Relationships Between Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Better Than You Think," Studies in Economics 0909, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
  81. Kenneth W Clements & Yihui Lan & John Roberts, 2007. "Exchange-Rate Economics for the Resources Sector," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 07-13, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  82. Bas Aarle & Michael Boss & Jaroslava Hlouskova, 2000. "Forecasting the Euro exchange rate using vector error correction models," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 136(2), pages 232-258, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  83. Peter Rowland, . "Forecasting the USD/COP Exchange Rate: A Random Walk a Variable Drift," Borradores de Economia 253, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  84. Hau, Harald & Rey, Hélène, 2003. "Exchange Rates, Equity Prices and Capital Flows," CEPR Discussion Papers 3735, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  85. Richard Baldwin & Richard K. Lyons, 1988. "The Mutual Amplification Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility and Unresponsive Trade Prices," NBER Working Papers 2677, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  86. Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2004. "Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the Martingale difference hypothesis," Research Working Paper RWP 04-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
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  87. Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn, 1999. "Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders," NBER Working Papers 7417, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  88. Imad A. Moosa, 2004. "Is there a need for hedging exposure to foreign exchange risk?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 279-283, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  89. Rogoff, Kenneth, 1995. "What Remains of Purchasing Power Parity?," Working Papers 95-07, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
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  90. U. Michael Bergman & Shakill Hassan, 2008. "Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in an Economy with Credit Constraints: The No Interest Parity Case," EPRU Working Paper Series 08-01, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  91. Chris D'Souza, 2002. "A Market Microstructure Analysis of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Canada," Working Papers 02-16, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  92. Eric Fisher, 2004. "Exploring Elements of Exchange Rate Theory in a Controlled Enivronment," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000199, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  93. Christopher J. Neely, 1997. "Technical analysis in the foreign exchange market: a layman's guide," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 23-38. [Downloadable!]
  94. John Bluedorn & Christopher Bowdler, 2006. "The Open Economy Consequences of U.S. Monetary Policy," Economics Papers 2006-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
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  95. D. Nautz, . "Die empirische Relevanz des Monetären Modells für die Erklärung des DM/Dollar Wechselkurses," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1999-63, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
  96. Lars Hörngren & Anders Vredin, 1989. "Exchange risk premia in a currency basket system," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 125(2), pages 311-325, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  97. Maurice Obstfeld & Alan C. Stockman, 1985. "Exchange-Rate Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 1230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  98. Hanno Lustig, 2004. "The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and US Consumption Growth Risk (joint with Adrien Verdelhan)(updated February 2006)," UCLA Economics Online Papers 303, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  99. Ingmar Nolte & Sandra Lechner, 2007. "Customer Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market: Empirical Evidence from an Internet Trading Platform," CoFE Discussion Paper 07-03, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
  100. Christopher Neely & Paul Weller, 1999. "Predictability in international asset returns: a reexamination," Working Papers 1997-010, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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  101. Blake LeBaron, . "Technical Trading Rules and Regime Shifts in Foreign Exchange," Working papers _007, University of Wisconsin - Madison. [Downloadable!]
  102. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Clara Vega, 2002. "Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange?," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 02-23, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
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  103. Tommaso Monacelli, 1999. "Into the Mussa Puzzle: Monetary Policy Regimes and the Real Exchange Rate in a Small Open Economy," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 437, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 15 Sep 2000. [Downloadable!]
  104. Jorge Selaive & Vicente Tuesta, 2004. "Can Fluctuations in the Consumption-Wealth Ratio Help to Predict Exchange Rates?," International Finance 0404014, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  105. Jonathan Kearns & Phil Manners, 2004. "The Profitability of Speculators in Currency Futures Markets," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2004-07, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  106. Christian Saborowski, 2009. "Capital Inflows and the Real Exchange Rate: Can Financial Development Cure the Dutch Disease?," IMF Working Papers 09/20, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  107. Francisco Maeso Fernandez & Bernd Schnatz & Chiara Osbat, 2001. "Determinants of the Euro real effective exchange rate: a BEER/PEER approach," Working Paper Series 085, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  108. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2007. "Random Walk Expectations and the Forward Discount Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 13205, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  109. Joseph E. Gagnon & Jane Ihrig, 2004. "Monetary policy and exchange rate pass-through

    This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the U.S.A.

    ," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(4), pages 315-338. [Downloadable!]
  110. Belke, Ansgar & Setzer, Ralph, 2004. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Employment Growth: Empirical Evidence from the CEE Economies," IZA Discussion Papers 1038, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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  111. Graham Elliott & Takatoshi Ito, 1995. "Heterogeneous Expectations and Tests of Efficiency in the Yen/Dollar Forward Foreign Exchange Rate Market," NBER Working Papers 5376, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  112. Giancarlo Gandolfo & Pietro Carlo Padoan & Giovanna Paladino, 1990. "Structural Models vs Random Walk: The Case of the Lira/$ Exchange Rate," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 101-113, Apr-Jun. [Downloadable!]
  113. Hanno Lustig & Adrien Verdelhan, 2006. "The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2006-045, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  114. Moura, Marcelo, 2008. "Testing the Taylor Model Predictability for Exchange Rates in Latin America," Ibmec Working Papers wpe_117, Ibmec Working Paper, Ibmec São Paulo. [Downloadable!]
  115. Panayiotis Diamantis & Dimitris Georgoutsos & George Kouretas, 2001. "The Monetary Approach in the Presence of I(2) Components: A Cointegration Analysis of the Official and Black Market for Foreign Currency in Latin America," Working Papers 0108, University of Crete, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  116. Kenneth Kasa, 1995. "Understanding trends in foreign exchange rates," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Jun 9. [Downloadable!]
  117. Cho, Guedae & Sheldon, Ian M. & McCorriston, Steve, 2000. "Exchange Rate Misalignment And Agricultural Trade," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21824, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
  118. Fernando Alvarez & Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2007. "If exchange rates are random walks, then almost everything we say about monetary policy is wrong," Staff Report 388, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  119. Mikael Bask, 2007. "Chartism and exchange rate volatility," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(3), pages 301-316. [Downloadable!]
