External rebalancing is not just an exporters' story: real exchange rates, the non-tradable sector and the euro
Abstract
Global and European trade balances have seen strong divergences combined with strong movements in the exchange rate. Trade balances and real effective exchange rates are related. Using different measures of the real effective exchange rate, we show that this long-run link hinges on the relative price of non-tradable to tradable goods and services in relation to their trading partners. An improvement in the trade balance is associated with a fall in the relative price of non-tradable goods and services. The elimination of nominal exchange rates with the euro does not change these relationships. Government consumption increases the relative price of nontradable goods. The results highlight the importance of internal price adjustments for external balances, a point frequently overlooked in policy debates.Download Info
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 19151.Length:
Date of creation: Apr 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:19151
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Keywords: real exchange rate; non-tradable sector; euro;Other versions of this item:
- Eric Ruscher & Guntram B. Wolff, 2009. "External rebalancing is not just an exporters' story: real exchange rates, the non-tradable sector and the euro," European Economy - Economic Papers 375, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
- F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2009-12-19 (All new papers)
- NEP-CBA-2009-12-19 (Central Banking)
- NEP-OPM-2009-12-19 (Open Economy Macroeconomic)
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- Klaus Regling & Servaas Deroose & Reinhard Felke & Paul Kutos, 2010. "The Euro After Its First Decade : Weathering the Financial Storm and Enlarging the Euro Area," Governance Working Papers 22817, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
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