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Exchange Rate Volatility and Employment Growth: Empirical Evidence from the CEE Economies

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  • Belke, Ansgar

    ()
    (University of Duisburg-Essen)

  • Setzer, Ralph

    ()
    (University of Hohenheim)

Abstract

According to the traditional 'optimum currency area' approach, not much will be lost from a very hard peg to a currency union if there has been little reason for variations in the exchange rate. This paper takes a different approach and highlights the fact that high exchange rate volatility may as well signal high costs for labor markets. The impact of exchange rate volatility on labor markets in the CEECs is analyzed, finding that volatility visà- vis the euro significantly lowers employment growth. Hence, the elimination of exchange rate volatility could be considered as a substitute for a removal of employment protection legislation.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 1038.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2004
Date of revision:
Publication status: published in: Economic and Social Review, 2003, 34 (3), 267-292
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp1038

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Keywords: exchange rate variability; euroization; currency union; Central and Eastern Europe; job creation;

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References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Eliane Cristina de Araújo, 2011. "Volatilidade Cambial eCrescimento Econômico: Teorias e Evidencias para Economias emDesenvolvimento e Emergentes (1980 e 2007)," Anais do XXXVII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 37th Brazilian Economics Meeting], ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of 105, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  2. Schweickert, Rainer & Thiele, Rainer, 2004. "From Washington to post-Washington? Consensus policies and divergent developments in Latin America and Asia," Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) 408, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  3. Gilles Saint-Paul, 2009. "Le dollar, l’innovation et l’emploi," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, Programme National Persée, vol. 94(1), pages 107-115.
  4. Gunther Schnabl & Christina Ziegler, 2008. "Exchange Rate Regime and Wage Determination in Central and Eastern Europe," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich 2471, CESifo Group Munich.
  5. Schnabl, Gunther & Ziegler, Christina, 2011. "Exchange rate and wage policies in Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 347-360, May.
  6. Evžen Kocenda & Mathilde Maurel & Gunther Schnabl, 2012. "Short- and Long-Term Growth Effects of Exchange Rate Adjustment," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 12069, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.

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