Forecasting Time-Varying Correlation using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) Model
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Rodolfo Aquino, 2005. "Exchange rate risk and Philippine stock returns: before and after the Asian financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 765-771.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Engle, Robert F & Wooldridge, Jeffrey M, 1988. "A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(1), pages 116-131, February.
- Carlos Bautista, 2003. "Interest rate-exchange rate dynamics in the Philippines: a DCC analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 107-111.
- Bollerslev, Tim, 1990. "Modelling the Coherence in Short-run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 498-505, August.
- Cappiello, Lorenzo & De Santis, Roberto A., 2005. "Explaining exchange rate dynamics: the uncovered equity return parity condition," Working Paper Series 529, European Central Bank.
- Vargas, Gregorio A., 2008. "What Drives the Dynamic Conditional Correlation of Foreign Exchange and Equity Returns?," MPRA Paper 7174, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Kuper, Gerard H. & Lestano, 2007.
"Dynamic conditional correlation analysis of financial market interdependence: An application to Thailand and Indonesia,"
Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 670-684, August.
- Kuper, Gerard H. & Lestano, 2006. "Dynamic conditional correlation analysis of financial market interdependence: An application to Thailand and Indonesia," CCSO Working Papers 200602, University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research.
- Sofiane Aboura & Julien Chevallier, 2014.
"Cross‐market spillovers with ‘volatility surprise’,"
Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(4), pages 194-207, November.
- Aboura, Sofiane & Chevallier, Julien, 2014. "Cross-market spillovers with ‘volatility surprise’," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 194-207.
- Sofiane Aboura & Julien Chevallier, 2014. "Cross-Market Spillovers with ‘Volatility Surprise’," EconomiX Working Papers 2014-46, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Sofiane Aboura & Julien Chevallier, 2014. "Cross-Market Spillovers with 'Volatility Surprise'," Working Papers halshs-01052488, HAL.
- Sofiane Aboura & Julien Chevallier, 2014. "Cross-Market Spillovers with 'Volatility Surprise'," Post-Print hal-01529770, HAL.
- Aboura, Sofiane & Chevallier, Julien, 2015.
"Volatility returns with vengeance: Financial markets vs. commodities,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 334-354.
- Sofiane Aboura & Julien Chevallier, 2015. "Volatility returns with vengeance: Financial markets vs. commodities," Post-Print hal-01529747, HAL.
- repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-469 is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:dau:papers:123456789/13359 is not listed on IDEAS
- Sofiane Aboura & Julien Chevallier, 2014. "Cross-Market Spillovers with ‘Volatility Surprise’," Working Papers hal-04141310, HAL.
- Syriopoulos, Theodore & Roumpis, Efthimios, 2009. "Dynamic correlations and volatility effects in the Balkan equity markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 565-587, October.
- repec:dgr:rugccs:200602 is not listed on IDEAS
- Aboura, Sofiane & Chevallier, Julien, 2018. "Tail risk and the return-volatility relation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 16-29.
- Anders Johansson, 2009.
"An analysis of dynamic risk in the Greater China equity markets,"
Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 299-320.
- Johansson, Anders C., 2009. "An Analysis Of Dynamic Risk In The Greater China Equity Markets," Working Paper Series 2009-5, Stockholm School of Economics, China Economic Research Center.
- Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2015. "Testing for structural breaks in correlations: Does it improve Value-at-Risk forecasting?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 135-152.
- M. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2004.
"Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk Based Evaluation of Large Multi Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
1358, CESifo.
- Pesaran, M. Hashem & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2005. "Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk Based Evaluation of Large Multi-Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management," CEPR Discussion Papers 5279, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- M. Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni, 2004. "Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk based Evaluation of Large Multi Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management," IEPR Working Papers 04.3, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR).
- Hashem Pesaran & Paolo Zaffaroni & Banca d'Italia), 2004. "Model Averaging and Value-at-Risk based Evaluation of Large Multi Asset Volatility Models for Risk Management," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 101, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Yiying Li & Michael McAleer, 2018.
"Volatility Spillovers between Energy and Agricultural Markets: A Critical Appraisal of Theory and Practice,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-19, June.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Yiying Li & Michael McAleer, 2015. "Volatility Spillovers Between Energy and Agricultural Markets: A Critical Appraisal of Theory and Practice," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2015-08, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Yiying Li & Michael McAleer, 2015. "Volatility Spillovers between Energy and Agricultural Markets: A Critical Appraisal of Theory and Practice," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-077/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chang, C-L. & Li, Y. & McAleer, M.J., 2015. "Volatility Spillovers Between Energy and Agricultural Markets: A Critical Appraisal of Theory and Practice," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2015-18, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Miguel A. Ferreira, 2005.
"Evaluating Interest Rate Covariance Models Within a Value-at-Risk Framework,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 3(1), pages 126-168.
- Miguel A. Ferreira & Jose A. Lopez, 2004. "Evaluating interest rate covariance models within a value-at-risk framework," Working Paper Series 2004-03, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2009.
"Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes,"
CARF F-Series
CARF-F-168, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-657, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-30, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes," Working Papers in Economics 10/76, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes," KIER Working Papers 747, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-76, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- E. Ramos-P'erez & P. J. Alonso-Gonz'alez & J. J. N'u~nez-Vel'azquez, 2020. "Forecasting volatility with a stacked model based on a hybridized Artificial Neural Network," Papers 2006.16383, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Abdul Hakim & Michael McAleer, 2009.
"VaR Forecasts and Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Spot and Futures Returns on Stocks and Bonds,"
CIRJE F-Series
CIRJE-F-676, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Abdul Hakim & Michael McAleer, 2009. "VaR Forecasts and Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Spot and Futures Returns on Stocks and Bonds," CARF F-Series CARF-F-178, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Hakim, M.S. & McAleer, M.J., 2009. "VaR Forecast and Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Spot and Futures Returns on Stocks and Bonds," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2009-32, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Hakim, Abdul & McAleer, Michael, 2009. "Forecasting conditional correlations in stock, bond and foreign exchange markets," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 2830-2846.
- Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Shamsuddin, Abul & Easton, Steve, 2014. "Dynamic correlation analysis of spill-over effects of interest rate risk and return on Australian and US financial firms," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 378-396.
- Pelletier, Denis, 2006.
"Regime switching for dynamic correlations,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 445-473.
- Denis Pelletier, 2004. "Regime Switching for Dynamic Correlations," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 230, Econometric Society.
- Otranto, Edoardo, 2010.
"Identifying financial time series with similar dynamic conditional correlation,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 1-15, January.
- E. Otranto, 2008. "Identifying Financial Time Series with Similar Dynamic Conditional Correlation," Working Paper CRENoS 200817, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
- David McMillan & Isabel Ruiz & Alan Speight, 2010. "Correlations and spillovers among three euro rates: evidence using realised variance," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(8), pages 753-767.
- Kim, Donggyu & Fan, Jianqing, 2019. "Factor GARCH-Itô models for high-frequency data with application to large volatility matrix prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 395-417.
More about this item
Keywords
dynamic conditional correlation; Peso-Dollar exchange rate; PSE index; hedging;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
- E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-ETS-2014-05-17 (Econometric Time Series)
- NEP-FOR-2014-05-17 (Forecasting)
- NEP-MAC-2014-05-17 (Macroeconomics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:55861. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.