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Time-varying correlation between oil and stock market volatilities: Evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries

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  • Boldanov, Rustam
  • Degiannakis, Stavros
  • Filis, George

Abstract

This paper investigates the time-varying conditional correlation between oil price and stock market volatility for six major oil-importing and oil-exporting countries. The period of the study runs from January 2000 until December 2014 and a Diag-BEKK model is employed. Our findings report the following regularities. (i) The correlation between the oil and stock market volatilities changes over time fluctuating at both positive and negative values. (ii). Heterogeneous patterns in the time-varying correlations are evident between the oil-importing and oil-exporting countries. (iii) Correlations are responsive to major economic and geopolitical events, such as the early-2000 recession, the 9/11 terrorist attacks and the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. These findings are important for risk management practices, derivative pricing and portfolio rebalancing.

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  • Boldanov, Rustam & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2017. "Time-varying correlation between oil and stock market volatilities: Evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," MPRA Paper 80435, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:80435
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    Keywords

    conditional volatility; realized volatility; time-varying correlation; Diag-BEKK; GARCH; oil-importing countries; oil-exporting countries.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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