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Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Working Paper Series / Economic Activity Section

Contact information of Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.):
Postal: 20th Street and Constitution Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20551
Web page: http://www.federalreserve.gov/
More information through EDIRC

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For technical questions regarding this series, please contact (Diane Rosenberger)
Series handle: repec:fip:fedgwe

1994

153 How sticky are prices? an analysis of the services sector
by John M. Roberts
152 Is inflation sticky?
by John M. Roberts
151 A note on the sustainability of fiscal policy
by Darrel Cohen
150 Sectoral shocks, vacancies, and aggregate compensation determination
by Maria W. Otoo
149 Turnover as a measure of demand for existing homes
by James A. Berkovec & John L. Goodman, Jr.
148 Fiscal rules and monetary policy
by Darrel Cohen & David Lebow
146 Is there a broad credit channel for monetary policy?
by Stephen D. Oliner & Glenn D. Rudebusch

1993

147 New evidence on the retirement and depreciation of machine tools
by Stephen D. Oliner
145 How important is precautionary saving?
by Christopher D. Carroll & Andrew A. Samwick
144 Employment effects of minimum and subminimum wages: reply to Card, Katz, and Krueger
by David Neumark & William Wascher
143 Habit formation in consumer preferences: evidence from panel data
by Karen E. Dynan
142 Who pays broad-based energy taxes? Computing lifetime and regional incidence
by Nicholas Bull & Kevin A. Hassett & Gilbert E. Metcalf
141 New and old models of business investment: a comparison of forecasting performance
by Stephen Oliner & Glenn Rudebusch & Daniel Sichel
140 Saving and growth: a reinterpretation
by Christopher D. Carroll & David N. Weil
139 The hiring of new labor by expanding industries
by Bruce Chelimsky Fallick
138 Technical appendix to When All the Optimal Dynamic Taxes Are Zero (no. 137)
by Nicholas Bull
137 When all the optimal dynamic taxes are zero
by Nicholas Bull
136 Monetary policy at near-zero interest rates
by David E. Lebow
135 How prudent are consumers?
by Karen E. Dynan
134 The rate of time preference and shocks to wealth: evidence from panel data
by Karen E. Dynan
133 Minimum wage effects on employment and school enrollment: evidence from policy variation in schooling quality and compulsory schooling laws
by David Neumark & William Wascher
132 State and local fiscal indicators
by Andrea L. Kusko & Laura S. Rubin
131 The accuracy of home owners' estimates of house value
by John L. Goodman, Jr. & John B. Ittner

1992

130 The Lucas critique revisited: assessing the stability of empirical Euler equations
by Stephen Oliner & Glenn Rudebusch & Daniel Sichel
129 Reassessing the social returns to equipment investment
by Alan J. Auerbach & Kevin A. Hassett & Stephen D. Oliner
128 Inventories and the three phases of the business cycle
by Daniel E. Sichel
127 Limited-information estimates of New Keynesian price-adjustment models
by John M. Roberts
126 How does future income affect current consumption?
by Christopher D. Carroll
125 Economic performance under price stability
by David E. Lebow & John M. Roberts & David J. Stockton
124 The nature and magnitude of precautionary wealth
by Christopher D. Carroll & Andrew A. Samwick
123 Is the shift toward employment in services stabilizing?
by David E. Lebow & Daniel E. Sichel

1991

122 Regional house-price dispersion and interregional migration
by Stuart A. Gabriel & Janice Shack-Marquez & William L. Wascher
121 Induced seasonality and production-smoothing models of inventory behavior
by Spencer D. Krane
120 Emerging labor shortages and real wages in the 1990s
by Maria Ward Otoo & Janice Shack-Marquez
119 Asymmetric adjustment costs, capital longevity, and investment
by David S. Bizer & Daniel E. Sichel
118 Productivity and the public capital stock: another look
by Laura S. Rubin
117 A critical analysis of the Eisner-Pieper fiscal measure
by Darrel Cohen
116 Have postwar economic fluctuations been stabilized?
by Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch
115 Import competition and wages: the role of the nontradable goods sector
by David E. Lebow
114 Buffer stock saving and the permanent income hypothesis
by Christopher D. Carroll
113 The cumulation of individual responses to input price changes
by Joe P. Mattey

1990

112 Adjustable-rate mortgages and the demand for mortgage credit
by John L. Goodman, Jr.
111 Prices by industry-based stage-of-process
by Joe P. Mattey
110 Constant-quality price change, depreciation, and retirement of mainframe computers
by Stephen D. Oliner
109 An analysis of revisions to the industrial production index
by James E. Kennedy
108 The sources of business cycles: a monetarist interpretation
by John M. Roberts
107 What do we know about consumption?
by David W. Wilcox
106 Income tax refunds and the timing of consumption expenditure
by David W. Wilcox
105 Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series: a re-examination
by Glenn D. Rudebusch
104 Imperfect competition and business cycles: an empirical investigation
by David E. Lebow
103 Production smoothing evidence from physical-product data
by Spencer Krane & Steven Braun
102 The covariability of productivity shocks across industries
by David E. Lebow

