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Does the Choice of the Multivariate GARCH Model on Volatility Spillovers Matter? Evidence from Oil Prices and Stock Markets in G7 Countries

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  • Dimitrios Kartsonakis-Mademlis

    (University of Macedonia, Greece.)

  • Nikolaos Dritsakis

    (University of Macedonia, Greece.)

Abstract

In this paper, we employ asymmetric multivariate GARCH approaches to examine their performance on the volatility interactions between global crude oil prices and seven major stock market indices. Insofar as volatility spillover across these markets is a crucial element for portfolio diversification and risk management, we also examine the optimal weights and hedge ratios for oil-stock portfolio holdings with respect to the results. Our findings highlight the superiority of the asymmetric BEKK model and the fact that the choice of the model is of crucial importance given the conflicting results we got. Finally, our results imply that oil assets should be a part of a diversified portfolio of stocks as they increase the risk-adjusted performance of the hedged portfolio.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimitrios Kartsonakis-Mademlis & Nikolaos Dritsakis, 2020. "Does the Choice of the Multivariate GARCH Model on Volatility Spillovers Matter? Evidence from Oil Prices and Stock Markets in G7 Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 164-182.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2020-05-21
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    2. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi & Ghasemi Doudkanlou, Mohammad & Dolatabadi, Ali, 2022. "Forecast of Bayesian-based dynamic connectedness between oil market and Islamic stock indices of Islamic oil-exporting countries: Application of the cascade-forward backpropagation network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. Dimitrios Kartsonakis Mademlis & Nikolaos Dritsakis, 2021. "Volatility Forecasting using Hybrid GARCH Neural Network Models: The Case of the Italian Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 49-60.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetry; Multivariate GARCH; Stock market; Oil price; Volatility Spillover;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy

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