  120. Kenneth N. Kuttner & Adam S. Posen, 2000. "Inflation, Monetary Transparency, and G3 Exchange Rate Volatility," Peterson Institute Working Paper Series WP00-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics. [Downloadable!]
  121. Doriana Ruffino & Jonathan Treussard, 2006. "A Study of Inaction in Investment Games via the Early Exercise Premium Representation," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2006-040, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  122. Richard C. Marston, 1991. "Pricing to Market in Japanese Manufacturing," NBER Working Papers 2905, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  123. Fabrizio Spargoli, 2005. "Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanisms within the European Monetary Union," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 95(6), pages 31-68, November-. [Downloadable!]
  124. Rebecca Hellerstein, 2006. "A decomposition of the sources of incomplete cross-border transmission," Staff Reports 250, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
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  125. Shehu Usman Rano, Aliyu, 2007. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) to Nigeria," MPRA Paper 10376, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  126. Andrea Beltratti & Andrea Consiglio & Stavros A. Zenios, 1998. "Scenario Modeling for the Management of International Bond Portfolios," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 98-20, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
  127. Godbout, M.J. & Van Norden, S., 1996. "Unit-Root Test and Excess Returns," Working Papers 96-10, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  128. Menkhoff, Lukas & Schmeling, Maik, 2006. "Local Information in Foreign Exchange Markets," Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover dp-331, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät. [Downloadable!]
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  129. Frédérick Demers & David Dupuis, 2005. "Forecasting Canadian GDP: Region-Specific versus Countrywide Information," Working Papers 05-31, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  130. Paul R. Bergin, 2004. "How Well Can the New Open Economy Macroeconomics Explain the Exchange Rate and Current Account?," NBER Working Papers 10356, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  131. Sergey V. Chernenko, 2004. "The information content of forward and futures prices: market expectations and the price of risk," International Finance Discussion Papers 808, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  132. D. Jansen & J. de Haan, 2003. "Statements of ECB Officials and their Effect on the Level and Volatility of the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 726, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  133. Menzie D. Chinn & Michael J. Moore, 2008. "Private Information and a Macro Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set," NBER Working Papers 14175, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  134. Steven Vincent Dunaway & Xiangming Li, 2005. "Estimating China's "Equilibrium" Real Exchange Rate," IMF Working Papers 05/202, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  135. Nils Bjorksten & Anne-Marie Brook, 2002. "Exchange rate strategies for small open developed economies such as New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 65, March. [Downloadable!]
  136. Hanno Lustig, 2005. "Investing in Foreign Currency is like Betting on your Intertemporal Marginal Rate of Substitution (joint with Adrien Verdelhan, BU, forthcoming in Papers and Proceedings JEEA)," UCLA Economics Online Papers 368, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  137. Marianne Bertrand, 1999. "From the Invisible Handshake to the Invisible Hand? How Import Competition Changes the Employment Relationship," NBER Working Papers 6900, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  138. Olli Castrén & Chiara Osbat & Matthias Sydow, 2006. "What drives investors’ behaviour in different FX market segments? A VAR-based return decomposition analysis," Working Paper Series 706, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  139. Gonyung Park & Young-yong Kim, 2003. "An empirical analysis of nominal rigidities and exchange rate overshooting: an intertemporal approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(2), pages 153-166. [Downloadable!]
  140. Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie David Chinn & Antonio Garcia Pascual, 2004. "Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?," IMF Working Papers 04/73, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  141. John Pippenger, 2008. "Freely Floating Exchange Rates Do Not Systematically Overshoot," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series 01-08, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara. [Downloadable!]
  142. Robert A. Amano & Simon van Norden, 1995. "Exchange Rates and Oil Prices," International Finance 9509001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  143. Michael Dueker & Christopher J. Neely, 2006. "Can Markov switching models predict excess foreign exchange returns?," Working Papers 2001-021, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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  144. Robert P. Flood & Andrew K. Rose & Donald J. Mathieson, 1990. "An Empirical Exploration of Exchange Rate Target-Zones," NBER Working Papers 3543, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  145. Kathryn M. Dominguez, 1999. "The Market Microstructure of Central Bank Intervention," NBER Working Papers 7337, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  146. Lutz Kilian & Mark P. Taylor, 2001. "Why Is It So Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 464, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan. [Downloadable!]
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  147. Helinä Laakkonen, 2007. "The Impact of Macroeconomic News on Exchange Rate Volatility," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 20(1), pages 23-40, Spring. [Downloadable!]
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  148. Luis Opazo, 2006. "The Backus-Smith Puzzle: The Role of Expectations," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 395, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  149. Rebecca Hellerstein, 2004. "Who bears the cost of a change in the exchange rate? The case of imported beer," Staff Reports 179, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
  150. Martin D. Evans & Karen K. Lewis, 1992. "Trends in Expected Returns in Currency and Bond Markets," NBER Working Papers 4116, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  151. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2006. "Incomplete information processing: a solution to the forward discount puzzle," Working Paper Series 2006-35, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
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  152. Habib Ahmed & C. Paul Hallwood & Stephen M. Miller, 1997. "Monetary Policy in a Portfolio Balance Model with Endogenous Physical Capital," Working papers 1997-08, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  153. Enrique Martinez-Garcia, 2008. "Globalization and monetary policy: an introduction," Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper 11, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. [Downloadable!]
