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Monetary Policy Rules For An Open Economy

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Author Info
Nicoletta Batini (Bank of England)
Stephen P. Millard (Bank of England, Monetary Analysis)
Richard Harrison (Bank of England, Monetary Analysis)

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Abstract

The most popular simple rules, due to Taylor (1993) and McCallum (1995), are both meant to inform monetary policy in economies that are closed. On the other hand, their main open economy alternative, the Monetary Conditions Index (MCI) rule of Ball (1999) is flawed for a number or reasons, not least because it fails to adequately allow for different types of exchange rate shocks when setting policy. In this paper we derive simple monetary policy rules that are suitable for small open economies in general, and for the UK in particular. We do so by comparing the performance of a battery of complex and simple rules, including the familiar Taylor and McCallum rule and the MCI. The comparison entails stochastically simulating a two-sector open-economy stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated on UK data. The model displays persistence in the process of domestically generated inflation that arises by assuming 'generalised habit formation' in the preferences for both consumption and leisure.

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Paper provided by Society for Computational Economics in its series Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 with number 361.

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Date of creation: 05 Jul 2000
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Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf0:361

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  4. Henderson, Dale W. & McKibbin, Warwick J., 1993. "A comparison of some basic monetary policy regimes for open economies: implications of different degrees of instrument adjustment and wage persistence," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 221-317, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Michael Woodford, 2001. "Inflation Stabilization and Welfare," NBER Working Papers 8071, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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