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Does online investor attention drive the co-movement of stock-, commodity-, and energy markets? Insights from Google searches

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  • Prange, Philipp

Abstract

Online investor attention, measured by Google searches, may provide valuable information for the assessment of the co-movement between financial assets. In our empirical analysis, we draw upon an extension of the dynamic conditional correlation model and find that online investor attention is a statistically significant determinant of the time-varying correlations between stocks and gold-, silver-, crude oil-, and natural gas future contracts. Our results, relying on daily data over almost six years, contribute to our understanding of how online investor attention impacts the linkage between financial markets under different conditions. Taking a practical point of view, we demonstrate that the informational content of Google searches may marginally increase the hedging effectiveness of combined portfolios.

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  • Prange, Philipp, 2021. "Does online investor attention drive the co-movement of stock-, commodity-, and energy markets? Insights from Google searches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:99:y:2021:i:c:s0140988321001870
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105282
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    1. Jingjian, Si & Xiangyun, Gao & Jinsheng, Zhou & Anjian, Wang & Xiaotian, Sun & Yiran, Zhao & Hongyu, Wei, 2023. "The impact of oil price shocks on energy stocks from the perspective of investor attention," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    2. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Time-frequency spillovers among carbon, fossil energy and clean energy markets: The effects of attention to climate change," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Michele Costola & Michael Donadelli & Luca Gerotto & Ivan Gufler, 2022. "Global risks, the macroeconomy, and asset prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2357-2388, November.
    4. Fiszeder, Piotr & Fałdziński, Marcin & Molnár, Peter, 2023. "Attention to oil prices and its impact on the oil, gold and stock markets and their covariance," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    5. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Obojska, Lidia, 2023. "Do commodity markets catch a cold from stock markets? Modelling uncertainty spillovers using Google search trends and wavelet coherence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    6. Oguzhan Cepni, Duc Khuong Nguyen, and Ahmet Sensoy, 2022. "News Media and Attention Spillover across Energy Markets: A Powerful Predictor of Crude Oil Futures Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I).
    7. Zheng, Yan & Wen, Fenghua & Deng, Hanshi & Zeng, Aiqing, 2022. "The relationship between carbon market attention and the EU CET market: Evidence from different market conditions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

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