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Overshooting Meets Inflation Targeting

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  • Jose De Gregorio
  • Eric Parrado

Abstract

This paper revisits Dornbusch’s overshooting model; first, to discuss the conditions of overshooting and undershooting, extending the model to consider monetary policy rules and imperfect capital mobility. And second, to outline Dornbusch’s representation in the context of a simple dynamic neo-Keynesian model that can be used to analyze the impact of persistent changes in monetary policy, among other shocks. The model considers inflation targeting in a small open economy setup, which is characterized by imperfect competition and short-run price rigidity. The main findings of the paper are consistent with the original contribution where the exchange rate overshoots its long run equilibrium. We also show that flexible exchange rates dominate managed exchange rates in terms of output and inflation volatility in the presence of real shocks, while for nominal shocks the reverse is true.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Central Bank of Chile in its series Working Papers Central Bank of Chile with number 394.

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Date of creation: Dec 2006
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Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:394

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  1. Giancarlo Corsetti & Paolo Pesenti, 2001. "Welfare And Macroeconomic Interdependence," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 116(2), pages 421-445, May.
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  3. Jordi Galí & Tommaso Monacelli, 2004. "Monetary policy and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy," Economics Working Papers 835, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  4. McCallum, Bennett T. & Nelson, Edward, 1998. "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," Seminar Papers 644, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  5. Reinhart, Carmen & Calvo, Guillermo, 2002. "Fear of floating," MPRA Paper 14000, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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  12. Kenneth Rogoff, 2002. "Dornbusch's Overshooting Model After Twenty-Five Years," IMF Working Papers 02/39, International Monetary Fund.
  13. Lars E.O. Svensson, 1998. "Inflation Targeting as a Monetary Policy Rule," NBER Working Papers 6790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  14. Tommaso Monacelli, 1999. "Into the Mussa Puzzle: Monetary Policy Regimes and the Real Exchange Rate in a Small Open Economy," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 437, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 15 Sep 2000.
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  21. Jacob A. Frenkel & Carlos A. Rodriguez, 1982. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Overshooting Hypothesis," NBER Working Papers 0832, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  24. Eichenbaum, Martin & Evans, Charles L, 1995. "Some Empirical Evidence on the Effects of Shocks to Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 110(4), pages 975-1009, November.
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Cited by:
  1. Volker Wieland, 2008. "Learning, Endogenous Indexation and Disinflation in the New-Keynesian Model," CFS Working Paper Series 2008/17, Center for Financial Studies.
  2. Valdivia, Daney & Loayza, Lilian, 2010. "Adopción de metas de inflación y su impacto en las expectativas de inflación y volatilidad del crecimiento económico: evidencia empírica para Bolivia
    [Inflation targeting and its impact on the
    ," MPRA Paper 37328, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Aug 2011.

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