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Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries

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Author Info
Eswar S. Prasad
Kenneth S. Rogoff
Shang-Jin Wei
M. Ayhan Kose

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Abstract

This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of empirical evidence about the impact of financial globalization on growth and volatility in developing countries. The results suggest that it is difficult to establish a robust causal relationship between financial integration and economic growth. Furthermore, there is little evidence that developing countries have been consistently successful in using financial integration to stabilize fluctuations in consumption growth. However, we do find that financial globalization can be beneficial under the right circumstances. Empirically, good institutions and quality of governance are crucial in helping developing countries derive the benefits of globalization. Similarly, macroeconomic stability appears to be an important prerequisite for ensuring that financial globalization is beneficial for developing countries. Finally, countries that employ relatively flexible exchange rate regimes and succeed in maintaining fiscal discipline are more likely to enjoy the potential growth and stabilization benefits of financial globalization.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 10942.

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Date of creation: Dec 2004
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:10942

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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  1. Susan M. Collins, 2004. "International Financial Integration and Growth in Developing Countries: Issues and Implications for Africa," Journal of African Economies, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(02), pages ii55-ii94, December.
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

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  3. Hernán Rincón, 2007. "Financial Globalization, Economic Growth, and Macroeconomic Volatility," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002721, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Frederic Mishkin, 2005. "Is Financial Globalization Beneficial?," NBER Working Papers 11891, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Campos, Nauro F. & Coricelli, Fabrizio, 2009. "Financial Liberalization and Democracy: The Role of Reform Reversals," IZA Discussion Papers 4338, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  6. Birdsall, Nancy, 2006. "Stormy Days on an Open Field: Asymmetries in the Global Economy," Working Papers RP2006/31, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
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  8. Robert Boyer, 2006. "Employment and decent work in the era of flexicurity," PSE Working Papers 2006-21, PSE (Ecole normale supérieure). [Downloadable!]
  9. Debajyoti Chakrabarty, 2006. "Education, Growth, and Redistribution in the Presence of Capital Flight," Papers on Entrepreneurship, Growth and Public Policy 2006-21, Max Planck Institute of Economics, Entrepreneurship, Growth and Public Policy Group. [Downloadable!]
  10. Humberto Mora & Hernán Rincón, . "Capital Account Controls, Bank’s Efficiency, Growth and Macroeconomic Volatility in the FLAR’s Member Countries?," Borradores de Economia 364, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  11. Christopher Bowdler & Adeel Malik, 2005. "Openness and inflation volatility: Cross-country evidence," Economics Papers 2005-W14, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  12. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey & Christian Lundblad, 2009. "Financial Openness and Productivity," NBER Working Papers 14843, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Uluc Aysun & Adam Honig, 2008. "Bankruptcy Costs, Liability Dollarization, and Vulnerability to Sudden Stops," Working papers 2008-41, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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