1989

101 Internal finance and investment: testing the role of asymmetric information and agency costs
by Stephen D. Oliner & Glenn D. Rudebusch
100 A comparison of fiscal measures using reduced-form techniques
by Darrel Cohen
99 An evaluation of the sources of aggregate price rigidity
by John M. Roberts & David J. Stockton & Charles S. Struckmeyer
98 Business cycle duration dependence: a parametric approach
by Daniel E. Sichel
97 Can we improve preliminary estimates of payroll employment growth?
by David Neumark & William L. Wascher
96 Declining union strength and wage inflation in the 1980s
by David Neumark
95 Does overtime use affect marginal cost?
by John M. Roberts
94 Is superwoman a myth? marriage, children, and wages
by Sanders Korenman & David Neumark
93 Business cycle asymmetry: a deeper look
by Daniel E. Sichel
92 Capital gains taxation and the demand for owner-occupied housing
by William H. Hoyt & Stuart S. Rosenthal

1988

91 Regional labor markets, cost-of-living differentials, and migration
by Stuart A. Gabriel & Janice Shack-Marquez & William L. Wascher
90 A nonparametric investigation of duration dependence in the American business cycle
by Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch
89 Evidence on price adjustment costs in U.S. manufacturing industry
by John M. Roberts
88 A reconciliation of two empirical views of business cycle asymmetry
by Daniel E. Sichel
87 Capital and the slowdown of growth in the United States: a review
by Stephen D. Oliner
86 The impact of unseasonable weather on housing starts
by Mark T. Cammarota
85 Measuring household saving: recent experience from the flow of funds perspective
by John F. Wilson & James L. Freund & Frederick O. Yohn, Jr. & Walther Lederer
84 Expected appreciation for U.S. housing
by Nicholas Walraven
83 Mortgage rationing in the post disintermediation era: does FHA make a difference?
by John V. Duca & Stuart S. Rosenthal

1987

82 Asymmetric inventory costs, aggregation, and production smoothing
by Spencer D. Krane
81 Aggregative measures of price and quantity change in commodity markets
by John Rosine
80 The effects of credit availability on consumer durable expenditures
by John V. Duca
79 Credit rationing and the demand for owner-occupied housing
by Stuart S. Rosenthal & John V. Duca & Stuart A. Gabriel
78 Social security benefits, consumption expenditure, and the life cycle hypothesis
by David W. Wilcox
77 The substainability of government deficits: implications of the present- value borrowing constraint
by David W. Wilcox
76 Are productivity fluctuations due to real supply shocks?
by Glenn D. Rudebusch
75 Estimation of current-quarter GNP by pooling preliminary labor - market data
by Steven Braun
74 Rental housing markets and the natural vacancy rate
by Stuard A. Gabriel & Frank E. Nothaft
73 The effect of taxes on money demand and aggregate demand
by Darrel Cohen
72 An empirical disequilibrium model of labor, consumption, and investment in the United States
by Glenn D. Rudebusch
71 Tests of the specification and predictive accuracy of nonnested models of inflation
by David J. Stockton & Charles S. Struckmeyer
70 Models and measures of fiscal policy
by Darrel Cohen
69 Forecasting housing construction: lessons and puzzles from recent years
by John L. Goodman & Stuart A. Gabriel

1986

68 The size of the public sector, saving, and long-run output
by Lawrence Slifman
67 The size of the public sector and long-run growth: a theoretical exposition
by Darrel Cohen
66 Economic determinants of household formations and living arrangements
by John L. Goodman
65 A residence time model of housing markets
by Stuart S. Rosenthal
64 Examining alternative econometric specifications of the disequilibrium model: an empirical study with labor market data
by Glenn D. Rudebusch
63 Some direct evidence on the importance of borrowing constraints to the labor force participation of married women
by Janice Shack-Marquez & William L. Wascher
62 Accepted wages: examining transitions from unemployment and out of the labor force
by Francis Horvath & Janice Shack-Marquez
61 Cyclical fluctuations in productivity in a long-run demand equation
by Michael L. Wachter & William L. Wascher
60 Creative destruction and the behavior of productivity over the business cycle
by Edward Montgomery & William L. Wascher
59 Cross-industry differences in race and gender wage differentials
by Edward Montgomery & William Wascher
58 The fundamental determinants of aggregate debt and wealth
by Mark J. Warshawsky