  154. Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Emma García, . "Forecasting the Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate: Can International Parities Help?," Working Papers 2003-15, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
  155. Peter McAdam, 1998. "A Pedagogical Note on the Long Run of Macro Economic Models," Studies in Economics 9807, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
  156. Ales Bulir, 2003. "Some Exchange Rates Are More Stable than Others; Short-Run Evidence from Transition Countries," Working Papers 2003/05, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  157. Michael G. Arghyrou & Virginie Boinet & Christopher Martin, 2003. "Non-linear and non-symmetric exchange-rate adjustment:New evidence from medium- and high-inflation countries," Public Policy Discussion Papers 03-12, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
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  158. Lutz Kilian & Silvia Goncalves, 2002. "Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form," Working Paper Series 196, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  159. Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano, 1991. "Comparing predictive accuracy I: an asymptotic test," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 52, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
  160. Chambers, M.J. & McCrorie, J.R., 2004. "Identification and estimation of exchange rate models with unobservable fundamentals," Discussion Paper 38, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  161. Chung-Han Kim, 2000. "Balassa-Samuelson Theory And Predictability Of The Us/Uk Real Exchange Rate," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 14(3), pages 101-121, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  162. Juan Pedro Jensen Perdomo & Fernando Balbino Botelho, 2007. "Messe-Rogoff Revisitados: Uma Análise Empírica Das Projeções Para A Taxa De Câmbio No Brasil," Anais do XXXV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 35th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 038, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics]. [Downloadable!]
  163. Robert P. Flood & Robert J. Hodrick, 1989. "Testable Implications of Indeterminacies in Models with Rational Expectations," NBER Working Papers 2903, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  164. Andrew Ang & Monika Piazzesi & Min Wei, 2003. "What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar. [Downloadable!]
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  165. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Nicola Spagnolo, 2004. "Modelling East Asian exchange rates: a Markov-switching approach," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 233-242, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  166. Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Hungnes, Håvard, 2003. "Fundamental determinants of the long run real exchange rate: The case of Norway," Memorandum 23/2002, Oslo University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  167. Jonathan H. Wright & Joseph E. Gagnon, 2006. "Predicting sharp depreciations in industrial country exchange rates," International Finance Discussion Papers 881, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  168. Kenneth A. Froot & Kenneth Rogoff, 1991. "The EMS, the EMU, and the Transition to a Common Currency," NBER Working Papers 3684, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  169. Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2003. "The predictive content of the output gap for inflation : resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence," Research Working Paper RWP 03-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
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  170. Kenneth W. Clements & Yihui Lan, 2005. "How Long is the Long Run? Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 05-03, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  171. Hong-Ghi Min & Judy Mcdonald, 1993. "The Portfolio-Balance Model Of Exchange Rates: Short-Run Behavior And Forecasting (The Korean Won/U. S. Dollar Case)," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 7(4), pages 75-87, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  172. Yin-wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn & Eiji Fujii, 2006. "The Illusion of Precision and the Role of the Renminbi in Regional Integration," Working Papers 182006, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
  173. Catherine L. Mann & Ellen E. Meade, 2002. "Home Bias, Transaction Costs, and Prospects for the Euro: A More Detailed Analysis," Peterson Institute Working Paper Series WP02-3, Peterson Institute for International Economics. [Downloadable!]
  174. Kenneth A. Froot & Takatoshi Ito, 1990. "On the Consistency of Short-run and Long-run Exchange Rate Expectations," NBER Working Papers 2577, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  175. Kenneth D. West & Dongchul Cho, 1994. "The Predictive Ability of Several Models of Exchange Rate Volatility," NBER Technical Working Papers 0152, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  176. Jeffrey A. Frankel & Kenneth A. Froot, 1987. "The Dollar as an Irrational Speculative Bubble: A Tale of Fundamentalisists," NBER Working Papers 1854, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  177. J.J.J. Groen, 2001. "(EURO) Exchange Rate Predictability and Monetary Fundamentals in a Small Multi-Country Panel," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 664, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  178. Y.Chen & K. Rogoff, 2003. "Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 76, Netherlands Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  179. Richard E. Baldwin, 1990. "Re-Interpreting the Failure of Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency Tests:Small Transaction Costs, Big Hysteresis Bands," NBER Working Papers 3319, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  180. Sarajevs, Vadims, 1999. "Macroeconomic Model of Transition Economy: A Stochastic Calculus Approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 7/1999, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
  181. Renu Kohli & Kenneth Kletzer, 2004. "Exchange RAte Dynamics with Financial Repression: A Test of Exchange Rate Models for India," International Finance 0405013, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  182. Michael M. Knetter, 1992. "Is Price Adjustment Asymmetric?: Evaluating the Market Share and Marketing Bottlenecks Hypothesis," NBER Working Papers 4170, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  183. Flood, Robert P & Rose, Andrew K, 2008. "Why so Glum? The Meese-Rogoff Methodology Meets the Stock Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 6714, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  184. Hanno Lustig & Adrien Verdelhan, 2005. "The Cross-Section of Currency Risk Premia and US Consumption Growth Risk," NBER Working Papers 11104, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  185. Jonathan McCarthy, 2000. "Pass-through of exchange rates and import prices to domestic inflation in some industrialized economies," Staff Reports 111, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
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  186. Goldberg, M.D. & Frydman, R., 1995. "Imperfect Knowledge and Behavior in the Foreign Exchange Market," Working Papers 95-30, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
  187. Javier León & Carlos Oliva, 1992. "Componente no Estacionario y la Paridad del Poder de Compra en 12 Países Latinoamericanos," Cuadernos de Economía (Latin American Journal of Economics), Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 29(88), pages 481-504. [Downloadable!]
  188. Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn & Antonio Garcia-Pascual, 2003. "What Do We Know about Recent Exchange Rate Models? In-Sample Fit and Out-of-Sample Performance Evaluated," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  189. Sarmidi, Tamat, 2008. "Exchange Rates Predictability in Developing Countries," MPRA Paper 16580, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  190. Basher, Syed A. & Westerlund, Joakim, 2008. "Panel Cointegration and the Monetary Exchange Rate Model," MPRA Paper 10453, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  191. Irasema Alonso, 2004. "Persistent, Nonfundamental Exchange Rate Fluctuations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 7(3), pages 687-706, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  192. Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005. "Using Out-of-Sample Mean Squared Prediction Errors to Test the Martingale Difference," NBER Technical Working Papers 0305, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  193. Thomas Chiang & Thomas Hindelang, 1988. "Forward rate, spot rate and risk premium: An empirical analysis," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 74-88, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  194. Jonathan H. Wright, 2003. "Bayesian Model Averaging and exchange rate forecasts," International Finance Discussion Papers 779, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  195. Raghuram Rajan, 2008. "Global Imbalances or why are the Poor Financing the Rich?," De Economist, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 3-24, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  196. Lillie Lam & Laurence Fung & Ip-wing Yu, 2008. "Comparing Forecast Performance of Exchange Rate Models," Working Papers 0808, Hong Kong Monetary Authority. [Downloadable!]
