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Componente no Estacionario y la Paridad del Poder de Compra en 12 Países Latinoamericanos

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Author Info
Javier León
Carlos Oliva
Abstract

This paper shows evidence with respect to the Purchasing Power of Parity (PPP) hypothesis in twelve Latin American countries. The variance ratio statistic is used to gauge the stationary component in the real exchange rate, as well as the real exchange rate dynamics after an innovation occurs. In most of the cases, the results show that the real exchange rate can be modeled as a cuasi-stationary process with a significative mean-reverting component that cancel part of the shock. Therefore, the nominal exchange rate and/or the internal price index do not fully adjust to the inflation differentials. Thus, short run deviations from the PPP are no¡ completely offset in the long run. The expected real exchange rate stationarity suggested by the PPP was only found in two of the analyzed cases.

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Article provided by Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. in its journal Cuadernos de Economía.

Volume (Year): 29 (1992)
Issue (Month): 88 ()
Pages: 481-504
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Handle: RePEc:ioe:cuadec:v:29:y:1992:i:88:p:481-504

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  4. Meese, Richard A. & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1983. "Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies : Do they fit out of sample?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1-2), pages 3-24, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Perron, Pierre, 1989. "The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Hakkio, Craig, 1986. "Does the exchange rate follow a random walk? A Monte Carlo study of four tests for a random walk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 221-229, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1988. "Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(2), pages 246-73, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Huizinga, John, 1987. "An empirical investigation of the long-run behavior of real exchange rates," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27, pages 149-214. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Cochrane, John H. & Sbordone, Argia M., 1988. "Multivariate estimates of the permanent components of GNP and stock prices," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 255-296. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Poterba, James M. & Summers, Lawrence H., 1988. "Mean reversion in stock prices : Evidence and Implications," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 27-59, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Corbae, Dean & Ouliaris, Sam, 1988. "Cointegration and Tests of Purchasing Power Parity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 70(3), pages 508-11, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Gardner, Grant W & Kimbrough, Kent P, 1989. "The Behavior of U.S. Tariff Rates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(1), pages 211-18, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Enders, Walter, 1988. "ARIMA and Cointegration Tests of PPP under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rate Regimes," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 70(3), pages 504-08, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Cochrane, John H, 1988. "How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(5), pages 893-920, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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