1985

57 The macroeconomics of exchange rate shocks
by Arnold S. Kling
56 An assessment of the effect of risk aversion on the quit decision of married men
by Kathryn L. Shaw
55 Occupational change, employer change, and the transferability of skills
by Kathryn L. Shaw
54 Profits, concessions, and the wage equation
by Robert S. Gay
53 An evaluation of the forecast performance of alternative models of inflation
by David J. Stockton & James E. Glassman
52 The effect of relative prices changes on capital utilization and replacement in a Cobb-Douglas technology
by Stephen D. Oliner
51 The putty-clay perspective on the capital-energy complementarity debate
by Charles S. Struckmeyer
50 The problem of inference in consumer surveys
by Susan Weller Burch & Stephen E. Gordon
49 Evidence on the causes of the rising dispersion of relative wages
by Edward Montgomery & David J. Stockton
48 Unbiased estimation of the inflationary effects of relative price disturbances
by David J. Stockton
47 A keynesian approach to the relationship between relative price dispersion and aggregate price movement
by David J. Stockton
46 The influence of exchange rate movements on inflation in the United States
by James E. Glassman
45 Recent changes in income and the tax distribution: implications for personal consumption expenditures
by Susan Weller Burch
44 Persistence effects in labor force participation
by Robert S. Gay & William L. Wascher
43 A small econometric model for predicting residential construction activity: some preliminary results
by James L. Freund
42 The effect of cohort size on human capital investment and earnings growth
by Frank E. Nothaft
41 Adjustable-rate home mortgages and the demand for mortgage credit
by John L. Goodman

1984

40 The impact of energy price shocks on capital formation and economic growth in a putty-clay technology
by Charles S. Struckmeyer
39 Distributions and projection errors: forecasting the probability of extreme electricity demand
by David Reifschneider
38 Union contract concessions and their implications for union wage determination
by Robert S. Gay
37 Beast: a small macroeconometric model of the U.S. economy
by David Reifschneider
36 Equilibrium modeling and the petroleum industry: a case study of the residual fuel oil market
by David Jay Green
35 Production planning, real interest rates, and inventory investment
by Che S. Tsao
34 Productivity and the NIIRU (and other Phillips curve issues)
by Steven Braun
33 Inflation and unemployment in the United States: recent experience and policies
by Peter B. Clark

1983

32 An evaluation of alternative price forecasting models: theoretical considerations
by James E. Glassman & David J. Stockton
31 Observations on the recent decline in the personal saving rate
by Edward Montgomery
30 The theory and econometrics of reduced-form nominal income and price equations
by David J. Stockton & James E. Glassman
29 Domestic automobile demand
by Laura Rubin
28 Cyclicality in demand for new housing units and "shortfalls" in production
by James L. Freund
26 The aging U.S. auto stock: implications for demand
by Susan Weller Burch

1982

27 Asymmetric information expectations, and the dynamics of inflation and relative price changes
by B. Dianne Pauls
25 A small scale model of natural gas markets: responses to alternative deregulation scenarios and oil price changes
by David Jay Green

1981

24 A dissection of personal saving behavior
by Lawrence Slifman
23 Younger households and aggregate expenditures decision
by Susan Weller Burch
22 Inflation and housing: a review of recent experience
by James L. Freund
21 A re-examination of the relationship between capital expenditures and a distributed lag of capital appropriations: 1953-1981
by Garry J. Schinasi
20 A logit model of the selection of a space heating fuel by builders of new single family housing
by David Jay Green
19 The individual income tax: implications of progressivity for labor supply
by Andrea Kusko
18 Empirical evidence on the formation of sales expectations by manufacturers
by F. Owen Irvine
17 Social security and saving
by Charles Steindel
14 Specification errors and the stock-adjustment model: why estimated speeds-of-adjustment are too slow in inventory equations
by F. Owen Irvine

1980

13 The bias in lagged dependent variable coefficients introduced
by seasonal adjustment
12 The effects of experience-rated unemployment benefits and inventory costs on production smoothing and labor hoarding
by Steven Braun
11 The inventory stock-adjustment model reconsidered
by Steven Braun
10 The response of inventories to inflation and interest rate fluctuations, a critique and survey
by F. Owen Irvine
9 Merchant wholesaler inventory investment and the cost of capital
by F. Owen Irvine
8 Test of the rationality and accuracy of manufacturers' sales expectations
by F. Owen Irvine
7 Automobile demand by size, class and gasoline conservation
by F. Owen Irvine

1979

6 A study of automobile inventory investment
by F. Owen Irvine

1978

5 Aggregate inventory behavior: response to uncertainty and interest rates
by Laura Rubin
4 A disaggregated analysis of wage behavior in the 1970's
by Robert S. Gay
3 A behavioral model of price determination in the manufacturing sector
by Alan Sykes

1977

2 A simple forecasting model of quarterly labor market behavior contingent on real outlook and prices
by James E. Annable & Joyce Zickler

1976

1 Investigation of the structure of inflation in the 1970's: analysis by stage of processing
by Lawrence E. DeMilner

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This page was last updated on 2008-8-11.

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