  197. Canale, Rosaria Rita, 2002. "Equilibrium exchange rate theories under flexible exchange rate regimes," MPRA Paper 3086, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  198. Lendjoungou, Francis, 2009. "Competitiveness and the real exchange rate: the standpoint of countries in the CEMAC zone," MPRA Paper 17053, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  200. Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2003. "On the Selection of Forecasting Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 3809, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  201. Bertrand Maillet, Thierry Michel, 2000. "Further insights on the puzzle of technical analysis profitability," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 196-224, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  202. Enzo Weber, 2007. "Economic Integration and the Foreign Exchange," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2007-038, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  203. Westerlund, Joakim & Basher, Syed A., 2006. "Can Panel Data Really Improve the Predictability of the Monetary Exchange Rate Model?," MPRA Paper 1229, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  204. Anella Munro, 2005. "UIP, Expectations and the Kiwi," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2005/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
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  210. Yan, Beiling, 2002. "Purchasing Power Parity: A Canada/U.S. Exploration," Economic Analysis (EA) Research Paper Series 2002002e, Statistics Canada, Analytical Studies Branch. [Downloadable!]
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  213. Zoe McLaren, 2002. "The Effectiveness Of Reserve Bank Of Australia Foreign Exchange Intervention," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 849, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
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  215. Maurice J. Roche & Michael J. Moore, 2007. "Solving Exchange Rate Puzzles with neither Sticky Prices nor Trade Costs," Economics, Finance and Accounting Department Working Paper Series n1750507, Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting, National University of Ireland - Maynooth. [Downloadable!]
  216. Jon Faust & John H. Rogers & Shing-Yi B. Wang & Jonathan H. Wright, 2003. "The high-frequency response of exchange rates and interest rates to macroeconomic announcements," International Finance Discussion Papers 784, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  217. Murray, J. & Van Norden, S. & Vigfusson, R., 1996. "Excess Volatility and Speculative Bubbles in the Canadian Dollar: Real of Imagined?," Technical Reports 76, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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  219. Danilo Mercurio & Costanza Torricelli, 2003. "Estimation and arbitrage opportunities for exchange rate baskets," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(15), pages 1689-1698, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  220. Alexius, Annika, 2001. "How to Beat the Random Walk," Working Paper Series 175, Trade Union Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  221. Elizaveta Krylova & Lorenzo Cappiello & Roberto A. De Santis, 2005. "Explaining exchange rate dynamics - the uncovered equity return parity condition," Working Paper Series 529, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  222. Michael M. Knetter, 1995. "Pricing To Market In Response To Unobservable And Observable Shocks," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 1-25, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  224. Markus J. Granziol & Matthias Denzler, 1985. "Zinssätze als Mittel zur Wechselkurs-Prognose?," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 121(II), pages 83-94, June. [Downloadable!]
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  227. Kerstin Bernoth & Juergen von Hagen & Casper de Vries, 2007. "The Forward Premium Puzzle: new evidence from futures contracts," DNB Working Papers 125, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  232. Joseph Gagnon, 2006. "The effect of exchange rates on prices, wages, and profits: A case study of the United Kingdom in the 1990s," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 20(2), pages 149-160, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  233. Sellin, Peter, 2007. "Using a New Open Economy Macroeconomics model to make real nominal exchange rate forecasts," Working Paper Series 213, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
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  235. Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2002. "Forecast-based model selection in the presence of structural breaks," Research Working Paper RWP 02-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
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  241. Charles Engel & Nelson C. Mark & Kenneth D. West, 2007. "Exchange Rate Models Are Not as Bad as You Think," NBER Working Papers 13318, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  243. Daniel Gros, 1989. "On the volatility of exchange rates: Tests of monetary and portfolio balance models of exchange rate determination," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 125(2), pages 273-295, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  245. Ansgar Belke & Ralph Setzer, 2003. "Costs of Exchange Rate Volatility for Labour Markets - Empirical Evidence from the CEE Economies," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 34(3), pages 267–292. [Downloadable!]
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  252. Robert J. Hodrick, 1989. "Risk, Uncertainty and Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 2429, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  253. Mona R. El Shazly, 1989. "The Oil-Price Effect On The Dollar/Pound Rate Of Exchange," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 73-83, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  257. Weshah Razzak, 2009. "On the GCC Currency Union," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2009_29, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI). [Downloadable!]
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  260. Marianne Nessen, 1997. "Exchange Rate Expectations, the Forward Exchange Rate Bias and Risk Premia in Target Zones," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 99-136, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  267. Michele Ca’ Zorzi & Elke Hahn & Marcelo Sánchez, 2007. "Exchange rate pass-through in emerging markets," Working Paper Series 739, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  268. Yan, Beiling, 2002. "Parité de pouvoir d'achat : le cas du Canada et des États-Unis," Série de documents de recherche sur l'analyse économique (AE) 2002002f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques. [Downloadable!]
  269. Robert A. Amano & Simon van Norden, 1995. "Oil Prices and the Rise and Fall of the U.S. Real Exchange Rate," International Finance 9502001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  270. Robert Amano & Paul Fenton & David Tessier & Simon van Norden, 1996. "The credibility of monetary policy: a survey of the literature with some simple applications to Caanda," Meeting papers 9610001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  271. George Christodoulakis & Emmanuel Mamatzakis, 2008. "Asymmetries in the sport-forward G10 exchange rates: an answer to an old puzzle?," Discussion Paper Series 2008_12, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2008. [Downloadable!]
