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Transmission channels of capital flow shocks: why Korean crisis was so severe

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  • Takuji Kinkyo

    (Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK)

Abstract

The Asian crisis highlighted the vulnerability of emerging market economies faced by sudden capital flow reversals. An important question that has critical implications for crisis management is how negative shocks in capital inflows were transmitted to economic activities, transforming financial instability into fully-fledged crises. Using VARs, this paper analyzes the transmission mechanism of capital flow shocks during the Korean crisis of 1997-98. Although it is commonly believed that severe economic contractions were caused by credit crunch, the analysis suggests that the major constraint for production was a steep rise in prices of imported inputs due to sharp exchange rate depreciations.

Suggested Citation

  • Takuji Kinkyo, 2004. "Transmission channels of capital flow shocks: why Korean crisis was so severe," Working Papers 139, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    • Handle: RePEc:soa:wpaper:139
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    File URL: https://www.soas.ac.uk/sites/default/files/2022-10/economics-wp139.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lozano-Espitia, Luis Ignacio & Melo-Becerra, Ligia Alba & Ramos-Forero, Jorge Enrique, 2013. "Flujos de capitales y política fiscal en las economías emergentes de América Latina," Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 13, pages 533-563, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Luis Ignacio Lozano Espitia & Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & Jorge Enrique Ramos, 2016. "La política fiscal frente a los flujos de capital: evidencia para algunos países de América Latina," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 35(62), pages 53-85, July.
    3. Takuji Kinkyo, 2004. "Disorderly adjustments to exchange rate misalignments: The experience of Korea," Working Papers 140, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    4. Takuji Kinkyo, 2004. "The case for regional exchange rate arrangement in East Asia," Working Papers 141, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital flow shocks; Current account adjustments; VAR; Crisis; Korea;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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