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The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Chris Murray
Charles Nelson
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Paper provided by Department of Economics at the University of Washington in its series Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington with number
0074.
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Date of creation: Mar 1998Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:washer:0074Contact details of provider: Postal: Box 353330, Seattle, WA 98193-3330 Email: Web page: http://www.econ.washington.edu/ More information through EDIRC
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Phillips, P.C.B., 1986.
"Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression ,"
Cahiers de recherche
8633, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
Other versions: Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn, 1996.
"Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in GNP ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0206, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie Chinn, 1995.
"Further investigation of the uncertain unit root in GNP ,"
Econometrics
9508002, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Cheung, Yin-Wong & Chinn, Menzie D, 1997.
"Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in GNP ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
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Brookings Papers on Economic Activity ,
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Christiano, Lawrence J. & Eichenbaum, Martin, 1990.
"Unit roots in real GNP: Do we know, and do we care? ,"
Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy ,
Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 7-61, January.
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Other versions:
Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum, 1989.
"Unit roots in real GNP: do we know, and do we care? ,"
Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics
18, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
[Downloadable!] Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum, 1990.
"Unit roots in real GNP: do we know, and do we care? ,"
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues
90-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum, 1989.
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"Confidence intervals for the largest autoregressive root in U.S. macroeconomic time series ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 435-459, December.
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Other versions: Rudebusch, Glenn D, 1993.
"The Uncertain Unit Root in Real GNP ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 83(1), pages 264-72, March.
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Other versions: John Y. Campbell & Pierre Perron, 1991.
"Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know About Unit Roots ,"
NBER Chapters ,
in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991, Volume 6, pages 141-220
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions:
John Y. Campbell & Pierre Perron, 1991.
"Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know About Unit Roots ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0100, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Campbell, J.Y. & Perron, P., 1991.
"Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomics should know about unit roots ,"
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360, Princeton, Department of Economics - Econometric Research Program.
Schwert, G William, 1989.
" Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change over Time? ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 44(5), pages 1115-53, December.
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Other versions: Andrews, Donald W K, 1991.
"Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-58, May.
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Other versions: Clark, Peter K, 1987.
"The Cyclical Component of U.S. Economic Activity ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 797-814, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ng, S. & Perron, P., 1994.
"Unit Root Tests ARMA Models with Data Dependent Methods for the Selection of the Truncation Lag ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9423, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
Other versions: Perron, Pierre, 1989.
"The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November.
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Other versions: Schwert, G William, 1989.
"Tests for Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 7(2), pages 147-59, April.
Other versions:
G. William Schwert, 1988.
"Tests For Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0073, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Schwert, G William, 2002.
"Tests for Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 5-17, January.
Kim, Chang-Jin, 1994.
"Dynamic linear models with Markov-switching ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 1-22.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Nelson, Charles R & Kang, Heejoon, 1981.
"Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 49(3), pages 741-51, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 1992.
"Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 251-70, July.
Other versions:
Eric Zivot & Donald W.K. Andrews, 1990.
"Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
944, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!] Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 2002.
"Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 25-44, January.
Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996.
"Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-36, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Charles Engel, 1998.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
0050, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Engel, C., 1996.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington
96-05, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
Charles Engel, 1998.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
Working Papers
0050, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Charles Engel, 1996.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
NBER Working Papers
5646, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Engel, C., 1996.
"Long-Run PPP May Not Hold After All ,"
Working Papers
96-05, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
Engel, Charles, 2000.
"Long-run PPP may not hold after all ,"
Journal of International Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 243-273, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ben-David, D. & Papell, D.H., 1995.
"The Great War, The Great Crash and Steady State Growth: Some New Evidence an Old Stylized Fact ,"
Papers
36-95, Tel Aviv - the Sackler Institute of Economic Studies.
Jong-Il Kim & Lawrence J. Lau, 1996.
"The sources of Asian Pacific economic growth ,"
Canadian Journal of Economics ,
Canadian Economics Association, vol. 29(s1), pages 448-54, April.
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Franses, Philip Hans & Haldrup, Niels, 1994.
"The Effects of Additive Outliers on Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 12(4), pages 471-78, October.
Other versions: Martin Neil Baily & Robert J. Gordon, 1988.
"The Productivity Slowdown, Measurement Issues, and the Explosion of Computer Power ,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity ,
Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 19(1988-2), pages 347-432.
[Downloadable!]
Banerjee, Anindya & Lumsdaine, Robin L & Stock, James H, 1992.
"Recursive and Sequential Tests of the Unit-Root and Trend-Break Hypotheses: Theory and International Evidence ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 10(3), pages 271-87, July.
Alastair R. Hall & Glenn D. Rudebusch & David W. Wilcox, 1994.
"Judging instrument relevance in instrumental variables estimation ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
94-3, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Other versions:
Hall, Alastair R & Rudebusch, Glenn D & Wilcox, David W, 1996.
"Judging Instrument Relevance in Instrumental Variables Estimation ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 37(2), pages 283-98, May.
Jones, Charles I, 1995.
"Time Series Tests of Endogenous Growth Models ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 110(2), pages 495-525, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Leybourne, S J & McCabe, B P M, 1994.
"A Consistent Test for a Unit Root ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 12(2), pages 157-66, April.
Diebold, Francis X & Senhadji, Abdelhak S, 1996.
"The Uncertain Unit Root in Real GNP: Comment ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 86(5), pages 1291-98, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Schwert, G. William, 1987.
"Effects of model specification on tests for unit roots in macroeconomic data ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 73-103, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cochrane, John H, 1988.
"How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP? ,"
Journal of Political Economy ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(5), pages 893-920, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cochrane, John H., 1991.
"A critique of the application of unit root tests ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 275-284, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Rudebusch, Glenn D, 1992.
"Trends and Random Walks in Macroeconomic Time Series: A Re-examination ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 33(3), pages 661-80, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Balke, Nathan S. & Fomby, Thomas B., 1991.
"Shifting trends, segmented trends, and infrequent permanent shocks ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 61-85, August.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ben-David, Dan & Papell, David H., 1995.
"The great wars, the great crash, and steady state growth: Some new evidence about an old stylized fact ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 453-475, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hall, Alastair R, 1994.
"Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series with Pretest Data-Based Model Selection ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 12(4), pages 461-70, October.
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Federico Guerrero & Elliott Parker, 2007.
"The Effect of Federal Government Size on Long-Term Economic Growth in the United States, 1792-2004 ,"
Working Papers
07-002, University of Nevada, Reno, Department of Economics & University of Nevada, Reno , Department of Resource Economics.
[Downloadable!]
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