  272. Goldberg, Michael D. & Frydman, Roman, 1991. "Re-examining the Empirical Performance of the Monetary Models of the Exchange Rate: A Problem of Structural Change," Working Papers 91-69, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
  273. Reinhart, Carmen & Goldstein, Morris & Kaminsky, Graciela, 2000. "Assessing financial vulnerability, an early warning system for emerging markets: Introduction," MPRA Paper 13629, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  274. Michael Y. Hu & Christine X. Jiang & Christos Tsoukalas, 2004. "The volatility impact of the European monetary system on member and non-member currencies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(5), pages 313-325, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  275. Adrian Blundell-Wignall & Jerome Fahrer & Alexandra Heath, 1993. "Major Influences on the Australian Dollar Exchange Rate," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: Adrian Blundell-Wignall (ed.), The Exchange Rate, International Trade and the Balance of Payments Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  276. Pritchett, Lant, 1991. "Measuring real exchange rate instability in developing countries : empirical evidence and implications," Policy Research Working Paper Series 791, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  277. Oscar Bajo Rubio & María Dolores Montávez Garcés, 1998. "Tipo de cambio, expectativas y nueva información: evidencia para el caso de la peseta, 1986-1996," Documentos de Trabajo - Lan Gaiak Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra 9801, Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra.
  278. Carmen Mar? Mart?ez, 2003. "The Structural Approach of a Natrex Model on Equilibrium Exchange Rates," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 588.03, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC). [Downloadable!]
  279. Fernando Lefort & Eduardo Walker, 1999. "El Dólar Como Activo Financiero: Teoría y Evidencia Chilena," Cuadernos de Economía (Latin American Journal of Economics), Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 36(109), pages 1035-1066. [Downloadable!]
  280. Christian Bauer & Paul De Grauwe & Stefan Reitz, 2007. "Exchange Rates Dynamics in a Target Zone – A Heterogeneous Expectations Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  281. Otavio De Medeiros, 2005. "Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics in Brazil," Finance 0503019, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  282. Melecky, M, 2007. "Currency Preferences in a Tri-Polar Model of Foreign Exchange," MPRA Paper 4186, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  283. Frédéric Karamé & Lise Patureau & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2003. "Limited participation and exchange rate dynamics : does theory meet the data ?," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques v04013, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1). [Downloadable!]
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  284. MacDonald, Ronald & Marsh, Ian W, 1999. "Currency Spillovers and Tri-Polarity: A Simultaneous Model of the US Dollar, German Mark and Japanese Yen," CEPR Discussion Papers 2210, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  285. Ardic, Oya Pinar & Ergin, Onur & Senol, G. Bahar, 2008. "Exchange Rate Forecasting: Evidence from the Emerging Central and Eastern European Economies," MPRA Paper 7505, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  286. Tigran Poghosyan & Jakob de Haan, 2007. "Interest Rate Linkages in EMU Countries: A Rolling Threshold Vector Error-Correction Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  287. Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio, 2008. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Footloose or Evolving Relationship?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6638, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  288. Kaltenbrunner, Annina & Nissanke, Machiko, 2009. "The Case for an Intermediate Exchange Rate Regime with Endogenizing Market Structures and Capital Mobility," Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
  289. Eric van Wincoop & Philippe Bacchetta, 2003. "Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle?," NBER Working Papers 9498, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  290. John Williamson, 2006. "A Worldwide System of Reference Rates," Working Papers 130, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
  291. Jian Wang & Jason J. Wu, 2008. "The Taylor rule and forecast intervals for exchange rates," Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper 22, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. [Downloadable!]
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  292. Carriero, Andrea & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR," CEPR Discussion Papers 7008, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  293. Jan J J Groen & Clare Lombardelli, . "Real exchange rates and the relative prices of non-traded and traded goods: an empirical analysis," Bank of England working papers 223, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  294. D. Johannes Juttner & Wayne Leung, 2004. "Currency hedging of global portfolios - a closer examination of some of the ingredients," Research Papers 0411, Macquarie University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  295. Cem Kadilar & Muammer Simsek & Cagdas Hakan Aladag, 2009. "Forecasting The Exchange Rate Series With Ann: The Case Of Turkey," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 9(1), pages 17-29, May. [Downloadable!]
  296. Fariña Gómez, Beatriz & Rojo García, José Luis, 2006. "Características de las Distribuciones Mensuales del "Ciclo de Ambiente" de la Economia Española," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 24, pages 397-425, Abril. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  297. Richard C. Marston, 1989. "Exchange Rate Policy Reconsidered," NBER Working Papers 2310, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  298. Bask , Mikael & Fidrmuc , Jarko, 2006. "Fundamentals and technical trading: behaviour of exchange rates in the CEECs," Research Discussion Papers 10/2006, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
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  299. Oscar Bajo-Rubio & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez, . "Non-Linear Forecasting Methods: Some Applications to the Analysis of Financial Series," Working Papers 2002-01, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
  300. Phornchanok Cumperayot, 2003. "Dusting off the Perception of Risk and Returns in FOREX Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  301. Ariño, Miguel A. & Canela, Miguel A., 2006. "Study of the dollar-euro exchange rate," IESE Research Papers D/620, IESE Business School, revised 30 Mar 2006. [Downloadable!]
  302. Byung-Joo Lee, 2004. "Economic Fundamentals on Exchange Rates under Different Exchange Rate Regimes:," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 765, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  303. Jeffrey A. Frankel & Kenneth Froot, 1990. "Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market," NBER Working Papers 3470, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  304. Foort Hamelink, 2001. "Nonlinear analysis for forecasting currencies: are they useful to the portfolio manager?," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 335-355, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  305. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2006. "The Research Agenda: Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas on Global Imbalances and Financial Factors," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 7(2), April. [Downloadable!]
  306. Marianne Bertrand, 1998. "From the Invisible Handshake to the Invisible Hand? How Import Competition Changes the Employment Relationship," Working Papers 789, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section.. [Downloadable!]
  307. Evans, Kevin & Speight, Alan, 2006. "Dynamic News Effects in High Frequency Euro Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility," Cardiff Accounting and Finance Working Papers A2006/4, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Accounting and Finance Section. [Downloadable!]
