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What Drives the Dynamic Conditional Correlation of Foreign Exchange and Equity Returns?

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Author Info
Vargas, Gregorio A.

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Abstract

This paper establishes the link of microstructure and macroeconomic factors with the time-varying conditional correlation of foreign exchange and excess equity returns. By using the proposed DCC model with exogenous variables, capital flows and interest rate differentials are shown to be significant determinants of this correlation which is inclusive of the short-run variation of both asset returns. The results also provide evidence of the dynamic behavior of global investors as they seek parity in equity returns between home and foreign markets to reduce exchange rate risks.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 7174.

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Date of creation: Feb 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:7174

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Related research
Keywords: uncovered equity parity order flow ADCCX

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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  1. Hali J. Edison & Robin Brooks & Manmohan S. Kumar & Torsten Sløk, 2001. "Exchange Rates and Capital Flows," IMF Working Papers 01/190, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2000. "The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?," NBER Working Papers 7777, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Feng, Yuanhua, 2006. "A local dynamic conditional correlation model," MPRA Paper 1592, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Kuper, Gerard H. & Lestano, 2007. "Dynamic conditional correlation analysis of financial market interdependence: An application to Thailand and Indonesia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 670-684, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Martin D. D. Evans & Richard K. Lyons, 2002. "Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 110(1), pages 170-180, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Monica Billio & Massimiliano Caporin & Michele Gobbo, 2006. "Flexible Dynamic Conditional Correlation multivariate GARCH models for asset allocation," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 123-130, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Lorenzo Cappiello & Robert F. Engle & Kevin Sheppard, 2006. "Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(4), pages 537-572. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Kenneth A. Froot & Tarun Ramadorai, 2005. "Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional-Investor Flows," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(3), pages 1535-1566, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Evans, Martin D. D. & Lyons, Richard K., 2002. "Informational integration and FX trading," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 807-831, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Robert F. Engle & Kevin Sheppard, 2001. "Theoretical and Empirical Properties of Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 2001-15, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Kyle, Albert S, 1985. "Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1315-35, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Martin D. D. Evans & Richard K. Lyons, 2006. "Understanding order flow," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(1), pages 3-23. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Lanza, Alessandro & Manera, Matteo & McAleer, Michael, 2006. "Modeling dynamic conditional correlations in WTI oil forward and futures returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 114-132, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Matteo Manera & Michael McAleer & Margherita Grasso, 2006. "Modelling time-varying conditional correlations in the volatility of Tapis oil spot and forward returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(7), pages 525-533, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. C.M. Hafner & P.H. Franses, 2003. "A generalized dynamic conditional correlation model for many asset returns," Econometric Institute Report 323, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2008-11-17.

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