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Le declenchement des crises de change : qu'avons-nous appris depuis dix ans ?

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  • Andre Cartapanis

Abstract

Cet article est consacre aux principales lecons qui peuvent etre tirees de l'experience des annees quatre-vingt-dix et de la litterature theorique et empirique consacree au declenchement des crises de change. En reponse aux insuffisances des modeles de premiere et de deuxieme generation accordant un role cle aux fondamentaux macro-economiques, on a assiste a une redefinition des facteurs de vulnerabilite aux crises en privilegiant l'imperfection des marches financiers et les risques d'illiquidite bancaire internationale. Les crises de change sont alors indissociables du risque systemique et justifient le projet, encore inacheve, de la nouvelle architecture financiere internationale dans le domaine de la prevention et de la gestion des crises.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by CEPII research center in its journal Economie Internationale.

Volume (Year): (2004)
Issue (Month): 97 ()
Pages: 5-48

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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2004-1ta

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Keywords: Crises de change; crises financieres internationales; risque systemique; crise; systeme bancaire; marches financiers;

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References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Sophie Brana & Delphine Lahet, 2005. "La propagation des crises financieres dans les pays emergents : la contagion est-elle discriminante ?," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 103, pages 73-96.
  2. Saoussen Ben Gamra & Dominique Plihon, 2007. "Politiques de liberalisation financiere et crises bancaires," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 112, pages 5-28.
  3. Julien Reynaud & Rofikoh Rokhim, 2005. "Do banking crises enhance efficiency ? A case study of 1994 Turkish and 1997 Indonesian crises," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques bla05007, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
  4. repec:hal:journl:halshs-00193306 is not listed on IDEAS
  5. Olivier Jeanne, 2003. "Comprendre les crises financières internationales," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 70(1), pages 23-31.
  6. Hend Sfaxi Benahji, 2008. "Choice of the Exchange Policies in the Developments Countries: Study of the Competitiveness of Tunisia," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 55(3), pages 353-367, September.
  7. Bachellerie, A. & Couillault, B., 2005. "Public debt sustainability and crises in emerging market countries: a presentation of the concepts and diagnostic tools," Financial Stability Review, Banque de France, issue 6, pages 63-80, June.
  8. Mohamed Ayadi & Wajih Khallouli & René Sandretto, 2006. "Les déterminants des crises financières récentes des pays émergents," Post-Print halshs-00137700, HAL.
  9. Ari, Ali, 2008. "An Early Warning Signals Approach for Currency Crises: The Turkish Case," MPRA Paper 25858, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.

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