  308. Charles Engel & Kenneth D. West, 2004. "Taylor Rules and the Deutschmark-Dollar Real Exchange Rate," NBER Working Papers 10995, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  309. Joseph E. Gagnon, 2003. "Productive capacity, product varieties, and the elasticities approach to the trade balance," International Finance Discussion Papers 781, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  310. Robert C. Feenstra, 1987. "Symmetric Pass-Through of Tariffs and Exchange Rates Under Imperfect Competition: An Empirical Test," NBER Working Papers 2453, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  311. Carlos Felipe Lopez Suarez & Jose Antonio Rodriguez Lopez, 2008. "Nonlinear Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 080911, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  312. Paul De Grauwe & Marianna Grimaldi, 2002. "The Exchange Rate and its Fundamentals. A Chaotic Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  313. Habib Ahmed & C. Paul Hallwood & Stephen M. Miller, 2006. "The Exchange Rate-Investment Nexus and Exchange Rate Instability: Another Reason for 'Fear of Floating'," Working papers 2006-15, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2009. [Downloadable!]
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  314. Kenneth Rogoff, 2009. "Exchange rates in the modern floating era: what do we really know?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 145(1), pages 1-12, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  315. Marcel Fratzscher, 2007. "US shocks and global exchange rate configurations," Working Paper Series 835, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  316. Ray C. Fair, 1997. "Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1168, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  317. Charles Engel & James D. Hamilton, 1989. "Long Swings in the Exchange Rate: Are they in the Data and Do Markets Know It?," NBER Working Papers 3165, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  318. Ehsan Ahmed & J. Rosser & Richard Sheehan, 1989. "A comparison of national and international aggregate supply and demand var models: The United States, Japan and the European economic community," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 125(2), pages 252-272, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  319. Michael Bleaney, . "Fundamentals And Exchange Rate Volatility," Discussion Papers 06/03, University of Nottingham, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  320. Arie Preminger & Uri Ben-Zion & David Wettstein, 2006. "Extended switching regression models with time-varying probabilities for combining forecasts," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(6-7), pages 455-472, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  321. Charles Engel & Kenneth D. West, 2004. "Accounting for Exchange Rate Variability in Present-Value Models When the Discount Factor is Near One," NBER Working Papers 10267, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  322. Goldberg, M.D. & Frydman, R., 1993. "Empirical Exchange Rate Models and Shifts in the Co-Integrating Vector," Working Papers 93-41, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
  323. Guisan, M. Carmen, 2005. "Exchange Rates, Foreign Trade Prices and PPs in OECD Countries: An Analysis of the period 1960-2003," Economic Development 84, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics.. [Downloadable!]
  324. Jan J.J. Groen, 1998. "The Monetary Exchange Rate Model as a Long-Run Phenomenon," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-082/2, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  325. Hilde C. Bjørnland and Håvard Hungnes, 2005. "The commodity currency puzzle," Discussion Papers 423, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
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  326. Lucio Sarno, 2003. "Nonlinear Exchange Rate Models: A Selective Overview," IMF Working Papers 03/111, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  327. Ray C. Fair, 1986. "Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination," NBER Working Papers 2105, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  328. An-Sing Chen, 1997. "Volatility of exchange rate futures and high-low price spreads," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 33-42, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  329. Schröder, Michael & Dornau, Robert, 1999. "What's on their mind : do exchange rate forecasters stick to theoretical models?," ZEW Discussion Papers 99-08, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  330. Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 1993. "Some Empirical Evidence on the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 4271, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  331. Ivo J.M. Arnold & Casper G. de Vries, 1998. "The EURO, Prudent Coherence?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-070/2, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
  332. Franc Klaassen, 2000. "Why is it so Difficult to Find an Effect of Exchange Rate Risk on Trade?," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0133, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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  333. John Williamson, 2006. "A Worldwide System of Reference Rates," Working Papers 45, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
  334. Mariam Camarero & Cecilio Tamarit, 1996. "Cointegration and the PPP and the UIP hypotheses: An application to the Spanish integration in the EC," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 61-76, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  335. Adolfson, Malin & Laséen, Stefan & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias, 2007. "Evaluating An Estimated New Keynesian Small Open Economy Model," Working Paper Series 203, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
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  336. Morley, Bruce, 2009. "Exchange Rates and Stock Prices in the Long Run and Short Run," Department of Economics Working Papers 15973, University of Bath, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  337. Jyh-Lin Wu, 1994. "Government Spending And Movements Of Real Exchange Rates: An Empirical Investigation," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 8(2), pages 43-56, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  338. Lux, Thomas & Schornstein, Sascha, 2003. "Genetic learning as an explanation of stylized facts of foreign exchange markets," Economics Working Papers Economics working paper /, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  339. Richard A. Meese & Andrew K. Rose, 1989. "An empirical assessment of non-linearities in models of exchange rate determination," International Finance Discussion Papers 367, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  340. Jan Beran & Dirk Ocker, 1999. "SEMIFAR Forecasts, with Applications to Foreign Exchange Rates," CoFE Discussion Paper 99-13, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
  341. Edward E. Ghartey, 2004. "Random Walk as a Universal Test of Weak-Form Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency : A Proof," Frontiers in Finance and Economics, Lille Graduate School of Management, vol. 1(1), pages 37-45, June. [Downloadable!]
  342. Vitek, Francis, 2007. "An Evaluation of the Exchange Rate Forecasting Performance of the New Keynesian Model," MPRA Paper 2945, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  343. Menzie Chinn, 1995. "Whither the Yen? Implications of an intertemporal model of the Yen/Dollar rate," International Finance 9508001, EconWPA, revised 28 Aug 1995. [Downloadable!]
  344. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Stefan Nagel & Lasse H. Pedersen, 2008. "Carry Trades and Currency Crashes," NBER Working Papers 14473, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  345. Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2009. "What Does the Yield Curve Tell Us About Exchange Rate Predictability?," Working Papers UWEC-2009-04, University of Washington, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  346. Forsman, Mats-Ola, 2005. "Speculative Attacks on Nordic Exchange-Rates, 1971-1992," Working Papers in Economics 186, Göteborg University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  347. Marianna Grimaldi & Paul De Grauwe, 2003. "Bubbling and Crashing Exchange Rates," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  348. Yin-Wong Cheung & Ulf G. Erlandsson, 2004. "Exchange Rates and Markov Switching Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  349. Alexius, Annika & Post, Erik, 2005. "Exchange Rates and Asymmetric Shocks in Small Open Economies," Working Paper Series 2005:10, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  350. W. H"Ardle & A. Tsybakov & L. Yang, . "Nonparametric Vector Autoregression," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1996-61, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
  351. Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Emma García, . "Purchasing Power Parity Revisited," Working Papers 2003-20, FEDEA. [Downloadable!]
