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Testing Models of Low-Frequency Variability

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Author Info
Ulrich K. Müller
Mark W. Watson
Abstract

We develop a framework to assess how successfully standard time series models explain low-frequency variability of a data series. The low-frequency information is extracted by computing a finite number of weighted averages of the original data, where the weights are low-frequency trigonometric series. The properties of these weighted averages are then compared to the asymptotic implications of a number of common time series models. We apply the framework to twenty U.S. macroeconomic and financial time series using frequencies lower than the business cycle. Copyright 2008 The Econometric Society.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.3982/ECTA6814
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Econometric Society in its journal Econometrica.

Volume (Year): 76 (2008)
Issue (Month): 5 (09)
Pages: 979-1016
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:emetrp:v:76:y:2008:i:5:p:979-1016

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  1. Onatski, Alexei & Uhlig, Harald, 2009. "Unit Roots in White Noise," MPRA Paper 14057, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ulrich Müller & Mark W. Watson, 2009. "Low-Frequency Robust Cointegration Testing," NBER Working Papers 15292, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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