Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Forecasting exchange rates out of sample: random walk vs Markov switching regimes

Contents:

Author Info

  • Dimitris Kirikos

Abstract

A random walk is compared with a Markov switching regimes process in forecasting exchange rates out of sample, using quarterly data on three currencies relative to the US dollar over the period 1973:3-1997:3. The results show that the relative performance of the models varies with the length of the post-sample period suggesting that the availability of more past information may be useful in forecasting future exchange rates.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351979&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5
Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 7 (2000)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 133-136

as in new window
Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:133-136

Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.tandfonline.com/RAEL20

Order Information:
Web: http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/RAEL20

Related research

Keywords:

References

No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. Lee, Hsiu-Yun & Chen, Show-Lin, 2006. "Why use Markov-switching models in exchange rate prediction?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 662-668, July.
  2. Michał Rubaszek & Paweł Skrzypczyński & Grzegorz Koloch, 2010. "Forecasting the Polish Zloty with Non-Linear Models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, CEJEME, vol. 2(2), pages 151-167, March.

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:133-136. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Michael McNulty).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.