  352. Razzak, W A, 2007. "In The Middle of the Heat:The GCC countries Between Rising Oil Prices and the Sliding Greenback
    [Same as above]    ," MPRA Paper 6591, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  353. De Grauwe, Paul, 2000. "Exchange Rates in Search of Fundamentals: The Case of the Euro-Dollar Rate," CEPR Discussion Papers 2575, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  354. John E. Floyd, 1998. "Monetary Policy and the Real Exchange Rate: Some Evidence," Working Papers floyd-98-02, University of Toronto, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  355. Akito Matsumoto & Pietro Cova & Massimiliano Pisani & Alessandro Rebucci, 2008. "New Shocks, Exchange Rates and EquityPrices," IMF Working Papers 08/284, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  356. Karunaratne, Neil Dias, 2006. "The New Economy and the Dollar Puzzle," Economic Analysis and Policy (EAP), Queensland University of Technology (QUT), School of Economics and Finance, vol. 36(1-2), pages 25-43, March/Sep. [Downloadable!]
  357. Frédéric Karamé & Lise Patureau & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2002. "Can We Beat the Random Walk Forecasts of Out-of-Sample Exchange Rates? A Structural Approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 233, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  358. Charles Bean & Jens D.J. Larsen & Kalin Nikolov, 2002. "Financial frictions and the monetary transmission mechanism: theory; evidence and policy implications," Working Paper Series 113, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  359. Robledo, Carlos W. & Zapata, Hector O. & McCracken, Michael, 2001. "New Mse Tests For Evaluating Forecasting Performance: Empirics And Bootstrap," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20686, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
  360. Lise Patureau, 2002. "Pricing-to-market and limited participation : a joint explanation to the exchange rate disconnect puzzle," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 299, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  361. Ronald MacDonald & Lukas Menkhoff & Rafael R. Rebitzky, 2009. "Exchange rate forecasters’ performance: evidence of skill?," Working Papers 2009_13, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
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  362. Bandholz, Harm & Clostermann, Joerg & Seitz, Franz, 2007. "Explaining the US Bond Yield Conundrum," MPRA Paper 2386, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  363. Michael Brandt & John Cochrane & Pedro Santa-Clara, 2001. "International Risk Sharing is Better Than You Think (or Exchange Rates are Much Too Smooth!," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management 1015, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA. [Downloadable!]
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  364. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee, 2006. "Investing Under Model Uncertainty: Decision Based Evaluation of Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Forecasts in the US, UK and Japan," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0616, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics. [Downloadable!]
  365. Pierre Villa, 1997. "Ces taux de change reels qui bifurquent," Working Papers 1997-05, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  366. Michael Arghyrou & Virginie Boinet & Christopher Martin, 2004. "Non-linear and non-symmetric exchange-rate adjustment: new evidence from medium- and high-inflation economies," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 2, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  367. Calderon, Cesar & Kubota, Megumi, 2009. "Does higher openness cause more real exchange rate volatility ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4896, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  368. Meredith Beechey & Nargis Bharucha & Adam Cagliarini & David Gruen & Christopher Thompson, 2000. "A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2000-05, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  369. Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & Robert Whitelaw, 2005. "The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates: Implications for Exchange Rates and the Forward Premium Anomaly," NBER Working Papers 11840, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  370. Yochanan Shachmurove & Uri BenZion & Paul Klein & Joseph Yagil, 2001. "A Moving Average Comparison of the Tel-Aviv 25 and S&P 500 Stock Indices," Penn CARESS Working Papers 4731f3394c43bebf4d3191c81, Penn Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  371. Aleš Bulir, 2004. "Liberalized Markets Have More Stable Exchange Rates: Short-Run Evidence from Four Transition Countries," IMF Working Papers 04/35, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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  372. Nikola Dvornak & Marion Kohler & Gordon Menzies, 2003. "Australia’s Medium-run Exchange Rate: A Macroeconomic Balance Approach," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2003-03, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
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  373. Ansgar Belke & Ralph Setzer, 2004. "Contagion, Herding and Exchange Rate Instability - A Survey," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 234/2004, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  374. PREMINGER, Arie & FRANCK, Raphael, 2005. "Forecasting exchange rates: a robust regression approach," CORE Discussion Papers 2005025, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
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  375. Nikola Gradojevic & Christopher J. Neely, 2008. "The dynamic interaction of order flows and the CAD/USD exchange rate," Working Papers 2008-006, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  376. De Grauwe, Paul & Grimaldi, Marianna, 2004. "Exchange Rate Puzzles: A Tale of Switching Attractors," Working Paper Series 163, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
  377. Geert Bekaert & Min Wei & Yuhang Xing, 2002. "Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and the Term Structure," NBER Working Papers 8795, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  378. Nikolas Mueller-Plantenberg, 2003. "Japan's Imbalance of Payments," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  379. Peter Rowland, 2003. "Forecasting The Usd/Cop Exchange Rate: A Random Walk With A Variable Drift," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002736, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
  380. Roche, M.J. & Moore. M.J., 2002. "Volatile and persistent real exchange rates without the contrivance of sticky prices," Economics, Finance and Accounting Department Working Paper Series n1160402, Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting, National University of Ireland - Maynooth. [Downloadable!]
  381. Domenico Sartore & Lucia Trevisan & Michele Trova & Francesca Volo, 2002. "US dollar/Euro exchange rate: a monthly econometric model for forecasting," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 480-501, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  382. Kees G. Koedijk & Mack Ott, 1987. "Risk aversion, efficient markets and the forward exchange rate," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Dec, pages 5-13. [Downloadable!]
