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Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries

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  • Eswar S. Prasad
  • Kenneth S. Rogoff
  • Shang-Jin Wei
  • M. Ayhan Kose

Abstract

This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of empirical evidence about the impact of financial globalization on growth and volatility in developing countries. The results suggest that it is difficult to establish a robust causal relationship between financial integration and economic growth. Furthermore, there is little evidence that developing countries have been consistently successful in using financial integration to stabilize fluctuations in consumption growth. However, we do find that financial globalization can be beneficial under the right circumstances. Empirically, good institutions and quality of governance are crucial in helping developing countries derive the benefits of globalization. Similarly, macroeconomic stability appears to be an important prerequisite for ensuring that financial globalization is beneficial for developing countries. Finally, countries that employ relatively flexible exchange rate regimes and succeed in maintaining fiscal discipline are more likely to enjoy the potential growth and stabilization benefits of financial globalization.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 10942.

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Date of creation: Dec 2004
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Publication status: published as Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff, Shang-Jin Wei, M. Ayhan Kose. "Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries," in Ann Harrison, editor, "Globalization and Poverty" University of Chicago Press (2007)
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:10942

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