  383. George W. Evans & Avik Chakraborty, 2006. "Can Perpetual Learning Explain the Forward Premium Puzzle?," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2006-8, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 20 Aug 2006. [Downloadable!]
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  384. Simon van Norden, 1995. "Regime Switching as a Test for Exchange Rate Bubbles," Econometrics 9502001, EconWPA, revised 09 Aug 1995. [Downloadable!]
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  385. Jocelyn Horne, 2001. "Myths and Misconceptions of Exchange Rates," Research Papers 0105, Macquarie University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  386. Tamim Bayoumi & Hamid Faruqee & Jaewoo Lee, 2005. "A Fair Exchange? Theory and Practice of Calculating Equilibrium Exchange Rates," IMF Working Papers 05/229, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  387. Young-Sook Lee & Tae-Hwan Kim & Paul Newbold, 2005. "Revisiting the Martingale hypothesis for exchange rates," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 19, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  388. Malcolm Edey & John Romalis, 1996. "Issues in Modelling Monetary Policy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9604, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  389. Burt Malkiel & Judith Malkiel, 1972. "Male-Female Pay Differentials in Professional Employment," Working Papers 410, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section.. [Downloadable!]
  390. Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano, 2008. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Trade in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation," MPRA Paper 13490, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Feb 2009. [Downloadable!]
  391. Joseph E. Gagnon & Alain P. Chaboud, 2007. "What can the data tell us about carry trades in Japanese yen?," International Finance Discussion Papers 899, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  392. Peter Rowland, . "Uncovered Interest Parity and the USD/COP Echange Rate," Borradores de Economia 227, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  393. John E. Floyd, 1995. "Uncovered Interest Parity: A Further Reconsideration," Working Papers floyd-95-01, University of Toronto, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  394. Zwart, G.J. de & Markwat, T.D. & Swinkels, L. & Dijk, D.J.C. van, 2007. "The Economic Value of Fundamental and Technical Information in Emerging Currency Markets," Research Paper ERS-2007-096-F&A Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
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  395. Bask, Mikael, 2003. "Chartists and Fundamentalists in the Currency Market and the Volatility of Exchange Rates," UmeÃ¥ Economic Studies 605, Umeå University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  396. Andreas Billmeier, 2004. "Ghostbusting: Which Output Gap Measure Really Matters?," IMF Working Papers 04/146, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  397. Mario Cerrato & Nicholas Sarantis & Alex Saunders, 2009. "An investigation of customer order flow in the foreign exchange market," Working Papers 2009_25, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
  398. Tassos Anastasatos & Ian R. Davidson, 2004. "An Empirical Characterisation of Speculative Pressure: A Comprehensive Panel Study Using LDV Models in High Frequency," Discussion Paper Series 2004_8, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Aug 2004. [Downloadable!]
  399. Simon J. Broome & Morley, B., 2003. "Stock Prices and the Monetary Model of Exchange Rate: An Empirical Investigation," Economics, Finance and Accounting Department Working Paper Series n1321103, Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting, National University of Ireland - Maynooth. [Downloadable!]
  400. Bruce Mizrach, 1996. "Mean Reversion in EMS Exchange Rates," Departmental Working Papers 199525, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  401. Tro Kortian, 1995. "Modern Approaches to Asset Price Formation: A Survey of Recent Theoretical Literature," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9501, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  402. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric Van Wincoop, 2004. "A Scapegoat Model of Exchange-Rate Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(2), pages 114-118, May. [Downloadable!]
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  403. Charles Engel, 1996. "A Model of Foreign Exchange Rate Indetermination," NBER Working Papers 5766, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  404. Neil R. Ericsson, 1991. "Parameter constancy, mean square forecast errors, and measuring forecast performance: an exposition, extensions, and illustration," International Finance Discussion Papers 412, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  405. Barry Eichengreen & Andrew K. Rose & Charles Wyplosz, 1994. "Speculative Attacks on Pegged Exchange Rates: An Empirical Exploration with Special Reference to the European Monetary System," NBER Working Papers 4898, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  406. Kam-hon CHU & Bob Y. C. Chan & Chor-yiu Sin, 2000. "Contagion Effects, Informational Effects, and Economic Fundamentals: An Analysis of Exchange Rate Dynamics during the Asian Currency Crisis," Working Papers 022000, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
  407. Peter Rowland & Hugo OLiveros C., . "Colombian Purchasing Power Parity Analysed Using a Framework of Multivariate Cointegration," Borradores de Economia 252, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  408. Susanto Basu & Alan M. Taylor, 1999. "Business Cycles in International Historical Perspective," NBER Working Papers 7090, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  409. W A Razzak & Thomas Grennes, 1998. "The long-run nominal exchange rate: specification and estimation issues," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G98/5, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
  410. Martin Feldstein, 1989. "The Budget Deficit and the Dollar," NBER Working Papers 1898, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  411. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Javier Ordoñez & Mariam Camarero, 2007. "The Role Of Commodity Terms Of Trade In Determining The Real Exchange Rates Of Mediterranean Countries," Working Papers. Serie AD 2007-15, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
  412. Marie Brière & Bastien Drut, 2009. "The Revenge of Purchasing Power Parity on Carry Trades during Crises," Working Papers CEB 09-013.RS, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, Centre Emile Bernheim (CEB). [Downloadable!]
  413. Hilde C. Bjørnland and Håvard Hungnes, 2003. "The importance of interest rates for forecasting the exchange rate," Discussion Papers 340, Research Department of Statistics Norway. [Downloadable!]
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  414. Kenneth D. West & Michael W. McCracken, 1998. "Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability," NBER Technical Working Papers 0226, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  415. Rime, Dagfinn & Sarno, Lucio & Sojli, Elvira, 2009. "Exchange Rate Forecasting, Order Flow and Macroeconomic Information," CEPR Discussion Papers 7225, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  416. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1998. "A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Univariate Models for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series," NBER Working Papers 6607, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  417. Kirdan Lees, 2006. "What do robust policies look like for open economy inflation targeters?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2006/08, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
Did you know? You may want to explore EconPapers, which displays the same data as IDEAS in a different way.

This page was last updated on 2009-12-18.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.